What are the must-watch games this week? With the help of ESPN’s Matchup Quality metric, which uses ESPN's Football Power Index to rank games (on a 0-100 scale) based on how good each team is and how close the game is expected to be, we determined the best and worst games of Week 2.

1. Packers at Vikings

Sunday (8:30 p.m. ET, NBC)

Matchup quality: 80 out of 100

FPI win projection: Vikings, 52 percent

ESPN Stats & Information

Early divisional games impact the playoff race more than many might expect. The Packers currently have a 63 percent chance to win the NFC North, according to FPI, but with a win, their chances will rise to approximately 78 percent. Facing the Vikings and their stout defense (No. 2 in efficiency in Week 1) on the road is expected to be the Packers’ toughest challenge this season.

2. Bengals at Steelers

Sunday (1 p.m. ET, CBS)

Matchup quality: 72 out of 100

FPI win projection: Steelers, 68 percent

Given the recent history of the Bengals-Steelers rivalry, this game might get downright ugly, but ultimately FPI favors the Steelers’ explosive offense at home. Like with the Packers-Vikings game, this game has major divisional implications. If the Steelers win, they would have approximately a 79 percent chance to win the division, but if they lose, it will be a wide-open race.

3. Colts at Broncos

Sunday (4:25 p.m. ET, CBS)

Matchup quality: 63 out of 100

FPI win projection: Broncos, 65 percent

Andrew Luck was superb in the Colts’ Week 1 loss to the Lions, but his defense (32nd in efficiency) was another story. A trip to Mile High against a defense with extra rest only adds to the difficulty of this game for Indianapolis. The Colts handed the Broncos their first loss last season, but FPI expects Denver to have the clear edge at home in 2016.

4. Chiefs at Texans

Sunday (1 p.m. ET, CBS)

Matchup quality: 61 out of 100

FPI win projection: Texans, 55 percent

Bill O’Brien might still be having nightmares about his last meeting with Kansas City: a 30-0 home loss in last season’s wild-card round. The 2016 Texans are an entirely different team, though, with Brock Osweiler, Lamar Miller and Will Fuller all new to the team and looking to build off solid debuts in Week 1.

5. Buccaneers at Cardinals

Sunday (4:05 p.m. ET, Fox)

Matchup quality: 54 out of 100

FPI win projection: Cardinals, 75 percent

FPI isn’t quite buying the narrative of the Buccaneers’ rise and the Cardinals’ demise. Despite a loss, Arizona ranks in the FPI top five, while Tampa Bay rose five spots to 20th. The Cardinals did not lose back-to-back games last season, and FPI projects there is about a three-in-four chance they won’t lose another one at home Sunday.

6. 49ers at Panthers

Sunday (1 p.m. ET, Fox)

Matchup quality: 52 out of 100

FPI win projection: Panthers, 80 percent

Are the 49ers that good or were the Rams simply that bad Monday night? We’ll find out when San Francisco makes a cross-country trip to face the Panthers, who are looking to bounce back from a heartbreaking loss in Denver.

7. Dolphins at Patriots

Sunday (1 p.m. ET, CBS)

Matchup quality: 50 out of 100

FPI win projection: Patriots, 67 percent

If there’s one thing we learned in Week 1, it’s never to underestimate Bill Belichick. As an eight-point underdog, the Patriots went into Arizona and pulled off a victory, and now the Patriots have a 26 percent chance to go 4-0 in Tom Brady’s absence.

8. Jets at Bills

Thursday (8:25 p.m. ET, CBS)

Matchup quality: 50 out of 100

FPI win projection: Bills, 63 percent

The Bills have won five straight against Rex Ryan’s former team, including a Week 17 victory that crushed the Jets’ playoff hopes last season. Neither team can afford to start 0-2, so expect both to show urgency Thursday night.

9. Saints at Giants

Sunday (1 p.m. ET, Fox)

Matchup quality: 48 out of 100

FPI win projection: Giants, 67 percent

The Saints and Giants combined for 101 points and more than 1,000 yards in their Week 8 meeting last season. The Giants made moves to improve their defense this offseason, but, after Week 1, it appears to be the same old story for the Saints’ historically bad defense. Can Drew Brees replicate his performance from last season (505 yards, seven touchdowns) and carry New Orleans to victory?

10. Falcons at Raiders

Sunday (4:25 p.m. ET, CBS)

Matchup quality: 47 out of 100

FPI win projection: Raiders, 71 percent

Jack Del Rio took a risk and it paid off in the Raiders’ victory over the Saints. As the third-largest FPI favorite in Week 2, Del Rio might not need many gutsy calls Sunday.

11. Jaguars at Chargers

Sunday (4:25 p.m. ET, CBS)

Matchup quality: 42 out of 100

FPI win projection: Chargers, 64 percent

In blowing a 17-point fourth-quarter lead and losing their top receiver to injury, the Chargers might have had the worst Week 1 of anyone. The good news is they get to come home to San Diego and take on a Jaguars team that struggled to contain Aaron Rodgers in Week 1.

12. Seahawks at Rams

Sunday (4:05 p.m. ET, Fox)

Matchup quality: 38 out of 100

FPI win projection: Seahawks, 63 percent

The Rams’ first home game in Los Angeles lost some of its luster in an embarrassing 28-0 thrashing on Monday Night Football. Still, the Rams have won three of the past four against the Seahawks and have held Russell Wilson to a below-average QBR in their last three meetings.

13. Eagles at Bears

Monday (8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN)

Matchup quality: 35 out of 100

FPI win projection: Bears, 59 percent

Carson Wentz was efficient in his debut, but let’s not overreact to one game against the Cleveland Browns. We’ll find out how he performs under the bright lights of Monday Night Football against a John Fox defense that should have an improved front seven from last season.

14. Titans at Lions

Sunday (1 p.m. ET, CBS)

Matchup quality: 34 out of 100

FPI win projection: Lions, 68 percent

According to ESPN’s efficiency ratings, the Lions had the best offense in Week 1 and the Titans the second-worst. ESPN Insider Mike Sando is buying the Lions as a sleeper, but these are the types of games they must win to make a push for the playoffs.

15. Cowboys at Redskins

Sunday (1 p.m. ET, Fox)

Matchup quality: 28 out of 100

FPI win projection: Redskins, 63 percent

The Cowboys can’t afford to drop a second divisional game, and the Redskins must prove that Monday night’s loss was an anomaly. With the Eagles and Giants each winning in Week 1, the loser of this game will be sitting alone in fourth place in the NFC East.

16. Ravens at Browns

Sunday (1 p.m. ET, CBS)

Matchup quality: 13 out of 100

FPI win projection: Ravens, 70 percent

Another week, another Browns starting QB. Josh McCown has had success against the Ravens (2-1, 72.3 QBR) in his career, but the rest of the Browns have a long way to go to catch up with the rest of the AFC North.