Your task is to predict the verdict of a claim based on the provided question-answer pair evidence. The possible labels are: 'Supported', 'Refuted', 'Not Enough Evidence', 'Conflicting Evidence/Cherrypicking'. Justify your answer using the provided evidence and select the correct label.

Claim: Covid-19’s infection fatality rate is 0.1%

Q1: What is this claim based on?
A1: Article: Cases of Covid-19 in the summer were 16 TIMES higher in the UK than official figures suggest - with more than 5 MILLION Britons infected by the end of August, study claims

Q2: According to the Daily Mail article, what is the calculated Infection Fatality Rate from the study?
A2: 1%

Q3: How were the numbers in the study arrived at?
A3: A technique called 'backcasting' was used to calculate the number of cases in 15 countries based on the number of deaths.

Q4: What is backcasting?
A4: Backcasting means starting first with the desired outcome in mind and then identifying present-day actions to move in the direction of that outcome.

Q5: Are IFRs for Covid-19 reliable?
A5: Large-scale outbreaks of infectious diseases such as COVID-19, known as epidemics, can be monitored via statistics like the probability of death once infected, or infection fatality ratio (IFR). Measuring the levels of antibodies (proteins produced by the immune system to target the virus) in peoples’ blood can show how many have been previously infected. The number of deaths and infections are used to calculate the IFR, but this calculation is challenging due to time delays during the natural course of illness as well as imperfect antibody tests and declining antibody levels over time.

Q6: Did the article in the Daily Mail reach a best estimate of IFR?
A6: Yes, because Data from previous studies was gathered to allow researchers to create a best estimate on time from infection to death and infection fatality rate,

Fatality rate changes based on a patient's age and any comorbidities, but by reviewing 26 studies the researchers settled on a percentage of 0.76 per cent.
user
justification: Answer states 0.76% vs 0.1% stated in claim.

verdict: 'Refuted'
assistant