"Clever" Developers Evade New York City's "Labyrinthine Zoning Laws"
(p. A1) Some of the tallest residential buildings in the world soar above Central Park, including 432 Park Avenue, which rises 1,400 feet and features an array of penthouses and apartments for the ultrarich.
But 432 Park also has an increasingly common feature in these new towers: swaths of unoccupied space. About a quarter of its 88 floors will have no homes because they are filled with structural and mechanical equipment.
The building and nearby towers are able to push high into the sky because of a loophole in the city's labyrinthine zoning laws. Floors reserved for structural and mechanical equipment, no matter how much, do not count against a building's maximum size under the laws, so developers explicitly use them to make buildings far higher than would otherwise be permitted.
(p. A20) "It's pretty outrageous, but it's also pretty clever," said George M. Janes, a planning consultant who has tracked and filed challenges against buildings in New York with vast unoccupied spaces. "What is the primary purpose of these spaces? The primary purpose is to build very tall buildings."
New York City's complicated building regulations are meant to produce predictable developments. Height requirements are imposed in most of the city, though parts of Manhattan are exempt. Every block is also effectively assigned a maximum square footage, which can be spread across smaller buildings on a block or condensed in larger developments.
Savvy, well-heeled and patient developers have worked that system to their benefit. A developer seeking to build a supertall tower might start with one lot on a block and then buy unused square footage from its neighbors.
With advancements in engineering and construction, that developer can take the accumulated square footage and concentrate it in a skinny mega-tower. Floors of mechanical space, exempt from the square footage calculations, make the tower even taller.
Matthew Haag. "Builders Use Ploy to Create the Luxury of Height." The New York Times (Saturday, April 20, 2019): A1 & A20.
(Note: ellipses added.)
(Note: the online version of the story also has the date April 20, 2019, but has the title "How Luxury Developers Use a Loophole to Build Soaring Towers for the Ultrarich in N.Y.")
Author Art DiamondPosted on April 30, 2019 April 21, 2019 Categories Government, New York City, Public Choice, RegulationsLeave a comment on "Clever" Developers Evade New York City's "Labyrinthine Zoning Laws"
"Macron Is Concerned with the End of the World; We Are Concerned with the End of the Month"
(p. A6) "Bosses prefer taking on temporary workers," says Virginie Bonnin, 40, who works in local auto parts plants. "We are disposable."
A single mother of three girls, Ms. Bonnin earns €1,900 a month. She learns on Thursday nights what her hours will be for the coming week. When her jobs end, she is sustained by unemployment benefits of about €1,400 a month.
"I'm not the worst off," she says. "But it's tricky. In those times, I will not eat meat so that the kids can eat meat." Her last summer vacation, a sacred French institution, was two years ago.
Ms. Bonnin was provoked into joining the Yellow Vests by the same measure that mobilized much of the country, a tax on gasoline that was to take effect in January.
Mr. Macron promoted it as a means of adapting to climate change. Outside major cities, where people rely on cars to get nearly everywhere, it supplied proof that the president was indifferent to the working class. "Macron is concerned with the end of the world," one Yellow Vest slogan put it. "We are concerned with the end of the month."
That accusation endured even after Mr. Macron suspended the gas tax in the face of Yellow Vest furor.
Peter S. Goodman. "Rage of 'Yellow Vests' in France Intensifies Over People Left Behind." The New York Times (Thursday, April 18, 2019): A6.
(Note: the online version of the story has the date April 15, 2019, and has the title "Inequality Fuels Rage of 'Yellow Vests' in Equality-Obsessed France.")
Author Art DiamondPosted on April 29, 2019 April 29, 2019 Categories Economics, Energy/Environment, France, Global Warming, Labor Economics, RegulationsLeave a comment on "Macron Is Concerned with the End of the World; We Are Concerned with the End of the Month"
Efficiency Skills Are "Profoundly Different from" Innovation Skills
(p. A15) How do you deliver performance now while developing the products you'll need in the future? The skills required to support established franchises, he argues, are profoundly different from those required to develop new ones. Management techniques such as Six Sigma, focused on efficiency and execution, tend to be bad for innovation, which is intrinsically messy and inefficient. Companies need a different approach to nurture the radically original projects, or "loonshots," that are essential for long-term success.
In Mr. Bahcall's view, the principal obstacle to innovation isn't that there are too few creative ideas–indeed, there are plenty of artists, he says. The problem is that original proposals are both discomfiting and imperfect, hence reflexively rejected before they can develop enough to prove themselves in the field.
Organizations can miss innovation opportunities by accepting the conventional wisdom, Mr. Bahcall observes, a problem he describes as "false fails." Consider the Facebook predecessor Friendster. Mr. Bahcall explains that while most investors decided that the failure of Friendster was evidence that social-network efforts weren't sticky enough to retain customers, Peter Thiel's investment team wasn't so sure. They dug into the data and were "stunned by how long users stayed with the site," despite the irritating crashes that dogged the platform. Hence Mr. Thiel's fund was an early investor in Facebook, confident that, with appropriate attention to the underlying technology, the platform could succeed. Eight years later, he sold most of his Facebook stake and pocketed roughly $1 billion.
For the full review, see:
David A. Shaywitz. "BOOKSHELF; In Praise of Wild Ideas; Innovative proposals can be both imperfect and discomfiting–and are often rejected before they can develop enough to prove themselves viable." The Wall Street Journal (Tuesday, March 19, 2019): A15.
(Note: the online version of the review has the date March 18, 2019, and has the title "BOOKSHELF; 'Loonshots' Review: In Praise of Wild Ideas; Innovative proposals can be both imperfect and discomfiting–and are often rejected before they can develop enough to prove themselves viable.")
The book under review, is:
Bahcall, Safi. Loonshots: How to Nurture the Crazy Ideas That Win Wars, Cure Diseases, and Transform Industries. New York: St. Martin's Press, 2019.
Author Art DiamondPosted on April 28, 2019 Categories Books, Entrepreneurship, ManagementLeave a comment on Efficiency Skills Are "Profoundly Different from" Innovation Skills
Boeing Tech Kludge Designed to Avoid Cost of Re-Certification Regulations
(p. A18) . . . , Boeing engineers created the automated anti-stall system, called MCAS, that pushed the jet's nose down if it was lifting too high. The software was intended to operate in the background so that the Max flew just like its predecessor. Boeing didn't mention the system in its training materials for the Max.
Boeing also designed the system to rely on a single sensor — a rarity in aviation, where redundancy is common. Several former Boeing engineers who were not directly involved in the system's design said their colleagues most likely opted for such an approach since relying on two sensors could still create issues. If one of two sensors malfunctioned, the system could struggle to know which was right.
Airbus addressed this potential problem on some of its planes by installing three or more such sensors. Former Max engineers, including one who worked on the sensors, said adding a third sensor to the Max was a nonstarter. Previous 737s, they said, had used two and managers wanted to limit changes.
"They wanted to A, save money and B, to minimize the certification and flight-test costs," said Mike Renzelmann, an engineer who worked on the Max's flight controls. "Any changes are going to require recertification." Mr. Renzelmann was not involved in discussions about the sensors.
Jack Nicas and Julie Creswell. "Boeing's 737 Max: '60s Design Meets '90s Computing Power." The New York Times (Tuesday, April 9, 2019): A1 & A18.
(Note: ellipsis added.)
(Note: the online version of the story has the date April 8, 2019 , and has the title "Boeing's 737 Max: 1960s Design, 1990s Computing Power and Paper Manuals.")
Author Art DiamondPosted on April 27, 2019 April 21, 2019 Categories Economics, Economics of Technology, RegulationsLeave a comment on Boeing Tech Kludge Designed to Avoid Cost of Re-Certification Regulations
Turing Award Winners' Neural Networks "Are Still a Very Long Way from True Intelligence"
(p. B3) On Wednesday [March 27, 2019], the Association for Computing Machinery, the world's largest society of computing professionals, announced that Drs. Hinton, LeCun and Bengio had won this year's Turing Award for their work on neural networks. The Turing Award, which was introduced in 1966, is often called the Nobel Prize of computing, and it includes a $1 million prize, which the three scientists will share.
Though these systems have undeniably accelerated the progress of artificial intelligence, they are still a very long way from true intelligence. But Drs. Hinton, LeCun and Bengio believe that new ideas will come.
"We need fundamental additions to this toolbox we have created to reach machines that operate at the level of true human understanding," Dr. Bengio said.
Cade Metz. "Pioneers Whose Neural Networks Are Bringing A.I. to Life Win Turing." The New York Times (Thursday, March 28 , 2019): B3.
(Note: ellipsis, and bracketed date, added.)
(Note: the online version of the story has the date March 27 , 2019, and has the title "Turing Award Won by 3 Pioneers in Artificial Intelligence.")
Author Art DiamondPosted on April 26, 2019 April 26, 2019 Categories Economics, Economics of Technology, PsychologyLeave a comment on Turing Award Winners' Neural Networks "Are Still a Very Long Way from True Intelligence"
Schools Are Safer Today Than 20 Years Ago
(p. A9) Americans believe schools are more unsafe today than they were two decades ago, according to a new poll — even as federal data shows that by most measures, schools have become safer.
A survey last month of 1,063 adults by The Associated Press and the N.O.R.C. Center at the University of Chicago found that 74 percent of parents of school-age children, and 64 percent of nonparents, believed schools were more unsafe today than they were in 1999. Only 35 percent of parents said they felt "very confident" that their child was safe at school.
Their fears run counter to the data presented in a federal report released this week. School is still among the safest places an American child can be.
Homicide is a leading cause of death for American youth, but the vast majority of those deaths take place at home or in the neighborhood. Between 1992 and 2016, just 3 percent of youth homicides and 1 percent of youth suicides took place at school, according to the federal report.
School crime levels decreased between 2001 and 2017. The number of students between 12 and 18 years old who reported being the victim of a violent crime at school over the past six months dropped from 2 to 1 percent. Incidents of theft, physical fights, the availability of illegal drugs and bullying also went down.
These changes echo the national drop in crime.
Dana Goldstein. "Schools Are Safer, Even if They Feel Less So." The New York Times (Saturday, April 20, 2019): A9.
(Note: the online version of the story also has the date April 20, 2019, but has the title "20 Years After Columbine, Schools Have Gotten Safer. But Fears Have Only Grown.")
Author Art DiamondPosted on April 25, 2019 April 21, 2019 Categories Education, Government, Gun ControlLeave a comment on Schools Are Safer Today Than 20 Years Ago
Vernon Smith Offers More Advance Praise for Openness to Creative Destruction
Adam Smith said that we seek security–more cautious than enterprising–because we suffer more in falling from a better to a worse situation than we ever enjoy in rising from a worse to better. Yet Smith provided opportunity for James Watt, an upstart 22 year-old mechanical genius that was denied him by the local corporations; thus launching a spectacular career of innovation. Others, from Tom Edison to Steve Jobs, followed. Diamond's book is about our need to nourish and reduce the obstacles to that creative engine; to give freedom to the flower of innovation that we all be enriched.
Vernon Smith, Nobel Prize in Economics, received in 2002.
Vernon Smith's advance praise is for:
Diamond, Arthur M., Jr. Openness to Creative Destruction: Sustaining Innovative Dynamism. New York: Oxford University Press, forthcoming June 2019.
Author Art DiamondPosted on April 24, 2019 Categories Economics, Openness to C. D. BookLeave a comment on Vernon Smith Offers More Advance Praise for Openness to Creative Destruction
Neanderthal's "Body Was Archaic" but "Spirit Was Modern"
(p. B14) Starting in the mid-1950s, leading teams from Columbia University, Dr. Solecki discovered the fossilized skeletons of eight adult and two infant Neanderthals who had lived tens of thousands of years ago in what is now northern Iraq.
Dr. Solecki, who was also a Smithsonian Institution anthropologist at the time, said physical evidence at Shanidar Cave, where the skeletons were found, suggested that Neanderthals had tended to the weak and the wounded, and that they had also buried their dead with flowers, which were placed ornamentally and possibly selected for their therapeutic benefits.
The exhumed bones of a man, named Shanidar 3, who had been blind in one eye and missing his right arm but who had survived for years after he was hurt, indicated that fellow Neanderthals had helped provide him with sustenance and other support.
"Although the body was archaic, the spirit was modern," Dr. Solecki wrote in the magazine Science in 1975.
Large amounts of pollen found in the soil at a grave site suggested that bodies might have been ceremonially entombed with bluebonnet, hollyhock, grape hyacinth and other flowers — a theory that is still being explored and amplified. (Some researchers hypothesized that the pollen might have been carried by rodents or bees, but Dr. Solecki's theory has become widely accepted.)
"The association of flowers with Neanderthals adds a whole new dimension to our knowledge of his humanness, indicating he had a 'soul,'" Dr. Solecki wrote.
For the full obituary, see:
Sam Roberts. "Ralph Solecki, 101, Archaeologist Who Uncovered the Inner Life of Neanderthals." The New York Times (Wednesday, April 17, 2019): B14.
(Note: the online version of the obituary has the date April 11, 2019, and has the title "Ralph Solecki, Who Found Humanity in Neanderthals, Dies at 101.")
Author Art DiamondPosted on April 23, 2019 April 23, 2019 Categories Archaeology, PsychologyLeave a comment on Neanderthal's "Body Was Archaic" but "Spirit Was Modern"
Oxford Business Card (and Discount Code) for "Openness to Creative Destruction"
The text below is copied and pasted from an Oxford University Press promotional business card. The 30% discount code is: ASFLYQ6
OPENNESS TO CREATIVE DESTRUCTION
ARTHUR M. DIAMOND, JR.
Life improves under the economic system often called "entrepreneurial capitalism" or "creative destruction," but more accurately called "innovative dynamism." Openness to Creative Destruction: Sustaining Innovative Dynamism shows how innovation occurs through the efforts of inventors and innovative entrepreneurs, how workers on balance benefit, and how good policies can encourage innovation.
The inventors and innovative entrepreneurs are often cognitively diverse outsiders with the courage and perseverance to see and pursue serendipitous discoveries or slow hunches. Arthur M. Diamond, Jr. shows how economies grow where innovative dynamism through leapfrog competition flourishes, as in the United States from roughly 1830-1930. Consumers vote with their feet for innovative new goods and for process innovations that reduce prices, benefiting ordinary citizens more than the privileged elites. Diamond highlights that because breakthrough inventions are costly and difficult, patents can be fair rewards for invention and can provide funding to enable future inventions. He argues that some fears about adverse effects on labor market are unjustified, since more and better new jobs are created than are destroyed, and that other fears can be mitigated by better policies. The steady growth in regulations, often defended on the basis of the precautionary principle, increases the costs to potential entrepreneurs and thus reduces innovation.
for more information, please visit global.oup.com/academic
US: JUNE 2019 | UK: AUGUST 2019
HARDBACK $99.00 | £64.00 PAPERBACK $34.95 | £22.99
Author Art DiamondPosted on April 22, 2019 April 21, 2019 Categories Openness to C. D. BookLeave a comment on Oxford Business Card (and Discount Code) for "Openness to Creative Destruction"
"Ridiculous" to Project "Our Psychology into the Machines"
(p. A8) . . . the soft-spoken, 55-year-old Canadian computer scientist, a recipient of this year's A.M. Turing Award — considered the Nobel Prize for computing — prefers to see the world though the idealism of "Star Trek" rather than the apocalyptic vision of "The Terminator."
"In 'Star Trek,' there is a world in which humans are governed through democracy, everyone gets good health care, education and food, and there are no wars except against some aliens," said Dr. Bengio, whose research has helped pave the way for speech- and facial-recognition technology, computer vision and self-driving cars, among other things. "I am also trying to marry science with how it can improve society."
Cherri M. Pancake, the president of the Association for Computing Machinery, which offers the $1 million award, credited Dr. Bengio and two other luminaries who shared the prize, Geoffrey Hinton and Yann LeCun, with laying the foundation for technologies used by billions of people. "Anyone who has a smartphone in their pocket" has felt their impact, she said, noting that their work also provided "powerful new tools" in the fields of medicine, astronomy and material sciences.
Despite all the accolades, Dr. Bengio recoils at scientists being turned into celebrities. While Dr. Hinton works for Google and Dr. LeCun is the chief A.I. scientist at Facebook, Dr. Bengio has studiously avoided Silicon Valley in favor of a more scholarly life in Montreal, where he also co-founded Element A.I., a software company.
"I'm not a fan of a personalization of science and making some scientists stars," said Dr. Bengio, a self-described introvert, who colleagues say is happiest when hunched over an algorithm. "I was maybe lucky to be at the right time and thinking the right things."
Myriam Côté, a computer scientist who has worked with Dr. Bengio for more than a decade, described him as an iconoclast and freethinker who would feel stymied by the strictures of Silicon Valley. A communitarian at heart, she said, he shuns hierarchy and is known for sharing the profits from his own projects with younger, less established colleagues.
"He wants to create in freedom," she said. Citing the credo of student rebels in 1968 in Paris, where Dr. Bengio was born, she said his philosophy was: "It is forbidden to forbid."
That, in turn, has informed his approach to A.I.
Even as Stephen Hawking, the celebrated Cambridge physicist, warned that A.I. could be "the worst event in the history of our civilization," and the billionaire entrepreneur Elon Musk has cautioned it could create an "immortal dictator," Dr. Bengio has remained more upbeat.
. . . he dismissed the "Terminator scenario" in which a machine, endowed with human emotions, turns on its creator. Machines, he stressed, do not have egos and human sentiments, and are not slaves who want to be freed. "We imagine our creations turning against us because we are projecting our psychology into the machines," he said, calling it "ridiculous."
Dan Bilefsky. "THE SATURDAY PROFILE; Teaching a Generation of Machines, Far From the Spotlights of Silicon Valley." The New York Times (Saturday, March 30, 2019): A8.
(Note: the online version of the story has the date March 29, 2019, and has the title "THE SATURDAY PROFILE; He Helped Create A.I. Now, He Worries About 'Killer Robots'.")
Author Art DiamondPosted on April 21, 2019 April 21, 2019 Categories Economics, Economics of Technology, Labor Economics, PsychologyLeave a comment on "Ridiculous" to Project "Our Psychology into the Machines"
Mycologists Cure Ailing Bees
(p. 4) Sometime in the 1980s, microscopic mites that had been afflicting honeybees outside the United States found their way to Florida and Wisconsin and began wreaking havoc across the country.
This mite, Varroa destructor, injects a slew of viruses into bees, including one that causes shriveled wings, a primary factor in widespread colony collapse. Worse, these parasites have rapidly developed resistance to synthetic pesticides.
Beekeepers in the United States lost an estimated 40 percent of their colonies between April 2017 and April 2018. But we might be able to save honeybees at least from this parasitic scourge without chemical intervention. I along with scientists at Washington State University and the United States Department of Agriculture recently published in Scientific Reports, a journal from the publishers of Nature, a study that could inspire a paradigm shift in protecting bees.
Our research shows that extracts from the living mycelial tissue of common wood conk mushrooms known to have antiviral properties significantly reduced these viruses in honeybee colonies, in one field test by 45,000 times, compared to control colonies.
Nature can repair itself with a little help from mycologists.
For the full commentary, see:
Paul Stamets. "Saving Bees With Mushrooms." The New York Times, SundayReview Section (Sunday, Dec. 30, 2018): 4.
(Note: the online version of the commentary has the date Dec. 28, 2018, and has the title "Will Mushrooms Be Magic for Threatened Bees?")
The commentary is related to the author's book:
Stamets, Paul. Mycelium Running: How Mushrooms Can Help Save the World. New York: Ten Speed Press, 2005.
Author Art DiamondPosted on April 20, 2019 Categories Energy/EnvironmentLeave a comment on Mycologists Cure Ailing Bees