A woman is at an ice cream shop and she is waiting for the man to scoop her ice cream .
There is a better than even chance that a man in a red cap is serving a woman icecream .
There is a better than even chance that a man in a red cap is serving a woman icecream .
It is impossible that a man in a red cap is serving a woman icecream .
A man in a red cap is serving a woman icecream .