Districts 1, 2, and 9 were the only close races, and those districts flipping from one party to the other changes the Declination substantially, from δ ≈ −0.228 to δ ≈ 0.515. One might ask whether this could possibly happen in practice, to which we answer a definitive yes. Indeed, the **data** for Election 1 in Table 4 is nearly precisely the outcome of the 2012 US Congressional election in Arizona, where the percentages are the Democratic party's vote share. (We say nearly precisely because some districts had more than two parties receiving a substantial number of votes). If Districts 1, 2, and 9 had flipped, Election 2 could have easily been an outcome. Clearly the Declination is still subject to volatility, and in at least one state the kind of volatility that the Declination is susceptible to actually does occur.