A man sits on the edge of a dock with a fishing pole , facing a cloudy sky and still water .
Chances are about even that the man is trying to catch his wedding ring that fell in the water .
Chances are about even that the man is trying to catch his wedding ring that fell in the water .
There is almost no chance that the man is trying to catch his wedding ring that fell in the water .
The man is trying to catch his wedding ring that fell in the water .