“Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom” is heading for a sturdy $133 million opening weekend at 4,475 North American locations, early estimates showed Friday. The Universal-Amblin Entertainment release is performing in line with recent expectations, which have ranged between $130 million and $140 million. Thursday night previews generated a solid $15.3 million, which is counted as contributing to a $54 million opening day on Friday. Disney-Pixar’s second weekend of “Incredibles 2” is pegged to finish the frame with about $80 million, which would give the animated comedy a blockbuster 10-day total of around $350 million — a domestic milestone crossed by only 46 other films. The fifth film in the “Jurassic” franchise carries a production budget of $170 million. The tentople began its overseas rollout two weeks ago and has already pocketed $466 million from 51 international markets, led by $170 million in China. Reviews have been mixed for “Fallen Kingdom,” which currently holds a 53% score on Rotten Tomatoes. Set four years after the events of “Jurassic World,” “Fallen Kingdom” follows Chris Pratt and Bryce Dallas Howard’s characters as they attempt to save the remaining dinosaurs on Isla Nublar before a volcanic eruption. J.A. Bayona directed from a script by “Jurassic World” helmer Colin Trevorrow and Derek Connolly. Trevorrow also executive produced alongside Steven Spielberg. “Jurassic World” bowed in 2015 with a stunning $208.8 million domestic opening weekend and became the first movie to generate over $500 million worldwide in a single frame. It went on to earn $1.7 billion worldwide, including $652 million in North America, and is still the sixth-highest-grossing film ever at the domestic box office. Should the $133 million estimate for “Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom” hold, it will come in around 2016’s “Suicide Squad,” now in 27th place on the domestic opening list. The earnings potential for “Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom” may be held down by “Incredibles 2,” which had been pegged to earn between $75 million and $90 million this weekend. The animated comedy over-performed last weekend with $183 million, the eighth-best domestic debut of all time. If the $80 million projection holds, “Incredibles 2” would decline about 56% and post the seventh-highest domestic second weekend of all time. Warner Bros.’ third weekend of heist movie “Ocean’s 8” will lead the rest of the pack in third with about $10 million, followed by the second weekend of its R-rated comedy “Tag” with about $7 million. “Ocean’s 8” has grossed $88.7 million domestically in its first two weeks. Fox’s sixth weekend of “Deadpool 2” and Disney’s fifth weekend of “Solo: A Star Wars Story” will be battling for fifth place with about $5 million each. “Deadpool 2” should top the $300 million domestic milestone this weekend, becoming the 76th title to do so. “Solo,” which has been a major disappointment for Disney, will edge past the $200 million mark during the frame. By contrast, 2015’s “Star Wars: The Force Awakens” had generated a domestic gross of $852 million after its first five weekends. “The Force Awakens” is the top domestic grosser of all time with $936 million; last year’s “Star Wars: The Last Jedi” is in eighth place at $620 million; and 2016’s “Rogue One: A Star Wars Story” is in 10th with $532 million. The weekend will also mark the first time that two films have debuted back to back with $100 million-plus openings during non-holiday weekends. Back-to-back $100 million-plus debuts have occurred twice on holiday weekends. In 2007 when “Shrek the Third” opened to $121.6 million during May 18-20 and “Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End” recorded $114.7 million (Friday-Sunday) and $139.8 million (Friday-Monday) over Memorial Day; and in 2018, when “Deadpool 2” grossed $125 million during May 18-20 and “Solo: A Star Wars Story” grossed $84.4 million (Friday-Sunday) and $103.0 million (Friday-Monday) over Memorial Day.<doc-sep>4TH UPDATE/WRITETHRU, SUNDAY AM: Universal this morning is calling Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom‘s opening weekend at $150M, which reps the studio’s second-best opening ever at the domestic B.O. after Jurassic World‘s gargantuan $208.8M start, and also outranks Furious 7‘s $147.1M bow. Fallen Kingdom‘s Saturday came in at $50M, -15% from its combined previews + Friday of $59M, which is the same Friday-Saturday ease posted by JW three summers ago. This is a fantastic start for the sequel, well ahead of its $135M lower-end tracking, and only 28% off from JW‘s 3-day, which before Avengers: Infinity War and Star Wars Force Awakens held the title as the highest domestic opening ever for six months in 2015. Note that’s a better hold between JW sequels than Star Wars, which eased 37% in its opening between Force Awakens ($247.9M) and Rogue One ($155M). Uni is calling the weekend’s demos at 56% under 25. “When you see a Saturday like this easing 15% from that big Friday and preview gross, it means that families are driving business, and that’s why we posted the results that we did,” beamed Universal domestic distribution boss Jim Orr this morning. Fallen Kingdom blasts Uni off for a huge summer, which includes such pivotal pics as The First Purge on July 4, Dwayne Johnson’s Skyscraper, and Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again!. Overall, Imax and premium large format repped 21% of Fallen Kingdom‘s weekend, or $31.5M. Imax alone accounted for nine percent of the seque’s domestic weekend, with $13M at 410 auditoriums. Nine out of the top ten domestic locations featured an Imax screen. RealD has been driving 3D for Fallen Kingdom on a global basis, counting $105M. Meanwhile, Disney/Pixar’s Incredibles 2 drew $31.7M on Saturday, +32% over Friday, for a second weekend of $80.9M, per the studio, and a running 10-day tally of $350.2M, which would make it the fourth-best Pixar film of all-time, ahead of 2003’s Finding Nemo ($339.7M), and behind Finding Dory ($486.2M), Toy Story 3 ($415M), and Inside Out ($356.4M). As we mentioned previously, Fallen Kingdom‘s grosses have grown over the weekend, besting the pic’s $135M lower end of tracking. Heading into the weekend, some rivals believed that Incredibles 2 would have a stronger second weekend hold on par with Dory‘s -46%, versus its -56%. That’s arguably because Fallen Kingdom is stealing some of Incredibles 2‘s thunder: PostTrak shows Fallen Kingdom pulling in more of a general audience than Incredibles 2 (69% vs. 56%), and a decent chuck of parents and kids (30% vs. the Pixar pic’s 44%). As mentioned previously, the Fallen Kingdom marketing partners covered more than double the first film, with an estimated $185M in media. Partners included Doritos, Dr. Pepper, M&M’s, Skittles, and Juicy Fruit, and returning partners such as Jeep, Ferrero, Kellogg’s, and Dairy Queen. TV spots will be running well past this weekend, with some 1.3 billion Fallen Kingdom packages on more than 1.5M displays featured around the world. One big stunt: Sending out the biggest Amazon delivery ever. NBC Universal Fallen Kingdom also ranks up in the studio’s books as their largest media campaign ever worldwide, including a first-ever Turner takeover, a first ever week-long prime-time takeover on Discovery; and custom NBA playoff and World Cup spots. On April 14th, Fallen Kingdom took over Round 1 of the NBA Playoffs as the exclusive film sponsor, with a custom piece in every game and pre-game across ABC and ESPN. Universal partnered with ESPN on a spot featuring NBA All-Star and Toronto Raptor Kyle Lowry coming face-to-face with a Jurassic-sized opponent. Comcast NBCUniversal Symphony efforts included the first-ever episode takeover with NBC’s American Ninja Warrior; a custom Xfinity ticketing spot with the pic’s star Bryce Dallas Howard; and a Jurassic World-themed night on Telemundo. Also, Tonight Show host Jimmy Fallon devoted a week to the sequel’s tie-in on his show, called Jurassic World: Fallon Kingdom. As part of the Fallen Kingdom push, Universal Studios Hollywood held a 25th Anniversary event of Jurassic Park over three days, with talent and filmmakers, panels, and JW director, producer and scribe Colin Trevorrow. This was complete with a walk-through exhibit featuring costumes and props from the franchise, as well as booths showcasing Jurassic partners – the new virtual reality experience, the AR game Jurassic World Alive, the park-building game Jurassic World Evolution, photo booth opportunities, and Mattel toy displays. As we mentioned back in 1994, Jurassic Park was responsible for $1 billion revenue in consumer ancillary goods. At the end of the summer, the Jurassic Park ride at Universal Studios Hollywood will shutter with a new Jurassic World Ride to open in its place. 20th Century Fox We already mentioned how it’s an anomaly period at the B.O., with two movies opening back-to-back to $100M-plus, the first time ever during a non-holiday period. Overall weekend ticket sales per ComScore amounted to $278.5M, +3% over last weekend’s huge $270.9M and 96% ahead of the same June period a year ago. Annual B.O. to date at $5.9 billion is pacing close to 9% ahead of the same Jan-June 24 frame in 2017. In addition, a number of summer pics shot past various century mark levels: These include Warner Bros/Village Roadshow’s Ocean’s 8 ($100.4M), Disney’s Solo: A Star Wars Story ($202.6M) and 20th Century Fox’s Deadpool 2 ($304.1M) and, of course, Incredibles 2 going over $300M. AMC boss Adam Aron is right: Not just his theater chain, but summer is truly on fire. Studio-reported Sunday AM figures for weekend of June 22-24: thumb rank film dist scrs(chg) fri sat sun 3-day total week 1 JP: Fallen Kingdom Uni 4,475 $59M $50M $41M $150M $150M 1 2 incredibles 2 Dis 4,410 $24M $31.7M $25.2M $80.9M (-56%) $350.2M 2 3 Ocean’s 8 WB/VR 3,656 (-489) $3.4M $4.7M $3.4M $11.65M (-39%) $100.3M 3 4 Tag NL/WB 3,382 $2.4M $3.3M $2.4M $8.2M (-45%) $30.4M 2 5 Deadpool 2 Fox 2,420 (-792) $1.48M $2.17M $1.6M $5.25M (-40%) $304.1M 6 6 Solo Dis 2,338 (-844) $1.1M $1.8M $1M $4M (-60%) $202.1M 5 7 Hereditary A24 2,002 (-996) $1.1M $1.5M $1.1M $3.8M (-44%) $35M 3 8 Superfly Sony 2,220 $955K $1.4M $995K $3.3M (-51%) $15.2M 2 9 Infinity War Dis 1,456 (-708) $691K $1M $730K $2.48M (-54%) $669.4M 9 10 Won’t You…Neighbor? Foc 348 (+252) $605K $730K $515K $1.85M (-57%) $62M 3 3RD UPDATE, Saturday AM: Universal/Amblin’s Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom continues to improve, now looking at a $59M Friday –including last night’s $15.3M previews– and an estimated $145.6M opening at 4,475 theaters ahead of its projections, putting the dinosaur movie on better footing toward a $1 billion worldwide end-game. That’s projecting that the sequel does around a 2.5x multiple for $300M stateside, with $500M from overseas and $200M from China, and the feeling from our sources is that’s quite do-able. Here’s how the top 10 films are looking per industry estimates for the weekend of June 22-24: thumb rank film studio screens (chg) fri 3-day (-%) total wk 1 JP: Fallen Kingdom Uni 4,475 $59M $145.6M $145.6M 1 2 Incredibles 2 Dis 4,410 $24.3M (-66%) $79.4M (-56%) $348.8M 2 3 Ocean’s 8 WB/VR 3,656 (-489) $3.4M (-42%) $11.3M (-41%) $99.9M 3 4 Tag NL/WB 3,382 $2.4M (-55%) $7.9M (-47%) $30M 2 5 Deadpool 2 Fox 2,420 (-792) $1.48M (-37%) $5.1M (-41%)) $304M 6 6 Solo Dis 2,338 (-844) $1.2M (-52%) $4.3M (-57%) $202.4M 5 7 Hereditary A24 2,002 (-996) $1.1M (-50%) $3.4M (-51%) $34.6M 3 8 Superfly Sony 2,220 $957K (-49%) $3.1M (-54%) $15.1M 2 9 Infinity War Dis 1,456 (-708) $703K (-51%) $2.4M (-56%) $669.3M 9 10 Won’t You…Neighbor Foc 348 (+252) $545K (+74%) $1.8M (+80%) $4.1M 3 As an industry we’ve become quite spoiled, and continually expect that sequels to movies which originally opened to $100M-plus (even $200M-plus) should always fare better at the B.O. than the first installment. Many Marvel sequels have set this precedent. And while some rivals like to ding Fallen Kingdom for opening at 30% less than Jurassic World’s $208.8M, we need to step back and realize a few things. First of all, there isn’t some grand universe character-driven mythology in the Jurassic World/Jurassic Park movies ala Marvel and Star Wars.<doc-sep>Superheroes have come to the rescue of the US box office. The year's box office profits are up 6% from this time last year, thanks in part to the record-smashing hits "Avengers: Infinity War," "Black Panther" and "Incredibles 2." Now it's up to a pack of genetically-engineered dinosaurs in "Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom" to keep the summer box office momentum going. The Universal Pictures creature feature is the sequel to 2015's "Jurassic World" -- a film that introduced a new generation of moviegoers to the "Jurassic Park" franchise 14 years after the original trilogy was completed. "Jurassic World" is now the fifth highest-grossing film of all time globally. Analysts are projecting that "Fallen Kingdom" will rake in around $144 million in its opening weekend, following a $58.7 million opening day on Friday. That would add to the $430 million the film has already made internationally since opening overseas earlier this month. If "Fallen Kingdom" brings in more than $141 million this weekend, it will make more than the combined total of the 105 films that were in theaters on the corresponding weekend last year, according to comScore data. "Anytime the box office is up more than 5%, it's a real-world gain and not just the product of inflation," said Paul Dergarabedian, senior media analyst at comScore (SCOR). Two films in particular have given 2018 a boost: The profits for "Black Panther" and "Avengers: Infinity War" combined makes up nearly a quarter of the year's totals, according to Dergarabedian. "2018 has been pretty consistent month to month with more hits than misses," he said. January, a historically sluggish box office month, was down less than 1% from the year before thanks to the success of holiday films such as "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" and "The Greatest Showman," both of which were released in December, but continued to do well in January. The box office held steady in February with the release of "Black Panther." Spring was a mixed bag in terms of ticket sales, but there were two surprise hits with March's "I Can Only Imagine," a Christian drama that has made more than 11 times its reported budget, and April's "A Quiet Place," a near-silent horror film that has made 10 times its reported budget. After a stagnant 2017 summer box office, which was the worst in over a decade, this summer's windfall has given studios a much needed relief. Late April's "Infinity War" broke multiple records before going on to become the first film released outside of December to make $2 billion worldwide. After "Deadpool 2's" strong return, the summer stumbled with "Solo: A Star Wars Story." The box office then rebounded with "Ocean's 8" and Pixar's "Incredibles 2," which had the biggest opening for an animated film ever. Related: "Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom" review For the most part, 2018 has avoided major bombs. Even the two films that were arguably 2018's biggest disappointments, "February's "A Wrinkle In Time" and "Solo," still made more than $100 million each domestically. Both are also from Disney, the studio that also has the two highest-grossing movies of the year. "Fallen Kingdom" looks to keep the yearly box office roaring along until a pair of sequels due next month, "Ant-Man and the Wasp" and "Mission: Impossible - Fallout." After that, a eclectic mix of potential blockbusters such as "Mary Poppins Returns" and Oscar contenders like "A Star Is Born" should highlight the second half of 2018.<doc-sep>
UPDATED, Saturday AM: Now at play in 48 offshore markets, Universal/Amblin Entertainment’s Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom is looking at an estimated full weekend opening of $145.9 million after taking $26.8M on Friday. A clear No. 1 in all hubs since it began its rollout June 6, the J.A. Bayona-helmed sequel to the 2015 classic franchise reboot is landing at the high end of the range that our industry sources saw ahead of the bow. The release pattern on this Chris Pratt– and Bryce Dallas Howard-starrer is differently configured than the day-and-date 2015 film, which smashed records when it bowed everywhere three years ago. Given the pent-up demand for that movie, which came 14 years after the previous Jurassic installment, the industry has been cautious about pinning the same tail on these dinos. In like-for-like markets and at today’s exchange rates, Jurassic World opened to $158.6M in 2015. The $145.9M that JWFK is seeing through this weekend is just 8% off that start and is likely to shift some before we get tighter numbers tomorrow. Estimates for the Top 5 markets are Korea at $26.3M, the UK with $18.9M, France with $9.6M, Germany‘s $9M and Taiwan‘s $8.1M. China is still to release on June 15 in a field by itself, and domestic and Latin America head to Isla Nublar on June 22. Currently, JWFK has scored the fifth-biggest international opening weekend of 2018 behind Avengers: Infinity War, Monster Hunt 2, Deadpool 2 and Black Panther (all of those films launched in more than 60 markets in their opening weekends excluding MH2). It will continue to dominate offshore play as the World Cup soccer tournament gets rolling beginning next week. Here are some other stats that T-Rex has been chewing on: With JWFK, Universal had its biggest opening day ever in Hong Kong and Korea. In the latter, JWFK scored the industry’s best opening day of all time on Wednesday (see earlier updates below). The movie had the top June bow ever in Korea, Turkey, Thailand, Vietnam, Iceland and Mongolia. Across the Jurassic franchise, Fallen Kingdom had the best start in 14 markets including those above as well as Estonia, Lithuania, Serbia, Sweden, Ukraine, Indonesia and the Philippines. We’ll have more updates on Sunday. UPDATED, Friday: Adding 23 offshore markets on Thursday, Universal Pictures/Amblin Entertainment’s Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom has upped its international box office to $39.3M in early play. The J.A. Bayona-directed installment was open in 30 total markets through yesterday. Ahead of the start of overseas rollout, industry sources were placing this film’s debut in a $130-$145M range. We now see it handily ticking past $140M. Unsurprisingly given the legacy, JWFK is No. 1 in all releases so far, including the record-breaking start in Korea on Wednesday (see below). That was a holiday, so Thursday’s number was naturally down, but unofficial local reports have it bouncing back up today. The running come through Thursday in Korea is $11.5M. Hong Kong opened with an excellent $739K to score Universal’s biggest opening day of all time. Russia, where they’re getting ready to host a little soccer tournament, bowed with $2.4M, including previews. Ukraine blasted 63% past the previous film with $175K. In keeping with what we see as increased action in the growing South East Asian markets, Thailand opened to $886K and is 19% ahead of 2015’s Jurassic World. The UK, which opens in earnest today, had a second day of previews on Thursday and has now grossed $4.9M. Apart from the UK, India and Taiwan are also launching today. UPDATED, Wednesday writethru: Universal Pictures/Amblin Entertainment’s Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom started offshore rollout in seven overseas markets on Wednesday and served up $20.2M (including previews) in its first dino-stomping steps at the international box office. In total, the J.A. Bayona-directed sequel to 2015’s reboot of the classic franchise will be at play in 48 offshore markets this weekend, one week ahead of the China release, and two before domestic gets its first bite. There was a roaring start in Korea on the Chris Pratt/Bryce Dallas Howard-starrer which opened to a record breaking $9.7M (10.3B won) and over 1M admissions to become the biggest opening day of all time in both admissions and box office. The local Memorial Day bow beats all previous opening day box office records which were previously held by Universal’s own The Mummy (7.4B won) and in terms of admissions by Avengers: Infinity War (980K). Elsewhere, France opened with $1.7M and is No.