::Glkanter, if you are going to pull out of the discussion every time you think you may be forced to reconsider your opinion there is no point discussing things.  You brought up the hustler scenario to prove a point.  I am trying to convince you that it does not prove the point you think it does. 

 ::To clarify, I do not care when the hustler places the pea so long at is in secret.  In your discussion above you are talking about game theory, how you should react to what you think is the hustler's plan.  As far as I know neither of us wish to talk about that subject.  The question is this:  you assert that the probability that the probability the pea will be under your lucky number is 1/3.  You are now sending your friends to play.  You are not giving them advice on how to play, each friend will, you assume, use his own lucky number.  You are just telling them whether the game is fair with 2:1 odds.  What do you say?