A little girl sits on top of a pumpkin in front of an arrangement of vivid flowers outside .
Chances are about even that a girl is sitting on a prize-winning pumpkin at a fair .
Chances are about even that a girl is sitting on a prize-winning pumpkin at a fair .
It is almost certain that a girl is sitting on a prize-winning pumpkin at a fair .
A girl is sitting on a prize-winning pumpkin at a fair .