R. A. Fisher on the history of inverse probability
Sandy L Zabell*
R. A. Fisher's account of the decline of inverse probability methods during the latter half of the 19th century identifies Boole, Venn and Chrystal as the key figures in this change. Careful examination of these and other writings of the period, however, reveals a different and much more complex picture. Contrary to Fisher's account, inverse methods—at least in modified form—remained theoretically respectable until the 1920's, when the work of Fisher and then Neyman caused their eclipse for the next quarter century.
Statistical Science
https://doi.org/10.1214/ss/1177012488
History of statistics
Inverse probability
R. A. Fisher
Mathematics(all)
10.1214/ss/1177012488
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Zabell, S. L. (1989). R. A. Fisher on the history of inverse probability. Statistical Science, 4(3), 247-256. https://doi.org/10.1214/ss/1177012488
Zabell, Sandy L. / R. A. Fisher on the history of inverse probability. In: Statistical Science. 1989 ; Vol. 4, No. 3. pp. 247-256.
@article{7f6dd012538e4f1c84d3f10f36ff9358,
title = "R. A. Fisher on the history of inverse probability",
abstract = "R. A. Fisher{\textquoteright}s account of the decline of inverse probability methods during the latter half of the 19th century identifies Boole, Venn and Chrystal as the key figures in this change. Careful examination of these and other writings of the period, however, reveals a different and much more complex picture. Contrary to Fisher{\textquoteright}s account, inverse methods—at least in modified form—remained theoretically respectable until the 1920{\textquoteleft}s, when the work of Fisher and then Neyman caused their eclipse for the next quarter century.",
keywords = "History of statistics, Inverse probability, R. A. Fisher",
author = "Zabell, {Sandy L}",
doi = "10.1214/ss/1177012488",
journal = "Statistical Science",
publisher = "Institute of Mathematical Statistics",
Zabell, SL 1989, 'R. A. Fisher on the history of inverse probability', Statistical Science, vol. 4, no. 3, pp. 247-256. https://doi.org/10.1214/ss/1177012488
R. A. Fisher on the history of inverse probability. / Zabell, Sandy L.
In: Statistical Science, Vol. 4, No. 3, 01.01.1989, p. 247-256.
T1 - R. A. Fisher on the history of inverse probability
AU - Zabell, Sandy L
N2 - R. A. Fisher's account of the decline of inverse probability methods during the latter half of the 19th century identifies Boole, Venn and Chrystal as the key figures in this change. Careful examination of these and other writings of the period, however, reveals a different and much more complex picture. Contrary to Fisher's account, inverse methods—at least in modified form—remained theoretically respectable until the 1920's, when the work of Fisher and then Neyman caused their eclipse for the next quarter century.
AB - R. A. Fisher's account of the decline of inverse probability methods during the latter half of the 19th century identifies Boole, Venn and Chrystal as the key figures in this change. Careful examination of these and other writings of the period, however, reveals a different and much more complex picture. Contrary to Fisher's account, inverse methods—at least in modified form—remained theoretically respectable until the 1920's, when the work of Fisher and then Neyman caused their eclipse for the next quarter century.
KW - History of statistics
KW - Inverse probability
KW - R. A. Fisher
U2 - 10.1214/ss/1177012488
DO - 10.1214/ss/1177012488
JO - Statistical Science
JF - Statistical Science
Zabell SL. R. A. Fisher on the history of inverse probability. Statistical Science. 1989 Jan 1;4(3):247-256. doi: 10.1214/ss/1177012488