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Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Prediction, 4/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 4/2/2021
Game: Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat
Date: Saturday, April 3, 2021
Location: AmericanAirlines Arena in Miami, FL
TV: Bally Sports Sun
Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (+11.5)
The Cleveland Cavaliers (17-31) go to AmericanAirlines Arena on Saturday where they'll take on the Miami Heat (25-24). Cleveland opens this contest as 11.5-point dogs. The total opens at 204.
The Cleveland Cavaliers took the court against the Philadelphia 76ers and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 114-94 in their last contest. Cleveland wrapped up the game with a 42.5% FG percentage (34 out of 80) and buried 10 of their 35 shots from distance. When they shot from the free throw line, the Cavaliers buried 16 of their 21 attempts for a percentage of 76.2%. When it comes to grabbing boards, they compiled a total of 40 with 4 of them being on the offensive end. They also dished out 26 dimes for the game while forcing the other team into 9 turnovers and getting 5 steals. In relation to defense, Cleveland allowed 43.0% from the field on 40 out of 93 shooting. Philadelphia distributed 27 dimes and had 11 steals for this contest. Additionally, Philadelphia collected 55 rebounds (12 offensive, 43 defensive) and added 3 rejections. Philadelphia went 76.0% from the charity stripe by making 19 of 25 attempts. They also converted 15 of their 37 attempts from long range.
Collin Sexton is a guy who was a major factor in this contest. He ended up walking away with 24 points on 7 out of 15 shooting. He saw the court for 33:29 minutes played and also grabbed 3 boards. Sexton walked away from this one shooting 46.7% from the floor and also distributed 3 dimes. Another guy that was a major factor in the matchup for the Cavaliers was Dean Wade. He pulled down 8 rebounds in his 37:37 minutes played on the night. He finished 42.9% from the floor for the game via 6-of-14 (16 points). When the final whistle blew, Wade tallied 2 assists.
Cleveland steps onto the court with a record of 17-31 this season. They average 102.7 points per outing (30th in the league) while connecting on 44.8% from the field. The Cavaliers are connecting on 33.5% on three-point shots (446 of 1,333) and 72.5% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Cleveland is pulling in 43.0 boards per contest and has accounted for 1,111 assists on the campaign, which ranks 23rd in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. They lose possession via turnover 15.6 times per game and as a team they are committing 18.9 fouls on a nightly basis. When they are on defense, the Cavaliers are forcing 15.4 turnovers per game while drawing 20.1 personal fouls. The Cavaliers are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 47.8% (738 of 965) and they surrender 44.2 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are ranked 15th in basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,157 surrendered so far this year. They are conceding 38.5% on shots from distance and they are 13th in the NBA in points per game allowed (111.1).
In their last game, the Miami Heat got the victory with a final of 116-109 against the Golden State Warriors. The Heat were able to collect 32 defensive boards and 5 offensive boards for a total of 37 for the game. They also turned the ball over 11 times, while getting 10 steals in the game. The Warriors committed 26 fouls for this contest which got the Heat to the free throw line for a total of 30 attempts. They were able to make 25 of the free throw tries for a rate of 83.3%. In terms of shooting from 3-point land, Miami converted 13 of 39 attempts (33.3%). When this game wrapped up, the Heat went 39 out of 82 from the floor which had them shooting 47.6%. The Heat permitted the Warriors to convert 36 of their 82 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 43.9% for this contest. They finished 40.5% from distance by going 15 of 37 and finished the contest at 22 of 25 at the charity stripe (88.0%). Concerning cleaning up the glass, Miami permitted Golden State to grab 46 in all (12 offensive).
Jimmy Butler ended up being a factor for the Heat in this matchup. He knocked down 7 out of 13 for the contest giving him a field goal percentage of 53.8%, and accumulated 6 rebounds. Butler recorded 22 points in his 34:58 mins of playing time and added 8 dimes for this game. One more player that ended up playing a role for Miami was Duncan Robinson. He came away with 3 dimes in 36:55 minutes played, and he put in 8 out of 15 from the floor. Robinson walked away from this one going 53.3% from the field while totaling 21 points and 4 rebounds.
Miami has a record of 25-24 for the campaign. The Heat are responsible for committing 19.0 personal fouls per contest and they shoot 79.1% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 25.8 times per game (10th in the league) and they turn the ball over 14.7 times per contest. Miami has totaled 5,206 points on the season (106.2 per game) and they average 42.7 boards per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Heat are hitting on 45.7% from the field, which is 21st in the league. The Heat are ranked 3rd in the league in points given up per game with 107.2. They surrender 25.3 dimes and 44.2 boards per contest, which ranks them 20th and 16th in the league. The Miami defense gives up 36.3% from downtown (718 of 1,980) and their opposition makes 78.7% of their shots from the charity stripe. They are forcing 15.1 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 44.4% from the floor (2nd in the league).
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cleveland (+11.5)
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