As Hurricane Michael steams toward the Florida panhandle, spaghetti models provide a view of the storm’s track. The storm might become the strongest weather system to strike the panhandle in 13 years. As a result, many people are closely watching the hurricane’s path. These are the latest spaghetti plots for Hurricane Michael. We will be watching the track very closely in our area as well. The closer the remnants get to our area the end of this week, the bigger the rain and flood threat will be. Further southeast it is, less of a flood threat. pic.twitter.com/YpyDLXg7EH — J. Rocco (@jonroccowx) October 9, 2018 Here are some of the best sites you can use to track updated spaghetti models for Hurricane Michael: Cyclocane Water levels will rise well in advance of the arrival of #Michael. It's essential that residents within the storm surge warning area finish preparations to protect life and property today. pic.twitter.com/0Xz3nNkAnr — NHC_Surge (@NHC_Surge) October 9, 2018 Cyclocane has a page that contains continuously updated spaghetti models for Hurricane Michael. You can access it here. The site also has a page with additional weather forecast information about Hurricane Michael that you can see here. NOAA NOAA is also a good place to check for updated Hurricane Michael spaghetti models and forecasts. Make sure you choose “Michael” via the storm ID tab on the top left of the page. Other Spaghetti Models The South Florida Water Management District has a page of updated spaghetti models for hurricanes, including Michael. You can access all of the page’s hurricane model plots here. Choose “storm 14.” Local television stations in the Florida area are also broadcasting spaghetti models. National Weather Service #Michael continues to strengthen, and Storm Surge and Hurricane Warnings are in effect for portions of the Florida Gulf Coast. Here are the 10 AM CDT Key Messages for #Michael https://t.co/tW4KeGdBFb pic.twitter.com/gsY3WBa8Rv — National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic) October 9, 2018 The National Weather Service provides extremely detailed weather forecast, models, and radar for Hurricane Michael broken down by locality. You can find the National Hurricane Center’s hurricane page here, which includes information about Hurricane Michael. On the morning of October 9, 2018, the forecast for Hurricane Michael from NWS read as follows:<doc-sep>All eyes are on Hurricane Michael as the storm approaches Florida and meteorologists are trying to provide the best predictions possible. Where will the storm hit? When should people be prepared? How bad will it be? There's always a level of uncertainty when it comes to hurricanes, but spaghetti models aim to show the most likely path a storm will take. A spaghetti model is a compilation of forecasts from several forecasts, intended to show where each computer believes the storm is headed. Each guess is represented by a thin line, making all the lines together look like spaghetti, hence the name. Storm Vista's spaghetti model from Tuesday showed the National Hurricane Center's (NHC) forecast in a thick, orange line and the other forecasts, including Global Forecast System and European models, are shown in a thin black line. Aside from the outliers, most of the forecasts believe Hurricane Michael will make landfall in Florida and then continue up the southeastern coast before turning out into the Atlantic Ocean. Another spaghetti model, released by the South Florida Water Management District, showed about 20 different trajectories in various colors and shapes. The NHC's forecast shown in red. Michael rapidly intensified Sunday into Monday from a tropical storm to a Category 1 hurricane. The storm continued to gain strength on Tuesday morning with wind speeds of 100 miles per hour making it a Category 2 hurricane. At 11 a.m. EDT, the NHC said in an advisory that aircraft designed to investigate the storm reported Michael was still gaining strength. The storm was located about 360 miles from Panama City, Florida, which was 35 miles closer than it was during the 8 a.m. EDT release. Michael also traveled 30 miles closer to Apalachicola, Florida, coming within 335 miles. Michael will become a major hurricane on Tuesday, according to the NHC, and remain a "dangerous major hurricane" through landfall. Michael continued to move northwest and the forecasted point of landfall shifted west towards Tyndall Air Force Base in Bay County, Florida. After the storm makes landfall on Wednesday, the NHC reported that it will move in a northeastward motion across the southeastern United States on Wednesday night and Thursday. On Friday, Michael is expected to move off the Mid-Atlantic coast and away from the United States. The hurricane's maximum sustained wind speeds increased to 110 miles per hour on Tuesday, putting it only one mile per hour away from being classified as a Category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. While Michael's strength increased, the NHC reported hurricane-force winds extended 35 miles from the center of the storm, a decrease from the 40 miles reported at 8 a.m. EDT. The NHC discontinued a hurricane watch for the coast of Alabama but kept a hurricane warning in place for the Alabama/Florida border to the Suwannee River in Florida. Ahead of the storm, Florida Governor Rick Scott and Alabama Governor Kay Ivey declared a state of emergency for their respective states. Several local governments in Florida also issued mandatory and voluntary evacuation orders, including: Bay County: Mandatory evacuation order for zones A, B and C Citrus County: Mandatory for zone A and mobile homes and RVs Dixie County: Mandatory for coastal, zone A, low lying areas and mobile homes Franklin County: Mandatory for all residents and businesses Gadsden County: Voluntary for mobile home and low lying areas Gulf County: Mandatory for Cape San Blas, Indian Pass, Simmons Bayou, Highland View, Windmark, Port St. Joe, St. Joe Beach, Beacon Hill Hernando County: Voluntary for coastal zone levels A and B Jackson County: Mandatory for mobile homes, manufactured homes and RV parks Jefferson County: Voluntary for coastal, low lying areas and mobile homes Leon County: Voluntary for mobile homes and low lying flood prone areas Levy County: Mandatory for Coastal Levy County Liberty County: Voluntary for mobile homes, substandard housing and low lying areas Okaloosa County: Mandatory evacuation for all properties south of US 98, low lying and coastal areas Pasco County: Voluntary evacuations west of US 19 Santa Rosa County: Voluntary evacuations for mobile home parks, campsites, low lying areas and Navarre Beach Wakulla County: Mandatory for zone A, mobile homes and other weak structures. Walton County: Mandatory for zones A and B Escambia County: Voluntary for zone A and low lying areas During a press briefing on Tuesday, Scott implored residents to take the storm seriously and said there's no reason every family in Florida shouldn't be prepared. "Hurricane Michael is forecast to be the most destructive storm to hit the [Florida] Panhandle in decades," Scott tweeted. "It will be life-threatening and extremely dangerous. You cannot hide from this storm. You can rebuild your home, you cannot rebuild your life." Scott warned residents that the storm surge, which is forecasted to reach up to 12 feet between Indian Pass, Florida, and Cedar Key, Florida, should not be taken lightly, calling it his biggest concern. "When you watch those videos about the tsunamis, that's like three feet and that's deadly," he explained. "We're talking about more than that." Scott instructed tolls in Florida to be waived as people evacuate and activated 2,500 Florida National Guard troops to be ready to respond to the storm. The governor acknowledged that evacuation orders can be an inconvenience, but implored residents to heed orders from officials to save their own life and the lives of their family members. After losing strength, Michael will be a tropical storm when it passes through Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina on Thursday, turning into a post-tropical storm at 8 a.m. EDT on Friday. Winds and rain from Hurricane Michael are forecasted to be felt as north as New England before the storm turns away from the United States.<doc-sep>Michael a major hurricane that's expected to makes landfall on the northeastern Gulf Coast on Wednesday. The National Hurricane Center in Miami is tracking Hurricane Michael, which formed from a tropical depression in the Caribbean Sea on Sunday. Wednesday morning, Michael became a category 4 major hurricane. Tropical Storm Watches and Hurricane Watches have been issued for portions of the Gulf Coast from Alabama-Mississippi border to Tampa Bay, Florida. Hurricane Michael: Spaghetti Models Each line represents a computer model and its best "guess" as to where the center of the storm will go. When plotted together on a map, the flowing together of the multiple models appear like strands of spaghetti -- hence the name, "spaghetti models." Hurricane Michael: Current Forecast Cone On its current path, Hurricane Michael is projected to move northward past the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Gulf of Mexico by late Monday. Further strengthening is forecast as it moves northward across the Gulf of Mexico and toward the Gulf Coast. Hurricane Michael: Current Satellite Map Interests along the northeastern and central Gulf Coast areas are advised to monitor the progress of Hurricane Michael. ► UPLOAD | Send us your weather pictures here ► Download the FREE 11Alive News app now in the iTunes store or on Google Play. ► POWER OUTAGES CHECK | Georgia Power customers, check here. Georgia EMC customers check here.<doc-sep>Hurricane Michael: Tropical storm heading towards Florida top stories direct to your inbox SUBSCRIBE Invalid email Sign up to receive our rundown of the day'sdirect to your inbox When you subscribe we will use the information you provide to send you these newsletters. Sometimes they'll include recommendations for other related newsletters or services we offer. Our Privacy Notice explains more about how we use your data, and your rights. You can unsubscribe at any time. Florida is in the direct path of Hurricane Michael, currently swirling with 100mph winds just 300 miles from land. The storm would be the second within a month to plunge into the US coast, just after hurricane Florence left its mark on North and South Carolina. Michael could hit with more strength than its predecessor and has increased its total wind speeds to 140mph. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration warned Michael will increase in strength - likely hitting land as a category 4 hurricane. FOLLOW HURRICANE MICHAEL LIVE UPDATES RIGHT HERE This will make Michael the strongest hurricane to ever come ashore along the Florida Panhandle in the last 150 years. No hurricane has ever been recorded to have struck the region at such a high level, as Michael's sustained wind speed just recah 140mph - and the hurricane is still strengthening on its path towards land. In fact, Florida's entire Gulf Coast north of Punta Gorda has never recorded a Category 4 or higher hurricane landfall. Hurricane Michael grew into a potentially deadly Category 4 storm on Wednesday before it was due to smash into Florida's Gulf shore with towering waves and roof-shredding winds, the NHC warned. Hurricane Michael path- Latest spaghetti models shows Florida DIRECT HIT Florida Governor Rick Scott issued a stern warning to citizens on ABC's "Good Morning America" program on Tuesday. Asked if there would be more evacuation orders, he said officials were monitoring the situation but that people in potentially affected areas should not take any chances against such a large storm surge. "No one's going to survive," such a wall of water, Scott said. "Don't take a chance." Spaghetti maps and computer models suggest the storm will make landfall on Wednesday afternoon. The storm is expected to make landfall near Panama City, before veering off in a northeasterly direction towards Tallahassee. Hurricane Michael path- Michael is to hit three southwestern US states Hurricane Michael path- Hurricane Michael's full path The NHC forecast the eye of Hurricane Michael to make landfall along the northeastern Gulf of Mexico this morning before tracking across the Florida Panhandle late afternoon local time (night time BST). Hurricane Michael will then move northeastward across the southeastern US tonight and into Thursday, before moving to the Mid Atlantic coast away from the US on Friday. Across the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend, southeast Alabama and areas of southwest and central Georgia, rainfall of up to 12 inches could fall - which may lead to life-threatening flash floods. The threat of tornadoes will also increase in the Florida Panhandle, northern Florida Peninsula and southern Georgia as Michael continues on its deadly path. Creepy skull emerges on Hurricane Michael satellite<doc-sep>
Hurricane Michael, currently a 120-mph Category 3 storm, could become a major hurricane by the time it approaches the Florida Panhandle. Anyone who lives in or is visiting the Florida Panhandle has run out of time to evacuate. State leaders ask anyone who hasn't already evacuated to stay in place. Major Hurricane Michael is likely to retain its strength by the time it makes landfall. As of the National Hurricane Center's latest advisory, Michael is an "extremely dangerous" Category 4 storm with maximum sustained winds of 150 mph -- and even higher gusts. Forecasters say it could gain even more strength before it makes landfall sometime during the day. As of 11 a.m., Michael was about 60 miles south-southwest of Panama City, Florida. Hurricane center forecasters issued a hurricane warning from the Alabama/Florida border to the Suwannee River. In addition, a storm surge warning is in effect from the Okaloosa/Walton County Line to the Anclote River. Spaghetti models of Hurricane Michael Each line represents a computer model's best "guess" of where the center of the storm will go. Together, they look like "spaghetti." Remember, impacts from a tropical system can and do occur miles away from the center. Position and forecast cone of Hurricane Michael This is a map showing the forecast cone for Hurricane Michael, which strengthened from a tropical depression. Satellite and radar The latest satellite and radar image for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea and Atlantic Ocean. Watches and warnings What's a watch? What's a warning? Here are the official alerts that can be issued for your area and what you should do. ►Make it easy to keep up-to-date with more stories like this. Download the WHAS11 News app now.