A woman in a green winter coat stands with a cart in the middle of a department store isle .
There is a better than even chance that the woman is in a winter coat because it 's cold outside .
There is a better than even chance that the woman is in a winter coat because it 's cold outside .
It is highly unlikely that the woman is in a winter coat because it 's cold outside .
The woman is in a winter coat because it 's cold outside .