A man with a hat and long gray beard , wearing cross , is holding a napkin and striped box .
Chances are about even that a man with a hat is holding a napkin and striped box to eat lunch later .
Chances are about even that a man with a hat is holding a napkin and striped box to eat lunch later .
There is almost no chance that a man with a hat is holding a napkin and striped box to eat lunch later .
A man with a hat is holding a napkin and striped box to eat lunch later .