Who knows , anything ranging from WW 3 to a diplomatic fuck you . to many variables , from US withdrawing it ' s forces before that could happen from an active foreign war zone after being warned that they might be targeted by the Russian response to Turkish aggression to the US fully committing to backing turkey after casualties at Incirlik despite the Turks being the aggressors and causing the russians to retaliate in such a massive way . there is almost no way to tell , and highly depends on the circumstances of the incident . Russia might just avoid Incirlik all together due to US presence ? the rest of Turkish military infrastructure would still be open to being targeted and they would still have no viable response to ballistic missile attacks from Russia . Which means they won ' t attempt to suppress the Russian ADN , which means they can ' t shoot Syrian planes down in Syrian airspace . This means that Turkish soldiers in Syria are in danger of being targeted at will by SyAAF and RuAF strikes should the government desire to do so . also think you replied to the wrong post of mine btw .