2010 Week 13 NFL Predictions
Carrie Stroup
Dec/05/2010
Carrie Stroup here with my 2010 Week 13 NFL predictions for Gambling911.com readers. Last week, we did pretty well with both anti-public picks coming through.
This week's 2 big public favorites we will bet against are the Bears and Falcons. Hence, I like Detroit as the +5 home favorite. They were only getting 12 percent of the action in this game so the bookmakers will make out big should they cover. Note also that Chicago is a mere7-26 ATS in road games in December games since 1992.
The Tampa Bay Bucs at +3 is my other pick. They were getting just 16 percent.
Let's look at a few top trends that give a team an edge.
Typically, the public gets one of these two. Tampa Bay is 2-9 ATS in home games over the last 2 seasons, so if they do happen to split, Detroit is probably more likely to come through. But I'll always follow the system long term with the idea that the house always wins long term.
The Dolphins are 0-6 ATS when favored by between 3.5 and 9.5 points over the past three seasons. They've also played poorly at home, 6-26 ATS in their last 32 games as a home favorite. Really like the Cleveland Browns at +5.5 here.
Denver is 2-10 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992 and Kansas City is just so hot this season. Denver is also 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. There are a few trends that go against the Chiefs and the price is a bit steep, but I'm going for it. Kansas City -9.
Green Bay is 9-2 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. I also like the weather factor here (bitterly cold for a team, San Francisco, that is not used to these types of elements). The Packers tend to rebound nicely from a Straight Up loss where they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. Green Bay -9.5.
New Orleans is 10-1 ATS in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. They are -7 on the road in Cincinnati. Don't like the cold weather factor here, however.
- Carrie Stroup, Gambling911.com Senior Reporter
Football News News
NFL Conference Championship Top Picks
Both conference championship games this weekend are rematches of games played earlier in the regular season. Surprisingly, teams that won the first meeting are 55-39 when facing that same team in the postseason. .
Eagles Hire New Coach Nick Sirianni Was Not Even Listed by Oddsmakers
The Philadelphia Eagles have found their next head coach, none other than Indianapolis Colts offensive coordinator Nick Sirianni.
NFL Playoff Betting – Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs
The Buffalo Bills look to continue their magical season with a trip to the Super Bowl. They'll have to get past the top-seeded Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship to that, though. The two best teams in the conference tangle for the second time this season bringing a combined five losses into the contest.
NFL Conference Championship Games Set
Following a great weekend of football in the NFL's divisional round, the two championship game matchups are set. In the NFC, one legendary quarterback duel - Tom Brady vs. Drew Brees - is replaced by a second legendary quarterback duel - Brady vs. Aaron Rodgers.
Chargers Hire New Head Coach
There was some thought that with the emergence of Justin Herbert at quarterback that the Chargers next head coach would be a quarterback whisperer and offensive innovator. Instead, the Chargers have gone another way by naming Rams defensive coordinator Brandon Staley as their next head coach.