A man with a hat and long gray beard , wearing cross , is holding a napkin and striped box .
It is almost certain that a man with a hat is holding a napkin and striped box .
It is almost certain that a man with a hat is holding a napkin and striped box .
Chances are about even that a man with a hat is holding a napkin and striped box .
A man with a hat is holding a napkin and striped box .