Growth and Jobs in Developing Economies: Trends and Cycles
This paper investigates the relationship between economic growth and job creation in developing economies with a focus on low and lower middle-income countries along two dimensions: growth patterns and short-run correlations. Analysis on growth patterns shows that regime changes are quite common in both economic growth and employment growth, yet they are not synchronized with each other. Okun’s Law—the short-run relationship between output and labor market—holds in half of the countries in our sample and shows considerable cross-country heterogeneity.
In this work we present an analysis process that exploits mobile phone transaction (trajectory) data to infer a transport demand model for the territory under monitoring. In particular, long-term analysis of individual call traces are performed to reconstruct systematic movements, and to infer an origin-destination matrix. We will show a case study on Ivory Coast, with emphasis on its major urbanization Abidjan. The case study includes the exploitation of the inferred mobility demand model in the construction of a transport model that projects the demand onto the transportation network (obtained from open data), and thus allows an understanding of current and future infrastructure requirements of the country.