Global Fits of the cMSSM and NUHM including the LHC Higgs discovery and
  new XENON100 constraints
  We present global fits of the constrained Minimal Supersymmetric Standard
Model (cMSSM) and the Non-Universal Higgs Model (NUHM), including the most
recent CMS constraint on the Higgs boson mass, 5.8/fb integrated luminosity
null Supersymmetry searches by ATLAS, the new LHCb measurement of the Bs to
mu+mu- branching ratio and the 7-year WMAP dark matter relic abundance
determination. We include the latest dark matter constraints from the XENON100
experiment, marginalising over astrophysical and particle physics
uncertainties. We present Bayesian posterior and profile likelihood maps of the
highest resolution available today, obtained from up to 350M points. We find
that the new constraint on the Higgs boson mass has a dramatic impact, ruling
out large regions of previously favoured cMSSM and NUHM parameter space. In the
cMSSM, light sparticles and predominantly gaugino-like dark matter with a mass
of a few hundred GeV are favoured. The NUHM exhibits a strong preference for
heavier sparticle masses and a Higgsino-like neutralino with a mass of 1 TeV.
The future ton-scale XENON1T direct detection experiment will probe large
portions of the currently favoured cMSSM and NUHM parameter space. The LHC
operating at 14 TeV collision energy will explore the favoured regions in the
cMSSM, while most of the regions favoured in the NUHM will remain inaccessible.
Our best-fit points achieve a satisfactory quality-of-fit, with p-values
ranging from 0.21 to 0.35, so that none of the two models studied can be
presently excluded at any meaningful significance level.
