War or No War on Iran?Stephen Lendman, Contributor A previous article put it this way: Red lines, time lines, deadlines, sanctions, sabotage, subversion, cyber attacks, assassinations, saber rattling, falsified IAEA hype, ad nauseam warmongering, Netanyahu/Barak bluster, spurious accusations, manipulated to fail P5+1 talks, and inflammatory headlines up the stakes for war. Whats more important than war and peace. Public ignorance lets America get away with murder. It happens repeatedly against one targeted country after another. Will Washington attack Iran? Will it be done jointly with Israel? More on that below. The Islamic Republic poses no threat. It hasnt attacked another country in two or three centuries. It threatens none now. Its nuclear program is peaceful. Netanyahu is menacing. Hes toxic, belligerent and dangerous. Hes a world class thug. Hes Israels worst ever leader. He threatens Jews as well as Muslims. Most Israelis are fooled. They may, in fact, reelect him. On October 9, he announced early elections. He said coalition partners cant agree on budget priorities. Scheduled fall 2013 elections now shift to early next year. Iran will be issue one. On October 10, Haaretz headlined Nuclear Iran will star in Netanyahus bid for re-election, not Israels economy, saying: Fear trumps human need. Netanyahu will highlight the approaching nuclear danger and portray himself as the only Israeli leader realistic enough and tough enough to deal with it. He repeats the Big Lie ad nauseam. He promises action against a bogus Iranian threat. Netanyahu prefers to focus on Iran rather than the economy, since Israeli elections are usually decided on the peoples anxiety about their security. And the economic horizon beyond the election looks grim indeed. From now through election, expect scurrilous anti-Iranian propaganda. Itll probably get him reelected. Fear works that way. Whats coming post-election bears close watching. David Rothkopf serves as Foreign Policy (FP) magazines CEO and Editor-at-Large. Formerly, he and former Clinton National Security Advisor Anthony Lake co-founded Intellibridge Corporation. Sourcewatch said in launching Intellibridge, Rothkopf had help from several former government officials and spooks, including Anthony Lake and former CIA director John Deutch. Former Clinton administration officials hold top posts. Intellibridge provides open-source intelligence, customized content, and analysis to the military and corporations. Earlier, Rothkopf was Kissinger Associates managing director and US Deputy Under Secretary of Commerce for International Trade Policy. He and FP support Washingtons imperial agenda. On October 8, he headlined A Truly Credible Military Threat to Iran, saying: America and Israeli may surgically strike Iran. Washington will do most heavy lifting. Israel will ride shotgun. Netanyahu wont go it alone. He needs US approval and support. Romneys been baiting Obama on Iran. In an October 8 Virginia Military Institute speech, he claimed: Iran today has never been closer to a nuclear weapons capability. It has never posed a greater danger to our friends, our allies, and to us. The President has failed to lead in Syria.Our ally Turkey has been attacked. And the conflict threatens stability in the region. It is time to change course in the Middle East.I will put the leaders of Iran on notice that the United States and our friends and allies will prevent them from acquiring nuclear weapons capability. (W)e must make clear to Iran through actions not just words that their nuclear pursuit will not be tolerated. He barely stopped short of urging war. Hes in campaign mode. Whether hell follow through if elected isnt known. The possibility very much is real. He claimed Obama hasnt slowed Irans pursuit of nuclear weapons. Rothkopf called the issue a centerpiece of the Romney campaigns argument that Obama has not been tough enough on Iran. He hasnt offered a credible military threat to deter what, in fact, doesnt exist. Rothkopf said unnamed Obama advisors told him privately that they wonder about his commitment and that of the US military to taking action against Iran. Up to now, hes been dragging his feet, but no longer. White House and Israeli officials are closer together in their views in recent days. While no precise red line exists, Netanyahus preferred military option is considerably more limited and lower risk than full-scale war. Saying so greatly understates the threat and potential catastrophic consequences. Attacking Iran is madness. Tehrans response will be swift and strong. Itll be far more robust than anything Israel previously experienced. Bombing nuclear facilities in both countries assures widespread irradiation. Immediate casualties will be huge in both countries. Longer-term ones will be catastrophically high. War on Iran assures all sides lose. Regional countries will be affected. US facilities and ships will be attacked. Economic consequences will be severe. Sharply higher oil prices will follow. Global recession will deepen. Israel and America will be more hated than ever. War may happen anyway. Understating whats at stake is irresponsible. Is Rothkopf urging war? Claiming low-risk consequences suggests it. According to his unnamed source, (t)he strike might take only a couple of hours in the best case and only would involve a day or two overall. It would be conducted by air, using primarily bombers and drone support. Its politically palatable. Itll set back Irans nuclear program many years.without civilian casualties it would have regional benefits. Yellow journalism is bad enough. Practically endorsing catastrophic war is unconscionable and madness. He quoted an unnamed warmonger claiming a transformative outcome: saving Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, reanimating the peace process, securing the Gulf, sending an unequivocal message to Russia and China, and assuring American ascendancy in the region for a decade to come. Transformative indeed in all the wrong ways. Its well known, or should be, that Israel cant go it alone. Its capability isnt up to destroying Irans Fordo facility. Its built deep underground within a mountain for protection. Powerful bunker busters (possibly mini-nukes) are needed. Using them wont assure success. At the same time, Israeli aircraft on their own may be unable to deliver a potential knockout punch. The Wilson Centers Iran Project assessed benefits and costs. Its conclusions didnt please warmongers. Iran can retaliate with conventionally armed ballistic missiles capable of striking most of the region, including Israel, it said. War could last years. Military and economic costs will be high. A New American Foundation study said attacking Irans nuclear facilities assures disaster. Another by Harvards Olin Institute for Strategic Studies said Iranian mines and missiles can block the Strait of Hormuz, halt or greatly curtail oil shipments, and it could take many weeks, even months, to restore the full flow of commerce, and more time still for the oil markets to be convinced that stability has returned. The Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps Navy (IRGCN) is highly motivated, well-equipped, and well-financed. Its a formidable force. It controls the Strait of Hormuz choke point. WINEP added that if Washington and/or Israel attacks Iran, its response will be proportional to damage it sustains. It bears repeating. Attacking Iran is madness for good reason. Claiming otherwise is unconscionable. It also avoids explaining serious international law violations. Preemptive aggressive wars are illegal. Hot or cold warriors dont seem to care. Stephen Lendman lives in Chicago and can be reached at lendmanstephen@sbcglobal.net.His new book is titled How Wall Street Fleeces America: Privatized Banking, Government Collusion and Class War.Also visit his blog site at sjlendman.blogspot.com and listen to cutting-edge discussions with distinguished guests on the Progressive Radio News Hour on the Progressive Radio Network Thursdays at 10AM US Central time and Saturdays and Sundays at noon. All programs are archived for easy listening.http://www.progressiveradionetwork.com/the-progressive-news-hour/ 