Kadima Party | Online Israel Studies Bulletin Board Skip to primary content Skip to secondary content Online Israel Studies Bulletin Board New Publications, Bibliography, Conferences, Jobs, Scholarships, etc. Search Main menu Home About Contact Editor Submit a Posting to OISBB! Tag Archives: Kadima Party New Article: Riambau, Bandwagon or Strategic Voting in Israel? Posted on July 23, 2015 by Aryeh Reply Riambau, Guillem. “Bandwagon or Strategic Voting in Israel? Note on Bargsted and Kedar 2009.” Electoral Studies 37 (2015): 63-72. URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2014.10.007 Abstract The goal of this note is to re-interpret and further analyze the results of Bargsted and Kedar (2009). BK use pre-electoral survey data for the 2006 Israeli legislative elections, and argue that a non-negligible set of individuals cast their vote in order to affect government formation and policy outcomes. Strategic considerations affect the likelihood of voting for Kadima, Labour or Likud, but not smaller parties. I contend that (i) what they are capturing is indistinguishable from a bandwagon effect, and (ii) their findings rely on the particular specification of the proxy for ‘expected coalition’ they use. I carry out the same exercise as BK using an extra set of controls for expected number of seats and an alternative specification of the proxy for expected coalition. My results show two interesting patterns. First, expected seats seem to be more important in voters’ strategies than coalition considerations. Second, there seems to be a compensatory strategic behavior among voters, as opposed to BK: increased likelihood of a rightist (leftist) coalition induces voters to vote less for rightist (leftist) parties. Finally, this note shows that model performance is significantly increased when using each of these two new variables, independently or together. These findings support the inclusion of such variables in all models which empirically assess strategic coalition voting behavior. Posted in Bibliography, Journal article | Tagged 2006 Elections, Coalition and government formation, Elections, Israel: Politics, Israeli Left Wing, Israeli Right Wing, Kadima Party, Labour Party, Likkud Party, Voters' Strategy, Voting Patterns | Leave a reply Cite: Diskin, The Likud: The Struggle for the Centre Posted on February 14, 2010 by Aryeh Reply ————– Diskin, Abraham. "The Likud: The Struggle for the Centre ." Israel Affairs 16,1 (2010): 51-68. ———- Abstract On 26 October 2008 President Shimon Peres called for new elections. The Knesset was dissolved on 11 November. Three candidates claimed that they were in the running for prime minister: Livni, Netanyahu and Barak. The election campaign would focus more on individuals than on parties. The security issue took high priority in the elections. A major issue throughout the campaign was the position of the leading parties on the establishment of two states for two peoples as part of a peace agreement. The internet became a major tool in the campaign. On the morning of 27 December, the IDF began a war in the Gaza Strip, which Israel called Operation Cast Lead. The major parties agreed to suspend their campaigns until the end of the war. Kadima’s victory with 28 seats came as a surprise. The Likud came second with 27 seats, having lost voters at the end of the campaign to the third largest party Yisrael Beiteinu, which ended up with 15 Knesset seats. Looking back at the election campaign one can best define it as a broken and shortened one. ———— URL: http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/content~content=a918950933~db=all ——— Keywords: Downs; elections; electoral campaign; coalition formation theory; Kadima; Likud Posted in Bibliography, Journal article | Tagged Elections, Elections 2009, Israel Beiteinu Party, Israel: Politics, Israeli Right Wing, Kadima Party, Likkud Party | Leave a reply Cite: Godberg, Kadima Goes Back: The Limited Power of Vagueness Posted on February 13, 2010 by Aryeh Reply ————– Goldberg, Giora. "Kadima Goes Back: The Limited Power of Vagueness." Israel Affairs 16,1 (2010): 31-50. ———- Abstract On 26 October 2008 President Shimon Peres called for new elections. The Knesset was dissolved on 11 November. Three candidates claimed that they were in the running for prime minister: Livni, Netanyahu and Barak. The election campaign would focus more on individuals than on parties. The security issue took high priority in the elections. A major issue throughout the campaign was the position of the leading parties on the establishment of two states for two peoples as part of a peace agreement. The internet became a major tool in the campaign. On the morning of 27 December, the IDF began a war in the Gaza Strip, which Israel called Operation Cast Lead. The major parties agreed to suspend their campaigns until the end of the war. Kadima’s victory with 28 seats came as a surprise. The Likud came second with 27 seats, having lost voters at the end of the campaign to the third largest party Yisrael Beiteinu, which ended up with 15 Knesset seats. Looking back at the election campaign one can best define it as a broken and shortened one. ———— URL: http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/content~content=a918950907~db=all ——— Keywords: Kadima; Likud; Labour; centre party; neo-centrism; party identification; middle party; dealignment; realignment Posted in Bibliography, Journal article | Tagged Elections, Elections 2009, Israel: Politics, Kadima Party, Labour Party, Likkud Party, Tzipi Livni | Leave a reply Cite: Gerstenfeld, A Political History of the 2009 Campaign Posted on February 13, 2010 by Aryeh Reply ————– Gerstenfeld, Manfred. "The Run-Up to the Elections: A Political History of the 2009 Campaign." Israel Affairs 16,1 (2010): 14-30. ———- Abstract On 26 October 2008 President Shimon Peres called for new elections. The Knesset was dissolved on 11 November. Three candidates claimed that they were in the running for prime minister: Livni, Netanyahu and Barak. The election campaign would focus more on individuals than on parties. The security issue took high priority in the elections. A major issue throughout the campaign was the position of the leading parties on the establishment of two states for two peoples as part of a peace agreement. The internet became a major tool in the campaign. On the morning of 27 December, the IDF began a war in the Gaza Strip, which Israel called Operation Cast Lead. The major parties agreed to suspend their campaigns until the end of the war. Kadima’s victory with 28 seats came as a surprise. The Likud came second with 27 seats, having lost voters at the end of the campaign to the third largest party Yisrael Beiteinu, which ended up with 15 Knesset seats. Looking back at the election campaign one can best define it as a broken and shortened one. ———— URL: http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/content~content=a918950969~db=all ——— Keywords: Election campaign; Operation Cast Lead; Israel: Politics, Labour Party, Kadima Party, Israel Beiteinu Party, Tzipi Livni, Ehud Barak, Binyamin Netanyahu, Avigdor Lieberman, Moshe Feiglin, Likkud Party, Elections, Elections 2009, Cast Lead / עופרת יצוקה Posted in Bibliography, Journal article | Tagged 2008-2009 Gaza War, Avigdor Lieberman, Benjamin Netanyahu, Cast Lead, Ehud Barak, Elections, Elections 2009, Israel Beiteinu Party, Israel: Politics, Kadima Party, Labour Party, Likkud Party, Moshe Feiglin, Tzipi Livni, עופרת יצוקה | Leave a reply Cite: Sandler and Frisch, 2009 Knesset Elections from a Foreign Affairs Perspective Posted on February 13, 2010 by Aryeh Reply ————– Sandler, Shmuel and Hillel Frisch. "The 2009 Knesset Elections: A Foreign Affairs Perspective." Israel Affairs 16,1 (2010): 1-13. ———- Abstract Israel’s general elections in 2009 yielded three major outcomes: 1) the replacement of the bi-polar system that characterized Israeli electoral politics between 1977 and 2003 in which most parties are aligned to one of the two principal parties by a more flexible multi-party system. 2) The nearly total collapse of the Labor party and the Zionist left; for the first time since the 1920s, the Labor party was no longer a major political player, and 3). Kadima’s electoral relative success, despite scandals haunting it since 2006. Kadima has basically superseded Labor without necessarily adopting its ideology. We argue (contrary to Henry Kissinger’s quip that Israel never had a foreign policy but only a domestic policy) that primarily external factors and processes – chiefly the failure of the Oslo process in the 1990s – yielded these three outcomes. ———— URL: http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/content~content=a918952125~db=all ——— Keywords: Israeli elections; foreign affairs; Kadima; Labour; Likud; bi-polar party system; multi-polar party system Posted in Bibliography, Journal article | Tagged Elections, Elections 2009, Israel: Political System, Kadima Party, Labour Party, Likkud Party | Leave a reply ToC: Israel Affairs 16, 1 (2010) Posted on January 30, 2010 by Aryeh Reply [Items will be posted separated, time permitting) Israel Affairs: Volume 16 Issue 1 is now available online at informaworldTM. Special Issue: Israel’s 2009 Election Original Articles The 2009 Knesset elections: a foreign affairs perspective Pages 1 – 13 Authors: Shmuel Sandler; Hillel Frisch The run-up to the elections: a political history of the 2009 campaign Pages 14 – 30 Author: Manfred Gerstenfeld Kadima goes back: the limited power of vagueness Pages 31 – 50 Author: Giora Goldberg The Likud: the struggle for the centre Pages 51 – 68 Author: Abraham Diskin The decline of the Labour party Pages 69 – 81 Author: Efraim Inbar Stability in the Haredi camp and upheavals in nationalist Zionism: an analysis of the religious parties in the 2009 elections Pages 82 – 104 Authors: Asher Cohen; Bernard Susser The Israel Beiteinu (Israel Our Home) party between the mainstream and ‘Russian’ community politics Pages 105 – 123 Author: Vladimir (Ze’ev) Khanin Arab Israeli citizens in the 2009 elections: between Israeli citizenship and Palestinian Arab identity Pages 124 – 141 Author: David Koren Issues Peace and security in the 2009 election Pages 142 – 164 Author: Jonathan Rynhold Corruption again, and again not decisive Pages 165 – 178 Author: Ira Sharkansky Israel’s religious vote in comparative perspective: an Africanist analysis Pages 179 – 200 Author: William F. S. Miles ——— Keywords: Israel: Political System, Israel: Politics, Elections, Elections 2009, Peace: Israeli Peace Movements, Religious-Secular Divide, Israel: Religion, Israeli Palestinians, Ultra-Orthodox / Haredi, Zionism, Russian Immigrants, Labour Party, Likkud Party, Kadima Party, Ehud Barak, Binyamin Netanyahu, Avigdor Lieberman Posted in Bibliography, Journal ToC | Tagged Elections, Elections 2009, FSU Immigrants, Israel Beiteinu Party, Israel: Political System, Israel: Politics, Israel: Religion, Israeli Palestinians, Kadima Party, Labour Party, Likkud Party, Peace: Israeli Peace Movements, Religious-Secular Divide, Ultra-Orthodox / Haredi, Zionism | Leave a reply Email Subscription Enter your email address to follow this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. Email Address: Sign me up! 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