How Many $e$-Folds Should We Expect from High-Scale Inflation?
  We address the issue of how many $e$-folds we would naturally expect if
inflation occurred at an energy scale of order $10^{16}$ GeV. We use the
canonical measure on trajectories in classical phase space, specialized to the
case of flat universes with a single scalar field. While there is no exact
analytic expression for the measure, we are able to derive conditions that
determine its behavior. For a quadratic potential $V(\phi)=m^{2}\phi^{2}/2$
with $m=2\times10^{13}$ GeV and cutoff at $M_{{\rm Pl}}=2.4\times10^{18}$ GeV,
we find an expectation value of $2\times10^{10}$ $e$-folds on the set of
Friedmann-Robertson-Walker trajectories. For cosine inflation
$V(\phi)=\Lambda^{4}[1-\cos(\phi/f)]$ with $f=1.5\times10^{19}$ GeV, we find
that the expected total number of $e$-folds is 50, which would just satisfy the
observed requirements of our own Universe; if $f$ is larger, more than 50
$e$-folds are generically attained. We conclude that one should expect a large
amount of inflation in large-field models and more limited inflation in
small-field (hilltop) scenarios.
