Core-collapse supernovae missed by optical surveys
  We estimate the fraction of core-collapse supernovae (CCSNe) that remain
undetected by optical SN searches due to obscuration by large amounts of dust
in their host galaxies. This effect is especially important in luminous and
ultraluminous infrared galaxies, which are locally rare but dominate the star
formation at redshifts of z~1-2. We perform a detailed investigation of the SN
activity in the nearby luminous infrared galaxy Arp 299 and estimate that up to
83% of the SNe in Arp 299 and in similar galaxies in the local Universe are
missed by observations at optical wavelengths. For rest-frame optical surveys
we find the fraction of SNe missed due to high dust extinction to increase from
the average local value of ~19% to ~38% at z~1.2 and then stay roughly constant
up to z~2. It is therefore crucial to take into account the effects of
obscuration by dust when determining SN rates at high redshift and when
predicting the number of CCSNe detectable by future high-z surveys such as
LSST, JWST, and Euclid. For a sample of nearby CCSNe (distances 6-15 Mpc)
detected during the last 12 yr, we find a lower limit for the local CCSN rate
of 1.5 +0.4/-0.3 x 10^-4 yr^-1 Mpc^-3, consistent with that expected from the
star formation rate. Even closer, at distances less than ~6 Mpc, we find a
significant increase in the CCSN rate, indicating a local overdensity of star
formation caused by a small number of galaxies that have each hosted multiple
SNe.
