( CNN ) -- What role did Pakistan play in the operation against Osama bin Laden ? I would be surprised if Pakistan played a significant role in the operation to apprehend and kill Osama bin Laden , based on the fact that the drone strikes that the U.S. conduct in the tribal areas are done covertly , the authorities in Pakistan are not informed until the very last minute , because of the fear of information leaks . An operation of this scale in the central urban heartland of Pakistan would mean that information would be kept on a need-to-know basis . Only a few people within the CIA would have known about this operation , it would definitely not have gone out to another country 's intelligence agency , especially when there 's so little trust with the ISI [ Inter-Services Intelligence , the Pakistani intelligence service ] . There has been a deterioration in relations at a strategic level -- the ISI leaked out the name of the CIA station chief in Islamabad , and a person working out of the U.S. embassy was detained by the Pakistani authorities , allegedly working for the CIA . The fact that the U.S. has been conducting drone strikes is an illustration of the fact that there has been little cooperation -- if not none -- with the Pakistani authorities . We 've seen the evolution of relations between Pakistan and America go from 'frenemies ' to outright enemies . Historically , have the U.S. and Pakistan had good ties ? The relationship has always been problematic , flawed , lacking trust . It goes back to during the time of the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan : The U.S. and the West turned to Pakistan to provide and assist the Mujahideen in removing the Soviets from Afghanistan . There was a strategic relationship , but following the Soviets leaving Afghanistan , that relationship went into suspension . It was only restarted following 9/11 : The Bush Administration turned to General Pervez Musharraf , the military ruler of Pakistan , who at that time had become a social pariah . He was asked to round up the leadership of al Qaeda , of the Taliban , to prevent them from creating an infrastructure inside Pakistan . In return Pakistan would be rewarded with generous aid from the United States and other countries . Musharraf was very skilled at saying all the right things , but doing virtually nothing , and that scenario continued , from 9/11 , right up to the end of Musharraf 's tenure as ruler of Pakistan in 2007 . It took a long time but the U.S. finally began to realise that the promises the Pakistanis were making were empty promises : Nothing of real tangible significance was achieved . Information that was being shared ended up being passed on to al Qaeda , and counterterrorism operations were therefore flawed . The Obama Administration disagreed with the Bush Administration on issues like Iraq , Guantanamo Bay , but the one issue they absolutely built upon was on the drone strikes policy , because if they could n't deal with al Qaeda on the ground , they would try to tackle them from the skies . Drone strikes were increased substantially under the Obama Administration , because there was this lack of trust . The perception was that the U.S. would support Pakistan publicly while pressurising them privately . Over time we 've seen the public support wane . Secretary of State Hillary Clinton , in Pakistan last year , made it clear that she could not believe that the authorities in Pakistan did not know where bin Laden was . What has the reaction been in the region to news of bin Laden 's death ? Keep in mind the fact that there are protests when drone strikes take place in the tribal areas . This operation to take out Osama bin Laden was near the urban heartland of Punjab . This is the core of where the military establishment is from , so there is going to be a falling out . Publicly , the Pakistanis will try to make out that they were aware of the operation , and that they played a role in it . Privately , they will be seething that this was done on their territory . And there will be protests . The radicals and the extremists inside Pakistan -- whose infrastructure has not been dismantled , as Musharraf had promised -- they will organize mass protests . There will be propaganda by the radicals and the extremists to try and exploit the situation . U.S. interests , U.S. personnel , U.S. embassies and consulates will have to take extra precautions . If bin Laden 's death is of symbolic seismic significance , then the fallout in Pakistan will be equally matched . There is always a reaction . But keep in mind that the reaction may not come from al Qaeda -- it may come from an affiliate , from the groups that have emerged or are emerging from al Qaeda 's shadows : Lashkar-e-Toiba , the Pakistani Taliban , al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula . These groups have the infrastructure , the resources , the personnel and the desire to plot and plan mass casualty attacks , and they may be in a better position than bin Laden 's al Qaeda to carry out a reprisal attack . Will Osama bin Laden 's death have a wider impact ? Al Qaeda central is not the group it once was : the drone strikes have been confining their operational space , one by one the leadership has been picked off , they do n't have the ability to train people from the West as they once could . Their resources are depleted , they are not able to replenish their ranks , so Al Qaeda central may not be able to cause a significant reaction , but other groups are potentially in a better position to do it . There will be problems that will emerge from this -- the worry is that we do n't know potentially what they could be , or when . The silence is going to be the greatest fear , because it 's not necessarily that these groups would want to carry out attacks regionally or globally imminently . They may wait , they may bide their time . We 're talking about weeks , months . Al Qaeda 's affiliates have always had very long term thinking -- it 's not about today or tomorrow , it 's about next year . They wo n't necessarily want to carry out something that will fail and humiliate the group further . We also have to bear in mind that bin Laden has been killed , but his deputy , Ayman al-Zawahiri is still at large . He has very much taken on the mantle of issuing al Qaeda 's messages : Audio , video , through the internet ; and his protégé , Abu Yahya al-Libi is also out there . They will certainly be issuing a message at some point , trying to create a rallying call for vengeance , to inspire their adherents and followers to take up arms . Bin Laden may be dead , but his ideology still lives , and the message will continue to indoctrinate young , impressionable minds across the world .
Gohel : Pakistani authorities will have been kept in the dark because of a lack of trust . Terrorism and propaganda set to justify the death of Khalid bin Mohammed , he says . Pakistan : Retaliation attacks are likely , but will not happen immediately .