To test whether selecting systems that have experienced
spontaneous transitions could bias the analysis towards false
positive detection of early warning signals, (the Prosecutor's
Fallacy) we selected replicates conditional on having collapsed
in the simulations. We then selected a window around each system
that ended just before the collapse, while the population values
were still above the Allee threshold. For each replicate, we
calculated the most common early warning indicators, variance and
autocorrelation [1]}, [2]}, [3]},
around a moving window equal to half the length of that time series.
