what the hell are you talking about ? <| sep |> All right , know I won ' t kill my circle pad . Cool ! <| sep |> Makeup is a hell of a drug . <| sep |> Here is the post for archival purposes Author itsrainyrightnow Content Basing estimates on Bitcoin Core ' s scaling roadmap , what do we estimate the average fee to be in the near to long term ? This is a complex question but I ' m surprised to say , I haven ' t read about any projections . Has anyone written anything on this ? This is a complex question and I ' m sure someone has thought about it more thoroughly than me . Some rough thoughtsWe primarily have Lightning , Schnorr , and Weak Blocks . Ultimately the supply is Blockchain space . Off chain scaling like lightning set demand and increase the value of a single transaction and therefore the acceptable fee one is willing to pay for a single transaction . On chain true scaling looks like an increased 1 . 4 x for Schnorr . Everything else seems to require direct capacity increases with proportional increases in required bandwidth . Lets for now just say in the future we can run 20 Mb blocks . Thats a total of 28 x capacity . Not a lot . So supply seems like it will be max ' d for the foreseeable future , and will be entirely inelastic , so the only variable here will be the demand for block space . So what is the most valuable transaction we expect the highest fee someone will be willing to pay . At 28 x on chain capacity I ' d say this sounds like most of the world can ' t be on lightning and transactions would be mostly high value , asset transfers . I suppose fees in this world would be proportionally high as well . If lightning was to be widely adopted and was well connected I ' d expect 2 $ transactions to be about the value someone would be willing to pay on average . With our current constraints , though , where are we headed in the next 10 years ?