Thanks for the input , after a bit of my own digging I decided this was the best option too . <| sep |> I believe he means starting red buff as opposed to blue buff . <| sep |> I think khabib hasn ' t even there as much either this year . He ' s always split his camps . <| sep |> I hope Cody knocks him out in the first round , then gets knocked out in the first round in his next fight <| sep |> I do not want people knowing I think of priests whilst naked in the shower . <| sep |> It ' s not that surprising a result . In all these sorts of experiments , whether it ' s the RAND studies on the prisoner ' s dilemma or calibration training , people initially perform terrible on tasks which are not ecologically valid or they have done before , but then gradually improve their performance . This takes more than 300 flips , though , which is not much for trying out various strategies with such a small edge . For example , calibration training requires at least that many items for most people , and their test items are much more informative than binary coin flips eg one can update a lot from predicting 99 % on a false item one doesn ' t update nearly as much from one out of many strategies in betting $ 2 and losing on a 40 % chance . So you would have to use play money , which I don ' t think would seriously damage the results ' validity . Interesting affiliation for one of the authors ?