It was , he did the fire extinguisher ice cream trick also <| sep |> They ' re not totally pulled out of my ass . They are a posterioriwinrates based on a number of subjective assumptions . I ' ve tested my assumptions against backfitted winrate statistics based on old data I gathered and based on the 28 K games analyzed by MTGGoldfish on MTGO . I give the following quotes from that article Splinter Twin also has a solid overall MWP at 53 . 6 percent My derived statistic is very close to this . In fact , Affinity only managed to beat Splinter Twin 36 . 8 percent of the time over the course of more than 150 matches My statistic is very close to this . Affinity has the best overall winning percentage out of the 10 most played Modern decks coming in a bit over 55 percent . A deck with higher winrate against the meta . Every statistic used is so called pointintime . But still the big picture remains . Now if you actually have any constructive feedback I ' d like to hear it .