Arizona will be seeing rain with the start of the work week. The National Weather Service says remnants of Hurricane Rosa are expected to hit the state Sunday, bringing heavy rain, high winds and the threat of localized flooding. Up to 4 inches (10 centimeters) could fall in some areas through Wednesday. Those include Flagstaff, Payson, Prescott and the Grand Canyon's South Rim. Up to 6 inches (15 centimeters) is forecast at the canyon's North Rim. LIVE RADAR: Conditions in Southern Arizona Seemingly, no part of the state will be left out. Forecasters say metro Phoenix, Yuma, and eastern and western Arizona could see widespread rain up to a couple of inches. Normally dry washes could become flooded, as well as low-lying roadways. FULL FORECAST: Wind and Cooler temps on the way to start October<doc-sep>Tropical Storm Rosa neared Mexico's Baja California Peninsula on Monday, spreading heavy rains that were projected to extend into a drenching of the U.S. Southwest, including Arizona. FULL FORECAST: Track latest storm, rainfall expectations How much rain will Arizona see? The U.S. National Hurricane Center said the center of Rosa, which was a hurricane until late Sunday, should hit Baja California and Sonora state late Monday, bringing 3 to 6 inches of rain. It's then expected to move quickly northwestward as it weakens, bringing 2 to 4 inches of rain to central and southern Arizona and 1 to 2 inches to the rest of the desert Southwest, Central Rockies and Great Basin. Some isolated areas might be more. LIVE RADAR: Track storm activity around Arizona Rosa had maximum sustained winds of 45 mph early Monday and was centered about 90 miles west-southwest of Punta Eugenia in Mexico. It was heading north-northeast at 12 mph. Watches and warnings The National Weather Service earlier announced flash flood watches through Wednesday for areas including southern Nevada, southeastern California, southwestern and central Utah and the western two-thirds of Arizona. Forecasts call for heavy rainfall in the watch areas, which include Las Vegas, Phoenix and Salt Lake City, with possible flooding in slot canyons and normally dry washes and a potential for landslides and debris flows from recent wildfire burn scars. Parts of southern Arizona, including Yuma, saw major flooding as early as Sunday as Rosa began moving in. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Sergio was growing in the Pacific and could become a hurricane force Monday, though it posed no immediate threat to land. Tropical systems in Arizona Arizona has had about 10 tropical systems get within a couple hundred miles of the Valley since the 1960s. Remnant moisture from Tropical Storm Norbert was the last major tropical system to impact the Valley, with record rainfall in September 2014. MAP: Where to find sand and bags for Valley storm flooding That system left hundreds of homes flooded and cars submerged on our freeways.<doc-sep>It's rare for a tropical depression to hit Arizona, but that's exactly what's likely to happen early happen early next week as Hurricane Rosa's remaining energy tracks across the Desert Southwest, delivering flash flooding risks. The National Weather Service has already issued flash flood watches for Monday and Tuesday for western Arizona into southern and eastern Nevada, southeastern California and Utah, including the cities of Phoenix, Flagstaff, Las Vegas, and Salt Lake City. Rosa is expected to take a direct path over Phoenix on Tuesday, approaching late Monday with rain. The National Weather Service in Phoenix noted in a tweet that only "ten tropical cyclones have maintained tropical storm or depression status within 200 miles of Phoenix since 1950! Katrina (1967) was a hurricane within 40 miles of the AZ border." How much rainfall will Rosa bring to Desert Southwest? The latest National Hurricane Center models predict 2 to 4 inches of rainfall, with isolated amounts up to 6 inches in the Mogollon Rim of Arizona. Other areas of the Desert Southwest including the central Rockies and the Great Basin are likely to get 1 to 2 inches, with isolated totals up to 4 inches possible. For those out of flash flood risk, Rosa's rain may be a blessing since the region is drought-stricken. "Although flooding is a very serious concern, some of this rainfall will likely be beneficial since the Southwest is currently experiencing drought conditions. According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, just over 40 percent of Arizona is experiencing at least extreme drought, the second highest category," weather.com reported. First, Hurricane Rosa's path leads to landfall across the Baja California peninsula of Mexico. Rosa, still at hurricane strength Sunday morning with maximum winds of 85 miles per hour, is 385 miles south of Punta Eugenia, Mexico and moving north at 12 miles per hour. The storm is encountering cooler waters in the Pacific and therefore powering down. Thus, it's expected to make landfall in Mexico at tropical storm strength in the afternoon or evening on Monday. Rainfall across portions of Mexico could be heavy, posing a significant flooding risk. "Rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches are expected from Baja California into northwestern Sonora, with up to 10 inches possible," weather.com reported. Rosa will then track north across Mexico as a tropical storm before reaching the Arizona border in the early morning hours Tuesday as a tropical depression, which will then track up through Arizona and into southern Utah by late Tuesday night. "The main hazard expected from Rosa or its remnants is very heavy rainfall in Baja California, northwestern Sonora, and the U.S. Desert Southwest," the National Hurricane Center said. "These rains are expected to produce life-threatening flash flooding and debris flows in the deserts, and landslides in mountainous terrain."<doc-sep>Hurricane Florence: Firefighters wash FISH off the road top stories direct to your inbox SUBSCRIBE Invalid email Sign up to receive our rundown of the day'sdirect to your inbox When you subscribe we will use the information you provide to send you these newsletters. Sometimes they'll include recommendations for other related newsletters or services we offer. Our Privacy Notice explains more about how we use your data, and your rights. You can unsubscribe at any time. The category 4 storm has intensified over the Pacific Ocean and is packing winds of 145mph, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC). In its 10am update, NHC warned: “Little significant change in strength is forecast today, with gradual weakening anticipated by Saturday, and further weakening at a faster rate expected early next week.” Rosa is expected to turn northwest on Friday before moving north into Saturday and then north-northeast on Sunday. “Life-threatening surf and rip current conditions” are expected to hit southwest Mexico, the southern Baja California Peninsula and southern California by the end of this week. No coastal warnings or watches are in place but weather forecasters are keeping a close eye on the storm as it churns over the sea at 9mph. National Weather Service (NWS) San Diego warned “large swells are headed our way” despite the storm's expected weakening on Friday into Saturday. Swells could generate waves as high as three metres. Rosa is set to be a tropical storm when it hits Baja California, Mexico, early next week but this could still bring winds of up to 73mph. HURRICANE ROSA PATH MAPPED: WHERE IS HURRICANE ROSA NOW? Hurricane Rosa tracker: Rosa will hit the western states on Tuesday High wind gusts of this speed can fell trees and down power lines, as well as cause power outages and property damage. Heavy rainfall could also see widespread flooding, as was the case with Hurricane Florence when it hit the Carolina coast. AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski said: “The track of Rosa will keep it well west of Mexico through the weekend, meaning the primary impact to land through the weekend will be limited to rough surf and rip currents along the western coast of Mexico. “Regardless of its exact intensity as it approaches the Baja, moisture from Rosa will be pulled northward and northeastward across northern Mexico and into the southwestern United States. HURRICANE ROSA TRACKER MAPPED: TOSA TO BECOME MAJOR HURRICANE TODAY Hurricane Rosa tracker: Spaghetti model of Rosa's progress “Interaction with a non-tropical weather feature, a southward dip in the jet stream, may allow rain to become widespread and temperatures to plunge over the western US, including much of California.” Rainfall has been sparse up until now with about 0.5 inches falling across the Desert Southwest during October. How many storms have there been this season? Rosa is the the seventh category hurricane of the 2018 Pacific Hurricane season. Hurricane Rosa tracker: The eye of the storm<doc-sep>
Arizona could be drenched next week. The National Weather Service says remnants of Hurricane Rosa are expected to hit the state Sunday, bringing heavy rain, high winds and the threat of localized flooding. FULL FORECAST: Check the latest predictions for storms, rainfall Up to 4 inches could fall in some areas through Wednesday. Those include Flagstaff, Payson, Prescott and the Grand Canyon's South Rim. Up to 6 inches is forecast at the canyon's North Rim. Arizona has about ten tropical systems get within a couple hundred miles of the Valley since the 1960’s. Remnant moisture from Tropical Storm Norbert was the last major tropical system to impact the Valley with record rain in September 2014. That system left hundreds of homes flooded and cars submerged on our freeways. Ken Waters with National Weather Service in Phoenix said this storm brought 100 to 500-year rainfall amounts over portions of Phoenix. Norbert was a testament to how powerful these storms can be, even in the middle of the desert. “The bigger threat is always going be if we have some heavy showers with a lot of rain all at once, we just don't have the capacity to get rid of that water fast enough,” said Waters. Of the last ten tropical cyclones to get close to the Valley, eight of them occurred during the months of September and October making this prime time for remnants of Rosa to move into Arizona. “It may be every 5 to 10 years we have a system like this and this one is following suit over a number of these historical storms,” said Waters. LIVE RADAR: Track conditions around Arizona Seemingly, no part of the state will be left out. Forecasters say metro Phoenix, Yuma, and eastern and western Arizona could see widespread rain up to a couple of inches. Normally dry washes could become flooded, as well as low-lying roadways.