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Title Intelligence analysis : behavioral and social scientific foundations / Baruch Fischhoff and Cherie Chauvin, editors ; Committee on Behavioral and Social Science Research to Improve Intelligence Analysis for National Security, Board on Behavioral, Cognitive, and Sensory Sciences, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, National Research Council of the National Academies.
Imprint Washington, DC : National Academies Press, [2011?]
Subject Intelligence service -- United States.
Intellectual capital -- United States.
Behavioral assessment -- United States.
National security -- United States.
Decision making -- United States.
Alt Name Fischhoff, Baruch, 1946-
Chauvin, Cherie,
National Research Council (U.S.). Committee on Behavioral and Social Science Research to Improve Intelligence Analysis for National Security,
Description 1 online resource (xiv, 338 pages) : illustrations
Bibliography Note Includes bibliographical references.
Contents Analysis in the U.S. intelligence community : missions, masters, and methods / Thomas Fingar -- Operations research and intelligence analysis / Edward H. Kaplan -- Applications of game theory in support of intelligence analysis / Bruce Bueno de Mesquita -- Use of signal detection theory as a tool for enhancing performance and evaluating tradecraft in intelligence analysis / Gary H. McClelland -- Qualitative analysis for the intelligence community / Kiron K. Skinner -- Individual reasoning / Barbara A. Spellman -- Intuitive theories of behavior / Hal R. Arkes and James Kajdasz -- Group processes in intelligence analysis / Reid Hastie -- Social categorization and intergroup dynamics / Catherine H. Tinsley -- Communicating about analysis / Baruch Fischhoff -- Structuring accountability systems in organizations : key trade-offs and critical unknowns / Philip E. Tetlock and Barbara A. Mellers -- Workforce effectiveness : acquiring human resources and developing human capital / Steve W.J. Kozlowski -- Implementing change : organizational challenges / Amy Zegart.
Summary "The U.S. intelligence community (IC) is a complex human enterprise whose success depends on how well the people in it perform their work. Although often aided by sophisticated technologies, these people ultimately rely on their own intellect to identify, synthesize, and communicate the information on which the nation's security depends. The IC's success depends on having trained, motivated, and thoughtful people working within organizations able to understand, value, and coordinate their capabilities.<br />Intelligence Analysis provides up-to-date scientific guidance for the intelligence community (IC) so that it might improve individual and group judgments, communication between analysts, and analytic processes. The papers in this volume provide the detailed evidentiary base for the National Research Council's report, Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow: Advances from the Behavioral and Social Sciences. The opening chapter focuses on the structure, missions, operations, and characteristics of the IC while the following 12 papers provide in-depth reviews of key topics in three areas: analytic methods, analysts, and organizations.<br />Informed by the IC's unique missions and constraints, each paper documents the latest advancements of the relevant science and is a stand-alone resource for the IC's leadership and workforce. The collection allows readers to focus on one area of interest (analytic methods, analysts, or organizations) or even one particular aspect of a category. As a collection, the volume provides a broad perspective of the issues involved in making difficult decisions, which is at the heart of intelligence analysis."--Publisher's website.
ISBN/ISSN 9786613044624
Additional Format Print version: Intelligence analysis : behavioral and social scientific foundations 9780309176989 0309176980 (OCoLC)708327332