Every global recession since 1970 has been preceded by at least a doubling of the oil price, and every time the oil price has fallen by half and stayed down for six months or so, a major acceleration of global growth has followed.
Il prezzo del petrolio, dopo essersi abbassato da 100 a 50 dollari, oggi si aggira proprio intorno a questa soglia critica. Dunque, ci si deve aspettare che 50 dollari siano il prezzo minimo o massimo del nuovo “trading range” del petrolio?