A woman in purple overalls and sandals is painting on a balcony with a standing wooden easel .
There is a better than even chance that a woman is painting flowers on a balcony on a sunny day .
There is a better than even chance that a woman is painting flowers on a balcony on a sunny day .
It is highly unlikely that a woman is painting flowers on a balcony on a sunny day .
A woman is painting flowers on a balcony on a sunny day .