( CNN ) -- With the Emmy Awards this weekend , it 's time for the predictions . Who will defend their crown ? Who will take home a statuette for the first time ? Who should win ? And who will win ? Here are our prognostications . Tell us yours in the comments section below . Outstanding drama series . Although `` Mad Men '' has the most victories in the drama series category and `` Game of Thrones '' leads with 16 nominations , neither of these two shows is a sure thing . ( `` Mad Men '' was shut out last year , and if the Creative Arts Emmys this year are any indication , `` Game of Thrones '' wo n't sweep ) . The real race is between defending champion `` Homeland , '' which won last year for its freshman season , and `` Breaking Bad , '' which has better odds to triumph given that the critically acclaimed show 's fifth season is its last . As a four-time nominee , voters might feel like giving `` Bad '' a hug goodbye , so the show will likely win . Photos : 'Breaking Bad 's ' most memorable scenes . But as far as creative ambition and strength of storytelling , the epic `` Game of Thrones '' pulls off the bigger feat and should win . ( Unfortunately , historically Emmy voters tend not to favor fantasy shows , save for `` Lost '' before its supernatural elements became prominent ) . Outstanding comedy series . A sentimental choice might also rule the comedy series category . Just as `` Breaking Bad '' is the favorite to win the drama race in its last season , so could `` 30 Rock '' take the comedy crown . If Facebook could predict the Emmy winners ... However , `` 30 Rock '' has won three times ( 2007 , 2008 and 2009 ) , so it does n't provide the same element of righting a wrong to give it one last Emmy , and the show has been shut out ever since `` Modern Family '' stole its winning streak . Last season of `` Modern Family , '' however , was n't a laugh riot , and voter fatigue could be an issue here -- how many times can this show continue to win ? A newcomer to the ballot , `` Louie '' has a singular vision and has influenced other shows in its category ( i.e . `` Girls '' ) , which might help break the comedy category from the ensemble-oriented tunnel vision . Unlike `` Girls , '' `` Louie '' does n't have a backlash problem -- and the show has nods for writing , directing , acting and editing , a total package . `` Modern Family '' might win again , `` 30 Rock '' might even get some love , but `` Louie '' should score . Photos : What we 'll miss most from '30 Rock ' Outstanding TV movie/miniseries . `` Game Change '' was a clear favorite in the TV movie/miniseries category last year , and this year , it 's Steven Soderbergh 's `` Behind the Candelabra , '' starring Michael Douglas as Liberace and Matt Damon as his lover , Scott Thorson , with 15 nominations . Photos : 'Behind the Candelabra ' `` Candelabra '' will dominate , but would it be crazy if `` American Horror Story : Asylum '' took the prize ? With 17 nominations and the most out-there topics -- Nazi experiments , demonic possessions , alien abductions and serial killers -- the show still managed to be as poignant as it was camp . No easy feat . Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series . Of course , all of these shows depend on the strength of their actors . Stand-up comics , however , rarely win acting Emmys , but this might be the year that changes that trend , if Louis C.K . can take home an award . ( He looks poised to do so , after his recent win at the Critics ' Choice Television Awards and Television Critics Association Awards ) . Coming up on his heels are last year 's winner , Don Cheadle , for `` House of Lies , '' crowd favorite Jim Parsons for `` Big Bang Theory , '' Alec Baldwin , who took home the Emmy in 2008 and 2009 but is on his last chance for `` 30 Rock , '' and Jason Bateman , the sole nominee from `` Arrested Development . '' Cheadle did n't submit a showcase episode , so there 's room for an upset here . Louis C.K . can and should win . Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series . As for comedy actresses , Tina Fey , Edie Falco and Julia Louis-Dreyfus have all won Emmys for their respective roles on `` 30 Rock , '' `` Nurse Jackie '' and `` Veep . '' Fey might get the sentimental vote for being the show 's creator and the show having its last season , but it 's also time for her pal Amy Poehler to get a win for `` Parks and Recreation . '' ( And if either one wins , they could do a speech together ! Hilarity would ensue . ) Outstanding leads in a drama series . In the Emmy race for drama actor and actress , `` Homeland '' hopes for a repeat of its sweep . This year , Claire Danes is the only former Emmy winner in her field , which includes Elisabeth Moss ( `` Mad Men '' ) , Michelle Dockery ( `` Downton Abbey '' ) , Vera Farmiga ( `` Bates Motel '' ) , Kerry Washington ( `` Scandal '' ) and Robin Wright ( `` House of Cards '' ) . While Danes has the more flamboyant role , she has a rival in Washington , who is also a favorite and might become the first African-American actress to win best actress in this category . Kerry Washington : Emmys 'it girl ' But previous Oscar nominee Farmiga should win . As the mother of a teenage Norman Bates , she plays a role that is at turns neurotic , obsessive and sympathetic , creating a character who might be even more dangerous in some ways than her serial killer son . ( Though Moss would be shut out -- again -- she 's really more deserving for best actress for her movie/miniseries `` Top of the Lake , '' even if Jessica Lange is the favorite in that category ) . Bryan Cranston : Emmys man of the moment . Meanwhile , Bryan Cranston lost out to Damian Lewis last year , but Cranston is the favorite to win this year , what with the series finale of `` Breaking Bad '' airing just a week after the Emmys . If Cranston wins , this would be his fourth Emmy , and he would tie with `` NYPD Blue '' star Dennis Franz for most wins in this category . Even though his competition includes two-time Oscar winner Kevin Spacey for `` House of Cards '' and always-a-nominee , never-a-winner Jon Hamm for `` Mad Men , '' Cranston will and should win . Say his name , Emmy voters !
How will `` Breaking Bad '' fare as it wraps up its final season ? Can `` Modern Family '' maintain its comedy streak ? Will stand-up comic Louis C.K . nab an Emmy this year ? Pals Tina Fey and Amy Poelher are both nominated -- will either win ?