What's 4 times more likely than 80%? There's an 80% probability of a certain outcome, we get some new information that means that outcome is 4 times more likely to occur.
What's the new probability as a percentage and how do you work it out?
As I remember it the question was posed like so:

Suppose there's a student, Tom W, if you were asked to estimate the
  probability that Tom is a student of computer science. Without any
  other information you would only have the base rate to go by
  (percentage of total students enrolled on computer science) suppose
  this base rate is 80%.
Then you are given a description of Tom W's personality, suppose from
  this description you estimate that Tom W is 4 times more likely to be
  enrolled on computer science.
What is the new probability that Tom W is enrolled on computer
  science.

The answer given in the book is 94.1% but I couldn't work out how to calculate it!
Another example in the book is with a base rate of 3%, 4 times more likely than this is stated as 11%.

The only way I see to make sense of this is to divide by $4$ the probability it does not happen. Here we obtain $20/4=5$, so the new probability is $95\%$.
