The novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has shaken the entire world in its devastating annihilation of humanity The alarming increase in number of confirmed COVID cases in India requires an urgent step to monitor and control this spread Thus, it is inevitable to develop a model which can predict future confirmed and death cases Time series models are significant in predicting the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak In this paper we have developed an Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model to predict the number of COVID 19 cases for India and Odisha The model prediction suggests that an increasing trend would be continuing for both Odisha and India as whole for next two weeks The forecasted values are in good agreement with actual cases in both the scenario These findings would be useful for government in formulating policy related to health care systems so that the system and medical professions can better prepared to combat the pandemic
Modelling and forecasting of COVID-19 cases in Odisha and India. (Special Issue: COVID-19 and demographic impact.)