What is the probability of the box? Your box of cereal may be a contest winner! It's rattling, which 100% of winning boxes do. Of course 1% of all boxes rattle and only one box in a million is a winner. What is the probability that your box is a winner? 

The correct solution would be $0.0001$ ($1/10000$), wouldn't it? It's late, but it seems to me that Drew Christianson miscalculated and dedocu mixed $p(A)$ and $p(B)$ - correct me please, if I'm wrong.
