[enerfaxdaily] Natural Gas Futures Up Slightly on Short-Covering mailto:leave-enerfaxdaily-1013476O@relay.netatlantic.com is the unsubscribe address for $subst This email contains both the web and text version. The text version is located at the very end of the newsletter. The web version is available to Outlook users and will take a minute to appear.  If you can not view this email visit http://www.enerfax.com for today's power & natural gas prices & news. ----- Pure Text & Lotus Users subscribe to the pure text version by clicking http://www.modernmediaohio.com/subscribe/enerfax.htm  Enerfax Daily NORTH AMERICA'S FREE POWER AND GAS INFORMATION SOURCE Wednesday, September 26, 2001 No. 833 Visit our website at:   For Oil Prices & News write enerfaxgold-subscribe@egroups.com  or go to  PHYSICAL NATURAL GAS PRICES    Gulf/Eastern Region      | Agua Dulce              | 1.86  | | ANR SE                  | 1.91  | | Carthage TG             | 1.90  | | Chicago Citygate        | 1.97  | | Columbia Gulf Onshore   | 1.92  | | Dominion South Point    | 2.22  | | Henry Hub               | 1.95  | | Houston Ship Channel    | 1.97  | | Katy Hub                | 1.92  | | NGPL - Midcontinent     | 1.82  | | NGPL STX                | 1.88  | | NGPL TX/OK              | 1.89  | | NNG Demarc.             | 1.88  | | Niagara                 | 2.19  | | Sonat Tier 1            | 1.92  | | TCO IPP Pool            | 2.23  | | Tetco ELa               | 1.98  | | Tetco M-3               | 2.30  | | Tetco STX               | 1.94  | | TGP Zone 0              | 1.90  | | TGP Zone 1 500 Leg      | 2.00  | | TGT Zone SL             | 1.94  | | New York Citygate       | 2.31  | | Transco Station 65      | 2.06  | | Transco Zone 6 (NY)     | 2.32  | | Trunk ELa               | 1.87  | | Western Region          | California Border       | 1.80  | | El Paso Permian         | 1.71  | | El Paso San Juan        | 1.30  | | Waha Hub                | 1.78  | | Canadian/Rockies Region  | Nova/Aeco (C$/gig)      | 2.55  | | Dawn Hub/Union          | 2.16  | | Northwest Stanfield     | 1.30  | | Wyoming Pool            | 1.22  | | Opal/Kern River         | 1.19  | | PGT-Malin               | 1.45  | | Sumas                   | 1.29  |         Flow Date 09/26  --------------------------------------------- And now there's FASB 133.     So history will affect reported earnings, because hedge efficiencies and derivative valuations will hit the bottom line. At FAME, we deliver quality historical information and analysis. For your FREE copy of the recent report, Protecting Your Earnings: Managing the FASB 133 Challenge, click here  or visit    -------------------------------------------- NATURAL GAS FUTURES Henry Hub  12 Month Strip  2.7447  +0.0504        18 Month Strip  2.9106  +0.0583        | Month | High  |  Low  | Close | Change | | OCT   | 1.970 | 1.880 | 1.925 | +0.015 | | NOV   | 2.350 | 2.260 | 2.300 | +0.010 | | DEC   | 2.730 | 2.650 | 2.690 | +0.030 | | JAN   | 2.930 | 2.855 | 2.895 | +0.042 | | FEB   | 2.925 | 2.860 | 2.893 | +0.048 | | MAR   | 2.885 | 2.820 | 2.860 | +0.057 | | APR   | 2.820 | 2.760 | 2.803 | +0.063 | | MAY   | 2.850 | 2.810 | 2.828 | +0.063 | | JUN   | 2.890 | 2.850 | 2.880 | +0.065 | | JUL   | 2.940 | 2.890 | 2.926 | +0.067 | | AUG   | 2.975 | 2.930 | 2.968 | +0.067 | | SEP   | 2.980 | 2.930 | 2.968 | +0.063 | ------------------------------------------------------------- Natural Gas Futures Up Slightly on Short-Covering      Natural gas for October delivery on the NYMEX ended the day up $0.015 to $1.915 as the market awaits the AGA storage data due out today. The November contract gained $0.025 to $2.30 per MMBtu. The market managed to recover partially from Monday's sell-off in active pre expiration trading. Much of the gain was due to a late session short-covering rally, and short term traders expect a nominally higher open today. The locals are still wanting to push prices lower to a target of $1.80. There is just a negative bias to natural gas, as well as all the energies right now. There is just no demand, and the long term weather forecasts are not promising. The October contract expires today and has lost 25% over the past 6 sessions. NYMEX continues to hold abbreviated floor trading sessions this week. The natural gas open outcry sessions runs from 10:30 AM to 1:45 PM EDT, except today when the close will be extended until 2:45 PM to allow trading after the release of AGA storage data about 2:00 PM. Look for and an injection of  70 - 80 Bcf to be reported for last week. A year ago inventories rose 77 Bcf, and on average over the last 5 years, stocks have gained about 72 Bcf this week. Total inventories of 2.757 Tcf are 432 Bcf, or 19% higher than a year ago, and 248 Bcf above the 5-year average. NOAA expects 25 CDDs for this week, which would be 7 below normal and 9 below a year ago, and could mean another large build in next week's AGA report relative to the year-ago figure, particularly with spreads to winter still encouraging injections. However, storage is about 87% full and will soon begin filling up. The latest National Weather Service forecast for early next month calls for below normal weather along the East Coast, extending into East Texas, and above normal from eastern California into the upper Plains. Natural gas for next day delivery across the US and Canada was generally flat to down $0.05 per MMBtu yesterday. Natural gas for next day delivery at the Henry hub dipped $0.05 to a new 22-month low of $1.94 per MMBtu.  ------------------------------------------------------------- RISK MANAGEMENT  Across the Energy Enterprise e-Acumen, Inc., is uniquely positioned to help you manage risk and  increase value. That's because our analytics, data and applications  cover all strategic aspects of the energy enterprise, from short-term  forecasting to comprehensive risk analysis and portfolio optimization,  to asset valuation and weather risk management. Dedicated to the needs  of energy and trading companies in a dynamic and competitive world, our  approach combines best-in-class physical fundamentals with  industry-leading statistical methodologies.  e-Acumen is a venture-backed company founded in January, 1997. Since  then we have listened attentively to the market and assembled a stellar  cast of seasoned energy industry professionals and Silicon Valley  technologists. 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Click here  to find out more about current special offers, or go to  --------------------------------------------------------- POWER FUTURES   | Month |   COB   | Change |   PV    | Change | | OCT   |  33.00  | +0.00  |  31.50  | +0.00  | | NOV   |  31.50  | +0.00  |  34.00  | +0.00  | | DEC   |  33.50  | +0.00  |  38.00  | +0.00  | | JAN   |  32.50  | +0.00  |  37.50  | +0.00  | | FEB   |  31.50  | +0.00  |  35.00  | +0.00  | | MAR   |  31.00  | +0.00  |  33.00  | +0.00  | | APR   |  32.00  | +0.00  |  33.50  | +0.00  | | MAY   |  36.00  | +0.00  |  33.50  | +0.00  | | JUN   |  42.00  | +0.00  |  33.50  | +0.00  | | JUL   |  52.00  | +0.00  |  44.00  | +0.00  | | AUG   |  57.00  | +0.00  |  44.00  | +0.00  | | SEP   |  44.50  | +0.00  |  44.00  | +0.00  | | Month | Entergy | Change | Cinergy | Change | | OCT   |  24.15  | +0.00  |  25.85  | +0.00  | | NOV   |  24.20  | +0.00  |  26.10  | +0.00  | | DEC   |  25.90  | +0.00  |  27.50  | +0.00  | | JAN   |  27.50  | +0.00  |  29.50  | +0.00  | | FEB   |  27.50  | +0.00  |  29.50  | +0.00  | | MAR   |  27.25  | +0.00  |  27.75  | +0.00  | | APR   |  27.25  | +0.00  |  27.75  | +0.00  | | MAY   |  29.75  | +0.00  |  31.25  | +0.00  | | JUN   |  39.00  | +0.00  |  41.25  | +0.00  | | JUL   |  50.00  | +0.00  |  54.75  | +0.00  | | AUG   |  50.00  | +0.00  |  54.75  | +0.00  | | SEP   |  26.00  | +0.00  |  28.15  | +0.00  | ----------------------------------------------------------- POWER FUTURES | Month |  PJM  | Change | | OCT   | 29.70 | +0.00  | | NOV   | 28.90 | +0.00  | | DEC   | 32.00 | +0.00  | | JAN   | 36.00 | +0.00  | | FEB   | 36.00 | +0.00  | | MAR   | 32.50 | +0.00  | | APR   | 32.50 | +0.00  | | MAY   | 33.75 | +0.00  | | JUN   | 44.25 | +0.00  | | JUL   | 59.75 | +0.00  | | AUG   | 59.75 | +0.00  | | SEP   | 32.00 | +0.00  | ------------------------------------------------------------ FERC ALJ Postpones California Deadline     A FERC ALJ has postponed until March 8th the deadline for issuing a report on whether California is entitled to refunds of $9 billion for wholesale power purchases when prices soared in the past year. The judge abandoned his earlier plan to issue a final report in November. The report's recommendations will be considered by FERC commissioners for any further action. Last July, the commissioners ordered a 45-day mediation period for California and the power suppliers to negotiate a compromise. But the clock will not start ticking for that 45-day period on December 7th, when all evidence has been submitted by the California ISO and the California PX, the judge said. He extended the deadline for finishing the case after agreeing to give the California ISO, and the now-defunct California PX more time to analyze market prices during the disputed refund period. 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Call KWI -Americas: +1-281-681-3301 / Europe: +44 (0) 20-7386-2700 / Asia Pacific: +61(0) 2-9976-6111   -------------------------------------------------------------- Natural Gas Options  |       | Closing | Days | Implied ATM | | Month |  Price  | Left | Volatility  | | NOV   |  2.300  |  32  |   70.45%    | | DEC   |  2.690  |  64  |   63.66%    | ----------------------------------------------------------- ENERGY. @ENERGY, FEA's Complete Suite of Energy Products, BUILT FOR THE FUTURE. *Manage all your energy risks. *Build and Price deals. *Value physical assets (generation, storage, etc.) *Report and reduce your energy risks FEA FINANCIAL ENGINEERING ASSOCIATES main phone number:  1 510-548-6200 email address: info@fea.com  --------------------------------------------------- PHYSICAL POWER PRICES |            | High  |  Low  | Average | |            | $/MWh | $/MWh |  $/MWh  | | Cinergy    | 17.90 | 16.00 |  17.70  | | ECAR       | 20.30 | 18.95 |  19.80  | | ERCOT      | 19.00 | 17.75 |  18.00  | | Entergy    | 17.40 | 15.50 |  16.95  | | TVA        | 21.70 | 20.15 |  21.10  | | ComEd      | 19.00 | 17.60 |  18.10  | | Nepool     | 41.50 | 40.75 |  41.25  | | PJM West   | 25.30 | 25.00 |  25.15  | | Main       | 18.50 | 17.40 |  17.95  | | MAPP       | 17.25 | 15.50 |  16.75  | | Palo Verde | 29.50 | 25.50 |  26.90  | | Mid C      | 20.00 | 18.50 |  19.25  | | COB        | 21.50 | 19.75 |  20.55  | | 4 Corners  | 27.00 | 26.00 |  26.50  | | Mead       | 28.50 | 26.00 |  27.10  | | NP 15      | 27.50 | 23.00 |  24.30  | | SP 15      | 27.50 | 23.50 |  25.05  | ----------------------------------------------                                              NESA                           National Energy Services Association                                                                                Contact us at 713/856-6525                                      -------------------------------------------------------- Power Generation Sales Increase your sales of power generation equipment. Attend Gas Technology Institute's Advanced Natural Gas Power Generation Workshop for natural gas sales/marketing professionals, October 29-November 2, in downtown Chicago. To register online, go to www.gastechnology.org  and click on Training & Education. Or call (847) 768-0783, or HTML Users CLICK HERE  and text users please go to ------------------------------------------------------- Today's Power Bulletins * Jim Walter Resources Says 13 Dead in Alabama Mine Blast * FERC ALJ Says Pacific Northwest Municipal Utilities and Wholesale Power Buyers Not Entitled to Any Refunds for Sharp Jump in Wholesale Electricity Prices Earlier this Year * Brazil Nuclear Plant Accident Discovered by Media * S&P Assigns 'A-' Debt Rating to TECO Energy's $200 Million Senior Unsecured Notes * Federal Reserve to Reduce Interest Rates for 9th Time this Year When It Meets Next Week * Pepco Restores Power to Thousands After Maryland Tornado Wreaks Havoc * Calpine Breaks Ground on 550 MW Columbia Energy Center in Calhoun County, SC * Hybrid Electric Vehicle Battery Market Charged for Rapid Growth Reports New Study * PNM and Sempra Energy Join Industry-Wide Scholarship Fund for Children Of Attack Victims * ANP Marketing Company Licenses Allegro Applications ------------------------------------------------------- TransCanada Says It Is Not Target     TransCanada Pipelines says it is unlikely that Duke will launch a take-over bid for it after buying Westcoast for $8.5 billion last week. TransCanada contends that it is worth almost 3 times as much as Westcoast, and due to its size, could command a premium. With the Westcoast acquisition, Duke will own stakes in pipelines delivering about 30% of the US natural gas imported from Canada. TransCanada has more than 23,000 miles of pipelines transporting Western Canadian volumes to Ontario and the Northeast. Pipelines are considered to be key assets because it has become more difficult gain regulatory approval and the expense and time associated with their constru -------------------------------------------------------- Today's Gas Bulletins * New FERC Chairman Pat Wood to Run 1st Hearing as Head of Commission Today * Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee Focuses on Securing Nation's Energy Infrastructure * TradeSpark  Resumes Normal Electronic Trading of All Energy Commodities * TransCanada Says It Is Not Takeover Target * Canadian Rigs Drilling Down 13 in Past Week * Federal Court Dismisses Southern Union Claims for Lost Profits Against Southwest Gas; Summary Judgment Ruling Favors ONEOK * New Stuart Energy President & CEO Outlines Mission to Create, Develop and Market Hydrogen Solutions Throughout World * Williams Says Firm Transportation Rates to Drop Up to 36.5% for All Original Shippers on Kern River Effective October 1st -------------------------------------------------------- Energy Sponsor Become the Official Sponsor of the Enerfax Publications.  This unique opportunity is limited to one special company or organization.  For more information please write  sponsor@enerfax.com  This advertisement will be viewed over  5 million times during the year. It will be seen on our web and in the 20,000 emails sent out each business day.  A 3"x 4.5" ad space or banner on the web which includes 15 lines in the text versio, begins at $1000 for the entire month. Write  Advertise@enerfax.com  ------------------------------------------------------- SUNGARDï¿½ Solutions for Success in Energy Trading Epsilon and Panorama Energy Risk and complexity are inevitable components of every trading transaction within today's volatile energy market.  Having the right tools to manage and control those risks has become a determining success factor.  SunGard provides those tools with Epsilon and Panorama Energy - comprehensive solutions designed to create measurable competitive advantages for energy trading organizations and utility companies worldwide. To receive more information or a free demonstration, we invite you to contact us at 713-266-7771 or visit our web site at  -------------------------------------------------------- Devon, Mitchell Deal Questionable    The recent drop in Devon Energy's share price could place an obstacle in the path of its planned acquisition of Mitchell Energy. Last month, Devon agreed to acquire Mitchell for $31 per share in cash and 0.585 of its own shares for each Mitchell share, in a deal then valued at about $3.1 billion. The companies agreed that the deal should be tax-free for Mitchell stockholders. But, to qualify for tax-free status, the cash component cannot exceed 60% of the total offer. Yesterday, Devon's stock fell $0.17 to $32.93 per share, down from about $50 just before the Mitchell deal was struck. Mitchell's shares were also down yesterday, dipping $1.88 to $47.07, while Devon's offer for Mitchell was worth $50.26 per share, with the cash component now making up about 62% of the value. Both companies remain committed to the deal, but realize that it could face problems unless Devon's stock price increases by the 4th quarter when the deal is expected to close.  -------------------------------------------------------- Ziff Energy Group presents the  North American Gas Strategies Conference November 5 - 7  Calgary  The Future of Western Canada's Gas Supply: Stretched to the Limit? & e-Solutions: Next Generation Concepts for the E&P Sector Join us for frank, in-depth discussion on the future of the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin. Top Canadian & U.S. gas industry leaders will address urgent concerns.  Day 1:  Gas Outlook 2002: Supply, Pipelines, Markets, Price Outlook Day 2:  Western Canadian Gas Supply Featuring speakers such as: Ed Weber, Chairman, Reliability Assessment,  ERC Don Albon, Senior Vice President - Aquila Capital & Trade Ken Vollman, Chairman & CEO - National Energy Board Terry Schmidtke, GM Great Plains Business Unit - PanCanadian  Ted Bogle, VP Exploration - Talisman Energy Ken Sinclair, Chair - Coalbed Methane Association Graeme Phipps, VP Exploration - Petro-Canada Nellie Cournoyea, Chair & CEO - Inuvialuit Regional Corporation Executive Roundtable - 6 CEO's from Canada & US discuss the outlook for the Western Canadian Basin.  Including: Anadarko, Burlington Resources,  Apache Canada, PanCanadian, Compton and Conoco. Plus Day 3:  eSolutions:  Next Generation Concepts for the E&P Sector Register for One, Two or Three Days   or call 1-800-853-6252 -------------------------------------------------------- United Kingdom Offshore Wind Farm Development    The Crown Estate, landowner of the UK territorial seabed, is granting approval for 13 offshore wind farm sites to interested private companies. Bidding for licenses to build on the sites started in May and has had a large response, as most energy companies are trying to produce environmentally friendly power in response to tighter environmental controls worldwide. If all the offshore wind sites are developed as planned, the power generated over the next 4 years would be between 1,000 MW and 1,500 MW. Each offshore site will be 3 - 5 miles offshore and is required to have at least thirty 2  - 3 MW wind turbine generators with 200 to 250-foot tall steel towers.  --------------------------------------------------------  ZIFF ENERGY GROUP:  NEW   INDEPENDENT  STUDY     NORTHERN  GAS PROSPECTS  and  IMPACTS Ziff Energy Fundamental Analysis  +  Scenario Analysis utilizing GPCMï¿½ Model This 160+ page comprehensive multi-client assessment focuses on the critical issues and challenges facing the commercialization of the Northern gas in Alaska and the Canadian Mackensie Delta area and the impact of this gas on the North American natural gas market. ï¿½    Timing and volume scenarios for these new deliveries ï¿½    Impact on North American Markets - target markets  ï¿½    Pipeline Infrastructure: Flow Dynamics - Capacity Needs ï¿½    Critical Regulatory Issues ï¿½    Impact on key North America Gas Prices. These assessments will answer your questions and provide our independent unbiased insight and commentary on this "mega" natural gas supply.  To subscribe or for more information, please call toll free Ron Ford in Houston at 1-888-736-5780 e-mail to: rford@ziffenergy. or Bill Gwozd in Calgary at 1-800-853-6252 e-mail to: bgwozd@ziffenergy.com   Visit our website at  http:// to preview our marketing brochure. ---------------------------------------------------------- FERC ALJ Recommends Denial of Pacific Northwest  Power Refunds        A FERC Administrative Law Judge has recommended that the full commission deny the $1.9 billion in refunds requested by Pacific Northwest municipal utilities and wholesale electricity buyers for power purchases last spring when prices jumped sharply higher. The ALJ pointed out that the Pacific Northwest market is very different than the California market, because California state law prohibited utilities from passing higher power costs on to customers, while the market worked properly in the Pacific Northwest when supplies were tight. The Northwestern states rely heavily on hydroelectric power and suffered a draught situation which coincided with a shortage of electricity supplies throughout the Western US. The ALJ contends that the Pacific Northwest experienced a sudden and acute drop in available supply, and in that situation prices rose dramatically, as should be normal. Of the total $1.9 billion sought in refunds, California has laid claim to almost $1.5 billion.   --------------------------------------------------------                    YOU DESIGNED IT. WE BUILT IT. ZaiNet GasMaster II Today's most comprehensive gas trading, scheduling and accounting system. CAMINUS Your Competitive Edge in Energy Call us at (212)515-3700 or visit us at the website  ------------------------------------------------------- Governor Expected to Order Lawmakers Back      In attempt to prevent the bankruptcy of Southern California Edison, the governor is poised to order lawmakers to return to Sacramento, after they adjourned last week without voting on a rescue plan for the utility. The governor is in the process of developing a proposal and is consulting with state senators and Assembly members to find an acceptable compromise between the two legislative houses. The new plan will probably allow SCE to sell between $2.5 and $2.9 billion in bonds which would be secured by existing charges to about 20% of its biggest commercial consumers. California's Senate has approved a version of the bill, voting for $2.5 billion in bond sales, but secured by the rates of 4,000 of SCE's largest customers. In addition, the state would have the option to purchase the utility's transmission lines at book value. SCE argues that the plan would not prevent its bankruptcy. The Assembly version increased the bond sale to $2.9 billion and spread the costs over 136,000 business customers. In addition, the lawmakers gave the state the option to buy the transmission grid at double the book value or at market value, whichever is less, and a provision to reinstate the retail power market. However, when the Senate received the amended bill, it declined to vote on the measure, adjourning for the year instead. The governor is expected to limit the topics under discussion by the legislature when they return, in order to prevent lawmakers from discussing bills unrelated to the rescue plan. ----------------------------------------------------- Energy Jobs  Whether you are actively looking for a job, or want to explore opportunities in the energy industry, go to www.energyjobs.com. At Energyjobs.com, your job hunting is made easy, convenient and confidential. Conduct your own search or participate in our Job Match feature, which accurately matches  your qualifications, experience and requirements to any new job that appears, and then sends you an e-mail notification! Best of all, membership > is FREE. To register and become a member, simply go to  or log on to   and select "Become a Member" under the Jobseeker header. --------------------------------------------------------                 Progas Storage Services, Inc Was recently organized to offer specialized natural gas storage services to marketers and end users servicing the upper Midwest and Northeast market regions along the major transmission systems in Indiana, Illinois, Kentucky, and Michigan. PGSMI has 10 bcf of potential working capacity which will offer service along TXG, ANR, Midwestern, and is currently evaluating for purchase another 21 bcf of potential working capacity which can be serviced by these and other systems in the region. PGSMI also explores for natural gas in the Gulf Coast region through a wholly owned subsidiary. Progas intends to go public through a route of private industry offerings, and an IPO or registration. For more information on services or the company mail to: gastorage@aol.com or for AOL mail to gastorage@aol.com ; web site currently under construction at: . The company's executive and administrative office is located in Abilene, Texas with storage operations in Owensboro, KY and exploration operations in Corpus Christi, TX. Progas Storage Services, Inc   8610 S. Hwy 277 Abilene, TX 79606 Ph 915 698 3699 Fx 915 698 2859 -------------------------------------------------------- Pure Text or Lotus & AOL Readers-subscribe by going to: HTML,Outlook Email, Readers-subscribe by writing -------------------------------------------------------- FINANCIAL SUMMARY The TSE 300 gained 40.04 points to 6702.01 The CRB Index decreased 1.53 points to 189.10 The US Dollar declined 0.71 points to 112.13 The Dow rose 56.11 points to 8659.97 The S&P 500 climbed 8.82 points to 1012.27 The Nasdaq was up 2.24 points to 1501.64 September NYMEX Crude Oil fell 0.20 to 21.80 Canadian-US Exchange rose .0020 to 1.5712 ------------------------------------------------------- Please welcome our advertisers by visiting these websites. http://risk.sungard.com/energy                    Enerfax Daily is North America's gas and power information source. it is sent to you free of charge. 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