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755 | Facebook posts | 2020-09-10 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
West Coast wildfires are due to “bad forest maintenance,” not climate change.
| Bill McCarthy | 2020-09-18 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/18/facebook-posts/no-aarp-isnt-sending-money-democratic-party/ |
No, AARP isn’t sending money to the Democratic Party
|
You already know the AARP lobbies for the interests of Americans over age 50. But does it also send money to the Democratic Party?
That’s what a popular (and previously debunked) Facebook post claims:
"Are you aware that a portion of everything you pay A.A.R.P Goes directly to the Democratic Party," a Facebook post asks.
The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
The post’s claim is untrue. AARP as an organization does not support the Democratic Party, and the claim has been debunked by fact-checkers before.
An AARP spokesperson, Jason Young, confirmed that AARP is strictly nonpartisan.
Young said AARP is a tax-exempt social welfare organization in good standing with the IRS, and pointed PolitiFact to the IRS’ description of social welfare organizations.
On its website, the IRS says that a tax-exempt social welfare organization is "an organization must not be organized for profit and must be operated exclusively to promote social welfare."
The website further explains: "The promotion of social welfare does not include direct or indirect participation or intervention in political campaigns on behalf of or in opposition to any candidate for public office."
Chief operating officer Scott Frisch signed AARP’s most recent tax filing, confirming that "AARP is a nonprofit, nonpartisan organization empowering people to choose how they live as they age."
AARP has a policy "against endorsing — or giving the appearance of endorsing — political parties, government officials or candidates for office," Young said. (The full policy can be found here.)
He also said much of AARP’s leadership doesn’t donate to political candidates or campaigns.
"Most of our board doesn’t give to candidates or campaigns," Young said. "Our CEO doesn’t give to candidates or campaigns. And most of our executive team does not give. Rank-and-file employees have the right to give, of course, but they don’t direct the organization or its policies."
PolitiFact used Federal Election Commission data to confirm that the majority of AARP board members and the majority of AARP executive team members haven’t made recent political campaign contributions.
Individual donors associated with AARP have donated primarily to Democratic candidates in most election cycles including 2016, 2018 and 2020, according to an Open Secrets campaign contribution database.
But when surveyed, about a third of AARP members report that their political leanings are conservative, a third report their leanings are liberal and a third consider themselves independent or in between, according to Young.
So what does AARP do with the money it receives from donations or from its $16 per year membership fee?
The AARP lobbies for policies such as protecting Medicare, fighting high drug prices, protecting Social Security, combating fraud targeted at older people and addressing senior poverty.
Our ruling
A Facebook post asks, "Are you aware that a portion of everything you pay A.A.R.P Goes directly to the Democratic Party."
AARP is a tax-exempt social welfare nonprofit that is not permitted to participate in political campaigns. People who work for AARP can make individual political contributions, but those donations do not come from the organization as a whole.
We rate this post False.
| Retirement,Facebook Fact-checks,Facebook posts | [128000, 198, 2675, 2736, 1440, 279, 362, 43893, 326, 41412, 369, 279, 12034, 315, 9053, 927, 4325, 220, 1135, 13, 2030, 1587, 433, 1101, 3708, 3300, 311, 279, 11650, 8722, 5380, 4897, 753, 1148, 264, 5526, 320, 438, 8767, 78293, 291, 8, 5690, 1772, 8349, 25, 52050, 1, 11787, 499, 8010, 430, 264, 13651, 315, 4395, 499, 2343, 362, 885, 2056, 1087, 61261, 6089, 311, 279, 11650, 8722, 1359, 264, 5690, 1772, 17501, 627, 791, 1772, 574, 62309, 439, 961, 315, 5690, 753, 9045, 311, 12896, 905, 3754, 323, 75159, 389, 1202, 5513, 29970, 13, 320, 4518, 810, 922, 1057, 15664, 449, 5690, 29275, 791, 1772, 753, 3802, 374, 88977, 13, 362, 43893, 439, 459, 7471, 1587, 539, 1862, 279, 11650, 8722, 11, 323, 279, 3802, 706, 1027, 78293, 291, 555, 2144, 16313, 388, 1603, 13, 52050, 2127, 362, 43893, 29003, 11, 18984, 13566, 11, 11007, 430, 362, 43893, 374, 26549, 2536, 4581, 17570, 13, 52050, 41672, 1071, 362, 43893, 374, 264, 3827, 10397, 21643, 3674, 23460, 7471, 304, 1695, 11509, 449, 279, 34483, 11, 323, 14618, 3735, 12583, 17873, 311, 279, 34483, 529, 4096, 315, 3674, 23460, 11351, 13, 52050, 1966, 1202, 3997, 11, 279, 34483, 2795, 430, 264, 3827, 10397, 21643, 3674, 23460, 7471, 374, 330, 276, 7471, 2011, 539, 387, 17057, 369, 11626, 323, 2011, 387, 24026, 24121, 311, 12192, 3674, 23460, 10246, 791, 3997, 4726, 15100, 25, 330, 791, 20862, 315, 3674, 23460, 1587, 539, 2997, 2167, 477, 25636, 20852, 477, 21623, 304, 5054, 21343, 389, 17981, 315, 477, 304, 14076, 311, 904, 9322, 369, 586, 5274, 10246, 66907, 10565, 9640, 10016, 2939, 16438, 8667, 362, 43893, 753, 1455, 3293, 3827, 26559, 11, 50096, 430, 330, 32, 43893, 374, 264, 33184, 11, 2536, 4581, 17570, 7471, 66388, 1274, 311, 5268, 1268, 814, 3974, 439, 814, 4325, 2266, 32, 43893, 706, 264, 4947, 330, 69849, 98859, 2001, 477, 7231, 279, 11341, 315, 98859, 2001, 5054, 9875, 11, 3109, 7510, 477, 11426, 369, 5274, 1359, 13566, 1071, 13, 320, 791, 2539, 4947, 649, 387, 1766, 1618, 6266, 52050, 1548, 1101, 1071, 1790, 315, 362, 43893, 753, 11692, 3250, 1431, 33009, 311, 5054, 11426, 477, 21343, 13, 52050, 1, 13622, 315, 1057, 4580, 3250, 1431, 3041, 311, 11426, 477, 21343, 1359, 13566, 1071, 13, 330, 8140, 12432, 3250, 1431, 3041, 311, 11426, 477, 21343, 13, 1628, 1455, 315, 1057, 11145, 2128, 1587, 539, 3041, 13, 19856, 9976, 14537, 8420, 617, 279, 1314, 311, 3041, 11, 315, 3388, 11, 719, 814, 1541, 1431, 2167, 279, 7471, 477, 1202, 10396, 1210, 52050, 15000, 12583, 17873, 1511, 12411, 26838, 9849, 828, 311, 7838, 430, 279, 8857, 315, 362, 43893, 4580, 3697, 323, 279, 8857, 315, 362, 43893, 11145, 2128, 3697, 9167, 1431, 1903, 3293, 5054, 4901, 19564, 627, 44259, 33149, 5938, 449, 362, 43893, 617, 34468, 15871, 311, 11650, 11426, 304, 1455, 6355, 25492, 2737, 220, 679, 21, 11, 220, 679, 23, 323, 220, 2366, 15, 11, 4184, 311, 459, 5377, 53179, 4901, 19035, 4729, 13, 52050, 4071, 994, 49098, 11, 922, 264, 4948, 315, 362, 43893, 3697, 1934, 430, 872, 5054, 16025, 826, 527, 15692, 11, 264, 4948, 1934, 872, 16025, 826, 527, 18250, 323, 264, 4948, 2980, 5694, 9678, 477, 304, 1990, 11, 4184, 311, 13566, 13, 52050, 4516, 1148, 1587, 362, 43893, 656, 449, 279, 3300, 433, 21879, 505, 24910, 477, 505, 1202, 400, 845, 824, 1060, 16250, 11307, 5380, 791, 362, 43893, 326, 41412, 369, 10396, 1778, 439, 22973, 31822, 11, 11039, 1579, 5623, 7729, 11, 22973, 9983, 8398, 11, 96178, 16515, 17550, 520, 9191, 1274, 323, 28118, 10195, 19542, 13, 52050, 8140, 17864, 198, 32, 5690, 1772, 17501, 11, 330, 11787, 499, 8010, 430, 264, 13651, 315, 4395, 499, 2343, 362, 885, 2056, 1087, 61261, 6089, 311, 279, 11650, 8722, 1210, 52050, 32, 43893, 374, 264, 3827, 10397, 21643, 3674, 23460, 33184, 430, 374, 539, 15480, 311, 16136, 304, 5054, 21343, 13, 9029, 889, 990, 369, 362, 43893, 649, 1304, 3927, 5054, 19564, 11, 719, 1884, 24910, 656, 539, 2586, 505, 279, 7471, 439, 264, 4459, 627, 1687, 4478, 420, 1772, 3641, 627, 52050] | 530 |
756 | Instagram posts | 2020-09-12 00:00:00 | a meme:
|
A CNN headline reads: “Members of Crip gang volunteer to fight wildfires after sky turns red.”
| Madison Czopek | 2020-09-18 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/18/viral-image/facebook-post-conflates-epsteins-suicide-and-recen/ |
Facebook post conflates Epstein’s suicide and recent deaths
|
Conspiracy theories about the death of Jeffrey Epstein, the financier and sex offender who officials say killed himself in jail, have spilled into into the world he orbited.
"Epstein dies while in custody, his private banker is found dead, a judge had a trial regarding Epstein and the Deutsche Bank," reads a recent Facebook post. "Her son has been killed now and her husband has been shot. The shooter who shot the son and shot the judge’s husband has now also been found dead. Why is this not news?!"
This post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
Epstein’s "private banker" who was found dead seems to be a reference to Thomas Bowers, who committed suicide in November 2019, according to the Los Angeles County medical examiner.
Bowers was a former Deutsche Bank executive who "reportedly signed off on some of the institution’s unorthodox loans to Donald Trump," Los Angeles Magazine reported. Bowers was once the head of the bank’s American wealth-management division, where he oversaw Trump’s private banker. The article doesn’t mention Epstein.
But Epstein, a financier, has close ties to Deutsche Bank. Deutsche Bank recently agreed to pay a $150 million fine for its dealings with Epstein, the New York Times reported in a July article titled: "These are the Deutsche Bank executives responsible for serving Jeffrey Epstein."
The bank itself hasn’t publicly identified the individuals who worked with Epstein but based on descriptions of the employees in a consent order with the New York Department of Financial Services, and interviews with current and former bank officials, the Times identified nearly everyone in the legal document, according to the story.
Paul Morris, who had previously helped Epstein manage an account at JPMorgan, brought Epstein to Deutsche Bank, the Times reported. Because Morris needed approval for a client who carried a reputational risk — Epstein had been convicted in 2008 of soliciting prostitution from a minor — he sent a memo to Charles Packard, then the head of the bank’s American wealth-management division that detailed Epstein’s past.
Other bank officials are mentioned in the article but not Bowers.
We found no credible sources corroborating the Facebook post’s claim that Bowers was Epstein’s "private banker."
Deutsche Bank also connects Epstein to Judge Esther Salas, a federal judge whose son was killed and her husband injured in a shooting at their New Jersey home in July.
Salas has presided over a class action lawsuit brought against the bank by investors who claim it made false and misleading statements about its anti-money laundering policies, according to the Associated Press, and because it failed to monitor "high-risk" customers like Epstein.
The lawyer suspected in the shooting at Salas’ home was Roy Den Hollander, a self-described "anti-feminist" who had compiled a dossier on her and her family and arrived at their home that morning carrying a FedEx package.
"He was apparently angry at Judge Salas for not moving quickly enough on a lawsuit he had brought challenging the constitutionality of the male-only draft," according to the Times.
Days before the shooting at Salas’ residence, Hollander had traveled to San Bernardino County, Calif., where authorities say he shot and killed a rival men’s rights lawyer at his home. Hollander later killed himself.
We rate this Facebook post False.
| Crime,Facebook Fact-checks,Viral image | [128000, 198, 1128, 70823, 26018, 922, 279, 4648, 315, 42107, 81132, 11, 279, 97398, 323, 1877, 47753, 889, 7510, 2019, 7577, 5678, 304, 17999, 11, 617, 74125, 1139, 1139, 279, 1917, 568, 37466, 1639, 13, 52050, 1, 23176, 12711, 8898, 1418, 304, 25502, 11, 813, 879, 72759, 374, 1766, 5710, 11, 264, 11913, 1047, 264, 9269, 9002, 81132, 323, 279, 58771, 8715, 1359, 16181, 264, 3293, 5690, 1772, 13, 330, 21364, 4538, 706, 1027, 7577, 1457, 323, 1077, 10177, 706, 1027, 6689, 13, 578, 32671, 889, 6689, 279, 4538, 323, 6689, 279, 11913, 753, 10177, 706, 1457, 1101, 1027, 1766, 5710, 13, 8595, 374, 420, 539, 3754, 30, 25765, 2028, 1772, 574, 62309, 439, 961, 315, 5690, 753, 9045, 311, 12896, 905, 3754, 323, 75159, 389, 1202, 5513, 29970, 13, 320, 4518, 810, 922, 1057, 15664, 449, 5690, 6266, 52050, 23176, 12711, 753, 330, 2039, 72759, 1, 889, 574, 1766, 5710, 5084, 311, 387, 264, 5905, 311, 11355, 426, 16345, 11, 889, 11411, 18639, 304, 6841, 220, 679, 24, 11, 4184, 311, 279, 9853, 12167, 6406, 6593, 84732, 13, 122019, 33, 16345, 574, 264, 4846, 58771, 8715, 11145, 889, 330, 11998, 53423, 8667, 1022, 389, 1063, 315, 279, 15244, 753, 653, 2419, 31162, 17017, 311, 9641, 3420, 1359, 9853, 12167, 22168, 5068, 13, 426, 16345, 574, 3131, 279, 2010, 315, 279, 6201, 753, 3778, 12205, 55885, 13096, 11, 1405, 568, 17918, 675, 3420, 753, 879, 72759, 13, 578, 4652, 3250, 1431, 6420, 81132, 13, 52050, 4071, 81132, 11, 264, 97398, 11, 706, 3345, 20405, 311, 58771, 8715, 13, 58771, 8715, 6051, 7378, 311, 2343, 264, 400, 3965, 3610, 7060, 369, 1202, 67029, 449, 81132, 11, 279, 1561, 4356, 8691, 5068, 304, 264, 5887, 4652, 25891, 25, 330, 9673, 527, 279, 58771, 8715, 29509, 8647, 369, 13788, 42107, 81132, 10246, 791, 6201, 5196, 12775, 1431, 17880, 11054, 279, 7931, 889, 6575, 449, 81132, 719, 3196, 389, 28887, 315, 279, 8420, 304, 264, 14771, 2015, 449, 279, 1561, 4356, 6011, 315, 17961, 8471, 11, 323, 19905, 449, 1510, 323, 4846, 6201, 7510, 11, 279, 8691, 11054, 7154, 5127, 304, 279, 5897, 2246, 11, 4184, 311, 279, 3446, 13, 52050, 26368, 30283, 11, 889, 1047, 8767, 9087, 81132, 10299, 459, 2759, 520, 622, 8971, 8629, 11, 7263, 81132, 311, 58771, 8715, 11, 279, 8691, 5068, 13, 9393, 30283, 4460, 14765, 369, 264, 3016, 889, 11953, 264, 43839, 1697, 5326, 2001, 81132, 1047, 1027, 23959, 304, 220, 1049, 23, 315, 30844, 5977, 50850, 505, 264, 9099, 2001, 4194, 383, 3288, 264, 22154, 311, 15274, 14114, 569, 11, 1243, 279, 2010, 315, 279, 6201, 753, 3778, 12205, 55885, 13096, 430, 11944, 81132, 753, 3347, 13, 126595, 11663, 6201, 7510, 527, 9932, 304, 279, 4652, 719, 539, 426, 16345, 13, 52050, 1687, 1766, 912, 43010, 8336, 79819, 1113, 279, 5690, 1772, 753, 3802, 430, 426, 16345, 574, 81132, 753, 330, 2039, 72759, 1210, 52050, 1951, 30032, 8715, 1101, 34161, 81132, 311, 20819, 84738, 8375, 300, 11, 264, 6918, 11913, 6832, 4538, 574, 7577, 323, 1077, 10177, 15902, 304, 264, 10658, 520, 872, 1561, 16228, 2162, 304, 5887, 13, 52050, 17691, 300, 706, 1685, 4591, 927, 264, 538, 1957, 19831, 7263, 2403, 279, 6201, 555, 15167, 889, 3802, 433, 1903, 905, 323, 38309, 12518, 922, 1202, 7294, 69092, 64402, 10396, 11, 4184, 311, 279, 26475, 8612, 11, 323, 1606, 433, 4745, 311, 8891, 330, 12156, 46570, 1, 6444, 1093, 81132, 627, 791, 15779, 24740, 304, 279, 10658, 520, 8375, 300, 529, 2162, 574, 11284, 9973, 25518, 8363, 11, 264, 659, 51704, 330, 15719, 2269, 26768, 380, 1, 889, 1047, 20276, 264, 53576, 389, 1077, 323, 1077, 3070, 323, 11721, 520, 872, 2162, 430, 6693, 15691, 264, 86335, 6462, 13, 52050, 27423, 574, 14132, 19021, 520, 20819, 8375, 300, 369, 539, 7366, 6288, 3403, 389, 264, 19831, 568, 1047, 7263, 17436, 279, 16812, 2786, 315, 279, 8762, 15744, 10165, 1359, 4184, 311, 279, 8691, 13, 52050, 21199, 1603, 279, 10658, 520, 8375, 300, 529, 22423, 11, 25518, 8363, 1047, 31796, 311, 5960, 86857, 6406, 11, 41889, 2637, 1405, 11527, 2019, 568, 6689, 323, 7577, 264, 21425, 3026, 753, 3268, 15779, 520, 813, 2162, 13, 25518, 8363, 3010, 7577, 5678, 13, 52050, 1687, 4478, 420, 5690, 1772, 3641, 627, 52050] | 560 |
759 | Viral image | 2020-09-17 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
Says that to help people in need during the coronavirus pandemic, Mike Garcia said: "Everyone should have to figure out how to fend for themselves."
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-11-16 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/nov/16/erick-erickson/no-proof-warnock-ran-over-wife-obstruction-case-dr/ |
No proof Warnock ‘ran over’ wife; obstruction case dropped
|
With the future of Senate control in the hands of Georgia voters, Republicans and Democrats are hurling claim after claim at one another in advance of a Jan. 5 runoff for two Senate seats.
The Rev. Raphael Warnock, the Democratic challenger to Republican Sen. Kelly Loeffler, was hit with a double-barreled attack Nov. 13 from Erick Erickson, a conservative Atlanta-based radio host. Tweeting a video excerpt from his show, Erickson claimed Warnock "ran over his wife" and was "arrested for obstructing an investigation into child abuse."
The claim is highly misleading on both counts and comes as Republicans seek to maintain the political upper hand in the Senate, which is now split 50-48. No candidate in either of the Peach State contests on Nov. 3 earned more than 50% of the vote, leaving its two Senate seats up for grabs.
So while Democrats are poised to control the White House and the House, control of the Senate won’t be known until after the Georgia runoffs.
Warnock, pastor of the Atlanta church where the Rev. Martin Luther King Jr. preached, finished first on Nov. 3 among 21 candidates seeking the seat held by Loeffler, who finished second. The Atlanta businesswoman was appointed on an interim basis in December to replace GOP Sen. Johnny Isakson, who resigned with health problems.
Incident with his then-wife
The incident involving Warnock’s then-estranged wife occurred in Atlanta in March and made news a week later.
Warnock was married to Oulèye Ndoye; they divorced in May. Until July, Ndoye served on Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms' executive team as the city’s senior human trafficking fellow.
Warnock called police to Ndoye’s Atlanta home shortly before 8:30 a.m. on March 2. According to a police report:
Warnock said Ndoye accused him of running over her left foot with his 2014 Tesla while they were arguing in her driveway. Ndoye was reluctant to show her foot to the officer, who wrote: "I did not see any signs that Ms. Ouleye’s foot was ran over." Medical personnel arrived and were "not able to locate any swelling, redness, or bruising or broken bones on Ms. Ouleye’s left foot."
Child abuse investigation
The child abuse case referenced in the ad stemmed from a 2002 police investigation into alleged child abuse at a church-run camp near Baltimore; Warnock was the church’s pastor.
According to news reports at the time, Warnock and the youth minister at Douglas Memorial Community Church in Baltimore were arrested July 31, 2002, and charged with trying to prevent a state trooper from interviewing teen counselors at the church's Camp Farthest Out in Eldersburg, about 30 miles northwest of Baltimore. Neither man was suspected of committing the alleged abuse, a state trooper said at the time.
Warnock said he was charged when he asserted that lawyers should be present during the teens’ interviews.
On Oct. 30, 2002, a judge dismissed the charges. The dismissal came at the request of a prosecutor, who said: "What we decided was there was some miscommunication that had occurred with them. They were very helpful with the continued investigation. It would not have been a prudent use of resources to have prosecuted them."
Erickson did not reply to our requests for information to back up his statement. In addition to Erickson, Loeffler and other conservatives raised the incident after the Nov. 3 election.
Our ruling
Erickson said Warnock "ran over his wife" and was "arrested for obstructing an investigation into child abuse."
Police found no evidence that Warnock ran over his wife’s foot with his car during an argument in March 2020.
In 2002, Warnock and another minister were arrested for interfering with law enforcement officers who were trying to interview youth camp counselors about child abuse allegations at the camp, which was run by a church where Warnock was the pastor. Warnock said he was asserting that lawyers should be present. The charges were later dropped at the request of a prosecutor, who said there had been miscommunication and that both ministers had been "very helpful" later in the investigation.
Erickson’s statement contains an element of truth but ignores critical facts that would give a different impression. We rate it Mostly False.
This fact check is available at IFCN’s 2020 US Elections FactChat #Chatbot on WhatsApp. Click here, for more.
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760 | Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee | 2020-09-08 00:00:00 | an ad:
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“A portion of everything you pay A.A.R.P goes directly to the Democratic Party.”
| Samantha Putterman | 2020-11-16 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/dec/10/facebook-posts/texas-lawsuit-statistics-fraud-wisconsin-michigan/ |
Lawsuit claim that statistics prove fraud in Wisconsin, elsewhere is wildly illogical
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Nonsense dressed up in statistical jargon is still nonsense.
And that’s what we find in the Texas attorney general’s unprecedented lawsuit asking the U.S. Supreme Court to overturn election results in Wisconsin, Georgia, Michigan and Pennsylvania.
A claim gaining particular traction online purports to calculate the likelihood of those four states — all won by Democrat Joe Biden — shifting away from President Donald Trump, who lead earlier in the vote-counting process.
"The probability of former Vice President Biden winning the popular vote in the four Defendant States — Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin — independently given President Trump’s early lead in those States as of 3 a.m. on November 4, 2020, is less than one in a quadrillion, or 1 in 1,000,000,000,000,000," says the lawsuit, citing calculations by Charles J. Cicchetti.
Claims about this 1 in a quadrillion chance spread widely on Facebook after the Dec. 8, 2020, lawsuit. White House Press Secretary Kayleigh McEnany repeated the claim that day, as did articles on various conservative websites. These stories were flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook).
As proof, the lawsuit attached a "declaration" from Cicchetti presenting his justification for this claim, describing his hypothesis testing and calculation of Z-scores and p-values.
But statistical calculations are only as good as the assumptions underpinning them, and Cicchetti’s are wildly wrong.
Let’s take a closer look.
The illogical claim
Cicchetti’s analysis flops because he makes the same error in multiple ways — assuming any two large groups of voters should generate substantially similar results.
Of course, we know this to be ridiculous.
Groups can split drastically by geography. In Wisconsin, for example, Milwaukee County and Ozaukee County are next to each other, but one went 69% for Biden and the other 55% for Trump because demographics in the two counties are very different.
And groups can split by voting method. Across the 20 states that report votes by party registration, when it came to in-person voting, Republicans led by a 42% to 36% margin in November’s election (with 22% listing no affiliation), while Democrats had a 48% to 27% edge in mail-in balloting (with 25% listing no affiliation), according to the U.S. Elections Project.
So a key part of understanding why early and late returns differ is looking at where those votes came from and how they were cast. This claim ignores that question altogether to treat each vote as if it were a coin flip.
Kenneth Mayer, professor of political science at the University of Wisconsin Madison, said Cicchetti’s approach is "ludicrous."
"The analysis assumes that votes are all independently and randomly distributed," he said in an email. "This is going to be used in undergraduate statistics classes as a canonical example of how not to do statistics."
Absentee ballots change everything
The observed party split by voting method is key to understanding the absurdity of this claim.
Cicchetti’s defense — in a description of his methodology attached to the lawsuit — focuses primarily on Georgia, noting Trump was leading 51% to 49% at 3 a.m. on Nov. 4 but wound up narrowly losing the state.
"The Georgia reversal in the outcome raises questions because the votes tabulated in the two time periods could not be random samples from the same population of votes cast," Cicchetti says.
He’s so close to getting it right, but ends up so very wrong.
The issue is indeed that votes from before and after that point can’t be random samples. But it’s not because of fraud as the lawsuit asserts — it’s because of which votes were counted when.
In Georgia, the Secretary of State announced late morning Nov. 4 that about 200,000 absentee ballots had yet to be counted, most from DeKalb and Fulton counties around Atlanta. DeKalb ended up going 83% for Biden, and Fulton 73% for Biden, so of course adding in the votes from those areas moved the vote total in Biden’s direction.
Cicchetti’s explanation says there was "speculation" that those last ballots counted were absentee ballots, but he wasn’t "aware of any actual data supporting that." That, of course, is ridiculous and false.
The same thing played out in Wisconsin, where 170,000 absentee ballots in Milwaukee were among the last large blocks of votes reported. As we’ve noted in prior fact checks, this late swing toward Biden was anything but a surprise.
Milwaukee is a longtime Democratic stronghold. In 2016, Hillary Clinton won the city of Milwaukee 77%-18%.
We knew well before the election that Democrats were much more likely than Republicans to vote absentee. Polling showed 81% of the people planning to vote absentee in Wisconsin supported Biden.
We knew it was going to take a long time to count the absentee ballots, leading them to be reported later.
In fact, each of the four states cited in the Texas lawsuit (and Cicchetti’s analysis) don’t allow absentee votes to be counted before Election Day.
This causes a bottleneck particularly in the biggest counties — which are, of course, centered around heavily Democratic cities. Those areas were long expected to be the last to report their results, and that’s just what happened with results from around Atlanta, Milwaukee, Detroit and Philadelphia.
Cicchetti’s methodology doesn’t defend his "one in a quadrillion" number specifically for Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan aside from noting each state had between 69% and 89% of the vote tabulated before the latest reports. He says that leaves a large enough sample size of uncounted ballots that we should "expect comparable percentages and vote margins" before and after that point.
Again, this ignores the indisputable fact that those were votes from dramatically different groups of voters.
"Cicchetti doesn’t even provide the relevant probability (in his methodology). He doesn’t consider obvious alternative explanations. And he makes a basic error in interpretation," Justin Grimmer, a Stanford University professor of political science, said on Twitter. "I’m sure this claim will now become canon in election-conspiracy media, particularly given that Trump retweeted it. I’m frankly embarrassed that such statistical incompetence would appear in such a high profile venue."
Margins move throughout the counting process in every election since, as the Washington Post noted Dec. 9 in rebutting this claim, "States aren’t homogeneous entities with one Democrat and one Republican in each square meter of space." And they move in both directions.
The lawsuit fails to note, for example, that Biden was ahead as the first 80% of ballots were counted in North Carolina, but ultimately lost the state to Trump because the outstanding votes were in heavily Republican areas.
Another nonsense "quadrillion" claim
As a quick aside, we’ll note the lawsuit makes a similar claim of a "less than one in a quadrillion" chance that Biden would perform as he did in Wisconsin, Michigan, Georgia and Pennsylvania given Democrat Hillary Clinton’s performance in those states in 2016.
That’s equally ridiculous.
We’ll let the Washington Post take it away on this one:
It’s completely unclear where this number comes from. Particularly since Biden’s improvements over the 2016 Democratic nominee, Hillary Clinton, were fairly modest in those four states. Clinton lost to Trump by about 290,000 votes across the four states; Biden won them by about 270,000. That’s a swing of about a third of a percentage point relative to all of the votes cast in 2020. Yes, Biden got more votes than Clinton, averaging about 23 percent more votes across the four states. But Trump added an average of 16 percent more votes.
Our ruling
A lawsuit seeking to overturn election results in Wisconsin, Georgia, Michigan and Pennsylvania asserts the probability of Biden winning in each state is "less than one in a quadrillion" given the lead Trump had in each at 3 a.m.
If ever a claim deserved the label of utter nonsense, this is it.
What masquerades as a statistical analysis is actually a logical wasteland that ignores fundamental facts that make all the difference.
The votes still uncounted when Trump had his short-lived lead were largely absentee ballots from major cities. Those cities have consistently voted Democratic historically, and mail-in votes within them should be expected to lean even more that direction since Trump had attacked that method of voting leading up to the election while Biden encouraged it.
We rate this Pants on Fire!
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810, 430, 5216, 2533, 3420, 1047, 18855, 430, 1749, 315, 16043, 6522, 709, 311, 279, 6355, 1418, 38180, 21190, 433, 627, 1687, 4478, 420, 67553, 389, 6785, 14670] | 1,391 |
761 | Facebook posts | 2020-09-07 00:00:00 | a post on Facebook:
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“Epstein dies while in custody, his private banker is found dead, a judge had a trial regarding Epstein and the Deutsche Bank. Her son has been killed now and her husband has been shot. The shooter who shot the son and shot the judge’s husband has now also been found dead.”
| Louis Jacobson | 2020-11-13 00:00:00 | pants-fire | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/dec/09/facebook-posts/conspiracy-theory-targets-first-recipient-uk-covid/ |
Conspiracy theory targets first recipient of UK COVID-19 vaccine as crisis actor
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On Dec. 8, 2020, news organizations around the world published stories about the first patient in the United Kingdom to receive the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine outside of trials: 90-year-old Margaret Keenan.
Along with the stories came images showing Keenan with her sleeve rolled up as she got the first dose at University Hospital in Coventry, England.
But it didn’t take long for some users on social media to start circulating a bogus conspiracy theory that suggested the story wasn’t legitimate, because the same images appeared online months earlier.
"Excuse me but how is it the exact same person who’s the ‘first to get vaccinated’ today... also in a CNN photo wearing the exact same clothes, in the exact same chair, and getting a shot back in October? Which one of these lying stories did you want us to pretend is true?" Mindy Robinson, a conservative actress who lost a recent congressional run in Nevada, wrote on Twitter.
Robinson’s tweet, which was re-shared on Facebook, includes screenshots of two different articles.
One depicts a Dec. 8 BBC article that shows Keenan getting the shot, while the other appears to show an unrelated story by CNN published on Oct. 22, with the same images of Keenan receiving the vaccine.
But this is a misunderstanding of how some news websites, like CNN’s, will sometimes display the latest stories at the top of other, unrelated articles. Keenan is not an actor, and CNN did not publish photos of her receiving the vaccine in October.
Another post on Facebook also ambiguously claims that Keenan is a crisis actor because she apparently made a hand gesture that has been connected to the Illuminati, and by including screenshots of another, unnamed woman who is supposedly an actress.
There is no evidence that the images of the woman (or women, the grainy screenshot isn’t clear and may show more than one person) pictured is Keenan, or that her innocuous hand gesture signals something nefarious.
The posts were flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
A reverse-image search shows that photos and videos of Keenan receiving the shot were not published before Dec. 8.
The Oct. 22 CNN story in the screenshot covered a report estimating that the U.S. COVID-19 response resulted in 130,000 to 210,000 avoidable deaths. It does not include any images of Keenan.
Some article pages on CNN’s website display videos from other stories, often the most recent ones, underneath the headline. A reel showing a handful of videos, which currently includes the Dec. 8 vaccinations in the UK, is displayed under that.
These clips were not published at the same time as the Oct. 22 article, but simply feature other CNN segments that viewers can watch if they want.
Many conspiracy theories latch onto the flawed claim that people who appear in various news stories — often tragic events like mass shootings — are actually paid actors pushing a pre-ordained narrative. These types of theories have been, and continue to be, soundly debunked.
RELATED: PolitiFact’s 2018 Lie of the Year: Online smear machine tries to take down Parkland students
Our ruling
A social media post claims that images of Margaret Keenan receiving the Pfizer COVID-19 vaccine in the UK appeared in a CNN news story in October, despite the event taking place in early December.
This is wrong. Images of Keenan receiving the vaccine were not published in earlier articles by CNN, or any other news organization. They were taken on Dec. 8, and do not appear online before then.
Those who spread the post misunderstood that some news websites, including CNN’s, feature clips of other, unrelated stories on various article pages.
This is False.
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763 | Facebook posts | 2020-08-31 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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When President Donald Trump walked across Lafayette Square to a church, he held the Bible upside down.
| Tom Kertscher | 2020-12-09 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/dec/09/jody-hice/dominion-voting-machines-didnt-switch-37-votes-bid/ |
Dominion Voting Machines didn’t switch 37 votes to Biden in Ware County, Georgia
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Dominion Voting Systems, which makes election software and hardware, has been at the center of baseless claims of voter fraud in the aftermath of the 2020 election.
U.S. Rep. Jody Hice, R-Ga., amplified one of these claims in a Dec. 4 tweet.
"Yesterday we learned a forensics examination of a Ware County, GA #DominionVotingSystems machine found votes were switched from @realDonaldTrump to @JoeBiden," he tweeted. "This is one machine in one county in one state. Did this happen elsewhere? We need to know! EXAMINE ALL THE MACHINES!"
Yesterday we learned a forensics examination of a Ware County, GA #DominionVotingSystems machine found votes were switched from @realDonaldTrump to @JoeBiden.This is one machine in one county in one state.Did this happen elsewhere? We need to know!EXAMINE ALL THE MACHINES!— Rep. Jody Hice (@CongressmanHice) December 4, 2020
Hice’s claim misleads on several fronts. He seems to be referring to the results of a hand recount in Ware County, which changed by 37 votes from the initial vote total.
State election officials told us that the small difference between the initial count and the recount resulted from human error, not a failure of Dominion software.
A spokesperson for Hice’s office didn’t respond to a request for comment.
Ware County Supervisor of Elections Carlos Nelson explained that the error occurred while a worker tabulated ballots. Absentee ballots are digitally scanned in batches of 100. If a scanning machine detects a ballot with a rip or a tear, the machine stops, forcing election workers to reject the batch, fix the torn ballot, and then resubmit the 100-vote batch for tabulation.
In this case, the worker accidentally submitted the same batch twice after a flawed ballot stopped the machine, once before the ballot was fixed and once after it was fixed.
According to Nelson, Ware County election officials caught the error in an internal audit and quickly updated the result. The corrected numbers were affirmed during an electronic recount that the Trump campaign requested in Georgia.
"The system worked as it was intended to work," said Nelson. "We reported the error right after the election, updated all the numbers, and there was no issue for three weeks until the narrative changed."
Gabriel Sterling, a top Georgia election official, mirrored Nelson’s claims, calling Hice’s tweet "flat-out misinformation" in a tweet.
Hice’s claim appears to have originated in a Dec. 3 press release put out by the advocacy group Voter GA, which claims, without evidence, that the 37-vote-difference resulted from a Dominion Voting Machine, which "flipped" votes from Trump to Biden.
The press release compares the discrepancy in the Ware County vote totals to Antrim County, Mich., where a clerk incorrectly tallied votes a day after the election. The mistake was quickly corrected, and there is no evidence that Antrim County’s inaccurate vote count was caused by Dominion technology.
It’s unclear what forensic examination Hice was referencing. The Georgia Secretary of State’s office did conduct a forensic audit on a random sampling of Dominion voting machines, but that audit found "no signs of cyber attacks or election hacking" and "no evidence of the machines being tampered."
Nelson said that he and his office had no trouble with Dominion technology and that numbers tabulated by those machines were "spot on."
Trump won about 70% of the votes in Ware County.
Our ruling
Hice said "a forensics examination" of a Ware County, Ga., Dominion Voting Systems machine found switched from Trump to Biden.
The 37-vote difference that election officials caught resulted from human error, not a flaw in Dominion software.
A forensic audit conducted by the Georgia Secretary of State’s office on a random sampling of Dominion voting machines found "no signs of cyber attacks or election hacking" and "no evidence of the machines being tampered."
We rate this claim False.
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764 | Joe Biden | 2020-09-17 00:00:00 | a CNN town hall:
|
Says Sen. Kelly Loeffler said on Parler that “Black people shouldn’t be allowed to vote.”
| Madison Czopek | 2020-12-09 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/dec/09/blog-posting/alternative-health-website-spreads-false-claim-abo/ |
Alternative health website spreads false claim about COVID-19 vaccine side effects
|
An alternative health website that has published articles claiming vaccines cause autism is now setting its sights on the development of the COVID-19 vaccine.
In a Dec. 6 article, GreenMedInfo wrote that a document from the Food and Drug Administration revealed the government was worried about a slew of potential side effects from coronavirus vaccines. Among them: death.
"Public discussion and documents reveal that the FDA knows that rushed-to-market COVID-19 vaccines may cause a wide range of life-threatening side effects, including death," the article says below a large advertisement for an alternative health book.
The article was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.) It’s been shared thousands of times by anti-vaccine Facebook pages and groups, according to CrowdTangle, a social media insights tool.
As U.S. coronavirus cases near 300,000, public health agencies are developing a strategy to distribute vaccines to millions of Americans in 2021. The first doses could be only days away, so we wanted to take a closer look at the claim that they could cause serious harm.
The article is misleading.
(Screenshot from GreenMedInfo)
While the FDA is monitoring for potential adverse side effects, it has not found that any of the coronavirus vaccines seeking approval cause death. And just because COVID-19 vaccines were developed in record time doesn’t mean they’re unsafe.
GreenMedInfo cited an Oct. 22 presentation given during a meeting of the FDA’s Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee. A slide in the presentation shows a "working list of possible adverse event outcomes" from coronavirus vaccines. Among them are chronic conditions like autoimmune disease and arthritis, as well as stroke and death.
But that doesn’t mean the FDA has reason to believe the coronavirus vaccines awaiting emergency-use authorization could cause death.
"As indicated on the slide, this is a description of the possible, not known, adverse event outcomes that the FDA will be monitoring for as the vaccine is deployed," a spokesperson told PolitiFact. "As described in slides, the FDA plans on monitoring 10-20 outcomes of interest."
While vaccines often take 10 to 15 years to develop, several potential COVID-19 vaccines were developed in a matter of months. There are several reasons for that, including the fact that scientists had previously worked on vaccines for similar coronaviruses and funding agencies poured billions of dollars into COVID-19 vaccine research.
The FDA uses emergency-use authorizations during public health emergencies like the coronavirus pandemic. A vaccine that’s granted an emergency-use authorization is different from an FDA-approved vaccine in that for emergency authorization, "the totality of scientific evidence" must make it "reasonable to believe that the product may be effective." For official approval, vaccines must demonstrate "substantial evidence" of efficacy and proof of safety.
Vaccines that are granted an emergency-use authorization still go through a rigorous review process, including all phases of clinical trials.
"Clinical trials are evaluating investigational COVID-19 vaccines in tens of thousands of study participants to generate the scientific data and other information needed by FDA to determine safety and effectiveness," the FDA says on its website. "These clinical trials are being conducted according to the rigorous standards set forth by the FDA."
Deaths during clinical trials
We reached out to GreenMedInfo for a comment. Founder Sayer Ji said his website’s intention was "to counterbalance the highly biased promotion of vaccines as ‘safe and effective’ a priori."
Ji also cited an FDA briefing document on the vaccine developed by Pfizer and its partner, BioNTech. The United Kingdom on Dec. 8 became the first country to start distributing the vaccine, and Canada approved it the next day.
In the document, the FDA reported that six of 43,448 participants died during clinical trials of the vaccine held from April to November. Two had been given the vaccine, and four had received a placebo.
Both participants who received the vaccine and died were older than 55; one died from cardiac arrest, the other from arteriosclerosis. The vaccine was not listed among the causes of their deaths, which the FDA said were characteristic of their age groups.
Although the agency did note some minor side effects associated with the vaccine, including fatigue and headache, it said there were "no specific safety concerns identified that would preclude issuance" of emergency use authorization.
RELATED: Many Americans say they don’t want a vaccine. Should we be worried?
The FDA’s assessment supports Pfizer’s Nov. 18 announcement that its vaccine was safe and 95% effective at preventing the coronavirus. The agency will meet Dec. 10 to discuss whether to approve the emergency-use authorization, after which it will be assessed by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices and continue to be studied in clinical trials.
"The FDA would only issue an EUA if the vaccine has demonstrated clear and compelling efficacy in a large well-designed phase 3 clinical trial," the FDA told PolitiFact. "If an EUA is issued, the process will not be rushed, and no shortcuts will be taken around having the relevant phase 3 efficacy results."
GreenMedInfo was created in 2008 and has published several articles that falsely claim there’s a link between vaccines and autism. In 2018, Pinterest banned the site for violating its policies against anti-vaccine misinformation.
The website’s statement contains an element of truth but ignores critical facts that would give a different impression. We rate it Mostly False.
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765 | Facebook posts | 2020-11-13 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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Says Raphael Warnock "ran over his wife" and was "arrested for obstructing an investigation into child abuse."
| Eric Litke | 2020-12-09 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/dec/09/raphael-warnock/fact-checking-claim-ties-sen-kelly-loeffler-qanon-/ |
Fact-checking claim that ties Sen. Kelly Loeffler to QAnon, ‘white supremacist’
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In a Georgia debate that could help decide which party controls the Senate, Black pastor Raphael Warnock went after white businesswoman Kelly Loeffler on race.
"And she says she is against racism and that racism has no place," Warnock, the Democratic challenger, said of Loeffler, the GOP senator.
"But she welcomed the support of a QAnon conspiracy theorist, and she sat down with a white supremacist for an interview. I don't think she can explain that."
Warnock was referring to Georgia Republican Marjorie Taylor Greene, a supporter of the baseless QAnon conspiracy theory, and conservative activist Jack Posobiec, who once interviewed Loeffler.
Warnock, pastor of the Atlanta church once led by Martin Luther King Jr., has repeatedly made the claim against Loeffler.
In the debate, Loeffler didn’t respond directly to the two-part attack, but said: "There’s not a racist bone in my body."
Loeffler did embrace an endorsement from Greene in a campaign event, so that part is true. The evidence Warnock relies on for the other part of the claim doesn’t flatly label Posobiec as a white supremacist, but notes that he has ties to people in that movement, and Posobiec and has praised some of them.
Accepted endorsement from QAnon supporter
The QAnon conspiracy theory claims public figures like Hillary Clinton, Tom Hanks and Oprah Winfrey are part of a ring of Satan-worshipping, cannibalistic pedophiles, and that President Donald Trump is secretly fighting to bring it down.
The FBI has described the QAnon movement as a potential domestic terrorism threat. But Greene, a former construction executive heading to Congress, has called it "a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to take this global cabal of Satan-worshiping pedophiles out," and has made derogatory remarks about Black people, Jews and Muslims.
Loeffler appeared with Greene at an Oct. 15 campaign event to tout her endorsement from the House candidate. By then, Greene had won a primary runoff to represent Georgia’s safely Republican 14th congressional district.
Loeffler praised Greene’s defense of "conservative values."
"I've gotten a lot of work done in Washington already in that regard — and I'm thrilled to know I've got a strong, conservative champion that's going to be fighting right alongside with me," Loeffler said of Greene.
In the Nov. 3 election, Greene won easily, becoming the first open supporter of QAnon to win a seat in the U.S. House.
Gave interview to figure with supremacist ties
Loeffler gave an interview July 31 to Posobiec, who is known as a conservative activist and is a correspondent for One America News Network, a conservative cable news channel.
Loeffler highlighted the interview, which aired on OANN, on her campaign’s Twitter account. She said she did the interview "to discuss why I had to call out" the Black Lives Matter "political organization — and why the woke mob is trying to cancel me."
To back its claim about Loeffler sitting for an interview "with a white supremacist," Warnock’s campaign cited a news report about Posobiec from the Atlanta Journal-Constitution and a report about Posobiec from the Southern Poverty Law Center, a social justice nonprofit that in recent years has been criticized over some of its tracking of hate groups. Those reports talk about Posobiec’s association with white supremacy.
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution led its article about the Loeffler interview by saying Posobiec is "associated with white supremacy and Nazism." The article said Jewish groups and media observers pointed out that Posobiec "promotes conspiracy theories and once associated with white supremacists including Richard Spencer."
Posobiec has praised Spencer, a white nationalist who was one of the leaders of the August 2017 Unite the Right rally in Charlottesville, where a white supremacist rammed a car into a counterprotester, killing her.
The Southern Poverty Law Center, in a report published July 8 on its Hatewatch blog, said Posobiec "collaborated for years with white supremacists," including Spencer. "Posobiec’s ties to far-right extremists travel beyond borders into Europe. His connections to white supremacy are too numerous to compile into one article, so Hatewatch is running a series of stories on the correspondent’s ties to the movement and promotion of it."
The center does not include Posobiec on its list of white nationalists, or its broader list of extremists.
"The only reason we have not formally listed Posobiec yet is that we are still reporting out his history within hate movements," Michael Edison Hayden, who wrote the Hatewatch blog post on Posobiec, told PolitiFact. "We have more to publish about Posobiec soon, also related to promotion of an anti-immigrant politician and his collaboration with white supremacists. Do not interpret the current absence of his extremist profile as a suggestion that he is somehow less extreme than figures like Richard Spencer."
Brian Levin, director of the Center for the Study of Hate & Extremism at California State University, San Bernardino, said Posobiec "has apparently cozied up to various white supremacists." Loeffler "should know that granting an interview to such a person, while criticizing those who point out his bigotry and disturbing associations, legitimizes the toxic views he so dutifully promotes."
Loeffler’s campaign and Posobiec did not respond to our requests for comment.
Our ruling
Warnock said Loeffler "welcomed the support of a QAnon conspiracy theorist, and she sat down with a white supremacist for an interview."
Loeffler did welcome the endorsement of her campaign by a QAnon supporter.
Loeffler gave an interview to a man who has praised a prominent white nationalist and who, according to the Southern Poverty Law Center, "collaborated for years with white supremacists." The center does not include the interviewer on its list of white nationalists, but says it is continuing to investigate him.
We rate Warnock’s statement Half True.
This fact check is available at IFCN’s 2020 US Elections FactChat #Chatbot on WhatsApp. Click here, for more.
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766 | Erick Erickson | 2020-11-13 00:00:00 | a tweet:
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“Facebook removed the title of ‘President’ from Donald Trump and designated him as ‘Political Candidate.’”
| Samantha Putterman | 2020-12-09 00:00:00 | half-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/dec/09/amanda-chase/amanda-chase-makes-bogus-claim-voting-fraud-virgin/ |
Amanda Chase makes bogus claim of voting fraud in Virginia precinct
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State Sen. Amanda Chase, who calls herself "Donald Trump in heels," recently failed to prove her claim that Virginia’s fall elections were rigged.
Chase, R-Chesterfield County, is running for governor in 2021 as an Independent, having recently abandoned her Republican candidacy in the wake of feuds with state GOP leaders. She’s been calling for gun rights, the preservation of Confederate monuments, and has opposed COVID-19 restrictions. Since the Nov. 3 election - which Democrat Joe Biden won in Virginia with 450,000 more votes than Trump - she’s been promising to "expose the voter fraud that’s going on in Virginia."
During a Dec. 1 radio interview on WRVA in Richmond, conservative host John Reid pressed Chase to prove her fraud claim, and she focused on Chesterfield’s heavily Democratic Southside precinct. Here’s the conversation:
Reid: "If there’s an overvote, if it’s supposed to be - and I’m just picking a number - 85,000 people are registered to vote and then 87,000 votes are counted, then you don’t have to be a Ph.D. from M.I.T. to know you’ve got a problem. Is it that simple; are we seeing that? Is that true or not true?"
Chase: "...There are situations, historically, like I know in Chesterfield, the Southside precinct is infamous for having over 100% of the vote count, which really should be impossible if they’re doing what they’re supposed to be doing."
Reid: "...You’re saying there are places where over 100%?"
Chase: "There are, yeah. Absolutely."
Reid: "This year?"
Chase: "I haven’t looked at that particular precinct this year. But I know in years past I’ve actually, before I ran for office, I worked behind the scenes to get Republicans elected and I would go to the Southside precinct because I remember (it) historically having over 100% voting and I’m like, that’s a precinct I want to go work, and I actually saw voters coming in with stacks of votes. They were illegally harvesting votes is what was going on.
We fact-checked Chase’s overvoting claim, using election records from the Chesterfield registrar’s office.
The Southside precinct is near Meadowbrook High School, roughly between Iron Bridge and Cogbill Roads. The working-class precinct was established in 2008, and its highest turnout came that year when 70% of its voters cast ballots in the presidential election won by Democrat Barack Obama. That was below the statewide 74% turnout.
We asked Chase to reconcile the statistics with her overvote claim, and she said she might have gotten things wrong. "Maybe it didn’t happen," she said. "It was a memory I had in the back of my mind."
She added, "I wouldn’t put any credence in what I was saying."
Records show the Southside precinct has voted overwhelmingly Democratic in each of 27 contested elections it has seen since its start. Chase lost the precinct by 3-to-1 ratios in her 2015 and 2019 state Senate races.
Our ruling
Chase, trying to prove there’s voting fraud in Virginia, says Chesterfield’s Southside precinct is infamous for logging more votes than there are voters.
Election records show the strongly-Democratic precinct has never had a voter turnout greater than 70% in its 12-year history. Presented with statistics, Chase says of her overvote claim "maybe it didn’t happen," and "I wouldn’t put any credence in what I was saying."
Chase’s voting fraud claim is fatuous and inflammatory. We rate it Pants on Fire!
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767 | Facebook posts | 2020-11-13 00:00:00 | a post on Facebook:
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Images that show a 90-year-old UK woman receiving the Pfizer COVID-19 vaccine appeared online in a CNN news story in October.
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-12-09 00:00:00 | pants-fire | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/25/viral-image/no-president-trump-didnt-say-about-miss-teen-usa-p/ |
No, President Trump didn’t say this about the Miss Teen USA pageant
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President Donald Trump, a former beauty pageant owner, has come under fire for his behavior around contestants. But a post is distorting remarks Trump made about his actions at Miss Universe pageants to make it sound like he boasted about walking into a changing room full of Miss Teen USA pageant contestants as young as 14 and "inspecting."
A Facebook post quotes Trump as saying, "I’ll tell you the funniest thing. I’ll go backstage before a Miss Teen USA show, and everyone’s getting dressed and ready and everything and no men are anywhere. And I’m allowed to go in because I’m the owner of the pageant and therefore I’m inspecting it."
Beneath the first part of the quote there is a photo of Trump beside a photo of four contestants at the 2007 Miss Teen USA pageant.
"You know, I’m inspecting," the quote continues. "The girls (14-16) are standing there with no clothes on. And you see these incredible looking women (teens), and so, I sort of get away with things like that."
The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
This isn’t what Trump said. It’s an alteration of comments Trump made during a 2005 interview with radio personality Howard Stern regarding Miss Universe and Miss USA pageants. In the exchange, Stern asks Trump if, in the years he owned Miss Universe and Miss USA, there were times he had sex with the contestants, all of whom are over age 18.
Trump first answers, "I never comment on things like that." After more than two minutes of back and forth, Trump says:
"Well, I'll tell you the funniest is that I’ll go backstage before a show, and everyone's getting dressed, and ready and everything else, and you know, no men are anywhere, and I'm allowed to go in because I'm the owner of the pageant and therefore I'm inspecting it. You know, I'm inspecting because I want to make sure that everything is good.
"You know, the dresses. 'Is everyone okay?' You know, they're standing there with no clothes. 'Is everybody okay?' And you see these incredible looking women, and so, I sort of get away with things like that. But no, I've been very good."
After audio of the Stern interview resurfaced during Trump’s 2016 run for president, Miss USA 2001 contestant Tasha Dixon told a Los Angeles TV station that Trump had walked into the Miss USA dressing room when contestants were not fully clothed.
Miss Teen USA contestants’ allegations
While there is no evidence that Trump boasted about viewing minors unclothed as this Facebook post claims, five Miss Teen USA 1997 contestants did allege in 2016 that Trump walked into the dressing room as contestants — some as young as 15 years old — were changing.
Buzzfeed reported the allegations against Trump in 2016, when he was the Republican presidential nominee. A fifth contestant later came forward, also alleging that Trump came into the dressing room as contestants were changing. Buzzfeed reported that 11 other contestants from the 1997 Miss Teen USA pageant said they "did not recall" Trump entering the dressing room.
The Trump campaign issued a statement denying the allegations when they emerged, saying they have "no merit."
Our ruling
A Facebook post quotes President Trump as saying, "I’ll tell you the funniest thing. I’ll go backstage before a Miss Teen USA show, and everyone’s getting dressed and ready and everything and no men are anywhere. … You know, I’m inspecting. The girls (14-16) are standing there with no clothes on."
The post distorts remarks Trump made when speaking with radio show host Howard Stern in 2005. At the time, Trump was talking about his behavior during the Miss Universe and Miss USA pageants, where all contestants are over the age of 18.
Five former Miss Teen USA contestants have accused Trump of walking into the dressing room when girls were changing during the 1997 pageant. But there is no evidence he said this quote about the Miss Teen USA pageant.
We rate this claim False.
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690 |
769 | Facebook posts | 2020-12-08 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
A forensics examination of a Ware County, Ga., Dominion Voting Systems machine found votes were switched from Donald Trump to Joe Biden.
| Daniel Funke | 2020-09-25 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/18/donald-trump/we-dont-want-trump-says-new-zealand-after-country-/ |
‘We don’t want that,’ Trump says of New Zealand after country reported nine new COVID-19 cases
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Speaking in Minnesota ahead of the Democratic National Convention, President Donald Trump compared the ongoing surge of coronavirus cases in the U.S. to the situation in New Zealand, where the virus returned recently after more than 100 days of no community spread.
"When you look at the rest of the world ... now all the sudden, a lot of the places that they were using to hold up, they’re having a big surge," Trump said Aug. 17 in a speech at an airport in Mankato, Minn. "They were holding up names of countries, and now they’re saying, ‘Whoops.’"
"In fact, even New Zealand. You see what's going on in New Zealand?" the president continued. "They beat it. They beat it. It was like front page, they beat it, because they wanted to show me something. The problem is, big surge in New Zealand. It's terrible. We don't want that."
New Zealand, an island nation of about 5 million people, saw the return of the virus’ community spread on Aug. 11 after months with no locally transmitted cases.
But on Aug. 17, the day of Trump’s remark, New Zealand had reported just nine new COVID-19 cases. The previous day, it reported 13 new cases, up from seven new cases on Aug. 15.
On Aug. 18, following Trump’s comment, New Zealand reported another 13 new cases.
The new cases in recent days have caused alarm in New Zealand, where strict lockdown policies and travel restrictions aim to put a lid on the virus. The leadership has responded by postponing the country’s election and locking down Auckland, its largest city.
Andrew Noymer, an associate professor of public health at the University of California, Irvine, said it’s a stretch for Trump to say New Zealand had ever "beat" the virus, since the pandemic was raging elsewhere and New Zealand has needed mitigation efforts to keep cases low.
But New Zealand’s new cases are a far cry from the outbreak in the U.S., which has reported more than 50,000 new cases per day for most of August and July, according to the COVID Tracking Project. The seven-day average of new cases in the U.S. was 50,927 on Aug. 17.
"That is the most ridiculous thing I have heard in quite a while," Brooke Nichols, an assistant professor of global health at Boston University, said of Trump’s claim comparing the two nations.
As of Aug. 18, New Zealand’s health ministry had recorded 1,643 confirmed and probable cases in total, along with 22 deaths. There are currently 90 active cases in the country.
The U.S. leads the world in cumulative cases and deaths, by contrast. It has seen nearly 5.5 million cases and more than 171,000 deaths as of Aug. 18. That’s a quarter of the world’s known cases in a country that, with around 330 million people, represents about 4% of the global population.
The disparity is wide even when you adjust for the size of both countries. According to the World Health Organization, the United States has 16,175 confirmed cases for every 1 million people. New Zealand has 268 confirmed cases per million people.
RELATED: Donald Trump says US is at the top globally in COVID-19 fight. It isn’t.
New Zealand’s leaders were quick to dismiss Trump’s suggestion that the "big surge" in their country was something the U.S. would not "want." Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern said Trump’s comparison between the two nations was "patently wrong," according to local reports.
New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern gestures during the opening ceremony for Redcliffs School in Christchurch, New Zealand, on June 25, 2020. (AP)
"I don’t think there’s any comparison between New Zealand’s current cluster and the tens of thousands of cases that are being seen daily in the United States," Ardern added Aug. 18.
Nichols, the Boston University professor, agreed. "New Zealand has had a few dozen cases in the last week, the United States has had a few dozen new cases in the last couple of minutes," Nichols said. "I wish we were ‘surging’ like New Zealand is."
The White House and Trump campaign did not respond to our inquiries by deadline.
Our ruling
Trump said: "The problem is, big surge in New Zealand. It's terrible. We don't want that."
New Zealand reported nine new cases on Aug. 17, the day of Trump’s remark. The U.S., by contrast, has frequently reported more than 50,000 cases per day since July.
We rate this statement False.
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770 | Jody Hice | 2020-12-04 00:00:00 | a tweet:
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"The FDA knows that rushed-to-market COVID-19 vaccines may cause a wide range of life-threatening side effects, including death."
| Tom Kertscher | 2020-08-18 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/18/donald-trump/grid-operator-rejects-trumps-false-claim-democrats/ |
Grid Operator Rejects Trump’s False Claim ‘Democrats’ Purposely Triggered Calif.'s Rolling Blackouts
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President Trump claimed in a tweet on Tuesday, without evidence, that "In California, Democrats have intentionally implemented rolling blackouts."
The state and much of the Western United States is in the middle of a searing heat wave. California’s grid operator called for utilities to initiate temporary blackouts on Friday and Saturday as the high demand for electricity outstripped supply. Additional blackouts are possible.
We set out to fact check the president’s questionable claim that politics was at play in deciding to call for the blackouts.
California Power Grid Operator Rejects Trump’s Claim
The state’s power grid is managed by the California Independent System Operator, or CAISO. It is a nonprofit public benefit corporation. Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom nominates members to the organization’s board of governors.
But the decision to call for blackouts was made by a shift manager at CAISO’s control room, not by the board or the organization’s CEO, officials said on Tuesday.
"There wasn’t any party affiliation or other kind of input into the decisions to shed load on Friday and Saturday night," Steve Berberich, the system operator’s CEO, told the media, as reported by the San Francisco Chronicle.
On Saturday evening, PG&E, which provides power to much of Northern and Central California, said 220,000 customers lost electricity. Outages were mostly in portions of the Central Coast and Central Valley, including Monterey, Santa Cruz and San Joaquin counties. Approximately the same number of customers lost power on Friday evening.
Severin Borenstein, who sits on CAISO’s board of governors, said calling for rolling blackouts is a last resort measure to avoid having "the entire grid go down." Politics, he said, had nothing to do with it.
"I don't understand what the political motivation would be to have rolling blackouts," Borenstein told PolitiFact California. "If anything it seems that this just gives Trump an opening to rail against renewable energy. But in any case, there is no political link to the decision to implement rolling blackouts."
In his tweet on Tuesday, Trump not only charged Democrats in California for implementing the blackouts, he also alleged that "Democrats are unable to keep up with energy demand … Meanwhile, I gave America energy independence in fact, so much energy we could never use it all. The Bernie/Biden/AOC Green New Deal plan would take California’s failed policies to every American!"
Why Was The Decision Made To Call For Blackouts In California?
On Monday, CAISO officials blamed a combination of factors for the rolling blackouts: Several days of triple digit temperatures across California and much of the West, lower output from renewable energy sources and a gas-powered plant going offline unexpectedly.
Borenstein, who directs the Energy Institute at UC Berkeley’s Haas School of Business, said CAISO warned the state’s utility regulator in January that greater energy capacity was needed.
California added large amounts of renewable energy through solar and wind in recent decades. But those options, particularly solar, haven’t been enough to meet demand at night during this heat wave, Borenstein explained.
That’s because solar energy shuts off at night when many Californians are continuing to run air conditioning.
"We have not built enough capacity," Borenstein said, adding that solar storage options are needed.
In a letter sent Monday to three independent agencies that oversee the state’s electrical grid and utility companies, Newsom said residents and officials did not receive proper warning of impending blackouts.
The governor called the sudden shut-offs — the first rolling blackouts since 2001, which, in part, led to the recall of then-Gov. Gray Davis — "unacceptable and unbefitting of the nation’s largest and most innovative state."
At a press briefing later that day, Newsom took responsibility for the hasty blackouts, but made no suggestion that politics was at play in triggering them.
"We failed to predict and plan, and that’s simply unacceptable," he said. "I am the governor. I am ultimately accountable and will ultimately take responsibility to … ensure this simply never happens again in the state of California."
Officials on Tuesday urged Californians to continue to conserve electricity to avoid additional rolling blackouts.
Our rating
President Trump claimed "In California, Democrats have intentionally implemented rolling blackouts."
The state is in the middle of a prolonged and scorching heat wave. Its power grid operator, California Independent System Operator, called for private utilities to initiate temporary blackouts on Friday and Saturday when electricity demand outpaced supply.
Officials at CAISO said the motivation for the blackouts was to ensure California’s power grid didn’t collapse, and that politics was not a factor.
Officials said neither the CEO nor board members, who are appointed by Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom, called for the blackouts. Instead, the decision was made by a power grid shift manager.
In the end, Trump offered no evidence to back up his provocative and questionable claim.
We rated it False.
FALSE – The statement is not accurate.
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773 | Amanda Chase | 2020-12-01 00:00:00 | a radio |
“Actually, I won Wisconsin.”
| Bill McCarthy | 2020-08-18 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/18/really-american/ad-watch-postmaster-general-republican-donor-inves/ |
Ad Watch: Is the postmaster general a Republican donor with investments in USPS competitors?
|
As new coronavirus cases continue to rise across the country, public health officials have advised Americans to consider voting by mail this fall. But funding for the U.S. Postal Service is up in the air, and the USPS has warned states that it can’t guarantee all mail-in ballots will be counted in time for the November election.
The White House isn’t helping. In an Aug. 13 interview with Fox News, President Donald Trump said he opposed including additional funding for the Postal Service — which has lost billions of dollars during the pandemic — in new coronavirus bailout legislation.
Why? Because Democrats want to expand voting by mail.
"They want three and a half billion dollars for the mail-in votes," Trump said. "They want $25 billion, billion, for the post office. Now they need that money in order to make the post office work so it can take all of these millions and millions of ballots."
"But if they don't get those two items that means you can't have universal mail-in voting because you, they're not equipped to have it."
RELATED: Postal service says its policy is to deliver even mail ballots lacking postage
Trump’s comments upset Democrats, who said the president was trying to suppress the vote. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi called lawmakers back early from their August recess to vote on legislation that would block the USPS from making operational changes.
Trump has long derided the USPS as a waste of federal dollars. But an Aug. 12 ad from an anti-Trump political action committee claimed there may be ulterior motivations for the administration’s comments.
"This is Trump’s new postmaster general, Louis DeJoy," says a narrator in the ad, which was published by Really American on Twitter. "A longtime Republican donor, DeJoy has given over $400,000 to Republicans just this year. Coincidentally, DeJoy and his wife have between $30 and $75 million in assets of direct competitors to the United States Postal Service."
"That’s right — they own the competition. The man Trump put in charge of our post office has the most to gain from its destruction."
NEW VIDEO: Trump didn't choose Louis Dejoy to run the Post Office. He chose him to destroy it. #TrumpKillsUSPS pic.twitter.com/OOhJNOSnit— Really American 🇺🇸 (@ReallyAmerican1) August 12, 2020
The ad has more than 4 million views on Twitter, and similar claims have circulated widely on social media, according to CrowdTangle, a social media insights tool. But are they accurate?
We reached out to the postmaster general’s office for a comment, but we haven’t heard back. We also haven’t heard back from Really American. So we dug into DeJoy’s financial records ourselves.
We found that the postmaster general has donated more than $440,000 to Republican causes in 2020. DeJoy’s investments in USPS competitors are less certain, but government documents suggest he could own more than $75 million in assets.
DeJoy has millions invested in logistics companies
DeJoy was appointed postmaster general in May. Government documents show that he and his wife have tens of millions of dollars invested in companies that provide services similar to the USPS.
DeJoy is the former chairman and CEO of New Breed Logistics, a contract logistics firm in North Carolina. The company helped the USPS process mail for more than 25 years.
In 2014, DeJoy sold the company to XPO Logistics, Inc., for $615 million. XPO says it’s a "top 10 global provider of transportation and logistics services" and is valued at more than $7.5 billion.
As part of the 2014 deal, DeJoy joined the board of XPO and agreed to use $30 million of his proceeds to buy restricted stock in the company. That brings us to the low point of the range mentioned in Really American’s ad.
But what about the rest of the purported assets?
DeJoy is married to Aldona Wos, a former U.S. ambassador to Estonia who has been nominated to serve as ambassador to Canada. The Washington Post reported in June that DeJoy and Wos hold "between $30.1 million and $75.3 million in assets in USPS competitors or contractors, according to Wos’ financial disclosure paperwork filed with the Office of Government Ethics." A fact-check from USA Today estimated that the couple may have up to $75.8 million in assets.
We requested Wos’ 85-page financial disclosure from the Office of Government Ethics to see for ourselves. Here’s a breakdown of Wos and DeJoy’s assets in logistics companies, as of 2019:
XPO: $30.2-$75.5 million
United Parcel Service: $115,002-$300,000
J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc.: $1,001-$15,000
Forward Air Corp.: $1,001-$15,000
Saia Inc.: $1,001-$15,000
The vast majority of DeJoy and Wos’ holdings are in XPO. However, whether or not XPO is a "direct competitor" to the USPS, as Really American claimed, is up for at least a little debate. A 2019 Securities and Exchange Commission filing indicates that, as of 2018, XPO’s "peer group" companies included UPS and J.B. Hunt. The Postal Service is not mentioned in the filing, but since XPO arranges more than 10 million last-mile deliveries per year, the company could benefit from a weakened USPS.
DeJoy has donated millions to Republicans
Really American is correct to say that DeJoy has a financial interest in companies that provide services similar to the USPS. But is the postmaster general also a Republican donor, as the PAC claims?
In a word: yes.
According to the Federal Election Commission, DeJoy has contributed more than $440,000 to Republican causes since January 2020. Those causes include the Trump Victory committee, the North Carolina Republican Party, the National Republican Senatorial Committee and the (Rep. Kevin) McCarthy Victory Fund.
RELATED: How to make sure your ballot is counted this fall
In total, DeJoy has contributed more than $915,000 to Trump’s re-election campaign since February 2018, according to the FEC.
Congressional Democrats questioned DeJoy’s political and business ties soon after he was appointed in May. CNN reported Aug. 14 that the USPS inspector general is investigating DeJoy for potential ethics conflicts and reviewing some of his policy changes, such as eliminating overtime and slowing some mail delivery.
We reached out to the Louis DeJoy and Aldona Wos Family Foundation for a comment, but we haven’t heard back.
Our ruling
In an ad, Really American said DeJoy "gave $400,000 to Republicans just this year" and has "between $30 and $75 million in assets of direct competitors to the United States Postal Service."
Data from the Federal Election Commission and the Office of Government Ethics confirms those claims. DeJoy and Wos’ holdings in XPO and UPS alone amount to between $30.3 and $75.8 million, and DeJoy has contributed more than $440,000 to Republican causes since January 2020.
Whether XPO is a "direct competitor" to the USPS is up for debate, but the company could benefit from a weaker Postal Service. Meanwhile, the USPS inspector general is investigating DeJoy for potential ethics conflicts.
The Really American ad is accurate but needs clarification or additional information.. We rate it Mostly True.
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774 | Donald Trump | 2020-12-05 00:00:00 | Rally:
|
A photo shows Kamala Harris is “listed as Caucasian on her birth certificate.”
| Chris Nichols | 2020-08-18 00:00:00 | mostly-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/dec/09/donald-trump/recount-finds-trump-did-not-win-wisconsin-despite-/ |
Recount finds Trump did not win Wisconsin, despite his victory claim
|
In his first major appearance since the presidential election, President Donald Trump was the main attraction at a Dec. 5, 2020 rally in Valdosta, Ga., where he hoped to boost the campaigns of Republican U.S. Sens. Kelly Loeffler and David Perdue.
The pair are competing against Democrats Raphael Warnock and Jon Ossoff, respectively, to keep their seats in the Jan. 5 runoff that will determine which party controls the U.S. Senate.
Loeffler and Perdue, however, were not the primary focus of the president’s speech.
Instead, Trump turned to a broken-record of wrong and baseless claims, arguing there had been massive fraud and he had actually won the election, defeating Democrat Joe Biden. He and his lawyers have been aggressively pulling every lever, from recounts to lawsuits to public pressure, to undo the results of the election.
Naturally, Trump turned to Wisconsin, one of the state’s that narrowly swung to Biden.
"A poll came out ... Washington Post, ABC, just before the election," Trump told the crowd. "(It said) I’m going to lose Wisconsin by 17 points. I said ‘No, I’m going to win Wisconsin.’
"Actually, I won Wisconsin."
Actually, Trump didn’t.
He lost Wisconsin. Let’s dig in.
Wisconsin results
On Nov. 4, 2020, the morning after Election Day, the Associated Press declared Biden the winner in Wisconsin. The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reported unofficial results showed Biden with a lead of about 20,000 votes -- and that the Trump campaign was already vowing to request a recount.
When it did request the recount, Trump’s team focused only on heavily Democratic Dane and Milwaukee counties. But, by the time the recount was over, Trump actually fell further behind.
Biden netted 132 votes in Milwaukee County and Trump netted 45 votes in Dane County. Taken together, that increased Biden’s statewide margin to 20,695 votes out of about 3 million cast, the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reported on Nov. 29, 2020. (A day later, the figures were revised: Trump's pickup was 58 in Dane (instead of 45), and the final margin was 20,682. The overall net pickup for Biden in the two recounts became 74 (instead of 87 as initially reported).
Having failed, the Trump campaign turned to the court system.
But on Dec. 3, 2020, in a 4-3 decision, the state Supreme Court rejected the campaign’s request to overturn the certification of votes. Instead, the court said Trump’s campaign had to start at the circuit court level. It was a major setback, with even dissenting judges indicating they may reject the call to throw out hundreds of thousands of ballots.
A day later, the court said it would not accept a lawsuit by Trump allies who wanted to let Republican lawmakers decide how to cast the state's electoral votes, rather than the electors chosen by voters in the election.
Meanwhile, the campaign also went to the federal court, where U.S. District Judge Brett Ludwig questioned whether the case should even be before him, calling part of the lawsuit’s requested remedy "really bizarre" and told an attorney for the Trump campaign it was seeking "pretty remarkable declaratory relief." Ludwig has scheduled a hearing for Dec. 10.
In any case, for our purposes here, the main thing that matters is the results themselves.
On Nov. 30, the recounted totals were certified by the chair of the state elections board and Gov. Tony Evers, a Democrat.
In a statement, Evers said: "Today I carried out my duty to certify the November 3rd election, and as required by state and federal law, I've signed the Certificate of Ascertainment for the slate of electors for President-elect Joe Biden and Vice President-elect Kamala Harris."
That sets in motion the Electoral College vote Dec. 14, which will involve 10 Democratic electors.
It also means Biden -- not Trump -- won.
Our ruling
At a Georgia rally, President Trump said "Actually, I won Wisconsin."
There is a preponderance of evidence, including Election Day tallies and a partial recount, illustrating exactly the opposite -- that challenger Biden is the winner in Wisconsin.
Meanwhile, there is no evidence to support the claim that Trump won Wisconsin. The claim, on its face, is ridiculous.
Therefore, we rate it Pants on Fire.
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775 | Viral image | 2020-08-13 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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The coronavirus has seen a “big surge in New Zealand. It's terrible. We don't want that."
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-08-18 00:00:00 | pants-fire | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/dec/08/facebook-posts/map-showing-trump-winning-election-410-electoral-v/ |
Map showing Trump winning election with 410 electoral votes is bogus
|
One feature of 2020 election misinformation that fact-checkers are hip to: faulty electoral maps that claim to show the supposedly "real" outcomes of the presidential election.
President-elect Joe Biden leads with 306 votes to Trump’s 232, with all battleground states certifying their results. But some of the maps we’ve seen online show Trump winning — they’re simply inaccurate or, in one case, old, like this one showing results from the 2016 election.
Now, a new Facebook post is spreading an unrealistic electoral map that shows Trump with a stunning 410 votes, and Biden at 128 votes.
"This is the actual results of the election," text above the map reads. "People in Germany saw this before Dominion servers were seized. This will probably get removed so share as much as possible. The fraud is massive. Shame on these people."
The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
This is wrong.
The map does not reflect the real election results, as the post claims, and there’s no evidence any servers were seized. The map was aired by One America News Network, known as OAN or OANN, a pro-Trump cable network based in the U.S., and there is no evidence it surfaced in Germany.
OAN included the map in a segment it aired on the unfounded conspiracy theory that the U.S. military seized election-related servers in Germany.
In a clip of the segment found on YouTube, an anchor is heard saying that "new reports claim the real results of the 2020 U.S. election were found on a computer server that was seized by the U.S. military in Frankfurt, Germany."
The anchor then refers to a tweet with the map, which flashes on the screen, and says it's "allegedly based off the data from that server" and shows "a landslide victory for President Trump with 410 electoral college votes including liberal strongholds, California and Minnesota."
The map is sourced solely to a defeated congressional candidate Manga Anantatmula, and does not reflect state-certified election results. Among its wild inaccuracies: it awards all of California’s 55 electoral votes to Trump. California has been won by Democrats in every presidential race since 1992, including 2020.
We previously debunked similar posts that said the U.S. Army raided Spanish election software company Scytl in Germany and seized its servers. Some versions claimed the servers had ties to Dominion.
Scytl said in a statement that the U.S. military hasn’t and couldn’t have seized any of its equipment, because it doesn’t have offices in Germany. The Army also denied to the Associated Press that such an event took place.
The company has delivered election modernization projects for U.S. elections since 2008, but none involve tallying votes, according to its website. The services include online initiatives like election worker training, electronic ballot delivery and real-time, visual representation of votes.
In a statement rejecting the claims, Scytl said that its technologies for the U.S. are hosted and managed domestically by a Tampa-based subsidiary, SOE Software, and that it does not provide any voting machines in the U.S. or online voting services for U.S. elections.
Chris Krebs, the former director of the Department of Homeland Security’s Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, who was fired by President Trump after he rejected claims of widespread voter fraud, took to Twitter to debunk the claim before leaving the agency.
"Election-related servers WERE NOT recently seized in Europe by the US Army contrary to #disinfo rapidly spreading across social media," Krebs wrote.
Scytl and Dominion share no ties, according to statements from both companies.
Our ruling
A Facebook post shares an electoral map that shows Trump beating Biden with 410 electoral votes, and says that people in Germany saw these real results before "Dominion’s servers were seized."
The map is not legitimate and was aired by a U.S. pro-Trump cable network. There’s also no evidence of a U.S.-election related raid or server seizure in Germany.
We rate this Pants on Fire!
This fact check is available at IFCN’s 2020 US Elections FactChat #Chatbot on WhatsApp. Click here for more.
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2366, 15, 2326, 58601, 37812, 16047, 674, 16047, 6465, 389, 41113, 13, 9369, 1618, 369, 810, 627] | 689 |
777 | Donald Trump | 2020-08-18 00:00:00 | a tweet:
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Says Ben Shapiro tweeted, “The USPS is not only a bloated and outdate government agency, it is also ineffective and incompetent. It’s been 2 months since my wife went on a Hawaii vacation with her personal trainer; she said she would send me postcards every day and so far none of them have arrived.”
| Daniel Funke | 2020-12-08 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/16/congressional-leadership-fund/ukrainians-firm-paid-rep-mucarsel-powells-husband-/ |
Ukrainian’s firm paid Rep. Mucarsel-Powell’s husband, but attack goes too far
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Claims of corruption continue to mark a competitive South Florida race for the House, where Democratic Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell is being challenged by Miami-Dade Mayor Carlos Gimenez, a Republican.
One of the latest is a guilt-by-association attack on Mucarsel-Powell. It’s over ties that her husband, lawyer Robert Powell, had with a Ukrainian oligarch, Ihor Kolomoisky.
The attack comes in an ad shot in black and white from the Congressional Leadership Fund, a super PAC that works to elect Republicans to the House.
"This town is far too familiar with violent thugs," the narrator states, as photos of authoritarian leaders Nicolás Maduro of Venezuela and Cuba’s Fidel Castro appear on the screen.
"And Debbie Mucarsel-Powell is far too familiar with violent warlord Ihor Kolomoisky. Mucarsel-Powell’s family received more than $700,000 from Kolomoisky’s firm. He’s been accused of embezzlement, bribery and murder."
Robert Powell was paid some $700,000 while previously working for a firm partly owned by Kolomoisky.
But Powell has not been accused of any wrongdoing in connection with various allegations against Kolomoisky. And Kolomoisky doesn’t have the same stature as Maduro or Castro.
A toss-up race
Mucarsel-Powell is finishing her first term in Washington. Gimenez has served as mayor of Florida’s most populous county since 2011.
The Cook Political Report rates the race a toss-up. It is one of 18 pivotal House and Senate races up for election on Nov. 3 that PolitiFact is tracking.
The incumbent attacked Gimenez for extending a contract to a firm with ties to his sons; we rated it Half True. Also Half True was her claim that Gimenez boosted his own pay and pension, and kept a taxpayer-funded Mercedes-Benz.
Comparing Kolomoisky
Kolomoisky is one of Ukraine’s richest men, controlling businesses in many sectors of the Ukrainian economy, including metals, energy and media. Widely seen as Ukraine’s most powerful figure outside of government, according to the New York Times, he spent millions of dollars to field and equip fighters and helped stop the Russian advance into the country in 2014. But his stature is not on the level of the two nation leaders invoked in the ad.
Castro, the late Cuban leader, ruled his country for nearly half a century, until stepping aside with illness in 2006. He was "among the world’s most repressive leaders" who executed or jailed thousands of political opponents, according to the Washington Post’s obituary.
In Venezuela, a UN investigation in September concluded that unlawful executions, enforced disappearances, arbitrary detentions and torture "amounted to crimes against humanity." Maduro, who has been president since 2013, likely "side-tracked the chain of command to ensure the commission of crimes," the report said.
Kolomoisky-Powell connection
The Daily Beast reported in 2018, during Murcasel-Powell’s first run for her seat, that Robert Powell spent much of the previous 10 years as general counsel for companies owned at least in part by Kolomoisky, including Optima Acquisitions, which acquired companies in the United States, and Felman Trading, a New Jersey global supplier of manganese and ferroalloys.
Kolomoisky has been accused of bribery and embezzlement in recent years by business partners and government authorities, the Miami Herald reported. The allegations also include involvement in contract killings.
Robert Powell responded to the Daily Beast story at the time with a statement from his wife’s campaign, declaring: "I have never worked for, represented, answered to, or received any payment from Mr. Kolomoisky at any time."
But Powell received $695,000 in salary in 2016 and 2017 from Felman Trading, Mucarsel-Powell’s 2017 federal financial disclosure form shows.
Mucarsel-Powell’s campaign confirmed to PolitiFact that Robert Powell was paid that much over the two years.
Kolomoisky legal troubles
Kolomoisky is in more legal trouble today — but there is no indication Powell is involved.
In August, the U.S. Justice Department brought allegations against Kolomoisky and another Ukrainian oligarch, Gennadiy Boholiubov. As the previous primary owners of PrivatBank, one of the largest banks in Ukraine, they are accused of embezzlement and defrauding the bank of billions of dollars, from 2008 through 2016. That was during the period when Robert Powell worked as the general counsel.
Two other associates in Miami created entities, usually under some variation of the name Optima, to launder the money and buy hundreds of millions of dollars in real estate and businesses across the United States, according to the civil forfeiture complaints filed in Miami.
Kolomoisky and his associates bought at least 22 properties, including a skyscraper in Cleveland, a shuttered Motorola facility in Illinois and the former headquarters of Mary Kay Cosmetics in Dallas, according to a September article by the International Consortium of Investigative Journalists. They "left a trail of empty, boarded-up buildings, unpaid property taxes, dangerous factory conditions, unemployed workers, and at least four steel mills that filed for bankruptcy," according to the article.
But Powell is not named in either of the Justice Department complaints. He has not been accused of any wrongdoing in connection with what is alleged in the complaints, the Miami Herald reported.
Our ruling
Making a guilt-by-association attack, the Congressional Leadership Fund says Mucarsel-Powell's family received $700,000 from the firm of "violent warlord Ihor Kolomoisky," comparing him to Fidel Castro and Nicolás Maduro.
The comparison of the Ukrainian oligarch to authoritarian leaders of two nations is a stretch. Mucarsel-Powell’s husband, Robert Powell, was paid $695,000 by a company partly owned by Kolomoisky, but he has not been accused of any wrongdoing in connection with allegations made against Kolomoisky.
We rate the statement Half True.
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778 | Viral image | 2020-08-16 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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"Our (COVID-19) numbers are better than almost all countries."
| D.L. Davis | 2020-10-16 00:00:00 | half-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/16/facebook-posts/no-proof-jaime-harrison-was-left-touch-screen-mach/ |
No proof that Jaime Harrison was left off touch-screen machines
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South Carolina Democrats are eager to see if Jaime Harrison, with a massive fundraising haul, can pull off an upset of Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham in the red state.
But a Facebook post suggests — without evidence — that something nefarious is happening with the ballots.
"Jaime Harrison is being left off of SC ballots," states the Facebook post. "South Carolinians who are voting ‘straight Democratic’ have noted that Jaime Harrison isn’t included on their ballots. Voters have had to manually go through and select individual names."
The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
The South Carolina Election Commission had received complaints from the state Democratic Party that some voters said Harrison’s name was missing when they cast ballots on touchscreen machines at early voting.
Chris Whitmire, a spokesman for the commission, said the state consulted with local elections officials and checked out the complaints and found no proof of problems. Whitmire forwarded to us the email correspondence between Shaundra Young Scott, a voter protection lawyer for the state Democratic Party, and Whitmire between Oct. 12 and 14.
"We have had multiple reports that Jaime Harrison's name is missing from the ballot," Scott wrote Oct. 12, citing complaints from voters in Florence and Georgetown counties.
In an email the next day, Scott said that the Democrats had reports from two voters who said they were unable to vote for Harrison when they voted straight party and had to try multiple times. Scott wrote in a subsequent email that a similar situation occurred with a straight party voter in Beaufort who had to try three times before Harrison’s name was included. It wasn’t clear from the emails exactly how many voters had made allegations, but Scott told us in an interview it was a handful.
We spoke to Whitmire on a video call so he could show us how voting works on touch-screen machines in South Carolina, one of a handful of states that offer what is known as straight party voting. Roughly half of South Carolina voters generally opt for straight party voting, where they can select all of a party’s candidates in partisan races without having to select them individually.
Here’s how it works: The voter sees a screen that allows the voter to choose their party. (A voter who doesn’t want to vote straight party hits the "next" button.) If a voter chooses Democrat, then the party’s candidates automatically appear
In this case, when the voter is on the Senate screen, Harrison’s name automatically appears with a green check mark. But if the voter touches Harrison’s name, then his name is deselected.
Writer Jennifer Cohn tweeted an image of what deselecting Harrison’s name would look like. The machine warns voters if they haven’t chosen a candidate in a race.
The touch screen has a review screen at the end, and then prints out a card that shows the voter’s choices. If a voter sees that their selection for Senate wasn’t on the card, the voter can tell the poll manager that it’s wrong, and then the voter starts over. (The printed card is scanned for tabulation. Only one card per voter is ultimately put through the scanner.)
State officials contacted the election directors in Florence and Georgetown counties, and neither one was aware of any voter seeing a ballot without Harrison’s name, Whitmire told Scott in an email.
Whitmire wrote that one possible explanation is that some straight-ticket Democratic voters are touching Harrison’s name to make sure they’re voting for him and end up unintentionally deselecting his name.
"In this situation, when the voter reached the review screen, they would see no selection, and if they printed their ballot they would also not see Harrison’s name," Whitmire wrote. "Of course, this situation could happen with any partisan candidate."
We asked Scott if it was possible that voters were unintentionally deselecting Harrison’s name.
"I don’t want to speculate. We are still investigating and trying to figure that out," she said.
The party has poll watchers inside polling sites. So far, she said, no poll watchers told her that they had seen a situation with Harrison’s name missing from ballots, but she has asked them to be on the lookout.
We also contacted the Harrison campaign and asked them to send any evidence they had that Harrison’s name was omitted from the ballots.
"We are not currently aware of the problem you described," said Guy King, a Harrison spokesman. "South Carolinians who experience any difficulty trying to vote should call 1-855-785-0222 or go to VOTEBLUESC.com."
Harrison is a former lobbyist who became the first African American to run the South Carolina Democratic Party. Some polls have shown the race as close while others have shown Graham with a lead. Harrison raised $57 million in the most recent quarter, shattering the quarterly record for a Senate candidate set by Beto O’Rourke in Texas in 2018.
RELATED: Lindsey Graham’s Truth-O-Meter from PolitiFact
Our ruling
A Facebook post said "Jaime Harrison is being left off of South Carolina ballots."
We found no evidence that Harrison’s name has been left off the ballot, and Harrison’s campaign told us they know of no evidence showing that, either. Elections officials investigated and said voters using touch screens may be accidentally deselecting Harrison after voting straight-party, but it’s possible to fix such an error before casting a final vote.
We rate this statement False.
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779 | Donald Trump | 2020-08-17 00:00:00 | a campaign rally speech |
Postmaster General Louis DeJoy “gave $400,000 to Republicans just this year” and has “between $30 and $75 million in assets of direct competitors to the United States Postal Service.”
| Samantha Putterman | 2020-10-16 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/16/andrew-cuomo/cuomos-claim-nursing-home-deaths-not-whole-story/ |
Cuomo's claim on nursing home deaths not whole story
|
Gov. Andrew Cuomo continues to be under fire for his administration’s handling of the novel coronavirus in nursing homes, where residents are vulnerable to serious illness or death from the virus.
In a call with reporters, Cuomo was asked again, this time by the Finger Lakes Daily News, about how his administration dealt with nursing homes, specifically a controversial March 25 order, rescinded in May, regarding patients leaving hospitals and going to nursing homes. Nursing homes felt pressure to accept coronavirus patients from hospitals following the March 25 order. Cuomo pushed back on what he considered the premise of the question.
"You look at the nursing home deaths in this state," Cuomo said. "Do you know what number we are by percentage before you made that statement? We're No. 46 out of 50 states, and we had the worst problem, and we're 46th in terms of percentage of deaths in nursing homes."
The way that New York has counted COVID-19 deaths in nursing homes has come under scrutiny, and we wondered whether Cuomo is correct.
Flawed comparison
We reached out to Cuomo’s press office, and spokesperson Jason Conwall directed us to a New York Times data analysis of deaths in long-term care facilities by state.
In the most recent data, published Sept. 16, nursing homes accounted for larger shares of COVID-19 deaths in 41 other states and the District of Columbia - not 45, though Conwall said Cuomo was referencing previous iterations of the Times' data. The Internet Archive showed a previous version of the list making New York 45th.
We reached out to KFF, formerly the Kaiser Family Foundation, a nonpartisan source of health information, to ask about Cuomo’s claim. Priya Chidambaram, a policy analyst for the foundation, tracks data about COVID-19 deaths and long-term care. She told us that one of the key differences between New York and other states is that New York excludes deaths that were not in a nursing home. Nursing home residents who develop serious illness and need to be treated in a hospital, and do not recover, are not counted as part of the state’s nursing home deaths, she said. State data is not comparable because of the different ways states report these deaths. Some states include various long-term care facilities in their data, while others just include nursing homes. Other states report residents and staff, some just report residents.
The best comparable data for analyzing nursing home deaths comes from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Chidambaram said. In its data, which uses a different metric, New York ranks in the middle - not among the lowest - for the share of nursing home deaths among its population of nursing home residents. CMS ranks states by deaths per 1,000 nursing home residents. New York had 50.5 deaths per 1,000 residents, ranking 20th on a list of 50 states and the District of Columbia, as of the week ending Sept. 27. The federal government began requiring this data in May, long after the pandemic began in New York.
New York's health commissioner, Howard Zucker, has defended the administration's approach, and said the state does not want to double count deaths - attributing a single death to a nursing home and a hospital, and that he wants to only release data that is completely accurate. A spokesperson for the department has said that the state has been a leader in releasing facility-level data on deaths.
Our ruling
Cuomo said 45 other states had higher portions of nursing home residents as a share of the total coronavirus deaths in a state. He was referencing an analysis from the New York Times, which puts New York near the bottom, 43rd in a list of 46 states and the District of Columbia, with five states left off the list because of insufficient data.
But the Times cautions readers about making comparisons among states because of the different ways each level of government and each facility reports the data.
Cuomo's claim contains an element of truth: There is a New York Times database and it includes death numbers for nursing home patients across the nation. But the governor left out some critical facts that would give a different impression about how New York compares with other states for how nursing home residents are faring. New York counts deaths that occur in a nursing home, leaving out those deaths of residents in hospitals. And there's inconsistencies in the reported data that ends up in the database among states and facilities.
According to federal data, which calculates deaths per 1,000 nursing home residents, regardless of where they die, New York lands near the middle.
We rate his claim Mostly False.
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781 | Facebook posts | 2020-12-08 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
Says Debbie Mucarsel-Powell's family received $700,000 from the firm of "violent warlord Ihor Kolomoisky," who is compared to Fidel Castro and Nicolás Maduro.
| Tom Kertscher | 2020-10-16 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/16/facebook-posts/bidens-tax-plan-would-not-impose-40-capital-gains-/ |
Biden’s tax plan would not impose 40% capital gains tax on most home sales
|
If Joe Biden wins this year’s presidential election, you may have a big tax bill coming your way should you decide to sell your home — at least, that’s according to some folks on social media.
An Oct. 12 text post on Facebook claims the Democratic presidential candidate would dramatically increase capital gains taxes, affecting anyone who sells their home.
"Biden’s capital gains tax means that when you sell your home you’ll owe taxes of 40% of your profit!" the post says over a background of poop emoji. "Let that sink in."
The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
The source of the post is a Trump-supporting real estate agent based in Eugene, Ore. We reached out to her for evidence to back up the post, but we haven’t heard back. So we looked into it.
(Screenshot from Facebook)
The post is wrong — several fact-checkers have debunked it.
Biden would increase capital gains taxes for Americans who make more than $1 million per year. Those taxes apply to home sales if sellers make hundreds of thousands of dollars in profit.
First, let’s review what capital gains taxes are.
A capital gain is the difference between what someone paid for an asset, also known as the "basis," and what they sold it for. The capital gains tax is the main federal tax that the Internal Revenue Service imposes on real estate.
For example, if you purchased a house for $250,000 and sold it for $300,000, your capital gain would be $50,000. However, the IRS typically lets sellers deduct up to $250,000 in capital gains if they’re single and $500,000 if they’re married and file joint tax returns, so you probably wouldn’t owe anything.
Biden has not proposed changing those exemptions. He also hasn’t advocated raising taxes on Americans making less than $400,000 per year, as we’ve reported.
On his official campaign website, Biden says he would double the long-term capital gains rate from 20% to 39.6%. His administration would use that money to help pay for Biden’s health care plan.
However, the 39.6% tax rate would only apply to those making more than $1 million per year. That means Biden’s proposal would not affect the vast majority of people — 8.5% of Americans make more than $200,000 annually.
According to the Internal Revenue Service, the capital gains tax rate "is no higher than 15% for most individuals."
"Some or all net capital gain may be taxed at 0% if your taxable income is less than $78,750," the agency says. "A capital gain rate of 15% applies if your taxable income is $78,750 or more but less than $434,550 for single; $488,850 for married filing jointly or qualifying widow(er); $461,700 for head of household, or $244,425 for married filing separately."
What does that look like in practice? Let’s break it down.
Let’s pretend you’re married and file taxes jointly. You and your partner’s combined annual income is $650,000, putting your household in the IRS’ top federal income tax bracket. You decide to sell your house, which you purchased for $400,000. To your surprise, you get your full asking price of $700,000.
RELATED: No, Joe Biden doesn’t want to impose a federal tax on homes
Your capital gain would be $300,000 on the home — several times higher than the nationwide average. Since your household’s annual income is less than $1 million, Biden’s proposed capital gains tax rate would not apply to you. And since you’re married and file taxes jointly, you probably wouldn’t owe the IRS capital gains taxes anyway.
So in what real estate scenario would Biden’s proposed capital gains tax rate kick in?
First, your household would have to make more than $1 million per year. Then, if you’re single, you’d have to sell your house for at least a $250,000 profit. If you’re married and jointly file taxes, you’d have to make $500,000 on a home sale.
For the vast majority of Americans, that is unlikely — and far from a blanket tax on home sales, as the Facebook post says.
We reached out to the Biden campaign for a comment, but we haven’t heard back.
The Facebook post contains an element of truth but ignores critical facts that would give a different impression. We rate it Mostly False.
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782 | Facebook posts | 2020-10-07 00:00:00 | an ad:
|
“Jaime Harrison is being left off of South Carolina ballots”
| Amy Sherman | 2020-10-16 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/18/facebook-posts/facebook-posts-labels-months-old-image-mask-policy/ |
Facebook post mislabels months-old image on mask policy as new to spread COVID-19 disinformation
|
People are using an old photo of a Fox News graphic to spread new misinformation about mask policies amid the coronavirus pandemic.
"As of the last 24 hours this is the protocol regarding masks — BAM spread the word!," the post shared Aug. 14 says. The post points down to an image of a Fox News television graphic that reads:
"Masks should only be used by healthcare workers, caretakers or by people who are sick with symptoms like fever and cough."
The post, which has been shared more than 10,000 times, was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
There’s nothing about this post that happened in the last 24 hours, other than people spreading it as misinformation.
The quote is from at least as early as March, according to Fox News.
And the image is likely from late May or early June.
How to tell the image is out of date
The Fox News graphic includes the composite index of the Nasdaq Stock Market in the bottom right corner. The index measured 9,415.23 at the time the photo was taken.
The Nasdaq has stayed above 10,000 since July 1, according to Marketwatch. It hasn’t been at 9,415 since mid-June.
The text on the graphic tracks with a Fox News story published online May 28, which said that the World Health Organization was only recommending healthy people wear masks in cases where they were in contact with someone infected with COVID-19.
The story includes the same quote referenced in the image.
"If you do not have any respiratory symptoms such as fever, cough or runny nose, you do not need to wear a mask," Dr. April Baller, a public health specialist for the WHO, says in a video on the world health body's website posted in March. "Masks should only be used by health care workers, caretakers or by people who are sick with symptoms of fever and cough."
What WHO says now
The post we’re checking doesn’t claim WHO said not to wear a mask in March or April or May. It made the claim that the guidance happened in the last 24 hours — meaning the middle of August.
A search of the World Health Organization website shows that’s not the case.
In an FAQ, the international health organization says it recommends that people always consult local authorities on recommended practices in their area.
"If there is widespread community transmission, and especially in settings where physical distancing cannot be maintained, governments should encourage the general public to wear a fabric mask. WHO also provides details on the composition of a fabric mask and how to safely wear one," WHO writes.
Our ruling
A post says, "As of the last 24 hours this is the protocol regarding masks: Masks should only be used by healthcare workers, caretakers or by people who are sick with symptoms like fever and cough."
The post was shared Aug. 14, and has more than 10,000 shares on Facebook. But the details in the image are months old, and the instructions are outdated.
WHO says governments should encourage the use of masks in places where there social distancing isn’t possible or where there is widespread community transmission.
We rate this claim False.
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785 | Andrew Cuomo | 2020-09-25 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
Says Joe Biden’s “capital gains tax means that when you sell your home you’ll owe taxes of 40% of your profit!”
| Daniel Funke | 2020-08-18 00:00:00 | half-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/18/trump-victory-wisconsin/no-joe-biden-doesnt-want-ban-fracking-and-kill-wis/ |
No, Joe Biden doesn’t want to ban fracking and kill the Wisconsin jobs the industry supports
|
In a tight race for president, both Republicans and Democrats are pursuing every angle -- and every issue -- in their quest to win.
Fracking is one of the issues that has been picked up by Donald Trump’s reelection campaign and used against presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden and his running mate, U.S. Sen. Kamala Harris of California.
In an Aug. 12, 2020 email, Wisconsin Trump Victory claimed that by choosing Harris as his running mate, Biden is "putting Wisconsin’s energy workers on notice."
Trump Victory is a political group led jointly by the Trump campaign and the Republican National Committee.
The email claims that Biden’s selection of Harris is "a shot across the bow to 100,000 Wisconsinites facing unemployment due to their proposal to eliminate fracking."
Fracking is a common -- but highly controversial -- technique used to access hard-to-reach oil and gas in rock formations.
Does Biden really support eliminating fracking entirely? And would the elimination of fracking impact 100,000 Wisconsin jobs?
What is fracking, and how is Wisconsin involved?
Fracking is short for hydraulic fracturing, a type of drilling that’s used to access oil and natural gas trapped inside rock formations.
Using drills, several wells can be created a mile or more beneath the surface of the earth, and then a mixture of water, sand and other additives are pumped in at high pressure, creating fissures that are held open by the sand. Those small fissures are what allows the trapped gas or oil to flow out of the rock they were trapped in.
The practice, which is used to access resources in the eastern, western and southwestern areas of the country, is the reason that America is able to tap into oil reserves beneath the soil, according to the American Petroleum Institute.
Although Wisconsin isn’t home to the oil or natural gas that is accessed by fracking, it is home to several sand mines, which produce the specific type of sand needed during the fracking process. Those mines generate jobs of all types, from the industrial workers to truck drivers to even those running the grocery stores in the towns near the mines.
Does Joe Biden want to ban fracking?
In its email, Trump Victory points multiple times to the March 15, 2020 Democratic debate, in which Biden faced off against U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders, then the lone remaining challenger.
While talking about climate change, Sanders said that he wants to completely eliminate fracking in America to help with the climate change crisis, to which Biden responded that he does, too.
"Well, I’m not sure your proposal does that," Sanders said.
"No more, no new fracking," Biden said.
That statement was a deviation from Biden’s official position, in which he stated he did not want to outright ban the practice.
Following the debate, a Biden campaign representative clarified the position, saying Biden wants a ban only on new fracking activities on federal lands and waters, according to a PolitiFact item from June 2020, and another from July 2020.
For that reason, PolitiFact has rated claims that Biden wants to halt fracking Mostly False.
Thus, the Trump Victory email gets off to a bad start.
So what about those jobs?
The number of actual jobs related to the sand mining industry is actually much smaller than the 100,000 figure listed in the email.
According to the Job Center of Wisconsin, part of the state Department of Workforce Development, the number of all jobs in the mining, quarrying and oil and gas extraction industry was 3,480 in 2019. Even that is a broader figure than just those tied to fracking specifically.
But that number doesn’t include related jobs, like those in transportation, manufacturing, finance, healthcare and various other local businesses that are tied to mining.
To support that claim, the Trump Victory email links to a 2011 study by the American Petroleum Institute, which cites 103,300 as the number of direct, indirect and induced jobs provided by the oil and gas industry in Wisconsin.
But a more recent study -- from 2017 -- was available, showing an estimated 98,200 total jobs fueled by the gas and oil industry in the state.
The study breaks down the number this way:
35,000 in natural gas and oil
29,700 in services
10,000 in manufacturing
7,900 in wholesale and retail
3,300 in transportation and warehousing
900 in construction
11,400 in other jobs
Still, those figures are for all oil and gas-related jobs in the state. The number tied to fracking would be smaller, though it’s hard to pinpoint how much smaller. In any case, it’s a vast overstatement to say some 100,000 would face unemployment.
So, on this point, Trump Victory uses an outdated report that is offpoint and overshoots the mark.
Our ruling
Trump Victory said that by backing a ban on fracking, Biden would cost 100,000 Wisconsinites their jobs.
Biden does not support an outright fracking ban, though he did speak inaccurately about his stance on the issue in a March 2020 debate.
As far as the 100,000 jobs, that figure includes a far larger range of jobs than just those related to the fracking industry, taking into account other oil and gas figures.
We rate this claim False.
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786 | Viral image | 2020-10-12 00:00:00 | a text post:
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CNN reported, “Due to COVID-19, President Donald Trump passes away at 74.”
| Aaron Sharockman | 2020-08-18 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/17/facebook-posts/viral-shadowgate-video-makes-sweeping-unfounded-cl/ |
Viral ShadowGate video makes sweeping, unfounded claims
|
Millie Weaver, a correspondent for Infowars, posted on her website on Aug. 3 that "ShadowGate" was coming soon.
Billed as perhaps the "biggest whistleblowing event ever," the promised exposé, nearly an hour-and-a-half long, started spreading on social media about two weeks later.
Much in the vein of Infowars, which was created by Alex Jones and promotes conspiracy theories, this video makes sweeping claims about a supposed shadow government puppeteering civil society. But it provides no supporting evidence for its eye-opening claims.
"What if I were to tell you that a small group of government contractors were hired by government officials to frame the Trump campaign, set him up for the Russia collusion investigation, provided witnesses for the impeachment hearings, and provided administrative support services to the Department of Justice during the Mueller investigation," Weaver says as the video starts. "And what if it just so happened that this same group of government contractors are behind the fake news in mainstream media, influence operations on social media, and the civil unrest nationwide pushing the defund the police movement."
The referenced "contractors" form the "military industrial complex," Weaver says. "These contractors have used their connections, power and influence to create an unprecedented international criminal enterprise where blackmail is traded and people’s personal data is gold."
From there more allegations unfurl without evidence, including that:
- News pundits like Mika Brzezinski of MSNBC’s "Morning Joe" are assets for this shadow government.
- Polls that showed former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton winning the 2016 presidential election by a big margin were an attempt at "hijacking reality" to distract from "the fact that she couldn’t walk, talk, climb stairs."
- So-called "Obama phones" — described as free cell phones for low-income families — "played a significant role in fostering" unrest in Ferguson, Mo., after Michael Brown, an unarmed black teenager was shot in 2014.
-The whistleblower who told federal officials that President Donald Trump solicited foreign interference from Ukraine in the 2020 election is a "decoy." (Here, the ShadowGate video shows several photos of the son of Democratic fundraiser George Soros, Alexander Soros, who has been frequently misidentified as the man some conservatives allege is the whistleblower.)
This video was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.) One of the key tenets of PolitiFact is that the burden of proof is on the speaker. This video and its claims fall woefully short.
The ShadowGate narrative hinges on the allegations of two "whistleblowers," someone referred to by the first name of "Tore," who is described as a linguist and intelligence contractor for the U.S. Navy, and Patrick Bergy, who is described as a "PSYOP Program Developer" in cyber security for the U.S. Army.
Neither the Navy nor the Army answered our questions about the video, including our efforts to verify their employment history.
Though Tore is not given a last name in the video she appears to be Tore Maras-Lindeman, host of the radio show Tore Says who in 2018 announced she was running for mayor of Minot, N.D., with the slogan "Make Minot Great Again."
Bergy, meanwhile, recently suggested in a video posted on YouTube that Weaver had recently been arrested because of her work exposing the deep state. Actually, Weaver and her boyfriend were arrested on charges of robbery, tampering with evidence, obstructing justice and domestic violence, Fox News reported.
Davey Alba, a reporter for the New York Times covering disinformation, tweeted on Aug. 16 that an emergency legal fund for Weaver had raised more than $88,000. By Aug. 17, it was at more than $161,000.
"So many tactics are colliding with this piece of misinformation," Alba said about the ShadowGate video. "To be clear: QAnon is largely behind the spread of this video."
The QAnon conspiracy theory similarly swirls around secret hands, pitting the president against a "deep state" set on undermining him. Recent misinformation perpetuated by its believers wrongly claimed that the explosion at the port of Beirut was actually a bombing involving the Rothschild family, and that the online home goods retailer Wayfair was mixed up in a global child sex-trafficking ring.
What’s also clear here: while the ShadowGate video makes incredible claims about the government, they amount to an unfounded conspiracy theory that recasts recent major news events — like Black Lives Matter demonstrations, Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election and news coverage that’s unflattering to the president — as the product of secret meddling by the U.S. government.
The theory is baseless. Black Lives Matter protests arose from anger and grief over police killings of unarmed black men. Mueller didn’t find evidence that Trump knowingly conspired with the Kremlin. And news coverage that scrutinizes the president and his actions isn’t "fake news" courtesy of some government contractors, but simply journalism.
We rate these claims Pants on Fire.
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787 | Facebook posts | 2020-10-12 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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“As of the last 24 hours this is the protocol regarding masks: Masks should only be used by healthcare workers, caretakers or by people who are sick with symptoms like fever and cough.”
| Louis Jacobson | 2020-08-17 00:00:00 | pants-fire | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/17/kelly-loeffler/loeffler-attacks-collins-increasing-taxes-stacey-a/ |
Loeffler attacks Collins for increasing taxes with Stacey Abrams. The reality is more nuanced.
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As they battle for a Georgia Senate seat, Republicans Sen. Kelly Loeffler and Rep. Doug Collins have each adopted an unorthodox campaign strategy: tying the other to Democrat Stacey Abrams.
A new attack ad released by the Loeffler campaign follows this tack, claiming that Collins voted with the state’s former Democratic gubernatorial candidate to raise taxes when they were both state representatives.
"Doug Collins repeatedly joined liberal Stacey Abrams to raise taxes," the ad claims, with text citing HR 206, a bill to fund infrastructure projects. The ad then goes on to refer to HR 206 as "the largest tax increase in Georgia history" and concludes by saying that "Kelly’s never voted for a tax increase — and never will."
While the ad makes claims that are accurate, it also leaves out crucial context about HR 206 and Loeffler’s own position on it.
The 2009-10 Assembly fight
In 2009, the Georgia State Assembly was deadlocked over two transportation bills: HR 206 and HB 277. The bills, which complemented each other, allowed Georgia voters to decide whether to adopt a statewide 1-cent sales tax increase to fund infrastructure improvements.
Proponents of the bill, including Republican business-owners, noted that Georgia spent less on transportation than almost every other state and that its crumbling infrastructure was discouraging investment.
As the ad claims, both Collins and Abrams supported HR 206 and HB 277 when they were state representatives. Collins was quoted in the Gainesville Times supporting "the state-wide approach" to taxation.
However, HR 206 and HB 277 did not actually constitute a tax increase per se. Instead, they punted the decision to Georgia voters, who would be asked in a statewide ballot whether they wanted to amend the state constitution to allow the tax. The ad’s claim that Collins "joined liberal Stacey Abrams to raise taxes" is therefore misleading.
HR 206 and HB 277 passed the House but stalled in the Senate, where they were fought over, amended, and kicked from committee to committee. In 2010, HB 277 was finally passed – as The Atlanta Journal-Constitution wrote – "as if it were a billion-dollar kidney stone."
As businesswoman, Loeffler supports tax increase
By the time it passed, HB 277 had changed significantly. Instead of calling for a statewide vote, the bill split Georgia into 12 regions and asked residents of each region to vote in a referendum on whether to enact the tax for projects within that region.
Loeffler, then an Atlanta businesswoman and co-owner of the Atlanta Dream WNBA franchise, supported one of the regional tax increases that the bills put on the ballot. Along with other sports executives, Loeffler was quoted in the Henry Herald promoting the sales tax in the Atlanta regional referendum:
"This is about sports and competition and improving the fan experience," Loeffler told the Herald, in reference to the tax hike. "There is no other option for creating jobs in this way right now."
Loeffler did more than simply voice her support for the tax. According to campaign finance records, the company led by Loeffler’s husband, of which she was a senior executive, donated $100,000 to a political committee backing the sales tax increase.
The Loeffler campaign said that the attack ad was referring to Collins’ vote for HR 206 and HB 277 before they had been amended to include the regional referenda. Since Loeffler supported the regional tax increase rather than the statewide tax that Collins and Abrams favored, she is not taking an inconsistent position, the campaign said.
"Kelly supported the 2012 regional [referendum] that allowed communities to vote individually for and fund projects of importance in their own communities," wrote Loeffler spokesman Stephen Lawson in an email. "Doug Collins voted to tax south Georgia for Atlanta's traffic problems by voting for the statewide, one-size-fits-all approach."
In support of Lawson’s claims, the Loeffler campaign ad does specifically cite Collins’ vote on the version of HR 206 that endorsed a statewide, not regional tax referendum. But the reality is that Georgia taxes did not actually increase statewide because of Collins’ vote on HR 206.
Our ruling
The Loeffler campaign ad makes a series of claims about the transportation bills HR 206 and HB 277. These claims leave out crucial context about Collins’ voting record and Loeffler’s own position on similar tax increases.
The first part of the claim, "Doug Collins repeatedly joined liberal Stacey Abrams to raise taxes" does not strictly apply to the bill that the ad calls "the greatest tax increase in Georgia history." As noted above, HR 206 would not have levied a statewide tax per se. Instead, it left the ultimate decision on the tax up to Georgia voters.
The second part of the claim, "Kelly’s never voted for a tax increase — and never will," is also misleading. As a citizen, Loeffler publicly supported a regional transportation tax, saying it was necessary to create jobs.
We rate this claim Mostly False.
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789 | Michelle Obama | 2020-08-17 00:00:00 | a Democratic convention speech:
|
"Social Security beneficiaries count on the post office to get their checks.”
| Laura Schulte | 2020-08-17 00:00:00 | pants-fire | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/16/congressional-leadership-fund/republican-super-pac-misleads-hoadleys-blog-posts-/ |
Republican super PAC misleads on Hoadley’s blog posts in new ad condemned as homophobic
|
In a new TV ad, the Congressional Leadership Fund, a Republican super PAC dedicated to securing a Republican majority in the U.S. House of Representatives, attacks Democratic congressional candidate Jon Hoadley. "Jon Hoadley's judgment is disturbing," the ad claims. Hoadley currently represents Michigan’s 60th District in the state’s House of Representatives and he’s trying to unseat incumbent Republican Rep. Fred Upton, R-St. Joseph, who was first elected to Congress in 1986.
CLF’s ad inaccurately characterizes blog posts Hoadley wrote in 2004 and 2005, over 15 years ago, when he was a college student at Michigan State University. CLF claims that what Hoadley wrote was "sexist" and "creepy." The ad distorts other posts Hoadley wrote, claiming that Hoadley "wanted to learn about crystal meth" and "wrote that his sexual partners were his victims."
Hoadley’s blog, which has since been deleted, contained some insensitive comments but doesn’t substantiate CLF’s characterizations. In a statement to the New York Post which published a piece on the blog, Hoadley’s campaign said the posts were "bad college poetry." In a Facebook video released Aug. 10, Hoadley issued an apology: "I said things 16 years ago that I would never say today that aren’t reflective of who I am, and so for folks that I hurt with my words, I’m sorry."
Hoadley is 37 years-old and the first openly LGBTQ person to run for Congress in Michigan. The LGBTQ Victory Fund, a national organization dedicated to electing LGBTQ candidates, accused CLF of using harmful tropes about gay men. CLF press secretary Will Reinert defended the ad in an email, reiterating its claim that the blog shows lack of judgment.
A closer look at each of the ad’s claims in context showed that CLF’s ad is inaccurate and misleading.
"Hoadley called women ‘breeders.’ That’s sexist."
In a blog entry dated Jun. 20, 2005, when Hoadley was 21 years-old and had just completed his junior year in college, Hoadley recapped a weekend in D.C., including going out to straight bars with two friends. "Glad I went…but my straight fix has been satisfied for a while. I’m not going to lie: breeder=weird/bad dancers. Disagree if you want—you’re just deluding yourself," Hoadley wrote. According to Urban Dictionary, a "breeder" is a derogatory term to describe straight people. The term can refer to either straight men or straight women. The term is contemptuous, but it’s not sexist and Hoadley wasn’t using it to describe straight women exclusively.
"He wanted to learn about crystal meth"
This needs context. In a blog entry dated May 23, 2005 Hoadley wrote, "Tonight I went to an event at a leather bar. By myself. To learn about crystal meth. Don't do meth." Hoadley told an LGBTQ news website that the event was an information meeting about meth’s impact on the LGBTQ community.
He "wrote that his sexual partners were his victims"
This is misleading. Before sharing a poem titled "Burned By Love" on Jun. 14, 2005, Hoadley told his readers the post was fictional: "Wrote this awhile ago...looking for some feedback. BTW, sometimes fiction is the best way to tell truth — so don’t go getting any ideas about me." The poem, which appears to be about the search for connection, contains the lines, "I turn to my little black book that’s commonly called a cell phone. My fingers walk as I talk to the latest victim of my sexual conquest." CLF’s claim does not disclose Hoadley’s note that this was not about him.
"Hoadley even wrote about a four-year-old wearing a thong"
This is inaccurate. In a Aug. 12, 2004 blog post, Hoadley shared what appeared to be a jovial conversation he had with a friend who said that he had a secret desire to be a flower girl. Toward the end of the conversation, Hoadley wrote "just don't let them make you look too fresh...you know how hoochie they try to make the flower girl," using a derogatory word to describe a sexually promiscuous woman. Hoadley’s friend responded, "I KNOW! I mean I shudder everytime I see a four year old wearing a thong." Hoadley did not write about a four-year-old wearing a thong as CLF claims. Nevertheless, CLF called the comment "creepy" in its ad but both Hoadley and his friend noted their revulsion to sexualizing children.
Our ruling
Drawing from posts Hoadley wrote on his college blog, CLF’s ad claims, "Hoadley called women ‘breeders.’... wanted to learn about crystal meth and wrote that his sexual partners were his victims. Hoadley even wrote about a four year-old wearing a thong."
Hoadley used the term "breeders" to refer to straight people, not women specifically. Hoadley attended an event to learn about the impact of crystal meth on the LGBTQ community. CLF’s claim implies that Hoadley was interested in experimenting with the illegal substance. Hoadley wrote a poem that contained the line, "I talk to the latest victim of my sexual conquest," but his blog post noted his writing was a piece of fiction and that he was not talking about himself. Hoadley relayed a conversation in which his friend said he "shudders" at the thought of a four year-old being dressed in a thong. Both Hoadley and his friend were expressing their disdain for sexualizing children.
CLF’s ad contains a small element of truth but ignores critical facts that would give a different impression. We rate this ad Mostly False.
This fact check is available at IFCN’s 2020 US Elections FactChat #Chatbot on WhatsApp. Click here, for more.
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790 | Eva Longoria Baston | 2020-08-17 00:00:00 | the Democratic National Convention:
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Says Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden backs a fracking ban that would cost 100,000 Wisconsin jobs
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-10-16 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/16/donald-trump/donald-trumps-false-claim-daca-changes-because-pan/ |
Donald Trump’s false claim of DACA changes ‘because of the pandemic’
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President Donald Trump at an NBC town hall faulted the coronavirus pandemic for changes his administration has done to an Obama-era program protecting young immigrants from deportation. What Trump left out, however, is that his efforts to end the program started during his first year in office.
A town hall attendee asked Trump if he would pursue his efforts to cut Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals, or DACA, if elected to a second term.
"We are going to take care of DACA. We are going to take care of Dreamer(s). It’s working right now, we are negotiating different aspects of immigration and immigration law," Trump said. "But we are working very hard on the DACA program, and you will be, I think, very happy over the course of the next year, because I feel the same way as you do about it."
NBC host Savannah Guthrie pointed out that Trump’s administration had actually curtailed the DACA program. She said that no new applications were allowed and recipients have to renew every year as opposed to every two years.
"What happened is because of the pandemic, much changed on the immigration front," Trump said Oct. 15. "Mexico is heavily infected, as you know, and we've made it very, very difficult to come in because of the pandemic and other reasons, and crime."
Trump’s comment left the wrong impression: Trump’s efforts to undo or restrict DACA were not tied to the pandemic.
Trump’s attempt to end DACA started in 2017
Then-Attorney General Jeff Sessions in September 2017 announced that the Trump administration was rescinding the program, arguing that Obama’s administration circumvented immigration laws when it created it.
The administration at the time said it would adjudicate applications filed by Sept. 5, 2017, on a case-by-case basis, but it would reject any new requests filed after that date.
Legal challenges to the administration’s efforts have left that program in place, with some caveats. The administration is required to process renewal applications for immigrants who have been granted DACA and want to renew it. However, immigrants who have never had DACA are not allowed to file an application seeking the protection for the first time.
As Guthrie said, the Trump administration also has reduced the length of the renewable DACA protection, from two years to one. Immigration officials announced that specific change in July 2020, in response to a U.S. Supreme Court decision related to the administration’s efforts to end the program.
DACA does not benefit people who are newly arriving in the country. To have been eligible for DACA, people had to be continuously in the United States since June 15, 2007, have no felony convictions, and meet other criteria.
About 644,000 people had DACA protection as of March 31, 2020, according to the U.S. Citizenship and Immigraiton Services.
Our ruling
Trump said that changes to DACA are "because of the pandemic."
His administration began making changes to DACA in 2017, his first year in office. DACA also benefits people who have been in the United States for many years, not those arriving during the pandemic.
Trump’s claim is inaccurate. We rate it False.
RELATED: Republicans and Democrats claim to support Dreamers. So why can’t they pass a law?
This fact check is available at IFCN’s 2020 US Elections FactChat #Chatbot on WhatsApp. Click here, for more.
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792 | Facebook posts | 2020-08-15 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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“Doug Collins repeatedly joined liberal Stacey Abrams to raise taxes...Kelly’s never voted for a tax increase — and never will.”
| Chris Nichols | 2020-10-15 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/15/tucker-carlson/tucker-carlson-distorts-new-cdc-report-makes-false/ |
Tucker Carlson distorts new CDC report, makes false mask claim
|
Fox News host Tucker Carlson misrepresented the findings of a recent Centers for Disease Control and Prevention report, amplifying misinformation from social media as he claimed on his TV show that the study showed masks don’t work like experts say.
Running through a series of data points listed in the CDC’s report, Carlson said during his Oct. 13 show: "Almost everyone — 85% — who got the coronavirus in July was wearing a mask, and they were infected anyway. So clearly this doesn't work the way they tell us it works."
The Fox News host’s take ran counter to comments he made in April touting the effectiveness of masks. It also contradicted the guidance of public health officials, who say mask wearing on a broad scale can slow the spread of the coronavirus.
Carlson’s misleading claim about the CDC study appeared to make its way to President Donald Trump, a frequent Fox News watcher and guest.
"Did you see, the CDC, that 85% of the people wearing the masks catch it, OK?" Trump said during an Oct. 15 rally in Greenville, N.C.
The data in the CDC report, however, cannot be generalized to say "almost everyone" who wore a mask in July got the coronavirus. It’s from a very small sample the authors said may not be representative of the United States, and mask use was self-reported. The report does not say masks don’t work to slow the spread of COVID-19.
The CDC study wasn’t measuring mask effectiveness
The CDC paper summarizes findings from a survey of 314 people. The total included a group of 154 symptomatic people who tested positive for the coronavirus in July and a control group of 160 symptomatic people who tested negative for the coronavirus in July.
Based on the results of the survey, the CDC report said two activities were linked to a positive coronavirus test: close contact with someone who also tested positive, and going to locations with on-site eating and drinking options, such as bars and restaurants.
RELATED: No, masks don't collect the coronavirus
Of the 160 survey participants who tested negative, 74.2% said they "always" wore a mask or face covering and 14.5% said they "often" did so.
Of the 154 survey participants who tested positive, 70.6% said they "always" wore a mask or face covering and 14.4% said they "often" did so. Those numbers form the basis of Carlson’s claim that 85% of people "who got the coronavirus in July (were) wearing a mask."
A Fox News spokesperson pointed to those figures and a segment from Carlson’s show the following night. In the segment, Carlson addressed a statement he said the CDC made to Fox News. Carlson said the agency called his commentary on the September study "misleading."
"CDC guidance on masks has clearly stated that wearing a mask is intended to protect other people in case the mask wearer is infected," the CDC said in the statement. "At no time has CDC guidance suggested that masks were intended to protect the wearers."
Carlson told viewers the CDC didn’t address his original claim. "The spokesman didn’t dispute that we had showed accurate data from the CDC, including that 85% of people who tested positive for coronavirus in July reported wearing a mask always or often," Carlson said.
But the CDC study wasn’t measuring the impact of masks. "Participants were asked about mask use as an individual behavior," CDC spokesperson Jason McDonald told PolitiFact. "However, the aim of the study was to assess possible situations for community exposure, not mask use."
Carlson misrepresented the CDC paper’s findings
It’s misleading to leap to conclusions about the effectiveness of masks from the CDC report, since most participants reported wearing them and the study was not controlling for mask use.
"You can’t just look at a table and draw conclusions without understanding the details of the study," said Cindy Prins, an epidemiologist with the University of Florida.
"It is difficult to detect the effect of an exposure or intervention when it is widely deployed or used," McDonald added. He said both groups of participants had high levels of mask use, and that the rates of people who always wore a mask in each group were not "statistically different."
The study did find a significant difference between the groups: whether participants went out for food or drink. The study authors wrote that those with positive test results were "approximately twice as likely to have reported dining at a restaurant" than those who tested negative.
The link between restaurants and catching the coronavirus is important to Carlson’s claim, since most people lower their masks to sip their drink or eat their food. "Restaurants and coffee shops are places where people will tend to not wear a mask," Prins said.
The study’s authors noted that masks "cannot be effectively worn while eating and drinking." But Carlson claimed that 85% of July cases were "wearing a mask" and "infected anyway."
"Going to places where mask use and social distancing cannot be maintained might be an important risk factor for COVID-19," McDonald said.
Carlson’s comment also ignored limitations listed in the study. The people were surveyed at 11 health care facilities, where they’d all sought testing because they were experiencing symptoms. So they "might not be representative of the United States population," the study’s authors wrote.
Ben Neuman, a virologist with Texas A&M University, Texarkana, also took issue with the survey’s reliance on the participants’ self-reporting of their own mask use.
"There are certain things that are embarrassing or politically and socially sensitive, and you generally won’t get honest answers if you just ask them on a questionnaire," Neuman said.
Carlson misrepresented how masks work
Carlson’s claim also mischaracterized the science behind masks. While masks do provide some protection for wearers, experts and public health officials say they are most effective as "source control," preventing infected people from transmitting the virus.
"When a person who is infected with COVID-19 wears a mask, it helps to reduce the amount of virus that they release when they cough, talk, or even breathe," Prins said.
The CDC recommends wearing masks in public and when social distancing isn’t possible.
Neuman previously shared three studies with PolitiFact that found wearing masks reduces the likelihood of contracting the coronavirus. Other studies have said the same.
"Growing evidence increasingly shows that wearing masks in community settings reduces transmission among individuals in that community," McDonald said. "There are laboratory studies, animal studies, community and epidemiological studies, as well as policy studies that show masking reduces transmission in communities by blocking exhaled respiratory droplets."
The Fox News spokesperson cited CDC Director Robert Redfield’s September testimony as an example of how mask wearing "doesn’t work the way they tell us it works," as Carlson claimed. Redfield touted the effectiveness of masks relative to a potential coronavirus vaccine.
"I might even go so far as to say that this face mask is more guaranteed to protect me against COVID than when I take a COVID vaccine," Redfield said in a clip Carlson played on his show.
But Redfield never said that masks only protect the wearer — or that they offer complete and total protection in that regard. He was comparing masks to a potential early vaccine, which he said wouldn’t necessarily guarantee an immune response.
"He was suggesting if everyone around him wore a mask, he would be protected until a vaccine became available," McDonald said.
The CDC has been clear elsewhere that masks help keep infected people from passing the virus to others. The CDC’s website, for example, says masks help "prevent a person who is sick from spreading the virus to others." It adds: "The protective effects — how well the mask protects healthy people from breathing in the virus — are unknown."
Our ruling
Carlson said that according to a recent CDC report, "Almost everyone — 85% — who got the coronavirus in July was wearing a mask, and they were infected anyway. So clearly this doesn't work the way they tell us it works."
Carlson didn’t pull the 85% figure out of thin air, but the conclusion he drew is wrong in multiple ways. For starters, the CDC report wasn’t designed to measure mask effectiveness, and the study’s authors said the participants might not be representative of the U.S.
The findings don’t prove masks are ineffective, either. Masks are most effective at preventing infected people from spreading the virus, and studies show they can help slow the spread.
The correlation the CDC found between positive coronavirus tests and going to restaurants and bars suggests that taking masks off to eat or drink might increase risk.
We rate Carlson’s statement False.
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793 | Kelly Loeffler | 2020-08-06 00:00:00 | a campaign ad:
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“For the past three years, the state senator who represents Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s San Francisco, has led a push to abolish single-family zoning in California.”
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-10-15 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/15/roy-cooper/roy-cooper-compares-georgias-covid-19-numbers-nort/ |
Roy Cooper compares Georgia's COVID-19 numbers to North Carolina
|
Roy Cooper and Dan Forest agree that North Carolina’s coronavirus response stands out among southern states.
But the gubernatorial candidates disagree over whether that’s a good thing.
Democratic Gov. Cooper and Republican Lt. Gov. Forest squared off on Wednesday night for North Carolina’s only gubernatorial debate of the year. At one point in the debate, Forest praised North Carolina’s border states for allowing many businesses to reopen while their respective governments addressed the coronavirus outbreak.
"This COVID science is an interesting thing because you cross the border into South Carolina and South Carolina’s open and people are out there going to restaurants and doing things," Forest said. "You cross into Tennessee and Tennessee is open, you cross into Georgia and Georgia is open. They’re learning how to live with the virus and protect the vulnerable and get people back to work."
Cooper immediately offered a comparison between North Carolina and Georgia.
"It’s interesting that Dan mentions Georgia … He wants to be like Georgia," Cooper said. "Georgia is about the same size as North Carolina, yet they have almost 100,000 more cases, almost twice as many deaths and almost 600 more nursing home deaths than North Carolina."
Cooper is right about the sizes of North Carolina and Georgia. Georgia is the eighth most populous state in the U.S. and North Carolina is the ninth most populous, according to 2019 census data. The states are separated by fewer than 130,000 people.
So what about those stats Cooper mentioned?
Cooper spokeswoman Liz Doherty referred us to a coronavirus tracker on the New York Times website and nursing home data on the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services website. PolitiFact North Carolina also looked at information on the North Carolina and Georgia state websites.
Case counts vary a little bit, depending on the source. But otherwise, Cooper is mostly spot-on.
Comparing cases
Cooper said Georgia has almost 100,000 more cases than North Carolina. On the night of the debate, data from each state’s health department showed Georgia with about 98,100 more cases. So Cooper’s not far off.
North Carolina’s health department reported 236,407 confirmed cases and Georgia’s health department reported 334,601 cases.
The New York Times map showed 236,810 cases for North Carolina and 319,609 total cases for Georgia, for a difference of about 82,800.
Cooper didn’t compare each state’s infection numbers to its population. But that statistic provides useful context.
The night of the debate, the New York Times’ reported that North Carolina had 2,258 cases per 100,000 residents and Georgia had 3,010 cases per 100,000 residents.
Comparing deaths
Cooper said Georgia had "almost twice as many deaths" as North Carolina. This claim is on track too.
On the night of the debate, North Carolina’s health department reported 3,856 total deaths. Twice that many would be 7,712 deaths. Georgia’s health department reported 7,470 total deaths.
The Times, meanwhile, reported 3,882 total deaths in North Carolina (a rate of 37 deaths per 100,000 residents) and 7,298 total deaths in Georgia (meaning 69 deaths per 100,000 people.)
So if you look at total deaths, the Times and the NC health department both show there have been about 3,800. Georgia is 200 to 400 deaths away from having twice as many.
Nursing homes
Finally, let’s look at nursing homes.
Cooper said Georgia has had almost 600 more nursing home deaths than North Carolina. On debate night, data tracked by the federal government showed Georgia having 569 more nursing home deaths than North Carolina.
CMS reported 1,328 nursing home deaths in North Carolina and 1,897 in Georgia.
Cooper didn’t mention nursing home cases. To round out the full picture, we’ll report them anyway.
On the night of the debate, CMS reported 6,523 total nursing home cases in North Carolina and 9,483 total cases in Georgia.
Our ruling
Cooper said Georgia has "almost 100,000 more cases, almost twice as many deaths and almost 600 more nursing home deaths than North Carolina."
His claim about cases requires the most rounding, but isn’t far off. But his claim about deaths — in total and in nursing homes — are spot-on. We rate this claim True.
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798 | Tucker Carlson | 2020-10-13 00:00:00 | a TV segment:
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Georgia has “almost 100,000 more (COVID-19) cases, almost twice as many deaths and almost 600 more nursing home deaths than North Carolina.”
| Paul Specht | 2020-09-14 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/nov/13/kelly-loeffler/no-proof-georgia-senate-hopeful-warnock-welcomed-f/ |
No proof Georgia Senate hopeful Warnock ‘welcomed’ Fidel Castro to his church
|
When Fidel Castro, the late communist leader of Cuba, spoke at Abyssinian Baptist Church in New York City in 1995, he was welcomed by cheers from a crowd of 1,300 and a hug from Harlem’s Democratic congressman, Charles Rangel.
"We have one of the great leaders of the world with us today," said the church’s pastor, the Rev. Calvin Butts, who was then interrupted by more cheers.
The Rev. Raphael Warnock, then the youth pastor at Abyssinian, was not on the dais.
But 25 years later, his connection to the church has been injected into a Jan. 5 election that will help determine which party controls the U.S. Senate.
Warnock, now pastor of the Atlanta church where the Rev. Martin Luther King Jr. once preached, is the Democratic challenger to Sen. Kelly Loeffler, R-Ga. With a guilt-by-association attack, Loeffler made this claim in a Nov. 10 tweet:
"@ReverendWarnock celebrated Fidel Castro & welcomed him to his church. It’s another example of what we’ve been saying all along: He’s the most dangerous and radical candidate in America."
Warnock’s campaign has been vague about whether he attended the event, which was front-page news in the New York Times on Oct. 23, 1995.
But there is no evidence Warnock was involved in arranging Castro’s appearance or welcoming him. And a Fox News article about Warnock and the event, which Loeffler included with her tweet, says only that Warnock worked at Abyssinian at the time.
The pivotal Georgia runoffs
After President-elect Joe Biden’s inauguration on Jan. 20, Democrats will control the White House and the House. Control of the Senate, where Republicans currently have a 50-48 edge, won’t be known until after two Georgia runoff elections Jan. 5. Runoffs are being held because no candidate in either race on Nov. 3 captured more than 50% of the vote.
Loeffler was appointed on an interim basis in December to replace GOP Sen. Johnny Isakson, who resigned with health problems. She finished second to Warnock on Nov. 3. In the other runoff, first-term GOP Sen. David Perdue faces Democrat Jon Ossoff, a documentary filmmaker; Perdue edged Ossoff on Nov. 3.
If Democrats win both seats, they would effectively control the Senate, because as the next vice president, Kamala Harris could vote to break any ties.
The Castro event and Warnock
Castro appeared before 1,300 "admirers" at Abyssinian on the evening of Oct. 22, 1995, after speaking earlier in the day at the United Nations, the New York Times reported at the time. He "held forth as if he were on a balcony overlooking a plaza in Havana, drinking in the cheers and applause that greeted his nearly every remark."
Loeffler has repeated her attack on Warnock in a TV ad, on a website her campaign created to attack Warnock and at a campaign rally with Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla. Rubio also linked Warnock to the Castro event in a tweet, but didn’t go as far as Loeffler did in her claim.
Her campaign referred PolitiFact to a press release that recounted the New York event and repeated the attack, but did not offer evidence for her claim that Warnock "celebrated" or "welcomed" Castro.
Warnock campaign spokesman Terrence Clark told PolitiFact that Warnock "doesn’t agree with the dictator’s beliefs and actions. He also wasn’t making decisions about who spoke at the church when he was a youth pastor."
Clark would not say whether Warnock attended the event. He also said Warnock would not be available for a five-minute phone interview that PolitiFact requested.
We did not get replies to a call and email we left for Butts, who is still pastor at Abyssinian.
Our ruling
Loeffler said Warnock "celebrated Fidel Castro and welcomed him to his church."
Warnock, now the pastor of a church in Atlanta, was the youth pastor at a New York City church when Castro spoke there in 1995. We found no evidence that Warnock celebrated or welcomed Castro or that he was involved in arranging his appearance.
We rate the statement Mostly False.
This fact check is available at IFCN’s 2020 US Elections FactChat #Chatbot on WhatsApp. Click here, for more.
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12822, 44044, 520, 264, 1561, 4356, 4409, 8993, 994, 47624, 12570, 1070, 304, 220, 2550, 20, 13, 1226, 1766, 912, 6029, 430, 68846, 1197, 28284, 477, 32069, 47624, 477, 430, 568, 574, 6532, 304, 77218, 813, 11341, 627, 1687, 4478, 279, 5224, 64285, 3641, 627, 2028, 2144, 1817, 374, 2561, 520, 358, 6897, 45, 753, 220, 2366, 15, 2326, 58601, 37812, 16047, 674, 16047, 6465, 389, 41113, 13, 9369, 1618, 11, 369, 810, 627] | 688 |
800 | Facebook posts | 2020-10-14 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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Says a Twitter account for "Scarsdale NY Antifa" tweeted that "chapters of Antifa around Oregon have collaborated to ignite fires around the state."
| Bill McCarthy | 2020-11-13 00:00:00 | pants-fire | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/nov/13/rudy-giuliani/giulianis-false-claim-more-600000-unlawful-votes-p/ |
Giuliani’s false claim of more than 600,000 unlawful votes in Pittsburgh and Philadelphia
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In Pennsylvania, Democrat Joe Biden got about 54,000 more votes than President Donald Trump. Some Trump supporters reject that tally, claiming without evidence that tens or even hundreds of thousands of ballots were counted illegitimately.
"It’s more like 600,000 plus unlawful votes in Philly and Pitt," Trump lawyer Rudy Giuliani tweeted Nov. 11.
Tom, it’s more like 600,000 plus unlawful votes In Philly and Pitt. https://t.co/5pdNiDXqKt— Rudy W. Giuliani (@RudyGiuliani) November 12, 2020
We reached out to Giuliani’s communications director to ask where he got his number and did not hear back.
The Pennsylvania Department of State, which oversees elections, says the former New York mayor’s claim is unfounded. We found no rationale or explanation for how so many votes could have been fraudulently cast.
"There is no factual basis for this claim," said agency communications director Wanda Murren. "Allegations of fraud and illegal activity have been repeatedly debunked and dismissed by the courts."
A U.S. District Court judge rebuffed a GOP suit that claimed Republican observers had been unfairly barred from certain areas of the Philadelphia Convention Center where mailed ballots were counted. Pressed by the judge, Republicans acknowledged that they did have representatives on the scene.
Democrats and Republicans then established more detailed ground rules for how many party representatives would observe the count.
A combined total of 1,409,483 votes were cast in Pittsburgh and Philadelphia, the state’s two largest cities. Guiliani’s statement suggests that over 40% of them were illegal. His 600,000 figure is roughly equal to the entire number of mail-in ballots that were cast for Biden in the two cities.
The state Republican Party is challenging a state Supreme Court ruling that allowed for counting mailed ballots that arrive within three days after polls closed on Election Day. State election officials said about 10,000 mail ballots were received during those three days. The state has kept those ballots separate, pending a resolution of the GOP challenge. The state did not include them in tallies that led the state to be called for Biden.
Some have suggested that many ballots were counted without legally required oversight. We recently rated False a claim along those lines from Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, and debunked a claim from Trump that Republican observers were barred. We found no evidence that ballots were inappropriately cast or that observers were barred from watching.
The Pennsylvania law that established mail-in voting and allows observers to be present when mail ballots are opened and recorded was passed by a Republican Legislature.
"Any laws around poll watchers apply equally to both major parties and any third parties," said Suzanne Almeida, interim executive director of Common Cause Pennsylvania. "I have seen no evidence that one party’s poll watchers have been treated any differently than the other."
Our ruling
Giuliani said over 600,000 votes were unlawful in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh. There is no evidence to back that up.
Pennsylvania law allows representatives from both parties to observe the count, and Republicans in the state told a judge that they did have monitors in the room.
Pennsylvania’s Department of State denied that any votes were improperly counted.
We rate this claim Pants on Fire.
This fact check is available at IFCN’s 2020 US Elections FactChat #Chatbot on WhatsApp. Click here, for more.
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801 | Facebook posts | 2020-09-13 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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Says a photo shows an ambushed Los Angeles police officer and that the NFL intends to “honor and praise the organization” that stood outside of the hospital chanting, “We hope she dies.”
| Jon Greenberg | 2020-11-13 00:00:00 | pants-fire | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/nov/13/facebook-posts/no-evidence-dominion-voting-systems-caused-widespr/ |
No evidence Dominion Voting Systems caused widespread tabulation errors that flipped votes for Biden
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Dominion Voting Systems, which makes software and hardware for election officials to use around the country, is at the center of baseless claims that say "glitches" from its machines caused mistakes in vote tallies to favor Joe Biden in several states.
Posts going around social media are spreading the claim alongside maps of the United States that appeared on the conservative news network NewsMax.
Anna Paulina Luna, a Republican who lost to Democratic U.S. Rep. Charlie Crist in Florida’s 13th congressional district race, shared the graphics on her social media accounts and said:
"Whistleblowers who worked for Dominion software have come forward. The 2020 election is compromised due to this software/ the coding or ‘glitch’ to FLIP votes to Biden. We MUST fix this for future elections!"
The first map highlights the states that used Dominion machines — Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The second map shows that, consequently, these are the same states where President Donald Trump is filing lawsuits that allege election fraud.
President Donald Trump tweeted a more wide-ranging claim related to the system, saying, in part, that it "deleted" 2.7 million votes for his re-election nationwide. We rated that Pants on Fire.
“REPORT: DOMINION DELETED 2.7 MILLION TRUMP VOTES NATIONWIDE. DATA ANALYSIS FINDS 221,000 PENNSYLVANIA VOTES SWITCHED FROM PRESIDENT TRUMP TO BIDEN. 941,000 TRUMP VOTES DELETED. STATES USING DOMINION VOTING SYSTEMS SWITCHED 435,000 VOTES FROM TRUMP TO BIDEN.” @ChanelRion @OANN— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 12, 2020
But the technology is utilized in at least 28 states, not just the six where Trump has brought legal challenges. It was used in a few counties in Michigan and Georgia that experienced problems, but those cases didn’t affect the vote counts. The problems were minor and quickly resolved, and were either the result of human error or temporary malfunctions.
The posts were flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
The issues in Georgia and Michigan
It all started in Antrim County, Mich., when a clerk’s error led to an incorrect early tally that made it appear as if Joe Biden was winning it by about 3,000 votes. The error was never an official result and was corrected within two days, putting Trump ahead in the county by about 2,500 votes.
The Michigan secretary of state’s office said it came down to human error by the Antrim County clerk, not a failure in Dominion’s system.
"Because the clerk did not update software, even though the tabulators counted all the ballots correctly, those accurate results were not combined properly when the clerk reported unofficial results," the Nov. 6 statement said.
The mistake was limited to that one county. It is one of 65 counties in Michigan that use the company’s equipment.
In Georgia, early morning voting halted temporarily in Morgan and Spalding counties when individual Dominion machines malfunctioned.
The issue there had to do with a breakdown between the digital list of voters provided by one company, and the voting machines provided by Dominion. Technicians resolved the problem, and a judge allowed the affected polls to stay open until 11 p.m. to make up for lost time.
Georgia uses the same system statewide, and the glitch took place only in these two counties. There is no report that votes were miscounted. Trump easily carried both places, winning by a 40-point margin in Morgan County and by 20 points in Spalding.
"No credible reports or evidence of any software issues exist," Dominion says on its website. "While no election is without isolated issues, Dominion Voting Systems are reliably and accurately counting ballots. State and local election authorities have publicly confirmed the integrity of the process."
RELATED: Trump supporters falsely tie Nancy Pelosi to broader election misfire scheme
Claims that Dominion deleted, switched votes are baseless
There is no credible evidence that any voting system was used to switch or delete votes, as online posts, President Trump and some right-wing media organizations are claiming.
The "whistleblower" referenced in Luna's Facebook post seems to have originated from Rudy Giuliani, the president's lawyer, who claimed that he was in contact with whistleblowers from Dominion, though he did not provide any evidence.
The Cybersecurity & Infrastructure Security Agency, which is overseen by the Department of Homeland Security, released a joint statement with national, state and private election officials that said there is "no evidence that any voting system deleted or lost votes, changed votes, or was in any way compromised."
The report Trump cited in his tweet aired Nov. 12 on One America News Network, a pro-Trump television network. The network cited an "unaudited analysis of data obtained by Edison Research." We reached out to OANN for a copy of that analysis but haven’t heard back.
Edison Research is a company that contracts with the National Election Pool, a consortium of American news organizations, to provide exit polling data during election cycles. Edison Research also partners with several TV networks to provide vote tabulation data.
The company said it has not found data that back up OANN’s report or Trump’s tweet.
"Edison Research has produced no such report and we have no evidence of any voter fraud," said Larry Rosin, president of Edison Research.
RELATED: Dominion Voting Systems "deleted 2.7 million Trump votes nationwide."
Election technology experts called the claims baseless, and said the numbers (like Trump’s 2.7 million "deleted" votes) are almost impossible to prove without a digital forensic investigation and a nationwide audit.
Edward Perez, election-technology expert at the OSET Institute, a nonprofit that studies voting infrastructure, said these claims show a misunderstanding of how election administration works.
The process involves numerous protocols that include rigorous system tests that take place publicly, and before the technology is used in elections, Perez said.
"In the U.S., the way that elections are actually run, technology does not exist in a vacuum. It’s only one of multiple critical things that would make it exceedingly difficult for mass fraud to happen at this level undetected," he said.
Nearly all election jurisdictions engage in testing of their systems and ballots before every election. In order for an election jurisdiction to flip votes fraudulently, bad actors would need to figure out how to simulate the appearance of that public testing.
"Statutes sometimes require this kind of ‘logic and accuracy testing,’ and even when they do not, it is a common process conducted by local election officials," the National Conference of State Legislatures says on its website. "Logic and accuracy testing is generally conducted in public and serves dual purposes. First, it demonstrates that the voting system is able to accurately and completely tabulate the ballot and report results. Second, the public nature of it increases voter confidence."
And in many places, the test doesn’t only occur on the front end. A similar process is done, again, before officials start tabulating ballots.
Without any credible evidence that the voting system is resulting in mass tabulation errors, Perez said, the posts and stories appear to border on outright disinformation.
"The claims have reached a scale that is so wild and outlandish that it is perfectly reasonable for people to wonder if the intent of such messages is to specifically inflame passions and to confuse people and undermine public confidence in the legitimacy of the election."
Our ruling
Viral social media posts claim that the 2020 presidential election is compromised because Dominion Voting Systems flipped votes to favor Joe Biden.
This is wrong. There is no credible evidence that the system affected any vote counts. Minor problems, including human error and temporary machine malfunctions, took place in a few jurisdictions and did not impact vote tabulations.
We rate this Pants on Fire!
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802 | Instagram posts | 2020-11-12 00:00:00 | an Instagram post:
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“Ticketmaster is planning mandatory COVID vaccine identification for concert attendance.”
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-11-13 00:00:00 | pants-fire | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/18/joe-biden/joe-biden-wrong-about-donald-trump-holding-bible-u/ |
Joe Biden wrong about Donald Trump holding Bible upside-down
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Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden had many criticisms of President Donald Trump during a CNN town hall near Biden’s hometown of Scranton, Pa. One of them revived an attack shared on social media earlier in the summer.
Biden referenced Trump’s walk from the White House to the historic St. John’s Church on Lafayette Square. It came on June 1, when downtown Washington, D.C., was full of protesters following the death of George Floyd at the hands of Minneapolis police days earlier.
Critics mostly blasted Trump for using tear gas to clear nonviolent protesters just before his walk to the church for a photo-op. But some on social media took aim at how Trump held the Bible.
For instance, novelist Stephen King tweeted, "Dear fundamentalist Christian Trump supporters: If Obama had held the Bible backwards and upside down, you would immediately have called him the Antichrist." The tweet attracted more than 164,000 likes.
Dear fundamentalist Christian Trump supporters: If Obama had held the Bible backwards and upside down, you would immediately have called him the Antichrist.— Stephen King (@StephenKing) June 2, 2020
At the CNN town hall, Biden said that forces physically moved people out of Trump’s way "so he can walk across to a Protestant church and hold a Bible upside down."
Biden has made the claim about the upside-down Bible before, even though fact-checkers had debunked it. The claim has also appeared in various news accounts about the church photo-op and social media posts.
Trump himself has previously denied that he held the Bible upside down.
A @FoxNews commentator just ripped me with lies, with nobody defending. They talked about the “friendly” protesters (they set the Church on fire the day before. They were anything but friendly), and how I stood and held the Bible upside down - it wasn’t upside down. @edhenry— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) June 25, 2020
What does the evidence show?
We scrutinized a series of images from the Associated Press as well as raw video from NBC News, and the truth is clear: Trump held the Bible right-side up.
The Bible he held up had no writing on the front cover, so to viewers who couldn’t see the spine, it may have looked like he was holding it upside down and backwards. But here are several AP images that clearly show the spine right-side up.
In the following images, perhaps the most iconic ones taken of the event, it is a little harder to read the spine, but the free end of the ribbon bookmark clearly dangles below the Bible, which is how it was when the Bible was oriented correctly in the other images.
We also reviewed the video of the event and confirmed that Trump consistently held the Bible right-side up. In fact, at several points he appears to look down on it to make sure that he’s holding it correctly.
The Biden campaign did not respond to an inquiry for this article.
Our ruling
Biden said that after Trump walked across Lafayette Square to a church, he held a Bible upside down.
This false claim spread on social media earlier this summer, without evidence, and made it into several news reports and opinion pieces. But fact-checkers debunked it as early as June, and a review of still images and video from that day show clearly that it is inaccurate. Trump held the Bible right-side up throughout the event.
We rate the statement Pants on Fire!
This fact check is available at IFCN’s 2020 US Elections FactChat #Chatbot on WhatsApp. Click here, for more.
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803 | Kelly Loeffler | 2020-11-10 00:00:00 | a tweet:
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Says Raphael Warnock “celebrated Fidel Castro and welcomed him to his church.”
| Tom Kertscher | 2020-11-13 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/18/youtube-videos/youtube-video-takes-bill-gates-out-context-coronav/ |
YouTube video takes Bill Gates out of context on coronavirus vaccinations
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According to the internet, Microsoft co-founder and philanthropist Bill Gates thinks you don’t have a choice about being vaccinated. A YouTube video even shows him saying so in his very own words.
Here’s why you shouldn’t believe this claim: The video, titled "Bill Gates says you don't have a choice to be vaccinated or not," takes Gates’ comments during an interview with the Financial Times out of context by eliminating the question he was answering and the first part of his response.
"You don’t have a choice," Gates says in the clip, which has been viewed almost 100,000 times. "People act like you have a choice. People don't feel like going to the stadium when they might get infected. You know, it's not the government who's saying OK, just ignore this disease, and people are deeply affected by seeing these deaths, by knowing they could be part of the transmission chain, and old people, their parents, their grandparents could be affected by this. And so you don't get to say, ignore what's going on here. There will be the ability, particularly in rich countries, to open up if things are done well over the next few months. But for the world at large, normalcy only returns when we've largely vaccinated the entire global population."
The video was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
That's because the video ignores the fact that Gates was responding to a question about how he would weigh the economic costs of lockdown with the public health risks of reopening businesses during the early months of the pandemic.
Here’s a transcript of the relevant passage from the Financial Times interview, complete with the question that Gates was answering when he made his "you won’t have a choice" comment.
Interviewer: "And what about that trade-off? You just mentioned, obviously, the economic pain. What do you think the right balance is between the trade-off of protecting people's lives and the economic hit? Do you see a situation where the global economy could be virtually at a standstill for a year or even more?"
Gates: "Well, it won't go to zero, but it will shrink. Global GDP is going to take probably the biggest hit ever. Maybe the Depression was worse or 1873, I don't know. But in my lifetime this will be the greatest economic hit. But you don't have a choice. People act like you have a choice. People don't feel like going to the stadium when they might get infected. You know, it's not the government who's saying OK, just ignore this disease, and people are deeply affected by seeing these deaths, by knowing they could be part of the transmission chain, and old people, their parents, their grandparents could be affected by this. And so you don't get to say, ignore what's going on here. There will be the ability, particularly in rich countries, to open up if things are done well over the next few months. But for the world at large, normalcy only returns when we've largely vaccinated the entire global population. And so although there's a lot of work on testing, a lot of work on drugs that we’re involved with, trying to achieve that ambitious goal, which has never been done for the vaccine, that rises to the top of the list."
In context, Gates is saying that governments won’t be able to avoid taking an economic hit from the pandemic, because he believes that people won’t want to frequent businesses when there’s a chance that they’ll become "part of the transmission chain."
Gates does say that he believes that normalcy will only return after the entire global population is vaccinated from the coronavirus. But at no point does he say that people "won’t have a choice" about whether or not they’ll be vaccinated.
We reached out to the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, asking whether Gates believes that coronavirus vaccinations should be mandatory. In reply, spokespeople from the foundation wrote that "national governments will make the ultimate decision about how vaccines will be distributed in their own borders."
We should note that Gates has become a frequent target for disinformation about the coronavirus pandemic. Conspiracy theorists have falsely claimed he is planning to use coronavirus vaccines to implant tracking devices in people, that he and Dr. Anthony Fauci are colluding to ruin the economy, and that he stands to reap enormous profits from the virus.
Our ruling
A YouTube video appears to show Bill Gates saying that people "don’t have a choice" about whether they’ll receive a COVID-19 vaccination.
The video takes Gates out of context. He was actually saying that governments won’t be able to escape the economic impacts of the pandemic, even if they decide to reopen businesses before a vaccine is available.
We rate this video False.
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805 | Rudy Giuliani | 2020-11-11 00:00:00 | a tweet:
|
Says there were “600,000 plus unlawful votes in Philly and Pitt.”
| Jon Greenberg | 2020-09-18 00:00:00 | half-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/14/susan-collins/key-us-senate-race-susan-collins-attack-rival-over/ |
In key US Senate race, Susan Collins’ attack on rival over COVID program partly correct
|
Susan Collins, viewed as among the most vulnerable U.S. senators up for reelection Nov. 3, says her opponent is guilty of hypocrisy in connection with the federal Payment Protection Program response to COVID-19.
The Maine Repubican’s challenger is Democrat Sara Gideon.
Gideon’s husband’s law firm "took up to $2 million" from the Paycheck Protection Program, a Collins ad claims, the same program she "falsely" attacked Collins over.
"That’s hypocrisy," the narrator says after making the two-part claim in the ad.
It’s similar to a Republican-on-Democrat attack we fact-checked in another key Senate race, in Arizona.
In this case, the $2 million part is correct, but the "falsely attacked" part is not.
Potentially pivotal race
Collins has been a senator since 1997. Gideon has served in Maine’s state House since 2013 and as its speaker since 2016.
Many news accounts say the race is one that could determine whether Republicans keep a majority in the Senate, where they now control 53 seats.
With polls showing a tight contest — the Cook Political Report has rated the race a tossup — federal aid programs for businesses have become a focal point of attacks on both sides.
How the PPP works
Congress created the Paycheck Protection Program to help small businesses affected by the COVID-19 pandemic avoid layoffs. The program was established by the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act, or CARES Act, signed into law in March by President Donald Trump.
The law provides for up to $659 billion in loans for businesses so they can pay their employees and cover certain other expenses, such as rent and utilities. The loans are forgiven if businesses meet specified terms.
While the federal government created and administers the program, banks, credit unions and other lending institutions handle the loan applications and disbursement of funds.
Collins’ ad
Collins’ ad launched on Facebook on Aug. 1. According to Facebook, it has been viewed 175,000 to 200,000 times.
Wayne Parry, who is identified as a Maine lobsterman in the ad, appears in and narrates the 30-second piece. As has been reported, Parry also served four terms as Republican state representative, backed by campaign donations from a Collins political action committee, and is currently running for his old seat.
The ad’s first claim is about a PPP loan of "up to $2 million" to the law firm of Gideon’s husband, personal-injury attorney Benjamin Gideon.
Berman & Simmons, a Lewiston law firm where Benjamin Gideon is a partner, received a PPP loan of between $1 million and $2 million, according to data from the Small Business Administration. The loan came from a Lewiston bank. The firm did not reply to our request for the exact amount of the loan it received.
Gideon campaign spokeswoman Maeve Coyle said Benjamin Gideon is one of 11 partners at the firm and was not involved in seeking the PPP money. She said 43 of the firm’s 61 employees are not attorneys, and that nearly all Maine law firms took PPP loans because the pandemic closed courts.
Most large Maine law firms sought PPP aid, the Associated Press reported.
"Falsely attacks Collins"
Collins’ ad says Gideon’s criticisms have included a false attack on Collins over the program. It cites a June 15 article by the Washington Post Fact Checker that called a Gideon attack ad "highly misleading." Still, there are some facts behind Gideon’s attack that are literally accurate, as new reporting from ProPublica shows.
The Gideon ad claimed: "As coronavirus spread, Susan Collins took $12,000 from the corporate hotel industry. Then Collins wrote a special loophole into her bill allowing large, out-of-state hotels to get millions — while only one in 10 Maine small businesses were getting the help they needed."
We found that Collins collected a total of $12,500 in donations in February from hotel industry political actions. Her campaign committee received $2,500 from the International Franchise Association; $2,500 from Hilton Worldwide; and $2,500 from American Lodging and Hotel. And the American Lodging and Hotel PAC gave $5,000 to Collins’ leadership PAC.
As for the timing, by mid-February, the federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention had confirmed 15 coronavirus cases in the United States. Collins and other senators began drafting the PPP bill in early March, said her campaign spokesman, Kevin Kelley.
Collins was a key drafter of the PPP, which targeted aid to businesses with 500 or fewer employees. She did respond to lobbying from the hotel industry.
As reported Aug. 6 by ProPublica, a Pulitzer Prize-winning nonprofit newsroom, Collins’ office said it had been contacted during the drafting process by the International Franchise Association and the American Hotel and Lodging Association, among other business interests, and ultimately an exception was written in the legislation for restaurant and hotel chains. Collins took credit for the exception, which allowed those companies to apply with up to 500 employees per location, even if they were much bigger overall.
At least 59 large hotel companies were approved for more than 600 forgivable government loans totaling up to $1 billion despite having more than 500 employees overall, according to ProPublica.
In an opinion article she authored, Collins called ProPublica "a left-wing outlet that is financed by Democratic billionaires." She defended the exception, saying it made a franchise hotel owner eligible "as intended to help keep the business afloat and its workers employed," but that a large corporate chain such as Hilton "is prohibited from receiving a PPP loan for its corporate headquarters or any hotels that it owns and operates directly."
On Gideon’s claim that at the time, only one in 10 small businesses in Maine got the forgivable PPP loans, the Bangor Daily News reported that statistic as of mid-April, saying 16,000 Maine small businesses had received aid. That was at a point when the first batch of PPP funds had been exhausted.
Federal figures show that as of Aug. 8, more than 28,000 PPP loans were made in Maine. So, Gideon’s number was from initial reports that later increased.
Overall, we found Gideon’s attack on Collins to be a mixture of exaggeration and accuracy.
Our ruling
Collins claimed that Gideon’s husband’s law firm "took up to $2 million" from the same federal program she "falsely" attacked Susan Collins over.
The law firm where Gideon’s husband is a partner did take a loan through the federal Payment Protection Program program that could be as large as $2 million. With fewer than 500 employees, the firm qualifies as a small business under the program’s guidelines. But Gideon’s attack on Collins is largely accurate.
As Gideon claimed in an ad, after Collins received campaign contributions from the hotel industry, she wrote an exception in the PPP law that, according to a ProPublica investigation, enabled at least 59 large hotel companies to be approved for more than 600 forgivable government loans totaling up to $1 billion.
We rate Collins’ statement Half True.
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806 | Facebook posts | 2020-11-11 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
Says Dominion Voting System flipped votes to Joe Biden in states where Trump is bringing legal challenges.
| Daniel Funke | 2020-08-14 00:00:00 | mostly-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/15/facebook-posts/act-checking-claim-amy-coney-barrett-and-racial-sl/ |
Fact-checking claim on Amy Coney Barrett and a racial slur in the workplace
|
In the midst of Amy Coney Barrett’s Supreme Court confirmation hearings, users on social media began sharing a supposed quote from the judge, claiming she once said that "calling a Black employee the N-word does not make for a hostile work environment."
Barrett did not outright declare that being called the racial slur does not ever constitute a hostile work environment. But she did write in an opinion that one plaintiff who was called the racial epithet by a former supervisor was not sufficient evidence to support their claim of a hostile work environment.
Posts sharing the alleged quote were flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
In 2019, while sitting on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit, Barrett wrote for a unanimous three-judge panel that upheld a district court’s dismissal of a workplace discimination lawsuit by a Black employee, who claimed he was called a racial slur by a supervisor.
In the Smith vs. Illinois Department of Transportation case, Terry Smith, a Black Illinois transportation employee, sued the department under Title VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964 after he was fired, arguing that he had been subjected to a hostile work environment and was fired in retaliation for his complaints about racial discrimination. He lost his case in district court and appealed to the circuit court.
The three-judge panel, which included Barrett, unanimously affirmed the district court’s ruling. Barrett authored the court’s opinion, and wrote that, during Smith’s probationary employment period, Smith "challenged and failed to follow directions, was confrontational, engaged in unsafe conduct, and received unsatisfactory evaluations."
In affirming the lower court’s decision, the Seventh Circuit opinion stated, "Given the extensive evidence that Smith was not meeting his employer’s legitimate expectations, a reasonable jury could not find that the Department fired him because of his protected activity rather than for his poor performance nor could a reasonable jury have resolved the hostile work environment claim in Smith’s favor."
Smith claimed that his former supervisor, Lloyd Colbert, called him a "stupid ass n-----’."
In her opinion, Barrett called the comment an "egregious racial epithet" but dismissed Smith’s claim, saying that his relationship with supervisors at the department had long been problematic and that this single incident in which Colbert referred to Smith by using the racial slur wasn’t enough to constitute a hostile work environment in the context of the other issues:
"Smith can’t win simply by proving that the word was uttered. He must also demonstrate that Colbert’s use of this word altered the conditions of his employment and created a hostile or abusive working environment. ... He introduced no evidence that Colbert’s use of the N-word changed his subjective experience of the workplace. To be sure, Smith testified that his time at the Department caused him psychological distress. But that was for reasons that predated his run-in with Colbert and had nothing to do with his race. His tenure at the Department was rocky from the outset because of his poor track record. He clashed with his supervisors over pay, and they confronted him with foul language. As early as August — the first month of his employment — he sent memoranda to the Department complaining of a ‘hostile work environment.’ On Smith’s own account, his supervisors made him miserable throughout his employment at the Department. But as we have already discussed, he has no evidence that his supervisors were lashing out at him because he was Black."
Our ruling
Posts online claim Amy Coney Barrett once said that "calling a Black employee the N-word does not make for a hostile work environment."
According to the opinion she wrote for a unanimous three-judge panel, Barrett said that a plaintiff being called that racial slur by a former supervisor didn’t in and of itself establish a hostile work environment for several reasons. She wrote that Smith failed to show how it changed his workplace experience, which was already fraught.
Barrett did not write that being called the racial slur doesn’t ever constitute a hostile work environment. The context of the panel’s opinion was limited to that specific case.
This claim is partially accurate, but it leaves out important details and requires context. We rate if Half True.
This fact check is available at IFCN’s 2020 US Elections #Chatbot on WhatsApp. Click here, for more.
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807 | Ben Wikler | 2020-11-08 00:00:00 | TV |
"Across the state the rejection rate for ballots went way down” in the Nov. 3 election.
| D.L. Davis | 2020-08-14 00:00:00 | half-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/15/donald-trump/who-didnt-change-its-stance-lockdowns-didnt-admit-/ |
No, the WHO didn’t change its lockdowns stance or ‘admit’ Trump was right
|
On Monday, President Donald Trump claimed that the World Health Organization (WHO) "admitted" he was correct that using lockdowns to control the spread of COVID-19 was more damaging than the illness.
In a post on Twitter, Trump wrote: "The World Health Organization just admitted that I was right. Lockdowns are killing countries all over the world. The cure cannot be worse than the problem itself. Open up your states, Democrat governors. Open up New York. A long battle, but they finally did the right thing!"
He reiterated his statement later that night during a campaign rally, saying, "But the World Health Organization, did you see what happened? They just came out a little while ago, and they admitted that Donald Trump was right. The lockdowns are doing tremendous damage to these Democrat-run states, where they’re locked out, sealed up. Suicide rates, drug rates, alcoholism, deaths by so many different forms. You can’t do that."
Together, the tweet and these comments got considerable attention on social media.
But did the WHO change its stance on lockdowns or concede anything to Trump, as he said it did? Briefly, no.
Since May, Trump has been vocal about asking states to reopen businesses, schools, religious services and other social activities. He also took credit for locking down the U.S. in the early stages of the pandemic, however. And his administration largely delegated lockdown decisions to governors and local governments.
Yet those lockdowns — marked by stay-at-home orders and other restrictions — have been less stringent than those implemented in other countries, said Brooke Nichols, an assistant professor of global health at Boston University.
The "definition has differed country by country and state by state. I would argue that the U.S. has never had an actual enforced lockdown like there have been in some Asian countries and in Italy last spring," Nichols wrote in an email.
We reached out to the Trump campaign and the White House to ask for more information about Trump’s assertion but didn’t receive a response.
A clip doesn’t tell the full story
Although the Trump team didn’t get back to us, we noticed that the Trump War Room Twitter account responded to Trump’s tweet with a link to a video, appearing to back up the president’s claim.
The video is a clip from an Oct. 8 interview with Dr. David Nabarro, a special envoy on COVID-19 for the WHO, by Scottish journalist Andrew Neil. The segment was televised by the British news outlet Spectator TV.
In response to a question about the economic consequences of lockdowns, Nabarro said: "We in the World Health Organization do not advocate lockdowns as the primary means of control of this virus. The only time we believe a lockdown is justified is to buy you time to reorganize, regroup, rebalance your resources; protect your health workers who are exhausted. But by and large, we’d rather not do it." Nabarro then went on to describe potential economic consequences, including effects on the tourism industry and farmers or the worsening of world poverty.
We checked with Nabarro to find out if the clip accurately reflected the points he raised during a nearly 20-minute interview. He responded, by email: "My comments were taken totally out of context. The WHO position is consistent."
That context Nabarro mentioned covered a range of topics, such as the estimate that about 90% of the world’s population is still vulnerable to COVID-19, that lockdowns are only an effective pandemic response in extreme circumstances and what Nabarro means when he talks about finding the "middle path."
"We’re saying we really do have to learn how to coexist with this virus in a way that doesn’t require constant closing down of economies, but at the same time in a way that is not associated with high levels of suffering and death," Nabarro said in the interview.
To achieve that via the middle path approach, robust defenses against the virus must be put in place, said Nabarro, including having well-organized public health services, such as testing, contact tracing and isolation. It also involves communities adhering to public health guidelines such as wearing masks, physical distancing and practicing good hygiene.
So, it’s really not accurate for the president to imply that the WHO has or has not supported lockdowns, said Lawrence Gostin, a global health law professor at Georgetown University. It’s not as simple as an either-or choice.
"No one is saying that lockdowns should never be used, just that they shouldn't be used as a primary or only method," Gostin wrote in an email.
And Josh Michaud, associate director of global health policy at KFF, said both the WHO and public health experts have acknowledged there are economic consequences to lockdowns. (KHN is an editorially independent program of KFF.)
"Strict lockdowns are best used sparingly and in a time-limited fashion because they can cause negative health and economic consequences," said Michaud. "That is why Nabarro said lockdowns are not recommended as the ‘primary’ control measure. Critics like to frame lockdowns as being recommended as the only measure, when in reality that is not the case."
Has the WHO flipped on its stance on lockdowns?
And what about Trump’s assertion that the WHO had changed its position and admitted he was right?
A member of the WHO media office told us in a statement, "Our position on lockdowns and other severe movement restrictions has been consistent since the beginning. We recognize that they are costly to societies, economies and individuals, but may need to be used if COVID-19 transmission is out of control."
"WHO has never advocated for national lockdowns as a primary means for controlling the virus. Dr. Nabarro was repeating our advice to governments to ‘do it all,’" the spokesperson said.
To test this premise, we looked at statements by WHO leaders over the course of the pandemic. In the multiple media briefings we reviewed from February onward, the WHO appeared consistent in its messaging about what lockdowns should be deployed for: to give governments time to respond to a high number of COVID-19 cases and get a reprieve for health care workers. Although WHO leaders in February supported the shutting down of the city of Wuhan, China, the presumed source of the COVID-19 outbreak, they have also acknowledged that lockdowns can have serious economic effects, and that robust testing, contact tracing and physical distancing are usually preferable to completely locking down.
There is also no evidence the WHO "admitted" Trump was right about lockdowns.
Our ruling
Trump tweeted on Monday and then said later that night at a campaign rally that the WHO admitted he was right about lockdowns.
We found no evidence the WHO made this admission. And, based on a review of WHO communications, we found its messaging on the topic has been consistent since the pandemic’s early days.
Trump also appears to have relied on a brief video clip of a wide-ranging interview with WHO special envoy Dr. David Nabarro that didn’t give an accurate portrayal of how Nabarro characterized the use of this intervention.
We rate this statement False.
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808 | YouTube videos | 2020-07-02 00:00:00 | a YouTube video:
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“Bill Gates says you don't have a choice to be vaccinated or not.”
| Noah Y. Kim | 2020-08-14 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/15/national-republican-senatorial-committee/gop-group-says-steve-bullock-failed-act-after-aide/ |
GOP group says Steve Bullock failed to act after aide was fired for sexual harassment
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The National Republican Senatorial Committee has produced an ad suggesting that Montana Gov. Steve Bullock, a Democratic candidate for the Senate, "failed to act" after one of his aides was fired for sexual harassment.
"We know Steve Bullock used his position to help his friends and family make money. But there’s a darker side," a narrator says. "Bullock’s most senior political aide was caught sexually harassing women. Bullock knew about the harassment but said nothing, remaining silent when the aide took another job where he harassed women again. Steve Bullock covered for his friend at the expense of these women. Think about that."
As the narrator speaks, the words "failed to act" flash on the screen.
Bullock is running against first-term incumbent Republican Sen. Steve Daines in a toss-up race viewed as critical to determining whether Democrats or Republicans control the Senate. The Montana Senate race is one of 18 pivotal House and Senate contests up for election on Nov. 3 that PolitiFact is tracking.
The first claim of the ad, that Steve Bullock used his position to help his friends and family make money, was featured more prominently in another NRSC ad. Other fact-checking organizations have looked closely at the nepotism allegations against Bullock and found them false and baseless.
However, the majority of the ad is devoted to a claim that the NRSC hasn’t made before: that Bullock said nothing after his most senior political aide was caught sexually harassing women.
The NRSC’s claims revolve around Kevin O’Brien, a former aide to Bullock and New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio. O’Brien was fired from two organizations for sexual harassment: the Democratic Governors Association, which Bullock chaired, and the New York City mayor’s office.
However, the 30-second NRSC ad leaves out some important context. Here, we’ll break down the controversy over Bullock’s handling of Kevin O’Brien in detail and determine whether the claims in the NRSC’s attack ad are accurate.
The controversy over Kevin O’Brien
O’Brien first went to work for Bullock, then Montana attorney general, in 2009. O’Brien served as campaign manager for Bullock’s gubernatorial campaign in 2012 and became deputy chief of staff to the governor in 2013.
In 2015, Bullock served a one-year term as chairman of the Democratic Governors Association, a political group that supports Democratic governors and candidates in their election campaigns. That year, O’Brien left the employ of the governor’s office and started work as a senior adviser for the Democratic Governors Association, serving as Bullock’s representative.
Ten months into his new job, O’Brien was accused of sexually harassing another employee at an after-work event. An internal investigation substantiated the employee’s allegations, and O’Brien was fired with Bullock’s approval. Bullock told the Billings Gazette that he made the decision to terminate O’Brien the moment he became aware of the allegations. In a statement to the New York Times, Bullock said that he "fully agreed with the decision" to fire O’Brien.
A month after his termination, O’Brien secured a job as chief of staff in the New York City mayor’s office. A press secretary for New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio told the New York Times that the city’s Department of Investigation at the time conducted a background check on O’Brien that included contacting both the Democratic Governors Association and the Montana Department of Administration, which handles personnel matters for the state. According to the press secretary, neither the governors association nor the state of Montana offered any "adverse information" about O’Brien’s employment history.
Amber Conger, director of communications for the Montana Department of Administration, told PolitiFact that the human resources division subjected O’Brien to an "employment verification check" when New York’s Department of Investigation called, providing basic information about his tenure at the Governor’s office, like the dates he was employed and his title.
"No staff at (the Department of Administration) HR division had any knowledge of harassment issues involving Kevin O’Brien while he was employed by the state, or by any other employer," she wrote in an email.
Bullock has claimed that he didn’t know that O’Brien had applied for a job at the mayor’s office until after he was hired. In October 2017, almost two years after O’Brien was hired in de Blasio’s office, Bullock met with both de Blasio and O’Brien at Gracie Mansion, according to the New York Times’ review of de Blasio’s schedule. But Bullock said later he didn’t tell the mayor why O’Brien had been terminated.
O’Brien was forced to resign from his position at the mayor’s office less than six months later when an internal investigation found that he had sexually harassed two city employees. A year later, the New York Times published several stories on his ouster after it obtained documents of the investigation.
De Blasio criticized Bullock and the Democratic Governors Association, saying that he found it "personally frustrating" that neither had told his office about the previous harassment allegations.
In Feb. 2019 after the New York Times broke the story about O’Brien’s firing from the mayor’s office, Bullock apologized to Montanans in a Medium post. "Should I have called Mayor de Blasio? Should I have let more people know? Was I naïve to think this wouldn’t happen again? The answer is yes," he wrote. "I was wrong and naive to think I did enough. I should have done more to ensure future employers would learn of his behavior."
Our ruling
A campaign ad says Bullock "failed to act" when his "most senior political aide was caught sexually harassing women. Bullock knew about the harassment but said nothing, remaining silent when the aide took another job where he harassed women again."
It’s not accurate that Bullock didn’t act. O’Brien was working for the Democratic Governor’s Association when allegations of sexual harassment surfaced, ultimately leading to O’Brien’s termination. Bullock, who was chair of the association at the time, says that when he became aware of the allegations, he decided it was appropriate to terminate O’Brien.
However, Bullock has conceded that he didn’t tell Bill de Blasio about the reasons for O’Brien’s termination when he became aware that the NYC mayor’s office had hired him. O’Brien was subsequently fired again for harassing two additional women.
The claim is partially accurate but leaves out some important details. We rate it Half True.
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812 | Donald Trump | 2020-10-12 00:00:00 | a tweet.:
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“The World Health Organization just admitted that I was right. Lockdowns are killing countries all over the world. The cure cannot be worse than the problem itself.”
| Victoria Knight | 2020-10-15 00:00:00 | true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/15/david-mckinley/how-many-opioid-pills-were-shipped-west-virginia/ |
How many opioid pills were shipped to West Virginia?
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The opioid epidemic has raged across the United States in recent years, but it has affected West Virginia more severely than most states. In 2018, the most recent year for which data is available, West Virginia ranked second only to Vermont in per capita overdose deaths from heroin and first in deaths from synthetic opioids.
On Sept. 9, 2020, Rep. David McKinley, R-W.Va., sent a tweet marking House Energy and Commerce Committee approval of the Block, Report, And Suspend Suspicious Shipments Act of 2019, or H.R. 3878. McKinley is the bill’s chief sponsor.
The legislation, which has not yet been taken up by the full House, imposes added requirements for drug manufacturers and distributors that discover a suspicious order for controlled substances.
In his tweet, McKinley said, "NEWS: @HouseCommerce reported the Block, Report, And Suspend Shipments Act to the House floor. Nearly 800 million opioid pills were shipped to WV, amounting to 433 pills for every man, woman & child in the state. Our legislation will help prevent this from ever happening again."
NEWS:@HouseCommerce reported the Block, Report, And Suspend Shipments Act to the House floor. Nearly 800 million opioid pills were shipped to WV, amounting to 433 pills for every man, woman & child in the state, our legislation will help prevent this from ever happening again. pic.twitter.com/j8HEswo5xR— David B. McKinley (@RepMcKinley) September 9, 2020
Those are stunning numbers. Is McKinley correct about 433 pills being shipped to the state for every West Virginia resident?
Basically, yes.
McKinley’s language in the tweet mirrors that of a formal opioid response plan released by the West Virginia Department of Health and Human Resources in January 2018.
"Between 2007 and 2012," the report said, "drug wholesalers shipped more than 780 million hydrocodone and oxycodone pills into the state. This amounted to 433 pain pills for every man, woman and child in West Virginia."
McKinley’s office also pointed us to a Pulitzer Prize-winning Charleston Gazette-Mail investigation published in 2016 that is the likely source of the statistics for the West Virginia state government report.
The newspaper, which is a PolitiFact West Virginia partner, based its figures on previously confidential drug shipping sales records that had been sent by the U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration to the office of West Virginia’s attorney general, Patrick Morrisey. The records disclose the number of pills sold to every pharmacy in the state and the drug companies' shipments to all 55 counties in West Virginia between 2007 and 2012, the newspaper reported.
McKinley is essentially correct when he uses the "nearly 800 million" figure to refer to the "more than 780 million" pills that entered the state. This flood of opioids into the state led to 1,728 fatal overdoses over that period, according to a statement from a House Energy and Commerce subcommittee hearing held on May 8, 2018.
As for the 433 per person statistic, its accuracy depends on what snapshot of the state’s population you use. Since the time frame for the pill shipments stretched from 2007 to 2012, we used the 2010 census data to calculate the number of pills per person.
That year’s census counted 1,852,994 residents of West Virginia, meaning the number of pills per person, if you use the 780 million figure, was about 421. It is probably a little higher since the figure is "nearly 800 million." Broadly, it’s in the ballpark.
Our ruling
McKinley said, "Nearly 800 million opioid pills were shipped to WV, amounting to 433 pills for every man, woman, and child in the state."
A state report put the number of pills flowing into West Virginia at more than 780 million. Using 2010 census data, that works out to 421 pills for every resident of West Virginia.
It’s worth noting, however, that these hundreds of millions of pills flowed into the state over a six-year period, and that the last year included in the data was eight years ago.
We rate the statement Mostly True.
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264, 4848, 4771, 4261, 11, 323, 430, 279, 1566, 1060, 5343, 304, 279, 828, 574, 8223, 1667, 4227, 627, 1687, 4478, 279, 5224, 64285, 3082, 627] | 657 |
813 | National Republican Senatorial Committee | 2020-10-01 00:00:00 | a campaign ad:
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Says Steve Bullock “failed to act” when his “most senior political aide was caught sexually harassing women. Bullock knew about the harassment but said nothing, remaining silent when the aide took another job where he harassed women again.”
| Noah Y. Kim | 2020-10-15 00:00:00 | mostly-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/14/jb-pritzker/pritzkers-mostly-correct-about-illinois-historic-u/ |
Pritzker’s mostly correct about Illinois’ historic unemployment spike
|
Overwhelmed by a surge in unemployment claims during the COVID-19 recession, the Illinois Department of Employment Security has faced criticism for lengthy backlogs, a data breach and user fraud.
During an Aug. 4 news conference, Democratic Gov. J.B. Pritzker defended his agency’s response given the tsunami of new claims flooding in.
"IDES, as you know, was hit with something no one expected: 10 to 20 times the claims, even during the worst recession of my lifetime. That was the 2008-2009 recession," Pritzker said. "No one expected that we could see a recession worse than that one."
Nationwide, initial unemployment claims last week dipped below 1 million for the first time since March, but the figures remain staggeringly high. Even so, we wondered if the number of claims filed in the early weeks of the pandemic in Illinois really reached the levels Pritzker suggested.
So we reached out to the governor’s office to ask for the data.
Spokeswoman Jordan Abudayyeh sent us IDES figures for initial unemployment claims for each week of the current recession, which officially began in February. She highlighted two separate weeks when the number of claims reached a peak, and sent data for the corresponding weeks of the Great Recession which started in December 2007.
In week nine of the current recession, the week ending April 4, 2020, IDES received more than 202,000 new unemployment claims — 12.5 times more than the roughly 16,000 the agency received for week nine of the 2008 recession.
And in week 15 of the current recession, the week ending May 16, 2020, initial claims spiked again as jobless workers in the gig economy and others who were previously ineligible for unemployment insurance began to apply under the new federal Pandemic Unemployment Assistance program. That week, IDES received a little over 10 times the number of new claims it got in week 15 of the previous recession.
Both peak weeks fall within the range Pritzker cited even though they don’t reach as high as 20 times more, or even 15 times more. Tallies for other weeks this year outpaced the comparable period of the Great Recession but by less than 10 fold.
Experts told us it was fair for Pritzker to highlight those early spikes given the unique challenges state unemployment systems faced in processing claims because of the sudden health crisis sweeping the nation.
"It was all of a sudden, just everybody at once," said Eliza Forsythe, an assistant professor at the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign’s School of Labor & Employment Relations. "Because it was so fast, these claims were many times over what we usually see, even in other recessions."
Justin Wolfers, an economics professor at the University of Michigan, said although there are multiple ways to compare this recession, "they all point to a surge in initial unemployment claims of historic proportions."
Pritzker’s spokeswoman also told us the governor’s claim referred to the difference between the claims IDES is seeing this year and the numbers it normally receives. Pritzker did not make this clear in his original remarks.
"The governor is saying IDES is seeing 10-20x the claims they normally do as well as EVEN more than the worst recession," Abudayyeh wrote in an email.
IDES data backs that up. New claims this year outpaced those received in Illinois last year by 10 or more times in 10 of the last 20 weeks. In three of those weeks, cases were between 20 and 23 times greater than the same period in 2019.
Our ruling
Pritzker said when COVID-19 struck, IDES "was hit with something no one expected: 10 to 20 times the claims, even during the worst recession of my lifetime."
His office pointed to two weeks when state data show new unemployment claims surged by as much as 12 times the number of initial claims received in the same weeks during the 2008 recession. Those two weeks of peak claims fall within the range Pritzker cited, if not hitting 20.
His spokeswoman also told us the governor was referring to the difference between the claims IDES is seeing this year and the numbers it normally receives, which is supported by the data too. However, that more accurate comparison wasn’t made clear in his remarks.
We rate his claim Mostly True.
MOSTLY TRUE — The statement is accurate but needs clarification or additional information.
Click here for more on the six PolitiFact ratings and how we select facts to check.
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815 | Viral image | 2020-10-12 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
A fly landed on Amy Coney Barrett’s shoulder during day one of the confirmation hearings
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-08-14 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/14/senate-majority-pac/fact-checking-attack-sen-susan-collins-over-opioid/ |
Fact-checking an attack on Sen. Susan Collins over opioids, campaign donations
|
The opioid addiction crisis, along with the billions earned by the maker of OxyContin, are being invoked in a race that could help determine whether Republicans keep control of the U.S. Senate.
The target is four-term GOP incumbent Susan Collins of Maine. The attack comes from Senate Majority PAC, which works to elect Democrats to the Senate.
Collins "voted against accountability for opioid makers" and "lied" when she said she didn’t take campaign money from a family who made its wealth selling OxyContin, the political action committee claims in a TV ad.
The claim misleadingly cherry-picks one Collins vote.
But while being videotaped in 2020, Collins did deny taking any campaign funds from the family, when she did receive one donation in 2007.
Opioid crisis, OxyContin, the Sacklers
Collins has served in the Senate since 1997. Her opponent Sara Gideon has served in the Maine’s House since 2013 and as its speaker since 2016.
With polls showing a tight contest, the Cook Political Report has rated the race a tossup.
Many news accounts say the race is one that could determine whether Republicans keep a majority in the Senate, where they now control 53 seats.
Purdue Pharma began selling OxyContin, a slow-release pill based on the pain reliever oxycodone, in the mid-1990s and heavily promoted it. Between 1991 and 2011, the number of opioid prescriptions, as well as the number of opioid-related deaths, nearly tripled.
Since 2000, four opioids — oxycodone, hydrocodone, heroin and fentanyl, a synthetic — have killed more than 400,000 Americans. That includes nearly 15,000 people who suffered fatal overdoses from prescription opioids in 2018, the latest year for those figures from the federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Purdue Pharma is seeking bankruptcy protection as part of an effort to settle nearly 3,000 lawsuits brought against it by state, local and tribal governments that blame the company for sparking the opioid crisis. The company's settlement plan calls for the members of the Sackler family who own the company to pay at least $3 billion and give up ownership of Purdue.
The attack ad
The PAC’s 30-second ad starts by citing a figure for the number of opioid pills "pushed to Maine" by opioid distributors and how much money opioid distributors have given to Collins’ campaign. Then it says Collins accepted campaign money from Jonathan Sackler (who died of cancer on June 30.) Senate Majority PAC cited a donation of $2,300 that Sackler made to Collins’ campaign in 2007.
Then comes the two parts of the ad we’re checking.
Claim No. 1. Collins "voted against accountability for opioid makers."
The reference is to Collins’ vote in a Senate committee against a failed amendment, proposed by Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., to the Opioid Crisis Response Act of 2018.
Sanders said his amendment would have imposed retroactive fines on companies and executives and set new punishments for future activities.
Collins campaign spokesman Kevin Kelley, noting that three Democrats on the committee also voted no, told PolitiFact that Collins’ concern was the amendment "was written so broadly that anyone involved in a transaction could have been implicated."
Kelley cited instances in which Collins voted to hold opioid companies accountable, including voting for a 2018 law. One provision in that law aims to hold drug distributors and manufacturers accountable for stopping delivery of drugs on suspiciously high orders by pharmacies and stopping the diversion of drugs. A 2016 law she voted for requires any new drug application for an opioid to be referred to an advisory committee for recommendations prior to FDA approval.
Claim No. 2. Collins "lied" about campaign money
This part of the ad features a video clip, recorded in January, showing Collins on an airplane having a conversation with a woman who is not visible:
Woman: "Your campaign has taken money from the Sacklers?"
Collins: "From the Sacklers? No, I have not."
Woman: "Never?"
Collins: "Never."
Collins did not know she was being videotaped and was thinking about donations for the current campaign when she answered the question, Kelley said.
"But, to be more accurate, the senator has said that she should have said that she does not recall receiving such a donation," he said.
The woman in the conversation is Amy Halsted, co-director of the Maine People’s Alliance, according to a January article by MaineBeacon.com, which is a project of the alliance. The alliance is a progressive grassroots group. The article includes video of the full six-minute conversation.
Our ruling
An attack ad claimed Collins "voted against accountability for opioid makers" and "lied" when she said she didn’t take campaign money from a family who made its wealth selling OxyContin.
The first part of the claim is misleading. On holding manufacturers accountable, Collins voted against one measure that failed, but voted for several others that became law.
When asked if she had ever taken campaign money from the Sackler family, Collins said no, and was wrong. One member of the family gave her one donation, of $2,300, in 2007.
The statement contains an element of truth but ignores critical facts that would give a different impression. That’s our definition of Mostly False.
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817 | David McKinley | 2020-09-09 00:00:00 | a tweet:
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"Nearly 800 million opioid pills were shipped to WV, amounting to 433 pills for every man, woman, and child in the state.”
| Camren Gandee | 2020-08-14 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/14/facebook-posts/no-joe-biden-cant-ban-school-choice-vouchers-wisco/ |
No, Joe Biden can't ban school choice vouchers in Wisconsin
|
Should tax dollars be used to fund private school tuition?
In Wisconsin, this is done through a system commonly referred to as vouchers or school choice, where parents apply money the state would have given a public school for their child toward tuition at approved private schools.
Supporters say parents are providing the education funds through tax dollars, so it’s only fair for the funding to follow their child to another school.
Critics say it’s not right to use public funds to support what are in many cases religious institutions, and that vouchers bleed needed support from public schools.
The system is one of many dividing lines in the 2020 presidential race between President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden.
One website "analysis" shared widely on Facebook claimed Biden’s stance would have sweeping consequences in Wisconsin. The Aug. 11, 2020, article from Milwaukee City Wire used this headline: "Analysis: Biden school choice ban would impact 74,000 Wisconsin students, 35,000 in Milwaukee."
This post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook).
Let’s separate fact from fiction.
The source
The article was published by one of many purported local news sites run by Metric Media Publications.
The company boasts 24 web pages with a Wisconsin brand under names like "Central Wisconsin News," "Green Bay Reporter" and "The Sconi." It also includes the "Fon du Lac News," where the city name of Fond du Lac is misspelled in both the web address and the banner atop each page.
The Metric Media Foundation, the official name of the nonprofit entity, says on its website it runs more than 1,000 such websites around the country.
The Columbia Journalism Review reported the network relies heavily on algorithmically-generated stories and can be traced to conservative businessman Brian Timpone. His former company, Journatic, drew outrage in 2012 for plagiarism, fake bylines and fake quotes in what was dubbed "pink slime journalism."
For this particular story what is labeled an "analysis" is actually just a regurgitation of a Wisconsin Department of Public Instruction spreadsheet, which the story’s unnamed author misunderstood.
Now, on to the claim.
Biden’s position on school choice
The fundamental assertion here is that Biden wants to ban school choice.
That’s not a new claim. And it’s not exactly accurate. PolitiFact National rated Mostly False a Trump claim that Biden "wants to end school choice."
The key question is what "school choice" means.
EdChoice, an advocacy group that says it aims "to advance educational freedom and choice," says that term can include private school vouchers as well as charter schools and specialized "magnet" schools that, for instance, may focus on math and science or the arts.
In Wisconsin, the term school choice is often used as shorthand for the three voucher programs (Milwaukee, Racine and statewide), but it could also refer to an array of non-traditional schooling options such as charter schools, virtual schools and the open enrollment program, where a student can enroll in a public school outside his or her district.
RELATED: No, voucher schools haven't raised property taxes by $1B since 2011
Biden’s campaign, which did not immediately respond to a request for comment on this piece, told PolitiFact National that Biden "does not oppose districts letting parents choose to send their children to public magnet schools, high-performing public charters or traditional public schools."
But Biden is against sending public money to private K-12 schools through voucher programs, something supported by Trump and his Education Secretary Betsy DeVos.
No, Biden can’t ‘ban’ vouchers
Regardless of Biden’s preference, however, he wouldn’t have the power as president to simply halt voucher programs — in Wisconsin or anywhere else.
"Parental choice programs in Wisconsin are state authorized and funded," said state DPI spokesman Chris Bucher. "They are not subject to federal control."
Jim Bender, president of School Choice Wisconsin, agreed, noting Biden would have "very limited power to impact school choice," just as Trump and DeVos now "are pretty limited" in their ability to pursue their desired expansion of school choice.
Frederick Hess, director of education policy studies at the conservative American Enterprise Institute, said it is possible Biden could create hurdles for school vouchers, though — particularly if Congress swings to the Democratic Party in November.
"Certainly on the face of it, (a ban) does not seem to be an immediately credible threat," Hess said. "But one can spin scenarios if one works hard enough."
Since about 10% of school spending comes from Washington (primarily for special education and low-income students), a Democratic Congress could write legislation or dole out that aid in a way that hinders voucher funding, Hess said. Or the Department of Justice could mount lawsuits that would impede vouchers.
The DOJ involvement isn’t exactly far-fetched given the agency (unsuccessfully) sued the Louisiana school choice program in 2013 under President Barack Obama, asserting the program "frustrates and impedes the desegregation process."
But these hypotheticals are a far cry from the suggestion in this story that Biden can implement a ban.
The legitimacy of voucher programs has been upheld at the highest levels, including a June 2020 decision where the U.S. Supreme Court ruled, 5-4, that Montana’s voucher program should not be struck down for redirecting tax dollars to a religious entity. That overturned a Montana Supreme Court ruling that ended the voucher program.
Numbers cited for voucher program are wrong
All of which brings us to the last part of the claim: That a ban would impact 74,000 Wisconsin students. The text of the article referred to these as the tallies for the 2018-19 school year.
But the stats are badly botched on multiple fronts.
The number comes from a DPI report summarizing the voucher program, but it’s from 2019-20, not the preceding year.
And the actual number of students in the voucher program was 42,157. The number cited in the headline is the total number of students attending voucher schools — many of whom paid their own way and did not use taxpayer-funded vouchers.
Our ruling
A viral post on Facebook from a pseudo-news site says a "Biden school choice ban would impact 74,000 Wisconsin students."
Biden does oppose one stripe of school choice programs, ones that apply public tax dollars to parents’ private school tuition bills. But everything else in this headline is wrong.
The term "school choice" also covers an array of other programs that Biden supports. And the voucher program in Wisconsin is about 42,000 students, not 74,000.
But most notably, the assertion that Biden has the power to "ban" such voucher programs simply doesn’t hold water. A president and Congress that opposed vouchers could put some hurdles in place, but the Wisconsin program is authorized and funded by the state.
We rate this claim False.
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818 | Donald Trump | 2020-09-30 00:00:00 | a rally:
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Says Kamala Harris wants to eliminate beef.
| Sophie Austin | 2020-08-14 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/14/gene-wu/are-republican-voters-texas-20-years-older-democra/ |
Are Republican voters in Texas 20 years older than Democrats, on average?
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Texas Democrats fought to expand access to mail-in ballots in the state to all voters during the primary runoff election, citing concerns over the coronavirus pandemic in multiple lawsuits filed in state and federal courts.
Their efforts were blocked, meaning the normal rules for voting by mail were in place for the July election and extra safety precautions were in place at polling sites, including finger coverings for using the voting machines and social distancing for those waiting to vote.
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, a Republican, fought the effort to expand mail-in voting through the courts, where cases are still pending that could impact voting during the November election.
During an interview with Progress Texas, a liberal advocacy group, state Rep. Gene Wu, D-Houston, said Republicans should support the expansion of mail-in voting because of the demographics of the party’s supporters.
"In Texas, vote-by-mail overwhelmingly benefits Republicans," Wu said. "The average age of the Republican voter is like 20 years older than the average Democrat. It is a lot. Their average age is like 65, or something crazy high like that."
In Texas, state law allows people who meet certain criteria to apply to vote through the mail, which includes any person over 65 years old.
So, is Wu’s comparison accurate? Is the average Republican voter in Texas really 20 years older than the average Democratic voter?
Wu said he was aware of reporting to this effect, but did not have a source for the specific statistic he shared during the interview.
Looking to the voter rolls
In Texas, voters do not register with political parties and they are not required to have any affiliation with a party to participate in that group’s primary election.
To check Wu’s statement about the average age of voters in each party, we turned to voter registration data available from the Texas Secretary of State’s office and different polls of likely voters in the state.
Derek Ryan, a voter data specialist and the former research director for the Republican Party of Texas, maintains a list of registered voters and, at PolitiFact Texas’ request, analyzed the ages of people who voted during this year’s Republican primary and Democratic primary.
"Based on this data, the average age of people who voted in the 2020 Republican primary election was 59.2 years old," he said. "The average age of people who voted in the 2020 Democratic primary election was 51.6 years old."
In 2018, Ryan found that people who voted in the Republican primary averaged 60.1 years of age and Democratic primary voters had an average age of 54.5.
Based on those figures, the average Republican voter was about 7.6 years older than the average Democratic voter in 2020 and about 5.6 years older in 2018.
Ryan did note that, while primary election data is the best way to identify Republican and Democratic voters, people who go to the polls in primaries tend to be older across the board compared with people who vote in general elections.
"But the Democrats appear to be doing a better job at getting younger voters to participate in their primary (Beto in 2018 and a competitive presidential primary in 2020 probably helped)," he said in an email. "I went back to the 2012 election cycle and the average age of a Democratic primary voter that year was 57 while the average age of a Republican primary voter was 59."
Brandon Rottinghaus, a political science professor at the University of Houston, conducted an analysis using polling data on political ideologies in the state. Both surveys he cited are representative of the state’s general population and do not reflect just those individuals who actually voted, the population Wu specified in his statement.
Using Harvard University’s Cooperative Congressional Election Study, a national survey with state-level data, Rottinghaus said the average age of people who identified as Republicans in Texas in 2018 was 52 and the average age of people who said they were Democrats was 46 — a 6-year age difference.
In 2016, the average age of Republicans was 54 and the average Democrat was 49. That’s a gap of 5 years.
Polling from Univision in partnership with the University of Houston showed a similar trend — although people were asked to identify their ideology, not a political party.
In 2018, Rottinghaus said respondents who said they were conservative or very conservative had an average age of 57, while those who said they were liberal or very liberal had an average age of 41 — 16-year age gap.
In 2016, conservative or very conservative respondents had an average age of 57, and liberal or very liberal respondents had an average age of 47 — a 10 year difference.
Our ruling
Wu said that in Texas, the "average age of the Republican voter is like 20 years older than the average Democrat."
The most recent voter data shows that the average Republican voter was older than the average Democrat, but the age difference was far less pronounced than Wu’s statement, for which he did not have supporting evidence.
The average Republican voter in Texas was younger than Wu said and the average Democrat was older.
We rate this claim False.
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820 | Senate Majority PAC | 2020-07-13 00:00:00 | a TV ad:
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“Kamala Harris is the prosecutor who refused to charge the police in the murder of Oscar Grant!”
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-12-08 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/dec/08/david-rouzer/nc-congressman-wrong-about-marijuana-reducing-iq/ |
NC Congressman wrong about marijuana reducing IQ
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Only five Republicans supported a House bill that would decriminalize marijuana at the federal level. Congressman David Rouzer was not among them.
The legislation — if passed by the Senate and signed by the president — would remove marijuana from the Controlled Substances Act and eliminate criminal penalties for people who carry or distribute small amounts, CNN reports. The House passed it 228-164 on Dec. 4.
Rouzer, who represents southeastern North Carolina, used Twitter to announce his displeasure with the House vote.
"As @HouseDemocrats push marijuana legalization instead of small business COVID-19 relief, remember: the @NIH states that regular marijuana use can reduce IQ by 8 points (which may be irreversible) and impairs memory and learning," Rouzer tweeted.
First, we should note that the House did pass a bill in October that authorized more financial support for small businesses through the HEROES Act.
But here we focus on another part of the claim: Is it true that the National Institutes of Health, a division of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, says "regular marijuana use can reduce IQ by 8 points"?
The topic is relevant in North Carolina, where a task force appointed by Gov. Roy Cooper recommends decriminalizing marijuana as part of a push for racial justice.
Turns out, Rouzer overstates the effect of marijuana on the brain and the NIH’s position.
What Rouzer referenced
John Elizandro, Rouzer’s communications director and senior adviser, referred PolitiFact NC to a report compiled by the NIH in July.
The 42-page report addresses available information on both the health benefits and potential detriments of marijuana use, including whether it can diminish someone’s IQ.
The report specifically mentions a large study in New Zealand, which found that "persistent marijuana use disorder with frequent use starting in adolescence was associated with a loss of an average of 6 or up to 8 IQ points measured in mid-adulthood. Those who used marijuana heavily as teenagers and quit using as adults did not recover the lost IQ points."
What Rouzer doesn’t mention in his tweet is that the findings applied only to smokers who began using during their adolescence. The report says of the New Zealand study: "People who only began using marijuana heavily in adulthood did not lose IQ points."
More missing context
Furthermore, Rouzer ignores language in the NIH report that explicitly states that more research is needed to establish a link between marijuana use and a decline in IQ points. The report summarizes research this way:
"Some studies have also linked marijuana use to declines in IQ, especially when use starts in adolescence and leads to persistent cannabis use disorder into adulthood.
However, not all of the studies on the link between marijuana and IQ have reached the same conclusion, and it is difficult to prove that marijuana causes a decline in IQ when there are multiple factors that can influence the results of such studies, such as genetics, family environment, age of first use, frequency of use, having a cannabis use disorder, duration of use, and duration of the study."
The NIH webpage summarizing the report mentions other reasons links are hard to establish.
Different strains of marijuana have varying levels of THC, the main active ingredient in cannabis, the NIH says, and the ability to draw definitive conclusions about marijuana’s long-term impact on the brain "is often limited by the fact that study participants use multiple substances, and there is often limited data about the participants’ health or mental functioning prior to the study."
The report mentions another study, which tracked 4,000 people over a 25-year period. It found that lifetime exposure to marijuana affected memory "but did not affect other cognitive abilities such as processing speed or executive function."
We contacted the NIH about its view of marijuana’s effect on a user’s IQ levels.
Spokeswoman Simona Combi said the NIH believes more research is needed.
"The New Zealand study mentioned here has limitations that limit our ability to draw definitive conclusions from it," Combi said in an email. "Per the report, not all studies have come to the same conclusion, and more research will be needed to answer definitively whether marijuana use causes long-term IQ losses."
Our ruling
Rouzer said the "NIH states that regular marijuana use can reduce IQ by 8 points."
The NIH itself has not actually established a link between marijuana use and loss of IQ points — and it says so explicitly in the report Rouzer cited.
Rouzer cherry-picked a stat in a study from another country. He then mischaracterized it as the NIH’s findings and tweeted it without proper context, failing to note that it applied only to people who started marijuana use in their adolescence.
His tweet contains an element of truth but ignores critical facts that would give a different impression. We rate it Mostly False.
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822 | Facebook posts | 2020-08-11 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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Says in Texas the “average age of the Republican voter is like 20 years older than the average Democrat.”
| Madlin Mekelburg | 2020-12-08 00:00:00 | half-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/dec/08/joe-biden/many-americans-say-they-dont-want-vaccine-should-w/ |
Many Americans say they don’t want a vaccine. Should we be worried?
|
A vaccine to prevent coronavirus infections is tantalizingly close, with the first inoculations in the United States weeks or even days away. But concern persists that not enough Americans will be willing to be vaccinated to fully halt the virus’ spread.
President-elect Joe Biden raised this concern during a Dec. 3 interview with CNN’s Jake Tapper.
When Tapper asked whether Biden planned to be vaccinated before he’s inaugurated on Jan. 20, Biden said he would.
"People have lost faith in the ability of the vaccine to work," Biden said. "Already, the numbers are really staggeringly low. And it matters what a president and a vice president do. … And it's important to communicate to the American people it's safe to do this."
We interviewed seven experts for this story. They expressed disappointment with Americans’ relatively low willingness to take the vaccine so far, and they were especially concerned about deeper skepticism of a vaccine among racial minorities. But they added that these early findings do not mean that the effort is doomed.
Most of the polling so far has asked about a vaccine that was still theoretical. Now, several vaccines have been presented to regulators with strong initial results, and if the initial rollouts are smooth — and if targeted educational efforts begin to have an effect — the experts expect Americans to become more comfortable with taking a vaccine. (The Biden campaign did not respond to an inquiry for this article.)
What the polling shows
Since May, at least seven pollsters have taken a look at Americans’ willingness to receive a coronavirus vaccine.
Most polls have found between 50% and 70% of respondents willing to get vaccinated. (Some of the differences may stem from differences in how the question was worded in each poll.)
Respondents’ stated willingness to receive the vaccine fell in the summer and the early fall before recovering somewhat in October and November.
Observers said this might have to do with early, positive results for several vaccine trials — making a vaccine less theoretical to Americans — or relief among Democratic survey respondents that Joe Biden will be president during most of the vaccine rollout, rather than Donald Trump.
To understand the public’s wariness about a coronavirus vaccine, it helps to take into account "the politicization of the virus and seemingly everything surrounding it, as well as the level of misinformation being circulated," said Jason Salemi, an associate professor of public health at the University of South Florida.
Why the current level of willingness to be vaccinated is worrisome
While less-than-optimal levels of vaccination will still help ease the pandemic, epidemiologists say that something approaching full eradication can occur only if most people receive their shots.
"Given what we know about the virus so far, we are going to need higher proportions of people to take the vaccine then who are now saying they will for protection to occur on a population level," said Nicole Gatto, an associate professor in Claremont Graduate University’s school of community and global health.
An especially important issue is that some subgroups of the population are less welcoming of a coronavirus vaccine than the public at large.
While 33% of white respondents to a Kaiser Family Foundation poll said they would probably not or definitely not take the vaccine, the rates were higher for Hispanics (37%) and Blacks (49%).
A survey by the COVID Collaborative found that 14% of Black respondents and 34% of Hispanic respondents said they mostly or completely trust that a vaccine will be safe. Only 18% of Black respondents and 40% of Hispanic respondents said they mostly or completely trust that a vaccine will be effective.
Most analysts attribute the hesitancy about vaccines in the Black community to a legacy of unethical medical experimentation, as well as longstanding disparities in the quality of health care available to racial minorities.
"There are historical reasons that justify that caution and skepticism," said William Schaffner, a professor of preventive medicine, health policy and infectious diseases at Vanderbilt University.
If Black Americans do end up forgoing vaccination at especially high rates, it could be especially problematic, since rates of illness and death from COVID-19 have been higher for Blacks than for whites. One reason for this may be their added risk of exposure.
"Minority groups are overrepresented among essential workers, and these are groups that are among the most important for the vaccine to reach," Gatto said.
The eventual response could be better than the polls say now
Before assuming widespread vaccine skepticism will lead to poor vaccination rates, it’s worth noting some context.
Flu vaccination coverage among adults in the United States has fluctuated between 37% and 48% in the past decade, Salemi said. Compared against the widely available vaccine for the flu, the survey data for a coronavirus vaccine is "not ‘staggering,’" Salemi said.
In addition, there’s evidence that older Americans — those who are more susceptible to the virus’ worst impacts — are more willing to get vaccinated. For instance, a CNN poll in October found that 60% of those age 65 and older said they would try to get a vaccine, compared with 49% among those younger than 45.
And history suggests that concerted public education campaigns can help boost low public confidence.
"Successful mass-vaccination campaigns have been carried out previously in the United States, including for polio in the 1950s and more recently for the 2009 H1N1 pandemic," said Matthew B. Laurens, associate professor of pediatrics at the University of Maryland School of Medicine’s Center for Vaccine Development and Global Health. "Maintenance of public trust will depend on clear messages to the public regarding vaccine benefits and side effects, transparency of vaccine developers and researchers regarding what is known and is not known about available vaccines for COVID-19, and continuous engagement and dialogue with communities and individuals."
Campaigns can work well by leveraging community members, faith leaders, celebrities and athletes — "people who can demonstrate by example," Gatto said.
Ultimately, though, one of the biggest factors driving lower-than-desired public approval of a coronavirus vaccine is simply an understandable caution about trying something new.
"A dose of healthy skepticism is normal," Schaffner said. "These are new vaccines with new technologies against a new virus."
Experts agree that the public’s view of vaccines can change, since Americans are being bombarded every day by new information about the virus and possible vaccines.
"We have to be realistic about the ebb and flow as more information comes out about the particular vaccines — how the initial vaccination efforts go, and what happens to the first folks taking it," said Mollyann Brodie, executive vice president for public opinion and survey research at the Kaiser Family Foundation.
"Even today, we don't yet have a vaccine that has been given the green light by the FDA, and most of these surveys were taken before data from Moderna and Pfizer were released," added Tara Smith, a Kent State University epidemiologist.
Experts express cautious optimism that a smooth rollout will ease concerns among Americans who are currently reluctant. "I do think the comfort level with the vaccine will indeed increase over time," said Brooke Nichols, an infectious disease mathematical modeler at the Boston University School of Public Health.
Also important to remember "is that we have some time," Schaffner said. "We can’t vaccinate everybody in a week and a half."
Our ruling
Biden said, "People have lost faith in the ability of the vaccine to work. Already, the numbers are really staggeringly low."
Experts agree that the initial percentages of Americans saying they’re willing to take the vaccine are lower than would be ideal to fully eradicate the coronavirus, and that the numbers are especially low among racial and ethnic minorities even though those groups have been hit disproportionately by the pandemic.
However, experts aren’t despairing yet, because they see public opinion as fluid and likely to be shaped by new information, including regulatory approvals and the rollout of the actual vaccines. History has also shown that concerted educational efforts can help increase comfort with new vaccines.
We rate the statement Half True.
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823 | Gene Wu | 2020-08-07 00:00:00 | an |
“The president got the highest percentage of minority votes of any Republican candidate for president in over 100 years."
| Simone Esters | 2020-12-08 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/dec/07/viral-image/no-danish-study-didnt-prove-wearing-masks-ineffect/ |
No, a Danish study didn’t prove wearing masks is ineffective
|
Public health officials have long recommended wearing face-coverings to help slow the spread of the novel coronavirus.
But some who oppose measures such as mask mandates are pointing to a study conducted in Denmark in April and May as evidence that masks are ineffective against the virus.
"The first randomized controlled trial of more than 6,000 individuals to assess the effectiveness of surgical face masks against SARS-CoV-2 infection found masks did not statistically significantly reduce the incidence of infection," reads one viral Instagram post that features an excerpt from a longer blog post on the same topic.
The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s and Instagram’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on News Feeds. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
The Instagram claim misconstrues the results of the study, published Nov. 18 in the Annals of Internal Medicine.
First, it’s important to note that the public health recommendation in favor of wearing masks hinges on evidence that masks help minimize spread of respiratory droplets from reaching others through the air. But the Denmark study was focused on the results for the wearer. It was designed "to assess whether recommending surgical mask use outside the home reduces wearers' risk for SARS-CoV-2 infection in a setting where masks were uncommon," according to the study’s abstract.
Researchers assigned roughly 6,000 people who left their homes at least three hours a day to two groups. Members of one group were given a box of 50 surgical masks and told to wear a mask whenever they went outside of their homes. Members of the other group were not told to wear masks — but, like the mask group, they were encouraged to follow safety recommendations made by Danish officials at the time, which included things like social distancing.
After a month, the researchers used antibody tests, PCR tests or hospital diagnoses of COVID-19 to determine if participants had been infected with the virus.
The study concluded that recommending people wear surgical masks "did not reduce the SARS-CoV-2 infection rate among wearers by more than 50% in a community with modest infection rates, some degree of social distancing, and uncommon general mask use."
It is important to note the phrase, "by more than 50%" in the researchers’ findings. The study was designed to examine whether the masks provided high levels of personal protection. That would have been evidenced by significantly reducing the infection rate for those wearing masks. But this was not what researchers found.
Even so, the study’s researchers also concluded that the data suggested mask wearing did lead to "lesser degrees of self-protection" — not that they had no protective benefits for wearers at all.
One of the researchers, Henning Bundgaard, a professor of cardiology at the University of Copenhagen in Denmark, said publicly that the study should not be used to discourage mask wearing.
"Even a small degree of protection is worth using the face masks, because you are protecting yourself against a potentially life-threatening disease," Bundgaard told Forbes.
The study was published alongside two editorials also in the Annals of Medicine that contextualized the researchers’ findings.
The first editorial was written by doctors who serve as Annals of Internal Medicine editors, including editor in chief Christine Laine, associate statistics editor Steven Goodman and deputy statistics editor Eliseo Guallar. The experts noted that the study was "designed to examine only the masks' protective effect," and was not to examine whether wearing a mask prevents the spread of COVID-19 if the individual wearing the mask is the infected "source," who would be spreading the virus.
The experts also noted that the study "examined the effect of recommending mask use, not the effect of actually wearing them." People do not always listen to public health recommendations, they said. Additionally, experts said the effectiveness of masks depends on other factors, such as the prevalence of the virus and the adherence to social distancing.
The other editorial was also penned by two doctors: former U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Director Tom Frieden, now president and CEO of Resolve to Save Lives, and Shama Cash-Goldwasser, a senior adviser at Resolve To Save Lives. Their organization aims to help governments prevent deaths from disease and epidemics.
Frieden and Cash-Goldwasser said no one method would be enough to end the pandemic on its own, but "widespread masking in the community can mitigate spread" as part of a larger set of protocols.
"Masks have been shown to protect others and, despite the reported results of this study, probably protect the wearer," the two experts wrote. "If everyone wears a mask when near others, everyone is safer."
Other fact-checking organizations have debunked similar claims about the Danish study.
The CDC recently released a scientific brief focused on the use of cloth masks to control the spread of the coronavirus.
"Experimental and epidemiological data support community masking to reduce the spread," the CDC said. "The prevention benefit of masking is derived from the combination of source control and personal protection for the mask wearer."
The CDC also noted in its brief that more research is needed to "expand the evidence base" on how much protection cloth masks offer to the wearer.
Regardless of how protective masks are for the individual wearing them, the CDC was clear: "adopting universal masking policies can help avert future lockdowns, especially if combined with other non-pharmaceutical interventions such as social distancing, hand hygiene, and adequate ventilation."
Our ruling
Social media posts claim, "The first randomized controlled trial of more than 6,000 individuals to assess the effectiveness of surgical face masks against SARS-CoV-2 infection found masks did not statistically significantly reduce the incidence of infection."
The study concluded that wearing masks did not offer a very high level of personal protection to mask wearers in communities where wearing masks was not common practice. The study noted, however, that the data suggested masks provided some degree of self-protection.
We rate this claim Mostly False.
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824 | Nancy Mace | 2020-11-24 00:00:00 | an Interview with the Southeast Missourian:
|
The National Institutes of Health “states that regular marijuana use can reduce IQ by 8 points.”
| Paul Specht | 2020-12-07 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/jan/25/glenn-grothman/no-democrats-are-not-eliminating-right-americans-c/ |
No, Democrats are not eliminating the right of Americans to call parents mom and dad
|
In recent years, gender-neutral language has been a hot-button issue for many. Indeed, according to U.S. Rep. Glenn Grothman, R-Wisconsin, that debate has pushed America to this point:
"A majority of Americans have voted for a party that … wants a world in which you cannot call your parents mom and dad."
Yes. There is a lot to unpack there.
It begins with a new rules package adopted Jan. 4, 2021, by the Democratic-controlled House on a 217-206, party-line vote. The package covers many aspects of how the chamber will run in the new term.
The rule in question applies specifically to official House documents, saying they must use gender-neutral language. For instance, documents will reference "parents" instead of "mother and father"; "child" instead of "son" or "daughter"; or "chair" instead of chairman. The phrase "submit his or her resignation" will be replaced with "resign."
But in a news release that day, Grothman argued Democrats want to eliminate the words -- along with son, daughter, brother, sister, uncle, aunt and many more -- entirely.
As in, from everyday life.
Here is where we’d normally say: "Oh, brother."
But now we’re not sure we can. Let’s check it out.
Rules for Congress
Grothman’s claim and framing of the issue falls short of reality.
For starters, he suggests the rule aims to eliminate the words from everyday speech. In truth, they only apply to official House documents -- not statements by House members, let alone anyone else.
In an interview with PolitiFact Wisconsin, Grothman argued that saying "words like mother and father should not be used is absurd."
But in his own news release, Grothman acknowledged the House rule changes are "largely symbolic." That undermines the very rhetoric he used in criticizing them.
The House rules note the change is meant "to ensure we are inclusive of all Members, Delegates, Resident Commissioners and their families -- including those who are nonbinary."
U.S. Rep. James P. McGovern, D-Massachusetts, chairman of the House Rules Committee, said: "It’s mind-blowing that some people have found it controversial to say ‘parents’ instead of listing ‘mother and father.’ Only in Congress would it be a scandal to be succinct."
Of course, that overstates things as well. The criticism from Grothman and others is not because Democrats want to be "succinct." And that’s not why Democrats made the change.
House leaders have said they want to lead by example. As such, they are laying down a marker for how language should be used to reflect society today.
"From my standpoint, the gender-neutral language is just consistent with an effort for the House, in the best tradition of the House, to reflect the gorgeous mosaic of the American people in the most sensitive fashion possible," U.S. Rep. Hakeem Jeffries, D-New York, said in a Jan. 5, 2021, LGBTQ Nation article.
Our ruling
Grothman claimed Democrats want "a world in which you cannot call your parents mom and dad."
Grothman has a small point, in that the new rules are laying down a marker for how Democrats in the House hope people will behave and treat others in general, not just in limited circumstances. Indeed, House leaders touted the fact they were leading by example.
But he dramatically overstates the impact, which he acknowledged in his news release is "largely symbolic." The rules do not apply to every day life, or constrain Grothman or anyone else from referring to their mother and father as, well, Mom and Dad.
And that was the core of his claim.
We rate his claim False.
| National,Congress,Families,Legal Issues,Wisconsin,Glenn Grothman | [128000, 198, 644, 3293, 1667, 11, 10026, 92322, 4221, 706, 1027, 264, 4106, 12726, 4360, 369, 1690, 13, 23150, 11, 4184, 311, 549, 815, 13, 3402, 13, 40208, 18370, 339, 1543, 11, 432, 13299, 285, 19396, 11, 430, 11249, 706, 15753, 5270, 311, 420, 1486, 25, 52050, 30233, 8857, 315, 9053, 617, 16626, 369, 264, 4717, 430, 4696, 6944, 264, 1917, 304, 902, 499, 4250, 1650, 701, 6699, 3450, 323, 18233, 10246, 9642, 13, 2684, 374, 264, 2763, 311, 32165, 1070, 627, 2181, 12302, 449, 264, 502, 5718, 6462, 18306, 4448, 13, 220, 19, 11, 220, 2366, 16, 11, 555, 279, 11650, 41370, 4783, 389, 264, 220, 13460, 12, 11056, 11, 4717, 8614, 7055, 13, 578, 6462, 14861, 1690, 13878, 315, 1268, 279, 25199, 690, 1629, 304, 279, 502, 4751, 627, 791, 6037, 304, 3488, 17208, 11951, 311, 4033, 4783, 9477, 11, 5605, 814, 2011, 1005, 10026, 92322, 4221, 13, 1789, 2937, 11, 9477, 690, 5905, 330, 26534, 1, 4619, 315, 330, 27510, 323, 7126, 5233, 330, 3124, 1, 4619, 315, 330, 942, 1, 477, 330, 60878, 5233, 477, 330, 35296, 1, 4619, 315, 21892, 13, 578, 17571, 330, 6081, 813, 477, 1077, 44734, 1, 690, 387, 12860, 449, 330, 417, 625, 10246, 4071, 304, 264, 3754, 4984, 430, 1938, 11, 18370, 339, 1543, 18784, 12643, 1390, 311, 22472, 279, 4339, 1198, 3235, 449, 4538, 11, 10003, 11, 10868, 11, 13219, 11, 38594, 11, 51166, 323, 1690, 810, 1198, 11622, 13, 52050, 2170, 304, 11, 505, 18254, 2324, 13, 52050, 8586, 374, 1405, 584, 7070, 14614, 2019, 25, 330, 12174, 11, 10868, 1210, 52050, 4071, 1457, 584, 3207, 539, 2771, 584, 649, 13, 6914, 753, 1817, 433, 704, 627, 27099, 369, 8151, 198, 77435, 339, 1543, 753, 3802, 323, 59049, 315, 279, 4360, 17503, 2875, 315, 8903, 627, 2520, 43806, 11, 568, 13533, 279, 6037, 22262, 311, 22472, 279, 4339, 505, 18254, 8982, 13, 763, 8206, 11, 814, 1193, 3881, 311, 4033, 4783, 9477, 1198, 539, 12518, 555, 4783, 3697, 11, 1095, 7636, 5606, 775, 382, 644, 459, 7274, 449, 3735, 12583, 17873, 21073, 11, 18370, 339, 1543, 18784, 430, 5605, 330, 5880, 1093, 6691, 323, 7126, 1288, 539, 387, 1511, 374, 32677, 1210, 52050, 4071, 304, 813, 1866, 3754, 4984, 11, 18370, 339, 1543, 26579, 279, 4783, 6037, 4442, 527, 330, 27995, 989, 36396, 1210, 3011, 96236, 279, 1633, 34731, 568, 1511, 304, 69088, 1124, 13, 52050, 791, 4783, 5718, 5296, 279, 2349, 374, 8967, 330, 998, 6106, 584, 527, 29408, 315, 682, 17384, 11, 1611, 54479, 11, 60776, 97345, 323, 872, 8689, 1198, 2737, 1884, 889, 527, 2536, 26978, 1210, 52050, 52, 815, 13, 3402, 13, 7957, 393, 13, 23778, 6846, 11, 423, 5364, 395, 20652, 11, 21892, 315, 279, 4783, 23694, 10554, 11, 1071, 25, 330, 2181, 753, 4059, 1481, 10516, 287, 430, 1063, 1274, 617, 1766, 433, 20733, 311, 2019, 3451, 26534, 529, 4619, 315, 15182, 3451, 27510, 323, 7126, 14639, 8442, 304, 8151, 1053, 433, 387, 264, 26681, 311, 387, 99732, 1210, 52050, 2173, 3388, 11, 430, 927, 33169, 2574, 439, 1664, 13, 578, 19347, 505, 18370, 339, 1543, 323, 3885, 374, 539, 1606, 12643, 1390, 311, 387, 330, 65541, 7956, 1210, 1628, 430, 753, 539, 3249, 12643, 1903, 279, 2349, 627, 29707, 6164, 617, 1071, 814, 1390, 311, 3063, 555, 3187, 13, 1666, 1778, 11, 814, 527, 35744, 1523, 264, 11381, 369, 1268, 4221, 1288, 387, 1511, 311, 8881, 8396, 3432, 627, 1, 3915, 856, 51882, 11, 279, 10026, 92322, 4221, 374, 1120, 13263, 449, 459, 5149, 369, 279, 4783, 11, 304, 279, 1888, 14135, 315, 279, 4783, 11, 311, 8881, 279, 24415, 71624, 315, 279, 3778, 1274, 304, 279, 1455, 16614, 11401, 3284, 1359, 549, 815, 13, 3402, 13, 473, 731, 336, 12149, 4108, 11, 423, 90837, 4356, 11, 1071, 304, 264, 4448, 13, 220, 20, 11, 220, 2366, 16, 11, 51042, 17671, 4652, 13, 52050, 8140, 17864, 198, 77435, 339, 1543, 11922, 12643, 1390, 330, 64, 1917, 304, 902, 499, 4250, 1650, 701, 6699, 3450, 323, 18233, 1210, 52050, 77435, 339, 1543, 706, 264, 2678, 1486, 11, 304, 430, 279, 502, 5718, 527, 35744, 1523, 264, 11381, 369, 1268, 12643, 304, 279, 4783, 3987, 1274, 690, 36792, 323, 4322, 3885, 304, 4689, 11, 539, 1120, 304, 7347, 13463, 13, 23150, 11, 4783, 6164, 67528, 279, 2144, 814, 1051, 6522, 555, 3187, 13, 52050, 4071, 568, 29057, 927, 33169, 279, 5536, 11, 902, 568, 26579, 304, 813, 3754, 4984, 374, 330, 27995, 989, 36396, 1210, 578, 5718, 656, 539, 3881, 311, 1475, 1938, 2324, 11, 477, 80799, 18370, 339, 1543, 477, 5606, 775, 505, 22797, 311, 872, 6691, 323, 7126, 439, 11, 1664, 11, 22969, 323, 33621, 627, 3112, 430, 574, 279, 6332, 315, 813, 3802, 627, 1687, 4478, 813, 3802, 3641, 627, 4194, 1038] | 590 |
825 | Roy Blunt | 2020-12-03 00:00:00 | a tweet:
|
Says Joe Biden killed a Kelly Loeffler campaign staffer.
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2021-01-25 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/jan/22/jeremy-spike-cohen/no-biden-administration-didnt-label-libertarians-t/ |
No, Biden administration didn’t label Libertarians terrorists
|
Jeremy "Spike" Cohen, the 2020 Libertarian Party vice presidential nominee, has sparked outrage against President Joe Biden on social media with claims that his administration labeled Libertarians terrorists.
"A silver lining to the Biden administration labeling Libertarians terrorists is that the CIA will probably start giving us money and weapons now," Cohen wrote in a Jan. 22 Facebook post.
The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
There is no evidence that the Biden administration has labeled members of the Libertarian Party or people with libertarian views terrorists.
While Biden referred to the rioters who attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6 as "domestic terrorists," he did not single out libertarians in the roughly 20-minute speech he delivered Jan. 7.
In his inaugural address, Biden singled out domestic terrorism and white surpremacy as threats the nation "must confront" and "defeat." He did not mention libertarians in that address or insinuate libertarians were terrorists.
Cohen told PolitiFact that he based his post — which he described as "pretty tongue-in-cheek" — on a statement made by former CIA director John Brennan during an MSNBC interview.
Cohen claimed that Brennan, who served under President Barack Obama, said the new administration would be investigating domestic terrorists — including Libertarians.
In another Facebook post, Cohen referred to the MSNBC video more directly.
"It's been less than 24 hours into the new administration, and the former head of the CIA is already on national TV saying that the Biden administration will move with ‘laser-like focus’ on... libertarians," Cohen wrote.
But the video does not substantiate what Cohen claimed.
Here’s what Brennan said:
"I know looking forward that the members of the Biden team, who have been nominated or have been appointed, are now moving in laser-like fashion to try to uncover as much as they can about what looks very similar to insurgency movements that we’ve seen overseas. Where they germinate in different parts of the country, and they gain strength, and it brings together an unholy alliance, frequently, of religious extremists, authoritarians, fascists, bigots, racists, nativists — even libertarians."
Brennan did not say the Biden administration would target libertarians. Brennan does not hold a position within the Biden administration.
Nick Shapiro, former deputy chief of staff to Brennan at the CIA, told PolitiFact that Brennan's comments in the interview referred to government efforts to find and charge people involved in the attack on the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6. "He said 'even libertarians,' since many self-identified libertarians acknowledged their participation in the disgraceful events of 6 January. He was not referring to the Libertarian Party," Shapiro said.
Cohen told PolitiFact that he did not have any proof that Biden himself had labeled Libertarians terrorists.
Our ruling
Cohen claimed the Biden administration labeled Libertarians "terrorists."
There is no evidence of this. The claim was based on a misinterpretation of a statement made by a former CIA director who holds no official position in the Biden administration.
We rate this claim False.
UPDATED, Jan. 22, 7:26 p.m.: This article was updated to include comment from a spokesperson for Brennan.
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827 | Facebook posts | 2020-12-03 00:00:00 | an |
“The first randomized controlled trial of more than 6,000 individuals to assess the effectiveness of surgical face masks against SARS-CoV-2 infection found masks did not statistically significantly reduce the incidence of infection."
| Madison Czopek | 2021-01-22 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/jan/22/tweets/social-media-users-push-evidence-free-claim-joe-bi/ |
Social media users push evidence-free claim that Joe Biden repeated instructions from earpiece
|
Less than two hours before he was inaugurated, President Joe Biden arrived at the U.S. Capitol with Kamala Harris, his vice president.
News organizations broadcast the scene as Biden, Harris and their spouses emerged from the motorcade, climbed the steps to the Capitol and walked through its doors at about 10:30 a.m.
As Biden passed by a pair of U.S. Marines at the entryway, the wind picked up. Someone shouted a command. And Biden’s voice, through his mask, was picked up on the mics.
It isn’t clear what Biden said. But that moment — a comment made in passing as Biden entered the Capitol — fueled an unsubstantiated online rumor.
The rumor: That Biden was using an earpiece to get through the day.
Social media users sharing a clip of the scene claimed that Biden was told through his headset to salute the Marines on his way inside, as presidents customarily do. They said that he repeated the command out loud instead of actually offering a salute.
"Biden fails to salute the Marines, hears the headset remind him to salute them and says it aloud," read a caption on one YouTube video, which showed a snippet from C-Span’s live coverage of the Inauguration Day events. The caption was later removed.
"Someone in Biden's earpiece told him to salute the marines, and Biden just repeated the words ‘salute the marines,’ because he is so used to just repeating what comes from his earpiece," said a Twitter user who also shared the same clip from C-Span.
Facebook posts sharing similar clips were flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
The White House did not respond to a request for comment.
But the C-Span footage circulating as evidence of a Biden earpiece doesn’t actually prove what social media users claimed it does. There’s no indication from the clip that Biden was wearing an earpiece and taking orders through it. It’s not clear what he said, either.
Journalist Keith Olbermann, Washington Post reporter Dave Weigel and other social media users separately tweeted that they heard Biden say, "Good looking Marines."
"That’s a more reasonable explanation tha(n) ‘Biden had a secret earpiece yesterday, only once accidentally repeated his Deep State instructions, and a random guy noticed it,’" Weigel, who often debunks manipulated media through his Twitter feed, wrote in a second tweet.
PolitiFact reviewed C-Span’s footage and video of the same moment as shown by other other networks, such as PBS NewsHour. We found that Biden’s remarks were difficult to make out because of the wind and poor audio, and because he was wearing a mask.
The burden of proof is on the speaker, however. The videos shared on YouTube and Twitter did not provide conclusive evidence that Biden was following instructions from an earpiece. We saw no credible reports that he was wearing one as he entered the Capitol, either.
On the contrary, the social media claims resemble past conspiracy theories that targeted Biden during his campaign. Those claims alleged, without evidence, that Biden wore a wire or used a medical device to get answers from aides during the presidential debates.
We rate this statement False.
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829 | Viral image | 2020-12-06 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
A majority of Americans have voted for a party that … wants a world in which you cannot call your parents mom and dad."
| D.L. Davis | 2021-01-22 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/25/michigan-democratic-party/john-james-lone-senate-candidate-facing-competitiv/ |
John James is lone Senate candidate facing tight race who is mum on Supreme Court vote
|
The Michigan Democratic Party is criticizing Republican Senate candidate John James for his murky statements on filling the Supreme Court vacancy left by Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s death.
In a campaign statement, James bemoaned partisan feuds over Supreme Court nominations.
"We need to get back to those times where people from both political parties worked together," he wrote in a campaign email. "As your senator I will fairly and honestly evaluate every Supreme Court nominee, regardless of which political party nominates."
But James’ email did not weigh in on the question that’s currently dividing lawmakers and congressional candidates, on mostly partisan lines: whether the Senate should promptly consider and vote on President Donald Trump’s nominee to fill Ginsburg’s seat or wait until after the general election.
In 2016, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell blocked a vote on President Barack Obama’s Supreme Court nominee, arguing that the next president should fill the Supreme Court vacancy left by Antonin Scalia’s death.
Republicans are now planning to move forward to consider and vote on Trump’s nominee under similar circumstances. McConnell says the fact that the White House and the Senate are controlled by the same party justifies this course.
The Michigan Democratic Party says James stands out among Senate candidates in competitive races for not making his preference clear. "James is the only Senate candidate in a battleground state who has refused to take a position," the Michigan Democratic Party claims. Trump has said he'll announce his Supreme Court nominee Saturday.
We looked through the public statements from candidates in a dozen competitive Senate races and found this statement to be accurate. James’ campaign did not respond to a request for comment.
Competitive Senate Races
According to the nonpartisan Cook Political Report which evaluates national elections, there are 12 competitive Senate races: Alabama, Arizona, Colorado, Georgia (where two seats are in play), Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Montana, North Carolina and South Carolina.
The leading Democratic candidates in each of those races have criticized their opponents or the Republican Party for moving forward with a vote on Trump’s Supreme Court nominee before the general election. In South Carolina, Democratic challenger Jaime Harrison hasn’t taken a position on the vote, but assailed his Republican opponent, Senate Judiciary Chairman Lindsey Graham, for reversing his position from 2016.
Georgia Democrat Matt Lieberman has also not taken a position on the vote but is not seen as a competitive candidate in the state's special eleciton, and is facing calls to drop out. Raphael Warnock is the leading Democratic candidate in that contest.
In Michigan, incumbent Democratic Sen. Gary Peters argued on the Senate floor this week that the Senate should wait until after the next president is inaugurated to fill the Supreme Court vacancy. "Jamming this Supreme Court nomination through now will, without question, further divide our country and disregard the fact that the American people are now voting — or soon will be in many states," Peters said.
Among Republicans, Maine Sen. Susan Collins is the only Republican candidate facing a competitive race who favors waiting until after the election to consider filling Ginsburg’s seat.
We found public statements in favor of a vote now from Republican Sens. Martha McSally, Steve Daines, Cory Gardner, Joni Ernst, Thom Tillis, Graham, David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler, and from GOP candidates Roger Marshall, Doug Collins and Tommy Tuberville.
James, meanwhile, criticized Peters for taking a partisan position on Supreme Court nominations and promised to evaluate any Supreme Court nominee in a nonpartisan manner. "It shouldn’t matter which political party is in the White House, and I will have the same standard whether it’s a Republican or Democrat," he wrote in a campaign email. James did not state what that standard will be.
James has not said whether the Supreme Court vacancy should be filled before the general election.
Our ruling
The Michigan Democratic Party claimed that "James is the only Senate candidate in a battleground state who has refused to take a position" on whether the Senate should promptly vote on Trump’s Supreme Court nominee.
Among the competitive Senate races identified by the nonpartisan Cook Political Report, every Republican Senate candidate, except James, has publicly indicated their position on whether to consider Trump’s Supreme Court nominee before the election. Meanwhile, every competitive Democratic candidate has criticized members of the Republican Party for changing their position on considering a Supreme Court nominee in an election year, and all but Harrison have stated their opposition to voting on Trump’s nominee before the election.
We rate this claim Mostly True.
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830 | Viral image | 2021-01-04 00:00:00 | News release:
|
Says the Biden administration labeled Libertarians terrorists.
| Madison Czopek | 2020-09-25 00:00:00 | mostly-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/25/facebook-posts/what-social-media-posts-get-wrong-about-amy-coney-/ |
What social media posts get wrong about Amy Coney Barrett’s religious beliefs
|
A few days before Judge Amy Coney Barrett met with President Trump at the White House, posts on Facebook mischaracterized her religious convictions and claimed she has made racist and homophobic statements.
Barrett, a Catholic conservative judge on the Seventh Circuit Court of Appeal in Chicago, is on the shortlist of names that Trump could nominate for the Supreme Court. The seat opened when Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg died on Sept. 18.
Some claims on Facebook offered false takes on her record.
"Amy Barret said gays have a right to be discriminated against because they are against Gods wishes and won't be allowed. Heaven," one Facebook user wrote, misspelling her last name and omitting punctuation.
"Amy Barret says white people are Gods chosen ones. Minorities must submit to them and that's Gods plan. Obedience," reads another post from the same user.
To be clear: Barrett never said either of these things. These Facebook posts were flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
A review of her judicial opinions, public statements and academic writing hasn’t produced any quotes along these lines. Barrett clerked for late Justice Antonin Scalia before joining the faculty of Notre Dame Law School, where she taught for 15 years. Trump nominated her to the appellate court in 2017.
Barrett has a limited judicial record compared with other Supreme Court nominees that Trump is reportedly considering. Timothy R. Johnson, a professor of political science and law at the University of Minnesota, told PolitiFact that Barrett’s relatively sparse paper trail makes it difficult to predict how she’ll rule if nominated and confirmed to the Supreme Court.
Religious background
Barrett has described herself as a devout Catholic. A liberal group on Instagram warning against her potential nomination pointed out her involvement in a Christian group called People of Praise. The New York Times reported that the group supports gender roles where husbands have authority over their wives.
Democratic senators have pointed to an article she co-wrote early in her career as reason for concern that she would not work with impartiality. The article argued that Catholic judges should have the right to recuse themselves from cases that conflict with their personal beliefs, such as those involving the death penalty.
During her confirmation hearing for the appeals court, Barrett pushed back, saying that she "would never impose my own personal convictions upon the law."
Barrett’s supporters have said the controversy over her religious beliefs is a form of anti-Catholic bias, pointing out that other members of the court are Catholics.
What LGBTQ and abortion rights organizations say
Barrett never said that "gays have a right to be discriminated against."
But LGBTQ rights and abortion rights organizations have criticized her past appointment. In 2017, the Lambda Legal Defense and Education Fund, a civil rights organization that focuses on LGBTQ communities, penned an open letter to U.S. senators opposing Barrett’s appointment to the Seventh Circuit Court of Appeals.
Lambda Legal took issue with a letter that Barrett had signed that defined marriage as the "indissoluble commitment between a man and a woman," and a talk that she gave at the Alliance Defending Freedom, a legal organization that opposes LGBTQ rights.
Supporters of abortion rights are concerned about Barrett’s abortion views.
In a 2013 interview, Barrett said that she believes that life begins at conception. In an article, she wrote that the Catholic Church’s views on prohibiting abortion are "absolute" because they "take away innocent life." She has ruled against abortion rights in the two abortion cases that she has heard on the bench.
Finally, the post claims Barrett has white supremacist views. We found no evidence of that in a review of Barret’s record.
Our ruling
Facebook posts claim that Barrett said that "gays have a right to be discriminated against because they are against Gods wishes" and that "white people are Gods chosen ones."
Barrett has never said anything along these lines.
We rate these posts False.
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831 | Glenn Grothman | 2021-01-22 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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National Guard members turned their backs on Biden’s motorcade on Inauguration Day.
| Samantha Putterman | 2020-09-25 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/25/susan-collins/maine-gop-sen-susan-collins-lobs-false-defund-poli/ |
Maine GOP Sen. Susan Collins lobs false ‘defund police’ attack on Sara Gideon
|
Some top Republicans who have alleged that top Democrats want to defund the police have fared poorly on our Truth-O-Meter.
We rated False President Donald Trump’s claim that Joe Biden wanted to defund the police. And an attack by U.S. Sen. Martha McSally, R-Ariz., against her Democratic challenger, Mark Kelly, caught Pants on Fire.
Now comes a more targeted attack in another pivotal Nov. 3 race, the Senate contest in Maine pitting Republican Sen. Susan Collins against Democrat Sara Gideon.
Collins alleges in an ad that Gideon "voted to defund" the police in the Maine town of Freeport "and gave the money to a nonprofit she helped run."
Both parts of this defund claim fail, too:
Collins cherry-picked a Gideon vote for consolidating Freeport’s police dispatch services with a neighboring town’s, resulting in savings to Freeport.
Gideon didn’t give money to the nonprofit for which she served as a board member. Unrelated to the dispatch issue, she joined in a town council vote to forgive part of a loan to the nonprofit.
A tossup race
Collins has been a senator since 1997. Gideon has served in Maine’s state House since 2013 and as its speaker since 2016. She served as a Freeport Town Council member from 2009 to 2013.
Many news accounts say the race is one that could determine whether Republicans keep a majority in the Senate, where they now control 53 seats.
The Cook Political Report has rated the race a tossup. It is one of 18 pivotal House and Senate contests up for election on Nov. 3 that PolitiFact is tracking.
What is "defunding the police"?
Police departments generally allocate most of their budgets to salaries, and what’s left over is used for equipment, training and community-oriented programs.
In the movement to defund police, some activists want to eliminate police departments entirely, while others want to reexamine the functions of police departments and redirect some of their funding to other community services. But the Collins ad misused the term "defund" to describe a budget move that’s not related to that movement at all.
A vote to save money on policing isn’t necessarily defunding the police. Gideon has stated — at a debate, in a clip used by the ad itself — that, like Biden, she does not support defunding the police.
Police funding
Gideon was part of a 5-2 majority on the Freeport Town Council that voted in May 2010 to fully consolidate police dispatch services with another town, Brunswick, saving an estimated $73,750 in Freeport’s 2011 budget.
Brunswick was already handling the dispatch for Freeport’s 911 calls; the 2010 vote added non-emergency dispatch. The vote didn’t change the number of police officers on the streets.
Gideon’s campaign cited minutes showing Gideon voted for annual town budgets that raised police funding. The 2013 town budget provided $192,000 more in police funding — totaling the general police, special enforcement and police dispatch accounts — than the 2010 budget, which was in place when she took office. The point being: Freeport police budgets increased — not decreased — while Gideon was a member of the town council.
The nonprofit
To back the second part of the claim in the ad, Collins’ campaign charges that Gideon, "after taking funding from the police department," voted four months later to provide about $70,000 in aid to Freeport Community Services, a nonprofit for which she was a board member.
Gideon helped with projects but was not involved in the day-to-day operations, which were managed by an executive director, a Gideon campaign spokeswoman said.
Gideon, who noted at the meeting that she was on the board, joined with the majority of the town council in September 2010 in a 4-0 vote, with one abstention. The vote was to forgive part of a loan that had been given to Freeport Community Services. The meeting minutes indicate that in approving the vote, the town would forgive $65,000 in debt if the nonprofit raised $65,000.
The aid to the nonprofit was unrelated to the discussion of police budgets.
Our ruling
Sen. Collins says in an ad that Gideon "voted to defund" the police in Freeport, Maine, "and gave the money to a nonprofit she helped run."
Gideon voted to consolidate Freeport dispatch services with another town, saving money. But she actually voted for higher police budgets as a town council member. So the Collins ad misuses the term "defund" to describe moves that are unrelated to the "defund police" movement.
The claim that Gideon gave the money to a nonprofit she helped run is even more spurious. Her vote to aid a nonprofit she served on the board of involved a forgiven loan and was unrelated to the police. The proposal passed the council 4-0.
We rate Collins’ statement False.
This fact check is available at IFCN’s 2020 US Elections FactChat #Chatbot on WhatsApp. Click here for more.
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835 | Facebook posts | 2020-09-24 00:00:00 | an email:
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Says Judge Amy Coney Barrett said that “gays have a right to be discriminated against because they are against God’s wishes” and that “white people are God’s chosen ones.”
| Noah Y. Kim | 2020-12-07 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/dec/07/donald-trump/do-states-verify-citizenship-voters-federal-electi/ |
Do states verify citizenship of voters in federal elections?
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One of President Donald Trump’s many recent complaints about the U.S. election system is that states are lax in securing their voter rolls.
"Most Americans would also be shocked to learn that no state in the country verifies United States citizenship as a condition for voting in federal elections," Trump said in his 46-minute speech overflowing with falsehoods about voter fraud. "This is a national disgrace."
Trump has made false statements about noncitizen voters since his 2016 campaign, relying on faulty evidence. He’s revived the talking point in the weeks since the Nov. 3 election, which he lost to Democratic President-elect Joe Biden.
In this case, he has a point that the federal form that registers someone to vote doesn’t require documentation to show proof of citizenship. But Trump left out the efforts by many states to cross-check their records with available data to avoid this problem.
Lofty penalties for lying
People who wish to register to vote must attest under penalty of perjury that they are citizens and eligible to vote, according to federal law.
Both the federal registration form and state versions warn that making false statements is a crime and that noncitizens should not fill out the form.
The consequences for noncitizens registering or voting include deportation, incarceration or fines. Noncitizens risk that a government official will check their voting record during a background check if they apply for naturalization.
"So anyone who’s not a citizen, and lies, is setting themselves up not only for future prosecution, but tanking their ability to become a citizen some day," said Loyola Law School professor Justin Levitt.
In an Arizona voting case, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled in 2013 that states are obligated to permit registration for federal elections using the federal form, which does not require documentary proof of citizenship. States may have their own form, but they must be willing to accept the federal form. Trump’s spokesperson didn’t respond to our request for evidence, but he specified "federal elections" in his statement.
Databases and driver’s licenses: How states limit noncitizen voting
It’s not apparent from Trump’s claim, but many states have tried various means of confirming the citizenship status of voters. These methods have not been foolproof and have led to some errors and legal fights.
Some states have permission to use a federal resource of data, called the Systematic Alien Verification for Entitlements, or SAVE, for the purposes of verifying that voter registration applicants are citizens. Implemented in 1987 and administered by U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services, SAVE was originally intended to verify eligibility for government benefits, such as Medicaid. SAVE , is not a database of people who are U.S. citizens, but it will show a person’s immigration or citizenship status.
Arizona and Colorado election officials told us that they use SAVE. Florida tried, but it did not go well.
Florida election officials briefly used SAVE in 2012 as part of a voter purge effort, but it wrongly flagged many voters including a Brooklyn-born World War II veteran. The state scrapped the effort.
Some states look at driver’s license records to see whether any noncitizens also registered to vote. But driver’s license records can be outdated and may not reflect if a noncitizen later became a naturalized citizen. That’s part of why an effort in Texas to find noncitizen voters fell apart in 2019.
Wendy Underhill, an election expert at the National Conference of State Legislatures, said that in some states, driver’s license records are better for verifying citizenship than they’ve ever been. Some state driver’s license systems are set up to ask a person if they want to register to vote only after they have shown a birth certificate or naturalization paper that proves citizenship.
We contacted election officials in a few states to ask what steps they take to verify that voters are citizens.
In Colorado, election officials review the entire voter registration database to see if anyone is registered who showed a non-U.S. credential to receive a driver’s license. The state uses the SAVE database as needed.
In Georgia, applications for voter registration are compared with data from the state Department of Driver Services and the Social Security Administration.
In cases where the information does not match or an applicant is flagged as a noncitizen, the application is moved to pending status, and the applicant is notified as to how to resolve it, said Joe Sorenson, a spokesperson for Gwinnett County, outside Atlanta. The steps include a list of acceptable documents for proof of citizenship that can be submitted immediately or when they vote. They are not moved to the voter rolls until they can prove citizenship.
States with laws on the books, but not in practice
Four states have laws on the books that require additional proof of citizenship to register at the time of application, but only Arizona’s is actually in effect, said Dale Ho, director of the voting rights project at the ACLU.
In Arizona, applicants using the state registration form must provide proof of citizenship to be a "full ballot" voter to cast votes in local, state and federal races. That proof can be a state-issued ID such as a driver’s license, as long as they obtained it while they were citizens, or other forms such as naturalization documents, birth certificate or passport. If the applicant provides a driver’s license number, election officials will verify their citizenship using state motor vehicle records.
If applicants attest that they are citizens but provide no proof and the state can’t verify their citizenship, those applicants can vote in federal races only. About 25,000 of the state’s 4.2 million voters are "federal only" voters.
Kansas, Alabama and Georgia also have laws requiring documentary proof, but none is in effect, Ho said. Kansas’ law was struck down in federal court in April; Alabama and Georgia never enforced their laws.
A spokesperson for the Kansas secretary of state told us that they don’t independently verify proof of citizenship.
Our ruling
Trump said, "No state in the country verifies United States citizenship as a condition for voting in federal elections."
The kernel of truth here is that the federal form to register to vote doesn’t require documentation to prove citizenship. But applicants who use that federal form, or register using state forms, must attest to being citizens. Voter registration forms warn applicants that signing the form with false information is a crime. There have been scattered cases of non-citizens who cast ballots, but among millions of votes cast they are statistically rare.
Some states told us that they access federal or state databases to verify citizenship of voters. Such methods have sometimes erroneously flagged citizen voters. While they are not foolproof, they do contradict Trump’s claim that no states verify U.S. citizenship for federal elections.
We rate this statement Mostly False.
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836 | Michigan Democratic Party | 2020-09-22 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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Says Sara Gideon "voted to defund" the Freeport police "and gave the money to a nonprofit she helped run."
| Tom Kertscher | 2020-12-07 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/dec/07/duey-stroebel/wisconsin-sen-stroebel-misfires-claim-cdc-admits-o/ |
Wisconsin Sen. Stroebel misfires with claim CDC admits old ‘science’ was wrong on COVID quarantine
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The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention announced a change in guidance on coronavirus quarantines earlier this week, which could ease the strain on people who are exposed to the virus but need to get back to work or other responsibilities.
In the updated guidance, released Dec. 2, the CDC said an exposed person who lives in a community with adequate testing can quarantine seven days instead of 14 provided they test negative for the virus at some point in the last two days of their quarantine.
Quarantine could end after 10 days without a test if the person watches for symptoms of the virus and has none, the guidance adds. The person is expected to continue symptom-monitoring and wearing a mask for the full two-week stretch.
It sounds like good news, but state Sen. Duey Stroebel, R-Cedarburg, didn’t seem to take it that way.
"CDC admits old ‘science’ was wrong, says new ‘science’ is only a 7-day quarantine after close contact followed by no symptoms and negative test, 10-day quarantine w/o testing and no symptoms," Stroebel tweeted Dec. 3, along with a link to the new information.
But it’s actually the senator who is wrong. Here’s why.
What spurred the change in guidance?
The move came as the CDC acknowledged that a 14-day quarantine is tough on some Americans, particularly those who need to get back to work in-person. Experts say a shorter quarantine may make people more likely to comply with staying home and more willing to work with public health employees to identify their close contacts so transmission can be cut off.
It also hones in on the period in which a person would be most capable of passing the virus on if they’d become infected. John Brooks, chief medical officer for the CDC’s coronavirus response, said people who quit quarantine after seven days carry just about a 5% risk of still passing the virus on, and those who stop after 10 days bear just 1% risk.
So the agency isn’t saying their previous guidance was wrong. In fact, their recommendation to quarantine for 14 days if it’s possible is still in effect. The new guidance simply provides two alternatives for people who are unable to wait.
"Any option to shorten quarantine risks being less effective than the currently recommended 14-day quarantine," the guidance states.
Why is guidance changing?
Like others who have sought to downplay the seriousness of the virus, Stroebel is undermining scientific evidence by criticizing a change in what experts are saying.
While it certainly would have saved lives if we knew everything about COVID-19 as soon as it emerged, that’s just not how science works.
The world had never seen SARS-CoV-2 before early last year, so there’s a lot to learn about it. That means guidelines will change to keep us safest in accordance with what we’re learning.
Some examples:
Scientists determined early-on that masks help keep you from giving the virus to others. In November, the CDC released a bulletin saying for the first time that they may protect the wearer, too. This change is expected — it signals research progress being made.
In July, the World Health Organization announced that the virus may linger in the air in indoor spaces, a form of transmission it had previously called doubtful. Again, new scientific evidence helped bring this revelation to light.
Inside hospitals, health care workers discovered that proning, a technique where patients lay on their stomachs to promote better lung expansion, can sometimes alleviate the need to put a patient on a ventilator, which was initially thought to be one of the most critical tools for a seriously ill coronavirus patient. Once again, this was a product of learning more about the virus.
This is how scientific research works all over the world. The Ebola virus, for example, was discovered in 1976, and scientists and public health officials were still studying and making changes to their approach when an outbreak arose in West Africa nearly 40 years later. It is extremely likely, if not inevitable, that we’ll still be learning about the novel coronavirus four decades from now, too.
In response to an email asking for backup to the senator’s claim, policy director Brian Sikma said Stroebel believes public health recommendations should continue to be revised as more research and data add to our understanding of the virus.
"Because science never stops questioning itself, public health officials and policymakers should be transparent in their recommendations and avoid broad, absolute statements when actual knowledge is still evolving," Sikma wrote.
That reflects an acknowledgement of the scientific process that Stroebel’s claim did not. But it also provides no evidence of his claim.
Our rating
Stroebel claimed the CDC admitted it was wrong about its previous recommendation that people who were exposed to the virus should quarantine for 14 days.
But they adjusted the guidance because scientists learned more about its contagious period, and because they wanted to make it easier for people to stay home. A 14-day quarantine is still their recommended route, if people can make it work.
The CDC guidance remains in place, so it wasn’t "wrong," and there was no admission.
We rate Stroebel’s claim False.
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837 | Facebook posts | 2020-09-14 00:00:00 | an ad:
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“Coroner saying George Floyd died of drug overdose, not police brutality.”
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-12-07 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/dec/06/jb-pritzker/yes-conservatives-did-share-false-post-about-pritz/ |
Yes, conservatives did share false post about Pritzker’s daughter
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While explaining why his family would not be together celebrating Thanksgiving this year, Democratic Gov. J.B. Pritzker blasted online accusations that his daughter broke COVID-19 protocols at a restaurant gathering.
"A parody Twitter account posted a picture of a group of individuals eating outside a Chicago restaurant, supposedly breaking the COVID rules the city put in place," Pritzker said at a Nov. 17 press conference. "And the person posting the photo claimed one of the people in it was my daughter."
"My office put out a statement making clear this wasn’t my daughter," Pritzker said. "But that didn’t stop Republican elected officials, a network of propaganda publications in the state and some radio shock jocks from telling people that the picture was of my daughter, despite knowing that this was a lie."
Pritzker said his teenage daughter, Teddi, was in Florida with his wife, and would "remain there indefinitely" because she had started receiving "hateful and threatening messages."
Teddi is not identifiable among the group of 14 diners in the published photo. So we decided to find out where the misinformation came from and who had shared it. What we learned shows the governor was correct about how the rumors spread.
The photo was originally shared on Twitter by an account called @deuxmoiworld, according to a thread written by Pritzker’s chief of staff, Anne Caprara. That account links to a website that describes it as a purveyor of "rumors and conjecture." By the time we checked it, the image was deleted and the account’s operator had apologized for sharing it.
But the image was already being spread on other Twitter accounts, Caprara documented in her thread, including one that described itself as "a parody account."
Then a website with connections to conservative political operatives called Chicago City Wire picked it up, publishing a post based solely on the parody account’s tweet. That account’s tweets are now private. The story does not say which person in the photo is purportedly Pritzker’s daughter nor what date the photo was taken, though servers in the background are wearing masks.
Chicago City Wire is produced by Local Government Information Services, a company run by conservative radio talk show host Dan Proft, state records show.
In October, Proft was featured in a New York Times investigation into a nationwide string of local sites that purport to be news sites, but are instead vehicles for stories ordered up by GOP groups and corporate PR firms. In 2015, Proft teamed up with another controversial internet entrepreneur, Brian Timpone, to start a chain of such publications in Illinois.
Proft and Timpone did not respond to requests for comment.
Following complaints to the Illinois Board of Elections about political funding behind the Illinois sites, the Times reported, a disclaimer on their "About" pages now says they are funded, "in part, by advocacy groups who share our beliefs in limited government." That disclaimer now appears on Chicago City Wire.
We confirmed with Pritzker’s office these were the websites he was referring to as "propaganda publications."
Propaganda includes "ideas, facts, or allegations spread deliberately to further one's cause or to damage an opposing cause," according to Merriam-Webster. While there’s room for disagreement about the perimeters of the term, Pritzker’s use of it to describe these sites is reasonable in light of the New York Times’ findings.
Pritzker’s spokeswoman also pointed to Proft’s radio show, Chicago’s Morning Answer to explain his reference to "radio shock jocks" sharing the story.
On the Nov. 13 episode of the show, a listener called in to ask co-host Amy Jacobson and a guest host if they would confront the governor about City Wire’s story.
Jacobson dismissed that suggestion, but still gave credence to the claim that Teddi was pictured, saying, "I’m glad that she’s out socializing outside, I’m glad that she’s living and not existing."
When reached by phone, Jacobson declined to comment for this fact-check.
Several state Republican lawmakers also chose to share the post, backing up the most serious portion of Pritzker’s claim.
"Like I’ve been saying from the beginning, this is how you handle a lockdown!" Rep. Darren Bailey of Xenia wrote in a Facebook post sharing the City Wire story. Bailey’s post has since been shared by more than 700 of his followers.
Rep. Grant Wehrli of Naperville also retweeted a post from a Twitter user who shared the story. That user has since apologized for spreading false information and deleted her original tweet.
Neither Bailey nor Wehrli responded to email inquiries or calls to their district offices asking why they believed the post was credible.
Our ruling
Pritzker said "Republican elected officials, a network of propaganda publications in the state and some radio shock jocks" were spreading "a lie" about his daughter dining outside at a restaurant with a large group of people during the COVID-19 pandemic.
The false claim Pritzker is referring to is based on a photograph of 14 individuals gathered around a table, none of which are identifiable as his daughter. It was spread by gossip and parody accounts on Twitter before being picked up by a website operated by a company that accepts money from partisan groups and is run by a conservative talk show radio host whose co-host later repeated the claim on-air. While definitions of "propaganda" may vary, Pritzker’s use of the term here is reasonable given the context. Two GOP state lawmakers also shared the post on social media.
We rate Pritzker’s claim True.
TRUE — The statement is accurate and there’s nothing significant missing.
Click here for more on the six PolitiFact ratings and how we select facts to check.
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838 | Susan Collins | 2020-08-27 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
“In the last 10 years less than half of adults in the U.S. received a flu shot.”
| Madlin Mekelburg | 2020-12-06 00:00:00 | true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/14/nancy-mace/kamala-harris-open-letting-boston-bomber-vote-didn/ |
Kamala Harris is open to letting Boston bomber vote, but didn’t advocate for it
|
Joe Biden’s choice of Kamala Harris as his vice presidential running mate drew an attack the same day from Republican Nancy Mace, who is running for a congressional seat in South Carolina.
Mace’s Aug. 11 tweet made a half dozen claims about Harris, a Democratic senator from California. One referred to the surviving bomber in the 2013 bombing at the Boston Marathon, who killed three people and wounded more than 260 others.
Harris "advocated for restoring voting rights for the Boston bomber," Mace claimed.
During her own campaign for the presidential nomination, she said she is open to the idea, but she didn’t advocate for it.
A tossup race; the bomber
Mace, a state representative since 2018, describes herself as a single mom, businesswoman and former Waffle House waitress. The first woman to graduate from The Citadel military college in South Carolina, she is challenging first-term Democratic Rep. Joe Cunningham in the Nov. 3 election.
As of Aug. 7, the Cook Political Report rated the race a tossup.
On July 31, a federal appeals court threw out the death penalty for Dzhokhar Tsarnaev, who had been convicted for his role in the marathon bombing, leaving in place a life sentence. His lawyers argued that the mastermind of the attack was his older brother, Tamerlan Tsarnaev, who was killed in a gunfight with police a few days after the April 15, 2013 bombing.
Harris worked as a prosecutor in Alameda County (Oakland) and in San Francisco, then was elected San Francisco district attorney in 2003 and 2007. In 2010, she was elected California attorney general, then was re-elected in 2014.
Harris open to letting the bomber vote
A series of CNN town halls on April 22, 2019, with candidates running for the Democratic presidential nomination for president included sessions with U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., and Harris.
Sanders said that he believes all prisoners — including "terrible people" like the Boston Marathon bomber — should be allowed to vote.
That prompted an exchange between Harris and host Don Lemon, who asked Harris what she thought of the idea.
Harris: "I agree that the right to vote is one of the very important components of citizenship and it is something that people should not be stripped of needlessly, which is why I have been long an advocate of making sure that the formerly incarcerated are not denied a right to vote, which is the case in so many states in our country, in some states permanently deprived of the right to vote.
"And these are policies that go back to Jim Crow. These are policies that go back to the heart of policies that have been about disenfranchisement, policies that continue until today, and we need to take it seriously."
Lemon: "But people who are convicted, in prison, like the Boston Marathon bomber, on death row, people who are convicted of sexual assault — they should be able to vote?"
Harris: "I think we should have that conversation."
Harris elaborates
On the campaign trail the next day, a reporter asked Harris to expand on her remarks about the Boston bomber, saying: "What is your view on felons voting from prison?"
In comments that her then-press secretary highlighted on Twitter, Harris replied by saying she would make a decision after giving the issue more thought:
"Listen, it’s a complex issue, and I take it very seriously. Look, I’m running for president of the United States; I'm going to be very thoughtful and serious about the issues I weigh in on. And so I'm going to think about it, and I'm going to talk to experts, and I'm going to make a decision, and I'll let you know. I will tell you this: One, it's a complex issue, I'm fully aware of that. Two, we right now have got a lot of work to do with the people in our country who have served their time and have been prohibited from voting.
"Currently in our country there are 6 million people who have served their time and are still prohibited from voting, and that has been an area of focus for me for quite some time, and we have got to address that immediately. And so that is one of my first areas of focusing concern.
"But, do I think people who commit murder, or people who are terrorists, should be deprived of their rights? Yeah, I do. I'm a prosecutor, I believe there have to be serious consequences for the most extreme types of crimes."
Our ruling
Mace claimed that Harris "advocated for restoring voting rights for the Boston bomber."
Harris has not said that she would advocate for giving the surviving Boston marathon bomber the right to vote, only that she is open to a conversation about it. She emphasized that people who had served their sentences and been released should be able to vote.
Mace’s statement contains an element of truth but ignores critical facts that would give a different impression. That meets our definition of Mostly False.
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839 | Bloggers | 2020-09-19 00:00:00 | a tweet:
|
Photo shows Kelly Loeffler’s house.
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-11-20 00:00:00 | pants-fire | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/14/mandela-barnes/barnes-misses-claim-linking-cut-polling-places-rac/ |
Barnes misses with claim linking cut in polling places with 'racist disenfranchisement'
|
The political mudslinging surrounding who is responsible for Wisconsin’s chaotic spring election is not quite over.
In an Aug. 10, 2020, op-ed in The Progressive, Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes a Democrat, blamed the Republican-led state Legislature for exacerbating racial inequalities in the state and described efforts to disenfranchise Black voters — "from gerrymandering our districts to making the simple task of voting unnecessarily arduous."
He then said: "We have one of the most restrictive voter ID laws in the country, and we saw a new kind of racist disenfranchisement play out during our catastrophic April 7 election, when there were only five polling places in Milwaukee, instead of the usual 180."
Was GOP-backed "racist disenfranchisement" behind the decision to have only five polling places open in Milwaukee during the spring election?
Let’s take a look.
The background
Barnes isn’t the first person to point fingers in the wake of the tumultuous spring election.
The Republican Party of Wisconsin in early July accused Democrats of closing down voting locations in some of Wisconsin's largest cities — including Milwaukee — during the election "to cause chaos."
We rated that claim False, noting the decision to consolidate polling places largely came down to poll worker shortages. There also wasn’t evidence to suggest Democrats would benefit from the chaos or from discouraging votes.
The Democratic Party of Wisconsin later claimed Republicans pushed for longer lines and limited voting time amid the pandemic.
We rated that claim Mostly False, noting the statement ignored GOP calls for early voting. Republicans did push for in-person voting during the election, but it was a stretch to say they "pushed" for long polling lines. What’s more, the number of open polling places was a local decision.
The claim
When asked to back up the claim, Chet Agni, a spokesperson for Barnes’ campaign, said Barnes’ claim was not that racist disenfranchisement caused only five polling places to be open but rather that disenfranchisement was "an effect of only five polling places being open."
But that’s not the way it was presented.
In the opinion piece, the claim included a litany of criticisms of actions by the Republican-controlled Legislature, such as gerrymandering and voter ID laws and then immediately called the limited polling places "a new kind of racist disenfranchisement."
So, let’s start with some of the basics on the election.
In his opinion piece, Barnes included a link to an April 9, 2020 Milwaukee Journal Sentinel article that examined the reason for the limited number of polling sites in Milwaukee.
In it, Neil Albrecht, then-executive director of the Milwaukee Election Commission, attributed the small number of polling locations in the city to a shortage of poll workers who expressed concerns about safety at the polls.
In the end, Gov. Tony Evers allowed National Guard troops to assist at the polls, but Milwaukee officials said that decision came too late for them to adjust and open more locations.
Kenneth Mayer, a political science professor at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, told PolitiFact Wisconsin voting policies in Wisconsin over the past decade — when Republicans have generally controlled state government — have had "a disproportionate impact on communities of color, as well as other vulnerable voting groups."
But Mayer added he does "not see evidence that the (election officials) had the goal of disenfranchising Black voters" when reducing the number of Milwaukee polling places from 180 to five.
He said the consolidation of polling places made it more difficult for all voters in Milwaukee to get to the polls and noted polling place movement and consolidation is "frequently a strategy used to make voting more difficult for minority voters."
A complex issue
The issue, though, is a complex one.
GOP lawmakers fought efforts to delay the April election and took a move by Evers to do so to the state Supreme Court, which ruled the election must be held as planned.
And Republicans fought an effort to extend the deadline to return a mailed-in absentee ballot beyond the day of the election. A U.S. Supreme Court ruling the day before the election held that no ballots postmarked after election day should be counted.
Yet, the number of polling sites were reduced throughout the city -- not just in neighborhoods with more Black voters. And reducing the number of polling places was a local decision by Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett, a Democrat, and city election officials — not by Republicans.
In the end, all of that undermines the idea that racial disenfranchisement was the purpose of the dramatically reduced number of polling places.
But what about Barnes’ contention that racial disenfranchisement was the result?
His aide, Agni, pointed to a June 24, 2020 study from the Brennan Center for Justice, a left-leaning public policy institute, that found the consolidation of polling places in Milwaukee during the April election reduced turnout among Black voters by 10.2% compared to past elections. Turnout among non-Black voters decreased by around 8.5% due to the consolidation, according to the study.
Agni also cited an analysis of election data from researchers at two advocacy groups, All Voting Is Local and Demos, that found average voter turnout in Black and Hispanic wards was 30 percentage points lower than the average voter turnout in white wards.
We did our own analysis of Spring election data for Milwaukee and found more than 53 percent fewer ballots were cast in majority-Black wards in 2020 than 2016. Roughly 37 percent fewer ballots were cast in majority-white wards in 2020 than in 2016.
It was difficult to determine how many of these were cast absentee, and — as such — would not be determined by the number of in-person polling locations.
Meanwhile, there may be other factors at play as well, such as the fact the 2016 primary included competitive contests on the Republican and Democratic sides, while that was not the case in 2020.
Our rating
Barnes claimed that GOP-backed "racist disenfrachisement" led to only five polling places being open in Milwaukee for April 7 election.
While closing polling places did appear to have a disproportionate impact on Black voters, the context of the claim suggests the goal of closing polling places was racial disenfranchisement. While Republican maneuvering contributed to the chaos and uncertainty around the election, decisions on polling places were made in Milwaukee, not Madison.
We rate this claim Mostly False.
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840 | Michael Burgess | 2020-12-06 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
“No state in the country verifies United States citizenship as a condition for voting in federal elections.”
| Amy Sherman | 2020-08-14 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/14/mike-pence/has-pennsylvania-added-thousands-manufacturing-job/ |
Has Pennsylvania added thousands of manufacturing jobs since Trump took office?
|
The day before he toured a chemical company in southwestern Pennsylvania, Vice President Mike Pence touted the jobs growth that had taken place across the state since President Donald Trump took office.
As a candidate, Trump vowed to revive manufacturing, and a July 29 email from the Office of the Vice President says:
"The Trump administration’s pro-growth policies added over 209,000 jobs, including 16,000 new manufacturing jobs, to Pennsylvania the last three years."
We wondered whether the Trump administration had created as many jobs as it claimed.
Data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics shows slow, steady growth in jobs across Pennsylvania since January 2017 when Trump took office. But the growth hasn’t been as robust as Pence made it seem.
A spokesperson for Pence confirmed his office was talking referring to BLS data in its email.
There were 6,105,806 jobs in Pennsylvania the month Trump was inaugurated, the data show, compared to 6,249,391 jobs in February of 2020 — just before the coronavirus pandemic sent the economy into a tailspin. That’s an increase of roughly 145,000 jobs, or just over 2%.
But those gains have evaporated — and then some.
The number of jobs recorded in June — the most recent month for when data was available when Pence’s office made the statement — shows a net loss of almost 600,000 since Trump took office.
Pre-pandemic, jobs within Pennsylvania’s manufacturing sector grew at a similar rate, climbing from 561,000 positions in January 2017 to roughly 577,000 by February, an increase of 16,000 jobs — just like Pence said.
But 20,000 of those manufacturing jobs have disappeared since the virus started to spread. That means overall, manufacturing jobs in Pennsylvania are down almost 4% since Trump took office.
The pandemic has stifled the economy so thoroughly that it’s no surprise that Pence wants to focus on Trump’s record before the crisis began.
Earlier this year, when The Inquirer analyzed the health of Pennsylvania’s manufacturing sector, that record looked far weaker than it does today. BLS data at the time showed that after an early surge under Trump, Pennsylvania shed 7,400 manufacturing jobs from October 2018 through the end of 2019.
How could the data tell such a different story then compared to now?
It’s because the BLS routinely updates its jobs data as companies report new information on their work forces, and one type of annual update, known as "benchmarking," can cause significant shifts in data at the state and job sector level.
In this case, the latest data shows that Pennsylvania only lost 1,000 manufacturing jobs between October 2018 and December 2019. The BLS did not respond to questions about what specifically caused the swing.
Our ruling
Pence said the Trump administration "added over 209,000 jobs, including 16,000 new manufacturing jobs" in Pennsylvania.
It’s true that the number of jobs in Pennsylvania grew between Trump’s inauguration and February of this year. We can’t say who deserves credit for that growth. Regardless, Pence is talking about jobs figures prior to the pandemic. He doesn’t just get to stop the clock in February because it provides a more favorable picture. Using the most recent data, Pennsylvania has 600,000 fewer jobs than when Trump took office; manufacturing jobs are down as well.
Pence could have clarified his timeframe to provide a more realistic assessment. But he didn’t.
We rate his claim False.
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841 | Viral image | 2020-12-02 00:00:00 | a speech:
|
“CDC admits old ‘science’ was wrong” on COVID-19 quarantine guidance.
| Madeline Heim | 2020-08-14 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/13/national-republican-senatorial-committee/attack-ad-right-about-cunninghams-2001-budget-vote/ |
Attack ad right about Cunningham's 2001 budget vote
|
A new ad from the National Republican Senatorial Committee attacks the voting record of North Carolina’s Democratic Senate candidate.
Incumbent Republican Thom Tillis hopes to fend off a challenge from Democrat Cal Cunningham, a former state legislator.
The new NRSC ad references Cunningham’s time at the legislature in Raleigh.
"Cunningham voted for over $1 billion in new taxes," the narrator says, adding that the higher taxes were applied to "sales, healthcare, alcohol and more."
In an email to PolitiFact, the NRSC cited several news stories from 2001.
A budget shortfall
That year, North Carolina’s legislature and Gov. Mike Easley approved a state budget that raised taxes and fees to generate $1 billion over two years, according to clips from the Charlotte Observer and News & Observer.
At the time, North Carolina was the only state to raise personal income tax rates, a budget analyst for the National Conference of State Legislatures told the News & Observer for a Sept. 22, 2001 article.
The budget included a half-cent sales tax increase, bumping the rate from 4% to 4.5%. It also raised the tax on telecommunications services from 4.5% to 6%, and applied a 6% sales tax on liquor. It also included a half-percentage-point increase in income tax on the wealthy for tax years 2001 and 2003, the N&O reported.
Cunningham has defended the vote, saying it helped North Carolina preserve its financial standing during uncertain times. Campaign spokesman Aaron Simpson said Cunningham’s efforts helped save jobs.
"In the face of an $800 million budget shortfall, Cal voted to increase teacher pay, establish pre-K, and reduce class sizes, while also helping families by providing a larger tax credit per child," Simpson said.
In an Aug. 10 interview with WLOS, Cunningham said "I think that was the right budget for North Carolina."
We asked local think tanks what they thought of the 2001 budget decisions. As you might expect, the liberal North Carolina Justice Center and the conservative Civitas Institute offered different views.
Brian Balfour, executive vice president at Civitas, agreed that North Carolina’s credit rating "likely would have been threatened" if lawmakers hadn’t balanced the budget.
"The consequence of a credit downgrade would mean that it would be more expensive for the state to borrow money. The effect would be higher debt service payments, meaning that budget writers would either have to find places to cut spending or raise revenue to account for the higher debt payments," Balfour said.
Civitas would prefer lawmakers cut spending.
Old news clips provided by the Justice Center show they believed lawmakers were wise to raise taxes to generate funding instead of using "one-time fixes" like draining the state’s rainy day fund. The Justice Center also estimated that most taxpayers, on average, would face state and local tax increases of less than 2.25% of their incomes.
But both the Justice Center and Civitas agreed that the budget included what they referred to as "regressive" taxes, meaning they disproportionately hurt the lower class. They listed the statewide half-cent sales tax as an example.
Balfour estimated that the sales tax cost North Carolinians $645 million over the biennium -- $246.3 million in the first year and $398.7 million in the second.
"Compare this to the new tax bracket imposed on married filers above $200k, which was estimated to collect $228.4 million over the biennium," he said.
Our ruling
The NRSC ad says "Cunningham voted for over $1 billion in new taxes."
Cunningham did support a state budget that raised taxes and fees to generate $1 billion in new revenues. Cunningham has defended the move, saying it was necessary at the time to preserve North Carolina’s financial standing.
The statement is accurate. We rate it True.
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842 | Donald Trump | 2020-12-03 00:00:00 | Twitter:
|
“Republican elected officials, a network of propaganda publications in the state and some radio shock jocks” were spreading “a lie” about his daughter breaking COVID-19 restrictions.
| Kiannah Sepeda-Miller | 2020-08-14 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/13/facebook-posts/no-receiving-multiple-ballot-applications-doesnt-l/ |
No, receiving multiple ballot applications doesn’t let you vote more than once
|
A common misconception going around social media is that people who receive multiple mail ballot applications can, in turn, vote multiple times, and no one would know.
It’s the kind of situation floated by opponents of voting by mail to warn of possible abuse.
A Facebook page called "Just the Facts" shared an image that shows five envelopes marked as Official Election Mail from the Fayette County Clerk & Recorder’s Office, which is in Illinois. The caption says the applications were sent to five different people at one address. The post claims that the Illinois couple who received them could easily use the applications to get multiple ballots and cast multiple votes.
The post reads: "A husband and wife received 5 ‘vote by mail’ ballots request. They were unsolicited. All this couple has to do is fill them out, and mail them in. They will be sent 5 ballots. Two people will be able to cast 5 votes with no one the wiser."
This is wrong. Election officials are required to conduct a verification process on ballot applications that makes it highly unlikely that such a scheme would work. It’s also illegal, and anyone who tried to do this would be guilty of a felony, and likely get caught.
The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
RELATED: Trump draws false distinction between absentee ballots, voting by mail
Vote-by-mail ballot applications, like the ones in the photo, come from the county clerk and are specific to the voter to whom they are addressed. Voters must sign and return the application to receive a ballot. But before election officials can mail out a ballot to a voter, they check that the signature on the ballot application matches the signature on record.
"In this case, if a voter were to sign applications other than his own, he would be committing voter fraud," Matt Dietrich, a spokesperson for the Illinois State Board of Elections, told PolitiFact. "That’s a felony, and an easy one to catch since these applications are intended for the specific voters to whom they are addressed."
An Illinois special election law signed by Gov. J.B. Pritzker in June requires local election authorities to send a vote-by-mail application to any registered voter who participated in the 2018 general, 2019 consolidated or 2020 primary election, by Aug. 1.
The law requires that the applications be mailed "to the elector's registered address and any other mailing address the election authority may have on file, including a mailing address to which a prior vote-by-mail ballot was mailed."
"So it’s likely that some voters may be sent more than one application," Dietrich said. "However, they will only receive one ballot no matter how many applications they return. Applications and ballots are mailed and tracked by a voter’s unique voter ID number. Once a voter’s application is received, any subsequent applications will be rejected."
Jessica Barker, the clerk for Fayette County, told PolitiFact the post is wrong. She said the county clerks of Illinois were required under the law to mail applications to eligible registered voters, and that it’s the voters’ responsibility to keep their information current with local election officials.
The application-then-ballot process is common for mail-in voting, but not universal. In May, California Gov. Gavin Newsom, a Democrat, ordered all counties to proactively send out mail-in ballots to all registered voters, citing health concerns amid COVID-19. Vermont, Nevada and Montana have passed similar measures.
But states have put safeguards in place to deter voter fraud and ensure each ballot is tallied correctly.
In California, for example, when election officials receive a vote-by-mail ballot, the voter's signature on the return envelope is compared with the voter's registration card to ensure they match. The ballot is also separated from the envelope before it's tallied to ensure anonymity.
Election experts across the country have said that fraudulent mail-in voting is exceedingly rare.
For example, the Brennan Center for Justice, a nonpartisan law and public policy institute, found that Oregon – a state that votes primarily by mail – has sent out more than 100 million mail-in ballots since 2000, but has documented only about a dozen cases of proven fraud.
Our ruling
A Facebook post says an Illinois couple received five vote-by-mail applications and will be able use them to receive multiple ballots and cast multiple votes.
This is inaccurate. Anyone who attempts to do this is committing fraud, and before election officials mail out a ballot to a voter, the signature on the application must match the signature on record. Each voter has a unique voter ID number that’s tied to a single ballot, so once a voter’s application is received, any subsequent applications will be rejected.
We rate this False.
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843 | Duey Stroebel | 2020-11-17 00:00:00 | remarks at a news conference:
|
Says George Patton said, “Politicians are the lowest form of life on earth. Liberal Democrats are the lower form of politicians.”
| Eric Litke | 2020-08-13 00:00:00 | true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/nov/13/ben-wikler/democrats-jump-gun-claim-absentee-ballot-rejection/ |
Wisconsin Democrats jump the gun with claim that absentee ballot rejections are down
|
As Democrats celebrate the unofficial victory of President-elect Joe Biden in the Nov. 3 presidential election, claims of subterfuge, trickery and outright fraud involving absentee ballots continue to rain down.
Thus far, there has been no evidence of widespread fraud presented, but Wisconsin lawmakers plan to issue their first subpoenas in years as part of an investigation into the election here.
Ben Wikler, Chairman of the Democratic Party of Wisconsin, rejected the fraud allegations in a Nov. 8 appearance on WISN-TV’s UpFront program. But he added another detail that caught our eye.
"Across the state the rejection rate for ballots went way down because so much work and so much care was taken both by voters themselves and clerks around the state," Wikler said.
Is his claim that the rejection rate for ballots is down correct? Let’s take a look.
The claim
When asked to back up the claim, Courtney Beyer, spokeswoman for the Wisconsin Democratic Party of Wisconsin, cited a Oct. 28, 2020, Milwaukee Journal Sentinel article that reported 23,196 absentee ballots were rejected in the April 2020 election, about 1.8% of total ballots. Democrats believe there are signs it would be much lower for the November election.
"At least 23,000 ballots were rejected in April," Beyer said in an email. "We don’t know exactly how many absentee ballots were rejected from this election (and won’t for a while), but preliminary counts had it around 1,000. Significantly less."
Beyer also cited a Nov. 3 tweet from WisPolitics.com journalist Pat Poblete, who said "Administrator Meagan Wolfe says as of this afternoon, 970 absentee ballots have been returned with a deficiency that would lead to them being rejected."
But Wikler’s claim was made while discussing the Nov. 3 election. Viewers would have had no reason to believe he was referencing data from the April primary. So let’s review what we know about absentee rejection Nov. 3.
No data yet for Nov. 3 election
Elections Commission public information officer Reid Magney said the jury is still out on the absentee rejection count.
"We believe the numbers will be low, but we won’t know the rejection rate for several weeks," he said. "Clerks have 45 days (after the election) to enter that data into the statewide voter database."
Magney said the 970 absentee ballots referenced as flagged "was a preliminary, pre-election figure - ballots marked for rejection if the voters didn't fix problems." In other words, it doesn’t give any general insight on how often ballots were rejected overall.
However, there is an indication that the number of rejected absentee ballots could drop. The Oct. 28 Milwaukee Journal Sentinel article points out that in April 2016, 5,860 absentee ballots were rejected — 2.5% of the total absentee ballots.
And in April 2020, 23,196 absentee ballots were rejected. It’s a much higher raw number, but because so many more people used absentee ballots it was actually a smaller portion of total ballots — 1.8%.
Our ruling
Wikler said, "Across the state the rejection rate for ballots went way down."
According to the Wisconsin Elections Commission, it’s too early to know how many ballots were rejected.
It may very well be true that the absentee ballot rejection rate was lower than past elections, but for now, the commission says there is no data to confirm that. By looking at the 2016 rejected ballot rate compared with the improved April 2020 rate, there is a possibility the rejection will also be down for November 2020, but there is no data yet to confirm that.
Even Democrats subsequently acknowledged, "We don’t know exactly how many absentee ballots were rejected from this election (and won’t for a while)."
For a statement that contains an element of truth but ignores critical facts that would give a different impression, our rating is Mostly False.
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844 | JB Pritzker | 2018-11-04 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
"A day AFTER the election, Biden receives a dump of 143,379 votes at 3:42AM (in Wisconsin), when they learned he was losing badly. This is unbelievable!"
| Tom Kertscher | 2020-08-13 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/nov/12/donald-trump/trumps-wrong-claim-election-observers-were-barred-/ |
Trump’s wrong claim that election observers were barred in Pennsylvania, Michigan
|
President Donald Trump wrongly claimed that Republican election observers have been barred from watching ballot counts in Pennsylvania and Michigan, repeating a falsehood that has been contradicted by his own campaign lawyers in court hearings and lawsuits.
"Nobody wants to report that Pennsylvania and Michigan didn’t allow our Poll Watchers and/or Vote Observers to Watch or Observe," Trump wrote in a Nov. 11 tweet tagged as "disputed" by Twitter. "This is responsible for hundreds of thousands of votes that should not be allowed to count. Therefore, I easily win both states."
Nobody wants to report that Pennsylvania and Michigan didn’t allow our Poll Watchers and/or Vote Observers to Watch or Observe. This is responsible for hundreds of thousands of votes that should not be allowed to count. Therefore, I easily win both states. Report the News!— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 12, 2020
Election observers representing the Republican Party and the Trump campaign have been allowed to observe the ballot-counting process alongside Democratic observers in both Pennsylvania and Michigan, despite the president’s repeated claims to the contrary.
A Trump campaign attorney conceded in court that the campaign had a "non-zero number" of election observers in Philadelphia. Another federal lawsuit the campaign filed in Michigan includes hundreds of pages of affidavits from people who served as election observers.
There also remains no evidence of widespread voter fraud that would invalidate "hundreds of thousands of votes" in those states. Independent decision desks for multiple news organizations have called the election for President-elect Joe Biden, who leads Trump by about 52,000 votes in Pennsylvania and 146,000 in Michigan, according to Decision Desk HQ.
"President Trump’s claims about lack of observers have been tested and continue to be tested in court," said Rick Hasen, a professor of law at the University of California, Irvine. "Importantly, there has been no proof of illegal votes in the election, and no pathway to go from complaints about inadequate access to overturning the results of the election."
PolitiFact has debunked false claims that GOP observers were denied access in Philadelphia and Detroit. Other fact-checkers who have looked at those cities and their surrounding states have also documented that observers were allowed. Litigation continues in both states as Trump refuses to concede defeat.
The Trump campaign did not respond to a request for comment.
Pennsylvania
Trump’s focus in Pennsylvania has been on Philadelphia, where a Nov. 5 judge’s order allowed election observers from both parties to view the ballot-counting process from 6 feet away.
Philadelphia appealed the order, arguing that the original arrangement let all observers "see the entire set up" in detail. The city said it has complied in the meantime by providing closer access to the observers, who were previously kept farther away due to the coronavirus.
Republican observers were never blocked from observing entirely, despite Trump’s claim. Under questioning from a federal judge in court, a Trump campaign attorney conceded that the campaign had several representatives monitoring the ballot counting.
"At all times, the city commissioners, who are a bipartisan organization, have followed the law," said Kevin Feeley, a spokesperson for the city commissioners. Feeley told PolitiFact Nov. 6 that he was "staring at" observers representing both parties in the city’s convention center.
Ellen Lyon, a spokesperson for the Pennsylvania Department of State, said Pennsylvania more broadly has "had a free, fair and secure election" with "the highest degree of transparency," including livestreams of the process in Philadelphia and other counties.
"In all counties, all parties have canvass observers throughout the process," Lyon said, pointing to the commonwealth’s guidelines for observers. "Any insinuation otherwise is a lie."
Election observers watch as election workers process ballots at the Allegheny County elections returns warehouse in Pittsburgh on Nov. 6, 2020. (AP)
"Any laws around poll watchers apply equally to both major parties and any third parties," added Suzanne Almeida, interim executive director of Common Cause Pennsylvania.
Michigan
Trump’s tweet is also inaccurate as it relates to Michigan.
"Absentee ballot counting (in Detroit) was observed by hundreds of Republicans and Democrats," the Michigan Department of State said in a Nov. 12 tweet.
Some confusion over the access afforded to election observers in Detroit can be traced to a chaotic event on Nov. 4., when the convention hall used for canvassing reached the state’s legal limit for election observers and officials had to stop additional observers from entering.
Michigan allows election observers called challengers appointed by political parties and interest groups, as well as poll watchers, to observe the election process.
Over 100 Republican challengers remained inside throughout the counting, PolitiFact reported.
A Republican election observer watches over election inspectors as they examine a ballot on Nov. 4, 2020, at the central counting board in Detroit. (AP)
Niraj Warikoo, a reporter with the Detroit Free Press, tweeted that Trump’s claim was a "brazen lie." He said he spent three days in the convention hall and saw many Republican observers.
Tracy Wimmer, a spokesperson for the Michigan Department of State, said she knew of no locations in Michigan that denied access to Republican observers. There is no evidence that would suggest "hundreds of thousands of votes" should be invalidated, she said.
"This is an utterly false and irresponsible claim by Trump," said Samuel Bagenstos, a professor of law at the University of Michigan. "Republican challengers were permitted everywhere in Michigan."
As part of a recent lawsuit filed in Michigan, the Trump campaign presented hundreds of pages of affidavits from election observers alleging voting irregularities and fraud. The Washington Post reviewed them and reported that they made allegations about ballot-counting procedures that have been debunked and complaints that did not reveal wrongdoing. In one affidavit, for example, an observer said military ballots that were cast for Biden "stuck out to me."
"The allegations that there was any fraud, much less fraud that could in any conceivable way call into question Biden's nearly 150,000-vote margin, are really laughable when you look into them," Bagenstos said. "There’s no there there."
According to Business Insider, more than a dozen of the affidavits featured complaints about the required 6 feet of space observers had to keep as a coronavirus precaution. Wimmer said the rules in Michigan apply to all observers regardless of party affiliation.
Our ruling
Trump claimed that "Pennsylvania and Michigan didn’t allow our poll watchers and/or vote observers to watch or observe."
That’s inaccurate. Republican election observers have been allowed to observe the canvassing of ballots in both Pennsylvania and Michigan, including in Philadelphia and Detroit, two of the cities heavily targeted by the Trump campaign’s litigation efforts. Even Trump campaign attorneys have acknowledged having observers present in court hearings and legal filings.
We rate this claim Pants on Fire!
This fact check is available at IFCN’s 2020 US Elections FactChat #Chatbot on WhatsApp. Click here, for more.
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845 | Viral image | 2020-11-18 00:00:00 | a tweet:
|
Says Kamala Harris “advocated for restoring voting rights for the Boston bomber.”
| Lawrence Andrea | 2020-08-13 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/nov/12/donald-trump/trumps-tweet-about-27-million-deleted-votes-basele/ |
Trump’s tweet about 2.7 million deleted votes is baseless
|
Since Joe Biden was elected to be the next U.S. president, President Donald Trump has falsely claimed that voter fraud affected the outcome of the race. Now, Trump says millions of votes cast for him were deleted.
In a Nov. 12 tweet, Trump blamed Dominion Voting Systems, a company that makes voting machines. As evidence, he cited a report from One America News Network, a pro-Trump television network.
"Dominion deleted 2.7 million Trump votes nationwide," the president said in his tweet, quoting the OANN report. "Data analysis finds 221,000 Pennsylvania votes switched from President Trump to Biden. 941,000 Trump votes deleted. States using Dominion Voting Systems switched 435,000 votes from Trump to Biden."
Since Election Day, Trump has refused to concede the presidential race to Biden and doubled down on unproven allegations of fraud. Rudy Giuliani, Trump’s personal lawyer, has also fanned unproven allegations that Dominion changed votes for the president.
Trump’s tweet about millions of deleted votes doesn’t stand up to scrutiny, either.
(Screenshot from Twitter)
The report Trump cited in his tweet aired on OANN on Nov. 12. The network cited an "unaudited analysis of data obtained from Edison Research." We reached out to OANN for a copy of that analysis, but we haven’t heard back.
Edison Research is a company that contracts with the National Election Pool, a consortium of American news organizations, to provide exit polling data during election cycles. Edison Research also partners with several TV networks to provide vote tabulation data.
The company said it has not found data that back up OANN’s report or Trump’s tweet.
"Edison Research has produced no such report, and we have no evidence of any voter fraud," said Larry Rosin, president of Edison Research.
The "unaudited analysis" that OANN cited appears to stem from a thread on TheDonald.win, a pro-Trump website that has been a source of false information about COVID-19 and conspiracy theories about child sex trafficking. It was created in 2019 after Reddit banned a similar community from its platform.
The user whose work inspired the thread, and whose account was five days old on Nov. 12, claimed to find irregularities in votes tabulated by Dominion machines. There is no evidence to back that up.
"I am not aware of any credible evidence involving technology from Dominion Voting Systems that indicates that it has resulted in incorrect tabulations — and certainly not on the scale that the president has just stated," said Edward Perez, an election technology expert at the OSET Institute, a nonprofit that studies voting infrastructure.
Why the focus on Dominion? The company has become the subject of online disinformation that seeks to tie it to Democrats or blame it for clerical errors in the ballot-counting process.
Twenty-eight states used Dominion’s voting technology for voting this year, according to a company webpage that addresses online rumors. Minor reporting problems in two of those states — Georgia and Michigan — have been misconstrued as evidence of fraud.
In Antrim County, Mich., a clerk’s error led to an incorrect early tally that made it appear as if Biden was winning the state by about 3,000 votes. The voting equipment and software "did not malfunction, and all ballots were properly tabulated," according to the Michigan secretary of state’s office.
"The software did not cause a misallocation of votes; it was a result of user human error," the office wrote. "Even when human error occurs, it is caught during county canvasses."
In Georgia, early morning voting on Election Day was halted temporarily in Morgan and Spalding counties when Dominion machines were involved in a problem involving electronic poll books made by a subcontractor. Technicians resolved the issue, and Trump easily carried both counties.
RELATED: Trump supporters falsely tie Nancy Pelosi to broader election misfire scheme
"No credible reports or evidence of any software issues exist," Dominion says on its website. "While no election is without isolated issues, Dominion Voting Systems are reliably and accurately counting ballots. State and local election authorities have publicly confirmed the integrity of the process."
On its website, the U.S. Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency says bad actors would not be able to change vote counts undetected even if they tried.
"The systems and processes used by election officials to tabulate votes and certify official results are protected by various safeguards that help ensure the accuracy of election results," the agency says. "These safeguards include measures that help ensure tabulation systems function as intended, protect against malicious software, and enable the identification and correction of any irregularities."
We reached out to the White House and the Trump campaign for a comment, but we haven’t heard back.
Our ruling
Trump said in a tweet that a voting technology company deleted millions of votes that were cast for him during the presidential election.
That claim is not based in fact.
The president’s tweet traces back to an unsubstantiated claim on a pro-Trump website that cited Edison Research. But Edison Research told us they have found no evidence of voter fraud. Dominion, state election officials and federal officials say there’s no evidence that millions of votes were miscounted.
Trump’s claim is inaccurate and ridiculous. We rate it Pants on Fire!
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847 | Mandela Barnes | 2020-08-10 00:00:00 | a public forum:
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The Trump administration “added over 209,000 jobs, including 16,000 new manufacturing jobs, to Pennsylvania over the last three years.
| Paul Specht | 2020-11-12 00:00:00 | pants-fire | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/nov/11/donald-trump/president-trump-shares-misleading-video-falsely-ca/ |
President Trump Shares Misleading Video, Falsely Calls Into Question Ballot Collection In California
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President Donald Trump tweeted a misleading and previously fact-checked video on Wednesday, falsely calling into question ballot collection in Los Angeles.
The clip shows Los Angeles County election workers legally collecting ballots from an authorized drop box on Nov. 4, the day after Election Day, which county election officials said was standard procedure. They noted all drop boxes were closed and locked at 8 p.m. on Election night.
PolitiFact last week debunked a headline attached to the same video, which went viral on TikTok. The headline said the clip showed evidence of election "cheating," in California.
When Trump shared the video today, he suggested there was wrongdoing by adding: "You are looking at BALLOTS! Is this what our Country has come to?"
Here’s PolitiFact’s analysis from its recent fact check. We’ll offer a rating on Trump’s sharing of the video at the end.
A TikTok video on Nov. 4, the day after Election Day, suggested there was "cheating" for Joe Biden in California because some ballots weren’t collected until he had already been declared the winner in that state over President Donald Trump on Election Night.
The viral video was headlined: "This video was just taken (11/04) by a friend in California. The cheating is unreal!!!"
California did collect ballots on Nov. 4. But it was standard procedure, not any sign of cheating, to collect and then process ballots from drop boxes on that day.
Notably, California accepts mail-in ballots up to 17 days after Election Day, as long as they are postmarked by Nov. 3.
The Video
As shared on TikTok, the minute-long video shows two men loading hundreds of paper items from a box into satchels. The box is on a sidewalk on what appears to be a residential street. It’s not apparent where or when the video was recorded.
The woman then asks the men if they are "official election guys," and one of them shows her a badge clipped to his shirt. What’s on the badge is not visible. There’s a sign on the box they’re collecting from, but what it says is not visible, either.
Official Responses
The day after the posting, the office of the Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder/County Clerk responded to a posting of the video on Twitter, saying:
"All Drop Boxes were closed and locked at 8 p.m. on Election Night and ballots were collected the following day. These are valid ballots that will be processed and counted during the post-election canvass — like all outstanding vote-by-mail ballots."
A spokeswoman for the California Secretary of State told PolitiFact the video showed ballot collection in Reseda.
The Associated Press and other media called California for Biden just after California polls closed Nov. 3. The AP said it declared Biden the winner of California as soon as polls closed in the state "after results from AP VoteCast and an analysis of early voting statistics confirmed expectations that the state’s longstanding political trend in favor of Democratic presidential candidates will hold."
As of the morning of Nov. 6, Biden had more than 8.24 million votes in California — 65.1% of the vote — to Trump’s 4.17 million, according to the Secretary of State. As of Nov. 11, Biden’s total had grown to 10.27 million and Trump’s to 5.36 million.
Our Ruling
A poster on TikTok claiming, "The cheating is unreal," shared a video widely circulated on social media that appeared to show California ballots being collected the day after the election, after the state was called for Biden.
In fact, it’s standard procedure in California to collect and process ballots from drop boxes after Election Day. A county official said the boxes were locked at 8 p.m. on election night. The video did not depict any cheating.
PolitiFact rated that claim False last week.
President Trump shared the same debunked video this week, suggesting it was evidence of election fraud in California.
We rated that claim False.
FALSE – The statement is not accurate.
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849 | National Republican Senatorial Committee | 2020-07-17 00:00:00 | an ad:
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An Illinois couple who received five vote-by-mail applications can vote five times.
| Jon Greenberg | 2020-11-12 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/12/state-democratic-party-wisconsin/yes-high-percentage-wisconsin-renters-are-risk-evi/ |
Yes, high percentage of Wisconsin renters are at risk of eviction
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With talks between the White House and Democrats in Congress on a COVID-relief plan at a standstill, President Donald Trump has issued a series of executive orders related to student loans, payroll taxes, unemployment benefits and evictions.
The issue of evictions has been at the forefront in recent months as the pandemic-driven economic crisis has left many people unemployed and struggling to pay bills, particularly for housing. Trump’s move does not extend a ban on evictions. Instead, the order directs the Treasury Department and the Department of Housing and Urban Development to look for ways to prevent evictions.
Even before the Aug. 8, 2020 announcement by Trump, the Democratic Party of Wisconsin was underlining the stakes when it comes to eviction.
"34 percent of Wisconsin renters are at risk of eviction," the party tweeted Aug. 2, 2020.
More than 1-in-three Wisconsin renters at risk of eviction?
Let’s take a look.
The evidence
When asked to provide backup for the claim, Philip Shulman, director of press strategy for the Democratic Party of Wisconsin, pointed PolitiFact Wisconsin to a July 27, 2020 CNBC report headlined "How the eviction crisis is going to look across the U.S."
The CNBC report is based on an analysis released July 22, 2020 from the firm Stout Risius Ross, which found that widespread unemployment has left 40% of renter households nationwide at risk of eviction. In its state-by-state breakdown, Wisconsin fell in the middle, with 34% of households at risk.
Stout is a Chicago-based valuation advisory, investment banking, dispute consulting and management consulting firm. The firm arrived at its percentages by analyzing data from the U.S. Census Bureau’s "Household Pulse" survey, taken from July 9 to July 14 and released July 22, 2020.
(A more recent update showed the at-risk-of-eviction percentage down slightly, but we are rating this based on what was known at the time the claim was made.)
The "Household Pulse" survey is a collaboration of five federal agencies -- including the Bureau of Labor Statistics -- that gathers data on the effect of COVID-19 on American households.
The survey asks people about their own situation, including employment status, spending patterns, food security, housing, physical and mental health, access to health care, and educational disruption.
So, the Democrats are on target with the percentage in the report.
Let’s look at how it is playing out.
Evictions in Wisconsin
There were only 365 eviction filings across Wisconsin in all of May of 2020, according to online court records, due to a two-month ban on evictions by Gov. Tony Evers.
The ban expired May 27.
That was followed by a huge spike in June, which tallied 3,048 evictions. Meanwhile, there was a drop to 2,430 eviction cases in July, according to online court records.
Rachel E. Fox Armstrong, communications manager for Legal Action of Wisconsin, acknowledged the numbers declined a bit in July, but said it’s important to keep in mind the spike in June.
"There are a lot of factors at play when considering why there was a decrease in July, and it would be difficult to determine exactly why it occurred," Armstrong said in an email to PolitiFact Wisconsin. "Some possibilities include rental assistance, people finally receiving stimulus checks that had been delayed, the pandemic unemployment assistance, enhanced unemployment, and people who were delayed in receiving unemployment finally gaining access to it."
Armstrong said that community-based organizations and municipalities, including Dane and Milwaukee counties, have been able to make economic resources available to tenants right around when the state eviction ban ended -- for instance, rental assistance funded by the federal CARES act.
"We suspect that the timing of the availability of those resources may have had a hand in bringing the filing rate down after tenants began to access them," Armstrong said.
Armstrong, warned however, that the decrease in evictions may not be permanent.
"We are anxious over what sort of spike we will see now that the federal moratorium has ended, enhanced unemployment benefits end, and as rental assistance resources begin to dry up," Armstrong said.
Our ruling
The Democratic Party of Wisconsin said "34 percent of Wisconsin renters are at risk of eviction."
A national analysis using U.S. Census Bureau data found that the 34% figure was on target, based on the most recent data available at the time.
Going beyond the survey and looking at actual filings, Wisconsin’s eviction cases showed a massive increase from May to June, but a decrease in July. That adds an asterisk to this claim.
For a statement that is accurate but needs clarification or additional information, our rating is Mostly True.
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850 | Facebook posts | 2020-08-07 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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Says Donald Trump “just promised that if he wins reelection, he’ll gut Social Security and Medicare.”
| Bill McCarthy | 2020-11-11 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/11/facebook-posts/kamala-harris-eligible-be-president/ |
Kamala Harris is eligible to be president
|
On Aug. 11, Joe Biden, the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee, announced his pick for the office of vice president he once held: Sen. Kamala Harris, D-Calif.
"I have the great honor to announce that I’ve picked @KamalaHarris — a fearless fighter for the little guy, and one of the country’s finest public servants — as my running mate," he tweeted.
About a week prior, some social media posts prematurely announced that Biden had tapped Harris for vice president — and declared that she was ineligible to take over the presidency.
"If crazy Joe cannot serve his full term, Kamala cannot by constitutional law become president," the post says. "She is an anchor baby, mother is from India, father is Jamaican, and neither were American citizens at time of her birth."
This post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
Harris’ father and mother were born in Jamaica and India, respectively. But Harris herself is a natural-born citizen and eligible to be president of the United States.
Back when Harris was still a Democratic presidential candidate, we fact-checked a similar claim: that she was ineligible to run for president. That’s wrong.
"If you are born in the U.S., you are automatically a natural-born U.S. citizen under the constitution," Harvard Law professor Einer Elhuage told PolitiFact in 2019.
Harris was born in Oakland, Calif., a spokesperson for her campaign told us that year, "which is, was, and presumably will be, in the United States of America."
Harris is 55 years old, two decades older than the minimum age to become president.
Her father, Donald Harris, was born in Jamaica and immigrated to the United States after he got into the University of California-Berkeley, Kamala Harris wrote in her autobiography, "The Truths We Hold: An American Journey." He is an emeritus economics professor at Stanford University. At the end of a bio on the school’s website, he notes his citizenship status. "Jamaica (by birth); USA (by naturalization)."
Kamala Harris’ mother, Shyamala Harris, was born in Chennai, India, and moved to California after graduating from the University of Delhi to pursue a doctorate in nutrition and endocrinology at Berkeley. She met Donald Harris at the university and the couple married, separating around the time Kamala Harris was five and divorcing a few years later, according to "The Truths We Hold."
Harris lived in California until she was in middle school, when she moved to Montreal after her mother was offered a teaching position at McGill University. She went to college at Howard University in Washington D.C.
The U.S. Constitution says that "no person except a natural born citizen, or a citizen of the United States, at the time of the adoption of this Constitution, shall be eligible for the office of President."
Experts say that Harris meets the definition of "natural born citizen." Other federal laws and legal opinions to know for this fact-check:
• The 14th Amendment, which says that "all persons born or naturalized in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, are citizens of the United States and of the state wherein they reside."
• 8 U.S. Code § 1401, which says people born in the United States are "nationals and citizens."
• The 1898 Supreme Court decision in the Wong Kim Ark case, which ruled that people born on U.S. soil (with a few exceptions that aren’t relevant in Harris’ case) qualify for citizenship under the 14th Amendment.
Sarah Duggin, a Catholic University law professor, told us: "Her birth in the United States, to someone other than a member of a foreign diplomatic corps or otherwise not subject to U.S. jurisdiction, makes her a U.S. citizen. … There is no reason to look at where her parents came from, how long her parents were U.S. residents before she was born, or where she was raised."
Several other fact-checking organizations — AFP and the Associated Press among them — have also looked into these claims and agree that they are inaccurate.
We rate this Facebook post False.
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851 | Kamala Harris | 2020-08-09 00:00:00 | an Instagram post:
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“Pennsylvania and Michigan didn’t allow our poll watchers and/or vote observers to watch or observe.”
| Daniel Funke | 2020-11-11 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/11/joe-biden/joe-biden-said-there-no-game-plan-distribute-coron/ |
Joe Biden said there is no 'game plan' to distribute coronavirus vaccine. Is he right?
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Scientists have expressed cautious optimism that a vaccine will be ready in the spring of 2021 (and President Donald Trump has hinted at an even more aggressive timeline). But that has raised a key question: Does the federal government have a plan to distribute it?
Former Vice President Joe Biden says no.
"If the vaccine came out tomorrow, how in the heck would we get it to people? There is no game plan they have," Biden told associations that represent Black and Hispanic journalists Aug. 6. "How would everybody in America have access to it? It is a gigantic problem to distribute, even if we have it, and that’s what we should be planning for now, not when we get it."
The federal government has not yet released a plan about how it will distribute vaccines. But in the past two weeks, federal officials have spoken about vaccine distribution planning, including the role of the Defense Department. And committees are working on recommendations about how to distribute the vaccine, while the CDC asked a few to join a pilot program to plan for distribution.
"There is no national COVID-19 vaccination distribution plan, yet. So that is true," said Michael Fraser, CEO of the Association of State and Territorial Health Officials.
Most of the experts we spoke with said the government’s efforts have been too slow, and states face too many unknowns to do their part in planning to vaccinate millions of people.
"This is going to be the most challenging, complex mass vaccination program ever attempted," said Dr. Kelly Moore, who works at the Immunization Action Coalition and ran Tennessee's H1N1 vaccination program.
Two committees working on recommendations
It’s not yet known precisely when the vaccine will be available to the public. Six vaccines are in the third phase of testing that involves thousands of patients. Like earlier phases, this one looks at the safety of a vaccine, but it also examines effectiveness and collects more data on side effects.
Results of the third phase will be submitted to the Food and Drug Administration. After the FDA licenses the vaccine, recommendations will be given about who should get the vaccine, and distribution will follow, said Dr. Carol Baker, a pediatrician who is an alternate liaison to a COVID-19 vaccines working group.
Federal health officials have generally predicted that the vaccine will be available in early 2021.
There are two committees working on recommendations for the CDC about vaccine distribution.
The Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices, a long-standing committee at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, formed a COVID-19 vaccines working group in April. The group’s next meeting on Aug. 26 will be publicly live streamed. Recommendations about who should get the vaccine first are expected by the fall.
The committee has wrestled with questions about whether to prioritize groups who have been infected at higher rates, such as Black and Latino people. Another difficult question is defining who is an essential worker.
"There is no right answer there," said Dr. William Schaffner, a professor of preventive medicine at Vanderbilt University, a liaison to the working group. "Grocery store workers vs. long haul truckers vs. people who work to keep the electrical grid up ... you can go on and on. Your priority list is valid, but so is mine."
In July, the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine and the National Academy of Medicine formed a committee to help make a plan for vaccine distribution.
Some experts told us it’s unclear why there are two separate committees working on the same task, while others said the CDC group will be the key group to make recommendations to the CDC.
Defense Department role
One key question has been about Trump’s comments that the military would be involved with logistics of vaccine distribution, a first.
Trump told reporters July 28 that the military is "all mobilized. It’s been fully set up. When we have that vaccine, it will be discharged and taken care of. It’ll be a very rapid process all over the country."
But a McClatchy report the next day cast doubt on Trump’s statements. Two defense officials told McClatchy that the military commands most likely to be involved in a delivery strategy had not been asked to prepare one. A Health and Human Services official told McClatchy that military help may not be required at all, and it would be the exception, not the norm.
A Biden campaign spokesman pointed to the conflicting statements to argue that no distribution plan exists.
Following McClatchy’s article, administration officials held a conference call with reporters about vaccination distribution. (For our fact-check, the White House and other administration officials directed us to the transcript of that press phone call.)
A senior administration official said the Defense Department will handle the logistics of distribution and "kitting," which means the packaging of the vaccine, along with related equipment, including needles, syringes and vials. The CDC will handle tracking of patients following vaccination and communications with state health departments.
An official said that the distribution will be different from the seasonal flu vaccine because the government will actively target vulnerable groups, such as people in nursing homes and frontline health care workers.
State role in planning for vaccine distribution
Another key piece of vaccine distribution planning lies with the states.
The CDC launched a pilot program with North Dakota, Florida, California and Minnesota as well as the city of Philadelphia to work on a vaccination response, according to a letter written by Nancy Messonnier, a CDC official, Aug. 4.
While the letter says that the pilot program will be a model for other states, it doesn’t give states much time to receive and implement the best practices from that pilot program.
The states have until the end of September to develop vaccination plans that will then be reviewed by the CDC and Operation Warp Speed, the federal government’s effort to fasttrack the availability of vaccines. Those plans should include mass vaccination clinics, signing agreements with providers and identifying high-risk communities that will require additional outreach.
"States must be allowed sufficient time to absorb what has been learned in these pilots and customize it to their own specific state and needs," said James Blumenstock, chief program officer for health security at the Association of State and Territorial Health Officials. "Everyone questions if all of that can be done successfully between now and Sept 30."
States can build off of their existing programs to administer childhood vaccines and the seasonal flu shot, and the H1N1 vaccine in 2009. But the delivery of COVID-19 vaccine poses some additional challenges. For example:
H1N1 was a single dose vaccine. The federal government has told states to prepare for a two-dose COVID-19 vaccine that will need to be administered likely three or four weeks later.
While about 90 million people received the H1N1 vaccine, the federal government is planning for 300 million people to receive COVID-19.
Vaccines may have cold storage rules of around minus 80 degrees Celsius, far colder than other vaccines. "We’ve never distributed a vaccine that required that before," Moore said. "We don’t have a cold chain that exists currently that can take that."
States have been directed to write plans for distribution without knowing important details about the vaccines and how much federal money they will receive to help with an unprecedented vaccination effort.
"Vaccination planning efforts are not as far along as they should be if the first COVID-19 vaccines actually do become available for shipping as early as late 2020," Moore said. "Much of this delay has come from confusion at the federal level about who is directing the implementation of the national vaccination program. States cannot make firm plans with their private sector partners until these basic decisions are made at the federal level and until they are told how the federal government intends for vaccines to reach them."
Our ruling
Biden said that "if the vaccine came out tomorrow, how in the heck would we get it to people? There is no game plan."
Biden is correct that there isn’t a detailed vaccine distribution plan written by the federal government at this time. But the vaccine isn’t coming out tomorrow, and a federal plan is in the works.
There are committees working on recommendations for vaccine distribution to include which groups should get the vaccine first. The CDC also asked four states and a city to pilot a program for vaccine distribution. Nationwide, states are expected to submit their own vaccination distribution plans by the end of September to the federal government.
There are a lot of unanswered questions that will affect vaccine distribution. But the planning is happening.
We rate this claim Mostly True.
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852 | Donald Trump | 2020-11-11 00:00:00 | a tweet:
|
Dominion Voting Systems “deleted 2.7 million Trump votes nationwide.”
| Daniel Funke | 2020-11-11 00:00:00 | mostly-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/11/viral-image/no-ruth-bader-ginsburg-didnt-say-she-wanted-lower-/ |
No, Ruth Bader Ginsburg didn’t say she wanted to lower the age of consent
|
Fans of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg may be surprised to learn that, at least according to a post being shared widely on Facebook, she once advocated for lowering the age of consent to tween.
"The age of consent for sexual acts must be lowered to age 12 years old," reads the quote attributed to "Ruth Traitor Ginsburg" in 1977.
This post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
The claim is an old one, raised back in 1993 during Ginsburg’s Supreme Court confirmation hearings before the Senate Judiciary Committee. Susan Hirschmann, executive director of the conservative Eagle Forum, then said that among Ginsburg’s "extremist feminist concepts" was the belief that "the age of consent for sexual acts must be lowered to 12 years old."
Hirschmann cited "Sex Bias in the U.S. Code," a report co-authored by Ginsburg and published by the U.S. Commission on Civil Rights in 1977.
The report mentions "consent" in a few places.
On page 95, the report describes the current law at the time — "it is a crime for a person to have carnal knowledge of a female not his wife who has not reached 16 years of age" — and notes that rape was then defined as anyone "who commits an act of sexual intercourse with a female not his wife, by force or without her consent."
"The ‘statutory rape’ offense is defined in these sections in much the same way," the report says. "The victim must be a female and the offender a male. … These provisions clearly fail to comply with the equal rights principle. They fail to recognize that women of all ages are not the only targets of sexual assault; men and boys can also be victims of rape. In the case of statutory rape, the immaturity and vulnerability of young people of both sexes could be protected through appropriately drawn, sex-neutral proscriptions."
The report goes on to suggest changes to the current law to remove sex bias, such as changing federal law to extend Secret Service protections to "the spouse or surviving spouse of a woman president" instead of just the wife or widow of the president.
Toward the end of page 101, the report suggests changing another law and quotes a proposed Senate bill, which used gender-neutral language to describe the victim of a crime: A person is guilty of an offense if they compelled someone to participate in a sexual act using coercion, drugging them, or if "the other person is, in fact, less than 12 years old."
"This report recommends alteration of pronoun usage throughout the Senate bill… to conform with the proposed sex-neutral terminology format," the report then says.
Bottom line: The words weren’t Ginsburg’s, and they weren’t used to express support for the proposal — the purpose was to demonstrate gender-neutral language.
Still, this section of the report has inspired many false claims and fact-checks over the years. In 2005, Slate published a story about the claim after Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., said Ginsburg "wants the age of consent to be 12."
"Ginsburg and her co-author argue that the law should be rewritten to outlaw sexual abuse of any minor, male or female, by any person who is significantly older, male or female," Slate said.
We rate this post False.
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853 | Donald Trump | 2020-11-12 00:00:00 | a tweet:
|
"The real electoral map" shows Donald Trump leading Joe Biden in electoral votes.
| Chris Nichols | 2020-08-12 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/11/facebook-posts/no-joe-biden-doesnt-own-private-island-near-jeffre/ |
No, Joe Biden doesn’t own a private island near Jeffrey Epstein’s
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There’s no evidence that former Vice President Joe Biden owns a private island near Little St. James, the spot in the U.S. Virgin Islands where the late financier Jeffrey Epstein was accused of running a sex trafficking ring before he died in jail in 2019.
But that hasn’t stopped the spread of images on social media that make this false claim.
The image is the latest in a series of online rumors linking high-profile celebrities, journalists and politicians to Epstein or Ghislaine Maxwell, the woman facing charges for allegedly recruiting victims for Epstein to sexually abuse. "Do you want to know who owns this private island that is next to Epstein’s and has Maxwell’s sub(marine) sitting in it? Joe Biden!" it says.
The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.) Reuters and AFP have already found it to be inaccurate.
Public property records for the U.S. Virgin Islands, a U.S. territory, show no results as of Aug. 11 for Joe Biden. They do show results for Biden’s younger brother James and his wife Sara.
James Biden bought an acre of land with ocean views on nearby Water Island in 2005 and later resold a third of it to a lobbyist, according to a January report from Politico. Google Maps shows Water Island is slightly over 8 miles from Little St. James, which Epstein purchased in 1998.
The Politico report said it was not clear whether Joe Biden was aware of his brother’s dealings related to the Water Island property. The former vice president has vacationed elsewhere on the island at least three times, the report said. But there’s no sign of any ownership by Joe Biden.
There’s no reference to any Caribbean property in Biden’s financial disclosures from 2020 and 2019 or his federal tax returns from 2018, 2017 and 2016, as other fact-checkers have noted. Those forms are available on his campaign website. PolitiFact also found no credible reports of Biden owning a Caribbean island on Google or the Nexis news database.
Biden campaign spokesperson Andrew Bates told AFP that Biden "does not and never has" owned any property in the U.S. Virgin Islands or anywhere else in the Caribbean.
Biden and his wife Jill own two properties in Delaware, where Biden served as a senator for decades. They have their primary residence in Wilmington, and another home in Rehoboth Beach. They also rent a home in McLean, Va., according to the Washington Post.
According to Google Maps, the nearest islands to Epstein’s Little St. James are Great St. James Island, which Epstein also bought in 2016, and Dog Island. As AFP first reported, Google Maps shows no obvious buildings or other signs of habitation on Dog Island.
The Facebook image also says the FBI found "multiple skeletons" in the water around Epstein’s island. PolitiFact previously examined online claims that the bones of children were found on Epstein’s island. We rated those claims False.
Our ruling
A Facebook post says Biden owns a private island next to Epstein’s.
There’s no public evidence that’s the case. The recorder of deeds for the U.S. Virgin Islands, which includes Esptein’s Little St. James, shows no results in its database for Joe Biden.
We rate this post Pants on Fire!
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856 | Facebook posts | 2020-11-07 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
“Biden lead disappears in NV, AZ, GA, PA.”
| Louis Jacobson | 2020-08-11 00:00:00 | pants-fire | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/jan/22/facebook-posts/no-evidence-lawmakers-forced-national-guard-parkin/ |
No evidence lawmakers forced National Guard into parking garage
|
Lawmakers from both parties expressed outrage after the National Guard members summoned to Washington to secure President Joe Biden’s inauguration were ordered to vacate the U.S. Capitol and take rest in nearby parking garages and outdoor areas.
The National Guard members returned to the Capitol hours after they were ordered out, according to Politico.
But as photographs showing the troops sprawled on the floor circulated on social media, so, too, did unsubstantiated rumors about who was responsible for pushing them out.
One Facebook post sought to blame Biden and the Democratic Party.
"It’s absolutely DISGUSTING that the Democrats forced our GREAT troops to sleep on the ground of a PARKING garage after dragging them to DC for photo ops!" the Jan. 21 Facebook post said. "None of the troops even knew why they were there!"
The post and others like it were flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
There are conflicting statements about who requested the relocation, but the National Guard told PolitiFact that congressional members didn’t know about it.
Politico reported that one National Guard unit resting in the Dirksen Senate Office building was abruptly told by Capitol Police to vacate on the night of Jan. 21. The unit ended up in a parking garage that lacked internet reception and had just one electrical outlet and one bathroom with two stalls. This was supposed to accommodate 5,000 troops, the article said.
After offering up his office to the Guard, Sen. Martin Heinrich, D-N.M., tweeted around 10 p.m. that the situation was being resolved. Heinrich said the troops would be able to return to the Capitol complex that night.
But who ordered the Guard members to vacate the Capitol in the first place? That’s where things get tricky.
There are conflicting reports
In a statement to Politico, Capitol Police spokesperson Eva Malecki said the department recently asked that troops’ shifts be reduced from 12 hours to eight. This was meant to allow for additional rest hours away from the Capitol complex.
Politico and other outlets, including the Washington Post, reported Jan. 21 that the National Guard said the instruction to relocate came from the Capitol Police.
But in another statement released the morning of Jan. 22, Acting Capitol Police Chief Yogananda Pittman said that with the exception of specific times on Inauguration Day, Capitol Police "did not instruct the National Guard to vacate the Capitol Building facilities."
"The Department is also working with the Guard to reduce the need for sleeping accommodations by establishing shorter shifts," Pittman said, "and will ensure they have access to the comfortable accommodations they absolutely deserve when the need arises."
PolitiFact reached out to the Capitol Police for more information, but we did not hear back.
The National Guard, however, said lawmakers had no knowledge of the relocations.
"Our understanding is that the unfortunate request for the National Guard to be relocated was made to the Capitol Police by a couple of staffers, without the knowledge of the congressional members," National Guard spokesperson Wayne Hall wrote in an email.
Hall added that many lawmakers, like Heinrich, offered their offices and conference rooms to the troops after they found out about the situation.
The Capitol Police and National Guard released a joint statement Jan. 22 to address the confusion. It didn't clarify who made the initial request, but said the departments are working together to ensure on-duty troops could rest in Capitol facilities, and off-duty in hotels.
"The USCP and the National Guard have coordinated their efforts to ensure that National Guardsmen and women stationed throughout the Capitol Complex are in appropriate spaces within congressional buildings, including the U.S. Capitol, where they may take on-duty breaks. Off-duty troops are being housed in hotel rooms or other comfortable accommodations," it stated.
Some Facebook posts making similar claims specified that it wasn’t just Democrats behind the relocations, but the Senate. But Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., said he also didn’t know about the relocation until after it happened.
"It came to our attention last night that members of the National Guard, after standing on duty to protect the Capitol for Inauguration Day, keeping us safe, were sleeping in parking garages, in cramped quarters, without proper space or ventilation," Schumer said Jan. 22 on the Senate floor. "It was utterly unacceptable. I have told those who run the security of the Capitol that it can never happen again. And I pledge to every National Guard member that it will not happen again."
Schumer added: "The minute I heard about this outrage last night, we made sure it was fixed immediately. Every member of the guard was found proper accommodations inside and as of this morning, everyone was accounted for and taken care of. This morning, I went over to the CDC, and I spoke to a number of Guardsmen personally to make sure they were okay."
If this is true, it's outrageous.I will get to the bottom of this.https://t.co/CNBp055A91— Chuck Schumer (@SenSchumer) January 22, 2021
Drew Hammill, a spokesperson for House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., said Pelosi was also "not involved in or aware of this deeply troubling matter until press reports."
The National Guard was there for protection, not "photo ops"
The Facebook post also provided no evidence to support its claim that the over 26,000 National Guard members tasked with securing Biden’s inauguration were there "for photo ops." There is no indication that Democrats in Congress "dragg(ed) them to DC" for that reason.
The National Guard deployed its troops to Washington following the violent riot in which Trump’s supporters stormed the Capitol and halted congressional proceedings. PolitiFact reported that Capitol Police were outnumbered and overwhelmed during the Jan. 6 siege.
The FBI had warned about the potential for more violence at protests and events surrounding the inauguration. The National Guard said in a statement that no security incidents involving its members ever materialized.
Our ruling
A Facebook post said "Democrats forced our GREAT troops to sleep on the ground of a PARKING garage after dragging them to DC for photo ops!"
Our reporting found no evidence that Democratic lawmakers or members of the Biden administration ordered the relocation of the National Guard members seen sleeping in parking garages. Lawmakers expressed outrage over the situation, and the National Guard told PolitiFact that many offered their personal offices as rest areas for the troops.
The National Guard members were brought to Washington to secure the city on and around Inauguration Day — it was not for a photo op.
We rate this Facebook post False.
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857 | Facebook posts | 2020-11-10 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
If Joe Biden can’t serve his full term, Kamala Harris “cannot by constitutional law become president.”
| Amy Sherman | 2020-08-11 00:00:00 | half-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/jan/22/garlin-gilchrist/why-are-racial-disparities-michigans-covid-19-case/ |
Why are racial disparities in Michigan’s COVID-19 cases and deaths shrinking?
|
Michigan Lt. Gov. Garlin Gilchrist, who chairs the state’s Coronavirus Task Force on Racial Disparities, claimed that steps taken by communities of color, along with state and local efforts, have helped alleviate COVID-19’s disproportionate impact on Black residents.
"I’m proud to report that in the State of Michigan, we were able to really flatten that disparity and make significant progress," he said at an MLK Jr. Day Youth Conference.
Black residents make up 13.7% of Michigan’s population. But in April, they accounted for 42.93% of COVID-19 deaths, according to a Detroit Free Press analysis. That share has steadily decreased, and hit a low of 7.08% in November. Even during the second wave of the pandemic that began in the fall, the case rate among Black residents mostly remained below the rate for white people, according to data from the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services.
Michigan seems to have bucked the national trend, as Black communities across the country continue to experience disproportionately high death rates.
Gilchrist said the shift "is a tribute and a testimony, frankly, to people of color stepping up and doing the right things to keep themselves and their families safe." He also credited local and state efforts to address COVID-19’s toll on communities of color.
It is impossible to know for sure what’s driving the trend. Experts we talked to backed up Gilchrist’s claim, but also pointed to other factors, including the way the pandemic has spread beyond the early hot spots.
Geographical scope changes
The disparities have closed statewide. But Dr. Philip Levy, a professor at the Wayne State University School of Medicine, attributed the shift in part to Detroit. The onset of the pandemic in late March hit southeast Michigan hard, and Detroit — where the population is nearly 80% Black — became a hot spot. But the city is no longer leading the surge in cases and deaths in Michigan.
In early November, cases began raging in western Michigan. And in the late fall and early winter, the Upper Peninsula saw a big increase in COVID-19 cases and deaths.
In the most recent phase, Detroit has stood out for its low infection rate, even compared with the rest of the metro area.
"Despite the rise, Detroit has stayed down," said Levy. "Something must be going on, and the secret sauce, I think, is in the people themselves."
Detroiters were impacted early
Dawn Misra, an epidemiologist at Michigan State University who conducted a mortality review of Michiganders who died from COVID-19, said she suspects that the personal impact of the pandemic on the lives of Detroiters led the city’s residents to take the virus seriously.
"Everyone who lives in Detroit ended up being probably close to someone they knew who died," Misra said.
Levy said Detroiters’ early and personal experiences led them to embrace mask-wearing and social distancing. "I think people really stepped up for their own personal responsibility and really recognized that they had an important role to play in this, and if people didn’t do that more people that they knew were going to die," he said.
Black Michiganders across the state have embraced mask-wearing. A survey conducted by the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services over the summer found that 81% of Black Michiganders reported that they always wear a mask, compared with 69% of the rest of the population.
"They listened to the science," Misra said.
State and local efforts
Misra also credited state and local efforts to reduce racial disparities. For instance, as cases surged in Detroit, the city rolled out rapid testing for first responders, bus drivers and health care workers, becoming the first city in the country to do so. Levy helped launch a mobile testing program in Detroit that deployed vehicles to neighborhoods where cases were rising. These were among many efforts to ramp up testing in the city, said Misra.
In late April, Gov. Gretchen Whitmer established the task force to examine racial disparities during the pandemic. Michigan is only one of a dozen states with such a task force, according to the National Governors’ Association.
The state’s task force set up neighborhood testing sites in at-risk communities, launched media campaigns in urban communities on wearing masks and testing and provided personal protective equipment and food for quarantined individuals.
The virus got worse
But another factor in the narrowing racial disparity is the increase in cases in predominantly white areas in the state.
Jon Zelner, a professor of epidemiology at the University of Michigan, said the worsening pandemic is an "underappreciated factor" in explaining the reduction in racial disparities. "Some of the narrowing of that gap unfortunately kind of comes from an increase in overall case burden," he said.
"When you see white deaths going up, the ratio looks better," he added.
Our ruling
Gilchrist claimed that Michigan has seen significant progress in reducing the racial disparities observed at the outset of the pandemic, particularly the disproportionate impact on Black residents, and credited community, state and local efforts.
Public health experts and officials say Black residents as well as the state and local governments made significant efforts to narrow the disparity. But a surge in cases among white people has also contributed, as the impact of the pandemic spread beyond Detroit into predominantly white areas around the state.
We rate Gilchrist’s claim Mostly True.
Pat Byrne contributed reporting.
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859 | Joe Biden | 2020-08-06 00:00:00 | an |
Says Ruth Bader Ginsburg said, “The age of consent for sexual acts must be lowered to age 12 years old.”
| Bill McCarthy | 2020-08-10 00:00:00 | mostly-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/jan/22/gateway-pundit/who-did-not-admit-pcr-tests-grossly-inflate-positi/ |
WHO did not say PCR tests grossly inflate positive test numbers
|
A conservative news site mischaracterized a message from the World Health Organization, claiming that the United Nations agency owned up to supporting a coronavirus test that resulted in huge numbers of false positives.
"An hour after Joe Biden is sworn in, WHO admits their testing grossly overstates individuals testing positive for COVID," reads the headline of an article published by the Gateway Pundit.
The article links to a tweet by user Andy Swan, which in turn references a Jan. 20 notice that the WHO released to lab technicians.
Did the WHO really make such an admission? No. This article was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
The notice cautions lab technicians that positive results should be interpreted with care and in the context of other information, such as clinical observation and patient history, to reduce the risk of false positives.
The notice — dated Jan. 13 and published on the site Jan. 20, according to the timestamp on it — is written in highly technical language. But five virologists, most of whom work in COVID-19 testing labs, told us that the gist of it was to remind lab technicians to carefully read the user manuals that come with PCR tests, the most widely used diagnostic tests for the coronavirus.
"This is not new information. This is essentially a reminder from the WHO to testing laboratories," said Jonathan Jarry, a science communicator with the McGill University Office for Science and Society. "This notice is not an admission that the PCR test for COVID-19 does not work or is wildly inaccurate."
How the tests work
Coronavirus tests are performed on samples of cells taken with a swab from the back of the throat. The lab isolates the genetic material from those cells and analyzes it for traces of the virus.
PCR tests, considered the most reliable, work by duplicating the genetic material in cycles until traces of the virus become more easily detectable. If there’s a large presence of virus in the sample, fewer cycles would be required to detect it, said Davidson Hamer, a professor of medicine at Boston University.
The number of cycles required to detect the virus in a sample is known as a "cycle threshold." A low cycle threshold implies that a patient has a high risk of spreading the coronavirus to others.
The question for lab technicians is how many times to duplicate a particular sample before determining whether it is positive or negative.
"Once you get up there in cycles, you can start detecting very small concentrations of virus," Hamer said.
As a result, a sample that tests positive after many amplification cycles is more likely to be a false positive than a sample that tests positive after fewer cycles. Nevertheless, Hamer said, false positives with PCR tests, even those with relatively high cycle thresholds, remain rare.
"PCR tests are considered the gold standard of diagnostic tests," said Maureen Ferran, an associate professor of biology at the Rochester Institute of Technology.
Joshua Sharfstein, vice dean at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, cautioned against viewing a low cycle threshold value as a strict indicator of high infectivity, because some samples are less representative of the patient’s overall viral load than others.
"It depends on how good the sample is," he said. The cycle threshold value "will measure the viral load for a particular sample, but not necessarily a patient."
In addition, the amount of cycles required to determine whether a patient is positive varies among different types of PCR tests.
"There are different tests that have different thresholds," said Ben Neuman, a Texas A&M University-Texarkana virologist. "Each lab knows where the thresholds are, and it’s their job to give you the results of your test based on their setup."
That’s why the WHO notice urges lab technicians to view weak positive test results (ones with high cycle thresholds) with caution and to consult the instructions on their PCR machinery before issuing positive or negative test results.
Gateway Pundit did not respond to our request for comment.
Our ruling
A Gateway Pundit article claims that the "WHO admits their testing grossly overstates individuals testing positive for COVID," citing a notice from the organization.
However, the notice cited by the article is a reminder to lab technicians to carefully read the user’s manuals that come with PCR tests to ensure that results are interpreted correctly. It is not an admission that PCR tests don’t work or result in huge numbers of false positives.
This claim is False.
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860 | Viral image | 2020-07-24 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
Says Joe Biden owns a private island next to Jeffrey Epstein’s.
| Jon Greenberg | 2021-01-22 00:00:00 | pants-fire | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/jan/22/facebook-posts/antifacom-now-redirects-white-house-website-anyone/ |
Antifa.com now redirects to White House website, but anyone can forward a URL without permission
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The domain name "antifa.com" caused a flurry in September 2020 when it redirected and took visitors to Joe Biden’s presidential campaign website instead. One day after Biden was sworn in as the 46th president, the domain began pulling up the White House’s official website, whitehouse.gov, causing yet another stir.
"ATTENTION!! Go to Antifa dot com (the correct way) and it takes you to Biden's Whitehouse!!!!" reads a popular post on Facebook. "What is going on?? I know b4 it went to his campaign but to put WH on it! Just a slap in the face."
The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
Here’s what is going on. The way the internet works, any person can buy an available domain name such as antifa.com and set it to redirect to another website, without any involvement from the site it’s being redirected to.
In this case, whoever owns the domain — and the owner remains anonymous — is purposefully redirecting it to the White House site, possibly as a joke, an oblique form of commentary, or to cause mischief or confusion. There’s no evidence that Biden’s campaign or administration had anything to do with it.
The redirect setting for antifa.com had changed several times before, forwarding to joebiden.com, kamalaharris.org, buildbackbetter.org, and a self-described anarchist website, itsgoingdown.org.
We did not hear back from the White House about the current redirect, but Biden’s campaign denied any association with the previous antifa.com redirects.
So whoever owns https://t.co/HgEpqQ9MqZ is redirecting it to our website as a troll. What we do know was that the website was registered with a Russian registrar for a while. Odd!The VP very obviously has/wants nothing to do with fringe groups. Wish Trump could say the same.— Rob Flaherty (@Rob_Flaherty) August 31, 2020
An Aug. 31, 2020, tweet from Rob Flaherty, a Biden campaign official.
Computer experts told us that redirecting a domain name is no different from forwarding a telephone number or mailing address. The person on the receiving end can’t do much to stop it.
"Basically the way things work with domain names is, if you own a domain name, whether you’re the original purchaser or you purchased it from someone else, you can redirect your domain name to anywhere you wanted it to go," Clifford Neuman, director of the University of Southern California’s Center for Computer Systems Security, told PolitiFact in September. "And that doesn’t require permission or any or coordination from the person you are trying to redirect to."
Neuman found that the antifa.com domain was first registered in 2000, and according to Whois, an online domain registry, it was last updated on Jan. 21, 2021. The registrant is listed as WhoisGuard Protected, meaning the domain owner is using a service to remain anonymous.
The post is partially accurate — the domain does redirect to the White House’s website — but in implying that Biden’s White House is involved, it leaves out important details or takes things out of context.
We rate it Half True.
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861 | Facebook posts | 2020-07-20 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
Trump’s plan “would suspend the 7.65% your employer matches. See? You will NOT get that, nor will your wage or salary increase by 7.65%”
| Jon Greenberg | 2021-01-22 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/jan/21/facebook-posts/how-bidens-executive-order-halting-keystone-xl-pip/ |
How Biden’s Keystone XL pipeline executive order affects American jobs
|
President Joe Biden spent his first day in the White House signing a spate of executive orders aimed at undoing the policies of the Trump administration. One of them sparked outrage on Facebook over its effect on American jobs.
On Jan. 20, Biden signed an order that revoked the permit for the construction of the Keystone XL pipeline. In a Facebook post published the same day, one user said the move would cost thousands of jobs.
"By revoking the Keystone pipeline permit, Biden is destroying 11,000 jobs and roughly $2 billion in wages," the post says. "Democrats couldn’t even get through Day 1 without killing jobs for middle class Americans."
The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
We’ve seen several similar posts offer other figures for how many jobs were lost as a result of Biden’s executive order, ranging from 12,000 to 83,000. So we wanted to take a closer look.
(Screenshot from Facebook)
TC Energy Corp., the Canadian company that owns the Keystone XL pipeline with the Alberta government, has said more than 1,000 people are out of work because of Biden’s executive order. The 11,000 and $2 billion figures cited in the Facebook post are estimates published by the company, but most of the jobs would be temporary.
We reached out to the user who published the post for their evidence, but we didn’t hear back.
What Biden’s order does
The Keystone XL pipeline is an international project years in the making. Without support from the U.S. government, it’s effectively halted.
The 875-mile pipeline would carry a heavy crude oil mixture from Western Canada to Steele City, Neb., where it would connect with another leg stretching to Gulf Coast refineries.
Biden’s order revokes the permit that was granted March 29, 2019, by then-President Donald Trump on the grounds that it is harmful to the environment.
While an 11-volume State Department report on the Keystone XL pipeline found in 2014 that it would not significantly contribute to carbon pollution, critics say the project threatens Alberta’s rivers and forests. And the project has become a symbol for the political debate over fossil fuels.
The Obama-era State Department had denied TC Energy’s request for a permit in 2015. Trump revived hopes for the project once he took office, ultimately approving it with an executive order. Construction began in April 2020, but that same month, a federal court said that the project had to go through a full endangered species review. TC Energy appealed the ruling, but the Supreme Court upheld it in July.
Before Biden signed his executive order, only a 1.2-mile section of the pipeline had been completed in Montana near the U.S.-Canada border.
‘Thousands’ of lost jobs, but most are temporary
Over the past several years, we’ve fact-checked many claims that the Keystone XL pipeline would create thousands of American jobs. Several of them lack context about the duration and nature of these positions, and this Facebook post is similar.
In a Jan. 20 statement, TC Energy said Biden’s order "would directly lead to the layoff of thousands of union workers." It did not specify exactly how many jobs would be lost.
President Richard Prior told the Associated Press that the layoffs would number more than 1,000. We reached out to TC Energy for more information, but we haven’t heard back.
The 11,000 figure in the Facebook post appears to stem from an Oct. 28 press release on the pipeline’s website.
In October, TC Energy awarded contracts to six American union contractors to build the Keystone XL pipeline in three states in 2021. Those contractors were "responsible for hiring 7,000 union workers."
RELATED: Keystone XL pipeline: Unbuilt, opposed by Biden, mired in lawsuits
"When combined with additional 2021 contracts to be announced later, the total number of American union workers constructing Keystone XL in 2021 will exceed 8,000 and $900 million in gross wages," the release said. "In total, Keystone XL is expected to employ more than 11,000 Americans in 2021, creating more than $1.6 billion in gross wages."
That’s close to what the State Department found in its 2014 report.
In the report, the agency wrote that 10,400 estimated positions would be for seasonal construction work lasting four to eight-month periods. Since the State Department defines "job" as "one position that is filled for 1 year," that would equate to approximately 3,900 jobs over a two-year period.
In short: Most of the estimated jobs were temporary.
The State Department forecasted that no more than 50 jobs, some of which could be located in Canada, would be required to maintain the pipeline. Thirty-five of them would be permanent, while 15 would be temporary contractors.
We reached out to the White House for a comment, but we haven’t heard back.
Our ruling
A Facebook post says that Biden’s executive order revoking the Keystone XL pipeline "is destroying 11,000 jobs."
That number is an estimate, and the claim lacks context about the longevity of Keystone jobs.
TC Energy said more than 1,000 people are out of work because of Biden’s executive order. In October, the company said it expected to employ more than 11,000 Americans in 2021 and generate more than $1.6 billion in gross wages.
But both TC Energy and the State Department have said the majority of those jobs would be temporary. A 2014 report found that the company would need only 50 employees to maintain the Keystone XL pipeline once it’s finished, 35 of them permanent.
Temporary jobs are still jobs. But this post could leave the wrong impression without full context. We rate it Half True.
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863 | Facebook posts | 2020-08-09 00:00:00 |
In Michigan, “we were able to really flatten” the racial disparity in COVID-19’s impact “and make significant progress.”
| Daniel Funke | 2021-01-22 00:00:00 | half-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/25/michael-burgess/how-many-adults-get-flu-shots-each-year/ |
How many adults get flu shots each year?
|
Health officials are doubling down on calls for people to get flu shots this fall amid the coronavirus pandemic to reduce the burden on healthcare workers already battling COVID-19.
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommends an annual flu vaccine to ward off seasonal influenza viruses, which tend to peak during fall and winter.
U.S. Rep. Michael Burgess, a Republican from North Texas, encouraged his Twitter followers to get vaccinated for the flu, sharing a statistic about how many people have gotten flu shots each year.
"Did you know: in the last 10 years less than half of adults in the US received a flu shot?" he wrote. "This flu season I hope you will consider getting your flu vaccination, despite all of the social distancing measures that are in place around the country."
Burgess' his claim about the number of adults who have gotten flu shots is on the money. He did not return a request for comment seeking additional information about his remark.
CDC data shows higher rates for certain groups
Estimates from the CDC show that, since 2010, less than half of all adults in the U.S. got a flu shot each year during flu season.
The percentage of vaccinated adults each year has fluctuated, reaching a high of 43.6% in 2014 and a low of 37.1% in 2017, the most recent year with available data.
"Depending on the specific age groups, some are vaccinated more than others," said Dr. Pedro Piedra, a professor of molecular virology, microbiology and pediatrics at Baylor College of Medicine. "Older adults generally have high vaccination coverage compared to the general public. Likewise for young children under 5 years of age, you’ll see vaccination coverage that is generally much better than that of the general healthy adult."
Vaccination coverage among adults over 65 has ranged from a high of 66.7% in 2014 to a low of 59.6% in 2017, staying above the 50% mark for the past 10 years.
The age group with the lowest percentage receiving flu shots is those between 18 and 49. Vaccination coverage for this group ranged from a high of 33.6% in 2016 to a low of 26.9% in 2017.
For children, vaccination rates are higher — nearly 70% of children under 4 were vaccinated for the flu each of the past 10 years. For all children 17 or younger, an average of 56.6% received a flu shot for each of the past 10 years.
Why is the rate so low?
Part of the reason more older adults and younger children get flu shots is because they tend to be in doctors’ offices at higher frequencies than younger adults, which puts them in front of physicians who encourage them to get vaccinated.
"Adults aren’t like kids; it’s not like you go to the doctor every three months or every six months," said Dr. Jewel Mullen, associate dean for health equity at the University of Texas’ Dell Medical School. "At best, maybe some go once a year. So those opportunities are missed."
Mullen said the reasons that vaccine numbers are so low are dependent on several factors including a combination of misinformation about influenza infections, the vaccine and how frequently shots are necessary.
Cost can also be a factor, Mullen said. Flu shots are generally free with most medical insurance, but some plans require copays and the cost of a flu shot without insurance can range from $40 to $70, or more for high-dose vaccines.
Ideally, Piedra said roughly 80% of all people would get flu shots each year.
"Not only would that offer greater direct protection, but you’d have greater indirect protection," he said. "Direct protection is if you receive a vaccine, you receive a direct benefit of the vaccine. Indirect means those who have not been vaccinated, but they receive an indirect benefit when they are surrounded by those who have been vaccinated. This reduces the risk that the virus will be released and transmitted through that community."
For Mullen, there isn’t a perfect number, but the goal is clear: "as many as possible."
"The other reality right now is that we’re talking about concerns for what this upcoming flu season is going to be in the context of a pandemic that we still do not have under control," she said. "We already know that many of the populations and people at risk for severe disease from COVID 19 are the same ones at risk for severe disease from influenza, so we’re layering risk and vulnerability on top of one another, which gets me back to saying as many, as many as possible."
Our ruling
Burgess said "in the last 10 years less than half of adults in the US received a flu shot."
Estimates on flu vaccination coverage show that, since 2010, less than half of adults each year get a flu shot. That rate is higher among older adults and children.
We rate this claim True.
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|
865 | Garlin Gilchrist | 2021-01-17 00:00:00 | an image:
|
“WHO admits their testing grossly overstates individuals testing positive for COVID.”
| Samantha Putterman | 2021-01-21 00:00:00 | pants-fire | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/25/chris-larson/yes-republicans-could-end-evers-state-emergency-an/ |
Yes, Republicans could end Evers’ state of emergency anytime
|
The latest state of emergency declared by Gov. Tony Evers — his third since the start of the coronavirus pandemic — elicited the expected reaction from Republicans.
The latest order extended the state’s mask mandate, which was set to expire Sept. 30, for an additional two months.
An avalanche of GOP news releases and social media posts condemned Evers, a Democrat, calling the order "illegal," "unconstitutional," an "overreach" and a "power grab." Assembly Speaker Robin Vos, R-Rochester, called it "rule by fiat" and said there would "undoubtedly be additional court challenges" — on top of the court challenges to previous orders.
But one Wisconsin Democrat says Vos has no reason to wait on court challenges.
"Whenever you see a WI Republican bemoan the Governor's mask mandate, remember these 2 things," state Sen. Chris Larson of Milwaukee said Sept. 23, 2020 on Twitter. "1) They have the power to overturn the order by joint resolution and they refuse to do it. 2) They sued to have control over our #COVID19 response months ago, and have done nothing."
We’re focusing on the first point. It’s an overlooked element of the partisan showdown over Wisconsin’s coronavirus response.
And Larson is exactly right. Republicans could end Evers’ order any time, if they got a majority vote in the chambers they control.
Let’s review what's going on.
The state of emergency statute
State law first gave the governor authority to declare a state of emergency in 1951, though that was related only to acts of war. The circumstances in which an emergency may be declared and the governor’s powers in that scenario have evolved since, including the addition of public health emergencies in 2002.
The only prior public health emergency in state history came in 2009, when Democratic Gov. Jim Doyle issued Executive Order #280 in response to H1N1 (swine flu), according to the Wisconsin Legislative Reference Bureau.
The section of statute Evers relied on for his three orders isn’t a long one, so here’s the whole thing. We’ve bolded the key element at the end:
Declaration by governor. The governor may issue an executive order declaring a state of emergency for the state or any portion of the state if he or she determines that an emergency resulting from a disaster or the imminent threat of a disaster exists. If the governor determines that a public health emergency exists, he or she may issue an executive order declaring a state of emergency related to public health for the state or any portion of the state and may designate the department of health services as the lead state agency to respond to that emergency. If the governor determines that the emergency is related to computer or telecommunication systems, he or she may designate the department of administration as the lead agency to respond to that emergency. A state of emergency shall not exceed 60 days, unless the state of emergency is extended by joint resolution of the legislature. A copy of the executive order shall be filed with the secretary of state. The executive order may be revoked at the discretion of either the governor by executive order or the legislature by joint resolution.
So, revoking the order is a pretty straightforward process. And one way to do it is a joint resolution approved by both houses. What’s more, unlike traditional legislation it is not subject to the governor’s veto — a simple majority is enough.
The status of the Legislature
Republicans hold a commanding majority in both houses. The advantage is 18-13 in the Senate and 63-34 in the Assembly (with two vacant seats in each chamber).
Senate Majority Leader Scott Fitzgerald said back in July that Senate Republicans had the votes and "stand ready" to overturn the first emergency declaration and mask mandate.
That put the onus on Vos, who said in his Sept. 22, 2020, statement, "No one branch of government can rule outside the letter of the law and go unchecked, even during a pandemic." But Vos has not taken action to be that check.
It’s unclear whether Assembly Republicans are fractured on the issue, or if other political considerations are at play — such as not wanting to put members on record with a vote in the midst of a volatile election year. A Vos spokeswoman did not respond to a request for comment.
State Sen. Steve Nass, R-Whitewater, even issued a statement criticizing the inaction of Vos and others in his party, saying Vos "has enabled the continuing illegal conduct of Governor Evers in issuing repeated emergency declarations and a failed statewide mask mandate."
Our ruling
Larson said in a tweet that the Republicans who control the Legislature "have the power to overturn the order by joint resolution and they refuse to do it."
That’s correct. Republicans have the majority in both houses and the power under state statute. Whatever the reason, they have not acted to end the governor’s state of emergency and accompanying mask mandate.
We rate this claim True.
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866 | Facebook posts | 2021-01-21 00:00:00 | an article:
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“Go to antifa.com and it takes you to Biden’s White House! … Just a slap in the face.”
| Daniel Funke | 2021-01-21 00:00:00 | true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/25/donald-trump/fact-checking-trumps-claim-biden-would-immediately/ |
Fact-checking Trump’s claim that Biden would ‘immediately’ eliminate fracking and mining in Pa.
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President Donald Trump warned supporters at a rally in Pittsburgh this week that if Joe Biden wins the presidency, the future of the natural gas and coal industries looks bleak.
Trump said Biden’s plan for net-zero emissions "would instantly shut down all fracking and all mining immediately in Pennsylvania."
Here’s what Trump said:
"Biden reiterated his pledge to require net-zero carbon emissions. That’s basically saying, do you know what that is? There’ll be no more oil, there’ll be no more gas, there’ll be no more nothing, there’ll be no more industry, there’ll be no more country. That’s what it’s saying really. And that would instantly shut down fracking and mining immediately in Pennsylvania, sending your jobs overseas, sending your money to somebody else, not you."
We wondered whether the president accurately characterized Biden’s net-zero emissions plan.
Trump is right that Biden wants to shift toward clean energy, but he’s got the timeline wrong. Biden wants the country to reduce its reliance on fossil fuels over the next 15 years, not right away like Trump said.
Net-zero emissions is what scientists and many world leaders agree is needed to stop climate change from spiraling out of control. The term describes the process of substantially reducing greenhouse gas emissions and then offsetting what can’t be eliminated through activities like forest restoration.
In July, Biden released a sweeping $2 trillion plan to tackle climate change that he said would set the United States on "an irreversible path" to net-zero emissions by 2050. Twenty countries and regions around the world have adopted similar targets.
To achieve that goal, Biden wants to create a pollution-free power sector by 2035; increase energy efficiency by upgrading 4 million buildings and weatherizing 2 million homes; and shift major cities toward public transportation.
The first plank in that plan, creating a pollution-free power sector by 2035, would require phasing out coal in western Pennsylvania over the next 15 years. The plan does not, however, call for ending hydraulic fracturing — the controversial drilling technique known as fracking — instantly, or at all.
We’ve examined Biden’s position on fracking several times now, so we know he hasn’t called for banning the practice.
He wants to block the federal government from issuing new permits for drilling on public land, but would allow existing fracking operations to continue. The Biden campaign has also noted previously that 90% of fracking today takes place on private land.
Biden’s position on fracking became muddled earlier this year when he misspoke during a March debate with Bernie Sanders, who was then his last opponent standing in the Democratic primary.
Here’s an excerpt of their exchange:
"I’m talking about stopping fracking as soon as we possibly can," Sanders said. "I’m talking about telling the fossil fuel industry that they are going to stop destroying this planet — no ifs, buts, and maybes about it."
"So am I," Biden replied.
"Well, I’m not sure your proposal does that," Sanders said.
"No more — no new fracking," Biden said.
Biden seemed to be saying he wanted to ban fracking — a sharp departure from his official position. And the former vice president’s opponents pounced.
Republican operatives quickly cut a short video of Biden’s remarks to use as a cudgel in races against moderate House Democrats, the Washington Post reported.
The Biden campaign retracted his remarks the night of the debate, but that hasn’t stopped conservative media outlets or the Trump campaign from inaccurately claiming that Biden supports a total ban on fracking.
Our ruling
Trump said Biden’s net-zero emissions plan would shut down the fracking and coal mining industries "instantly" and "immediately." Biden’s plan calls for a gradual transition to clean energy. We rate this statement False
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867 | The Gateway Pundit | 2021-01-20 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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"By revoking the Keystone pipeline permit, Biden is destroying 11,000 jobs.”
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-09-25 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/24/facebook-posts/fact-checking-disinformation-about-louisville-u-ha/ |
Fact-checking disinformation about Louisville, a U-Haul and George Soros
|
In the video, protesters wearing backpacks rush to the back of a U-Haul truck. They reach in and grab pre-made canvas signs bearing slogans like "abolish the police" and "abolition now."
"They got shields!" someone yells.
The clip is one of several that circulated on social media following the Sept. 23 news that two Louisville, Ky., police officers involved in the fatal shooting of Breonna Taylor would not face charges in connection with her death. Taylor, a 26-year-old Black woman, was shot six times in her home as police tried to issue a warrant in March.
Protesters took to the streets almost immediately after the grand jury announced its decision not to charge the officers with Taylor’s death.
Two officers were shot and wounded in the ensuing violent demonstrations, and 127 people were arrested. Which leads us back to the video, which was filmed Sept. 23 near downtown Louisville.
Some onlookers claimed the clip showed activists linked to a billionaire philanthropist.
"The #ANTIFA UHAUL seen distributing shields, weapons & black bloc is registered to Holly Zoller of the Louisville KY Bail Project which is a George Soros funded initiative," a Sept. 23 Facebook post says.
The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
(Screenshot from Facebook)
Similar versions of the post have been shared thousands of times, and "U-Haul" trended on Twitter the morning of Sept. 24. Fox News hosts amplified the claim on Twitter, TV and online, as did conservative outlets like the Gateway Pundit and National File. House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy cited the footage in an interview with Fox News, during which he claimed protests against police brutality are "planned, orchestrated events."
We wanted to take a closer look at the footage.
Several videos of the same event show protesters taking signs from the back of a U-Haul, some of which bear a symbol associated with antifa, a broad coalition of left-wing activists. Zoller, who rented the truck, has done anti-fascist organizing in the past. But there is no evidence that the truck distributed weapons, or that the truck was connected to Soros.
No evidence for weapons at U-Haul truck
The truck depicted in the viral social media video distributed protest supplies like shields, signs and face masks. Some of the signs bore logos associated with antifa. There is no evidence that the truck contained weapons.
Storyful, a social media intelligence agency, analyzed the video and reported Sept. 23 that it shows protesters unloading shields from a storage truck. That analysis is consistent with reports from journalists on the ground in Louisville.
"A parked U-Haul was waiting for the crowd up the street," tweeted Shelby Talcott, a reporter for the Daily Caller, from Louisville on Sept. 23. "It contains supplies such as signs, shields, water etc. I’m not sure how people knew what it contained."
In the footage, one sign taken from the U-Haul shows three arrows pointing down. That’s the symbol of the Iron Front, a German paramilitary organization that formed in the 1930s to oppose extremists on the left and the right, such as the Nazi Party and the Communist Party of Germany.
Interestingly, the Communist Party of Germany is the source of the term "antifa." It adopted the phrase "Antifaschistische Aktion" — "anti-fascist action," in English — in 1932 as the Nazis were gaining power. So, historically speaking, the Iron Front would have opposed anti-fascist groups and vice versa.
But today, American antifa activists have been known to brandish shields, flags and other paraphernalia emblazoned with the Iron Front symbol at protests across the country. Another angle of the protest in Louisville shows the banner head-on, alongside another sign bearing the anarchy symbol.
Does that mean the U-Haul was driven by antifa organizers, or that it handed out weapons? Not necessarily.
"I haven’t seen any evidence for that specifically," said Brendan Gutenschwager, who shot the footage analyzed by Storyful, when asked about the claims in the Facebook post. "Mostly just the wooden boards and signs handed out of there, some masks as well."
RELATED: What is antifa, and why is it all over my timeline?
Since the death of George Floyd in Minneapolis police custody in May, we’ve fact-checked several claims about alleged antifa involvement in protests against police brutality. Time and again, we have found no evidence to support the notion that a loose coalition of activists is orchestrating violence.
"We look at antifa as more of an ideology or a movement than an organization," FBI Director Christopher Wray said during a House committee hearing Sept. 17.
We reached out to the Louisville Metro Police Department and the FBI’s Louisville field office for more information. LMPD didn’t get back to us and the FBI declined to comment.
Soros isn’t connected to U-Haul
For years, Soros has been falsely accused of funding and directing protests. This time is no different.
The Facebook post cites "research by @inteldotwav," a 15-month-old Twitter account that posts about "protests, riots, and chaos." It tweeted Sept. 23 that the U-Haul was rented by someone named Holly Zoller.
Zoller is a bail disruptor for the Bail Project’s branch in Louisville whose bio says she "has organized around anti-fascist movements" in the past. The Bail Project is a national nonprofit organization that pays people’s bail "to prevent incarceration and combat racial and economic disparities in the bail system."
Several social media posts and the National File story pointed to the fact that some of the Bail Project’s employees were previously Soros Justice Fellows as evidence that the organization is tied to the billionaire philanthropist.
We asked Storyful whether it had seen any evidence that Soros, whose Open Society Foundations fund many liberal advocacy groups — including those that are part of the Black Lives Matter movement — are connected to the U-Haul. It hadn’t.
The connection between Zoller and the U-Haul may have started on 4chan, where a user claimed to be able to look up rental information in the company's records. Similar claims spread on Twitter and Discord.
RELATED: No, George Soros is not a Nazi who funds antifa
4chan and Discord are fringe internet platforms where anonymous users are known to create and spread false information. One user, @inteldotwav, claimed to have evidence in the form of a phone call that a group on Discord purportedly had with Zoller, during which she said she drove the U-Haul truck and dropped off supplies at the protest.
We could not confirm the date of that call, nor whether the person on it was actually Zoller. But the Bail Project confirmed that Zoller rented the U-Haul truck depicted in the footage.
"Holly rented the truck in her personal capacity, during her time off, and did not use funds from The Bail Project," said Camilo Ramirez, director of communications for the Bail Project. "I watched the video and saw painted signs and water, but of course some people are exploiting the clip to create misinformation and attack our organization."
Open Society Foundations does not fund the Bail Project.
The nonprofit’s most recent tax filing shows that it received nearly $25 million in contributions and grants during the fiscal year ending June 2018. None of that money came from the Open Society Foundations, according to the philanthropy’s most recent tax filing and a list of its awarded grants.
"The Open Society Foundations supports the First Amendment right of every American to petition their government for redress of grievances through peaceful protest," said Laura Silber, the philanthropy’s chief communications officer. "We abhor violence of any kind. We do not now nor have we ever funded ‘antifa.’"
Our ruling
A Facebook post says an antifa-operated U-Haul truck distributed "shields, weapons & black bloc" to protesters in Louisville and is linked to "a George Soros-funded initiative."
A video shows protesters taking shields, signs and other supplies from the back of a U-Haul truck. Some of the signs bear a symbol associated with antifa activists. An eyewitness said he didn’t see any evidence that the truck contained weapons
The claim that the U-Haul truck is linked to an organization funded by Soros appears to have originated on forums known for spreading online disinformation. There is no connection between the billionaire philanthropist and the truck.
The post contains an element of truth but stretches the facts to make an unproven connection to Soros. We rate it Mostly False.
UPDATE (Sept. 25, 2020): This fact-check has been updated to include a statement from the Bail Project and more information about Zoller.
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868 | Facebook posts | 2021-01-20 00:00:00 | an image:
|
“Military tribunals start Jan. 20, 2021.”
| Bill McCarthy | 2020-09-25 00:00:00 | true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/24/donald-trump/donald-trump-ad-distorts-bidens-record-social-secu/ |
Trump ad distorts Biden’s record on Social Security and Medicare, policy for immigrants
|
An ad seeking to sway Florida voters to President Donald Trump’s side claims that Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden has long attempted to take away benefits from Americans and now wants to give them to immigrants illegally in the country. The ad’s claims are inaccurate and misleading.
"Joe Biden tried to cut Social Security and Medicare for decades. ... Now, Biden is promising your benefits to illegal immigrants," says the narrator in the ad posted by Trump for Florida, an official Facebook page for Trump's reelection campaign.
Here’s an overview of the inaccurate elements in the 30-second video posted Sept. 16.
‘Joe Biden tried to cut Social Security and Medicare for decades’
This is not a complete reflection of Biden’s record, which has changed over time. Starting in the 1970s, Biden called for an increase in monthly benefits, then for a one-year freeze, then floated raising the retirement age, then backed a change in how benefits would increase, and now calls for higher monthly checks for the oldest beneficiaries.
In the 1980s and 1990s, Biden spoke in favor of freezes to Social Security as part of an effort to rein in all spending to reduce the deficit.
In a 1995 speech, Biden said: "When I argued that we should freeze federal spending, I meant Social Security as well. I meant Medicare and Medicaid. I meant veterans benefits. I meant every single solitary thing in the government. And I not only tried it once. I tried it twice. I tried it a third time, and I tried it a fourth time."
The Trump ad features a clip of that 1995 speech, but it cut out the part where Biden said he meant freezing "every single solitary thing in the government."
Biden’s campaign told PolitiFact that throughout his career in Congress, Biden cast nearly 50 votes to increase Social Security benefits or block Republican plans to curtail benefits.
As vice president during the Obama administration, Biden generally focused on protecting Social Security, and resisted moves to privatize Social Security. However, the administration in 2014, proposed changing how Social Security cost-of-living increases were calculated. The method, which the left-leaning Center for Budget and Policy Priorities found would have reduced benefits by 1% to 2% over the course of the average retirement, received push-back and was later dropped.
Biden as a presidential candidate says action is "urgently" needed "to make the program solvent and prevent cuts to American retirees."
The Trump ad cites as evidence for its claim a Jan. 13 article from The Intercept, headlined, "Fact Check: Joe Biden Has Advocated Cutting Social Security for 40 Years." The story said that Biden’s 2020 position to increase Social Security benefits is "at odds with decades of his own advocacy." It cited his stance in the 1980s and 1990s among evidence of his interest in practicing fiscal restraint.
During the Democratic presidential primary, Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., similarly claimed that Biden "has advocated cutting Social Security for 40 years." Based on Biden’s nuanced record, we rated that Mostly False.
‘Now, Biden is promising your benefits to illegal immigrants’
This is not Biden’s promise. There is no evidence Biden seeks to deprive Americans of their Social Security and Medicare benefits and give them to immigrants who are violating immigration laws.
Biden’s plans related to health care and seniors do not call for the elimination of Social Security benefits or Medicare for Americans. And Biden has not put forward a policy to entitle immigrants illegally in the country to Social Security benefits, or to give them access to Medicare, his campaign said.
Biden favors allowing immigrants illegally in the country to buy health care plans under the Affordable Care Act marketplace, but without financial help from the government. This would not invalidate U.S. citizens and lawful permanent residents’ ability to also buy health care plans in the exchange.
The Trump ad cited May 10, 2019, Fox News reporting. That day, Fox News said Biden supported health care for immigrants illegally in the country. The story said that in response to a question on whether immigrants illegally in the country should "should be entitled to federal benefits" like Medicare or Medicaid, Biden said: "Look, I think that anyone who is in a situation where they are in need of health care, regardless of whether they are documented or undocumented, we have an obligation to see that they are cared for." Video of that response doesn’t show Biden explicitly mentioning Medicare or Medicaid.
Trump in July falsely claimed that under Biden’s policy, immigrants in the country illegally "get welfare benefits. United States citizens don't get what they're looking to give illegal immigrants."
Trump’s campaign did not respond to our queries, and neither did the White House. But a Trump campaign official told the Washington Post’s Fact Checker that Biden supported Obama-era programs that defer deportation for immigrants and make them eligible for Social Security. As the Washington Post pointed out, people receive Social Security benefits if they pay into the system, and immigrants wouldn’t be taking away "your benefits," as the ad implied.
Our ruling
A Trump campaign ad claimed, "Joe Biden tried to cut Social Security and Medicare for decades. ... Now Biden’s promising your benefits to illegal immigrants."
It’s misleading to say that Biden for decades tried to cut Social Security and Medicare. His overall record is mixed. The ad also gives the wrong impression that Biden is trying to take benefits away from Americans and grant them to immigrants illegally in the country. That’s not Biden’s plan.
Biden wants to allow immigrants illegally in the country to buy health insurance, without subsidies. That would not take away Ameicans ability to buy their own insurance.
We rate the ad’s claims Mostly False.
This fact check is available at IFCN’s 2020 US Elections FactChat #Chatbot on WhatsApp. Click here, for more.
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869 | Facebook posts | 2021-01-20 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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Says Joe Biden and Democrats "have not legitimately won" the presidency.
| Madison Czopek | 2020-09-25 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/nov/11/facebook-posts/no-joe-bidens-leads-havent-disappeared-key-battleg/ |
No, Joe Biden’s leads haven’t disappeared in key battlegrounds
|
Supporters of President Donald Trump in Washington and the media continue to entertain his unsubstantiated allegations of voter fraud and his unprecedented refusal to concede the election he lost to President-elect Joe Biden. Some Facebook users are following suit.
One Facebook post shared thousands of times, from conservative radio host Ben Ferguson, wrongly claimed that Biden’s leads have evaporated in four key battleground states.
"Liberal media get it wrong again as Biden lead disappears in NV, AZ, GA, PA," reads the text over the Nov. 10 post, which includes an audio clip from Ferguson’s podcast.
The post is inaccurate. It was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
Ferguson did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
In reality, Biden has been projected as the winner of the election by major media outlets and decision desks, including the Associated Press, Reuters, the New York Times, the Washington Post, CNN, ABC News, CBS News, NBC News, Fox News and Decision Desk HQ.
Such calls were made because the data showed Biden received more votes than Trump and that Trump had run out of ways to win. The Associated Press, for example, says it only calls a race when it is "fully confident" the race has been won because the "trailing candidate no longer has a path to victory."
The former vice president has been named the winner in Pennsylvania and Nevada by each of those 11 organizations. The Associated Press and Fox News have also called Arizona in his favor. And he is still leading in Georgia, where officials have announced a recount by hand.
Biden’s advantages in those four battleground states vary, according to Decision Desk HQ. He is ahead by more than 36,000 votes in Nevada; by more than 12,000 in Arizona; by more than 14,000 in Georgia; and by more than 49,000 votes in Pennsylvania.
But those leads have not disappeared, as the Facebook post claimed. Dave Wasserman, the House editor of the nonpartisan Cook Political Report, tweeted Nov. 10 that Biden’s leads in Georgia and Arizona — his two smallest margins to date — are "quite robust."
Biden doesn’t need to win all four of those states to capture the presidency, either.
States have until Dec. 8 to finalize their results before members of the Electoral College cast their votes on Dec. 14 and Congress officially counts those votes on Jan. 6, 2021.
Media organizations agree that Biden remains on track to win, and there is no evidence of any widespread fraud that would tip the election in Trump’s favor, as experts, international observers and state officials from both parties have said. The Biden team has begun preparing for the White House, even as the Trump administration works to thwart the transition.
Trump accepted the media’s calls in 2016. A review of the Internet Archive shows he changed his Twitter biography to read "President-elect of the United States" on Nov. 9, one day after the 2016 election. He met with President Barack Obama in the White House on Nov. 10.
We rate this Facebook post False.
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870 | Facebook posts | 2021-01-20 00:00:00 | a radio show segment:
|
Says Kentucky Attorney General Daniel Cameron “married his mentor Mitch McConnell's granddaughter."
| Eric Litke | 2020-09-25 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/nov/11/big-league-politics/no-planned-theft-election-detroit/ |
No 'planned theft of the election' in Detroit
|
A viral video shared by Big League Politics, an online news outlet that describes itself as a source for "hard-hitting investigative political journalism," falsely claims that Detroit election workers were instructed to meddle in the election.
For weeks, the website, which has promoted conspiracy theories before, published audio recordings it says are from Detroit election worker trainings as part of its #DetroitLeaks series. The video — which has been removed from YouTube but was preserved by Big League Politics on a video hosting site known for sharing conspiratorial content — stitches the audio together to claim that "multiple Detroit pollworker trainings were audio-recorded, which reveal the mechanisms of the planned theft of the election." Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel’s office confirmed that it sent a cease and desist letter to Big League Politics.
This post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
In an article that has since been removed from the Big League Politics website, reporter Shane Trejo wrote that the video detailed "explosive evidence of election trainers in the city of Detroit telling poll workers how to lie to voters, destroy ballots, and disenfranchise poll challengers on election day." But the audio recordings — the latest in a string of misinformation related to the election in Michigan — do not point to anything nefarious, despite the video’s ominous-sounding music.
President Donald Trump received nearly 5,000 more votes from Detroit this most recent election compared to his 2016 performance, according to the city’s unofficial results. Meanwhile, president-elect Joe Biden underperformed in Detroit compared to 2016 Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton who won nearly 1,000 more votes than Biden based on Detroit’s unofficial results.
Detroit City Clerk Janice Winfrey said the snippets in the video were misused. "What was recorded and shared was taken out of context. All laws were followed in training of election workers, in full compliance," she said.
Text appearing in the video describes what it alleges Detroit election workers were told to do followed by audio and transcripts of election worker trainings to support each claim. We looked at the supposed instructions one by one and found that taken together, they do not support the claim that Detroit election workers were trained to help steal the election:
"Step 1: Kick out the poll challengers."
This is not the advice that the trainer imparted. In the audio, the trainer is heard telling poll workers that all challengers have to wear masks and practice social distancing. At one point the trainer joked that unless challengers have really good vision or brought binoculars, they would not be able to see what election workers are doing. However, even with social distancing, hundreds of challengers were able to monitor Detroit’s absentee ballot count and challenge voters’ eligibility to cast a ballot.
In the video, an election worker is heard asking what steps should be taken if election challengers cause a scene. The trainer says to call the police. Challengers have to abide by conduct standards, the trainer explains. On the day before the election when Detroit election workers began processing absentee ballots, two election challengers were escorted out of the counting room by the police. One challenger was wearing a horror movie mask and caused a disruption while a Republican challenger refused to properly wear her face mask. Wednesday afternoon, police had to push back an angry crowd of Republican poll challengers who had been prohibited from entering the counting room after the number of Republican, Democratic and nonpartisan challengers reached the limit allowed under state law. Over 100 Republican challengers remained in the room to monitor the count.
"Step 2: Process challenged ballots as regular ballots to be counted."
In text that scrolls over the screen, the video claims that election workers were instructed to "process challenged ballots as regular ballots to be counted." That’s a mischaracterization. In an audio recording, a trainer is heard saying that in order to record a ballot as challenged, election workers should place the ballot in a secrecy sleeve and cover the ballot number with a Post-It. The trainer goes on to say that after election workers have taken these steps, a voter can go vote as normal.
Voters whose eligibility is challenged on the basis of age, residency or citizenship can, in fact, receive a ballot and vote as normal after showing proof of eligibility or swearing under oath that they meet the requirements. Even after a challenged voter’s eligibility has been established, their ballot is specially marked — in ink below the barcode and covered with tape — and labeled in the electronic poll book.
"Step 3: Allow anyone with an easily-forged piece of paper to vote."
That’s not the instruction. In the recording, the trainer lays out the process for handling a newly registered voter who is not listed in the electronic poll book used by inspectors to check registrations. Michigan allows registration right up to 8 p.m. on Election Day.
The trainer explains that since the voter records are downloaded to the electronic poll book the Saturday before Election Day, newly registered voters would not yet be listed. Those voters are given a receipt to present to poll workers on Election Day as evidence that they registered. The receipt indicates whether the voter needs to present any additional ID to confirm their eligibility. Poll workers can then add the voter manually to the rolls.
The video claims, "Anyone with the know-how could generate thousands of fake late registration receipts." Voters have to present ID when they vote or sign an affidavit affirming they are eligible. Falsifying a voter registration receipt is a crime. Meanwhile, voters manually added to the rolls are recorded separately in the poll book so they can be rechecked against records later.
"Step 4: Staff polling stations with children."
By law, 16- and 17-year-olds can work as election inspectors, but not as the precinct chairperson. In the audio recording, the trainer says that young people who can’t stay out late for the final duties on Election Day — returning the sealed ballot containers and other records and equipment to the local receiving board — should tell the chairperson, so another adult can help with that. The video seems to imply that this opens the door for someone to tamper with election materials.
Election materials are safeguarded by election workers, and state rules require ballots and other election materials to be delivered — in sealed containers and envelopes — to the receiving board by one precinct inspector affiliated with the Democratic Party and another affiliated with the Republican Party.
"Step 5: Nobody available to call for help."
That’s wrong; troubleshooters are available. In the recording, a trainer explains that on Election Day, election workers will be able to call designated troubleshooters should any issues arise. The trainer says, "Honestly speaking, it’s going to be hard to get ahold of someone, because there’s going to be ten people calling us at the same time."
This is typical since Election Day is a busy time for election officials who are often running around the city to make sure the voting process is running smoothly. It may be difficult to immediately get in touch with officials, but that does not mean that election workers did not or could not get help on Election Day.
"Step 6: Count challenged ballots, DESTROY provisional ballots"
This is misleading. The trainer in the video is heard discussing what election workers should do if a voter shows up to vote in person on Election Day if the clerk has already received the voter’s absentee ballot. The trainer tells election workers, "do not issue him a ballot." The trainer explains that voters are only allowed to vote once and that if a voter already cast an absentee ballot, they cannot vote again in person on Election Day.
If the voter insists that they did not already vote, the trainer explains that the chairperson can issue the voter a provisional ballot that will not go through the tabulator to be counted and will be destroyed if the voter already voted absentee.
This is common practice for provisional ballots, which are kept out of the count pending confirmation that they were legally cast.
Challenged voters, by contrast, receive ballots only after poll workers receive proof or sworn affirmation that the voter is eligible and registered. Their ballots are specially marked and recorded in the electronic poll book, then tabulated normally.
Our ruling
A viral video claims that Detroit election worker trainings "reveal the mechanisms of the planned theft of the election." The trainings do not indicate any coordinated effort to meddle in the election. Rather they describe customary practices for handling voters and ballots in accordance with the state’s election rules.
We rate the video’s claim False.
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753, 3802, 3641, 627] | 1,475 |
871 | Rush Limbaugh | 2021-01-20 00:00:00 | a post on Facebook:
|
“(Republicans) have the power to overturn the (state of emergency) order by joint resolution and they refuse to do it.”
| Jessica Calefati | 2020-09-24 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/nov/11/instagram-posts/no-judicial-watch-didnt-publish-bogus-story-about-/ |
No, Judicial Watch didn’t publish a bogus story about the National Guard recounting votes
|
Viral posts on social media falsely claim that conservative website Judicial Watch published a story called "Quantum Blockchain System Recount of Votes," a piece that alleges without evidence that "elite" National Guard units were recounting votes and found that President Donald Trump won re-election.
A screenshot of the supposed story on Instagram displays "Judicial Watch" at the top and says:
"A recount of voting ballots nationwide was being done by elite units of the National Guard by early Sun. morning 8 Nov. To prevent fraud official ballots had been printed with an invisible, unbreakable code watermark and registered on a Quantum Blockchain System.
"As of this writing, in five states 14 million ballots had been put through a laser scanner - 78% of which failed because there was no watermark to verify the ballot. Of those that failed 100% had checked for Biden.
"An initial test showed that according to water marks on validated ballots fed into the Quantum Computer, Trump won re-election by over 80% of the legal ballot cast. The final validated vote tallied in that test: Trump 73.5 million votes to Biden's 25.9 million - and that didn't even account for Trump votes that people observed being tossed and never accounted for."
The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
This isn’t true and is an iteration of a ridiculous conspiracy theory about watermarked ballots that we debunked in a previous fact-check with our harshest rating.
We also could find no such story on Judicial Watch’s website and searches online and in news archives turned up no results.
The article, instead, came from the website "Before It’s News," which allows anyone to sign up as a member, write and publish stories.
According to its FAQ page:
"What kind of stories can I post at Before It's News?
"We publish almost any story by almost anybody, as long as it's news, commentary, analysis or opinion. The other criteria is that the stories can't be commercially motivated in the news area. We do accept commercial stories in our promotional area only. You can post event notices, press releases and promotional stories, but we ask that those are placed in their respective areas."
The National Guard recount story is a different version of a QAnon-related conspiracy theory that baselessly claimed the Trump administration, with the help of the Department of Homeland Security, secretly watermarked official ballots to set up Democrats (who allegedly aimed to cheat).
The federal government has no role in designing, printing or auditing ballots — the responsibility lies with state and local governments — and the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, which is overseen by the Department of Homeland Security, said there is no truth to the rumor.
The National Guard also told PolitiFact that it is not taking part in a nationwide ballot recount and said any election support it may provide is state-led and governor-driven.
Each state can tailor its National Guard forces to specific requirements to support elections, said National Guard spokesperson Army Master Sgt. W. Michael Houk.
"Governors have authority to activate their NG in State Active Duty to provide timely assistance in accordance with State law. If authorized, National Guard missions may include cyber support, logistical and administrative support, setting up polling stations, COVID-19 screening, and managing crowd flow," Houk said in an email to PolitiFact. "There are currently no National Guard men and women on duty for election support. The information you present suggests federal control of a state’s National Guard, which would not be the case."
We rate this post Pants on Fire!
This fact check is available at IFCN’s 2020 US Elections FactChat #Chatbot on WhatsApp. Click here, for more.
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876 | Donald Trump | 2020-09-16 00:00:00 | an ad:
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Detroit election worker trainings “reveal the mechanisms of the planned theft of the election”
| Samantha Putterman | 2020-11-11 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/jan/21/rush-limbaugh/inauguration-day-rush-limbaugh-falsely-claims-joe-/ |
On Inauguration Day, Rush Limbaugh falsely claims Joe Biden didn’t ‘legitimately’ win
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President Joe Biden was inaugurated Jan. 20, putting to rest his predecessor’s months-long effort to overturn what national, state and local officials affirmed was a free and fair election.
Biden’s inauguration came two weeks after Congress counted and certified the electoral votes despite a mob of President Donald Trump’s supporters storming the U.S. Capitol to disrupt the process.
But as Biden began his work in the White House, conservative radio host Rush Limbaugh pushed ahead with the false narrative that Biden’s election was illegitimate.
"With 74 million, maybe 80 million people who did not vote for Joe Biden, there is no way they can honestly say to themselves that they represent the power base of the country," Limbaugh told his millions of listeners Jan. 20. "They're going to have to take it. They're going to have to hold on to it and never let go of it. They have not legitimately won it."
Limbaugh, whom Trump awarded the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2020, did not respond to a request for comment.
He argued on his radio show that the heavy security presence and hundreds of thousands of flags lining the National Mall in place of a celebratory crowd were "replacements for people" because Biden’s camp was not "confident a bunch of people would show up."
Limbaugh also posited that Biden had too little support to welcome a large Inauguration Day crowd because "nobody showed up at Joe Biden political rallies."
In reality, the small, socially distanced inauguration crowd was a reflection of the pandemic that has killed more than 400,000 Americans. And the National Guard was summoned in large numbers to prevent a repeat of the Capitol riot that led to Trump’s impeachment a week earlier.
Biden’s campaign events, too, were often deliberately kept small due to concern about the coronavirus, which spreads easily in big crowds.
Finally, Limbaugh claimed the election was "arranged rather than legitimately sought and won," and he said Biden was "credibly accused of winning" thanks to "massive election fraud."
PolitiFact has examined many such claims and rated them Pants on Fire.
The presidential election was not unusually close. Biden, the former vice president, won 306 electoral votes, compared with 232 for Trump. He received 81 million votes overall to Trump’s 74 million.
"Joe Biden legitimately won the presidency," said Rick Hasen, a professor of law and political science at the University of California, Irvine. "There is no credible evidence to the contrary, that any state in the Union wrongly reported its election results or had election irregularities that called the results into question. There was no massive voter fraud."
Trump refused for months to concede defeat, even as dozens of judges in courtrooms across the country rejected lawsuits from his campaign and allies to flip the results. The challenges failed in part because they did not present evidence of the widespread fraud that was alleged.
Some states held recounts, but the results did not change. After states certified their results, the nation’s electors cast their ballots and sealed Biden’s victory in December.
State and local election officials, including in key swing states like Georgia, maintained that the results they certified were accurate. International observers said they saw no evidence of fraud, and so did Trump’s former attorney general, William Barr. Trump’s most senior cybersecurity official said the election was the "most secure in American history."
PolitiFact fact-checked a wide array of claims alleging election fraud. We found no evidence to suggest that Biden did not win "legitimately," as Limbaugh claimed.
We rate Limbaugh’s statement Pants on Fire!
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879 | Instagram posts | 2020-11-10 00:00:00 | a screenshot:
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Map shows 2020 election results.
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-11-11 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/jan/21/wayne-christian/attacking-paris-accord-texas-oil-regulator-selecti/ |
In attacking Paris accord, Texas oil regulator selectively cites economic numbers
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Wayne Christian is fed up with environmentalists and what he described as the "woke" liberal policies threatening to disrupt the smooth recovery of Texas’ energy sector from pandemic blows.
The Republican oil and gas regulator, one of three commissioners of the Texas Railroad Commission, penned a missive earlier this month that took aim at those who've recently cast Texas natural gas in a bad light — the French government for cutting ties with a Houston company over environmental concerns, the "sensationalist fake-news media" for downplaying improvements in emissions, and the "environmental extremists" for promoting Green New Deal policies.
In the letter, posted to the agency’s website on Jan. 5, Christian took a swipe at President Joe Biden’s pledge to rejoin the Paris Climate Accord, which he fulfilled on his first day in office by executive order. Former President Donald Trump withdrew in 2017 from the international treaty, designed to reduce carbon emissions, although terms of the agreement stipulated that the U.S. could not formally exit until Nov. 4, 2020.
"This would be a tremendous mistake," Christian wrote. "The accord carries sky-high costs with very low benefits and unfairly imposes a double standard based on unproven assumptions and climate models that are wrong nearly all the time."
Then Christian pointed to a 2017 study released by an economic research firm on behalf of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and the American Council for Capital Formation, a pro-business think tank on economic policy.
"The cost of the Paris Climate Accord to the American economy is steep. The agreement will cost American workers 6.5 million jobs and $3 trillion in economic growth by 2040," Christian wrote, citing the 2017 study.
The study, entitled "Impacts of Greenhouse Gas Regulations On the Industrial Sector," was also cited by Trump when justifying his decision to withdraw from the Paris accord.
"The cost to the economy at this time would be close to $3 trillion in lost GDP and 6.5 million industrial jobs, while households would have $7,000 less income and, in many cases, much worse than that," Trump said in his 2017 announcement from the Rose Garden.
Incomplete picture
The bleak outlook sparked scrutiny over the figures. When the U.S. initially joined the accord in 2016, the Obama administration set long-term goals for reducing economy-wide emissions by 80% from 2005 levels by 2050. The administration listed a mix of existing and planned policies that would help the U.S. meet that goal, but reductions stemming from those policies would still fall short of the 2050 target.
Although there’s debate over how far short the policies would come, "it is clear that such a gap cannot be filled without contributions from the industrial sector," reads the study, which was conducted by NERA Economic Consulting. The profit and job loss figures cited by Christian and Trump represent the economic cost of closing that gap according to NERA’s analysis.
Trump and Christian repeat the report’s findings accurately. More restrictions on fossil fuel emissions mean higher cost of production, and higher cost of production means the closure of uncompetitive manufacturing businesses, and those closures mean fewer manufacturing jobs. These losses and their knock-on effects beyond the manufacturing sector would amount to 1.1 million jobs lost by 2025 and 6.5 million by 2040, according to NERA.
The loss of jobs results in a corresponding decline in gross domestic product, with a loss of $250 billion by 2025 that accelerates to $3 trillion by 2040.
"The decline in GDP accelerates over time as the targets become much more difficult to comply with and the targets start to constrain output in all sectors," the study says.
But the study’s authors note an important caveat to their key findings that Trump and Christian omit. Not only are the long-term projections subject to a great deal of uncertainty, they said, the study did not factor in all of the offsetting job gains and GDP growth associated with a clean tech transition.
In a news release following Trump’s announcement of U.S. withdrawal from the Paris agreement, NERA stated that "the Trump administration selectively used results" from its study.
"NERA’s study was not a cost-benefit analysis of the Paris Agreement, nor does it purport to be one," their statement said. "The objective of the study was to estimate the range of cost sensitivity associated with meeting deep U.S. emissions targets under alternative implementation approaches affecting U.S. industrial sectors. NERA’s study does not provide any recommendations regarding any specific international agreements."
There’s a smattering of predictions for how climate action will create opportunities for economic growth. For instance, a 2018 report by the Global Commission on the Economy and Climate — an economic policy initiative commissioned by seven countries in 2013 — says that the green transition could create $26 trillion in benefits across the global economy by 2030. And as new technologies accelerate the transition, new jobs could be created therewith.
For example, over a million Americans are employed in the fossil fuel sector while close to half that amount are employed in solar and wind, even though solar and wind comprise just 10% of the energy mix, according to the commission's report.
"It is expected that reduced employment in fossil fuels through the transition can be more than offset by a rise in employment in renewables and construction," the study said.
Globally, the commission found that low-carbon jobs may employ up to 65 million people by 2030, which could offset employment reductions in declining sectors.
When asked about considering possible offsetting benefits in his criticism of the Paris accord, Christian only questioned the logic of eliminating existing energy jobs while subsidizing jobs in renewables. According to the International Renewable Energy Agency, global direct subsidies to renewables are expected to increase from $166 billion in 2017 to $192 billion in 2030, while subsidies to fossil fuels fall from $447 billion to $165 billion over the same 13-year period.
"I do not see a benefit in putting in place punitive policies that eliminate well-paying energy jobs and then using our taxpayer dollars to create new jobs through subsidizing other less efficient forms of energy," he said.
Under the Paris accord, the U.S. committed to reducing emissions by about 25% by 2025 compared to 2005 levels. Biden’s move to rejoin the accord means that the U.S. must submit an emission reduction plan, although the details are not yet known.
"Since our state makes up 40% of the nation's production, we will be disproportionately impacted compared to other states in terms of economic and job loss," Christian said.
Other factors
The NERA report also doesn’t factor in the cost of climate-related disasters that, by most scientific accounts, are projected to increase in frequency as global temperatures rise. Over the past two decades, global climate-related disasters — primarily floods and storms — accounted for $2.3 trillion in damages, with the U.S. bearing the brunt of the economic losses, according to a report by the United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction. Under a future scenario with limited or no emission reductions, these disasters are expected to worsen in severity and frequency, meaning that a business-as-usual response to climate change can cost the economy trillions.
"Current economic models are deeply inadequate in capturing the opportunities of such a transformational shift, or the grave dangers of climate inaction," the Global Commission on the Economy and Climate study says. "We need a new class of economic models that can capture the powerful dynamics at play, including technological advances, preservation of essential natural capital, and the full health benefits of cleaner air and a safer climate including the containment of pandemic diseases."
Like Trump, Christian has been vocal skeptic of climate science. He was first elected to the Railroad Commission in 2016 having attracted endorsements and contributions from industry groups, energy companies and other state officials.
He’s repeatedly made arguments against global warming and its man-made causes, calling those who underscore future impacts of climate change "climate catastrophists."
"These activists repeatedly imply that climate change is ‘settled science’ and that 97 percent of scientists agree that the main reason for global warming is manmade greenhouse gasses. However, real science is never ‘settled’ and 97 percent of scientists don’t agree. ... This is far from settled science," Christian wrote in a 2019 letter to Gov. Greg Abbott.
A 2016 survey of scientific studies found that 97% of actively publishing climate scientists agreed on the cause of global warming.
"The vast majority of actively publishing climate scientists – 97 percent – agree that humans are causing global warming and climate change," according to NASA. "Most of the leading science organizations around the world have issued public statements expressing this, including international and U.S. science academies, the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and a whole host of reputable scientific bodies around the world."
Our ruling
Christian wrote in an open letter that reentry into the Paris Climate Accord will "cost American workers 6.5 million jobs and $3 trillion in economic growth by 2040," accurately citing a study released in 2017 by NERA Economic Consulting.
Those figures were similarly referenced by Trump in justification of his decision to withdraw from the accord. After that announcement, authors of the study said the "Trump administration selectively used results" and failed to consider key limitations of their findings.
Christian similarly omitted these caveats.
We rate this claim Half True.
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884 | Matt Schlapp | 2020-11-08 00:00:00 | a hear |
Says that the Paris Climate Accord will cost the U.S. economy "6.5 million jobs and $3 trillion in economic growth by 2040."
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2021-01-20 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/dec/04/russell-james-ramsland-jr/affidavit-michigan-lawsuit-seeking-overturn-electi/ |
Affidavit in Michigan lawsuit seeking to overturn election makes wildly inaccurate claims about vote
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A lawsuit is asking a federal court in Michigan to force state leaders to disregard Michigan’s certified election results and award its 16 Electoral College votes to President Donald Trump. It includes an affidavit that makes wildly inaccurate claims about voter turnout in Michigan cities and townships.
The affidavit comes from Russell James Ramsland Jr., a cybersecurity analyst and former Republican congressional candidate. Ramsland is the one who mistook voting jurisdictions in Minnesota for Michigan towns in a separate flawed analysis of voter turnout. His latest analysis correctly names Michigan voting jurisdictions, but similarly arrives at inaccurate voter turnout rates.
For instance, Ramsland claims that Detroit saw a turnout of 139.29%. The city’s official results show that turnout in the city was actually 50.88% of registered voters.
When asked about the error in Ramsland’s affidavit, Gregory Rohl, the attorney representing the plaintiffs in the federal lawsuit in Michigan, said he and his team would investigate the data. "I’m always willing to learn and surely want the facts set forth to be accurate in any filing bearing my name," Rohl wrote in an email to PolitiFact Michigan.
Ramsland’s analysis gained public attention when a witness shared its inaccurate findings during a state House Oversight Committee hearing in Lansing Wednesday. During the hearing, Rudy Giuliani, Trump’s personal attorney, brought a number of witnesses to share allegations of election fraud and misconduct already discredited by election officials and in court. The witnesses included Col. Phil Waldron, who says he’s part of a team that looked into "election manipulation." He claimed that "publicly available information" from Michigan analyzed in an affidavit shows excessive voter turnout that indicates election fraud. But the numbers do not square with the statement of votes cast from Michigan counties.
A chart included in Ramsland’s affidavit lists 21 Michigan cities and townships, five of which are alleged to have recorded a turnout above 90% in November’s election, while 10 purportedly saw turnout of exactly 100% and six surpassed 100%.
It is difficult to imagine that a turnout rate above 100% — let alone 782% in the City of North Muskegon or 461% In Zeeland Charter Township — would have escaped election officials compiling the statement of votes cast. But beyond the implausible turnout rates Ramsland alleges, there are other glaring problems with the list. Shelby Township is named twice. So is Zeeland Charter Township, with two vastly different turnout rates: 90.59% and 460.51%. Ramsland lists "Fenton" without specifying Fenton City or Fenton Township. But the turnout Ramsland lists for Fenton does not match the turnout in either jurisdiction.
The actual turnout statistics reveal the inaccuracy of Ramsland’s numbers. His figure for North Muskegon is off by a factor of 10: The actual number is 78.11%, not 781.91%. For Zeeland Charter Township, he inflated the turnout nearly sixfold. For Grout Township and the City of Muskegon, his number is more than triple the correct number.
There is one location where the actual turnout matches the turnout Ramsland lists: Grand Island Township, a tiny municipality split between an island in Lake Superior and a stretch of the Upper Peninsula’s mainland. Turnout there was 96.77%, according to the official record, as 30 out of the township’s 31 registered voters cast a ballot in November’s election.
The 215.21% turnout rate Ramsland listed for Grout Township initially matched the data in the county’s statement of votes cast, but that’s because there was an error in the report. Gladwin County Clerk Laura Brandon-Maveal explained that the election results certified by the county are accurate, but that the number of registered voters used to compute the turnout rate was incorrect. "We have to hand punch in the total number of registered voters and they put in the wrong number of registered voters," Brandon-Maveal said. The county released a corrected report Dec. 3.
In a second affidavit Ramsland filed in the same lawsuit Dec. 3, he said that the information source for his first affidavit was data from the state’s open data portal and Secretary of State’s election results page "that no longer exists."
The Secretary of State's office never shared township, city or precinct turnout data on its results page, according to Tracy Wimmer, a spokesperson for the office.
This latest affidavit includes a new list of precincts in another attempt to demonstrate excessive turnout. It shows that "Spring Lake Township, Precinct 6 — B" had a turnout of 120%. Spring Lake Township’s clerk said that there’s no such precinct. Spring Lake Township Precinct 6 had a turnout of 66.74% in November’s election. The list also shows that one precinct in the City of South Haven had a 100% turnout rate. The city’s clerk said that there are only eight voters in that precinct, all of whom voted.
Ramsland’s new list also showed 33 voting jurisdictions with turnout between 86.79% and 96.77%. An initial review indicated many of these turnout rates are accurate. Michigan had record turnout statewide. President-elect Joe Biden carried the state by more than 154,000 votes.
Our ruling
An affidavit filed in a lawsuit in Michigan seeking to overturn the election purports to show turnout rates in Michigan that indicate election fraud.
The numbers do not match the official statement of votes cast in all but one jurisdiction, and many inflate the numbers significantly. The official data show that the number of voters who cast a ballot in November’s election did not exceed the number of registered voters in any of the jurisdictions named.
We rate this claim Pants on Fire!
Louis Jacobson contributed to this report.
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885 | Facebook posts | 2021-01-20 00:00:00 | a letter:
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Says Joe Exotic was pardoned.
| Monique Curet | 2021-01-20 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/dec/04/rick-scott/scotts-claims-about-schumer-lack-evidence/ |
Rick Scott’s claims about Charles Schumer lack evidence
|
With the general election over, the nation’s political attention has shifted to Georgia, where runoff elections for two U.S. Senate seats take place on Jan. 5. Democrats need to win both for Sen. Charles Schumer to take over as Senate majority leader.
Sen. Rick Scott, incoming chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, a campaign committee focused on electing Republicans to the Senate, told Fox News his view on what would happen if the GOP lost and Schumer ascended to the leadership post.
We’re going to make sure @SenSchumer doesn’t get his wish to be Majority Leader. He said he wants to take Georgia so Democrats can change America. Thankfully, Georgia doesn’t want the radical change that Schumer, Warnock and Ossoff have in mind. pic.twitter.com/16SarGdbLg— Rick Scott (@ScottforFlorida) November 16, 2020
"He wants to eliminate private health care insurance. He wants to ruin the Medicare program by putting everybody on the Medicare system. He wants the Green New Deal, which is going to cost close to $100 trillion and kill our economy, socialism, reduce funding for the police," Scott said.
In campaigns, using hyperbole to depict rivals is a common practice. We wanted to know whether the Florida senator described Schumer’s positions correctly.
Health care
Scott said Schumer, the senior senator from New York, "wants to eliminate private health care insurance" and put everyone on the Medicare system.
Schumer is not a co-sponsor of the "Medicare for All" bill sponsored by Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt. In August, during his speech at the Democratic National Convention, Schumer said Democrats would make "health care affordable for all," but he did not elaborate.
In an interview with Vox in March 2019, Schumer was asked if Medicare for All would pass if Democrats controlled Congress and the White House. He replied: "I can say this. Some strong health care bill would pass." Asked about implementing a single-payer system, Schumer said he couldn’t predict if that would pass or not, and that views in his conference on the topic are mixed. Senate Democrats are interested in universal coverage, not just access, he said. Without endorsing Medicare for All, Schumer praised its supporters. "And the energy for Medicare for All that’s out in the streets, it’s great. It pushes everything over that we need to move over," he said.
In April 2019, the Associated Press reported that Schumer "stopped short of throwing his weight behind Sen. Bernie Sanders’ ‘Medicare for All’ plan."
Thomas P. Miller, co-author of "Why Obamacare’s Wrong for America," and a resident fellow at the conservative American Enterprise Institute, said that in 2009, during debate around the Affordable Care Act, Schumer proposed a kind of public option, but one that didn’t appeal to his colleagues further to the left. The model proposed by Schumer at the time was self-sustaining, not requiring government subsidy.
We also asked Miller about the broader context of Scott’s remarks, such as the likelihood that the Senate would pass a Medicare for All kind of system if Democrats were in charge. Miller said that would depend on the vote margins - big wins for Democrats could lead them to make greater changes to the health care system - but that he doubts Democrats would abandon private insurance altogether.
We reached out to Scott’s Senate spokesperson and the NRSC, both of which did not respond to calls and email messages.
Schumer’s spokesperson also declined to comment for this fact-check.
Climate change
When Senate Republicans brought the Green New Deal to the floor -- not because any GOP member supported it, but to force an uncomfortable vote for vulnerable Democratic incumbents -- Schumer took to the Senate floor to condemn the move. He also condemned Senate Republicans for not putting forth meaningful legislation to combat climate change. But Schumer did not endorse the Green New Deal, as proposed by Sen. Edward Markey, D-Mass.
When a procedural vote on the Republicans’ Green New Deal plan came up, Schumer voted present, as did many of his Democratic colleagues.
The Green New Deal, as proposed by Markey, is a resolution calling on Congress to create legislation that would achieve net-zero greenhouse gas emissions, investments in infrastructure, job creation, clean air and water and healthy food, among other things. Without other legislation, it would not have the force of law if passed. The resolution has been referred to committee in the Senate.
While Schumer has not co-sponsored the Green New Deal, he has co-sponsored the "Thrive Agenda," a resolution that calls for combating climate change while investing in minority communities and creating jobs. It has been supported by the Green New Deal Network, a coalition of organizations such as the Sunrise Movement, which has been a foremost proponent of the Green New Deal.
Police funding
Scott also said that Schumer wants to "reduce funding for the police."
Schumer has endorsed a criminal justice reform bill, the "Justice in Policing Act." The bill encourages policing reforms and withholds federal funds if local departments do not make changes, but also provides funding for training. The Congressional Research Service, which produces objective analyses of legislation for members of Congress, found that the receipt of certain federal funds would be conditional on whether state and local agencies prohibited the use of no-knock warrants in certain drug cases, as well as banned choke-holds, and changed use of force standards so the use of deadly force is only used as a last resort to prevent imminent death or serious bodily injury. The legislation also limits transfer of certain military-grade equipment, primarily weapons and vehicles used in combat, to state and local departments.
In June, Schumer opposed a resolution from Sen. Tom Cotton, R-Ark., opposing efforts to defund the police. In itself, this opposition was not a vote to reduce funding for police.
Schumer has not said exactly what kind of policies he would pursue if he becomes majority leader, and he has said repeatedly that "everything is on the table."
Our ruling
Scott said that Schumer was in favor of Medicare for All, the Green New Deal, and reducing funding for police.
Schumer is not on record supporting Medicare for All, though he has said that a strong health care bill would pass if Democrats take control of the Senate.
He is not a co-sponsor of the Green New Deal, though he does support legislation to combat climate change supported by a coalition of progressive organizations, known as the Green New Deal Network.
Schumer supports legislation to make the receipt of federal funds by local and state governments conditional on adopting certain reforms. It would not reduce police funding automatically.
We rate Scott’s statement False.
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753, 5224, 3641, 13, 52050, 52050] | 1,104 |
886 | Pat Toomey | 2021-01-19 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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A photo caption says vendors named “Nah” and “Stop asking me questions before you get your a-- kicked” sold Trump-themed merchandise to “stupid” people outside the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6.
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-12-04 00:00:00 | pants-fire | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/dec/04/viral-image/china-has-vaccine-and-new-covid-19-cases-have-rece/ |
China has a vaccine and new COVID-19 cases have recently been reported there
|
As the U.S. inches closer than ever toward an available COVID-19 vaccine, misinformation about both the disease and how to prevent it are spreading online.
One image being shared on social media makes a claim about China, where the first case of COVID-19 was reported in December 2019.
"Why did China recover without a vaccine?" the image says. "And why doesn’t anybody talk about it?"
This post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
First of all, China already has a COVID-19 vaccine.
In late November, the chair of a Chinese pharmaceutical company said in an interview with a Chinese newspaper that nearly 1 million people in the country had used its COVID-19 vaccines.
But experts have also credited the country for curbing the spread of the coronavirus by taking other measures. In a nutshell: China moved quickly compared to other countries. Wuhan, where the first case was reported in December 2019, was put on a strict lockdown for more than two months and 9 million people were tested for COVID-19 there within weeks. Public transportation was suspended and across the country 14,000 health checkpoints were established. Residents were severely restricted from moving outside their homes. And China effectively enacted a nationwide contact tracing system.
By September, the executive director of the World Health Organization’s health emergencies program was congratulating the Chinese for working "together tirelessly to bring the disease to this very low level."
In October, The Lancet medical journal reported that China had managed to control the pandemic rapidly and effectively. The journal credited that feat to a few factors. The country already has a centralized epidemic response system. Few elderly Chinese residents live in nursing facilities, which were a major source of infection in some western countries. And because of the severity of the SARS outbreak in 2002, most adults there were cognizant of what could happen during the coronavirus outbreak.
Chinese residents also broadly complied with mask rules unlike in the United States, where many Americans have refused to wear masks even as cases surge. In China, people were publicly shamed for not wearing masks.
"Drones equipped with echoing loudspeakers rebuked Chinese citizens who were not following the rules," according to the Lancet. "‘Yes Auntie, this drone is talking to you,’ one device proclaimed to a surprised woman in Inner Mongolia. ‘You shouldn’t walk around without wearing a mask. You’d better go home and wash your hands.’"
While restrictions in China are now similar to those in place throughout Europe and the United States, NBC News reported, widespread compliance in China appears to be making a difference.
As of Dec. 3, China had 93,203 cases and 4,744 COVID-19 deaths, according to Johns Hopkins University. That’s far fewer cases and deaths than in the United States, which has recorded more than 14 million cases and more than 275,250 deaths.
Ali Mokdad, a professor of global health at the University of Washington, told NBC that China’s success is possible only through restrictions on individual freedoms that wouldn’t be tolerated here. Its approach has been criticized for being draconian.
But the country is still grappling with COVID-19. After multiple locally-transmitted cases were identified in three cities in November, Chinese officials tested millions of people for the disease and initiated new lockdowns and shuttered schools.
"Recent flareups have shown that there is still a risk of the virus returning, despite being largely controlled in China," the Associated Press reported.
The National Health Commission in China recently announced that "strict containment measures should be taken" in the winter and spring to prevent cases of COVID-19.
Our ruling
The Facebook post says that China has recovered from the coronavirus without a vaccine.
Through a number of severe restrictions, widespread testing, and high compliance among residents there, the country has largely succeeded in bringing the virus to heel but it has not returned to normal operations. In schools, for example, millions of children wear masks and have their temperature checked multiple times a day. And new cases of COVID-19 are still being identified in China.
The country also has a vaccine, and Chinese officials say nearly 1 million people have been vaccinated.
We rate this post False.
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887 | Wayne Christian | 2021-01-05 00:00:00 | a post:
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“Military brass band plays ‘Hit the Road Jack’ as Trump leaves office.”
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-12-04 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/dec/04/facebook-posts/alleged-backdated-ballots-wouldnt-have-been-counte/ |
Alleged ‘backdated’ ballots wouldn’t have been counted even if USPS claim were true
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A U.S. Postal Service contractor working in Wisconsin during the election claims USPS workers told him about 100,000 "missing" ballots and a move to backdate ballots.
The claims from this purported whistleblower are being trumpeted by an array of conservative news outlets and personalities — including President Donald Trump — amid the ongoing effort to discredit and overturn election results in Wisconsin. Claims of widespread voter fraud across the U.S. have been presented without evidence and led to a string of defeats in court.
But this claim carries a particularly noteworthy bit of absurdity — even if it were 100% true, it would not have altered the Wisconsin election results by a single vote.
Ethan Pease, a temporary employee of a subcontractor, told his story shortly after the election, but it has found renewed life after he appeared at a Dec. 1, 2020, press conference in Arlington, VA, then made appearances on Fox News with Sean Hannity and Fox Business with Lou Dobbs. Trump posted the press conference video on his YouTube channel.
Various write-ups of this claim appeared on an array of conservative websites and were widely shared on Facebook. These stories were flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook).
Many narratives citing Pease connect his claim to improperly counted votes.
Dobbs introduced Pease as a man who "has come forward charging postal workers backdated 100,000 mail-in ballots so they could be illegally counted." The Lutchman Report website said ballots were backdated "so that the ballots would be counted even if they arrived after the statutory deadline."
But that’s simply not possible — the Wisconsin deadline is based on when ballots are received, not postmarked.
Let’s dig into the details.
Pease’s allegation
Pease’s claim — sworn to in an affidavit that is being used in a lawsuit challenging the election results — is based on two conversations he had with USPS workers while filling a delivery role around the election.
Pease said he started his job Aug. 26, 2020, as a temporary employee with United Mailing Services, working as a route and box truck driver in the Madison area. His job was to pick up mail and bring it back to UMS, which then sorted it so he could drive the sorted mail to USPS. That mail included ballots housed in separate bins.
Here’s Pease’s description of the interactions the day after the Nov. 3 election.
Nov. 4, I was asked by a senior USPS employee named Monte if I had forgotten any ballots the night before. Monte explained that an order came down from the Wisconsin-Illinois chapter of USPS that 100,000 ballots were missing. Monte then told me that his post office had dispatched employees to look for the missing ballots around 4 a.m., and that only seven or eight were found at UMS. Based on my previous experience and habit of double-checking for ballots, I believed that to be a lie.
The following day, Nov. 5, 2020, I had a conversation with a different USPS employee named Rachel, in which she admitted USPS employees were ordered to backdate ballots that were received too late to be lawfully counted.
At this point we can’t address the validity of Pease’s claims, though it’s noteworthy they come from a temporary employee of a subcontractor based on his interpretation of conversations, not any direct observation.
The USPS did not immediately respond to an email asking if they are investigating the matter.
But we do know this had no impact on the election results.
No impact on election results
The widely shared social media posts built around Pease generally connect his claims to illegally counting those votes, though Pease never made that claim himself in the press conferences or Fox appearances.
And that connection is fraught with logical impossibilities.
The biggest by far is a fundamental misunderstanding of the Wisconsin voting deadline.
An array of litigation on absentee ballots in Wisconsin ended Oct. 26 with the U.S. Supreme Court ruling absentee ballots would only be counted if they were returned by Election Day — upholding previous practice. Democrats and other nonpartisan groups had sought changes allowing ballots to be counted if they were postmarked by Election Day, even if they were received later.
So local election workers across the state only counted absentee ballots that were submitted by the time polls closed on Election Day.
The entirety of Pease’s allegations involve actions taken Nov. 4 and 5. In terms of the vote tally, it doesn’t matter what USPS employees did with ballots at that point. No election officials were going to count them. And the entire state had already reported its election results (Milwaukee County was last about 4 a.m. Nov. 4)
In Madison, where Pease worked, the last election results were reported the night of the election.
Reid Magney, spokesman for the Wisconsin Elections Commission, summed it up this way, addressing Pease’s claims:
"In Wisconsin, no ballots received after 8 p.m. on Tuesday, November 3, could be counted, period. It doesn’t matter when they were postmarked. This was extensively litigated in federal courts in the weeks prior to the election and everyone, including the post office, knew that postmarks were immaterial to whether ballots were counted in Wisconsin."
We should also note that some conspiracy theories online connect the timing of Pease’s comment — a ballot search at 4 a.m. Nov. 4 — to the "vote dump" claims that allege a jump in votes for Democrat Joe Biden in the wee hours of Nov. 4 is somehow questionable. The vote dump claim has been repeatedly debunked: The increase in votes was simply when the City of Milwaukee finished counting its absentee ballots, which were predictably heavily in Biden’s favor.
But the connection is illogical on its face as well. It’s ridiculous to assert a jump in reported votes occurred at the same time employees were searching for ballots across an array of facilities. That supposed correlation leaves no time for ballots to be transported to election officials, verified, counted and added to tallies.
Our ruling
An array of social media posts have seized on statements from a "whistleblower" to say the USPS backdated 100K ballots so they could be counted illegally.
We can’t yet gauge the validity of the back-dating claims, but we do know it’s ridiculous to say this affected the Wisconsin vote totals.
Absentee ballots had to be received by the time polls closed on Election Day to be counted, and all state election results were reported by the early morning hours of Nov. 4. Pease’s claims relate to actions allegedly taken Nov. 4 and 5. Whatever happened to ballots then, no one was going to count and include them.
We rate this claim False.
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888 | Facebook posts | 2021-01-20 00:00:00 | a YouTube post:
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In 10 Michigan precincts, voter turnout reached 100% and in 6 precincts it surpassed 100%
| Clara Hendrickson | 2020-12-04 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/dec/04/facebook-posts/no-georgia-election-workers-didnt-kick-out-observe/ |
No, Georgia election workers didn’t kick out observers and illegally count ‘suitcases’ of ballots
|
Georgia election officials disputed a video promoted by President Donald Trump’s campaign as evidence of election fraud, saying the footage shows nothing but "normal ballot processing."
The surveillance video was introduced as proof of illegal activity by Trump lawyer Rudy Giuliani and his team during a Dec. 3 hearing with Georgia state legislators. The Trump campaign then circulated One America News Network’s live coverage of the event online.
Social media posts sharing the video were flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
The posts claim the video footage shows election workers at Atlanta’s State Farm Arena telling election observers to leave, pulling suitcases filled with ballots from under a table, and illegally counting them with no observers present. "Smoking gun," one Facebook post said.
That interpretation is wrong, however. The footage doesn’t show any wrongdoing, said Gabriel Sterling, a Republican and Georgia’s voting system implementation manager, in a Dec. 4 tweet.
"The 90 second video of election workers at State Farm arena, purporting to show fraud was watched in its entirety (hours) by @GaSecofState investigators," Sterling wrote, linking to a fact-check from Lead Stories. "Shows normal ballot processing."
The 90 second video of election workers at State Farm arena, purporting to show fraud was watched in its entirety (hours) by @GaSecofState investigators. Shows normal ballot processing. Here is the fact check on it. https://t.co/HVJsvDjDvi— Gabriel Sterling (@GabrielSterling) December 4, 2020
Reporters for Lead Stories spoke with Sterling about the surveillance video. They also talked to Frances Watson, the Georgia secretary of state’s chief investigator, and an unidentified state election board monitor who was present in the room late on election night.
The ballots seen in the video were not in suitcases, the officials told Lead Stories. They were in standard ballot containers. And there was nothing illegal about the way they were processed.
In reality, the ballots had been removed from their envelopes and processed while news media personnel and observers were still in the room. Nobody was ever told to leave, Watson told Lead Stories. But some observers exited after the election workers responsible for opening the envelopes and verifying the ballots had finished their job and started taking off for the night.
The observers were allowed to return at any time, Watson told Lead Stories. Lead Stories and Georgia Public Broadcasting reported that while the state’s law allows partisan observers to watch, it does not actually require that they be present for ballots to be counted.
That lines up with the sequence of events Sterling described in response to a Facebook post about the video. Here’s what he said:
"When the workers began packing up to go, there were two groups, the cutters and the counters. Cutters opened, stacked and prepared ballots for scanning. Scanners … well, they scanned. All of them heard a supervisor say we are finishing for the night, because the cutters had completed their work. The scanners heard they were ‘done’ and started packing up to leave. During that time the elections director called the absentee supervisor at State Farm to tell him the scanners needed to continue their work. So people had already started to leave or had left … cutters, media, monitors. But the video shows no new boxes of ballots brought out from a table, they were all there when the media and monitors were in the room. The video shows them getting back to work scanning. When the (state elections board) monitor arrives they continue to do the same thing they had been doing all night. When the (secretary of state) investigator got there they continued doing the same thing."
Sterling also addressed claims about the video in an interview on Newsmax and walked through the surveillance tape with a WSB-TV reporter.
Richard Barron, the elections director in Fulton County, which includes Atlanta, also addressed the issue with the county’s elections officials. In a video published online by 11Alive, the NBC affiliate TV station in Atlanta, he described sending instructions for the scanners to keep going.
"No announcement was ever made to leave, for anyone to leave," Barron said. "Certain staff that were on the cutting stations, that were on the flattening stations, that were extracting from the inner envelopes, those staff left as work completed. I found out sometime, I think a little after 10:30, that they were going to cease operations, and I told them not to do that."
"It was normal processing that occurred there," said Barron, who added that the plastic bins shown in the video were "bins that they keep under their desks near the scanners."
Other reporters also disputed claims that the video showed illegal counting by election workers. Fulton County tweeted Dec. 4 that it was "aware of no credible reports of voter fraud."
A spokesperson for OAN said the video shared by Trump’s campaign and supporters was taken from the network’s live coverage of Giuliani’s presentation at the hearing in Georgia. The source and presentation of the video was not originally from OAN, the spokesperson said.
The Georgia secretary of state’s office did not immediately respond to requests for comment.
Our ruling
Social media posts claim that video from Georgia shows suitcases filled with ballots pulled from under a table and illegally counted after election observers were told to leave. That’s wrong.
State officials have said there was no suitcase, no instruction to leave, and no illegal counting of ballots. The video does not prove that the bins shown contained fraudulent ballots, either.
We rate these Facebook posts False.
RELATED: Georgia election worker falsely accused of discarding ballot is in hiding, official says
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889 | Instagram posts | 2021-01-13 00:00:00 | an affidavit:
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Says Charles Schumer supports “putting everybody on the Medicare system. He wants the Green New Deal … reduce funding for the police.”
| Jill Terreri Ramos | 2020-12-04 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/17/donald-trump/trump-claims-california-lawmaker-pushed-abolish-si/ |
Trump Claims California Lawmaker Pushed To ‘Abolish Single-Family Zoning.’ Is He Right?
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President Donald Trump and U.S. Housing Secretary Ben Carson claimed yesterday that a California state lawmaker is trying to "abolish single-family zoning" in the state.
"For the past three years, the state senator who represents Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s San Francisco, has led a push to abolish single-family zoning in California," Trump and Carson wrote about state Sen. Scott Wiener, D–San Francisco, in an op-ed in The Wall Street Journal titled "We’ll Protect America’s Suburbs."
Wiener, called the op-ed "racist," and said it attacks him "for fighting to legalize affordable housing in neighborhoods zoned to only allow single-family housing."
"This is an ugly and desperate attempt to appeal to white suburbanites, whom they fear are going to vote for Joe Biden and Kamala Harris this November," Wiener said in a press release on Monday.
Last month, the Trump administration rescinded the Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing mandate. That Obama-era rule required communities that receive grants and housing aid to assess racial segregation in housing and offer plans to correct it. Advocates criticized the move, saying it would make it harder to bring lawsuits alleging discrimination in housing, while conservative groups said it would stop frivolous lawsuits.
Politics aside, we wanted to know more about Trump and Carson’s claim on housing in California. Is there really a push to "abolish single-family zoning" in the state? Or did they stretch the truth?
We set out on a fact check.
Our research
Like much in California’s housing world, the claim from Trump and Carson is confusing.
From the viewpoint of housing and zoning experts, the administration’s claim is technically accurate but needs a lot of explaining and could be interpreted as misleading.
In recent years, Wiener led the push to pass legislation to allow for greater housing density in California to meet the state’s lack of supply.
His most recent effort, Senate Bill 50, stalled out in the Democratic-controlled Legislature earlier this year. Previous versions also failed.
SB 50 would have required cities and counties to permit higher-density zoning near job and transit centers. But housing experts say that legislation doesn’t fit with Trump’s dark narrative about Democrats wanting to "destroy the suburbs," noting vast tracts of single-family homes would still be permitted across California communities.
In neighborhoods within a half mile of rail stations, ferry terminals and other transit hubs, this "upzoning" would greenlight mid-rise apartment towers of four or five stories. In spots farther from transit and jobs, it would permit dividing homes into duplexes, triplexes and fourplexes in areas previously zoned only for single-family homes.
Earlier in the op-ed, Trump and Carson claim that, if left in place, the federal housing rule they rescinded would also "abolish single-family zoning, compel the construction of high-density ‘stack and pack’ apartment buildings in residential neighborhoods, and forcibly transform neighborhoods."
This gives the impression that the failed California legislation would do the same. But under the state bill, the private market would drive the construction of higher-density housing, not government. Local governments would not be compelled to build anything. And large tracts of single-family homes would still be permitted.
Among experts, a zoning designation communicates the maximum density that can be built on a property, but it doesn’t mean other less-dense options, such as single-family homes, are off limits.
Of course, not everyone who reads the op-ed is a housing or zoning expert and they might be left with a very different impression, including the idea that there’s a push to abolish new single-family homes in California, which is not the case.
Here’s one viewpoint from a housing expert:
"I think it is accurate," Ben Metcalf, managing director of UC Berkeley’s Terner Center for Housing Innovation, said of the claim. "There has been a longstanding effort over the last several years, among folks like Sen. Scott Wiener and other leaders in the Legislature and in the governor’s office, under Gov. Jerry Brown and Gov. Gavin Newsom, to try and create more flexibility for individual homeowners who want to add second units or third units or want to subdivide their lots."
But, as Metcalf explained, abolishing single-family zoning doesn’t mean getting rid of the ability to build new single-family homes.
"In President Trump and Secretary Carson’s op-ed, they are definitely doing some fear mongering here, making folks think that," said Metcalf, who led California’s Department of Housing and Community Development from 2015 to last year, and served in President Obama’s housing agency. "The implication here is, we here in California are trying to do away with the ability of folks to own and live in single-family homes. That’s just not it at all."
"I think it’s a major misconception and Trump and Carson are driving a bus through that misconception," Metcalf added.
‘No one is proposing to ban single-family homes’
In an interview on Monday, Wiener also said the claim was correct from a zoning perspective, but added a similar caveat.
"By eliminating single-family home zoning, all we’re saying is people will get to choose if they want to build a single-family home or 2-unit building or a 3-unit building or whatever. It’s about giving people more latitude," Wiener said. "No one is proposing to ban single-family homes. Single-family homes are a very important part of our housing stock."
Jenny Schuetz, who studies housing policy at the Brookings Institute, a Washington, D.C., think tank, wrote in an email that "people who aren't housing nerds (as Ben Metcalf, Sen. Wiener and I all are) find ‘abolish single-family zoning’ confusing. It sometimes gets repeated as ‘abolish (or ban) single-family homes’, which implies that someone will take a wrecking ball to existing homes. Not the same thing at all!"
Scheutz added that SB 50, if it had passed, "would be a very far cry from abolishing single-family zoning in California. SB50 would have applied to a limited set of geographic areas, mostly around transit stations and designated ‘job-rich’ communities."
Our rating
President Trump and Housing Secretary Ben Carson claimed that state Sen. Scott Wiener "has led a push to abolish single-family zoning in California" over the past three years.
Wiener and housing experts say the claim is technically correct. In recent years, the lawmaker championed bills to allow for more apartments on land now zoned only for single-family homes. But they also say the statement takes things out of context and could be misleading.
Among zoning experts, "abolishing" single-family zoning means to allow additional, higher-density options on the same property but not to eliminate the ability to build single-family homes. For others, however, the claim could be interpreted as ending the right to build single-family homes across the state or in parts of it.
That was never proposed. Trump and Carson say nothing about that key information, leaving a potentially misleading impression.
We rate the claim Half True.
HALF TRUE – The statement is partially accurate but leaves out important details or takes things out of context.
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890 | YouTube videos | 2021-01-19 00:00:00 | a television |
China recovered from COVID-19 “without a vaccine.”
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-12-04 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/17/facebook-posts/no-kamala-harris-didnt-say-about-guns/ |
No, Kamala Harris didn’t say this about guns
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Sen. Kamala Harris has taken a strong stance on gun control, but has she actually threatened to send police to your house to take your guns?
The short answer is no. But that hasn’t stopped social media users from spreading a fabricated quote attributed to her that suggests otherwise.
"If elected & you don’t surrender your guns, I will sign an executive order & the police will show up at your door," reads a post attributed to Harris, the newly selected running mate for presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden.
Harris didn’t say this. And there is no evidence Harris plans to force people to surrender their guns. The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
The claim appears to be a mischaracterization of a pledge Harris made during a CNN Presidential Town Hall in April 2019.
"Upon being elected, I will give the United States Congress 100 days to get their act together and have the courage to pass reasonable gun safety laws, and if they fail to do it, then I will take executive action," Harris said during the town hall.
Harris continued, clarifying what her executive action would encompass.
"And specifically what I will do is put in place a requirement that for anyone who sells more than five guns a year, they are required to do background checks when they sell those guns," Harris said. "I will require that for any gun dealer that breaks the law, the ATF take their license."
During the town hall, Harris did not discuss confiscating guns using law enforcement officers. What’s more, a commitment to use "executive action" can refer to more than just executive orders, as the Washington Post reported.
At another campaign event in August 2019 in Las Vegas, Harris reiterated her pledge to take action on guns within 100 days of taking office. At that event, she said she would also use executive action to implement "a ban on the importation of assault rifles into our country."
In a follow-up question, Harris was asked what enforcement of an assault rifles ban might look like. A reporter is heard off-camera asking, "Does it involve law enforcement essentially going to people’s houses looking for specific banned guns? Does it involve perhaps creating a database of people who are legal gun owners? What kind of process are we talking about here?"
Harris answered by referencing her experience as attorney general in California, when she said law enforcement was permitted to confiscate guns by going to the doors of people who were both "found by a court to be a danger to themselves and others" and were also "on a list where they were precluded and prohibited from owning a gun because of a conviction."
"I have to stress, lawful gun ownership, that is one thing. We’re talking about something else and we have to stop conflating and blending all these issues," Harris said.
Harris did not say she planned to send law enforcement officers to the homes of all gun owners, as the post suggests.
Any other evidence? No.
When we first spotted the false quote being shared Aug. 11 on a Facebook page called YET-iheart-NRA, PolitiFact reached out to the page administrator to ask what evidence they had to support the claim. Someone with the Facebook page responded, pointing us to an article from the blog Law Enforcement Today. That article referenced an exchange between Biden and Harris in the September 2019 Democratic presidential primary debate, found here.
In it, debate moderator David Muir of ABC’s World News Tonight pointed out that Harris said she planned to use executive action to ban imports of AR-15 assault weapons if Congress did not act quickly enough. Muir explained that Biden had expressed doubts about the future president’s "constitutional authority" to ban assault weapons via executive order, which Harris had not committed to doing.
When asked if Biden’s stated concern had a point, Harris jokingly replied, "I mean I would just say, ‘Hey Joe, instead of saying no we can’t, let’s say yes we can.’" Here again, there is no evidence she made the statement that is being attributed to her. (The post made by YET-iheart-NRA appears to have been removed since we inquired about it.)
Other fact-checking organizations debunked similar claims that circulated online in 2019, but Harris’ new role as vice presidential candidate caused the claim to reemerge. Fact-checking organizations have continued debunking the claim after it reappeared.
Our ruling
A post claims that vice presidential candidate Sen. Kamala Harris said, "If elected & you don’t surrender your guns, I will sign an executive order & the police will show up at your door."
This quote is fabricated. When she was running for president, Harris pledged to take executive action on gun control within the first 100 days of her administration. She did not say she would require people to surrender their guns or say she would order law enforcement to collect guns.
We rate this claim False.
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891 | Bloggers | 2020-11-24 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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The USPS backdated 100K ballots so they could be counted illegally.
| Eric Litke | 2020-12-04 00:00:00 | half-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/17/facebook-posts/no-wisconsin-mailbox-picture-isnt-proof-massive-vo/ |
No, Wisconsin mailbox picture isn’t proof of “massive voter suppression”
|
President Donald Trump has openly said he opposes emergency funding for the U.S. Postal Service because he doesn’t want to see it used for mail-in voting.
"They need that money in order to make the Post Office work so it can take all of these millions and millions of ballots," Trump told Fox News on Aug. 13, 2020, reiterating his frequent and false claim that mail-in voting is rife with fraud.
And that has opened the conspiracy floodgates.
It gave life to a long-running claim his opponent, Democrat Joe Biden, and others have made for months that Trump wants to limit the Postal Service to restrain mail-in voting. (Democrats have long been perceived to benefit most from mail-in voting, and a Marquette Law School poll released Aug. 11, 2020, confirmed this in Wisconsin, showing Biden leading by 67 points among those planning to vote absentee by mail.)
And it triggered an avalanche of allegations and news coverage about various Postal Service actions, from removing sorting machines to pulling mailboxes off the streets.
One claim that drew a particularly large audience is built around a picture of stacks of mailboxes. The picture — described as originating in Wisconsin — has taken off across Facebook, Instagram, Twitter, Reddit and elsewhere, being shared hundreds of thousands of times and viewed millions of times within a few days of the earliest posts on Aug. 14, 2020.
The most widespread version on Facebook is a screenshot of an Aug. 15, 2020, tweet that describes the picture this way:
"Photo taken in Wisconsin. This is happening right before our eyes. They are sabotaging USPS to sabotage vote by mail. This is massive voter suppression and part of their plan to steal the election."
This post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook).
Are these really mailboxes rounded up to suppress mail-in voting?
Let’s review the evidence.
Picture taken at Hartford company
The one accurate element in this claim is that the picture is from Wisconsin.
The earliest version of this picture we could find — hat tip to twitter user @ushadrons, one of many online sleuths looking into this claim — surfaced at noon central time Aug. 14, 2020. It simply included the caption "Whole thing looks terrible." A followup comment noted it was from Wisconsin.
Another Reddit user posted the same picture an hour later labeled as "Harford, Wisconsin today," misspelling the name of Hartford. Ensuing claims about voter suppression drew pushback from another user, who posted a picture of himself at the company gate, noting he lives one minute away in Hartford. His picture showed a man standing outside a very similar-looking fence with a Hartford Finishing Inc. sign on it and a very similar stack of mailboxes in the background.
By all accounts, this location is correct.
Hartford Finishing — in businesses since 1986 with about 220 current employees — has a contract with the Postal Service to refurbish old mailboxes. The business specializes in powder painting systems. Job ads the company posted in 2018 were for positions that specialize in "blues postal mailboxes." The Postal Service confirms the working relationship.
The company did not immediately respond to an email seeking comment, but Street View images from Google Maps show stacks of mailboxes are a regular occurrence there. A picture taken in August 2019 shows stacks far larger than the one in the viral image, in fact.
The fence and gate mechanism in Street View images from 2013 and 2019 match exactly the fence and gate shown on the viral image.
The gate and buildings also match the image posted by the Reddit user in Hartford.
Boxes pulled as part of routine maintenance
The core question then is whether the existence of these boxes at the company proves any kind of voter suppression. That’s the heart of the claim we’re checking here and many others connected to this picture online.
"THEY AREN’T EVEN TRYING TO HIDE IT NOW," actress Jeri Ryan said in a Facebook post sharing the Hartford image.
One Twitter user claimed Postmaster General Louis DeJoy — a controversial recent Trump appointee — was committing a felony. Another called it "clear evidence of illegal voting suppression."
But they’re all wrong.
Claims in this vein have surfaced around the country in response to images of other mailboxes stacked on the ground or on flatbed trucks.
The Postal Service has said these are part of long-running, standard practices. Little-used boxes are removed (after a public notice is posted on them) and dilapidated boxes are replaced with new ones, while the old ones then go in for refinishing.
Here’s the full response from the Postal Service when we asked them about the Hartford picture.
The Postal Service reviews collection box density every year on a routine basis to identify redundant/seldom used collection boxes as First-Class Mail volume continues to decline. Based on the density testing, boxes are identified for potential removal and notices are placed on boxes to give customers an opportunity to comment before the removal decision is made. This process is one of the many ways the Postal Service makes adjustments to our infrastructure to match our resources to declining mail volumes. Given the recent customer concerns the Postal Service will postpone removing boxes for a period of 90 days while we evaluate our customers’ concerns.
The photo in question is of a vendor we have done business with for several years. They are a contractor that repairs or destroys old collection boxes. They now make new collection boxes also. Photos such as this appear every couple of years.
In response to the widespread social-media blowback, the Postal Service said Aug. 14, 2020, it was suspending all removal operations until after the election, the Washington Post reported.
Our ruling
A viral picture circulating on social media says a picture of stacked mailboxes is proof of voter suppression in Wisconsin.
The picture is from Wisconsin, taken at a Hartford company, but it’s not proof of anything nefarious.
USPS contracts with Hartford Finishing to repair or destroy old mailboxes. The mailboxes shown could have been removed — after a public notice — due to lack of use (following a long-established process), or they could have been replaced with new boxes due to their condition.
We rate this claim False.
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892 | Russell James Ramsland Jr. | 2020-11-16 00:00:00 | Facebook posts:
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Video footage from Georgia shows suitcases filled with ballots pulled from under a table and illegally counted after election observers were told to leave.
| Bill McCarthy | 2020-08-17 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/17/national-republican-senatorial-committee/gop-senate-ad-misrepresents-montana-governors-stan/ |
GOP Senate ad misrepresents Montana governor’s stance on rural hospitals, public option
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An attack ad, which was released in mid-July, states that Montana Gov. Steve Bullock, a Democratic candidate for the Senate, supports a government-run health care program that would wreak havoc on the state’s health care infrastructure.
"Bullock’s health care plan will force rural hospitals to close. Medicare as we know it will change, replaced by a government-run program with fewer doctors and longer wait times," says the narrator in the dark and grainy advertisement paid for by the National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC).
Bullock is running against first-term incumbent Republican Sen. Steve Daines in a race viewed as a toss-up. Given the COVID-19 pandemic, both candidates have been focusing on health issues.
Because this race is critical to determining whether Democrats or Republicans control the Senate, and considering that its themes are likely to be repeated in many congressional campaigns, we thought it was important to check the ad’s validity.
We first asked the NRSC for the evidence on which the ad was based. A spokesperson pointed to Bullock’s support for a "public option" health plan and provided us with a report predicting this proposal’s negative impact on rural hospitals, as well as quotes from both Republicans and Democrats about how the public option could lead to the eventual implementation of a "Medicare for All" program. (Medicare for All refers to the single-payer health system, advocated by Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, which would eliminate private insurance and replace it with a government-run health care system.)
We also reached out to the Bullock campaign for its response.
In a statement, Sean Manning, spokesperson for Montanans for Bullock said, "The claims in this ad are false. Montana hasn't lost one rural hospital under Governor Bullock, and he will continue to support policies that protect rural hospitals while making affordable healthcare available to all Montanans in the Senate." (According to the University of North Carolina Sheps Center for Health Services Research, no rural hospitals have closed in Montana since 2005.)
Hold up ― which health care plan is the NRSC ad talking about?
The ad vaguely refers to Bullock’s "health care plan" but doesn’t say outright what the candidate supports.
According to Bullock’s campaign website, he supports the creation of a public option.
A public option is generally defined as a health plan administered by the federal government that exists alongside and competes with private health insurance plans on the Affordable Care Act exchanges. Public option proposals differ by political candidate, and can take various forms, including Medicare or Medicaid buy-ins as well as a new government-run entity.
Opponents of such plans say that a public option, which would have the scale and regulatory power of the federal government to set lower reimbursement rates to providers, would have a competitive advantage and could put private insurance companies out of business. This would leave Americans with only one choice ― government-backed insurance. But that conclusion is debatable. Some health care scholars argue a public option would increase competition, leading to expanded access to health coverage, lower health care costs and lower premiums for consumers.
In the end, the outcomes from implementing this approach are difficult to predict unless a specific plan is released, said Benedic Ippolito, a health care research scholar at the American Enterprise Institute.
"Things can be radically different based on what the public option looks like," said Ippolito. "The two big variables are, who is covered? And how does that insurer actually pay health care providers? You can imagine two public options looking totally different."
The payment rate is key
Now to tackle the first part of the ad, which says that "Bullock’s health care plan will force rural hospitals to close."
This argument stems from the idea that a public option would lead to lower reimbursement rates, based on the model provided by Medicare, which pays less than private insurance. And, because many rural hospitals are already severely financially strapped, lowered payments would do them in, the argument goes.
When we asked the NRSC for the evidence to support this position, a spokesperson provided an August 2019 study conducted by Navigant, a consulting firm. The study was commissioned by the Partnership for America’s Healthcare Future, a health industry coalition including drugmakers, insurance companies and private hospitals. The organization opposes Medicare for All and a public option.
The study modeled what would happen to rural hospitals if three separate public option approaches were implemented.
While it found that a public option could, depending on the scenario, cause a revenue reduction for rural hospitals of between 2.3% and 14%, the study reached these findings by assuming that the hospitals would be paid at Medicare rates.
Bullock’s campaign website, though, under his rural health care policy proposals, specifically states: "We need a public option that includes higher reimbursements for rural hospitals."
We asked the Bullock campaign if it could provide us with details about what the "higher reimbursement" rate would be based on. It declined. A campaign staffer told us Bullock would support a public option that pays rural hospitals above Medicare rates. Since the reimbursement rates would be higher than Medicare’s, the assumptions in the Navigant study cannot be applied here.
"If the public option is a reasonably generous payer, that won’t be the end of rural health care," said Ippolito. "But, you can easily imagine due to budgetary concerns, a public payer could have a lower reimbursement, which would have consequences."
Some health policy experts argue that a public option would help rural hospitals by increasing the number of people in rural areas who have health insurance.
This would "benefit rural hospitals, since getting virtually nothing from uninsured patients is worse than getting a reasonably good rate from the public option," said Gerard Anderson, a professor of health policy and management at Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore.
That’s a big jump
Next, we’re on to the NRSC ad’s second claim: "Medicare as we know it will change, replaced by a government-run program with fewer doctors and longer wait times."
As several experts pointed out, this sentence doesn’t make a lot of sense. Medicare is already a government-run program.
Also, the design of most public option proposals thus far keeps Medicare and the public option as two separate government programs, said Linda Blumberg, a health policy analyst at the Urban Institute, a think tank.
The NRSC clarified its position and told us it was referring to the idea that a public option would stifle competition in the insurance market, eventually leading to only government-run insurance or Medicare for All. The evidence the NRSC provided to support this claim were quotes from a selection of Republicans, Democrats, professors, and experts from conservative think tanks saying that the public option is a stepping stone to this single-payer approach.
But others suggest that’s a big leap in logic.
"I think that analysis is almost surely wrong," said Matthew Fiedler, a fellow with the Brookings Institution. "In a world where there is a public option, the negotiating dynamics between insurers and providers would change substantially."
This would likely create an environment in which private insurers could negotiate lower rates and providers would have to respond to that change in revenue with more efficiencies, he added. However, depending on how a public option plan is structured -- specifically if providers can opt out of participating -- some in-demand providers may choose to stay in private-plan networks where they could negotiate higher payments. This would keep private plans competitive.
"I don’t think it’s reasonable to argue that a public option would drive all other plans out of the market," Fiedler said.
Again, Ippolito said it all depends on how the public option program is designed, and he allowed that if providers and hospitals were paid at Medicare rates, the public option would have a huge competitive advantage over commercial insurers because it would be paying out less for services and then could charge lower premiums, and "there’s no question in the short run, that it would be disruptive."
As we noted earlier, the prediction of any outcome is difficult without specifics. Without details of Bullock’s public option plan, it’s misleading to characterize the outcome of the public option as surely leading to Medicare for All.
Why it matters
The race between Bullock and Daines is indicative of a trend occurring in campaigns across the country. Republicans often paint Democrats as left of the general public and health care has often been one of the issues the GOP highlights in that effort.
In this case, the NRSC ad links Bullock to Medicare for All, despite his expressed support for a public option. Sean Manning, Bullock’s campaign spokesperson, said the governor does not support Medicare for All.
Jeremy Johnson, an associate professor of political science at Carroll College in Helena, Montana, said that even before COVID-19 became a major campaign issue, Daines, echoing a Trump theme, had pushed the idea that he stood for freedom versus socialism.
"One of the things [Daines] gives as a symbol of socialism is Medicare for All," said Johnson. "Because Bullock says he favors a public option, there is a conflation of that on the Republican side to mean Medicare for All."
But the public option and Medicare for All are not the same program and it’s misleading to lump them together.
Our rating
The NRSC claimed in a television ad that Steve Bullock’s support for the public option would cause rural hospitals to close.
While the NRSC did provide us with one study that offered support for its rural hospital claim, the study was industry-funded and based on broad assumptions that don’t accurately reflect positions outlined on Bullock's website. Thus, this claim doesn’t stand up.
The second part of the ad asserts that the public option would lead to the implementation of Medicare for All. While supporters and critics debate how a public option would affect the private health insurance market and some on both sides consider it a "glide path" to a single-payer health care system, it’s too big of a jump to say it would definitely trigger this outcome.
We rate this False.
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894 | Viral image | 2020-12-02 00:00:00 | a speech:
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Says a picture of stacked mailboxes is proof of voter suppression in Wisconsin
| Eric Litke | 2020-08-17 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/15/donald-trump/trump-tweet-mischaracterizes-new-yorks-voting-woes/ |
Trump tweet mischaracterizes New York’s voting woes
|
In numerous public statements, President Donald Trump has questioned the security of voting by mail, and he is using uncounted ballots from New York’s June primary to make his case.
In a July 29 tweet, Trump said: "New York Mail-In voting is in a disastrous state of condition. Votes from many weeks ago are missing - a total mess. They have no idea what is going on. Rigged Election. I told you so. Same thing would happen, but on massive scale, with USA. Fake News refuses to report!"
New York Mail-In voting is in a disastrous state of condition. Votes from many weeks ago are missing - a total mess. They have no idea what is going on. Rigged Election. I told you so. Same thing would happen, but on massive scale, with USA. Fake News refuses to report!— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) July 29, 2020
Terms like "disastrous state" and "total mess" are subjective and open to interpretation. We recognize that in political rhetoric, there is license for hyperbole. Clearly, there were problems with voting by mail. The delayed results and other issues that emerged from New York’s June 23 primary have been documented by reporters. A month after the primary, some races had not been called. And it stemmed from the expansion of absentee voting as a way to avoid possible exposure to COVID-19 at polling places. But we wondered about Trump’s claim that "votes from many weeks ago are missing" and the election was "rigged."
Votes cast, but not counted
The New York State Board of Elections told PolitiFact that there are an unknown number of ballots from eligible voters that cannot be counted and fall into two categories.
"We have received reports of voters who applied for absentee ballots at the front end, but did not receive them," said John Conklin, director of public information at the state board. "Some of those voters were not entitled to ballots because they were not qualified. This was a primary and some voters were not enrolled in the party having the primary. We have also received reports of voters who returned ballots that did not arrive at the board. The number of ballots in both categories is unknown."
We asked the White House press office about what Trump meant when he said "missing" and "rigged" but did not receive a response.
We also talked to voting experts and election lawyers about Trump’s claim. Several mentioned the primary in the 12th Congressional District, an election that Trump has also mentioned when talking about problems in New York. Nearly all cautioned that what Trump said in his tweet -- that the election in New York was "rigged" -- is unfounded, and that the problems in New York had to do with election workers overwhelmed by vastly more absentee ballots than is typical, as well as strict laws governing absentee ballots. The problems cannot be attributed to ballots cast fraudulently or ballots that were tampered with after they were submitted, they said.
"There’s no rigging of any election here," said Sarah Steiner, an election lawyer based in New York City whose clients hold varying positions on the mail-in ballot issue. "There are people trying to make an election work under the worst possible circumstances," she said.
Sarah Goff, deputy director of CommonCause/NY, estimates that 40 to 60 percent of the people who cast ballots in the primary statewide voted with an absentee ballot, a dramatic increase from a typical election.
Norm Ornstein, a political scientist with the American Enterprise Institute who describes himself as a political moderate, said that the situation "is more an example of ineptitude than it is malfeasance."
"The state has a long history of incompetence when it comes to running elections," said Ornstein. "There’s nothing new here."
Two candidates and a group of voters whose ballots were not counted in New York City filed a lawsuit against the state Board of Elections and won. The lawsuit, citing information from Brooklyn Democratic Chairperson Rodneyse Bichotte, states that almost 4 percent of ballots in Brooklyn alone could be invalidated. Plaintiffs’ lawyers argued in favor of counting ballots that were disqualified because of missing or late postmarks.
The number of ballots that were cast in good faith by eligible voters and were not counted for various reasons -- a missing signature, a missing postmark, or another similar problem, is not known.
We reached out to the conservative Heritage Foundation, which didn’t look at the situation in New York, but said in general, absentee and mail-in ballots are unaccounted for in every election. Hans von Spakovsky, a former member of the Federal Election Commission, cited reports filed with Congress by the U.S. Election Assistance Commission, and said that in the last four federal elections, 1.3 million ballots were rejected by election officials. PolitiFact found this to be about 1 percent of votes cast.
Our ruling
The state Board of Elections told us that an unknown number of voters who requested ballots did not receive them, and that ballots placed in the mail were not received by the board. These could be considered "missing," the word used by Trump.
But in the same tweet, Trump claims that the election in New York was "rigged," leaving the reader with the impression that these ballots are missing because there was malicious intent, where none has been proven in New York.
We rate Trump’s claim Mostly False.
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895 | Facebook posts | 2020-12-03 00:00:00 | a post on Facebook:
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“[Steve] Bullock’s health care plan will force rural hospitals to close. Medicare as we know it will change, replaced by a government-run program with fewer doctors and longer wait times.”
| Victoria Knight | 2020-08-17 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/10/facebook-posts/claim-about-killing-payroll-tax-and-social-securit/ |
Claim about 'killing' payroll tax and Social Security needs more context
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President Donald Trump’s weekend order to give millions of workers a break on payroll taxes caught many people by surprise, and created a range of reactions, criticism and questions.
One post on Facebook said bluntly, "Killing the payroll tax means killing Social Security."
This post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
This post is misleading. While it’s true that the payroll tax provides nearly 90% of the revenues for Social Security, Congress could decide to use another way to pay for the program. The program’s promise to people exists outside of the funding mechanism.
Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin told Fox News Sunday that the money would be made up for with dollars from the general fund. The administration can’t promise that on its own. Congress, which controls federal spending, would need to pass a bill to make it happen.
Social Security funding will not collapse due to this act alone, said William Hoagland, senior vice president of the Bipartisan Policy Center, a Washington think tank.
And economist Eugene Steuerle at the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center told us that in the past, Congress has come through and reimbursed the trust funds.
"The only effect is to delay the day of reckoning when there is insufficient money left in the trust funds to pay out benefits," he said.
Funding is critically needed.
As we wrote last year, Social Security is like a forest pond with a stream flowing in at one end and water flowing out the other. If the pond is shrinking, there are only three ways to save it: increase the amount coming in (higher taxes), reduce the amount going out (cut some benefits), or count on rain from above to fill the pond (get a higher return on money in the trust funds today).
The Social Security Administration compiled a list of legislative ideas that would extend the life of the trust funds.
By and large, the bills in Congress now rely on option No.1 –– raising taxes to pay for future benefits. The number crunchers at Social Security estimated how much longer the trust funds would last under the different proposals.
The government’s maximum time frame is 75 years, or 2093, and one bill achieved that. The package from Sens. Richard Blumenthal, D-Conn., and Chris Van Hollen, D-Md., and Rep. John Larson, D-Conn., would gradually raise the current combined employer-employee payroll tax of 12.4% to 14.8% by 2043. The rate would go up one-tenth of a percent each year.
Their package also changes the rule for high earners. They would apply the payroll tax to earnings over $400,000. Today, the maximum taxable amount is just shy of $138,000.
The specifics vary, but other bills extend the solvency of the trust funds by making similar changes — raising the payroll tax for everyone and applying the tax for the first time to earnings above a certain level.
Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., co-sponsored a plan with Rep. Peter DeFazio, D-Ore., that would stretch the life of the trust funds to 2071. It would apply payroll taxes to income over $250,000 and levy a new 6.2% tax on investment income for couples making over $250,000 a year.
Our ruling
In response to Trump’s executive action, a post on Facebook claimed, "Killing the payroll tax means killing Social Security."
Trump’s proposal defers some payments of the payroll taxes, which experts say won’t kill Social Security. But the federal government does need to find ways to fund the program in the long term. That’s not a new problem.
We rate this claim Half True.
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896 | Facebook posts | 2020-12-02 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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Photo shows Barack Obama and George Clooney in a compromising situation with a child.
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-08-17 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/10/facebook-posts/no-donald-trump-did-not-put-hold-evictions-through/ |
No, Donald Trump did not put a hold on evictions through December
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Some Facebook users jumped the gun on a series of executive actions signed by President Donald Trump after bipartisan negotiations on a new coronavirus relief bill ground to a halt.
One of the four orders Trump signed on Aug. 8 addressed eviction policy, an urgent matter given the coronavirus pandemic, which has prompted a severe economic downturn and caused many renters to lose their jobs. An eviction moratorium that had been included in the coronavirus relief bill known as the CARES Act expired on July 24 and has not yet been extended. Between 30 million and 40 million people could be at risk of eviction over the next few months without an extended moratorium, the National Low-Income Housing Coalition estimated.
The Aug. 8 Facebook post said lawmakers wasted time on negotiations when Trump was taking forceful actions.
Trump, the post said, "put a hold on ALL EVICTIONS through December." It went on to say that Trump "is for the people whether you like him or not. This executive order he just signed is going to save a lot of y’all asses."
But it is not accurate to say Trump extended eviction protections until December.
This post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
What the CARES Act did on evictions
First, some background on the previous eviction moratorium from the CARES Act.
That law, which was passed with almost universal bipartisan support and was signed by Trump on March 27, 2020, provided a 120-day eviction moratorium for renters in specific categories. Those categories included renters who received federal housing assistance (such as by living in public housing or receiving federal financial assistance or tax credits), as well as renters who lived in properties in which the landlord’s mortgage is backed by the federal government, including the mortgage-bundling entities Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
However, the ban in the CARES Act expired on July 24, and to date, it has not been extended.
A different federal eviction moratorium is still in place, but it is set to end on Aug. 31. That one, imposed by the Federal Housing Finance Agency, pauses mortgages and evictions for single-family homes that have mortgages backed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
Separately, renters may have protections under state or local policies.
What Trump’s executive order did
Trump’s executive order falls well short of extending the moratorium from the CARES Act. Instead, it tells executive branch officials to think about possible solutions rather than formally imposing a moratorium. (The executive order also doesn’t mention extending anything "through December.")
Here are the key provisions of Trump’s order:
• It tells the Health and Human Services secretary and the director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to "consider whether any measures temporarily halting residential evictions of any tenants for failure to pay rent are reasonably necessary."
• It tells the Treasury secretary and Housing and Urban Development secretary to identify federal funds that can be applied to "temporary financial assistance to renters and homeowners."
• It tells the director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency to identify "resources that may be used to prevent evictions and foreclosures for renters and homeowners" caused by the pandemic. (As an independent agency, it’s unclear whether the president can order the agency to do anything.)
Unlike the CARES Act eviction ban, "the executive order does not ‘put a hold’ on evictions at all," said Andrew Scherer, the policy director of New York Law School’s Impact Center for Public Interest Law.
Our ruling
The Facebook post said that Trump "put a hold on ALL EVICTIONS through December."
That’s incorrect. The executive order tells executive branch officials to think about possible solutions, rather than formally imposing a moratorium, as the now-expired CARES Act language did, at least for properties with a linkage to federal housing finance. The executive order also says nothing about a December deadline.
We rate the statement False.
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897 | Donald Trump | 2020-08-11 00:00:00 | a campaign ad:
|
“New York Mail-In voting is in a disastrous state of condition. Votes from many weeks ago are missing - a total mess. They have no idea what is going on. Rigged Election.”
| Jill Terreri Ramos | 2020-08-14 00:00:00 | half-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/10/instagram-posts/third-party-candidates-hamper-both-republicans-dem/ |
Third-party candidates hamper both Republicans, Democrats
|
The sudden and unusual emergence of rapper Kanye West as a potential presidential candidate has sparked questions on what kind of impact the mercurial entertainer could have at the ballot box.
The questions — and conspiracy theories — only gained traction when we learned the attorney who submitted West’s signatures for Wisconsin (minutes after the technical deadline) was a former GOP lawyer who is representing Trump’s campaign in a pending lawsuit.
One widely-read post on Instagram claimed West joining the race would help Trump — citing past elections as supposed proof.
"Third party votes only siphon from dems for a candidate with no chance of winning," said the Aug. 6, 2020 post.
The post went on to show a breakdown of total votes cast in Wisconsin from the 2016 election, noting Green Party candidate Jill Stein won more votes here than Republican Donald Trump’s margin of victory over Democrat Hillary Clinton.
But a review of past elections shows this claim is nonsense.
The post was flagged as part of Facebook and Instagram’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership.)
Here’s what we found.
Illogical post
For starters, the evidence listed by the post isn’t evidence at all. It simply reports the vote totals for Trump, Clinton, Stein and Libertarian Gary Johnson.
Clinton lost Wisconsin by 22,748 votes, while Stein accumulated 31,072, according to the Wisconsin Election Commission. But this would only be evidence if every Stein voter had voted for Clinton instead, a claim the post doesn’t make and that experts say is not true.
And this line of thinking ignores that Johnson pulled a far larger vote share — 106,674 — and Libertarians have historically drawn more voters from the Republican side.
"This idea that categorically minority parties draw from Democratic voters is just absurd," said Christopher Devine, assistant professor of political science at the University of Dayton, whose study on the 2016 third-party candidates is currently going through peer review.
Barry Burden, a political science professor at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, agreed.
"Every minor party or independent candidate who has run in modern history has taken some votes from (both parties)," said Burden, who has authored numerous studies on the impact of third-party candidates. "It’s also incorrect to say the votes come even disproportionately from a Democratic candidate."
Recent third-party impact
To be sure, some third-party candidates have swung races to Democrats, most notably the 2000 election where Ralph Nader’s presence pulled votes that could have swung Florida — and ultimately the country — in favor of Al Gore instead of George W. Bush.
But the impact in other recent elections has varied, according to experts and an array of studies. The impact depended on the specific background of the third-party candidate.
In the 2016 election, voters who backed Johnson or Stein would have leaned toward Trump if forced to choose in a two-way race, according to a survey by international research group YouGov. Among likely voters, 34% preferred Trump, 25% preferred Clinton and 42% said they had no preference.
The Washington Post cited exit polls in reporting Johnson likely moved the final margin about 0.4% in Trump’s favor. And a study from Devine going through peer review found Johnson voters would have favored Trump by a 2-to-1 margin in a two-person race.
Nader in 2000 is the most prominent example of third-party impact given the historically tiny margin deciding that election. Florida’s outcome determined the presidency, and Bush topped Gore there by a mere 537 votes.
Nader received 97,488 votes in Florida. And national exit polling showed Nader voters would have chosen Gore (47%) over Bush (21%) in a two-man race. A book by Burden estimated a similar breakdown.
The highest-polling third-party candidate in recent history was Ross Perot, who ran in 1992 and 1996. He drew support from both parties, but a study by Burden found 36% of Perot voters would have backed George H.W. Bush with Perot out of the 1992 race, while 44% would have supported Bill Clinton. About 20% would not have voted.
Devine noted that Libertarians, the most prominent and successful third-party in recent decades, have nominated a slate of former Republican politicians, and "clearly it has tended to draw more from Republicans over the years."
Projecting the Kanye effect
The trickier question is what impact West could have on the 2020 race if he does make it on the ballot in Wisconsin or anywhere else.
West has previously supported Trump — including donning a "Make America Great Again" hat — but he’s such an unusual candidate experts say it’s too early to say much for sure.
A July 2020 poll found Biden leading Trump 48% to 40% if West wasn’t mentioned. But if West was included as a potential candidate in the poll question, Biden remained at 48% while Trump dropped a point to 39%.
"He has a kind of unorthodox and muddled set of things he would do in office, so it’s not a clear ideological thing he has to offer," Burden said. "He’s more progressive in some issues, but he’s also pro-life apparently and in favor of private schools to some degree, things Democrats wouldn’t normally go for. I think he would appeal to a real hodgepodge of voters."
Our ruling
Addressing the potential addition of West in the 2020 race, an Instagram post claimed "Third party votes only siphon from dems for a candidate with no chance of winning."
There have been prominent examples of Democrats losing votes, most notably Nader in 2000. But experts are unanimous in noting this is not remotely true as a hard-and-fast-rule.
The 2016 election even disproves this claim, with far more third-party voters favoring Trump over Clinton.
We rate this claim False.
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3641, 2055] | 959 |
899 | Facebook posts | 2020-07-17 00:00:00 | a Tweet:
|
President Donald Trump “put a hold on ALL EVICTIONS through December.”
| Louis Jacobson | 2020-08-10 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/07/facebook-posts/heroes-act-includes-more-election-funding-does-not/ |
HEROES Act includes more election funding, does not 'demand' mail-in voting
|
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is trying to "blackmail" Congress, according to a post on Facebook with heavy use of all-caps:
"PELOSI BLACKMAILS CONGRESS! She DEMANDS MAIL IN VOTING or NO 2nd STIMULUS for you and your family."
The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
This claim is inaccurate for a lot of reasons, but first some background.
Under a stimulus package signed into law in March, millions of out-of-work Americans were receiving an additional $600 per week to help them better manage the financial blow dealt by the coronavirus pandemic. Those checks expired at the end of July, and Washington lawmakers are embroiled in negotiations over what should be included in a new stimulus package.
The Health and Economic Recovery Omnibus Emergency Solutions Act, also known as the HEROES Act, passed the Democrat-led House of Representatives more than two months ago. The Health, Economic Assistance, Liability Protection, and Schools Act, also called the HEALS Act, was introduced by Senate Republicans at the end of July but hasn’t passed the Senate yet.
There is a $2 trillion price difference between the two bills, but both offer the extension of stimulus checks from the CARES Act, with the HEROES Act upping the payment amount for dependents and extending the checks to immigrants with taxpayer identification numbers.
Now, back to the claim that Pelosi "demands" mail-in voting and is "blackmailing" Congress.
Pelosi said in April that the House’s second stimulus package would "be supporting vote by mail in a very important way." The stimulus proposal passed by the House doesn’t include any legislation specific to mail-in voting, but it does fund elections generally. The bill includes up to $3.6 billion in funding for the "planning, preparation, and resilience of elections," that would be distributed to states.
So far, state governors are the ones deciding how to conduct voting and if they will only have mail-in voting in November.
Congress already allocated $400 million in election funding for states in the CARES Act, and there is bipartisan support for more funding for states considering mail-in or early voting. The Republican-backed Senate bill does not include any extra funding for election safety during COVID-19.
Federal law describes blackmail as a criminal offense punishable by fine, up to a year in prison or both. It amounts to someone demanding money or something of value from another "under threat of informing or consideration for not informing against a violation of any law of the United States."
Pelosi has shown support for mail-in voting. But there is no evidence or credible suggestion she has blackmailed anyone.
Frances Hill, law professor at the University of Miami, describes Pelosi’s negotiations with Republicans as "playing hardball," which is "routinely played by House Speakers" and not considered "blackmail."
"Voting is the foundation of our democracy and Congress has a duty to ensure that appropriate funding is available," she said.
Our ruling
A Facebook post claimed that Pelosi is "blackmailing" Congress by not allowing a second stimulus bill to pass unless everyone votes by mail.
Not only are state governors the only ones deciding how each state will vote, but the HEROES Act Pelosi is negotiating includes state funding for safe voting without any reference to mail-in voting.
We rate this claim False.
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900 | National Republican Senatorial Committee | 2020-06-01 00:00:00 | a post on social media:
|
"Third party votes only siphon from (Democrats).”
| Eric Litke | 2020-08-10 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/07/facebook-posts/no-us-hasnt-achieved-herd-immunity-covid-19/ |
No, the U.S. hasn’t achieved herd immunity from COVID-19
|
Sharing a graph of COVID-19 testing trends in the United States, a recent Facebook post claims that "HERD IMMUNITY HAS BEEN REACHED."
"In fact," the post says, "it was probably reached in May."
The post points to two "bumps" in the data. The first bump, it says, reflects when at-risk patients were tested for COVID-19 in hospitals. The second bump reflects when testing became more available to more people, according to the post.
"We’re looking at the downward trend of that second bump," the post says. "Ask any biostatistician what it means when you test hundreds of thousands of people a day for an infectious disease and return a consistently lowering positivity rate. I’ll give you a clue: it means heard immunity has been reached and the virus is dying out." (The misspelling of "herd" is in the original post.)
This post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
We’ll cut to the chase before drilling down into the details: No, we have not reached herd immunity, a subject we’ve written about before.
Scientists generally say herd immunity could play a role in curbing the spread of the coronavirus before a vaccine becomes available. The idea is that once a disease infects enough people in a community, if the infection confers immunity, then there are fewer people left who can still transmit the disease, so the spread slows. For the coronavirus, scientists estimate herd immunity will probably be reached when 60% to 70% of the population has been infected.
The graph featured in the Facebook post shows daily changes in COVID-19 tests performed in the United States and test positivity rates over the months. It’s available on Johns Hopkins University’s website.
But Jennifer Nuzzo, an epidemiologist at Johns Hopkins, said it "cannot in any way be used to assess whether or not we’ve achieved herd immunity." The Facebook post, she said, is a "completely inappropriate interpretation of what it’s showing."
Rather, she said, test positivity is a measure specialists use to gauge whether a community is conducting enough testing. Because the rate of people testing positive for COVID-19 can change depending on the number of tests administered, it doesn’t necessarily reflect how many people are becoming infected. Low positivity rates, for example, could result from simply testing a large number of uninfected people, she said. Plus, asymptomatic people who are infected and possibly spreading the disease may never get tested.
Scientists use serological surveys of a representative sample of the population to estimate what fraction of a community has likely been infected with COVID-19, Nuzzo said. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has done this, and according to its most recent findings, "no one is near herd immunity, even in the hardest-hit places in the United States."
"Other countries, including places like Sweden that have not implemented the same level of shutdowns like the United States — their surveys say the same thing: that the vast majority of us remain susceptible to this virus," she said.
We contacted several other specialists for help parsing the claims in the Facebook post. We even asked a biostatistician, as the post suggested.
"This post is not accurate," said Natalie Dean, a biostatistics professor at the University of Florida.
Because test positivity is low in some areas, like New York, and high in others, like Florida, it’s "not particularly meaningful to look at the entire United States as one unit," she said. "While numbers in some of the hotspot states appear to be stabilizing, it is hard to know for sure, because testing capacity is strained and there are significant backlogs."
That makes daily positivity numbers less reliable. Still, she said, decreasing 911 calls for respiratory distress in some cities and indicate that the spread of COVID-19 is slowing down. That’s likely due to policy and behavioral changes in different communities.
But broadly in the United States, COVID-19 is "spreading like wildfire," said Andrew Noymer, a population health and disease prevention professor at the University of California-Irvine.
When testing increases, the percentage of positive tests can decrease simply because more people are being tested, he said. "So percent positive testing going down doesn’t mean anything."
The Facebook post, he said, "is just a bunch of mumbo jumbo."
Jaquelin Dudley, a professor of molecular biosciences at the University of Texas at Austin, said it’s possible there are areas where herd immunity has been established, "but there are still many unknowns, including lack of testing for asymptomatic individuals or missing the right point during infection for testing."
At this point, though, we can’t accurately predict a timeline for when there will be herd immunity throughout the United States, she said.
We rate this Facebook post False.
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901 | Viral image | 2020-07-29 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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Photos from the movie “Lilo & Stitch” support child sex-trafficking conspiracy theories.
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-08-10 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/dec/04/donald-trump/no-residents-wisconsin-officials-suspected-moving-/ |
No, residents that Wisconsin officials suspected of moving are not "illegal voters"
|
A list of Wisconsin voters who state officials believed recently moved was a source of ongoing controversy in the runup to the 2020 election.
The state planned to use this information to update the voter rolls by 2021 — knowing the list contained errors — but many conservatives pushed to have those people pulled off the rolls of registered voters before this year’s election. That didn’t happen.
But now President Donald Trump is raising the matter again amid a flurry of other baseless voter fraud claims.
Trump took aim at the Wisconsin system — built by Republicans — in a Dec. 2, 2020, speech, including this callback to the contested cleanup of the Wisconsin voter rolls:
"In Wisconsin, the state’s Board of Elections could not confirm the residency of more than 100,000 people, but repeatedly refused to remove those names from its voter rolls before the election," Trump said. "They knew why, nobody else did. I knew why. They were illegal voters."
Trump raises a new issue here, going so far as calling the people on this list illegal voters.
So let’s look back at what we know.
And why that description is wrong.
The background
This controversy dates to October 2019, when the Wisconsin Elections Commission sent mailers to 232,000 people saying it believed they may have moved, asking them to update their voter registration or confirm if they lived at the same address. The commission planned to remove people from the roll in 2021 if the resident took no action.
But three voters — represented by Wisconsin Institute for Law & Liberty — filed a lawsuit in November 2019 arguing the state had to remove the names from the rolls faster. Ozaukee County Judge Paul Malloy agreed and ordered the names be stricken from the voter rolls.
An appeals court later ruled against Malloy, keeping names on the rolls, and an appeal of that is pending before the state Supreme Court.
RELATED: Are dead people among the names in Wisconsin voter roll purge?
In the meantime, the list shrunk — both from people updating their addresses and from thousands confirming they were wrongly listed as having moved. As of May, about 4,700 voters who were flagged as moving reported they were actually still at their same address.
The list of potential movers was down to 129,000 as of early 2020.
Not "illegal voters"
That brings us to the core of Trump’s claim: That those remaining on the list at the time of the Nov. 3 election were "illegal voters."
This is simply wrong.
No officials ever asserted these people were unqualified to vote. Even if they had been removed from the list, these voters could have cast a ballot in November by simply re-registering at the polls or anytime before.
And we know from voting records that most people in this group were regulars at the polls. Records show 72% of the original 232,000 on the movers list had voted in the 2016 presidential election, and 89% had voted in at least one election since 2006.
We have seen no evidence that people included on the list voted improperly in the Nov. 3 election.
Among those left on the list prior to the election, those who moved would have been able to register and vote at their new address. And those who hadn’t moved would have been able to vote at their usual polling place, since they remained registered there.
Our ruling
Trump said in a speech that residents the Election Commission suspected of moving are "illegal voters."
But there’s absolutely no factual or logical basis to this claim.
Most people on this list have been regular voters, and nothing about being on the list makes them ineligible to vote. It was just an effort to clarify where voters lived.
We rate this False.
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902 | Donald Trump | 2020-08-08 00:00:00 | an Instagram post:
|
Says "Pelosi blackmails Congress! She demands mail-in voting or no 2nd stimulus for you and your family.”
| Emily Venezky | 2020-08-07 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/dec/04/liberty-alliance/george-soros-not-mastermind-behind-startup-news-ou/ |
George Soros is not the mastermind behind startup news outlet the Missouri Independent
|
The Missouri Independent is a news outlet that was founded in October in partnership with States Newsroom, a national nonprofit funded by grants, donors and readers. It has created nonprofit news organizations in 19 U.S. states.
Liberty Alliance, which advocates for conservative causes, has accused the Missouri Independent of being a liberal propaganda outlet created by left-leaning philanthropist George Soros.
In a Facebook post, the group told their supporters, "Beware - George Soros is starting a Fake News site in Missouri. Don’t fall for it - the Missouri Independent is BAD NEWS."
The group has repeatedly made this claim online and even called for conservative elected officials to refuse to give interviews or provide comment to the outlet. This all came to a head when Republican Gov. Mike Parson refused to answer Missouri Independent reporter and deputy editor Rudi Keller’s question at a Nov. 5 press conference.
"First of all Rudi, I’m not gonna answer your question," Parson said before Keller had a chance to speak. "But I’m gonna tell you this: I am not going to respond to a c4 (nonprofit) out of Virginia that is absolutely a propaganda news agency… This political agenda, whether it’s George Soros or people like him, of what you’re gonna be doing is not fair to Missouri outlets."
Before co-founding the Missouri Independent, Keller worked for 22 years at the Columbia Daily Tribune and spent 30 years as a journalist.
Liberty Alliance has even created a website devoted to trashing the Missouri Independent and its founders. In addition to calling the founders "Liberals who have made a career of attacking Conservatives," it repeats the claim that Soros is behind it all.
"George Soros-connected entities started the States Newsroom network as a pet project to spread misinformation to appease their Liberal donors," it reads.
Soros is a Jewish Hungarian whose family hid from the Nazis during the Holocaust and later fled a communist regime in their home country. He eventually emigrated to the United States and became a hedge fund tycoon and one of the wealthiest men in the world. He has used that wealth to support countless liberal causes, largely through his charity, the Open Society Foundations.
Conservatives have criticized his use of personal wealth to affect U.S. politics in favor of liberal causes.
Soros has also been the target of countless right-wing conspiracy theories including that he is a former Nazi officer, that he’s made it his "life’s mission to destroy the United States" and that he instigated racial protests in Charlottesville, Va. PolitiFact and other independent fact-checkers have found these to be false.
Where’s the connection?
Chris Vas, the executive director of Liberty Alliance, pointed to an investigation done by the Open Secrets Center for Responsive Politics, a research group tracking money in U.S. politics and its effect on elections and public policy. The investigation detailed a number of news outlets and their financial connections and briefly mentions States Newsroom. It found that States Newsroom had a connection to the Hopewell Fund, a liberal charity that promotes various social projects and left-wing causes, that Vas alleges is run by Soros.
States Newsroom’s connection to the Hopewell Fund goes back to the early days of the news organization, before the Missouri Independent was founded.
States Newsroom is a 501(c)(3) nonprofit supported by grants and donors. According to Influence Watch, an online database that tracks influencers of public policy, the Hopewell Fund served as a fiscal sponsor before States Newsroom’s tax-exempt status was approved in July 2019. In November that year, the two organizations separated.
Fiscal sponsorship allowed States Newsroom — then known as Newsroom Network — to use Hopewell’s legal and tax-exempt status until its nonprofit status was approved. This is a common practice among nonprofits. The Hopewell Fund also managed its funding and performed all the administrative and business functions, such as human resources and legal compliance.
States Newsroom and the Missouri Independent said that despite that assistance, the Hopewell Fund did not give any money to the news outlet.
The Hopewell Fund’s 2018 IRS 990 tax form — which can be accessed via ProPublica’s nonprofit database — shows that the charity did not give States Newsroom or any affiliated organization more than $5,000. The form does not disclose donations smaller than that.
Even if they did, is the Hopewell Fund run by Soros?
There is no evidence of this.
Based on that IRS 990 tax form, we know that Soros doesn’t serve as an executive there.
We also looked through the IRS 990 tax forms filed by Soros’s organization, the Open Society Foundations as well as its sister organization, the Foundation to Promote Open Society, dating back to 2015, the year the Hopewell Fund was founded. We found that neither gave money to the Hopewell Fund. Additionally, neither gave money to States Newsroom or any of its affiliates.
At times, projects funded by the Hopewell Fund and Open Society Foundations overlapped. That’s not unusual, and none of them amounted to Soros and Open Society Foundations controlling the Hopewell Fund.
States Newsroom discloses all donations over $500. Neither the Hopewell Fund nor Soros are listed as donors. Andrea Verykoukis, deputy director of States Newsroom, also said it received no donations from Soros or the Hopewell Fund.
Additionally, Thomas Watson, a representative of the Open Society Foundations, said that neither Soros nor his foundation have given funding to States Newsroom or the Missouri Independent.
We reached out to Jason Hancock, editor-in-chief and co-founder the Missouri Independent to discuss their policies. Formerly the lead political reporter for The Kansas City Star, Hancock has spent nearly two decades working for news organizations across the Midwest.
The Missouri Independent, like other States Newsroom affiliates, is free to read and has no ads. Unlike many traditional newspapers, it funds its journalism through donations made by readers, grants and foundations, but Hancock said this is the only difference between it and other outlets. Where traditional newspapers have subscribers and advertisers, the Missouri Independent has donors.
"Ultimately, what we’re doing is not that much different from any other newsroom," he said.
On its website, the Missouri Independent contends that it retains "full editorial independence, and all editorial decisions are made by our journalists. Donors have no influence over content."
The site pushes investigative beat reporting in state government. Like traditional newspapers, its commentary section is separate from news.
Hancock compared the Missouri Independent’s business model to NPR-affiliated news radio stations that are usually nonprofit and largely funded by donors and grants.
Hancock said that fundraising is left to the national offices at States Newsroom and that the Missouri Independent doesn’t deal with any fundraising matters directly. He said that even if he were to cover an event involving a large donor, he would have never met that donor.
"I’m aware of some of the small donors because they may have reached out, like readers who donated 10 bucks or 25 bucks or something like that, but those are the only donors that I’m aware of," he said.
Hancock said even if Soros cut him a check, his coverage wouldn’t change. He said it’s no different than not letting advertisers dictate your coverage at a traditional newspaper.
"At the end of the day," Hancock said. "if you’re gonna judge us, judge us based on our work, which I think stands with any other journalistic work out there."
Our ruling
Liberty Alliance said, "George Soros is starting a Fake News site in Missouri," referring to the Missouri Independent, but there’s no evidence of Soros being involved.
Liberty Alliance points to the Missouri Independent’s parent organization, States Newsroom, and its ties to the Hopewell Fund as evidence. But IRS tax forms tell us that Soros’s foundations have not given any money to the Hopewell Fund, States Newsroom or the Missouri Independent. Soros does not serve in any sort of officer capacity for these organizations.
The Missouri Independent is not a "fake news" site. It’s a news organization covering state government politics and policy — not a website peddling hoaxes.
Therefore, we rate this claim False.
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903 | Facebook posts | 2020-08-06 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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“Herd immunity has been reached.”
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-08-07 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/dec/04/mandy-cohen/nc-covid-19-deaths-surpass-10-years-flu-deaths/ |
In NC, COVID-19 deaths surpass 10 years of flu deaths
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Like many states, North Carolina is tracking a record number of COVID-19 cases this holiday season.
And in an attempt to explain the severity of the illness, the state’s top health official compared coronavirus deaths to data on the flu.
"Sadly more than 5,000 North Carolinians have lost their lives from this virus since our first death on March 12 of this year," Health Secretary Mandy Cohen said during a Dec. 1 press conference.
"To give some perspective, just under 1,500 people died from the flu in the past 10 years," Cohen said. "In just 11 months, Covid has killed more than three times that number."
Is it true that the coronavirus has killed more North Carolinians in a year than the flu has in 10 years?
According to the state’s data, yes.
NC Covid-19 deaths
North Carolina’s Department of Health and Human Services tracks both COVID-19 and influenza deaths.
As of Wednesday morning, the state had counted 5,284 COVID-19 deaths. DHHS says those deaths include people who have had a positive molecular or antigen test for COVID-19, who died without fully recovering from COVID-19, and who had no alternative cause of death identified.
The deaths are reported by hospitals and clinicians directly to the local and state health departments.
The first reported COVID-19 death did, indeed, occur on March 12.
NC flu deaths
The state’s health department also tracks flu deaths and reports each flu season’s data on its website. Flu deaths are reported by health providers and were confirmed as influenza by an appropriate laboratory or rapid diagnostic test.
PolitiFact reviewed the last 10 flu seasons, dating back to the 2010-2011 season. In total, we counted 1,486 reported flu deaths. DHHS spokeswoman Kelly Haight confirmed to us by phone that our total is accurate.
Here’s a list of the flu death counts by season, and a link to the report for each respective season:
2019-2020: 186
2018-2019: 203
2017-2018: 391
2016-2017: 218
2015-2016: 59
2014-2015: 218
2013-2014: 107
2012-2013: 59
2011-2012: 9
2010-2011: 36
Other flu counts
The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention also tracks flu deaths by state. At a glance, it might seem like the CDC and North Carolina reports contradict one other. For instance, the CDC reported North Carolina had 2,064 flu deaths in 2018, while the state’s health department reported far less.
That’s because the CDC sometimes combines flu and pneumonia deaths together, officials said.
Under the "flu & pneumonia" section on the CDC’s flu deaths by state website, "most of those deaths are pneumonia deaths," said Jeff Lancashire, acting associate director for communications for the CDC’s National Center for Health Statistics.
Some pneumonia deaths are caused by the flu, but some can be caused by "many other viruses, bacteria, bacteria-like organisms and fungi," said Kelly Haight, DHHS spokeswoman.
The year 2018 is the most recent year of flu deaths available on the CDC site.
If you start in 2018 and look back 10 years to 1999, Lancashire said "there were 1,806 deaths from exclusively flu alone – without pneumonia (from the public database CDC WONDER – wonder.cdc.gov)."
"So if Dr. Cohen was citing deaths from flu alone, she would be correct that COVID19 deaths have exceeded that (number) in NC," he said.
The CDC has noted, however, that tallying death counts for COVID-19, flu and pneumonia is complicated and sometimes its data can be incomplete.
Our ruling
Cohen said COVID-19 has killed more North Carolinians in a year than the flu has in the last 10 years.
By the North Carolina health department’s count, there have been 5,200 COVID-19 deaths this year and 1,486 flu deaths over the last decade.
Cohen’s claim also tracks with data collected by the CDC, according to an agency spokesman. However, the CDC points out that exact numbers can be tricky to count because there are sometimes delays in processing death information.
We rate her statement True.
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