The Italian Presence in China: Historical Trends and Perspectives (1902–1947)
One of the main problems facing scholars engaged in the study of the Italian presence in China during the late Qing-Republican period (especially in Beijing and in some of the most important treaty ports, starting from Tianjin where an Italian Concession was created in 1902)1 is represented by the gaps and fragmentary nature of the documents and data available, the dispersion of these in dozens of archives and libraries, and by the blanks that exist in the historical records for certain years and—at times—entire periods.2
The paper sets up a model for forcasting population analgsis,grey system theory and statistics of Benxi population~ between 1990 and 1999.The use of this model proves that the result gained with the methods presented in the paper is nearly in agreement with the fact.