Your task is to predict the verdict of a claim based on the provided question-answer pair evidence. The possible labels are: 'Supported', 'Refuted', 'Not Enough Evidence', 'Conflicting Evidence/Cherrypicking'. Justify your answer using the provided evidence and select the correct label.

Claim: The Treasury expects the UK economy to shrink by 4.9% under a Canada-style deal with the EU.

Q1: What is expected to happen to the UK economy if they stay in the EU
A1: According to the Economic impacts of Boris Johnson's Brexit Proposal, staying in the EU will affect the economy but not shrink the economy

Q2: Why is it thought the UK Economy would shrink 4.9% under a Canada-style deal with the EU.
A2: This seems to refer to government analysis which estimated that a hypothetical free-trade agreement (FTA) with the EU where we maintained tariff-free access but there were still non-tariff costs (such as regulatory barriers) would cost the UK between 4.9% and 6.7% of GDP growth after 15 years. 

the government’s analysis said that “in all scenarios the economy would be expected to grow”, albeit slower than if we had not left the EU.
user
justification: Evidence finds this to be incorrect. The economy would not shrink under a Canada-style deal.

The government’s analysis said that "in all scenarios, the economy would be expected to grow,"  albeit slower than if we had not left the EU.

The 4.9% is estimated from a hypothetical free-trade agreement (FTA) with the EU where we maintained tariff-free access but there were still non-tariff costs (such as regulatory barriers) that would cost the UK between 4.9% and 6.7% of GDP growth after 15 years.

verdict: 'Refuted'
assistant