HELP: XID+, The Probabilistic De-blender for Herschel SPIRE maps
  We have developed a new prior-based source extraction tool, XID+, to carry
out photometry in the Herschel SPIRE maps at the positions of known sources.
XID+ is developed using a probabilistic Bayesian framework which provides a
natural framework in which to include prior information, and uses the Bayesian
inference tool, Stan, to obtain the full posterior probability distribution on
flux estimates. In this paper, we discuss the details of XID+ and demonstrate
the basic capabilities and performance by running it on simulated SPIRE maps
resembling the COSMOS field, and comparing to the current prior-based source
extraction tool DESPHOT. We show that not only does XID+ perform better on
metrics such as flux accuracy and flux uncertainty accuracy, we illustrate how
obtaining the posterior probability distribution can help overcome some of the
issues inherent with maximum likelihood based source extraction routines. We
run XID+ on the COSMOS SPIRE maps from HerMES, using a 24 $\mathrm{\mu m}$
catalogue as a prior and show the marginalised SPIRE colour-colour plot and
marginalised contribution to the cosmic infrared background at the SPIRE
wavelengths. XID+ is a core tool arising from the Herschel Extragalactic Legacy
Project (HELP) and we discuss how additional work within HELP providing prior
information on fluxes can and will be utilised. The software is available at
https://github.com/H-E-L-P/XID_plus. We also provide the data product for
COSMOS. We believe this is the first time that the full posterior probability
of galaxy photometry has been provided as a data product.
