In our initial heuristic analyses, we often predict \(s^\dagger _\pm \) 
and \(\alpha \)  from the morphology of the light curve
[1]}, [2]},
\(s^\dagger _\pm = {\sqrt{4 +u_{\rm anom}}\pm u_{\rm anom}\over 2};\qquad \tan \alpha = {u_0\over \tau _{\rm anom}},\) 
