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Premier League Top Four Odds: Who Will Grab The Coveted Spots?
Martin Green
January 10th, 2023 , 16:55
The battle to secure a top-four finish is delicately poised as we approach the halfway mark in a gripping Premier League season.
The best betting sites make league leaders Arsenal and reigning champions Man City the heavy favourites after they pulled away from the chasing pack.
Some bookmakers are offering just 1.0 on Pep Guardiola's men and 1.02 on the Gunners, who are five points clear at the top of the table.
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That would leave just two places up for grabs in next season's Champions League, with several elite teams scrapping it out.
Newcastle and Man Utd currently hold the coveted places, but the likes of Spurs and Liverpool are hot on their heels, so this battle could go down to the wire.
You can find the updated odds below, followed by our analysis of each team's chances of securing a coveted top four finish.
Premier League Top Four Odds
Monday 23rd January 2023
Manchester City 99.01%
Arsenal FC 99.01%
Manchester United 80.00%
Newcastle United 57.90%
Liverpool FC 33.33%
Tottenham Hotspur 22.22%
Chelsea FC 12.50%
Brighton & Hove Albion 12.50%
Brentford FC 1.23%
Aston Villa 1.23%
Fulham FC 0.99%
Crystal Palace 0.50%
Leeds United 0.20%
Leicester City 0.20%
Southampton FC 0.20%
West Ham United 0.20%
Wolverhampton Wanderers 0.20%
Everton FC 0.20%
Nottingham Forest 0.13%
AFC Bournemouth 0.10%
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Erik ten Hag's men are surging with confidence after rattling off five consecutive wins since the club season resumed in December.
They beat Nottingham Forest 3-0, Wolves 1-0 and Bournemouth 3-0 in the league, while they also swept aside Burnley in the EFL Cup and Everton in the FA Cup.
Their winning streak has lifted them up to fourth place in the Premier League table. The Red Devils are clear of Spurs, and they also have a healthy cushion over Liverpool.
Betfair SP Beat The Best Tote By 11.9% Last Spring
The club allowed Cristiano Ronaldo to leave by mutual consent, which has seemingly lifted the mood, and the players are firing on all cylinders at present.
Marcus Rashford has led the charge, scoring for fun since the restart, while Casemiro continues to excel in midfield.
Things are looking up for United, and Ladbrokes are now offering just 1.57 on them securing a top-four finish.
The Reds were priced at just 1.1 with most of the best football betting sites to secure a top four finish at the start of the season.
After all, they have not finished outside the top four since 2016, and they racked up an impressive haul of 92 points last term.
However, Liverpool have made a slow start to the current campaign: they currently sit sixth in the standings, with just eight wins from 17 games thus far.
They were enjoying a mini-revival, having rattled off four consecutive victories, but a 3-1 defeat to Brentford put an end to that.
It left Jurgen Klopp's men sixth in the standings, behind Newcastle, Man Utd and Spurs.
However, the recent arrival of Cody Gakpo should boost their attacking options, and more reinforcements could arrive before the January transfer window slams shut.
As such, most bookmakers still make Liverpool the favourites to grab a top-four spot, although they are out at 2.0 as it stands.
The Magpies are level with Liverpool in this market after extending their unbeaten run to 15 games with a 0-0 draw at the Emirates.
They have only lost once all season, and that was courtesy of a controversial 99th-minute goal from Fabio Carvalho when they faced Klopp's men in September.
Newcastle are currently third in the standings, and they have the best defensive record in the Premier League this season.
They have conceded just 11 goals in 18 games, as the new Saudi owners have made some very astute signings since purchasing the club.
Newcastle are remarkably solid at the back, and if they can improve their creativity in the second half of the season, a top-four finish will be a distinct possibility.
Bet365 are offering 2.0 on the Magpies ending the season in the Champions League places.
Spurs returned to winning ways when they thumped Crystal Palace 4-0 at Stamford Bridge last week, thanks largely to the individual brilliance of Harry Kane.
The England captain has fired in 15 goals in 18 games this season, leaving him second only to Erling Haaland in the Golden Boot race.
However, a leaky defence has been the Achilles' heel, as Spurs have only manged to keep five clean sheets this season.
They currently trail Newcastle and Man Utd by two points, so they remain in the hunt, but the teams around them are in better form.
For that reason, they have drifted out to 3.2 with Betfair and various others to finish in the top four this season.
Chelsea are currently marooned in mid-table after enduring a dismal run of results under embattled manager Graham Potter.
They are 19 points behind Arsenal and 10 points below the top four, while they also trail Fulham, Brighton and Brentford in the standings.
They have spent a fortune on new players this season, with the recent deal to sign Benoit Badiashile taking their spending to around £300m.
However, it has largely been in vain, as the new arrivals have struggled for form, and the results have been poor.
Chelsea have a lot of catching up to do in the second half of the season, so they are now 8.0 underdogs with Australian betting sites to gate-crash the top four.
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