Comment: Can someone please tell me on what basis analysts keep saying that the secret ballot will fail to remove Zuma? ANC MPs are well aware that Zuma is using State Intelligence to spy on them, so they'd be too paranoid to tell anyone if they intend to vote against Zuma.

It is the ANC's interest to remove Zuma. Opposition parties are getting political mileage everyday Zuma remains in power and everytime the ANC caucus fails to vote against him the votes of no confidence. There best chance of retaining power in 2019 is to remove Zuma now, as this will effectively end Dlamini Zuma's campaign, they can unite around Rhamaposa and focus on the ANC 2019 campaign. Do analsyts not see this, or do they really believe that ANC MPs are too politically naive not to see this?

No one of significance in the ANC is going to openly admit that Zuma might lose this vote, or that voting Zuma out is in the best interest of the ANC. They're politicians, not idiots. Analsysts need to read between the lines!