It is probably not the case that Daniel grabbed the milk. There is almost no chance that Antoine is thirsty. There is little chance that Lily is yellow. There is little chance that if 'Lily is yellow' or 'Daniel grabbed the milk' or both then Mary moved to the garden. It is probable that if 'Antoine is thirsty' or 'Daniel grabbed the milk' or both then John discarded the apple. Chances are slight that if either 'Antoine is thirsty' or 'Daniel grabbed the milk' but not both then Winona is a mouse.
There is almost no chance that 'Daniel grabbed the milk and Winona is a mouse'.
There is almost no chance that 'Daniel grabbed the milk and Winona is a mouse'.
It is likely that 'Daniel grabbed the milk and Winona is a mouse'.

  and(A,B) :- A,B.
  or(A,B) :- A;B.
  nand(A,B) :- not(and(A,B)).
  nor(A,B) :- not(or(A,B)).
  xor(A,B) :- or(A,B), nand(A,B).

  %hop0
  0.25::factA.
  0.02::factB.
  0.1::factC.
  %hop1
  0.1::factX:-or(factC,factA).
  0.7::factY:-or(factB,factA).
  0.1::factZ:-xor(factB,factA).

  %hop2
  conclusion:-and(factA,factZ).

  query(conclusion).
  
'Daniel grabbed the milk and Winona is a mouse'.