4,000 Hispanic and 323,000 Asian. Based on these levels of immigration, which could be greatly exceeded (the actual level of legal immigration in the early 1990s was 1.5 million annually), the study predicts that 81 million members (or 21%) of the population of 2050 will consist of post-1991 immigrants and their descendants (over 95% of whom will be non-Nordish). The sixth or last column assumes the same birthrates, but assumes zero immigration between 1992 and 2050. It shows that even with zero immigration the Nordish element would still be gradually replaced, although at a slower rate. Within a year of the release of the above study its author was already revising her assumptions and projections regarding the Hispanic population, raising their birthrate to 2.9, and increasing their numbers in 2050 by 9 million from 81 to 90 million, and the total population from 383 to 392 million. Sun-Sentinel (Ft. Lauderdale), Sept. 29, 1993, p. 1A. A later Census Bureau projection estimated a U.S. population of 325.9 million in the year 2020, with 51.2 million (15.7%) Hispanic and 45.4 million (13.9%) Congoid. The Miami Herald , April 21, 1994, p. 1A.
The study has one crucial flaw: it effectively omits one of the three factors that determine population change -- the rate of intermixture between the different racial elements. It does not allow for the effects of racial interbreeding. It assigns all children born after 1992 to the same race as their mother regardless of the race of their father and the child's own actual racial identity, which in the case of racial mixture is often markedly different from that of the mother, especially if the mother's genes are recessive and effectively negated or significantly diminished by the intermixture. This is a critical omission, for although the rate of racial intermixture is difficult to predict its effects are likely to be dramatic if current trends continue, especially among the Nordish population whose genes are commonly recessive and either negated or significantly diminished when mixed with other races. For example, if 6% of the children born to Nordish mothers were racially-mixed children whose racial identity was not Nordish, the real Nordish birthrate would be reduced from 1.8 to 1.7 (or from 14% to 19% below the replacement rate of 2.1). To correct this omission Table II is adjusted to allow for the effects on the Nordish population of an intermixture rate of 6% during the period from 1990 to 2000, 10% from 2000 to 2020, 15% from 2020 to 2030, and 20% from 2030-2050. It also allows for the compounding or cumulative effects of intermixture with each new generation (allowing thirty years per generation). The last column, based on zero immigration, lowers the assumed rate of intermixture for the period from 2030 to 2050 to 16.5% on the grounds that the pool of potential non-Nordish mates available for intermixture would be smaller.
In Table I the assumed rates of non-Nordish immigration and births cause a relative decline of the Nordish population in proportion to the others (i.e., in terms of population share), while the assumed Nordish birthrate causes an absolute decline in numbers. In Table II the assumed rate of intermixture increases both the relative and absolute decline in both the proportions and numbers of the Nordish population.
The rate of intermixture is determined by three factors -- the relative proportions of different racial elements in the population, the extent of contact between the races, and the degree of racial discrimination in the selection of mates. The rate of intermixture is effectively limited by the proportions of different races in a population. In a monoracial society different races are not present, resulting in reproductive isolation and the effective prevention of intermixture. If other races are present only as a very small minority the rate of intermixture is still necessarily limited to a low level. When other races are present in numbers equal to or exceeding that of a particular race the potential rate of intermixture for that race is effectivel