A hooded man with a beard is walking up concrete steps carrying a red bag as a policeman stares out at the water threatening to invade the steps .
It is almost certain that the policeman thinks the man is going to break the law .
There is little chance that the policeman thinks the man is going to break the law .
It is almost certain that the policeman thinks the man is going to break the law .
The policeman thinks the man is going to break the law .