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The Mediterranid category includes Orientalids, Armenids, Turanids and Irano-Afghans, a racial grouping which includes nearly all North Africans and Southwest Asians (the Arab, Iranian, Afghan, Turkish and other "Middle Eastern" peoples) as well as most Southern Europeans. The U.S. Census Bureau classifies all these groups as "White."
The "Hispanic" or "Latino" category is racially diverse, but consists mainly (about 90%) of persons of whole or mixed (Mestizo) Amerindian ancestry from Mexico or Central and South America. The remainder (about 10%) are mostly Mediterranid or Congoid. In many statistics the U.S. Census Bureau and other government bodies include the Mestizo element in the "White" category.
The Asian category (per U.S. Census Bureau classification) includes Asian Indians and Pakistanis as well as East Asians and Pacific Islanders.
The last three columns (columns four, five and six) in Table I are projections based on a study by demographer Jennifer Cheeseman Day, Population Projections of the United States, by Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin: 1992 to 2050 , U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, P25-1092, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC, 1992.
Population changes are primarily determined by three factors -- birthrates, immigration rates, and the rate of intermixture between the different elements in the population. The fourth and fifth columns are projections based on the assumption that the demographic trends of the 1980s and early 1990s will continue until 2050. These trends include a birthrate of 1.85 for "Non-Hispanic Whites" (a Census Bureau category consisting of the Nordish, Alpine and Mediterranid categories), 2.45 for "Blacks" (Congoids), 2.68 for Hispanics, 2.9 for Amerindians, 2.3 for Asians, and an immigration level of 880,000 per year (680,000 legal and 200,000 illegal) of which 174,000 would be White (mostly Mediterranid from northern Africa and southwest Asia), 60,000 Black, 324,000 Hispanic and 323,000 Asian. Based on these levels of immigration, which could be greatly exceeded (the actual level of legal immigration in the early 1990s was 1.5 million annually), the study predicts that 81 million members (or 21%) of the population of 2050 will consist of post-1991 immigrants and their descendants (over 95% of whom will be non-Nordish). The sixth or last column assumes the same birthrates, but assumes zero immigration between 1992 and 2050. It shows that even with zero immigration the Nordish element would still be gradually replaced, although at a slower rate. Within a year of the release of the above study its author was already revising her assumptions and projections regarding the Hispanic population, raising their birthrate to 2.9, and increasing their numbers in 2050 by 9 million from 81 to 90 million, and the total population from 383 to 392 million. Sun-Sentinel (Ft. Lauderdale), Sept. 29, 1993, p. 1A. A later Census Bureau projection estimated a U.S. population of 325.9 million in the year 2020, with 51.2 million (15.7%) Hispanic and 45.4 million (13.9%) Congoid. The Miami Herald , April 21, 1994, p. 1A.
The study has one crucial flaw: it effectively omits one of the three factors that determine population change -- the rate of intermixture between the different racial elements. It does not allow for the effects of racial interbreeding. It assigns all children born after 1992 to the same race as their mother regardless of the race of their father and the child's own actual racial identity, which in the case of racial mixture is often markedly different from that of the mother, especially if the mother's genes are recessive and effectively negated or significantly diminished by the intermixture. This is a critical omission, for although the rate of racial intermixture is difficult to predict its effects are likely to be dramatic if current trends continue, especially among the Nordish population whose genes are commonly recessive and either negated or significantly diminished wh