INTRODUCTION This paper aims to measure the performance of early detection methods, which are usually used for infectious diseases. METHODOLOGY By using real data of confirmed Coronavirus cases from the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Italy, the moving epidemic method (MEM) and the moving average cumulative sums (Mov. Avg Cusum) methods are used in our simulation study. RESULTS Our results suggested that the CUSUM method outperforms the MEM in detecting the start of the Coronavirus outbreak.
On the early detecting of the COVID-19 outbreak.