The Identification of Extreme Asymptotic Giant Branch Stars and Red
  Supergiants in M33 by 24 {\mu}m Variability
  We present the first detection of 24 {\mu}m variability in 24 sources in the
Local Group galaxy M33. These results are based on 4 epochs of MIPS
observations, which are irregularly spaced over ~750 days. We find that these
sources are constrained exclusively to the Holmberg radius of the galaxy, which
increases their chances of being members of M33. We have constructed spectral
energy distributions (SEDs) ranging from the optical to the sub-mm to
investigate the nature of these objects. We find that 23 of our objects are
most likely heavily self-obscured, evolved stars; while the remaining source is
the Giant HII region, NGC 604. We believe that the observed variability is the
intrinsic variability of the central star reprocessed through their
circumstellar dust shells. Radiative transfer modeling was carried out to
determine their likely chemical composition, luminosity, and dust production
rate (DPR). As a sample, our modeling has determined an average luminosity of
(3.8 $\pm$ 0.9) x 10$^4$ L$_\odot$ and a total DPR of (2.3 $\pm$ 0.1) x
10$^{-5}$ M$_\odot$ yr$^{-1}$. Most of the sources, given the high DPRs and
short wavelength obscuration, are likely "extreme" AGB (XAGB) stars. Five of
the sources are found to have luminosities above the classical AGB limit
(M$_{\rm bol}$ < -7.1, L > 54,000 L$_\odot$), which classifies them as probably
red supergiants (RSGs). Almost all of the sources are classified as oxygen
rich. As also seen in the LMC, a significant fraction of the dust in M33 is
produced by a handful of XAGB and RSG stars.
