Aim: We aimed to determine the effectiveness of surveillance using testing for SARS-CoV-2 to identify an outbreak arising from a single case of border control failure in a country that has eliminated community transmission of COVID-19: New Zealand Method: A stochastic version of the SEIR model CovidSIM v1 1 designed specifically for COVID-19 was utilised It was seeded with New Zealand population data and relevant parameters sourced from the New Zealand and international literature
Detecting the re-emergent COVID-19 pandemic after elimination: modelling study of combined primary care and hospital surveillance