TITLE: Creating Unbiased Public Benchmark Datasets with Data Leakage Prevention for Predictive Process Monitoring 

ABSTRACT: Advances in AI, and especially machine learning, are increasingly drawing
research interest and efforts towards predictive process monitoring, the
subfield of process mining (PM) that concerns predicting next events, process
outcomes and remaining execution times. Unfortunately, researchers use a
variety of datasets and ways to split them into training and test sets. The
documentation of these preprocessing steps is not always complete.
Consequently, research results are hard or even impossible to reproduce and to
compare between papers. At times, the use of non-public domain knowledge
further hampers the fair competition of ideas. Often the training and test sets
are not completely separated, a data leakage problem particular to predictive
process monitoring. Moreover, test sets usually suffer from bias in terms of
both the mix of case durations and the number of running cases. These obstacles
pose a challenge to the field's progress. The contribution of this paper is to
identify and demonstrate the importance of these obstacles and to propose
preprocessing steps to arrive at unbiased benchmark datasets in a principled
way, thus creating representative test sets without data leakage with the aim
of levelling the playing field, promoting open science and contributing to more
rapid progress in predictive process monitoring.
Advances in AI, and especially machine learning, are increasingly drawing
research interest and efforts towards predictive process monitoring, the
subfield of process mining (PM) that concerns predicting next events, process
outcomes and remaining execution times. Unfortunately, researchers use a
variety of datasets and ways to split them into training and test sets. The
documentation of these preprocessing steps is not always complete.
Consequently, research results are hard or even impossible to reproduce and to
compare between papers. At times, the use of non-public domain knowledge
further hampers the fair competition of ideas. Often the training and test sets
are not completely separated, a data leakage problem particular to predictive
process monitoring. Moreover, test sets usually suffer from bias in terms of
both the mix of case durations and the number of running cases. These obstacles
pose a challenge to the field's progress. The contribution of this paper is to
identify and demonstrate the importance of these obstacles and to propose
preprocessing steps to arrive at unbiased benchmark datasets in a principled
way, thus creating representative test sets without data leakage with the aim
of levelling the playing field, promoting open science and contributing to more
rapid progress in predictive process monitoring.
Creating Unbiased Public Benchmark Datasets with Data Leakage Prevention for Predictive Process Monitoring
http://arxiv.org/abs/2107.01905v1