Given the typical limitations in
the amount of available data in these applications, it is likely that
it will be rather difficult to go substantially (if at all) beyond
the Gaussian regime given by the central limit theorem. In this case,
one could use rare event algorithms dedicated to compute Donsker-Varadhan
type large deviation functions in numerical models that have been
developed in recent years [1]}, [2]},
and very recently applied to study heat waves in a climate model [3]}.
