Samudera Hindia menjadi lebih aktif dan mulai berdampak pada ...
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Dampak IPO dan AMO di Samudra Hindia dan musim hujan India telah berkurang sejak tahun 1990-an, terutama karena peningkatan konsentrasi aerosol antropogenik dan letusan gunung berapi (Gambar 2). Namun, <anchor>penelitian saya</anchor>, yang dilakukan pada tahun 2020 di Institut Meteorologi Tropis India, menunjukkan Samudera Hindia masih menampilkan variabilitas decadal/multidecadal.
Multidecadal to decadal variability in the equatorial Indian Ocean subsurface temperature and the forcing mechanisms | Climate Dynamics
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# Multidecadal to decadal variability in the equatorial Indian Ocean subsurface temperature and the forcing mechanisms

- Published: 28 February 2020

- Volume 54, pages 3475–3487, (2020)

- Cite this article

## Abstract

The Tropical Indian Ocean (TIO) is seen to exhibit robust warming after the 1950s. Most of the previous studies on the Indian Ocean (IO) surface and subsurface temperature focussed on long-term trends and interannual variability. The multidecadal to decadal variability in the Eastern Equatorial Indian Ocean (EEIO, 80°E–110°E, 8°S–5°N, 50-110 m) subsurface temperature is studied using reanalysis products and ocean general circulation model (OGCM) simulations. Prior to 1990s, the EEIO subsurface temperature is found to be dominated mostly by the multidecadal variability. However, since the mid-1990s, significant decadal variability is observed, something that has not been reported before. The mechanisms responsible for the observed decadal and multidecadal variability in the EEIO subsurface temperature are studied in detail. Wind forcing along the equator, and the associated ocean dynamics are found to be the major factors responsible for the EEIO subsurface temperature variability in the decadal and multidecadal time scales, emphasizing the importance of local atmospheric forcing on this variability. Alongshore winds along the Sumatra coast also contribute considerably to the decadal changes in the EEIO subsurface temperature. It is also found that the observed decadal and multidecadal changes are independent of the phase reversal of Interdecadal pacific oscillation (IPO). OGCM sensitivity experiments also suggest that the decadal variability of EEIO subsurface temperature is largely unaffected by the oceanic pathways such as Indonesian Through Flow (ITF). Hence, remote forcing through these pathways is insignificant in the TIO subsurface temperature north of 10°S as compared to the TIO wind forcing. Consistent with EEIO subsurface temperature, equatorial IO (EIO) winds also exhibit decadal variability post mid-1990s. The major contributors for the decadal variability in EIO winds are found to be the decadal variability in the Mascarene high, the low level jet, and the large scale off-equatorial circulations.

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## Acknowledgments

We thank Director, ESSO-IITM and Ministry of Earth Sciences (MoES), Government of India for the support. Sandeep Mohapatra thanks IITM for research fellowship. Comments from the anonymous reviewers have helped us to improve the manuscript. We acknowledge Deepti Gnanaseelan for language edits. ERSSTv5 data is from https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/gridded/data.noaa.ersst.v5.html. ORAS4 temperature data is downloaded from Asia–Pacific Data Research Centre (APDRC) ( http://apdrc.soest.hawaii.edu/data/data.php). ERA40 and Interim wind data at surface levels are taken from http://apps.ecmwf.int/datasets/. Figures are prepared using PyFerret and Python.

## Author information

### Authors and Affiliations

1. Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, 411008, India

Sandeep Mohapatra, C. Gnanaseelan & J. S. Deepa

2. Savitribai Phule Pune University, Pune, 411007, India

Sandeep Mohapatra & J. S. Deepa

Authors

1. Sandeep Mohapatra

2. C. Gnanaseelan

3. J. S. Deepa

### Corresponding author

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### Cite this article

Mohapatra, S., Gnanaseelan, C. & Deepa, J.S. Multidecadal to decadal variability in the equatorial Indian Ocean subsurface temperature and the forcing mechanisms.
Clim Dyn 54, 3475–3487 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05185-7

- Received: 15 October 2019

- Accepted: 20 February 2020

- Published: 28 February 2020

- Issue Date: April 2020

- DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05185-7

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