TITLE: Evaluating Bayes Error Estimators on Real-World Datasets with FeeBee 

ABSTRACT: The Bayes error rate (BER) is a fundamental concept in machine learning that
quantifies the best possible accuracy any classifier can achieve on a fixed
probability distribution. Despite years of research on building estimators of
lower and upper bounds for the BER, these were usually compared only on
synthetic datasets with known probability distributions, leaving two key
questions unanswered: (1) How well do they perform on real-world datasets?, and
(2) How practical are they? Answering these is not trivial. Apart from the
obvious challenge of an unknown BER for real-world datasets, there are two main
aspects any BER estimator needs to overcome in order to be applicable in
real-world settings: (1) the computational and sample complexity, and (2) the
sensitivity and selection of hyper-parameters. In this work, we propose FeeBee,
the first principled framework for analyzing and comparing BER estimators on
any modern real-world dataset with unknown probability distribution. We achieve
this by injecting a controlled amount of label noise and performing multiple
evaluations on a series of different noise levels, supported by a theoretical
result which allows drawing conclusions about the evolution of the BER. By
implementing and analyzing 7 multi-class BER estimators on 6 commonly used
datasets of the computer vision and NLP domains, FeeBee allows a thorough study
of these estimators, clearly identifying strengths and weaknesses of each,
whilst being easily deployable on any future BER estimator.
The Bayes error rate (BER) is a fundamental concept in machine learning that
quantifies the best possible accuracy any classifier can achieve on a fixed
probability distribution. Despite years of research on building estimators of
lower and upper bounds for the BER, these were usually compared only on
synthetic datasets with known probability distributions, leaving two key
questions unanswered: (1) How well do they perform on real-world datasets?, and
(2) How practical are they? Answering these is not trivial. Apart from the
obvious challenge of an unknown BER for real-world datasets, there are two main
aspects any BER estimator needs to overcome in order to be applicable in
real-world settings: (1) the computational and sample complexity, and (2) the
sensitivity and selection of hyper-parameters. In this work, we propose FeeBee,
the first principled framework for analyzing and comparing BER estimators on
any modern real-world dataset with unknown probability distribution. We achieve
this by injecting a controlled amount of label noise and performing multiple
evaluations on a series of different noise levels, supported by a theoretical
result which allows drawing conclusions about the evolution of the BER. By
implementing and analyzing 7 multi-class BER estimators on 6 commonly used
datasets of the computer vision and NLP domains, FeeBee allows a thorough study
of these estimators, clearly identifying strengths and weaknesses of each,
whilst being easily deployable on any future BER estimator.
Evaluating Bayes Error Estimators on Real-World Datasets with FeeBee
http://arxiv.org/abs/2108.13034v2