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singhsidhukuldeep 
posted an update Oct 14
Post
2008
Just started going through the latest "State of AI Report 2024", and I cannot get over the predictions!

The report predicts major developments in AI over the next 12 months, including a $10B+ investment from a sovereign state into a large US AI lab, triggering national security scrutiny, and a viral app created by someone without coding skills.

It forecasts changes in data collection practices due to frontier labs facing trials, softer-than-expected EU AI Act implementations, and the rise of an open-source alternative to OpenAI GPT-4 outperforming in benchmarks.

NVIDIA’s dominance will remain largely unchallenged, investment in humanoid robots will decline, Apple’s on-device AI research will gain momentum, and a research paper by an AI scientist will be accepted at a major conference.

Lastly, a GenAI-based video game is expected to achieve breakout success.

Yet to go through all 200+ pages... will post summarized thoughts later.
DeFactOfficial

All sounds entirely possible...

I could see the Saudis putting 10bil into an AI lab. They have the money but so far their homegrown AI companies have not delivered anything close to stuff from America, Europe, or China.

Incompetent coders make viral apps all the time, because often viral apps do nothing particularly interesting, they just have an amusing theme. So that's also possible.

Open source AI beating gpt4? I'd say that's already happening... But openai is already moving on from gpt4, o1-preview is nothing close to what gpt5 will be, so openai still has their head start.

Yes to Nvidia staying dominant... There's not enough chip fabs to accommodate a new Nvidia sized rival.

Apple's on device ai, maybe, so far I'm not too impressed but...

And I don't know what they mean by an AI powered video game, but certainly AI will have a key role in video games going forward

DeFactOfficial

All sounds entirely possible...

I could see the Saudis putting 10bil into an AI lab. They have the money but so far their homegrown AI companies have not delivered anything close to stuff from America, Europe, or China.

Incompetent coders make viral apps all the time, because often viral apps do nothing particularly interesting, they just have an amusing theme. So that's also possible.

Open source AI beating gpt4? I'd say that's already happening... But openai is already moving on from gpt4, o1-preview is nothing close to what gpt5 will be, so openai still has their head start.

Yes to Nvidia staying dominant... There's not enough chip fabs to accommodate a new Nvidia sized rival.

Apple's on device ai, maybe, so far I'm not too impressed but...

And I don't know what they mean by an AI powered video game, but certainly AI will have a key role in video games going forward

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