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Free Picks » MLB Picks » Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds 4/30/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions
Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds 4/30/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions
by Guy Bruhn - 4/29/2018
Great American Ball Park
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Probable Pitchers: Jhoulys Chacin vs. Brandon Finnegan
Great American Ball Park is the site of the matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Cincinnati Reds on Monday, April 30, 2018. The probable starting pitchers are Jhoulys Chacin for the Brewers and Brandon Finnegan for the Reds.
Milwaukee opens at -112 while Cincinnati opens at +102. The Brewers have a 10-18-0 over/under record and a 17-11-0 run line mark. The Reds are 12-15-0 against the run line and have a 12-15-0 over/under record.
Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 10-18-0 against the over/under
The Milwaukee Brewers are 17-11-0 against the run line
Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 12-15-0 against the over/under
The Cincinnati Reds are 12-15-0 against the run line
Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries
04/25/18 1B Eric Thames Thumb 10-day DL (04/25)
04/06/18 P Corey Knebel Hamstring 10-day DL (04/06)
03/29/18 P Boone Logan Triceps 10-day DL (03/26)
03/29/18 C Stephen Vogt Shoulder 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Jimmy Nelson Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)
Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries
03/30/18 P Michael Lorenzen Shoulder 10-day DL (03/29)
03/30/18 P David Hernandez Shoulder 10-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 P Rookie Davis Hip 60-day DL (03/02)
03/26/18 P Anthony DeSclafani Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Brewers have a 16-12 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jhoulys Chacin has a 2-1 record with an earned run average of 3.99 and a WHIP of 1.57 this year. He has 19 strikeouts over his 29.1 innings pitched and he's given up 32 hits. He's allowed 9.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 0. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.50 and they have given up 77 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .204 against the bullpen and they've struck out 123 hitters and walked 38 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.17. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 213 base hits and 89 earned runs. They have allowed 25 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 89 batters and struck out 233. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.20 and their FIP as a unit is 3.91.
As a team Milwaukee is hitting .236, good for 20th in the league. The Brewers hold a .379 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .305, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .301 with an on-base percentage of .411. He has 28 hits this season in 93 at bats with 8 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .473 and an OPS+ of . Travis Shaw is hitting .263 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .354. He has totaled 26 hits and he has driven in 14 men in 99 at bats. His OPS+ is while his slugging percentage is at .495. The Brewers have 223 hits, including 43 doubles and 30 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 89 times so far this season and they have struck out 247 times as a unit. They have left 195 men on base and have a team OPS of .685. They score 3.82 runs per contest and have scored a total of 107 runs this year.
Cincinnati has a 6-21 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 8.03, Brandon Finnegan has a 0-2 record and a 2.19 WHIP this season. He has 10 strikeouts over the 12.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 18 hits. He allows 13.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 0. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.06 and they have given up 99 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 95 batters and walked 52 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.6 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.42. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 247 base knocks and 143 earned runs this season. They have given up 43 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 109 hitters and struck out 202 batters. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.50 while their FIP as a staff is 5.21.
As a team, they are batting .239, good for 16th in the league. The Reds hold a .355 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .271 with an OBP of .388. He has 26 hits this year along with 14 RBI in 96 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .417 with an OPS+ of . Scooter Gennett is hitting .296 this season and he has an OBP of .345. He has collected 32 hits in 108 at bats while driving in 14 runs. He has an OPS+ of and a slugging percentage of .407. The Reds as a unit have 219 base hits, including 40 doubles and 21 homers. Cincinnati has walked 100 times this year and they have struck out on 229 occasions. They have had 205 men left on base and have an OPS of .675. They have scored 3.85 runs per game and totaled 104 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Brewers/Reds MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers -112
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