Want even more betting news? Sign up for VSiN's free daily newsletter . Listen Live to VSiN's sports betting shows Want even more betting news? Sign up for VSiN's free daily newsletter . Listen Live to VSiN's sports betting shows LAS VEGAS — When the smoke clears, the New York Giants figure to emerge from the 2019 NFL draft with a quarterback. But that is no guarantee, and whether that quarterback will be Dwayne Haskins is an educated guessing game. The curious case of Haskins could turn a mock drafter into a basket case. It’s also an example of why some oddsmakers are beginning to dislike the process of making props on the draft. “Some say Haskins is falling and some say he’s not, so who knows? I think someone knows,” William Hill sportsbook director Nick Bogdanovich said. “Everyone is waiting on information.” Bogdanovich said he spent about three hours Wednesday making lines on draft props. He studied several stories and mock drafts and tried to read between the lines, a process far more complicated than setting a line on the Giants-Cowboys game in Week 1. Smokescreens are as much a part of the draft as fans booing NFL commissioner Roger Goodell and mocking the hairstyle of Mel Kiper Jr. While almost everyone is convinced Arizona will select former Oklahoma quarterback Kyler Murray with the No. 1 pick, the Cardinals continue to deny their decision has been made. Bruce Marshall, editor of the Gold Sheet, submitted his mock draft with Haskins, the former Ohio State quarterback, going to the Giants at No. 6. It’s a popular opinion, believe it or not. The William Hill prop on Haskins’ draft position is 6½. Smart money says bet over the total. It appears Haskins is falling. NFL Network lead draft analyst Daniel Jeremiah excluded Haskins from the top 10 picks in his latest mock draft. Jeremiah has the Giants grabbing Duke quarterback Daniel Jones with the sixth pick, which seems to be a stretch. “I don’t think the Giants are taking a quarterback in the first round, and not one at six,” said VSiN analyst and former NFL executive Michael Lombardi, who suspects the Giants will go for a pass rusher before a passer. Betting the Haskins prop over 6½ is no get-rich-quick scheme, however. Bogdanovich said wagering limits on the draft are only $500 because of the information-based nature of the business. Most books in Las Vegas took losses on last year’s draft when sharp bettors sniffed out some bad lines. The Westgate SuperBook offered a buffet of draft props last year but had posted only one prop as of Thursday morning. Prop betting on the NFL draft, first approved by the Nevada Gaming Control Board in 2017, drew lukewarm wagering action the first two years and it was mostly sharp action. Sign up for the Starting Lineup newsletter and submit your NFL draft questions. We’ll answer our favorites weekly until the draft. The South Point sportsbook prop menu includes the number of wide receivers (2½) to go in the first round and total Southeastern Conference players (12½) drafted in the first. The prop for Big Ten players (7½) in the first round was pounded under the total and taken off the board after one day. William Hill posted a draft position number on a handful of players other than Haskins. The most popular prop will be the number of quarterbacks drafted in the first round. The South Point posted the line at 3½ with an over price of -260. Murray and Haskins are essentially first-round locks. Jones and Missouri’s Drew Lock also figure to go early. “I think Jones will go in the first, and I think it will go over 3½,” Marshall said. “There are so many quarterback-hungry teams.” The Westgate oddsmakers were the first in Las Vegas to post a line on the first pick of the draft. After Murray opened as the -140 favorite (5/7 odds) on March 5, a steady stream of money raised the price, which is now -2500 (1/25 odds). Comparison shoppers will notice a dramatic difference — and a bargain — in the Murray price at William Hill, which posted its draft props Thursday. Murray is -600 to be the No. 1 pick. Five quarterbacks went in last year’s first round, including Josh Rosen to Arizona. If the Cardinals deal Rosen before or during this draft, one fewer QB could go in the first round. “If Arizona trades Rosen somewhere, that could change the dynamic,” Marshall said. Aside from the Cardinals and Giants, the teams in most need of a quarterback are Denver, Cincinnati, Miami and Washington. “I’m still going over 3½ because I don’t know if the Rosen trade happens,” Sunset Station sportsbook director Chuck Esposito said. “It’s such a quarterback-driven league, and we’ve seen how teams are willing to trade up for a QB.”<doc-sep>Who's going where in the NFL draft? We'll find out soon. Tim Heitman/USA TODAY Sports Kyler Murray is the betting favorite to be selected No. 1 overall in the NFL draft, but there is a wide discrepancy in the odds. Where will Dwayne Haskins be picked? Who will take him? Here is a look at some of the notable props being offered as the draft approaches. The draft will be held Thursday-Saturday in Nashville, Tennessee. Who will be the top overall pick? DraftKings Murray -590 Nick Bosa 9-2 Quinnen Williams 10-1 Haskins 33-1 Josh Allen 40-1 Ed Oliver 40-1 FanDuel Murray -1000 Who will be the second pick? Daily Wager A daily sports betting news and information show (6-7 p.m. ET, ESPN2) that aims to better serve the millions of sports fans who participate in sports wagering and help educate general sports fans with in-depth analysis. Watch » FanDuel Bosa -370 Williams +500 Allen +700 Murray +1800 Devin White +2000 Drew Lock +2600 Dwayne Haskins +2600 Jawaan Taylor +3200 Jonah Williams +4100 Dwayne Haskins props Draft Position William Hill O/U: 6.5 Over -260 Under +220 SugarHouse O/U: 10.5 Over +125 Under -167 Team to draft Haskins FanDuel New York Giants +250 Washington Redskins +280 Oakland Raiders +550 Cincinnati Bengals +600 SugarHouse NY Giants +275 Bengals 5-1 Raiders 5-1 Redskins 6-1 Denver Broncos 7-1 Miami Dolphins 7-1 Over/Under on total QBs taken in first round FanDuel: 3.5 Over +190 Under -250 South Point: 3.5 Over -260 Under +220 Over/under on running backs taken in first round DraftKings: 0.5 Over -200 Under +150 Power 5 conference props SEC players taken in Round 1 William Hill O/U: 12.5 Over 12.5 EVEN Under 12.5 -120 South Point O/U: 12.5 Over -120 Under EVEN ACC players taken in Round 1 South Point O/U: 6 Over -120 Under EVEN Big Ten players taken in Round 1 South Point O/U: 7.5 Over -110 Under +110 Big 12/Pac-12 players taken in Round 1 South Point O/U: 4.5 Over -130 Under +110 Who will be first RB taken? FanDuel Josh Jacobs -450 David Montgomery +700 Miles Sanders +950 Justice Hill +2000 Damien Harris +2300 Bryce Love +5000 Devin Singletary +5000 Dexter Williams +5000 Rodney Anderson +5000 Darrell Henderson +5500 Benny Snell Jr. +7000 Myles Gaskin +8000 Alex Barnes +10000 Alexander Mattison +10000 Devine Ozigbo +10000 Elijah Holyfield +10000 Karan Higdon +10000 LJ Scott +10000 Ryquell Armstead +10000 Travis Homer +10000 Who will be the Eagles' first pick? DraftKings Josh Jacobs +600 Marquise Brown +800 Deandre Baker +1200 Jeffery Simmons +1400 Johnathan Abram +1600 Garrett Bradbury +1600 Dexter Lawrence +1600 A.J. Brown +1800 Who will be the Giant's first pick DraftKings Dwayne Haskins +250 Drew Lock +600 Daniel Jones +800 Montez Sweat +800 Josh Allen +1000 Ed Oliver +1000 Jawaan Taylor +1000 Quinnen Williams +1000 Nick Bosa +1200 Kyler Murray +1200<doc-sep>
After seemingly endless weeks of mock 2019 NFL Drafts, pro workout days and big-board updates, NFL Draft week is at last upon us. That also means there are only a few precious days to take what we’ve gleaned from the pre-draft process and hone in on a few of the more attractive proposition NFL Draft bets from the ever-expanding bookmaker draft menu. For our purposes, we’ve limited ourselves to the props posted at the State-side books William Hill, South Point (Las Vegas), FanDuel and Points Bet and compared them with the averages from four recent NFL Mock Drafts conducted by ESPN’s Mel Kiper and Todd McShay, NFL Network’s Daniel Jeremiah, USA Today’s Nate Davis and the MMQB’s Jenny Ventras. Here’s what look to be five value plays: First round picks: Defensive players -2½ offensive players (William Hill) In three of the four mock drafts examined, the offense came out dead even or even slightly ahead with the quarterbacks (four on average) and offensive linemen (6.25 on average) leading the way. Take the 2½ at -110. Number of offensive linemen selected in first round over/under 5.5 (Points Bet) We just gave this one away as we’re going with the over here at -176. All four of the mocks have at least six O-linemen coming off the board among the first 32 picks. Total number of ACC and Big Ten players taken in first round O/U 10.5 (William Hill) This emerged as one of our strongest plays with a combined 13 selected in three of the four mocks we examined and 12 in the other. All four of the mock exercises had six Big Ten players going in the first round and three of the four had seven ACC selections. Pound the over here at -110. Draft position: Drew Lock O/U 10½ (William Hill) The buzz around the Missouri quarterback has been up and down over the last four months, but the needle seems to have settled on a down position here of late with fellow QBs Kyler Murray, Dwayne Haskins and Daniel Jones getting more high-pick hype as the draft approaches. All four of our mock drafts agree and have Lock going 13th or later with an average pick of 21.25. Go with the over at -110, with him likely to be drafted later than the sportsbook predicts. First wide receiver drafted (FanDuel) We thought there would be a little more variance here, but three of the four mocks went with Oklahoma’s Marquise “Hollywood” Brown as the top wideout off the board (all in the 15-25-pick range) with only Ventras going with Ole Miss’ D.K. Metcalf. That makes Brown’s +210 price even more attractive.