Sub-Saharan Africa harbors the majority of the global burden of malaria and schistosomiasis infections. The co-endemicity of these two tropical diseases has prompted investigation into the mechanisms of coinfection, particularly the competing immunological responses associated with each disease. Epidemiological studies have shown that infection with Schistosoma mansoni is associated with a greater malaria incidence among school-age children. We developed a co-epidemic model of malaria and S. mansoni transmission dynamics which takes into account key epidemiological interaction between the two diseases in terms of elevated malaria incidence among individuals with S. mansoni high egg output. The model was parameterized for S. mansoni high-risk endemic communities, using epidemiological and clinical data of the interaction between S. mansoni and malaria among children in sub-Saharan Africa. We evaluated the potential impact of the S. mansoni–malaria interaction and mass treatment of schistosomiasis on malaria prevalence in co-endemic communities. Our results suggest that in the absence of mass drug administration of praziquantel, the interaction between S. mansoni and malaria may reduce the effectiveness of malaria treatment for curtailing malaria transmission, in S. mansoni high-risk endemic communities. However, when malaria treatment is used in combination with praziquantel, mass praziquantel administration may increase the effectiveness of malaria control intervention strategy for reducing malaria prevalence in malaria- S. mansoni co-endemic communities. Schistosomiasis treatment and control programmes in regions where S. mansoni and malaria are highly prevalent may have indirect benefits on reducing malaria transmission as a result of disease interactions. In particular, mass praziquantel administration may not only have the direct benefit of reducing schistosomiasis infection, it may also reduce malaria transmission and disease burden.
Malaria is highly endemic throughout sub-Saharan Africa in which 85% of global malaria cases and 90% of malaria deaths occur [1]. Schistosoma mansoni (the causative agent of intestinal schistosomiasis) is likewise prevalent in many sub-Saharan African countries [2], [3], accounting for approximately one-third of the total cases of schistosomiasis in the region [4]. Both malaria and intestinal schistosomiasis share similar epidemiological distributions and present challenges to public health and socio-economic development throughout these regions [5]. Due to their coendemicity, there has been increased investigation into the interactive pathology between malaria and S. mansoni [6]–[9]. Heavy S. mansoni infections have been found to be associated with a significant increase in the incidence of malaria among school-age children [6]. While the mechanism responsible for the exacerbation of malaria in individuals infected with S. mansoni is not yet fully understood [7], [9], the interactions between the two diseases are possibly driven by countering effects the parasites have on immunological cytokines [10], [11]; that is, S. mansoni may alter the balance between Th1 and Th2 type immune responses [12]–[14] which reduces immunological control of malaria, although other mechanisms are possible. Artemisinin-based combination therapies (ACT) are increasingly used as first-line treatment against malaria in sub-Saharan Africa [15], [16]. ACT is an efficacious drug regimen that reduces the risk of malaria-induced morbidity and mortality as well as malaria transmission from humans to vectors [17], [18]. For the control of schistosomiasis, current World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines recommend frequent mass administration of praziquantel, a highly effective and relatively inexpensive anti-schistosomal agent [19], to school-age children or to entire communities depending on schistosomiasis prevalence and available resources [20]. However, the adoption of mass praziquantel administration remains suboptimal in sub-Saharan Africa mainly due to limited drug availability, even as the schistosomiasis disease burden continues to rise [21]. Mass praziquantel treatment coverage and compliance may vary substantially from one schistosomiasis endemic area to another. We evaluated how S. mansoni infection and mass praziquantel administration may affect the dynamics and control of malaria in co-endemic communities. In the absence of field studies that directly measure the effect of schistosomiasis control on malaria transmission and progression [6], [22]–[25], we address this question by using epidemiological and clinical findings that estimate the elevation in relative risk of malaria attributable to S. mansoni infection [6] to develop a mathematical model of the joint dynamics of malaria and S. mansoni among children. We use this model to evaluate the inter-dependent impact of S. mansoni on malaria infection and the potential impact of schistosomiasis and malaria treatment for reducing malaria transmission.
We developed a mathematical model of the interplay between malaria and S. mansoni. Malaria transmission was modeled as follows [26]: At each point in time people can be in one of six infectious states – susceptible (S), treated symptomatic disease (T), untreated symptomatic disease (D), asymptomatic patent infection (A), asymptomatic sub-patent infection (U) and protected by a period of prophylaxis from treatment (P). We assumed that individuals entered the model susceptible and become infected at a rate determined by the force of infection in the population given by, where represents the biting rate on humans by a female mosquito, is the density of mosquitoes per human, is the probability of successful human inoculation upon an infectious bite, and the proportion of infectious mosquitoes in the vector population. Upon infection, individuals either develop symptomatic disease (with a probability Φ) or develop patent asymptomatic infection (1−Φ). Those who develop symptomatic disease have a fixed probability (fT) of being treated successfully with an ACT (T), in which case they clear infection at a rate rT and enter a period of prophylactic protection (P) before returning (rP) to being susceptible to new infection. Those who fail treatment (1−fT) are assumed to eventually clear disease (D) and become patently asymptomatic (A) at rate rD. From patent asymptomatic infection, individuals will move to a sub-patent stage (U) at a rate rA and then clear infection at rate rU and individuals return to being susceptible. The force of infection of malaria on the mosquito population, , was given by the product of host biting rate per mosquito, probability of mosquito infection upon biting an infectious human, and the proportion of infected individuals at each infectious stage (D, A, U). The intensity of malaria transmission is represented as the annual entomological inoculation rate (AEIR), defined as the product of the human biting rate of mosquitoes and the proportion of mosquitoes that are infectious. AEIR is measured in the number of infective bites per person per year (ibpy). Here malaria prevalence refers to any level of parasitaemia rather than symptomatic disease alone. For S. mansoni transmission, we assumed that at each point in time people can be in one of three states – susceptible (S), infected with low egg output (IL), and infected with high egg output (IH) [27]. Likelihood of schistosomiasis transmission from humans to snails depends on worm burden and mean egg production per worm. For the sake of simplicity, egg production was not explicitly modeled. However consistent with previous schistosomiasis modeling studies, we used transmission rates that implicitly account for egg production rate per worm, contact with infested waters, and probability of worm establishment per contact [27], [28]. We assumed that individuals entered the model susceptible and become infected with an initially low egg output at a transmission rate. Individuals with low egg output may then transition to high egg output at a transmission rate, where determines the rate of transition to a high egg output from a low egg output relative to. We assumed the individuals infected with low egg output infect susceptible snails at a transmission rate, and individuals with high egg output infect snails at a transmission rate, where is the relative increase of transmission rate to snails for high egg output individuals relative to low egg output individuals. Because rates of schistosomiasis reinfection are very high in endemic areas, we assumed that there is no natural recovery for S. mansoni infected individuals, and that without treatment infected individuals with a high egg output will not transition to a low egg output. We incorporated annual praziquantel treatment into the model by assuming that treatment has an efficacy of 70% [29], [30]. We assumed that upon treatment, 70% of individuals with low egg output will recover from infection, and 70% of individuals with high egg output will either recover from infection or have their egg output reduced to a low level, such that 40% of treated high egg output will recover from infection, while 30% will have their egg output reduced to a low level [29], [30]. We evaluated the potential impact of deworming through mass drug administration with praziquantel on malaria prevalence by considering different levels of treatment coverage ranging from 30–80%. Individuals can be infected with malaria only, S. mansoni only, or dually infected with malaria and S. mansoni. The model captures the epidemiological interaction between the two diseases in terms of S. mansoni enhancing susceptibility to malaria denoted as and parameterized from epidemiological field data [6] (Table 1). We focused on communities in which malaria and S. mansoni are co-endemic, and considered variation in malaria transmission intensity by varying the AEIR from 1 ibpy to 500 ibpy [31]. We present results obtained at endemic equilibrium. A detailed description of the model is given in the Supplement Material and an overview of parameters and values used to generate the model outcomes are given in Table 1.
By comparing malaria prevalence in the presence and absence of S. mansoni co-endemicity, we showed that the impact of schistosomiasis co-infection on increasing malaria prevalence was higher in areas of low malaria transmission than areas of high malaria transmission (Figures 1 & S1). For example, disease interaction was shown to increase malaria prevalence by 3. 0–4. 5% for an AEIR of 10 ibpy and by 0. 6–1. 5% for an AEIR of 100 ibpy, depending on malaria treatment coverage, ranging from 30–90% (Figure 1). The effect of S. mansoni co-infection on malaria prevalence plateaued from 100 ibpy upwards (Figure 1). We also found that the interaction between malaria and S. mansoni may reduce the effectiveness of malaria treatment for decreasing malaria prevalence (Figure 2). For an AEIR of 100 ibpy, S. mansoni co-infection was shown to decrease the proportional reduction of malaria prevalence due to treatment by 1. 3% for 90% treatment coverage, 1% for 60% treatment coverage, and 0. 5% for 30% treatment coverage (Figure 2A). For 90% malaria treatment coverage, S. mansoni co-infection increases symptomatic malaria episodes by 29 episodes per 100 people annually, by 45 episodes per 100 people annually for 60% treatment coverage, and 93 episodes per 100 people annually for 30% treatment coverage (Figure 2B). For an AEIR of 10 ibpy, disease interaction was shown to decrease the proportional reduction of malaria prevalence due to treatment by 2. 5% for 90% treatment coverage, 1. 4% for 60% treatment coverage, and by 0. 6% for 30% treatment coverage (Figure 2A). For 90% malaria treatment coverage S. mansoni co-infection increases symptomatic malaria episodes by 11 episodes per 100 people annually, by 16 episodes per 100 people annually for 60% treatment coverage, and 21 episodes per 100 people annually for 30% treatment coverage (Figure 2B). When ACT is used in combination with annual mass praziquantel administration, we showed that the intervention was more effective in reducing malaria prevalence and that this effectiveness increases both with the coverage of praziquantel and with the increased susceptibility to malaria infection due to S. mansoni (Figure 3). This increase in effectiveness was more pronounced in areas of low malaria transmission intensity (Figure 3A) than in areas of high transmission intensity (Figure 3B). The interaction between S. mansoni and malaria generated an additional indirect benefit for mass praziquantel administration by reducing malaria prevalence (Figure 3).
We developed a co-epidemic model of malaria and S. mansoni transmission dynamics to take into account elevated susceptibility to malaria mediated by S. mansoni infection. We used this model to investigate the potential effect of malaria-S. mansoni interaction on the effectiveness of ACT and mass praziquantel administration for schistosomiasis for reducing malaria prevalence in co-endemic communities. Our results suggested that co-infection with schistosomiasis in low malaria transmission settings increases malaria prevalence. We further showed that in the absence of mass praziquantel administration, the interaction between S. mansoni and malaria may have contributed to reductions in population-level effectiveness of malaria treatment in areas of stable malaria transmission. In regions of low malaria treatment coverage, co-infection with schistosomiasis led to the greatest increase in per person malaria episodes, independent of whether malaria transmission was high or low. Our finding is consistent with epidemiological observations and laboratory studies that have suggested that presence of S. mansoni infections may affect the efficacy of malaria control measures, including a potential vaccine in co-endemic communities [9], [32]. The interaction between the two diseases may increase the health benefits of mass praziquantel administration by generating the additional indirect benefit of reducing malaria transmission in co-endemic communities. Our results indicated that this benefit was particularly strong in low malaria transmission regions that experienced increased malaria susceptibility due to schistosomiasis co-infection. Malaria is associated with a Th1 immune response [12], while S. mansoni infection is associated with a Th2 response and had been demonstrated to impair immune responses to malaria [11], [13]. By reducing S. mansoni worm burden of infected individuals, praziquantel treatment may reduce the Th2 immune response associated with S. mansoni infection which may in turn result in a shift in the Th1/Th2 immune balance [14], [33] towards the Th1 response that protects against malaria parasite. Though our study focused on Plasmodium falciparum, our results may be applicable to other forms of malaria such as Plasmodium ovale and Plasmodium vivax, which may also interact with S. mansoni. Prototype vaccines for both malaria [34] and S. mansoni intestinal schistosomiasis [35] are under development, such that the two vaccines could be co-formulated or combined [36]. Our results suggest that a co-formulated or combined vaccine may be more efficacious in reducing malaria transmission in S. mansoni endemic communities than a vaccine targeting malaria alone. In addition to increasing malaria incidence, clinical studies have shown that malaria–S. mansoni co-infection may exacerbate clinical manifestations of both diseases [14], [33], [37]. These additional impacts were not factored into our model, making our predictions of the effectiveness of joint programs of ACT and praziquantel conservative. Our model also did not account for malaria age-dependent immunity [26], [38]. Age-dependent malaria immunity is less important among children than adults, however, and it is even less relevant in areas of low malaria transmission [26], [38], [39]. We anticipate that accounting for age-dependent malaria immunity would only have a marginal quantitative effect on our results, such that the findings would remain qualitatively unchanged. Malaria and S. mansoni may differ in their distribution of disease intensity, prevalence, and morbidity, with some portion of the population being at higher risk than others [33]. Therefore, the magnitude of the interaction between malaria and S. mansoni on malaria transmission dynamics may vary from one risk group to another. Given that data on risk group specific interaction between malaria and S. mansoni are not available, our model only accounted for elevated malaria susceptibility from S. mansoni high egg output. Future studies could account for heterogeneity in malaria intensity and prevalence. Currently, there is debate surrounding the extent and direction of the effects of malaria and co-infection with different helminth species on human hosts [7], [33], [40]. Apparent contradictions arising from clinical and epidemiological studies may be resolved by the possibility of species-specific effects of helminth infections on malaria [7], [40], [41]. As well as qualitatively different interactions for different worm burdens For example, Ascaris has been associated with protection from severe malaria complications [7]. Conversely, epidemiological studies have suggested that hookworm elevates malaria prevalence [42] and exacerbates malaria-induced anaemia [22], [43]. Similarly, S. mansoni has been shown to be associated with increased malaria incidence [6] and exacerbation of hepatosplenomegaly [37], [44] and anemia [45] in individuals co-infected with malaria. It has also been reported that children with low (but not high) S. haematobium infection intensity co-infected with malaria have significantly lower P. falciparum parasitemia than worm-free individuals [46]. This observation implies that the interaction between P. falciparum and S. haematobium may have contributed to lower malaria prevalence in S. haematobium low risk endemic communities, but that the reverse could be the case in S. haematobium high risk communities. Additionally, malaria-schistosomiasis coinfection may have opposite effect on malaria transmission in S. haematobium compare to S. mansoni endemic communities. Therefore, in S. mansoni - S. haematobium co-endemic communities [47], [48], schistosomiasis control may have a very complex impact on malaria transmission. Further studies are needed on the interaction of S. mansoni and S. haematobium and their potential impact on malaria transmission. Future transmission models on this topic could also account for worm mating probability and density dependent effects on egg output per worm, which can affect schistosomiasis transmission [49], [50]. Polyparasite helminth infections and malaria co-infection are widespread throughout sub-Saharan Africa [22], [51], [52]. Therefore, studies investigating how co-infection affects the course of each infection, as well as immune responses, are fundamental to understand the potential additional benefits or perverse effects of mass drug administration and control programmes for tropical diseases. There are myriad examples of parasitic co-endemicity and co-infections affecting health outcomes in sub-Saharan Africa. For example malaria and hookworm co-infections [22], [53] as well as and S. mansoni and hookworm co-infections [54] can lead to severe anemia. A new modeling study on the interaction between lymphatic filariasis and malaria that takes into account increase in vector mortality due to lymphatic filariasis prevalence in mosquito and antagonistic Th1/Th2 immune response in co-infected host has shown that control strategies that reduce lymphatic filariasis transmission could potentially increase malaria prevalence [55]. Similarly, some studies have indicated that antimalarial bednets may reduce transmission from lymphatic filariasis transmitted by anopheles mosquitoes [56], [57]. In addition, S. haematobium is interacting with HIV by increasing susceptibility to HIV infection through lesions and inflammation of genital track and immunomodulation effects [58]. Two large studies in Zimbabwe and Tanzania found that women with genital schistosomiasis have a 3–4 fold increased odds of having HIV compared to women without genital schistosomiasis [59], [60]. Subsequent models have shown that female genital schistosomiasis (caused by S. haematobium) control strategies could reduce HIV transmission [61], [62], in co-endemic communities. One of the limitations of our study was that we did not examine the relationship between S. haematobium and malaria. Future studies could investigate the interaction between malaria and S. haematobium, as well as other helminths including hookworm. Such studies could also investigate low risk schistosomiasis communities where, because of the low rate of schistosomiasis reinfection, the sequential order of infection between malaria and schistosomiasis may impact the co-infections of schistosomiasis on malaria transmission. Clinical studies have shown that ACT used in combination with praziquantel may reduce both the malaria and the schistosomiasis health burden in co-infected individuals [63]–[66], and that artemisinin-based therapy may have indirect benefits for reducing schistosomiasis health burden [63]. Additional drug interaction studies may be required if ACT and praziquantel are combined for purposes of mass drug administration. In an experimental rat model of clonorchiasis, combinations of praziquantel and artemisinins produced both synergistic and antagonistic effects depending on the doses administered [67]. In humans infected with S. japonicum in China, it was noted that the combination of artemether and praziquantel chemotherapy did not improve treatment efficacy relative to praziquantel alone [68], while in Africa (Cote d' Ivoire) the addition of mefloquine-artesunate did not increase the efficacy of praziquantel against S. haematobium infection [69]. Integrating mass screening and treatment for malaria using ACT with mass drug administration of praziquantel could contribute to reducing both malaria and schistosomiaisis transmission in sub-Saharan Africa. Therefore, future studies would investigate the complementary effects of ACTs and mass praziquantel administration for reducing both malaria and schistosomiasis transmission in co-endemic communities. Immunological studies have suggested that praziquantel treatment in malaria-schistosomiasis co-endemic communities may alter the immune response of treated individuals, making them less susceptible to malaria infection [70]. However, more studies are needed to confirm this impact of praziquantel treatment. Our results suggest that in S. mansoni endemic areas, mass treatment of schistosomiasis may not only have a direct benefit of reducing schistosomiasis infection, it may also reduce malaria prevalence and disease burden. This reduction of malaria prevalence was higher in areas of low malaria transmission intensity, but less pronounced in areas of high transmission intensity (AEIR greater than 100 ibpy). Additional epidemiological and clinical data on malaria–S. mansoni co-infection to determine influence on immune responses and duration of malaria infection are needed to fully evaluate the potential effects of S. mansoni and schistosomiasis control strategies on malaria.
Malaria and Schistosoma mansoni are co-endemic in many regions of sub-Saharan Africa. Evidence from clinical and epidemiological studies support the hypothesis that concurrent infection with S. mansoni is associated with greater malaria incidence among school-age children. We use mathematical modeling to evaluate the epidemiological impact of S. mansoni infection on malaria transmission in sub-Saharan Africa. Using epidemiological data on the increased risk of malaria incidence in S. mansoni endemic communities from Senegal, we developed a co-epidemic model of malaria and S. mansoni transmission dynamics to address key epidemiological interactions between the two diseases. Parameterizing our model for S. mansoni high-risk endemic communities, we show that the interaction between S. mansoni and malaria may reduce the effectiveness of malaria treatment for curtailing malaria transmission. Moreover, we show that in addition to reducing schistosomiasis health burden, mass praziquantel administration will generate indirect benefit in terms of reducing malaria transmission and disease burden in S. mansoni–malaria co-endemic communities. Our findings indicate the possible benefit of scaling up schistosomiasis control efforts in sub-Saharan Africa, and especially in areas were S. mansoni and malaria are highly prevalent.
infectious diseases
helminth infections
medicine and health sciences
schistosomiasis
population modeling
biology and life sciences
infectious disease modeling
computational biology
infectious disease control
malaria
parasitic diseases
Impact of Schistosoma mansoni on Malaria Transmission in Sub-Saharan Africa