A woman who is dressed up peddles on her bike while holding an umbrella .
It is probable that it is raining and the woman is on her bike trying to get home quickly .
It is probable that it is raining and the woman is on her bike trying to get home quickly .
It is probably not the case that it is raining and the woman is on her bike trying to get home quickly .
It is raining and the woman is on her bike trying to get home quickly .