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On Thursday, House leaders elected to postpone the vote on the American Health Care Act, a sweeping bill that would overhaul the health care system, effectively repealing and replacing Obamacare. Congressional Republicans remain under intense pressure to pass the bill, and a vote is expected as early as Friday morning.

Despite the pressure from Republican leadership, pockets of the Republican caucus have stated their opposition to the bill, in many cases because they think it does not go far enough in repealing Obamacare.

Will the bill pass the House?

Estimates vary about precisely how close the vote will be. Several news organizations, including The New York Times, are performing an unofficial “whip count,” repeatedly asking members of Congress how they plan to vote and why. The numbers above represent the aggregated answers reported by seven news outlets, including The Times.

Negotiations continued on Thursday, with Mark Meadows, chairman of the House Freedom Caucus, telling reporters he remained hopeful of a deal. At the moment, many of the “no” votes here represent members of this group; if they do end up supporting the bill, it will almost certainly pass.

Below, the Republican lawmakers each organization is counting as a “no” vote. (The Times has a detailed explanation of every Republican’s stated position here.)

Potential Republican votes against the AHCA, counted by each news organization NYT CBS CNN NBC NPR The Hill Hill Wapo

The differences among published counts reflect the fluidity and uncertainty of the situation, as well as varying levels of strictness about what constitutes a “no” vote. Democrats have said they will unite against the bill, so Speaker Paul Ryan can afford only 22 defections by Republicans*.

Intense negotiations are expected to continue – what our colleagues Julie Hirschfeld Davis, Thomas Kaplan and Robert Pear described as “a combination of cajoling, browbeating and horse-trading that recalled Democrats’ efforts to pass the law in 2010.” Republican lawmakers have already made several revisions to the bill, many devised to appeal to the party’s right flank.