Hierarchical Bayesian Detection Algorithm for Early-Universe Relics in
  the Cosmic Microwave Background
  A number of theoretically well-motivated additions to the standard
cosmological model predict weak signatures in the form of spatially localized
sources embedded in the cosmic microwave background (CMB) fluctuations. We
present a hierarchical Bayesian statistical formalism and a complete data
analysis pipeline for testing such scenarios. We derive an accurate
approximation to the full posterior probability distribution over the
parameters defining any theory that predicts sources embedded in the CMB, and
perform an extensive set of tests in order to establish its validity. The
approximation is implemented using a modular algorithm, designed to avoid a
posteriori selection effects, which combines a candidate-detection stage with a
full Bayesian model-selection and parameter-estimation analysis. We apply this
pipeline to theories that predict cosmic textures and bubble collisions,
extending previous analyses by using: (1) adaptive-resolution techniques,
allowing us to probe features of arbitrary size, and (2) optimal filters, which
provide the best possible sensitivity for detecting candidate signatures. We
conclude that the WMAP 7-year data do not favor the addition of either cosmic
textures or bubble collisions to the standard cosmological model, and place
robust constraints on the predicted number of such sources. The expected
numbers of bubble collisions and cosmic textures on the CMB sky within our
detection thresholds are constrained to be fewer than 4.0 and 5.2 at 95%
confidence, respectively.
