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title: "Publications"
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## Peer-Reviewed Journal Articles

* <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2016) Mapping climate mechanisms likely to favour the emergence of novel communities. Nature Climate Change. [DOI](10.1038/nclimate3127). Coverage in Pacific Standard Magazine, Science Nordic, and Wisconsin Public Radio.

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2016) Timing and causes of a middle Holocene mammoth extinction on St. Paul Island, Alaska. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 113: 9310-9314. [DOI](10.1073/pnas.1604903113). Coverage in New York Times, Atlantic, Guardian, AP, BBC, Washington Post, and cover article in Nov 2016 issue of Discover Magazine.

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2016) Statistically-estimated tree composition for the northeastern United States at the time of Euro-American settlement. PLoS 11:e0150087. [DOI](10.1371/journal.pone.0150087)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2016) Downscaled and debiased climate simulations for North America from 21,000 years ago to 2100AD. Scientific Data 3:160048. [DOI](10.1038/sdata.2016.48)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2016) A controlled comparison of species- and community-level models across novel climates and communities. Proceedings of the Royal Society B. 283: 20152817. [DOI](10.1098/rspb.2015.2817)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2016) Quantifying pollen-vegetation relationships to reconstruct forests using 19th-century forest composition and pollen data. Quaternary Science Reviews. 137: 156-175. [DOI](10.1016/j.quascirev.2016.01.012)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2016) Benchmarking historical CMIP5 land-climate feedbacks across the Upper Midwest and Northeastern United States Journal of Geophysical Research. [DOI](10.1002/2015JG003175)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. and <NAME>. (2016) The Effect of Anthropogenic Land Cover Change on Pollen-Vegetation Relationships in the American Midwest. bioRxiv, p.037051. [DOI](10.1101/037051)

* <NAME>.†, <NAME>.†, <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2015) The rise of novelty in ecosystems. Ecological Applications.  25: 2051-2068. † these authors contributed equally to the paper.  Invited paper for 100th anniversary issue of Ecological Applications. [DOI](10.1890/14-1781.1)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., & <NAME>. (2015) Pronounced variations in Fagus grandifolia abundances in the Great Lakes region during the Holocene. The Holocene. [DOI](10.1177/0959683615612586)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., & <NAME>. (2015) Modeling species and community responses to past, present, and future episodes of climatic and ecological change.  Annual Review of Ecology and Evolutionary Systematics 46: 343-368. [DOI](10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-112414-054441)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., & <NAME>. (2015) Close agreement between pollen-based and forest inventory-based models of vegetation turnover. Global Ecology & Biogeography 24: 905-916. [DOI](10.1111/geb.12300)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., & <NAME>. (2015) Cahokia’s emergence and decline coincided with shifts of flood frequency on the Mississippi River. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 112: 6319-6324. [DOI](10.1073/pnas.1501904112)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2015) neotoma: A Programmatic Interface to the Neotoma Paleoecological Database. Open Quaternary 1:1-17. [DOI](10.5334/oq.ab)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., & <NAME>. (2014) Climate remains an important driver of post-European vegetation change in the eastern United States. Global Change Biology. [DOI](10.1111/gcb.12779)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2014) Combined speeds of climate and land-use change of the conterminous US until 2050. Nature Climate Change 4: 811-816. [DOI](10.1038/nclimate2337)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2014) A record of sustained prehistoric and historic land use from the Cahokia region, Illinois, USA. Geology 42: 499-502. [DOI](10.1130/G35541.1)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2014) Defining the spatial patterns of historical land use associated with the indigenous societies of eastern North America. Journal of Biogeography. [DOI](10.1111/jbi.12386)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2014) Climate refugia: joint inference from fossil records, species distribution models and phylogeography. New Phytologist 204: 37-54. [DOI](10.1111/nph.12929)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2014) Approaches to advance scientific understanding of macrosystems ecology. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 12: 15-23. [DOI](10.1890/130019)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., de B<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2014) Looking forward through the past: identification of 50 priority research questions in palaeoecology. Journal of Ecology 102: 256-267. [DOI](10.1111/1365-2745.12195)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2014) A framework for evaluating the influence of climate, dispersal limitation, and biotic interactions using fossil pollen associations across the late Quaternary. Ecography 37. [DOI](10.1111/ecog.00779)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2013) Ecophysiology of novel vegetation types under scenarios of global warming. Global Ecology and Biogeography 23: 156-167. [DOI](10.1111/geb.12110)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2013) Can space substitute for time in predicting climate-change effects on biodiversity? Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 110, 9374-9379. [DOI](10.1073/pnas.1220228110)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2013) Model systems for a no-analog future:  Species associations and climates during the last deglaciation. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences. [DOI](10.1111/nyas.12226)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2013) Linking abundances of the dung fungus Sporormiella to the density of American bison (Bison bison): implications for assessing grazing by megaherbivores in paleorecords. Journal of Ecology 101, 1125–1136. [DOI](10.1111/1365-2745.12130)

* <NAME>. and <NAME>. (2013) Climatic and biotic velocities for woody taxa distributions over the last 16,000 years in eastern North America. Ecology Letters 16, 773-781. [DOI](10.1111/ele.12110)

* <NAME>. and <NAME>. (2013) Projected climate reshuffling based on multivariate climate-availability, climate-analog, and climate-velocity analyses:  implications for community disaggregation. Climatic Change 119, 659-675. [DOI](10.1007/s10584-013-0752-1)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2013) Vegetation history in central Kentucky and Tennessee (USA) during the last glacial and deglacial periods. Quaternary Research 79: 189-198. [DOI](10.1016/j.yqres.2012.12.005)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2012) Modeling the climatic drivers of spatial patterns in vegetation composition since the Last Glacial Maximum. Ecography 36, 460-473. [DOI](10.1111/j.1600-0587.2012.07852.x)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2012) No-analog climates and shifting realized niches during the late Quaternary:  Implications for species distribution models. Global Change Biology 18, 1698-1713. [DOI](10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02635.x)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2012) The Ice Age Ecologist:  Testing methods for reserve prioritization during the last global warming. Global Ecology & Biogeography 22, 289-301. [DOI](10.1111/j.1466-8238.2012.00760.x)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2012) Deposition times in the northeastern United States during the Holocene:  establishing valid priors for Bayesian age models. Quaternary Science Reviews 48: 54-60. [DOI](10.1016/j.quascirev.2012.05.019)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2012) Climatic and megaherbivory controls on late-glacial vegetation dynamics: A new, high-resolution, multi-proxy record from Silver Lake, Ohio. Quaternary Science Reviews 34: 66-80. [DOI](10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.12.008)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2012) Projected vegetation changes for the American southwest:  Combined dynamical modeling and bioclimatic envelope approach. Ecological Applications 22: 1365-1388. [DOI](10.1890/11-1269.1)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2012) Vegetation and land carbon projections for Wisconsin, USA,  in the 21st century. Climate Research 54: 149-165. [DOI](10.3354/cr01105)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2012) Paleoecoinformatics: Applying geohistorical data to ecological questions. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 27: 104-112. [DOI](10.1016/j.tree.2011.09.009)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2012) Approaching a state-shift in Earth's biosphere. Nature 486:52-58. [DOI](10.1038/nature11018)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2012) Managed relocation:  Integrating the scientific, regulatory, and ethical challenges. Bioscience 62: 732-743. [DOI](10.1525/bio.2012.62.8.6)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2012) Global climate evolution during the last deglaciation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 109: E1134-E1142. [DOI](10.1073/pnas.1116619109)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2011) Identifying climatic analogs for Wisconsin under 21st-century climate-change scenarios. Climatic Change. [DOI](10.1007/s10584-011-0261-z)

*	Par<NAME>. and <NAME>. (2011) Influences of climate, cattle density, and lake morphology on Sporormiella abundances in modern lake sediments in the US Great Plains. The Holocene. [DOI](10.1177/0959683611425550)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2011) Pollen-based continental climate reconstructions at 6 and 21 ka: a global synthesis. Climate Dynamics 37: 775-802.

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2011) A methodological framework for improved paleovegetation mapping from late-Quaternary pollen records. Quaternary Science Reviews 30: 1926-1939.
48.	<NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2011) Extrinsic and intrinsic forcing of abrupt ecological change:  Case studies from the late Quaternary, Journal of Ecology 99: 667-677.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2011) Late-Quaternary variations in tree cover at the northern forest-tundra ecotone. Journal of Geophysical Research – Biogeosciences 116: G01017.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2010). The complex seasonal cycle of ecohydrology in the southwest United States.  Journal of Geophysical Research – Biogeosciences 115: G04034.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2010). Holocene precipitation seasonality captured by a dual hydrogen and oxygen isotope approach at Steel Lake, Minnesota. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 300: 205-214.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2010). Assessing antiquity and turnover of terrestrial ecosystems in eastern North America using fossil pollen data: a preliminary study. Pages in IOP Conference Series:  Earth and Environmental Science. [DOI](10.1088/1755-1315/1089/1081/012005)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2010). Barrier requirements as the evolutionary "driver" of epidermal pigmentation in humans. American Journal of Human Biology 22: 526-537.

*	<NAME>., and <NAME>. (2010). Globally downscaled climate projections for assessing the conservation impacts of climate change. Ecological Applications 20: 554-565.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. and <NAME>., III (2010) Rapid, time-transgressive, and variable responses to early-Holocene midcontinental drying in North America.  Geology 38: 135-138.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2010) Comment. Journal of the American Statistical Association 105: 900-905.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2009). Pleistocene megafaunal collapse preceded novel plant communities and enhanced fire regimes. Science 326: 1100-1103. [DOI](10.1126/science.1179504) Winner of Ecological Society of America’s Cooper Award. Media attention included interviews with NPR and BBC and articles in the New York Times, the Economist, and Science News.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2009). Expanded response-surfaces: A new method to reconstruct paleoclimates from fossil pollen assemblages that lack modern analogues. Quaternary Science Reviews 28: 3315-3332.

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. and <NAME>. (2009) A modern plant-climate research dataset for modelling eastern North American plant taxa. Grana 48: 1-18.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>. and <NAME>. (2009) Rapid responses of the Midwestern prairie-forest ecotone to early Holocene aridity. Global and Planetary Change 66: 195-207.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2009). Evidence that stress to the epidermal barrier influenced the development of pigmentation in humans. Pigment Cell and Melanoma Research 22:420-434.

*	<NAME>., and <NAME>. (2008). Obtaining accurate and precise environmental reconstructions from the modern analog technique and North American surface pollen dataset. Quaternary Science Reviews 27:  669-687.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2008) Leaf area index for northern and eastern North America at the Last Glacial Maximum:  A data-model comparison.  Global Ecology and Biogeography 17: 122-134.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2008) Variations in leaf area index in northern and eastern North America over the past 21,000 years:  A data-model comparison.  Quaternary Science Reviews 27: 1453-1466.

*	<NAME>. Oh<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2008) Exporting the ecological effects of climate change. EMBO Reports, 9 S1: S28-S33.

*	<NAME>. <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2008) Associations among modern pollen, vegetation, and climate in western North America. Quaternary Science Reviews, 27: 1939-2094.

*	<NAME>. and <NAME>. (2007) Novel Climates, No-Analog Plant Communities, and Ecological Surprises:  Past and Future.  Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment  5: 475-482.  Winner of ESA 100 Notable Papers award.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2007) Projected distributions of novel and disappearing climates by 2100AD.  Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 104: 5738-5742. [DOI](10.1073/pnas.0606292104). Media reporting included interviews with NBC Nightly News, NPR All Things Considered, and BBC World News, and articles in Discover Magazine and Science.

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2007) Satellite- and pollen-based quantitative woody cover reconstructions for northern Asia:  verification and application to late-Quaternary pollen data. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 264: 284-298.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2006).  Summer aridity in the United States:  Response to Mid-Holocene changes in insolation and sea surface temperature.  Geophysical Research Letters 33. [DOI](10.1029/2006GL028012)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2006)  Human impacts, plant invasion, and imperiled species in California.  Ecological Applications 16: 1338-1350.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2006) Observed vegetation-climate feedbacks in the United States. Journal of Climate 19: 763-786.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2005) Simulated 21st century changes in regional water balance of the Great Lakes region and links to changes in global temperature and poleward moisture transport. Geophysical Research Letters 32. [DOI](10.1029/2005GL023506)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2005) Diversity and productivity across plant communities of the inland northwest, USA. Oecologia 143/144: 607-618.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2005) Anthropogenic impacts upon plant species richness and net primary productivity in California. Ecology Letters 8: 127-137.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., III, <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2005). North American and Greenland modern pollen data for multi-scale paleoecological and paleoclimatic applications. Quaternary Science Reviews 24, 1828-1848.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2004) Scale dependence in the species-richness-productivity relationship: The role of species turnover.  Ecology 85: 2701-2708.

*	<NAME>. and <NAME>. (2004) Modern analogs in Quaternary paleoecology:  Here today, gone yesterday, gone tomorrow? Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences 32: 495-537.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., III, <NAME>., <NAME>. (2004) Late Quaternary vegetation dynamics in North America:  Scaling from taxa to biomes.  Ecological Monographs 74: 309-334. Editor’s Choice in Science, May 21, 2004.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2003) A statistical approach to evaluating distance metrics and analog assignments for pollen records. Quaternary Research 60: 356-367.

*	<NAME>. and <NAME>. (2003) Palynological and AVHRR observations of modern vegetational gradients in eastern North America.  The Holocene 13: 485-497.

*	<NAME>. (2003)  Variations in tree cover in North America since the Last Glacial Maximum.  Global and Planetary Change 35: 1-23.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>.  (2002) Rapid and widespread vegetation responses to past climate change in the North Atlantic region.  Geology 30:  971-974. Featured in Post (2003) TREE commentary.  

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2002) The anatomy of a climatic oscillation:  Vegetation change in eastern North America during the Younger Dryas chronozone. Quaternary Science Reviews 21:  1777-1791.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2001) Dissimilarity analyses of late-Quaternary vegetation and climate in eastern North America.  Ecology.  82:  3346-3362.  Editor’s Choice in Science (2002) 295: 409. Winner of Ecological Society of America’s Cooper Award.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>, T., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2000) Late Quaternary biomes of Canada and the eastern United States.  Journal of Biogeography 27: 585-607.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2000) Pollen-based biomes for Beringia 18,000, 6000, and 0 14C yr. B.P.  Journal of Biogeography 27: 521-554.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2000) Data-model comparisons for eastern North America - inferred biomes and climate values from pollen data.  Proceedings of the 3rd Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project Workshop, Oct. 4-8, 1999. Montreal, Canada. Edited by <NAME>. WCRP-111, WMO/TD-No. 1007, pp. 77-86.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2000) Do low CO2 concentrations affect pollen-based reconstructions of LGM climates? A response to ‘Physiological significance of low atmospheric CO2 for plant-climate interactions’ by Cowling and Sykes. Quaternary Research 53: 402-404.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2000)  Vegetation and environments in eastern North America during the last glacial maximum. Quaternary Science Reviews 19: 489-508.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (1998) Applying plant functional types to construct biome maps from eastern North American pollen data: comparisons with model results. Quaternary Science Reviews 17: 607-627.

*	<NAME>. (1995) Factors controlling the formation of fossiliferous beds in the Devonian Columbus limestone at Marblehead Quarry, Marblehead, Ohio.  Ohio Journal of Sciences 95:  325-330.  (OJS Paper of the Year)

## Non-Peer-Reviewed Journal Articles

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2015) Reply to Baires et al.: Shifts in Mississippi River flood regime remain a contributing factor to Cahokia’s emergence and decline. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 112:E3754-E3754.

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., & <NAME>. (2014) Age models, chronologies, and databases workshop: Complete report and recommendations. PAGES Workshop Report, 22.

*	<NAME>. (2011) Old droughts in New Mexico. Nature 470, 473-474.

*	<NAME>. and <NAME>. (2007) Assisted migration – evaluating the merits of a newly proposed conservation strategy.  International Biogeography Society Newsletter 5: 2-5.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2007) Stop 9:  Late-glacial and early Holocene paleoecology:  Schneider Farm, Calumet County in Guide Book for the 53rd Midwest Friends of the Pleistocene Field Conference:  Late-Glacial History of East-Central Wisconsin. (ed. by Hooyer, T. S.) May 18-20, 2007. Oshkosh, WI.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2001) In Defense of Ecology. The Scientist 15: 6.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (1998) Programs for site selection, tabular display, and interpolation of data from Paradox-based pollen databases.  INQUA Newsletter 17.

## Book Chapters<commit_msg>doi of all peer-reviewed articles are updated<commit_after>---
title: "Publications"
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## Peer-Reviewed Journal Articles

* <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2016) Mapping climate mechanisms likely to favour the emergence of novel communities. Nature Climate Change. [DOI](10.1038/nclimate3127). Coverage in Pacific Standard Magazine, Science Nordic, and Wisconsin Public Radio.

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2016) Timing and causes of a middle Holocene mammoth extinction on St. Paul Island, Alaska. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 113: 9310-9314. [DOI](10.1073/pnas.1604903113). Coverage in New York Times, Atlantic, Guardian, AP, BBC, Washington Post, and cover article in Nov 2016 issue of Discover Magazine.

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2016) Statistically-estimated tree composition for the northeastern United States at the time of Euro-American settlement. PLoS 11:e0150087. [DOI](10.1371/journal.pone.0150087)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2016) Downscaled and debiased climate simulations for North America from 21,000 years ago to 2100AD. Scientific Data 3:160048. [DOI](10.1038/sdata.2016.48)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2016) A controlled comparison of species- and community-level models across novel climates and communities. Proceedings of the Royal Society B. 283: 20152817. [DOI](10.1098/rspb.2015.2817)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2016) Quantifying pollen-vegetation relationships to reconstruct forests using 19th-century forest composition and pollen data. Quaternary Science Reviews. 137: 156-175. [DOI](10.1016/j.quascirev.2016.01.012)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2016) Benchmarking historical CMIP5 land-climate feedbacks across the Upper Midwest and Northeastern United States Journal of Geophysical Research. [DOI](10.1002/2015JG003175)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. and <NAME>. (2016) The Effect of Anthropogenic Land Cover Change on Pollen-Vegetation Relationships in the American Midwest. bioRxiv, p.037051. [DOI](10.1101/037051)

* <NAME>.†, <NAME>.†, <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2015) The rise of novelty in ecosystems. Ecological Applications.  25: 2051-2068. † these authors contributed equally to the paper.  Invited paper for 100th anniversary issue of Ecological Applications. [DOI](10.1890/14-1781.1)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., & <NAME>. (2015) Pronounced variations in Fagus grandifolia abundances in the Great Lakes region during the Holocene. The Holocene. [DOI](10.1177/0959683615612586)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., & <NAME>. (2015) Modeling species and community responses to past, present, and future episodes of climatic and ecological change.  Annual Review of Ecology and Evolutionary Systematics 46: 343-368. [DOI](10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-112414-054441)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., & <NAME>. (2015) Close agreement between pollen-based and forest inventory-based models of vegetation turnover. Global Ecology & Biogeography 24: 905-916. [DOI](10.1111/geb.12300)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., & <NAME>. (2015) Cahokia’s emergence and decline coincided with shifts of flood frequency on the Mississippi River. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 112: 6319-6324. [DOI](10.1073/pnas.1501904112)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2015) neotoma: A Programmatic Interface to the Neotoma Paleoecological Database. Open Quaternary 1:1-17. [DOI](10.5334/oq.ab)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., & <NAME>. (2014) Climate remains an important driver of post-European vegetation change in the eastern United States. Global Change Biology. [DOI](10.1111/gcb.12779)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2014) Combined speeds of climate and land-use change of the conterminous US until 2050. Nature Climate Change 4: 811-816. [DOI](10.1038/nclimate2337)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2014) A record of sustained prehistoric and historic land use from the Cahokia region, Illinois, USA. Geology 42: 499-502. [DOI](10.1130/G35541.1)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2014) Defining the spatial patterns of historical land use associated with the indigenous societies of eastern North America. Journal of Biogeography. [DOI](10.1111/jbi.12386)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2014) Climate refugia: joint inference from fossil records, species distribution models and phylogeography. New Phytologist 204: 37-54. [DOI](10.1111/nph.12929)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2014) Approaches to advance scientific understanding of macrosystems ecology. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 12: 15-23. [DOI](10.1890/130019)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2014) Looking forward through the past: identification of 50 priority research questions in palaeoecology. Journal of Ecology 102: 256-267. [DOI](10.1111/1365-2745.12195)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2014) A framework for evaluating the influence of climate, dispersal limitation, and biotic interactions using fossil pollen associations across the late Quaternary. Ecography 37. [DOI](10.1111/ecog.00779)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2013) Ecophysiology of novel vegetation types under scenarios of global warming. Global Ecology and Biogeography 23: 156-167. [DOI](10.1111/geb.12110)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2013) Can space substitute for time in predicting climate-change effects on biodiversity? Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 110, 9374-9379. [DOI](10.1073/pnas.1220228110)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2013) Model systems for a no-analog future:  Species associations and climates during the last deglaciation. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences. [DOI](10.1111/nyas.12226)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2013) Linking abundances of the dung fungus Sporormiella to the density of American bison (Bison bison): implications for assessing grazing by megaherbivores in paleorecords. Journal of Ecology 101, 1125–1136. [DOI](10.1111/1365-2745.12130)

* <NAME>. and <NAME>. (2013) Climatic and biotic velocities for woody taxa distributions over the last 16,000 years in eastern North America. Ecology Letters 16, 773-781. [DOI](10.1111/ele.12110)

* <NAME>. and <NAME>. (2013) Projected climate reshuffling based on multivariate climate-availability, climate-analog, and climate-velocity analyses:  implications for community disaggregation. Climatic Change 119, 659-675. [DOI](10.1007/s10584-013-0752-1)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2013) Vegetation history in central Kentucky and Tennessee (USA) during the last glacial and deglacial periods. Quaternary Research 79: 189-198. [DOI](10.1016/j.yqres.2012.12.005)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2012) Modeling the climatic drivers of spatial patterns in vegetation composition since the Last Glacial Maximum. Ecography 36, 460-473. [DOI](10.1111/j.1600-0587.2012.07852.x)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2012) No-analog climates and shifting realized niches during the late Quaternary:  Implications for species distribution models. Global Change Biology 18, 1698-1713. [DOI](10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02635.x)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2012) The Ice Age Ecologist:  Testing methods for reserve prioritization during the last global warming. Global Ecology & Biogeography 22, 289-301. [DOI](10.1111/j.1466-8238.2012.00760.x)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2012) Deposition times in the northeastern United States during the Holocene:  establishing valid priors for Bayesian age models. Quaternary Science Reviews 48: 54-60. [DOI](10.1016/j.quascirev.2012.05.019)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2012) Climatic and megaherbivory controls on late-glacial vegetation dynamics: A new, high-resolution, multi-proxy record from Silver Lake, Ohio. Quaternary Science Reviews 34: 66-80. [DOI](10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.12.008)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2012) Projected vegetation changes for the American southwest:  Combined dynamical modeling and bioclimatic envelope approach. Ecological Applications 22: 1365-1388. [DOI](10.1890/11-1269.1)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2012) Vegetation and land carbon projections for Wisconsin, USA,  in the 21st century. Climate Research 54: 149-165. [DOI](10.3354/cr01105)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2012) Paleoecoinformatics: Applying geohistorical data to ecological questions. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 27: 104-112. [DOI](10.1016/j.tree.2011.09.009)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2012) Approaching a state-shift in Earth's biosphere. Nature 486:52-58. [DOI](10.1038/nature11018)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2012) Managed relocation:  Integrating the scientific, regulatory, and ethical challenges. Bioscience 62: 732-743. [DOI](10.1525/bio.2012.62.8.6)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2012) Global climate evolution during the last deglaciation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 109: E1134-E1142. [DOI](10.1073/pnas.1116619109)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2011) Identifying climatic analogs for Wisconsin under 21st-century climate-change scenarios. Climatic Change. [DOI](10.1007/s10584-011-0261-z)

*	<NAME>. and <NAME>. (2011) Influences of climate, cattle density, and lake morphology on Sporormiella abundances in modern lake sediments in the US Great Plains. The Holocene. [DOI](10.1177/0959683611425550)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2011) Pollen-based continental climate reconstructions at 6 and 21 ka: a global synthesis. Climate Dynamics 37: 775-802. [DOI](10.1007/s00382-010-0904-1)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2011) A methodological framework for improved paleovegetation mapping from late-Quaternary pollen records. Quaternary Science Reviews 30: 1926-1939. [DOI](10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.04.017)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2011) Extrinsic and intrinsic forcing of abrupt ecological change:  Case studies from the late Quaternary. Journal of Ecology 99: 667-677. [DOI](10.1111/j.1365-2745.2011.01810.x)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2011) Late-Quaternary variations in tree cover at the northern forest-tundra ecotone. Journal of Geophysical Research – Biogeosciences 116: G01017. [DOI](10.1029/2010JG001458)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2010). The complex seasonal cycle of ecohydrology in the southwest United States. Journal of Geophysical Research – Biogeosciences 115: G04034. [DOI](10.1029/2010JG001382)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2010). Holocene precipitation seasonality captured by a dual hydrogen and oxygen isotope approach at Steel Lake, Minnesota. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 300: 205-214. [DOI](10.1016/j.epsl.2010.09.024)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2010). Assessing antiquity and turnover of terrestrial ecosystems in eastern North America using fossil pollen data: a preliminary study. Pages in IOP Conference Series:  Earth and Environmental Science. [DOI](10.1088/1755-1315/1089/1081/012005)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2010). Barrier requirements as the evolutionary "driver" of epidermal pigmentation in humans. American Journal of Human Biology 22: 526-537. [DOI](10.1002/ajhb.21043)

*	<NAME>., and <NAME>. (2010). Globally downscaled climate projections for assessing the conservation impacts of climate change. Ecological Applications 20: 554-565. [DOI](10.1890/09-0173.1)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. and <NAME>., III (2010) Rapid, time-transgressive, and variable responses to early-Holocene midcontinental drying in North America. Geology 38: 135-138. [DOI](10.1130/G30413.1)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2010) Comment. Journal of the American Statistical Association 105: 900-905. [DOI](10.1198/jasa.2010.ap10295)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2009). Pleistocene megafaunal collapse preceded novel plant communities and enhanced fire regimes. Science 326: 1100-1103. [DOI](10.1126/science.1179504) Winner of Ecological Society of America’s Cooper Award. Media attention included interviews with NPR and BBC and articles in the New York Times, the Economist, and Science News.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2009). Expanded response-surfaces: A new method to reconstruct paleoclimates from fossil pollen assemblages that lack modern analogues. Quaternary Science Reviews 28: 3315-3332. [DOI](10.1016/j.quascirev.2009.09.005)

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. and <NAME>. (2009) A modern plant-climate research dataset for modelling eastern North American plant taxa. Grana 48: 1-18. [DOI](10.1080/00173130802711966)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>. and <NAME>. (2009) Rapid responses of the Midwestern prairie-forest ecotone to early Holocene aridity. Global and Planetary Change 66: 195-207. [DOI](10.1016/j.gloplacha.2008.10.012)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2009). Evidence that stress to the epidermal barrier influenced the development of pigmentation in humans. Pigment Cell and Melanoma Research 22:420-434. [DOI](10.1111/j.1755-148X.2009.00588.x)

*	<NAME>., and <NAME>. (2008). Obtaining accurate and precise environmental reconstructions from the modern analog technique and North American surface pollen dataset. Quaternary Science Reviews 27: 669-687. [DOI](10.1016/j.quascirev.2008.01.004)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2008) Leaf area index for northern and eastern North America at the Last Glacial Maximum:  A data-model comparison. Global Ecology and Biogeography 17: 122-134. [DOI](10.1111/j.1466-8238.2007.00349.x)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2008) Variations in leaf area index in northern and eastern North America over the past 21,000 years:  A data-model comparison. Quaternary Science Reviews 27: 1453-1466. [DOI](10.1016/j.quascirev.2008.04.003)

*	<NAME>. Oh<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2008) Exporting the ecological effects of climate change. EMBO Reports, 9 S1: S28-S33. [DOI](10.1038/embor.2008.42)

*	<NAME>. <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2008) Associations among modern pollen, vegetation, and climate in western North America. Quaternary Science Reviews, 27: 1939-2094. [DOI](10.1016/j.quascirev.2008.07.006)

*	<NAME>. and <NAME>. (2007) Novel Climates, No-Analog Plant Communities, and Ecological Surprises:  Past and Future. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 5: 475-482. [DOI](10.1890/070037) Winner of ESA 100 Notable Papers award.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2007) Projected distributions of novel and disappearing climates by 2100AD.  Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 104: 5738-5742. [DOI](10.1073/pnas.0606292104). Media reporting included interviews with NBC Nightly News, NPR All Things Considered, and BBC World News, and articles in Discover Magazine and Science.

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2007) Satellite- and pollen-based quantitative woody cover reconstructions for northern Asia: verification and application to late-Quaternary pollen data. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 264: 284-298. [DOI](10.1016/j.epsl.2007.10.007)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2006).  Summer aridity in the United States:  Response to Mid-Holocene changes in insolation and sea surface temperature.  Geophysical Research Letters 33. [DOI](10.1029/2006GL028012)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2006) Human impacts, plant invasion, and imperiled species in California. Ecological Applications 16: 1338-1350. [DOI](10.1890/1051-0761(2006)016[1338:hipiai]2.0.co;2)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2006) Observed vegetation-climate feedbacks in the United States. Journal of Climate 19: 763-786. [DOI](10.1175/jcli3657.1)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2005) Simulated 21st century changes in regional water balance of the Great Lakes region and links to changes in global temperature and poleward moisture transport. Geophysical Research Letters 32. [DOI](10.1029/2005GL023506)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2005) Diversity and productivity across plant communities of the inland northwest, USA. Oecologia 143/144: 607-618. [DOI](10.1007/s00442-005-0011-x)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2005) Anthropogenic impacts upon plant species richness and net primary productivity in California. Ecology Letters 8: 127-137. [DOI](10.1111/j.1461-0248.2004.00706.x)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., III, <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2005). North American and Greenland modern pollen data for multi-scale paleoecological and paleoclimatic applications. Quaternary Science Reviews 24, 1828-1848. [DOI](10.1016/j.quascirev.2005.03.005)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2004) Scale dependence in the species-richness-productivity relationship: The role of species turnover. Ecology 85: 2701-2708. [DOI](10.1890/03-0561)

*	<NAME>. and <NAME>. (2004) Modern analogs in Quaternary paleoecology:  Here today, gone yesterday, gone tomorrow? Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences 32: 495-537. [DOI](10.1146/annurev.earth.32.101802.120435)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., III, <NAME>., <NAME>. (2004) Late Quaternary vegetation dynamics in North America:  Scaling from taxa to biomes. Ecological Monographs 74: 309-334. Editor’s Choice in Science, May 21, 2004. [DOI](10.1890/02-4045)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2003) A statistical approach to evaluating distance metrics and analog assignments for pollen records. Quaternary Research 60: 356-367. [DOI](10.1016/s0033-5894(03)00088-7)

*	<NAME>. and <NAME>. (2003) Palynological and AVHRR observations of modern vegetational gradients in eastern North America. The Holocene 13: 485-497. [DOI](10.1191/0959683603hl613rp)

*	<NAME>. (2003)  Variations in tree cover in North America since the Last Glacial Maximum. Global and Planetary Change 35: 1-23. [DOI](10.1016/s0921-8181(02)00088-7)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>.  (2002) Rapid and widespread vegetation responses to past climate change in the North Atlantic region.  Geology 30:  971-974. Featured in Post (2003) TREE commentary. [DOI](10.1130/0091-7613(2002)030<0971:rawvrt>2.0.co;2)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2002) The anatomy of a climatic oscillation:  Vegetation change in eastern North America during the Younger Dryas chronozone. Quaternary Science Reviews 21:  1777-1791. [DOI](10.1016/s0277-3791(02)00030-6)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2001) Dissimilarity analyses of late-Quaternary vegetation and climate in eastern North America.  Ecology 82:  3346-3362. [DOI](10.1890/0012-9658(2001)082[3346:daolqv]2.0.co;2) Editor’s Choice in Science (2002) 295: 409. Winner of Ecological Society of America’s Cooper Award.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2000) Late Quaternary biomes of Canada and the eastern United States. Journal of Biogeography 27: 585-607. [DOI](10.1046/j.1365-2699.2000.00428.x)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2000) Pollen-based biomes for Beringia 18,000, 6000, and 0 14C yr. B.P. Journal of Biogeography 27: 521-554. [DOI](10.1046/j.1365-2699.2000.00426.x)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2000) Data-model comparisons for eastern North America - inferred biomes and climate values from pollen data. Proceedings of the 3rd Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project Workshop, Oct. 4-8, 1999. Montreal, Canada. Edited by <NAME>. WCRP-111, WMO/TD-No. 1007, pp. 77-86.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2000) Do low CO2 concentrations affect pollen-based reconstructions of LGM climates? A response to ‘Physiological significance of low atmospheric CO2 for plant-climate interactions’ by Cowling and Sykes. Quaternary Research 53: 402-404. [DOI](10.1006/qres.2000.2131)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>, T., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2000) Vegetation and environments in eastern North America during the last glacial maximum. Quaternary Science Reviews 19: 489-508. [DOI](10.2307/1940469)

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (1998) Applying plant functional types to construct biome maps from eastern North American pollen data: comparisons with model results. Quaternary Science Reviews 17: 607-627. [DOI](10.1016/s0277-3791(98)00014-6)

*	<NAME>. (1995) Factors controlling the formation of fossiliferous beds in the Devonian Columbus limestone at Marblehead Quarry, Marblehead, Ohio. Ohio Journal of Sciences 95:  325-330.  (OJS Paper of the Year)

## Non-Peer-Reviewed Journal Articles

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (2015) Reply to Baires et al.: Shifts in Mississippi River flood regime remain a contributing factor to Cahokia’s emergence and decline. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 112:E3754-E3754.

* <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., & <NAME>. (2014) Age models, chronologies, and databases workshop: Complete report and recommendations. PAGES Workshop Report, 22.

*	<NAME>. (2011) Old droughts in New Mexico. Nature 470, 473-474.

*	<NAME>. and <NAME>. (2007) Assisted migration – evaluating the merits of a newly proposed conservation strategy.  International Biogeography Society Newsletter 5: 2-5.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2007) Stop 9:  Late-glacial and early Holocene paleoecology:  Schneider Farm, Calumet County in Guide Book for the 53rd Midwest Friends of the Pleistocene Field Conference:  Late-Glacial History of East-Central Wisconsin. (ed. by Hooyer, <NAME>.) May 18-20, 2007. Oshkosh, WI.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>., <NAME>. (2001) In Defense of Ecology. The Scientist 15: 6.

*	<NAME>., <NAME>., and <NAME>. (1998) Programs for site selection, tabular display, and interpolation of data from Paradox-based pollen databases.  INQUA Newsletter 17.

## Book Chapters
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