Zegura's Fantasy Football Fact Sheet: Week 7
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The Browns are allowing the highest FanDuel points per pass attempt, highest touchdown rate and highest quarterback rating to opposing quarterbacks in the NFL through six weeks.
The Browns have allowed multiple quarterback touchdowns in each of the first six games and have allowed a league-high 14 passing scores total. Marcus Mariota has thrown for multiple scores in just one game all year and enters Week 7 having thrown just one touchdown with three interceptions in his last two starts. He has also rushed for two touchdowns during that span and has three on the season.
The Browns boast the league's sixth-ranked run defense, allowing just 84.3 yards rushing per game. They are giving up only 3.0 yards per carry, which is the best in the entire NFL.
No runner has rushed for 70 yards against the Browns all season and they have not allowed a running back to rush for a touchdown against them in three straight games.
Derrick Henry (5.2 yards per carry for the season) rushed for a season-high 131 yards and a touchdown on a season-best 19 carries last week against the Colts. He had just 16 yards on 10 carries in the previous two games combined. DeMarco Murray (4.6 yards per carry for the season) has rushed for only 60-plus yards in one game this year and that was back in Week 3.
A wide receiver has scored in five straight games against the Browns and they have allowed seven total receiver touchdowns during that span. The opposing No. 1 receiver has scored in five straight against the Browns, but amazingly only one receiver (T.Y. Hilton) has produced even 65 yards receiving in that span.
Rishard Matthews leads the Titans receivers in targets (42), receptions (24), yards (353) and touchdowns (one).
No team has allowed more fantasy points to tight ends than the Browns, who have produced season-best days for Austin Seferian-Jenkins (11.9), Tyler Kroft (21.8 points), Ben Watson (13.1) and Jesse James (19.1) through the first six weeks of the season. Delanie Walker leads all Titans pass catchers with 25 receptions and no team has allowed more catches to tight ends than the Browns.
DeShone Kizer is back in the saddle for the Browns and will be in search of his first touchdown in his last three outings. The Titans have allowed at least one passing score in every game this year and have allowed 13 passing touchdowns on the season, third-most in the NFL. Derek Carr, Deshaun Watson and Russell Wilson have combined for 10 passing scores against the Titans, but Jacoby Brissett, Jay Cutler and Blake Bortles were all limited to one score each.
The Titans have allowed 14 total touchdowns to quarterbacks this year and have recorded only four interceptions all season.
Isaiah Crowell rushed for a season-high 60 yards against the Jets in Week 5 and followed that up with a season-best 73 total yards in Week 6 against the Texans. The Titans have allowed only one rushing score in the last four games and no runner has reached 80 yards against the Titans yet this season. Three rushers, however, have topped 75 yards against them.
Duke Johnson Jr. has 80-plus total yards or a touchdown in four of the last five games. He was held to a season-low minus-1 receiving yards on three catches last week. Running backs have 50-plus yards receiving in four of the last five games against the Titans.
In the Browns' first four games, at least one receiver had 60-plus yards with a touchdown and 15-plus FanDuel points. In the last two games, no receiver has hit even 13 FanDuel points or reached 50 yards receiving with a score against Tennessee, who just held Hilton to 19 yards.
Jack Doyle caught seven passes for 50 yards and a touchdown against the Titans in Week 6, making him the first tight end to score or reach 30 yards receiving against them since Week 3. There has been a Top 12 FanDuel tight end in three of the six games against the Titans and the other three weeks, tight ends are averaging a total of 2.67 FanDuel points.
QB Matt Ryan vs. NE: Ryan has been in a slump, but the Pats are the ultimate slump-stoppers for opposing quarterbacks. Look for Julio Jones to get the squeaky wheel treatment this week, which should set up a big day for Ryan against a Patriots secondary that has allowed a league-high 14 passing touchdowns this year. The Pats have allowed 300-plus yards passing in every game this year and five of the six quarterbacks to face them have thrown for multiple touchdowns and produced 22-plus FanDuel points.
RB Mark Ingram vs. GB: Ingram was the main beneficiary of the Adrian Peterson departure in Week 6, taking a season-high 25 carries for 112 yards and two touchdowns. He also added five catches for 36 yards and now has at least four receptions in four of his five games this year. With the Saints likely to be winning against the Rodgers-less Packers, I expect Ingram to get 20 touches and a touchdown again in Week 7. After all, the opposing primary rusher has 100-plus total yards or a TD in five straight against the Pack.
TE Zach Ertz vs. WAS: Ertz has been the most consistent tight end in all of Fantasy Football this year and is coming off a two-touchdown performance. He is the only tight end with 10-plus points every single week and the Skins have given up double-digit points to tight ends in four of their five games this year.