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454 | Ron Johnson | 2021-02-25 00:00:00 | a speech:
|
“There’s about 9% of (the American Rescue Plan) actually going to COVID, meaning 91% of it is not even COVID-related.”
| Jon Greenberg | 2021-03-01 00:00:00 | true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/mar/01/tom-cotton/becerras-longtime-single-payer-supporter-doesnt-me/ |
Becerra’s a longtime single-payer supporter. That doesn’t mean it will happen if he’s HHS secretary.
|
A digital ad running in Georgia and New Hampshire says that Xavier Becerra, President Joe Biden’s nominee for Health and Human Services secretary, supports "Medicare for All."
"Becerra supports Bernie’s government takeover of your health care, eliminating your employer provided coverage," the narrator says.
The ad, funded by the campaign PAC of Sen. Tom Cotton (R-Ark.), is part of a blitz from conservative groups against Becerra’s confirmation. It first aired this week and will continue until the Senate’s confirmation vote. The gritty, foreboding ad includes a range of other attacks, including criticisms of California’s Covid-19 response and Becerra’s role in legal cases on reproductive rights.
Another ad, this one funded by Heritage Action for America and airing in the Washington, D.C., market, uses similar talking points, including Becerra’s support for "government-run health care."
Becerra underwent two Senate hearings this week in which he faced questions about his support for Medicare for All.
"Your long-standing support for single-payer, government-run health care seems hostile to our current system from my perspective," Sen. Mike Crapo (R-Idaho) said during Wednesday’s Senate Finance Committee hearing. "What assurances can you give to Americans who currently have private insurance, including through Medicare Advantage, and are satisfied with their insurance provider that they will not lose their coverage in the future to some sort of Medicare for All approach or federal takeover of health care?"
Becerra responded that he was asked to serve at the pleasure of Biden, who has made it clear he wants to build on the Affordable Care Act. "That will be my mission," he said.
Since a vote on Becerra’s nomination could happen next week, we thought it was important to check the claim from this ad and give context to what power HHS secretaries actually have.
We reached out to Cotton’s press team to ask for evidence to support the ad but didn’t hear back. The ad does cite a December New York Times article with the headline "Becerra Supports ‘Medicare for All’ and Could Help States Get There" to back up the claim.
Noah Weinrich, press secretary for Heritage Action for America, did provide evidence of Becerra’s support for Medicare for All. Weinrich sent clips of press interviews, as well as links to House of Representatives Medicare for All bills that Becerra co-sponsored over his years in Congress.
Where Becerra and Biden stand on health care
Xavier Becerra was elected as a Democrat to represent a Los Angeles district in the U.S. House in 1993. He stayed in Congress 24 years. He resigned in 2017 to accept the position of attorney general of California, which was offered to him by then-Gov. Jerry Brown.
As attorney general, Becerra brought more than 100 legal challenges against the Trump administration for various health, environmental and immigration issues. One of his best-known lawsuits was in support of the Affordable Care Act. California took the lead with 18 other states in arguing against overturning the law before the U.S. Supreme Court. That decision is expected by the end of June.
Since Becerra was first elected to Congress, he has been an advocate for single-payer, or universal, health coverage. This type of coverage can take many forms, but by most definitions, it means the federal government would have some role in funding and administering health insurance for the public.
"I do, as I said before, join my colleagues who support the single-payer plan," Becerra said during a congressional hearing in 1994. "For me, meaningful health care reform means that we must have universal coverage. We must have portability. We must have choice of provider."
More recently, this approach took on the moniker of Medicare for All, in reference to Sen. Bernie Sanders’ (I-Vt.) health care bill with the same name. Sanders’ bill, first introduced in 2017, was designed to eliminate private health insurance after phasing in government-run health care, funded by raising taxes.
In 2017, Becerra said he would "absolutely" support Sanders’ bill. "I've been a supporter of Medicare for All for the 24 years that I was in Congress," Becerra said during a Fox News interview. "This year, as attorney general, I would fight for that if we had an opportunity to put that forward in the state of California, because I think what we do is we give people that certainty that they're going to be able to access a doctor or a hospital."
And in 2019, Becerra told KHN’s Samantha Young he’s "been a single-payer advocate all my life."
Reviewing Becerra’s statements, it’s clear he does support Medicare for All or similar plans.
But, if confirmed as head of the Department of Health and Human Services, Becerra will be a member of Biden’s Cabinet, and the president dictates policy priorities. During the Democratic presidential primaries, Biden was unwavering in his opposition to Medicare for All, instead throwing his support behind implementing a public option health plan and expanding the ACA. A public option is a government-run health insurance plan that would exist beside private health insurance coverage as a choice in the ACA marketplace.
It’s also important to note that while the ad says Becerra supports Medicare for All, thus "eliminating your employer-provided coverage," that doesn’t mean your health insurance would be eliminated. Rather, it would be replaced by government-run health insurance.
"The notion that by having Medicare for All you’re going to lose insurance coverage is bizarre," said Mark A. Peterson, a professor of public policy, political science and law at UCLA. "The whole point of Medicare for All is that everyone has health insurance."
What an HHS secretary can actually do
Since Biden doesn’t support Medicare for All, would Becerra’s stance really matter?
No, said Joseph Antos, a health care scholar at the right-leaning American Enterprise Institute.
"He will not be able to, in this role, push the executive branch or the Congress in this direction in any perceptible way," said Antos. "About all he could really do is use the waiver process and loosen up the various restrictions that the Trump administration tried to impose on states in the Medicaid programs. But that’s not the same thing as single-payer."
Antos was referring to waivers that states can ask for in order to change how they administer the ACA exchanges or Medicaid.
Larry Levitt, executive vice president for health policy at KFF, said it certainly is possible Becerra could be called upon to consider state waiver proposals to implement single-payer systems. (KHN is an editorially independent program of KFF.)
"He would likely look more favorably on waivers like that than the Trump administration, which was quite clear they wouldn’t consider them. He might also view such waivers more positively than an HHS secretary that has not supported Medicare for All," Levitt wrote in an email. "However, Becerra would not be making decisions on state waivers of such consequence unilaterally. He would certainly consult with the White House."
Levitt added that it seems unlikely at this point any state could implement a single-payer system. Vermont dropped its efforts to do so after it became clear how much taxes would increase. California does have significant support for single-payer but, at this point, it seems unlikely to be realized in that state.
Plus, establishing a national single-payer system would require the support of both the president and Congress — and neither is ideologically there.
The White House maintains Becerra would be focused solely on Biden’s priorities and not Medicare for All.
Andrew Bates, a transition spokesperson for Biden, said in a statement that "Xavier Becerra will support and work to enact President Biden's health care agenda — building on the ACA with a public option — as was made clear immediately after he was selected."
But Heritage Action’s Weinrich took a different view: "The HHS secretary holds considerable policy-making and rule-making power, and Becerra's long record indicates he would use that power to expand government's role in health care in any way he can, with the ultimate goal of a single-payer option."
Political messaging around Medicare for all and ‘radical’ Californians
In the 2018 and 2020 elections, it was common for Republicans to paint Democrats as "socialists." Sometimes this was illustrated through their support for Medicare for All or simply being from California.
The same rhetoric is being employed here, said Peterson.
"That Biden, by bringing in these officials from California, and the fact that Nancy Pelosi is speaker of the House, they’re arguing it’s just showing the infiltration of the radical socialist California state into the federal government," he said. "But this is ridiculous, because there are not socialist politics, per se, happening in California, and often the California Democrats in Washington are moderate."
Ultimately though, the goal of an ad like this is to lay the groundwork for future campaigns.
"In a Senate that is split 50-50 and that 50th Democrat is a conservative Democrat, there is opportunity and leverage for Republicans to try and stand in the way," said Peterson. "The less effective the Biden administration can be, the more effective campaigning will be for Republicans."
Our ruling
The ad states, "Becerra supports Bernie’s government takeover of your health care, eliminating your employer-provided coverage."
Becerra’s past remarks illustrate he does support Medicare for All or other programs in which the government would run and fund health insurance.
We rate this claim True.
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457 | Tom Cotton | 2021-02-26 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
The COVID-19 rescue bill includes money for a list of projects that are not COVID-related.
| Samantha Putterman | 2021-02-09 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/feb/09/facebook-posts/can-pfizer-and-moderna-end-pandemic-sharing-their-/ |
Can Pfizer and Moderna end the pandemic by sharing their vaccine designs? It's not that simple
|
Vaccine makers Pfizer and Moderna earned praise for creating highly effective COVID-19 vaccines in record time. But are they inadvertently hurting the public by not sharing their technology with other pharmaceutical companies to help speed up vaccine manufacturing and distribution?
That’s what one post circulating on social media claims.
"The vaccine shortage doesn’t need to exist," reads an image of a tweet shared thousands of times on Facebook. "Pfizer and Moderna could share their design with dozens of other pharma companies who stand ready to produce their vaccines and end the pandemic."
In short, the situation is not that simple. The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
This tweet doesn’t mention that the two pharmaceutical companies are already partnering with other firms to produce the vaccine. It also makes it appear as if dozens of companies are regulated to make vaccines and have a ready supply of the raw materials, equipment and storage needed to efficiently and effectively produce them. Experts say that’s not the case.
When PolitiFact reached out to the tweet’s author, Dr. James Hamblin, a public health policy lecturer at Yale University and writer at The Atlantic, he acknowledged that using the words "stand ready" in the tweet inaccurately implied the process could begin immediately.
"It takes time and investment to begin making mRNA vaccines," Hamblin told PolitiFact. "The companies would need the assurance that they not lose money by getting into that space, possibly in some way similar to the assurances given during the research phase of warp speed."
Vaccine technology narrows the field
Both Pfizer and Moderna’s vaccines rely on newer messenger RNA technology. (It has been studied for some time, but hasn’t been used in a vaccine until now.) The mRNA is fragile and needs to be handled carefully, with specific temperatures and humidity levels to keep it from breaking down.
It’s highly unlikely, experts say, that "dozens" of manufacturing plants have the capability to get this type of production off the ground immediately. Even if Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna made their vaccine designs open source today, pharmaceutical researchers estimate that it would still take several months for other companies to produce the shots, and by then mass distribution and inoculation will be well underway.
PolitiFact reached out to both companies for comment but did not hear back.
Dr. Rajeev Venkayya — president of the Global Vaccine Business Unit at Takeda Pharmaceuticals and former director of vaccine delivery at the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation’s Global Health Program — wrote a Twitter thread addressing the complexity and risk of vaccine manufacturing.
Among many issues, Venyakka said that vaccines are complex biologics and it’s hard to predict whether changes to the manufacturing process will impact vaccine efficacy or safety.
"Many vaccines are made by growing viruses in cells, and when that doesn’t happen as expected, it can lead to losses in production and delayed timelines. This is an area where cell- and virus-free mRNA vaccine production has a major advantage," Venkayya wrote.
"For these reasons, every aspect of vaccine manufacturing is tightly controlled: raw materials, equipment, production processes, training, operating procedures etc. All of it happens under GMP (Good Manufacturing Practice) regulations, and facilities are regularly inspected."
THREAD: Vaccine ManufacturingBack in October, I said the Warp Speed timelines were extraordinarily optimistic given the inherent risks of vaccine development, manufacturing and distribution. All of those risks and others have materialized. 1/https://t.co/OOlGxPBnox pic.twitter.com/RwCzkljdDS— Rajeev Venkayya MD (@rvenkayya) February 1, 2021
According to the Food and Drug Administration, manufacturers may share any information or data about their products as they choose, as they are the owners of the information. But the firm is responsible for ensuring that any contract manufacturer is in compliance with the FDA’s good manufacturing practice regulations.
These rules establish minimum requirements for the methods, facilities and controls used in making and packing pharmaceuticals. They aim to ensure that a product is safe for use, and that it has the ingredients and strength it claims to have.
Existing partnerships are already speeding production
John Grabenstein, associate director for scientific communications at the Immunization Action Coalition — a vaccine information organization that works in partnership with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention — told PolitiFact the tweet wrongly presumes that the companies aren’t already outsourcing production. Grabenstein tracks the partnerships between pharmaceutical firms and contract manufacturers.
He said that Pfizer-BioNTech is currently working with bio-pharmaceutical companies Rentschler and Polymun, while Moderna has partnered with Rovi, Recipharm and Lonza. Some of the companies are located entirely overseas, while others have plants in the U.S.
Typically, the contractors are doing one of the major portions of production, Grabenstein said, such as manufacturing the bulk product, formulation of the bulk into the final preparation, filling the drug product into vials, or finishing the final packaging which could include labeling vials, inserting them and paperwork into boxes and assembling boxes for a carton.
For example, Rovi, one of the companies working with Moderna, signed a contract in July 2020 to start filling and packaging 100 million doses of the vaccine in early 2021.
In fewer cases, a full-fledged manufacturer is commissioned to make a mirror image of the original product, from start to finish.
One example of this is the Serum Institute of India — the world’s largest vaccine manufacturer — which is already producing a parallel version of the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine that the institute will market with the trade name CoviShield. The institute launched construction of new facilities back in June 2020 to make it happen. The organization recently announced a similar partnership with Novavax.
"This is incredibly intricate and the number of facilities and trained personnel is really, really small," Grabenstein said. "It’s not like you’re just giving a recipe to another restaurant. That ‘recipe’ is thousands and thousands of pages long, and then you have to validate and show that you meet all the really tight performance specifications and prove consistency of process before any of the regulators will let you distribute any of the vaccine."
Hamblin, the author of the Twitter post, said it’s unlikely that the companies would share their vaccine designs, given the current system of intellectual property and funding, though he noted exceptions, like Sanofi.
Sanofi, a French multinational pharmaceutical company, announced in January that it entered into a partnership with BioNTech, the firm that co-developed the vaccine with Pfizer. Sanofi said it will provide the firm access to its "established infrastructure and expertise to produce over 125 million doses of COVID-19 vaccine in Europe." Initial supplies will originate from Sanofi’s production facilities in Frankfurt from summer of 2021.
Hamblin noted that if vaccine makers open the intellectual property in a permanent, unconditional way — rather than on a small scale for a finite period — it could help get more companies and governments into the production "in a more permanent, cost-effective way."
"If we have to manufacture boosters in specific areas for new strains, for example, or for the next coronavirus, we could be on it right away," Hamblin said. "Again, speaking hypothetically about that — not implying it will happen or would be quick or easy or anything else."
Defense Production Act allows greater collaboration but takes time
With President Joe Biden invoking the Defense Production Act, couldn’t that serve to help speed things up? Yes, but it’s not as sweeping as some think.
The Defense Production Act of 1950 gives presidential authority to promote national defense by expediting and expanding the supply of materials and services from the U.S. industrial base.
George Siber, a vaccine expert who is on the advisory board of CureVac, a German mRNA vaccine company, told Kaiser Health News that invoking the act would allow the government to commandeer an appropriate plant to expand production, but said it would still take about a year to get going.
Companies would first have to undertake a thorough cleaning of their equipment and facilities to prevent cross-contamination and would need to set up, calibrate and test equipment, and train scientists and engineers to run it, Siber told KHN.
"Do you want glass? Aluminum? Filter resins? What is the thing that you need?" Grabenstein said. "For example, vaccine manufacturers say, ‘if only I had more glass vials, I could increase my weekly production.’ Ok, the government gets you more glass vials. Then it reveals the next bottleneck."
He added: "Is there production that could be stopped or delayed, and let those machines be used for this goal? Sure, but you still have to clean it, and quality control that it’s really clean, and then the transfer and validation of process. It’s months or years of commitment. This is not turn-on-a-dime kind of stuff."
According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, more than 59 million doses of the Moderna and Pfizer-BioNTech vaccines had been distributed and roughly 41 million administered by the second week in February.
This shows that the U.S. has vaccinated 9.5% of the population, putting it about fifth in the world, according to a tracker maintained by The New York Times.
Our ruling
A post claims the COVID-19 vaccine shortage doesn’t need to exist because Pfizer and Moderna can share their vaccine designs with "dozens" of other pharmaceutical companies that are ready to produce the vaccines and end the pandemic.
This premise oversimplifies the vaccine manufacturing process.
First, the post doesn’t mention that Pfizer and Moderna already have partnerships with various contract manufacturers to help speed up vaccine production. Second, industry experts say it’s highly unlikely that "dozens" of other pharmaceutical companies that aren’t already producing the vaccines stand ready to do so. Supplies, personnel training and facility compliance are just a few aspects that make the process complex and lengthy.
So while such partnerships are clearly an asset to rapid vaccine production, they are not entirely practical in the grand sense that this tweet implies.
The statement contains an element of truth but ignores critical facts that would give a different impression. We rate it Mostly False.
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459 | Stand for America | 2021-02-03 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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"Satan flashed in the halftime Super Bowl satanic ritual."
| Noah Y. Kim | 2021-02-08 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/feb/08/worldnetdaily/no-dr-anthony-fauci-did-not-fund-research-tied-cov/ |
No, Dr. Anthony Fauci did not fund research tied to COVID-19 ‘creation’
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More than a year after the coronavirus first arrived in the U.S., conspiracy theories continue to spread about a virology lab in Wuhan, China, which has drawn scrutiny throughout the pandemic for research it conducted on bat viruses.
One new claim about the lab comes from conservative news site WorldNetDaily, which tried to connect Dr. Anthony Fauci, head of infectious diseases at the National Institutes of Health, to the origin of the coronavirus that causes COVID-19.
"New evidence ties COVID-19 creation to research funded by Fauci," reads the headline.
Despite its promise of "new evidence," the WorldNetDaily article largely resembled other conspiracy theories that we have fact-checked in the past. It was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
As evidence of its claims, the article cited an investigation by Fox News commentator Steve Hilton, who claims that the coronavirus was created at the Wuhan lab with NIH grant money.
Although the NIH did fund a project at the Wuhan lab, there’s no proof that the coronavirus was bioengineered. Both the WorldNetDaily article and Hilton’s segment rely on a series of unsubstantiated allegations to spin a conspiracy theory about the virus being a lab creation.
WorldNetDaily has since dialed back on many of its claims, issuing three separate corrections, all of which cite scientists pushing back on the notion that SARS-CoV-2 was manmade. It has also placed a question mark at the end of the original headline. However, the bulk of the article text has not been updated.
The NIH grant to EcoHealth Alliance
In 2014, the U.S. National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease, the part of the NIH headed by Fauci, awarded a $3.4 million grant to the New York-based EcoHealth Alliance, which aims to protect people from viruses that jump from species to species. The alliance has projects across 30 countries, including Thailand, Vietnam and China.
The group hired the virology lab in Wuhan to conduct genetic analyses of bat coronaviruses collected in Yunnan province, about 800 miles southwest of Wuhan. EcoHealth Alliance paid the lab $598,500 over five years. The lab had secured approval from both the U.S. State Department and the NIH.
That the NIAID funded the project is not in question. However, the WorldNetDaily article goes further than that, claiming that the grant covered "gain of function" research on a bat coronavirus, which "created" SARS-CoV-2.
Gain-of-function research is a controversial form of study that involves boosting the infectivity and lethality of a pathogen. Proponents of gain-of-function say it helps researchers spot potential threats to human health and allows them to figure out ways to tackle a new virus. Fauci has advocated for gain-of-function research in the past. In a 2011 article he co-wrote for the Washington Post, he promoted it as a means to study influenza viruses.
However, there’s no hard proof to support the article’s claims about gain-of-function research. The overwhelming consensus among public health experts is that the coronavirus that causes COVID-19 evolved naturally.
All parties involved in the grant to the Wuhan Institute of Virology have denied that it involved gain-of-function research.
"We have not ever participated in gain-of-function research. Nor have we ever been funded to participate in gain-of-function research," Robert Kessler with the EcoHealth Alliance told PolitiFact last May.
The NIH told us: "The research supported under the grant to EcoHealth Alliance Inc. characterized the function of newly discovered bat spike proteins and naturally occurring pathogens and did not involve the enhancement of the pathogenicity or transmissibility of the viruses studied."
The grant was approved in May 2014. Five months later, on Oct. 17, the Obama administration announced it would not fund new projects that involved gain-of-function research, citing safety and security risks.
The NIH told us that it reviewed the EcoHealth Alliance project after the funding pause and determined that it did not involve gain-of-function research. As a result, it was not affected by the White House’s new policy.
Hilton and WorldNetDaily do not provide evidence that the grant covered gain-of-function research. When we reached out to Fox News, a spokesperson pointed us to the transcript of Hilton’s segment. Art Moore, the author of the WorldNetDaily article, did not respond to a request for comment.
MIT biologist Kevin Esvelt reviewed a paper that appears to have been published with financial assistance from the grant. According to Esvelt, certain techniques that the researchers used seemed to meet the definition of gain-of-function research. But he told PolitiFact that "the work reported in this specific paper definitely did NOT lead to the creation of SARS-CoV-2" because the genetic sequences of the virus studied in the paper differ from that of the new coronavirus.
No evidence that the coronavirus was manmade
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the World Health Organization, and the NIH have all said that the virus was not derived from a lab.
If the virus had been altered in a lab, its genomic data would show signs of tampering. Although scientists from around the world have publicly shared the virus’ genetic makeup thousands of times, there’s still no evidence that the virus was bioengineered.
On Feb. 19, 2020, public health experts signed a public statement to "strongly condemn conspiracy theories suggesting that COVID-19 does not have a natural origin."
"Scientists from multiple countries have published and analysed genomes" of SARS-CoV-2 "and they overwhelmingly conclude that this coronavirus originated in wildlife," the statement reads, citing nine scientific studies.
A detailed computational analysis of the coronavirus conducted by five researchers in March found that its genetic makeup showed no signs of alteration. The ability of the virus to bind to human cells is most likely the result of natural selection in an animal host or in humans after the virus jumped from animals.
"Our analyses clearly show that SARS-CoV-2 is not a laboratory construct or a purposefully manipulated virus," the researchers wrote.
There are unresolved concerns that a protective lapse at the lab could have allowed a natural virus to escape, but there is no hard proof of such a lapse.
Our ruling
WorldNetDaily wrote that "New evidence ties COVID-19 creation to research funded by Fauci."
Both the NIH and EcoHealth Alliance have denied that a grant to the Wuhan lab funded gain-of-function research, though a scientist told us that one paper published with assistance from the grant seems to describe techniques similar to gain-of-function.
The CDC, the WHO, and the NIH have all said that the virus that causes COVID-19 evolved naturally. There is no evidence to support that claim that it was created by researchers.
This claim is False.
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462 | WorldNetDaily | 2021-02-08 00:00:00 | a blog post:
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“Military rescues tortured children from tunnel beneath Capitol Hill.”
| Victoria Knight | 2021-02-08 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/feb/08/steve-scalise/scalises-claim-unauthorized-immigrants-are-getting/ |
Scalise’s claim that unauthorized immigrants are getting priority for vaccination misses the point
|
During a Feb. 2 interview on Fox News, Rep. Steve Scalise, R-La., claimed President Joe Biden was allowing unauthorized immigrants to move ahead of American citizens to get their covid-19 vaccines.
"Now (Biden) is saying that people who came here illegally can jump ahead of other Americans who have been waiting to get the vaccine," said Scalise, the No. 2 Republican leader in the House.
Lauren Fine, a spokesperson for Scalise, said the representative was referring to a Feb. 1 statement from the Department of Homeland Security. It said the agency "encourages all individuals, regardless of immigration status, to receive the COVID-19 vaccine once eligible under local distribution guidelines."
Since supply is limited, wrote Fine in an emailed statement, "for every vaccine an illegal immigrant gets, that’s one an American citizen waiting in line is not getting. If you’re an American citizen that’s currently in a group that can’t get the vaccine yet, you’re now behind in the line to an illegal immigrant in a group that can get one."
Considering the DHS statement, other press statements and executive plans, the Biden administration has certainly been vocal about its position that all immigrants should be able to get this shot.
But, we wondered, does allowing this population access to the vaccine mean they are being invited to step in front of American citizens in the queue?
We asked the experts.
The gist of Biden’s policies
The Biden administration released a national COVID-19 strategy plan during the president’s first week in office. The administration, according to the document, is "committed to ensuring that safe, effective, cost-free vaccines are available to the entire U.S. public — regardless of their immigration status."
The plan directs federal agencies to take action to ensure everyone living in the U.S. can access the vaccine free of charge and without cost sharing.
During a Jan. 28 press briefing, White House press secretary Jen Psaki said the administration feels "that ensuring that all people in the United States — undocumented immigrants, as well, of course — receive access to a vaccine, because that, one, is morally right, but also ensures that people in the country are also safe."
The DHS statement also specified that the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement agency wouldn’t conduct enforcement operations at or near vaccination sites or clinics.
The Biden administration didn’t respond to a request to clarify its position on unauthorized immigrants’ access to vaccines in relation to Scalise’s claim. But, based on publicly available information, it is clear the administration wants immigrants to have access to the vaccine. However, no statement or provision in the administration’s policies indicates they should "jump" ahead of other Americans.
Public health experts across the board criticized Scalise for his statement, in effect saying he was missing the point.
"The line is not drawn by your immigration or legal status," said Dr. Ranit Mishori, senior medical adviser for Physicians for Human Rights, a nonprofit that investigates the health consequences of human rights violations. "It’s drawn by your vulnerability, your potential for exposure and your risk."
Jeffrey Levi, a professor of health policy and management at George Washington University, said Scalise’s claim misrepresents what Biden is trying to do.
"They are simply saying that if an immigrant falls within a category that is currently prioritized (e.g., a health care worker or someone over a certain age), they should not be excluded from getting the vaccine," Levi wrote in an email. "It does not put an immigrant ahead of a prioritized category."
Samantha Artiga, director of racial equity and health policy at Kaiser Family Foundation, a nonpartisan health policy organization, had a similar take. (Kaiser Health News is an editorially independent program of KFF).
"The policies clarify that all people in the U.S. are eligible for vaccinations regardless of their immigration status and encourage immigrants to get vaccinated when they become eligible based on their local guidelines," she wrote in an email. "They do not prioritize immigrants."
Dr. Jeffrey Singer, a senior fellow in health policy with the Cato Institute, a free-market think tank, said the Biden plan is just following standard public health policy and epidemiological principles.
"Trying to place an emphasis on immigration status might be a good way to press people’s buttons to get a sound bite on television," said Singer. "But immigration status is really irrelevant when we’re prioritizing people. It doesn’t matter where you come from. If you’re here in the U.S., you should get vaccinated."
Part of the essential workforce
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s independent Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices recommended in December that states should first prioritize vaccinating health care workers and residents and staff members of long-term care facilities. The next priority group, according to ACIP, should be people ages 75 and older and other front-line essential workers who are not in health care. The Biden administration also recently recommended the age category be lowered to include all seniors, age 65 and older. However, states are free to create their own vaccine distribution plans and decide what groups will get vaccinated first.
Unauthorized immigrants make up significant percentages of the workforces deemed "essential" by ACIP. For example, KFF reports that noncitizens (a broad group that could include immigrants in the country lawfully) constitute 22% of all food production workers, 8% of workers in long-term care facilities and 5% of health care workers who have direct patient contact.
The Migration Policy Institute estimated in a February report the number of unauthorized immigrants who qualify as essential workers ranges from 1.1 million to 5.6 million, depending on how essential workers are defined. The institute also reported about 49% of the estimated 2.4 million farmworkers in the United States were unauthorized immigrants as of 2016.
And it’s important those groups get vaccinated regardless of immigration status, not just as a good public health practice, but also from an ethical and humane perspective, said Dr. Georges Benjamin, executive director of the American Public Health Association.
"It has obviously been a long-standing public health principle that infection anywhere affects the health of everyone," said Benjamin. "It is also of the highest ethical standards to make sure everybody gets vaccinated and gets treated for infectious disease."
Benjamin added that many unauthorized immigrants who work in essential roles are the foundation keeping society functioning during the pandemic, such as restaurant workers and caretakers.
"They’re at higher risk because they’re out and about and they can’t shelter at home," said Benjamin. "At the end of the day, if we did not vaccinate them and they could not go to work, our economy would totally collapse."
Plus, 70% to 90% of the population needs to be vaccinated to reach herd immunity in the U.S.
"As long as this doesn't happen, it doesn’t matter who is vaccinated," said Mishori. "To reach herd immunity in the U.S., everyone regardless of their immigration status, needs to get vaccinated."
"Viruses don’t know the legal status of their victims," Mishori added.
One other note is that the population in question is small compared with the total U.S. population. About 11 million unauthorized immigrants live in the U.S., making up about 3% of the total U.S. population of about 330 million.
Our ruling
Scalise said it is Biden’s policy that "people who came here illegally can jump ahead of other Americans who have been waiting to get the vaccine."
The Biden administration has made it clear that unauthorized immigrants are eligible to receive the vaccine if they are part of a priority group, such as health care workers or seniors. That does mean some unauthorized immigrants who meet specific vaccination criteria for job duties or age could receive a shot before American citizens who do not meet those requirements. This is in keeping with long-standing public health practices.
But Scalise was misrepresenting Biden’s policy when he suggested that unauthorized immigrants are being prioritized over American citizens or can jump the vaccination line. Eligibility for the vaccine is based on job and age categories — period. Under the Biden approach, immigration status is not a qualifying or disqualifying factor.
His statement contains an element of truth but ignores critical facts that would give a different impression. We rate this claim Mostly False.
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463 | Facebook posts | 2021-02-07 00:00:00 | an |
“Now (Biden) is saying that people who came here illegally can jump ahead of other Americans who have been waiting to get the vaccine.”
| Madison Czopek | 2020-09-18 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/18/viral-image/no-netflixs-ceo-wasnt-charged-15-counts-child-porn/ |
No, Netflix’s CEO wasn’t charged with 15 counts of child pornography.
|
If you’ve been binge-watching Netflix shows to get through the lows of the coronavirus pandemic, you might have been shocked to see online claims about the alleged criminal behavior of the company’s CEO.
"Kim Martin Morrow the CEO of Netflix has just been charged with 15 charges for child pornography and 31,000 files have been found on his personal computers for child porn from ages 8 and as young as toddlers," reads the text of a post that has been copied numerous times on different social media platforms. "So, I think the investigation was needed. #SaveOurChildren."
The text often accompanies a link to a story titled: "Sen. Ted Cruz calls for a criminal investigation into Netflix film 'Cuties.'"
The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
Netflix’s CEO has not been charged with these crimes. The claims have been debunked several times, but some social media users continue to spread the misinformation.
Netflix CEO
First, the claim incorrectly identifies Netflix’s CEO. Reed Hastings is the CEO and co-founder of Netflix.
PolitiFact searched news archives and found no evidence that Hastings had been charged with any crime.
It’s not clear where the name ‘Kim Martin Morrow’ originated; our searches find it solely used with these inaccurate claims. Not one of Netflix’s eight senior officers or 12 directors is named Kim Martin Morrow.
So why are social media users falsely linking a fake Netflix CEO to child pornography charges? That’s a bit complicated.
Child pornography claims
The child pornography claims come after Netflix’s release of the French film ‘Cuties’ was met with criticism from subscribers and other internet users.
Many say the film inappropriately sexualizes girls as young as 11, leading internet users to call for subscribers to #CancelNetflix.
Netflix has defended the film.
"‘Cuties’ is a social commentary against the sexualization of young children," a spokesperson said in a statement to Variety. "It’s an award-winning film and a powerful story about the pressure young girls face on social media and from society more generally growing up — and we’d encourage anyone who cares about these important issues to watch the movie."
Film director Maïmouna Doucouré, who won a directing award at Sundance for ‘Cuties,’ maintains that her film criticizes, rather than promotes, hypsersexualization of children.
"I’m eager to see their reaction when they realize that we’re both on the same side of this fight against young children’s hypersexualization," Doucouré said of critics during an interview.
The Instagram post we’re checking also uses the "SaveOurChildren" hashtag, which is linked to the baseless QAnon conspiracy theory. QAnon followers promote the belief that President Donald Trump is working covertly to bring down a child trafficking ring organized by popular celebrities and prominent Democrats. The FBI considers QAnon a potential domestic terrorism threat.
But airing a controversial film is not a crime, and Netflix’s CEO hasn’t been charged with any, as the post claims.
Our ruling
Social media posts claim, "Kim Martin Morrow the CEO of Netflix has just been charged with 15 charges for child pornography."
Netflix’s CEO is Reed Hastings, and he has not been charged with any crime. The claims appear to be the result of backlash over a Netflix film that many say hypersexualizes young children.
We rate this claim False.
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464 | Bloggers | 2021-02-02 00:00:00 | a post on Facebook:
|
“Kim Martin Morrow the CEO of Netflix has just been charged with 15 charges for child pornography”
| Julie Appleby | 2020-09-18 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/18/cory-gardner/gardners-bill-has-more-do-politics-preexisting-con/ |
Gardner’s bill has as much to do with politics as preexisting conditions
|
Sen. Cory Gardner, a Republican running in a tight race for reelection in Colorado, says he wants to protect people with medical conditions.
In a mid-September tweet released by his campaign, he promoted legislation he introduced in August that he says will do just that.
"People like my mother who battle chronic diseases are heroes," read the tweet. "I authored the bill to guarantee coverage to people with pre-existing conditions — no matter what happens to Obamacare — because some things matter more than politics."
Gardner has voted repeatedly to repeal the Affordable Care Act, the first federal law to guarantee people with health problems that they could buy insurance when shopping for their own coverage — at the same cost as for healthier consumers.
Polls show broad public support for keeping the ACA’s preexisting condition protections, while also indicating a consistent, if narrow, majority favoring the overall law.
The popularity of those protections has led Gardner, as well as other GOP candidates facing tough challengers, to swear their allegiance to protecting people with medical conditions, despite their records. In previous fact checks, we found Sen. Martha McSally’s promise always to protect preexisting conditions to be False. President Donald Trump also has made related statements, which have ranged from False to Pants on Fire.
That got us thinking: Would Gardner’s legislation, dubbed "The Pre-Existing Conditions Protection Act," actually guarantee these protections if the ACA didn’t exist? We decided to investigate.
The bill, which was introduced in August, still has no co-sponsors. It’s very short, only 117 words in total.
The main section is a single very long sentence: "A group health plan and a health insurance issuer offering group or individual health insurance coverage may not impose any pre-existing condition exclusion with respect to such plan or coverage, factor health status into premiums or charges, exclude benefits relating to pre-existing conditions from coverage, or otherwise exclude benefits, set limits, or increase charges based on any pre-existing condition or health status."
We reached out to the Gardner campaign to ask for more information.
A campaign spokesperson reiterated in an email that Gardner’s goal is "to guarantee coverage for individuals with preexisting conditions and ensure they cannot be charged more as a result of their underlying medical conditions."
Thomas Miller, a resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, a think tank in Washington, D.C., quipped that the main goal might be something else entirely.
"It’s probably about 100 words too long," Miller said. "It could have said, ‘I’m running for election. I’ll do whatever is necessary.’"
Past votes, present messages
Proponents of the ACA emphasized that the law would help people with medical conditions as they worked to get it passed by Congress, which happened in 2010 following a yearlong failed effort by Democrats to win Republican support. Among a host of other provisions, the law bars insurers from rejecting applicants with medical conditions, as they routinely did when considering individual applicants before the law passed. Nor can insurers charge the sick more than the healthy.
Since the law went into effect in 2014, it has faced many efforts by Republicans in Congress, including Gardner, to repeal it.
It has also faced three Supreme Court challenges. It survived the first two, although one ruling allowed states to opt out of its expansion of Medicaid programs for the poor. The still-pending case was first brought in 2018 by 20 states and is supported by the Trump administration. That case could overturn the entire law, although the court won’t hear arguments on the issue before the election. And that brings us back to Gardner’s bill. An obvious difference between that proposal and the ACA is length. Gardner’s bill is one page, while the ACA runs to several hundred.
And Gardner’s claim seems pegged to the legislative language that says insurers can’t impose a "pre-existing condition exclusion," which sounds fairly straightforward.
But it’s not, experts say.
"It’s an adorable little bill but does not address any of the main issues," said Linda Blumberg, a fellow at the nonprofit Urban Institute’s Health Policy Center. "You need a package of policies working together in order to create real protections for people to have coverage to meet their health care needs."
For instance, the bill does not explicitly bar insurers from outright rejecting applicants with medical conditions, something known as "guaranteed issue."
"‘Guaranteed issue’ is not in the language of the bill," said Miller at AEI.
Instead, the language may simply prohibit insurers from restricting services related to a medical condition only if they choose to sell an individual insurance in the first place, he said.
Compare that with the ACA, which says every insurer selling individual or group coverage "must accept every employer and individual in the State that applies."
Also needed in legislation aiming to protect people with medical problems, said Blumberg, are provisions for subsidies to help people of low and moderate income afford their premiums. The ACA has those, along with specific enrollment periods, so that people don’t wait until they are sick to sign up. Without them, mainly those with medical conditions might sign up, driving up costs and premiums. That, in turn, can price people, especially the sick, out of future coverage.
Another way Gardner’s bill differs from the ACA is that it does not list benefits that must be included in a health insurance policy. The ACA requires insurers to cover 10 broad categories of care, including hospitalization, prescription drugs, childbirth, substance abuse treatment and mental health care.
"Without that, insurers could sell products that don’t cover very much, which is what we had prior to 2014," Blumberg added, which is one way to discourage those who are sick from even applying. "It was difficult to find a product that covered prescription drugs, and we even saw policies that didn’t cover chemotherapy."
So, what about costs?
Gardner’s legislation says insurers can’t "factor health status into premiums or charges."
So insurers could not charge people more simply because they have diabetes, say, or cancer. Still, that leaves open a whole lot of other things that insurers could consider when setting premiums for individuals, such as such as gender or occupation, which could stand in as a proxy for health. Unlike the ACA, it does not bar insurers from setting annual or lifetime dollar limits on coverage, which could disproportionately affect people with costly medical conditions.
The ACA allows insurers to vary premiums for only three reasons: where people live, their age and whether they use tobacco. It sets upper limits, such as charging older folks no more than three times what younger enrollees pay.
Douglas Holtz-Eakin, president of the American Action Forum, who wrote a blog post cited by the Gardner campaign, said the proposed legislation is a starting point — a place holder, if you will. His piece mentioned it near the end of a broader look at the Trump administration’s health platform going into the election.
Responding to questions about Gardner’s legislation, Holtz-Eakin said that if the ACA were to be struck down, Gardner would likely add provisions to it.
"I don’t think it’s intended to be a replacement bill but a provision to make sure people can get coverage," said Holtz-Eakin. "It’s quite clear on the aim to ensure that people with pre-existing conditions can get insurance, but it doesn’t address every single policy issue that’s out there."
Health law professor Mark Hall at Wake Forest University said Gardner’s legislation could survive if the ACA were struck down by the Supreme Court, but he noted that Congress would be unlikely to adopt the Gardner bill as written.
"A freestanding protection of pre-existing conditions without any supporting provisions to keep insurance affordable or encourage people to purchase it before they become sick, is almost certain to cause serious harms to the market," Hall wrote in an email. "Therefore, a lot more is needed to overcome legitimate objections that almost certainly will be made from both sides of the political aisle."
Our ruling
Because protecting people with medical conditions requires many moving parts, the brevity of Gardner’s proposal makes it appear to be a fig leaf for a political problem rather than a means to guarantee protections for people with preexisting conditions.
The legislation is unclear on whether it guarantees that people with health problems will be able to buy insurance in the first place. And, even if they can, they may well find it priced out of reach because the legislation does not bar insurers from varying premiums widely on the basis of age, gender or occupation.
Viewed in its most favorable light, Gardner’s 117-word proposal would only serve as a place holder for larger legislation, upon which more protections would have to be layered to bolster the effectiveness of its guarantee.
We rate this statement False.
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466 | Facebook posts | 2020-09-15 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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“CBS stole a photo from Latinos for Trump in Phoenix and tagged it as a Biden event.”
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-09-18 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/18/instagram-posts/cdc-director-says-healthy-people-should-wear-masks/ |
CDC director says healthy people should wear masks
|
Testifying before the Senate Appropriations Committee on Sept. 16, Robert Redfield, director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, said that face masks are the "best defense" against COVID-19.
"This face mask is more guaranteed to protect me against COVID than when I take a COVID vaccine, because the immunogenicity may be 70%, and if I don’t get an immune response, the vaccine’s not going to protect me," he said, holding a mask. "This face mask will."
But an Instagram post published on the social media platform the same day shared an old video of the CDC director with this message: "CDC Director Robert Redfield says healthy people should NOT wear masks."
In the video, U.S. Rep. Chrissy Houlahan, D-Pa., asks during a hearing of a House Foreign Affairs subcommittee, "Should you wear a mask if you’re healthy?"
Redfield pushes the microphone toward his face and says, "No."
This post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
The clip of the video in the Instagram post is authentic, but it says "Today" in the corner. In reality, this exchange happened in February 2020. You can hear it about 56 minutes and 30 seconds into the hearing on the country’s coronavirus response.
This was before President Donald Trump declared COVID-19 a national emergency, and before the CDC changed its recommendations to encourage nearly everyone to wear a face covering when out in public and when social distancing is difficult.
Early in the coronavirus outbreak, the CDC did discourage people from wearing face masks unless they had COVID-19 and were showing symptoms. But that changed on April 3, when the CDC said it was revising its guidance based on continuing studies that found the virus could be transmitted by people who were asymptomatic.
The CDC’s website now says that everyone 2 years of age and older should wear a mask in public and when around people who don’t live in your household, especially when it’s hard to physically distance.
On July 14, the CDC released a news release calling on "Americans to wear masks to prevent COVID-19 spread."
"All Americans have a responsibility to protect themselves, their families, and their communities," the release said.
Redfield was the co-author of an editorial that was published in the Journal of the American Medical Association. It was titled, "Universal masking to prevent SARS-CoV-2 transmission—the time is now," and made the case that "broad adoption of cloth face coverings is a civic duty, a small sacrifice reliant on highly effective low-tech solutions that can help turn the tide favorably in national and global efforts against COVID-19."
Our ruling
While Redfield did say in February that healthy people should not wear masks, the CDC reversed course months ago and since early April has recommended that healthy people wear face coverings.
This Instagram post wrongly frames his comments from February as if he currently believes that healthy people shouldn’t wear masks.
This was published online the same day that Redfield said masks are the most effective tool Americans have in the fight against COVID-19 — muddying the waters for people seeking clear, current information.
Redfield says that healthy people should wear face coverings.
We rate this Instagram post False.
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467 | Viral image | 2020-09-17 00:00:00 | an Instagram post:
|
“CDC Director Robert Redfield says healthy people should NOT wear masks.”
| Paul Schloesser | 2020-09-18 00:00:00 | true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/18/caleb-rowden/rowdens-right-cares-act-funds-werent-paid-out/ |
Rowden’s right: CARES Act funds weren’t paid out
|
State Sen. Caleb Rowden is disappointed with how Boone County has handled $21.2 million in federal COVID-19 relief funds.
"Boone County’s online CARES relief portal has fallen behind," he wrote Sept. 4 on Medium.com. "Over three months after receiving CARES Act relief funds from the State, the county has still not made those dollars available to help struggling Mid-Missourians."
County Commissioner Janet Thompson took issue with his statement. She said over $2 million was sent to two organizations: the Boone County Department of Health and Columbia Public Schools.
"Perhaps Sen. Rowden should actually contact the Boone County Commission to find out exactly what we’re doing," she said.
A dispute over facts? That’s our specialty.
After digging into the question, we found that the county had not actually given out any CARES funds by Sept. 4, although some of the money has been promised. So when did Boone County receive the money, and what happened to it?
The money trail
When reached for comment, Rowden pointed to a variety of sources to back his claim, including news articles published by the Columbia Missourian, a press release issued by the Missouri Governor’s office, and a summary of House bill 2014, which Rowden voted for in the Missouri Senate.
Congress passed the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act on March 27. It gave money to states and Missouri, in turn, gave some of those funds to every county plus St. Louis City to help offset economic damage from the coronavirus pandemic. The state bill that authorized disbursement of CARES money, HB 2014, was signed into law by Gov. Mike Parson on April 10. Boone County received $21.2 million, which must be completely spent by Dec. 31 or the entire amount will be returned to the state.
Parson announced May 4 that the money had been sent. Two days later, Boone County received the money.
On July 16, Boone County commissioners said they were looking at buying software to build a portal for relief applications from organizations and the general public. The commissioners said it would likely be ready within a month, according to reporting in the Columbia Missourian.
On Aug. 28, the Missourian reported Thompson’s announcement that the online portal would be ready for applications within a few weeks.
At the time that state Sen. Rowden made his statement on Sept. 4, the portal was not online. By Sept. 9, the portal had been made available.
So...where’s the money?
In an email, Thompson said the commission had spent $2.1 million on requests from the Boone County Department of Health, and to Columbia Public Schools as a proxy to the other five school districts in Boone County.
What did Thompson mean by spent? "If by ‘spent,’ you mean out the door/in another entity’s hands, that is what was ‘spent’ as of September 6, 2020," Thompson wrote.
But was it? Not according to the Boone County Department of Health and county records.
On Aug. 11, The Columbia/Boone County Department of Health and Human Services was approved to receive $1.8 million to hire 40 full-time employees through December. These employees included disease investigators, contact tracers, health educators, data analysts, and communicable disease specialists. The money was also to pay for additional COVID-19 testing, especially for uninsured and under-insured individuals.
Health Department Assistant Director Scott Clardy said in a Sept. 11 interview that money had not yet been received from the county, as the Health Department had to submit an invoice to the county and later get reimbursed.
Meanwhile, all six Boone County school districts requested $322,800 for 1,345 Wi-Fi hotspots. The county commission approved the request on Aug. 20. The $322,800 was to be pre-paid by CPS and reimbursed by the county.
According to district spokesperson Michelle Baumstark, the Board of Education approved the purchase agreement for the hotspots, using CARES funding, on Sept. 14.
The CARES Act money is designated to be sent out as reimbursements, upon "provision…. of adequate documentation showing appropriately incurred expenses," according to the county orders that approved the money to both Columbia Public Schools and the Department of Health.
Thompson said there were "at least three requests in the works" that, if fully funded, would exceed $11 million. But, that’s anticipated money — not money spent, which was the basis of Rowden’s complaint.
Our ruling
Caleb Rowden said: "Over three months after receiving CARES Act relief funds from the state, the county has still not made those dollars available to help struggling Mid-Missourians."
Evidence from the Boone County Department of Health and county records back that up.
We found that $2.1 million had been approved for two organizations that requested CARES Act funds. But that money had not been sent by the Boone County Commission at the time of Rowden’s post. Although it was promised, the money had not hit the bank accounts of either organization.
We rate this claim True.
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469 | Facebook posts | 2020-09-04 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
“Nobody is found dead of corona in their homes.. They all die at the hospital.”
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-09-03 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/03/donald-trump/trump-campaign-wrong-biden-has-repeatedly-condemne/ |
Trump campaign is wrong — Biden has repeatedly condemned violence tied to protests
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As we inch toward a presidential election amid a reignited national conversation around race and police brutality, President Donald Trump and Democratic nominee Joe Biden continue to take aim at each other on the issue.
Trump spoke on Sept. 1, 2020 with law enforcement and business owners in Kenosha, a city reeling after the police shooting of Jacob Blake, which spawned nights of unrest that came to a head when, prosecutors say, a 17-year-old from Illinois shot and killed two protesters.
The day the president visited, his Wisconsin campaign released a statement criticizing Biden for being weak on issues of "law and order," a message Trump has championed as he seeks re-election.
The statement included this claim: "Biden failed to condemn far-left violent groups like Antifa, instead faulting only the brave men and women of law enforcement."
It’s a talking point Trump and his allies have begun to push, despite significant evidence to the contrary.
Let’s take a look.
Biden has denounced arson, violence connected to protests several times
Biden, who visited Kenosha Sept. 3, 2020, hasn’t minced words denouncing the unrest that followed Blake’s shooting and the death of George Floyd in May.
Days after a white Minneapolis police officer knelt on Floyd’s neck and the city — and nation — erupted in protest, Biden said: "Protesting such brutality is right and necessary … But burning down communities and needless destruction is not. Violence that endangers lives is not. Violence that guts and shutters businesses that serve the community is not."
On June 2, 2020, he said: "There is no place for violence, no place for looting or destroying property or burning churches, or destroying businesses."
On Aug. 26, 2020, three days after Kenosha police officer Rusten Sheskey shot Jacob Blake, Biden said in a video: "Burning down communities is not protest, it’s needless violence — violence that endangers lives, violence that guts businesses, and shutters businesses that serve the community. That’s wrong."
Last Sunday, Aug. 30, 2020, Biden tweeted, "I condemn violence of every kind by anyone, whether on the left or the right," and encouraged Trump to pledge to do the same.
And, in Kenosha he said this: "Protesting is protesting … but none of it justifies looting, burning or anything else."
To be sure, Biden has not blamed Antifa by name, but on July 28, 2020, he said: "Arsonists and anarchists should be prosecuted … local law enforcement can do that."
And in condemning "violence of every kind by anyone," he certainly includes any Antifa supporters.
Trump also claims that Biden has instead faulted "only the brave men and women of law enforcement." As noted, he has not solely faulted law enforcement.
But what is Trump referring to?
At one point, Biden did criticize the actions of federal officers sent to Portland, Ore., to help control protests, saying in a statement that the agents had been "brutally attacking" peaceful protesters and were "stok(ing) the fires of division," as the Trump campaign notes in a separate release.
But that focused on a particular issue in a particular place. It was not a widespread condemnation of law enforcement officials who are facing protests and violence across the country. And it is not the only place he has laid blame, as the litany of other comments shows.
Our ruling
Trump’s campaign claimed that "Biden failed to condemn far-left violent groups like Antifa, instead faulting only the brave men and women of law enforcement."
Numerous statements from Biden decrying violence, arson and looting tied to protests against police brutality show that claim is demonstrably untrue.
We rate the claim False.
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470 | Instagram posts | 2020-09-07 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
An antifa flyer encourages activists “to disguise yourselves as patriots/Trump supporters” on Nov. 4.
| Madeline Heim | 2020-09-03 00:00:00 | pants-fire | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/03/donald-trump/trump-repeats-false-claim-about-covid-19-deaths-fo/ |
Trump repeats false claim about COVID-19 deaths on Fox News
|
In the past week, President Donald Trump has repeatedly spread a false claim that COVID-19 is not as deadly as his own public health agencies have reported.
He retweeted a now-deleted post that alleged the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention "quietly updated" the number of coronavirus deaths. He shared another tweet from a senior legal adviser for his reelection campaign that linked to an article whose headline said "only 9,210 Americans died from COVID-19 alone."
And, in a Sept. 1 interview with Fox News’ Laura Ingraham, Trump said it himself:
"I saw a statistic come out the other day, talking about only 6% of the people actually died from COVID, which is a very interesting — that they died from other reasons."
"Well, they had comorbidities, which you’ve gotten criticized for," Ingraham responded.
She’s right — the president misconstrued data on coronavirus deaths. As of Sept. 3, CDC data show 185,092 Americans had died due to COVID-19, and some estimates put the death toll higher.
Trump’s claim traces back to a report from the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS), which is part of the CDC. Each Wednesday, the agency releases new provisional death counts for the coronavirus. The data is based on death certificates.
In that report, the NCHS notes in a section titled "Comorbidities" that, "for 6% of the deaths, COVID-19 was the only cause mentioned."
"For deaths with conditions or causes in addition to COVID-19, on average, there were 2.6 additional conditions or causes per death," the report says.
Those lines have inspired a rash of claims on social media, including those retweeted by the president, that say the CDC "adjusted" its coronavirus death counts and the disease is not as deadly as previously thought.
Those assertions are false — we rated a related Facebook post Pants on Fire. Several other fact-checkers have also debunked them.
Let’s recap why they’re wrong.
Comorbidities are conditions that patients experience in tandem with a primary condition. Think of conditions like cancer or diabetes, which the CDC has said put people more at risk of death if they contract the coronavirus.
The NCHS report shows that the vast majority of coronavirus-related deaths occur in patients with comorbidities. But that doesn’t mean COVID-19 was a non-factor.
"The point that the CDC was trying to make was that a certain percentage of them had nothing else but just COVID-19," said Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, in a Sept. 1 interview with "Good Morning America." "That does not mean that someone who has hypertension or diabetes who dies of COVID didn’t die of COVID-19 — they did."
"The numbers that you’ve been hearing, the 180,000-plus deaths, are real deaths from COVID-19. Let there not be any confusion about that."
So why do 94% of death certificates that mention COVID-19 also list other conditions?
When a coronavirus patient is admitted to the hospital, the virus is listed on their medical record. Since the coronavirus attacks the lungs, perhaps they develop respiratory failure, which would also be listed on their record. Unfortunately, they die after going into cardiac arrest, so doctors take note of that, too.
RELATED: No, the CDC did not ‘quietly adjust’ US coronavirus deaths
All three of those conditions would be listed on the patient’s death certificate, but COVID-19 started the process.
"The people dying were not going to die but for the acquisition of COVID," said Dr. Myron Cohen, director of the Institute for Global Health and Infectious Diseases at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
Jeff Lancashire, acting associate director for communications at the NCHS, told us in an email that 92% of the death certificates that mention the coronavirus state that COVID-19 was the "underlying cause of death."
"The underlying cause of death is the condition that began the chain of events that ultimately led to the person’s death," Lancashire said.
We reached out to the White House and the Trump campaign for a comment, but we haven’t heard back.
Trump’s claim is inaccurate and ridiculous. We rate it Pants on Fire!
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471 | Caleb Rowden | 2020-09-02 00:00:00 | News release:
|
“Biden failed to condemn far-left violent groups like Antifa, instead faulting only the brave men and women of law enforcement.”
| Daniel Funke | 2021-02-08 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/feb/08/facebook-posts/no-vaping-demo-doesnt-prove-masks-dont-work-agains/ |
No, a vaping demo doesn’t prove that masks don’t work against COVID-19
|
In a video clip being shared on Facebook, a retired anesthesiologist who rails against mask wearing to protect against COVID-19 purports to demonstrate their ineffectiveness by blowing out the vapor from an electronic cigarette. The video carries the headline: "Doctor proves masks ‘don’t work.’"
But he doesn’t prove that at all.
The fact that he can blow vapor through a mask is not evidence that masks don’t protect against passing the coronavirus. After all, people breathe in and out with masks on.
"By that illogic, the fact that air can pass through a mask could be cited as ‘evidence’ as well," said Dr. Amesh Adalja, senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security.
Cindy Prins, a clinical associate professor of epidemiology at the University of Florida, called the video "completely misleading."
"Fabric and surgical/procedure masks are meant to help protect against larger droplet particles that may contain COVID-19," she said. "You have to be able to breathe through a mask, and he is just blowing out water vapor, so that is expected to be able to go through a mask."
The video maker
The Facebook post that includes the video clip was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
The video is by Dr. Ted Noel, a former Florida anesthesiologist. Noel allowed his license to expire in 2014 after deciding to retire, the Florida Department of Health told us.
Noel’s YouTube channel has more than 19,000 subscribers and has had more than 9 million views since it was started in 2016.
In the three-minute clip, Noel blows e-cigarette vapor through a variety of masks, including a surgical-style mask and a cloth mask like those commonly worn to control the spread of COVID-19.
When we asked Noel to back his position, he argued in an email that COVID-19 is spread by aerosols, and that 90% of aerosols and viruses "go right through" cloth masks. He also argued that "basically, the only way droplets can spread COVID-19 is if an ill person happens to be quite close to an uninfected person who happens to be breathing in at the exact moment that the ill person expels the droplets."
Noel has repeatedly railed against masks. On Jan. 31, he wrote: "Most Americans intuitively recognize that masks don’t reduce infections. But they go along with the virtue signaling to be good citizens." In his email, he called Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation’s leading infectious-disease expert, "a lab rat turned bureaucrat who plays a doctor on TV."
Noel's claims on countering the spread of the coronavirus are contradicted by public health experts.
The clip demonstrates that "to work properly, even the best masks or respirators need to fit properly, without gaps, and not everything that looks like a really good mask necessarily has good filtration," said Stephen Morse, professor of epidemiology at the Columbia University Medical Center.
But "it is a leap to go from there to generalizing that ‘masks don’t work,’" he said. Many peer-reviewed studies show "that masks do have a significant effect. They do work, when used properly."
CDC backs mask wearing
CDC guidance allows that the protection afforded by a mask depends on the type of mask and the nature of the substance in the air — whether it’s liquid droplets, gaseous vapor, or solid particles like soot or pollen.
For example, cloth masks that are used to slow the spread of COVID-19 offer little protection against the tiny particles of wildfire smoke, the CDC said when addressing wildfires and COVID-19 in the summer of 2020.
But, as Prins said, it’s the larger respiratory droplets that are the concern with COVID-19.
The primary way people get COVID-19 is exposure to respiratory droplets that carry the virus, the CDC reiterated in a research brief in October 2020. The droplets can be transmitted between people through touch or through the air, typically when people are less than 6 feet apart.
Measures such as mask wearing, social distancing and hand hygiene "appear sufficient to address transmission both through close contact and under the special circumstances favorable to potential airborne transmission," the brief said.
"Multi-layer cloth masks block release of exhaled respiratory particles into the environment, along with the microorganisms these particles carry," the CDC said in a November 2020 research brief. "Cloth masks not only effectively block most large droplets, but they can also block the exhalation of fine droplets and particles, also often referred to as aerosols."
The CDC recommends that people wear masks "in public settings, at events and gatherings, and anywhere they will be around other people" to slow the spread of COVID-19, because masks provide a barrier that keeps the respiratory droplets from spreading between people.
On Jan. 29, the CDC ordered that masks be worn on public conveyances, such as airplanes, subways, buses and cabs, and in transportation hubs such as airports and bus stations.
Our ruling
A widely shared Facebook post that includes a video clip claims that a "doctor proves masks don’t work" by showing vapor from an electronic cigarette passing through a mask.
Experts say the fact that masks allow e-cigarette vapor to pass through provides no evidence to back the claim. They say face coverings offer protection against COVID-19 by blocking larger respiratory droplets, as well as aerosols, that can carry the virus and pass between people. The CDC and other public health experts recommend mask wearing.
We rate the claim False.
UPDATED, Feb. 9, 11 a.m. ET: This story was updated to include additional context on how masks work.
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52050] | 933 |
472 | Facebook posts | 2020-09-01 00:00:00 | a Fox News |
“Only 6% of the people actually died from COVID.” The others “died from other reasons.”
| Miriam Valverde | 2021-02-05 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/feb/05/blog-posting/no-cdc-isnt-inflating-coronavirus-statistics/ |
No, the CDC isn’t inflating coronavirus statistics
|
On Feb. 4, U.S. coronavirus deaths exceeded 450,000. According to some social media users, the official death toll can’t be trusted.
One blog post shared thousands of times on social media claims official COVID-19 data is being inflated.
"BUSTED: CDC Inflated COVID Numbers, Accused of Violating Federal Law," reads the headline on a National File post.
The claim was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
The post that follows the National File’s headline claims that the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has inflated COVID-19 fatality data.
"CDC illegally inflated the COVID fatality number by at least 1,600 percent as the 2020 presidential election played out, according to a study published by the Public Health Initiative of the Institute for Pure and Applied Knowledge," the blog post reads.
This is not the first time coronavirus death statistics have been the focus of online misinformation. PolitiFact and other fact-checking organizations have debunked prior claims that the CDC decreased the number of coronavirus deaths from 153,504 to 9,210.
And despite what the blog post claims, there is still no evidence to suggest the CDC is inflating coronavirus mortality data.
The study that the blog post points to as its primary evidence was produced by a private group called the Institute for Pure and Applied Knowledge. PolitiFact has previously fact-checked a false claim by the institute’s leader James Lyons-Weiler. A study published by the National Center for Biotechnology Information also debunked Lyons-Weiler’s claim that the virus behind the ongoing pandemic was created in a lab.
In this case, the study does not definitively say that the CDC inflated COVID-19 deaths. Rather, it calls into question guidelines the CDC issued in March 2020 that were designed to more accurately capture mortality data related to the coronavirus. The study’s authors called the guidance "a capricious alteration to data collection has compromised the accuracy, quality, objectivity, utility, and integrity of their published data."
The study’s conclusions are carefully worded (with boldface added by PolitiFact for emphasis):
"It is concerning that the CDC may have willfully failed to collect, analyze, and publish accurate data used by elected officials to develop public health policy for a nation in crisis [...] If the data being reported was indeed compromised by the CDC’s perplexing decision to abandon proven data collection and reporting practices in favor of untested methods, then all public health policies based upon these inaccurate data must be reexamined."
Ultimately, the study’s ten authors — at least one of whom is not a medical expert — conclude that "further federal investigation is justified." They do not prove or conclude that the CDC inflated COVID-19 death data or violated federal laws.
Additionally, experts who study the data say that it is far more likely that official counts of coronavirus deaths are too low.
In April 2020, Dr. Anthony Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, weighed in on the allegation that the coronavirus death toll was being inflated because people were actually dying of other conditions.
"There is absolutely no evidence that that’s the case at all," Fauci said in an NBC News interview. "I think it falls under the category of something that’s very unfortunate — these conspiracy theories that we hear about."
Fauci went on to say he thought it was possible COVID-19 deaths were being undercounted.
"I think there’s more of a chance of missing some [deaths] that are really coronavirus deaths," he said. "But I don’t think that number is significant enough to really substantially modify the trends that we’re seeing at all."
Roderick Little, a professor of biostatistics at the University of Michigan, told PolitiFact that "a more reliable picture" of the coronavirus death toll could be seen by "looking at excess death rates over historical patterns, as on the same date in previous years."
"If anything, I'd expect the CDC numbers to be underestimates, not overestimates," Little said. "I note that the lack of testing for COVID early in the pandemic would contribute to such an underestimate."
Our ruling
A blog post headline reads, "BUSTED: CDC Inflated COVID Numbers, Accused of Violating Federal Law."
There is no evidence to suggest that the CDC has inflated the number of U.S. coronavirus deaths. In fact, experts agree it is more likely that coronavirus deaths are being undercounted.
We rate this claim False.
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473 | Viral image | 2020-09-01 00:00:00 | a speech:
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"When I was vice president, violent crime fell 15% in this country. ... The murder rate now is up 26% across the nation this year under Donald Trump."
| Tom Kertscher | 2021-02-05 00:00:00 | half-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/feb/05/roy-cooper/cooper-exaggerates-immediate-effect-school-reopeni/ |
Cooper exaggerates immediate effect of school reopening bill
|
Gov. Roy Cooper says he wants North Carolina school boards to reopen in-person instruction on their own, rather than be forced by state lawmakers.
Republican legislators recently introduced a bill that would require county school boards to offer the option of in-person classes.
When a reporter asked Cooper about it during a press conference on Tuesday, he said he hadn’t read the bill yet.
"I haven’t seen the legislation, (but) I know about it," Cooper said. "I have some concerns with it, particularly stripping out some of the health protocols that are in place."
Is it true that the GOP bill would "strip" some current safety protocols that are already in place?
The bill would strip school boards of flexibility. (They would no longer be allowed to offer remote-only instruction, unless there’s a COVID outbreak.) However, the bill itself does not automatically strip schools of any health protocols for in-person learning.
The current situation
In North Carolina, Cooper is giving public school boards some flexibility to choose how they want to reopen. He’s laid out three levels of operation:
Plan A: minimal social distancing.
Plan B: moderate social distancing.
Plan C: full remote learning.
(There are specific protocols to follow for each plan. For the sake of brevity, we won’t get into those details just yet.)
So far, Cooper has given only elementary schools the ability to enact Plan A. Middle and high schools can only choose Plan B or Plan C.
The Republican bill would require all public schools to offer Plan A or Plan B, while allowing parents the ability to still choose a remote alternative.
Cooper’s use of the word "strip" could give parents the impression the bill would change health protocols that are already in place. The bill does not aim to do that.
Following protocols
The bill requires schools to follow protocols laid out in the "Strong Schools NC Public Health Toolkit" that was developed by the health department, led by Cooper-appointee Mandy Cohen, as well as the Department of Public Instruction.
The original bill told school boards to follow toolkit guidance that "existed on December 4, 2020." On Wednesday, the Senate amended the bill to ensure schools follow the latest version of the toolkit, which was updated on Feb. 2.
Cooper said Tuesday that 90 out of North Carolina’s 115 school districts already provide some in-person instruction.
Consider for a moment that your school district is already operating under a Plan B model of in-person learning. PolitiFact found no evidence that, if the bill were enacted, health protocols for Plan B would be significantly different from what they are now.
Plan A vs. Plan B
Of course, if the bill is enacted and school boards are able to choose Plan A, one could argue that would "strip" teachers of existing protections.
Plan A and Plan B are similar in some ways. Both require schools to mandate face coverings, conduct regular screenings for coronavirus symptoms, limit visitors, mark the floors to guide movement, and more. (Page 5 of the toolkit features a chart showing how the plans track on 10 out of 11 key guidelines.)
However, there are a few protocols required in Plan B that aren’t required under Plan A, including:
Mandating 6 feet of physical distance,
Banning more than one passenger per bus seat,
Restricting carpooling to family members.
To be clear, these differences are not insignificant. While in December experts found in-school coronavirus spread to be low, experts have also repeatedly confirmed that social distancing and spacing are key to limiting spread.
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention considers in-person learning with minimal social distancing to be the highest-risk learning model. On MSNBC this week, the CDC director reiterated that schools can open safely only if they continued social distancing.
Our ruling
Cooper said a Republican bill that would require counties to enact in-person learning is "stripping out some of the health protocols that are in place."
He’s right that the bill would "strip" school boards of the ability to offer remote learning exclusively. Also, if the bill is enacted and local school boards opt for Plan A, one could argue that teachers would be stripped of their social distancing protection.
However, a parent whose child attends a school operating under Plan B may hear Cooper’s comments and think the Republican bill would remove some health protocols that are already in place. That doesn’t appear to be the case.
Bill sponsors say the intention is for schools to continue operating under the guidelines outlined by the Cooper administration. We rate his claim Half True.
| North Carolina,Coronavirus,Roy Cooper | [128000, 198, 68001, 13, 11284, 24421, 2795, 568, 6944, 4892, 13030, 2978, 21126, 311, 37859, 304, 29145, 7754, 389, 872, 1866, 11, 4856, 1109, 387, 9770, 555, 1614, 26137, 627, 69555, 48962, 6051, 11784, 264, 4121, 430, 1053, 1397, 14189, 2978, 21126, 311, 3085, 279, 3072, 315, 304, 29145, 6989, 13, 52050, 4599, 264, 19496, 4691, 24421, 922, 433, 2391, 264, 3577, 10017, 389, 7742, 11, 568, 1071, 568, 19117, 1431, 1373, 279, 4121, 3686, 627, 7189, 9167, 1431, 3970, 279, 13543, 11, 320, 8248, 8, 358, 1440, 922, 433, 1359, 24421, 1071, 13, 330, 40, 617, 1063, 10742, 449, 433, 11, 8104, 67770, 704, 1063, 315, 279, 2890, 32885, 430, 527, 304, 2035, 10246, 3957, 433, 837, 430, 279, 18598, 4121, 1053, 330, 13406, 1, 1063, 1510, 7296, 32885, 430, 527, 2736, 304, 2035, 5380, 791, 4121, 1053, 13619, 2978, 21126, 315, 25152, 13, 320, 7009, 1053, 912, 5129, 387, 5535, 311, 3085, 8870, 15744, 7754, 11, 7389, 1070, 753, 264, 20562, 31188, 6266, 4452, 11, 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474 | Donald Trump | 2020-08-31 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
“Doctor proves masks don’t work” by vaping through them.
| Madison Czopek | 2021-02-05 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/feb/05/gateway-pundit/video-does-not-provide-evidence-election-fraud-det/ |
Video does not provide evidence of election fraud in Detroit
|
An article from the conservative news website The Gateway Pundit claims that a video from the TCF Center where Detroit election workers counted absentee ballots cast by the city’s voters "shows late night deliveries of tens of thousands of illegal ballots 8 hours after deadline."
The article claims that the video is "proof of fraud in Detroit." The video appears to show a white van at the TCF Center early in the morning on Nov. 4 containing ballots that were unloaded and brought into the counting room at the TCF Center. There is no evidence of anything nefarious.
In Michigan, voters had until 8 p.m. on Election Day to return absentee ballots. The deadline was for casting ballots, not delivering or counting them.
A sworn affidavit written by Christopher Thomas, the former Michigan Director of Elections who worked at the TCF Center, in response to a lawsuit against the city says that no late-arriving ballots were ever counted.
"No absentee ballots received after the deadline of 8 p.m. on November 3, 2020, were received by or processed at the TCF Center. Only ballots received by the deadline were processed," Thomas wrote.
Many Republican challengers present at the TCF Center have said that they observed ballots being dropped off at the TCF Center in the middle of the night. Thomas wrote that their accounts do not support the claim that thousands of ballots cast after the 8 p.m. deadline were counted.
Detroit voters could return absentee ballots by mail to the clerk’s office, in-person or utilize one of the city’s many ballot drop boxes until that deadline.
Ballots were collected until 8 p.m. on election night after which point all ballots were returned and processed by the clerk’s staff. The staff then verified signatures at the Department of Elections.
Only after ballots were validated were they delivered to the TCF Center for election workers to process and tabulate them.
Shane Trejo, a writer for the right-wing website Big League Politics, told the Gateway Pundit that he was at the TCF Center where he said he witnessed thousands of ballots being unloaded early Wednesday morning. "There were at least 50 boxes that I saw unloaded at 3:30 a.m., well after the 8:00 p.m. deadline for ballots to show up." The 8 p.m. deadline was for voters to return ballots, not for ballots to be delivered to the TCF Center. Trejo has previously made false claims of election fraud in Detroit, prompting Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel to ask Trejo to take down misleading videos he posted.
In his affidavit, Thomas explained that early in the morning on Wednesday, approximately 16,000 ballots in 45 trays containing approximately 350 ballots each were delivered in a white van used by the city. "The ballots delivered to the TCF Center had been verified by the City Clerk’s staff prior to delivery in a process prescribed by Michigan law. … It would have been impossible for any election worker at the TCF Center to count or process a ballot for someone who was not an eligible voter or whose ballot was not received by the 8:00 p.m. deadline on November 3, 2020," Thomas wrote.
In his opinion in the lawsuit against the city denying the request to delay the certification of the election, Wayne County Circuit Chief Judge Timothy Kenny determined that the lawsuit’s account of fraud and misconduct — including its assertion that late-arriving ballots were illegally counted — was "incorrect and not credible."
Our ruling
An article by the Gateway Pundit claims that a "newly discovered video shows late night deliveries of tens of thousands of illegal ballots 8 hours after deadline." Detroit election officials have confirmed that ballots were delivered to the TCF Center early Wednesday morning but that those ballots met the 8 p.m. deadline for voters to return them and had been verified by the city clerk’s office as legally cast.
We rate this claim False.
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475 | Donald Trump | 2020-12-31 00:00:00 | a blog post:
|
"BUSTED: CDC Inflated COVID Numbers, Accused of Violating Federal Law"
| Paul Specht | 2021-02-05 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/feb/05/facebook-posts/no-evidence-covid-19-vaccinations-caused-deaths-se/ |
No evidence that COVID-19 vaccinations caused deaths of senior citizens
|
Suggesting that coronavirus vaccinations killed 86-year-old Hank Aaron and elderly people in Gibraltar and Norway, an article widely shared on Facebook claims that "seniors" around the world died soon after getting vaccinated, and that their cause of death was listed as natural.
"Seniors dying after COVID vaccine labeled as natural causes," reads the headline of the article by Dr. Joseph Mercola, a major funder of anti-vaccine efforts. Mercola’s work has come under criticism before from federal agencies and others within the medical community.
The full article, which requires a registration to view, begins: "Around the world, reports are pouring in of people dying shortly after receiving the COVID-19 vaccine. … Ironically, when seniors die before vaccination, it’s due to COVID-19 and something must be done to prevent it, but when they die after vaccination, they die of natural causes and no preventive action is necessary."
The article was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
The article relies on evidentiary assertions that have been widely discredited before. Let’s look.
Aaron’s death natural
The article says the death Jan. 22 of Aaron, the Hall of Fame baseball player, is notable because he died 17 days after he chose to be vaccinated publicly in hope that other Black people would get the shot.
But the Fulton County (Ga.) Medical Examiner’s office said Aaron’s cause of death was natural and not linked to the vaccine. We rated as False a claim that said otherwise.
Health Feedback rated as "misleading" a separate assertion that Aaron’s death "is part of a wave of suspicious deaths among elderly closely following administration of COVID vaccines." The nonprofit fact-checker said there is no evidence to back the claim.
Article admits Gibraltar doesn’t back its claim
Mercola’s article said a surge in deaths in Gibraltar after COVID-19 vaccinations began "raises questions."
The article said Gibraltar, the British overseas territory on the southern coast of Spain, had only 10 COVID-related deaths by Jan. 6. But vaccinations began Jan. 9 and by Jan. 17, the article claimed, "the total death toll had suddenly skyrocketed to 45," with most of the people who died during that period being in their 80s or 90s.
A Reuters fact-check said a claim that coronavirus deaths in Gibraltar have been caused by the vaccine and not the virus is false, saying there is no evidence linking the deaths to the vaccine. Full Fact reached the same conclusion.
The government said in a statement Jan. 27 that 11,073 people had received a first dose of the Pfizer vaccine and none had died as a result of receiving it. Six people between the ages of 70 and 100 who died after receiving the vaccine apparently contracted COVID-19 before being vaccinated, but testing did not detect it, according to the statement.
In a Feb. 1 announcement, the government encouraged people over age 60 to be vaccinated, noting that "we have offered the vaccine to almost everyone over the age of 60."
Norway finds no causal link
The article claimed the Norwegian Medicines Agency initially downplayed any connection between the deaths of 29 seniors citizens in the wake of Norway’s "vaccination push" — but that the agency is "now reconsidering."
We rated as Mostly False a claim on Facebook that the COVID-19 vaccine is dangerous because 23 people died in Norway "within hours" of receiving it. Those who died were very frail nursing home residents with serious underlying illnesses. The inoculation was not determined to be the cause of death.
Since then, in its latest weekly report on adverse reactions to the vaccinations, the agency said Feb. 2 that among the 112,000 people who have received the first dose and 22,000 who have received the second, there were 56 deaths "with a temporal link to vaccination." All occurred among nursing home residents over age 70 within 12 days of vaccination.
"Many of these reports state that no link to vaccination is suspected. The fact that some nursing home residents die soon after being vaccinated does not mean that there is a causal relationship," the report said.
"Every day, an average of 45 people die in Norwegian nursing homes or other similar institutions. It is therefore to be expected that deaths will occur soon after vaccination, without there necessarily being any causal link to the vaccine."
The agency also said in the report: "The benefits of administering the vaccine are considered to outweigh any possible risks."
A COVID-19 subcommittee of the Global Advisory Committee on Vaccine Safety, an advisory body to the World Health Organization, reviewed information on deaths reported in frail, elderly individuals in Europe who had received the Pfizer vaccine.
In a statement Jan. 22, the subcommittee said, "The current reports do not suggest any unexpected or untoward increase in fatalities in frail, elderly individuals or any unusual characteristics of adverse events."
Our ruling
An article widely shared on Facebook claimed that seniors died soon after getting a COVID-19 vaccination and their cause of death was improperly listed as natural.
The article cited the deaths of 86-year-old Hank Aaron and several dozen elderly people in Gibraltar and Norway, all of whom died within a couple of weeks of receiving a COVID-19 vaccination.
There is no evidence that the vaccines caused any of the deaths. Aaron’s death was ruled natural, and authorities in Gibraltar and Norway said none of the deaths of elderly people they investigated were caused by the vaccines.
We rate the claim False.
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476 | Joe Biden | 2021-02-01 00:00:00 | a press conference:
|
Says North Carolina bill to require in-person learning is “stripping out some of the health protocols that are in place.”
| Clara Hendrickson | 2021-02-26 00:00:00 | mostly-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/feb/26/stand-america/fact-checking-whether-democrats-wish-list-19-trill/ |
Fact-checking whether Democrats’ ‘wish list’ is in $1.9 trillion relief bill
|
An attack ad claims that the American Rescue Plan includes money for a bridge connecting Canada to New York, an underground rail project in Silicon Valley, museums and Native American language preservation, Amtrak, environmental justice grants and family planning organizations like Planned Parenthood.
The ad is in response to President Joe Biden’s $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan for tackling COVID-19 and related economic challenges. It includes a $1,400-a-person stimulus payment, enhanced unemployment insurance, and a boost for coronavirus vaccination and testing efforts.
It’s also loaded with pork, according to a group founded by Nikki Haley, the former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations and potential contender for the presidency in 2024.
The attack is made in a Facebook post from Stand for America and is headlined, "Democrats’ COVID ‘Stimulus’ Bill Wishlist." It lists six figures, ranging from $1.5 million to $1.5 billion, for spending on things such as underground rail, Amtrak, Native American language preservation, environmental justice and family planning.
The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
H.R.1319 does include some of the projects as described, but the post lacks context. For example, the largest of the six — $1.5 billion for Amtrak — was also requested by the Trump administration to help the railroad operate during the pandemic.
Stephen Ellis, president of Taxpayers for Common Sense, points out that the amounts in the post account for about $2.2 billion of the $1.9 trillion bill, or about 0.1%.
We sent messages to Stand for America via Facebook and its website asking for information to back up the Facebook post, but did not get a reply.
The six parts of the claim
"$1.5 million for a bridge connecting Canada to New York"
Correct. But the Trump administration made the same request.
The bill would give $1.5 million to the Great Lakes St. Lawrence Seaway Development Corp. "to prevent, prepare for and respond to coronavirus by conducting the operations, maintenance and capital infrastructure activities of the Seaway International Bridge," which connects New York State and Ontario.
In May 2020, the Transportation Department asked for the same amount of money for the bridge because toll revenue had "dramatically decreased" due to decreased traffic from the pandemic, the New York Daily News reported.
"$100 million for underground rail project in Silicon Valley"
Correct.
The bill allots $1.25 billion for federal transit capital investment grants. It does not specify a project in the Silicon Valley.
Stand for America cites a Fox Business news article that says the language of the bill alludes to $112 million going to phase two of the San Francisco Bay Area Rapid Transit (BART) expansion. The Washington Post also reported that it’s estimated the expansion will receive about $112 million.
The long-planned six-mile extension would include five miles in a subway beneath downtown San Jose, with construction expected to start in 2022 and the line carrying passengers in 2030, according to the San Francisco Chronicle. The newspaper says the project’s stimulus funding would be $141 million.
"$500 million for museums & Native American language preservation"
Largely correct.
The bill "would appropriate $480 million for grants to fund activities related to the arts, humanities, libraries and museums, and Native American language preservation and maintenance," according to the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office.
The bill appropriates the $480 million this way:
$270 million — split between the National Endowment for the Humanities and the National Endowment for the Arts — to provide grants "to prevent, prepare for, respond to and recover from the coronavirus."
$200 million to the Institute of Museum and Library Services to carry out the Library Services and Technology Act.
$10 million in "emergency grants" to "ensure the survival and continuing vitality of Native American languages during and after the (COVID-19) public health emergency."
Museums have been financially disadvantaged by COVID-19, according to a survey of 850 museum directors by the American Alliance of Museums. The Metropolitan Museum of Art recently made news when its director said it was considering selling artwork to cover operational expenses.
"$1.5 billion for Amtrak, which still has $1 billion in unspent aid"
The $1.5 billion is correct. But it follows similar aid provided by the Trump administration. (The articles that Stand for America cites don’t address whether Amtrak has unspent aid.)
The bill would steer grants totaling $1.5 billion to the National Railroad Passenger Corp. (Amtrak) "to prevent, prepare for and respond to coronavirus": $820.4 million for the northeast corridor and $679.6 million for the national network.
In April 2020, Trump’s transportation department announced it was making more than $1 billion available to Amtrak "to support the railroad’s activities to prevent, prepare for and respond to the spread of" COVID-19.
"$50 million for environmental justice grants"
Correct.
The bill appropriates to the Environmental Protection Agency $50 million for "grants, contracts and other agency activities that implement the environmental justice purposes and objectives" described in "Federal Actions to Address Environmental Justice in Minority Populations and Low-Income Populations," an executive order signed by President Bill Clinton in 1994; and President Joe Biden’s "Tackling the Climate Crisis at Home and Abroad" executive order.
Biden’s order amended Clinton’s order to create a White House Environmental Justice Interagency Council to "develop a strategy to address current and historic environmental injustice."
"$50 million for ‘family planning’ orgs like Planned Parenthood"
Largely correct.
The bill appropriates $50 million "for making grants and contracts under" the Public Health Service Act, which gives grants and contracts for family planning.
No organization is specified.
The National Family Planning & Reproductive Health Association issued a statement praising the $50 million for Title X.
We rated as a Promise Kept Trump’s pledge to defund Planned Parenthood. His administration enacted a rule that effectively said that any facility receiving federal Title X funding cannot also be an abortion provider. Previously, abortion providers such as Planned Parenthood could receive Title X funds as long as the funds were only used for non-abortion services.
Biden on Jan. 28 directed the Health and Human Services Department to consider whether to rescind the rule.
Our ruling
A Facebook post claimed: "Democrats’ COVID ‘stimulus’ bill wish list" includes money "for a bridge connecting Canada to New York"; an "underground rail project in Silicon Valley"; museums and "Native American language preservation"; Amtrak; "environmental justice grants"; and "‘family planning’ organizations like Planned Parenthood."
The figures listed in the post for six components of Biden’s $1.9 trillion relief bill are largely accurate.
But the post needs additional information. For example, the largest of the six — $1.5 billion for Amtrak — was also requested by the Trump administration. And the six components comprise a tiny fraction of the $1.9 trillion.
We rate the post Mostly True.
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477 | Bloggers | 2021-02-02 00:00:00 | an article:
|
“Newly discovered video shows late night deliveries of tens of thousands of illegal ballots 8 hours after deadline.”
| Tom Kertscher | 2021-02-26 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/feb/26/bill-cassidy/how-much-did-new-yorks-revenue-suffer-pandemic-yea/ |
How much did New York’s revenue suffer in the pandemic year?
|
How has New York state fared in collecting revenue during the coronavirus pandemic and the resulting economic turmoil?
Not so badly, according to Sen. Bill Cassidy, R-La., who said recently that New York Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo has been exaggerating the fiscal hit to his state.
In a Feb. 7 interview with NBC’s Chuck Todd on "Meet the Press on Feb. 7, Cassidy was asked about what actions the Senate needs to take to help state and local governments experiencing fiscal shortfalls in the wake of the pandemic.
Cassidy acknowledged that some states have faced budgetary difficulties, but said others have not, including Democratic-run states such as New York. "New York, for all of their complaining, Gov. Cuomo's complaining, has only had a 1.5% decrease in revenue," Cassidy said.
The remarks came amid skirmishing between the parties over President Joe Biden’s proposed $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan. The bill is designed to boost the response to the coronavirus pandemic and aid the economic recovery.
Biden’s proposal envisioned $350 billion in state and local government aid, but many Republicans have been skeptical of aiding cities and states without more conditions.
New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo speaks at the opening of a mass COVID-19 vaccination site in Queens, N.Y., on Feb. 24, 2021. (AP)
Has New York’s fiscal hit really been that modest?
Ty Bofferding, Cassidy’s director of communications, pointed to a report by the financial institution J.P. Morgan that showed that in the calendar year 2020, New York had an aggregate tax revenue decline of 1.5% compared with 2019.
While Cuomo’s administration did not dispute the 1.5% figure, they argue that the calendar year figures are less useful for tracking the pandemic’s budgetary impact than the fiscal year figures, which run from April 1 through March 31. In 2020, January, February and part of March occurred before the pandemic hit.
"Comparing calendar years, as the chart the senator is referencing does, fails to recognize the impact of the pandemic on state revenues," said Freeman Klopott, a spokesman for the New York state Division of the Budget. "Almost the entirety of the first quarter of the calendar year 2020 was un-impacted by the pandemic and growing robustly."
In other words, the state argues, the calendar-year totals undercount the fiscal harm from the pandemic.
"Unlike the federal government, New York State must balance its budget, and it must do it on a fiscal year basis," Klopott said. "We can’t change the timing."
The J.P. Morgan report, which focused on advice to investors in municipal bonds, cautioned that its conclusions are "based on the current data, and are not indicative of future revenues, particularly given the uncertainties on the progress of the pandemic."
Meanwhile, New York state has projected a significantly larger revenue shortfall for the full fiscal year.
A baseline budget from January 2020 projected state revenue of $87.9 billion for the year ending March 31, 2021, said Laura Schultz, executive director of research at the State University of New York’s Rockefeller Institute of Government.
But by April 2020, after the impact of the pandemic started to become clear, the state revised its projection to $77.7 billion. That would be an 11.6% decline from the earlier projection, and a 6.2% drop from what was collected in the previous fiscal year.
Those numbers are significantly larger than the 1.5% decrease, though final revenue figures won’t be available until after the end of the fiscal year.
Our ruling
Cassidy said that "New York, for all of their complaining, Gov. Cuomo's complaining, has only had a 1.5% decrease in revenue" due to the pandemic.
New York state saw revenue decline by 1.5% in calendar year 2020. However, the state’s budget is based on a fiscal year that runs from April 1 to March 31, and the calendar year figure Cassidy cited includes nearly three months of relatively normal, pre-pandemic economic activity.
This makes it a misleading indicator of the pandemic’s budgetary impact. In fact, state budget officials have already projected larger revenue declines for the full fiscal year.
We rate the statement Mostly False.
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478 | Roy Cooper | 2021-02-05 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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Seniors around the world who died from COVID vaccine are being improperly listed as “natural causes.”
| Tom Kertscher | 2021-02-26 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/feb/26/simone-gold/receiving-covid-19-does-not-enroll-you-government-/ |
Receiving COVID-19 vaccine does not enroll you in a government tracking system or medical experiment
|
A viral video shows a doctor accusing the U.S. government of testing out COVID-19 vaccines on the general population and involuntarily entering recipients into a tracking system.
"If you take the vaccine, you'll be enrolled in a pharmacovigilance tracking system. It means that you've enrolled yourself in a medical trial," the doctor says. "This pharmacovigilance tracking system tracks you for two years. It’s set up by the Department of Defense. It was handed off to Oracle and Google to put the data together."
The video was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
The doctor is Simone Gold, a founder of America’s Frontline Doctors, a group that became famous for voicing coronavirus conspiracy theories. Gold herself has spread misinformation in the past, and she was recently charged for participating in the Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol.
According to the Medical Board of California, Gold holds an active medical license. She specializes in emergency medicine and general practice. However, many of her assertions about the COVID-19 vaccines are misleading or downright wrong.
There is no evidence that receiving the COVID-19 vaccine enrolls people in a government tracking program, as Gold suggests, and clinical trials to test the safety and efficacy of the vaccines were done before they were approved for emergency use.
We reached out to Gold for comment but didn’t hear back.
Getting the vaccine won’t enroll you in a government tracking program
Clinics do report vaccinations to state databases to help with distribution and allow healthcare providers to keep track of immunizations. However, Gold’s claim that getting vaccinated automatically enrolls people into a government tracking system is misleading.
State vaccine registries allow public health and healthcare providers to confirm that the vaccines are being properly distributed. Since both the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines require two doses to be maximally effective, the databases also help providers ensure that vaccinated people receive their recommended second dose on schedule.
This data wouldn’t be used to allow the government to track people, said Kelly Moore, deputy director of the Immunization Action Coalition.
"These systems are not typically used for post-authorization safety surveillance," said Moore. "Any use of data from these systems outside the purpose of direct patient care would be done with de-identified data (no personal information) and would be subject to research review and approval processes."
The "tracking system" that Gold references explicitly is an online system run by Oracle that is being used to help the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention keep track of vaccine logistics and distribution. According to Oracle, anonymized data from the system will be used for "analysis and reporting by authorized agencies and organizations."
Another part of the CDC system is "v-safe," a smartphone-based vaccine safety program that allows vaccine recipients to report any adverse side effects to the CDC.
Moore confirmed that enrollment in the v-safe program is voluntary, not mandatory as Gold claims. The CDC and Oracle have also confirmed to other fact-checkers that participation in the program is optional.
In addition, signing up to receive a COVID-19 vaccine does not automatically enroll a patient in an experimental medical trial. Vaccine trials are used to test the safety and efficacy of vaccines before they are rolled out to the public. The COVID-19 vaccines have already been subject to these studies, which involved tens of thousands of volunteers.
To receive emergency-use authorization from the Food and Drug Administration, vaccine manufacturers Pfizer and Moderna had to follow up with at least half of the participants for at least two months after they received their vaccinations to check for any negative effects.
Our ruling
Gold said, "If you take the vaccine, you'll be enrolled in a pharmacovigilance tracking system. It means that you've enrolled yourself in a medical trial."
Anonymized data from a CDC system will be used to help federal agencies keep track of vaccine distribution, not the people who are vaccinated. Another optional part of the system will allow vaccine recipients to report any adverse side effects.
Trials to test the safety and efficacy of the COVID-19 vaccines were done before they were approved for emergency use. Signing up to receive the COVID-19 vaccine does not automatically enroll a patient in a clinical trial.
We rate this claim False.
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479 | The Gateway Pundit | 2021-02-02 00:00:00 | an attack ad:
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Says Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick, R-Pa., “stood with Trump and the lies… He stood with QAnon, not you.”
| John Pullano | 2021-02-05 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/feb/05/dccc-lgo/democratic-ad-ties-penn-congressman-trump-and-qano/ |
Democratic ad goes too far in tying Penn. Congressman to Trump and QAnon
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House Democrats are trying to hang the QAnon label around the necks of as many Republicans as possible.
Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene gave Democrats their moment. The Georgia Republican has praised QAnon and its baseless premise that former President Donald Trump was secretly battling a global cabal of Satan-worshiping pedophiles.
As House Republicans tangled over how to deal with Greene, Democratic leaders kept QAnon front and center.
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi referred to Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy in a press release as "Q-Calif.," in place of the conventional "R-Calif."
When Republicans declined to strip Greene of her committee assignments, Democrats (along with 11 Republicans) broke with precedent and voted to remove her themselves.
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee unveiled what it called the first ads in the 2022 midterm elections. It targeted seven Republicans, along with McCarthy, as "too weak to stand up to President Trump and the QAnon mob."
Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick, R-Pa., was on the DCCC’s list. The ad featured shots of the mob, many under the QAnon banner, attacking the Capitol.
"Republicans like Brian Fitzpatrick voted to protect Trump letting the QAnon mob win," the Feb. 2 ad said. "Congressman Brian Fitzpatrick should have stood with us, but he was a coward. He stood with Trump and the lies. Congressman Brian Fitzpatrick. He stood with Q, not you."
Fitzpatrick won reelection easily in a largely suburban district outside Philadelphia. But Joe Biden carried it with 53% of the vote, a possible reason for Democrats to target the seat.
The ad’s core accuracy problem is that while Fitzpatrick in January voted against impeaching Trump, he introduced a resolution to censure the then-president. Months prior, he condemned the QAnon theory in a resolution that won bipartisan support.
House resolution condemning QAnon
In September 2020, Fitzpatrick joined two Democrats and two Republicans to cosponsor a House resolution that rejected QAnon and all it stood for. It condemned QAnon for spreading its unfounded belief in a pedophilia ring, and for how it "expanded to embrace virtually every popular conspiracy theory of the last several decades, from questioning the truth about the September 11th terrorist attacks, to believing in alien landings, to denying the safety of vaccines."
The resolution noted that the FBI had determined that QAnon likely motivated domestic terrorists. It said QAnon beliefs "undermine trust in America’s democratic institutions, encourage rejection of objective reality, and deepen our Nation’s political polarization."
The measure passed Oct. 2 on a 371-18 vote.
Censure of Trump
Fitzpatrick did not support impeaching Trump for inciting the attack on the Capitol. He said impeachment would throttle any hope of unity to help the nation deal with its problem.
But he did press for a resolution that would put Congress on record as condemning "his reprehensible conduct which led to the riots at our nation’s Capitol."
The resolution blamed Trump for his false claim that ‘‘we won this election, and we won it by a landslide." It said Trump’s words "encouraged — and foreseeably resulted in — lawless action at the Capitol." It said Trump had betrayed his trust as president, and "threatened the integrity of the democratic system, interfered with the peaceful transition of power, and imperiled a coequal branch of Government."
Fitzpatrick offered the resolution along with six other Republican members, but the measure went no further.
Impeachment vote
Fitzpatrick voted against impeachment. Whatever his reason, the vote strengthened Trump’s hand. For the DCCC, this vote was telling.
"Congressman Fitzpatrick had an opportunity to join 10 of his Republican colleagues and vote for the bipartisan articles of impeachment that held President Trump accountable," said DCCC communications director Cole Leitner. "Instead he caved to his president, and now he owns that vote."
Leiter argued that Fitzpatrick’s actions calling for opposition to QAnon and censure of Trump don’t carry the same weight as impeachment. The condemnation of QAnon was non-binding, and the censure of Trump was stillborn, he said. By contrast, the impeachment vote was a binding resolution of constitutional importance.
We reached out to Fitzpatrick’s office and did not hear back.
Our ruling
A Democratic ad said Fitzpatrick "stood with Trump and the lies… He stood with QAnon, not you."
Fitzpatrick’s vote against impeachment carried the most legal heft of any of his actions. Regardless of whether Fitzpatrick saw it as supporting Trump, his vote fell on the plus side of the ledger for Trump.
But Fitzpatrick publicly criticized Trump. He spoke against the lies of election fraud. He also publicly condemned QAnon.
The claim has an element of truth, but mistates other facts. We rate it Mostly False.
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480 | Facebook posts | 2021-02-02 00:00:00 | remarks on NBC's "Meet the Press":
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“New York, for all of their complaining, Gov. Cuomo's complaining, has only had a 1.5% decrease in revenue” due to the coronavirus pandemic.
| Noah Y. Kim | 2021-02-05 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/feb/05/rick-scott/sen-rick-scott-misrepresents-covid-19s-toll-state-/ |
Sen. Rick Scott misrepresents COVID-19’s toll on state finances
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A fundamental disagreement over the latest COVID-19 relief plan centers on aid to states, cities and counties. Democrats plan to include about $350 billion in aid, and Republicans argue that not only is the money unnecessary, it’s just a way to reward to liberal states.
Sen. Rick Scott, R-Fla., said Democrats are lying about the need.
"States across the country are seeing increases in revenue — in some cases, well above projections," Scott said in a Feb. 1 statement. "Now, we are learning that 47 states show an average decline of just 0.12% compared to 2019, and 21 of the 47 states show positive year over year growth of tax receipts. Over half of states reported positive growth, including California, New York, and Illinois."
Is the revenue picture as rosy as Scott makes it out to be?
One study partially backs up Scott’s numbers, but he made some errors. Other compilations of state financial reports show the situation is worse than he presents. And if it weren’t for one state — California — the numbers would look even more dire.
Scott’s own state, Florida, was among the biggest revenue losers.
A bank’s view
Scott’s staff pointed to a J.P. Morgan weekly market report. The investment bank’s analysts aimed to give bond investors a sense of the ability of states to repay bonds. Scott drew on that work virtually word for word.
He accurately reflected the findings that 47 states show an average decline of just 0.12% compared with 2019, and 21 of 47 states show positive year-over-year growth in tax receipts. (The study had a full-year of data on 37 states, and 11 months for another 10.)
But Scott proceeded to muddle the numbers. After noting that revenues rose in 21 states, he then said "over half of states reported positive growth, including California, New York and Illinois." Clearly, 21 is fewer than half of the 50 states.
The first statistic he cited in his claim — 21 — relates to total tax revenues. The second — half of states — relates to personal income taxes alone. Scott failed to note the difference.
The J.P. Morgan report said personal income tax revenues rose in over half of the states where it had data, including the three states Scott named. But in terms of total revenues, only California saw its numbers go up. New York was down 1.5% and Illinois was down 0.9%.
Half a dozen states suffered far deeper revenue drops. The worst hit include Nevada (-13%), North Dakota (-9.7%), Florida (-7.9%), Texas (-6.8%), West Virginia (-6.8%) and Oklahoma (-6.7%).
The J.P. Morgan report’s time frame bears a mention. It includes two full months in 2020 before the coronavirus cratered the economy. Other research gives a window into the virus’ fiscal impact in the pandemic months between March and December.
The COVID-19 impact, and the California effect
Based on budget reports from 46 states, researcher Lucy Dadayan at the Urban Institute, an academic center in Washington, D.C., told us that from March through December, revenues from personal and corporate income taxes and sales taxes fell by 1.6% from the same period a year earlier.
That decline might seem small, but it is more than 10 times larger than the 0.12% Scott referred to.
In raw dollars, it represents $12.6 billion in lost revenue.
Aggregate numbers conceal as much as they reveal, and California was an outlier with a hefty effect on the overall numbers. Thanks to a variety of factors, including large year-end bonuses and massive tax withholding tied to initial stock offerings of companies like Airbnb, California’s revenues shot up 26.5% in December alone. That was enough to make the national picture look considerably better.
When Dadayan pulled the Golden State out of the equation, total revenues across the remaining states were down 2%. That’s 25% worse than when California was included.
There are other ways to measure the fiscal impact of COVID-19.
The National Association of State Budget Officers gets information from all 50 states, but those numbers are for fiscal, not calendar, years. In most cases, that runs from July through June.
The time frame is different, but the numbers are similar to Dadayan’s figures.
In their fiscal years that ended in 2020, states collected $14 billion less than the year before. And in their budgets for fiscal year 2021, states factored in an additional decline of $39 billion, for a total reduction of $53 billion over the two years.
Dadayan said that before the coronavirus, accounting for population and economic growth, states had planned on a rise of about 5% in revenues each year. The National Association of State Budget Officers said that compared with those pre-COVID-19 budget forecasts, revenues will be down by $135 billion.
To help close part of the gap, states drew down their emergency funds by $12.2 billion.
Looking beyond state revenues
Scott’s focus on how much money states are collecting leaves out half the fiscal picture — the spending side. In the face of falling revenues, states cut spending on schools, roads and many other areas. The National Association of State Budget Officers reported that education spending fell by $7.4 billion. Another $5.6 billion came from a range of programs, including public safety, the judiciary, environmental protection and aid to local governments.
Modest declines in state revenue can have more pronounced effects on county and city budgets that rely on state aid. The Democratic plan that Scott criticized would also send aid to cities and counties.
A survey of county officials during the summer found most counties were seeing budget shortfalls, and nearly three-quarters of them were holding back on capital spending and county services.
The National League of Cities reported that overall city revenues have fallen 21% since the start of the pandemic, while expenses have risen 17%.
Chicago alone reported a nearly $800 million general fund deficit at the end of August.
Dadayan said the focus on state revenues "misses the fiscal stress on local governments, which is a lot bigger compared to state revenue shortfalls."
She added that cities are looking at budget gaps estimated at more than $90 billion.
Our ruling
Scott said states across the country are seeing increases in revenue with an average decline of just 0.12% compared with 2019. He also said that over half of states reported positive growth, including California, New York, and Illinois.
Scott faithfully reflects a report from J.P. Morgan in terms of the 0.12% overall decline, but he went astray when talking about states with higher revenues, particularly the three states he named. The J.P. Morgan report said revenues grew only in California. They fell in New York and Illinois.
Scott’s numbers included two months before the pandemic began. Focusing on the pandemic months of March through December, revenues fell about 10 times more than Scott said.
He also limited his view of fiscal health to state revenues. Factoring in spending cuts, and impacts on city and county finances, the picture is much worse.
Scott used a report that gave a limited view of a broader fiscal landscape, and misread an element in the report itself. The information he left out would leave a reader with a different impression. That matches our definition of Mostly False.
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481 | DCCC | 2021-02-07 00:00:00 | a viral video:
|
“If you take the vaccine, you'll be enrolled in a pharmacovigilance tracking system. It means that you've enrolled yourself in a medical trial.”
| Jon Greenberg | 2021-02-05 00:00:00 | half-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/feb/05/facebook-posts/experts-credit-covid-response-sharp-decline-flu/ |
Experts credit COVID-19 response for sharp decline in flu
|
This headline on an article widely shared on Facebook seemed to drip with sarcasm:
"A Miracle! Only 23 Americans Tested Positive for Flu Last Week Compared to 14,657 Cases Reported Last Year at Same Time."
The Jan. 31 article from Gateway Pundit, a conservative website, started by asking: "Do you ever get the feeling you’re being lied to?" Then it claimed that the number of COVID-19 deaths has been "over-inflated," and it questioned whether the federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is using "statistical tricks" in reporting flu cases.
A post sharing the article was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
We’ve examined and debunked several claims suggesting there have been intentional overcounts of COVID-19 cases, and we thought this claim about flu cases deserved a closer look.
Public health experts see a connection between the COVID-19 and flu case numbers, but not the one the article implies.
Flu cases way down this year
First the numbers, according to a CDC report on Jan. 16, 2021:
For the week ended Jan. 16, of the 21,244 flu tests tracked by the CDC, 23 specimens, or 0.1%, tested positive. For the season to that point — 40 weeks, dating back to Sept. 27 — there were 1,159 positive specimens, or 0.2% of the total tested.
"Flu activity is unusually low at this time but may increase in the coming months," the CDC said in the report.
More Week 2 results were released Feb. 5. The new totals show 62 of 38,572 specimens, or 0.16%, tested positive for flu.
The headline we’re checking appears to take its second number from a different source: an article on Weather.com. That article compared the 23 cases to 14,657 positive flu tests — a rate of 29.6% — in Week 7 of the 2019-20 flu season.
That isn’t an apples-to-apples comparison; it compares a week in 2020-21 with a different week in the 2019-20 season.
But a direct comparison shows flu cases are down dramatically.
During Week 2 of the 2019-20 flu season, 9,277 of the 40,451 specimens were positive for influenza, or 22.9%, according to the CDC.
Decrease linked to COVID response
"We are seeing a lot less influenza activity compared to previous seasons. This does also extend to other respiratory viruses that are usually up during this time of the year," said Dr. Werner Bischoff, medical director of Infection Prevention and Health System Epidemiology at the Wake Forest School of Medicine.
There’s no definitive data yet to explain the drop, but Bischoff and other experts say they suspect that precautions related to the coronavirus, along with high rates of flu vaccination, are helping to limit the spread of the flu.
"My take, and this is not based on any evidence yet, is that the COVID-19 lockdown restrictions with masking, social distancing and frequent hand hygiene really cut down on transmission of these viruses," Bischoff said. "Influenza and most other respiratory viruses are spread by droplets. This combined with the seasonal influenza vaccine may have reduced the spread in the community to such a degree that the viruses have not been able to establish themselves to reach the usual numbers."
A similar take was relayed in the Weather.com article that Gateway Pundit cited.
Weather.com included an excerpt from a Washington Post news story that said the rates of influenza A and influenza B, as well as other viruses, are at record lows, with experts theorizing that is largely due to the global shutdowns, mask wearing and other health protocols aimed at stemming the spread of the coronavirus.
"It is likely that" COVID-19 mitigation measures have had an impact on influenza," said CDC spokesperson RED Denty. "Measures, including extensive reductions in global travel, teleworking, school closures, social distancing and face mask use may have played a role."
Other experts have also cited COVID-19 social distancing efforts, including children staying home from school, as well as high rates of influenza vaccinations.
Our ruling
A headline from an article widely shared on Facebook claimed: "A Miracle! Only 23 Americans Tested Positive for Flu Last Week Compared to 14,657 Cases Reported Last Year at Same Time." The article cites this drop to suggest that health officials have improperly inflated the number of COVID-19 cases.
Flu cases are down dramatically. The CDC reported that only 62 of 38,572 specimens tested positive for influenza for the week ended Jan. 16, 2021. A year earlier, the figure was 9,277.
Public health experts say they believe the drop is due not to a miracle or statistical tricks, but largely to social distancing and other precautions being used in response to the coronavirus pandemic.
We rate the claim Half True.
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793 |
482 | Bill Cassidy | 2021-02-06 00:00:00 | a press release:
|
States are seeing increases in revenue, with an average decline of just 0.12% compared with 2019. Over half of states report positive growth, including California, New York, and Illinois.
| Jon Greenberg | 2021-02-05 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/feb/05/john-kerry/no-harvey-didnt-drop-more-water-houston-flows-over/ |
No, Harvey didn't drop more water on Houston than flows over Niagara Falls in a year
|
John Kerry, President Joe Biden's new special envoy on climate, appeared on CNN Jan. 31 to lay out the Biden administration’s whole-of-government approach to addressing climate change.
The cost of taking no action on climate change will far outweigh the price of preventing its worst-case scenario, Kerry argued, pointing to three recent storms — hurricanes Maria, Harvey and Irma — whose damages cost the U.S. a combined $265 billion.
And then Kerry threw out a striking detail: "Harvey dropped more water on Houston in five days than goes over Niagara Falls in a year," he said.
It’s true that Hurricane Harvey produced rainfall levels that have never been experienced in the U.S. in recorded history. According to Texas State Climatologist John Nielson-Gammon, the amount of rainfall that fell during a five-day period across 10,000 square miles of Texas and Louisiana exceeded the previous record set in 1899 by 62%.
In Harris County alone, which contains the bulk of the city of Houston, the storm dropped an average 33.7 inches of rainfall across the county’s 1,777 square mile area. But is that amount of rainfall more than the volume of water that flows over Niagara Falls in a full year?
Doing the math
A spokesperson for the U.S. Department of State said that Kerry’s remark was based on a 2017 Washington Post article reporting that Harvey had dumped 24.5 trillion gallons of water on Southeast Texas and southern Louisiana.
The article also mentions, for comparison sake, that 1 trillion gallons of water flows over Niagara Falls every 15 days, and Kerry’s office used that number to extrapolate the amount of water that flows over the falls in a year.
"A trillion gallons falls over Niagara Falls every 15 days. So, in the course of 365 days, that is about 24.3 trillion gallons of water," said state department spokesperson James Dewey.
That back-of-the-envelope calculation is correct, and it closely lines up with official estimates. Niagara Falls State Park estimates that 757,500 gallons flow over the falls each second, which is equivalent to 65.4 billion gallons per day, or 23.8 trillion gallons per year.
In either case — be it Kerry’s estimate of 24.3 trillion gallons flowing over Niagara per year or the state park’s 23.8 billion estimate — both figures are less than the 24.5 trillion gallons of water Harvey unleashed.
However, there’s a key detail that Kerry gets wrong.
While it might be true that Hurricane Harvey dropped more water within a week than flows over Niagara Falls in a year, not all of that Harvey water fell on Houston or Harris County alone.
Harvey made landfall near Rockport on Aug. 25, 2017, then drifted eastward over the next several days, dropping torrential rain on the Houston metro area. Three days later, the storm’s center moved back offshore and restrengthened over Matagorda Bay where it gained its peak intensity. Then on Aug. 30, the storm made landfall again in southwestern Louisiana moving northeastward over the southern United States while continuing to produce heavy rainfall.
The majority of the storm’s total rainfall fell over Southeast Texas, where 60 counties were under a disaster declaration, and southern Louisiana, where 13 counties were under a disaster declaration. The storm grew weaker as it moved over Tennessee and Kentucky, where it finally dissipated. Counties in both states issued flash flood warnings as areas received up to 7 inches of rain. All told, the storm had unleashed a grand total of 33 trillion gallons of water.
Kerry’s statement would have been accurate if he had said Harvey dropped more water on Texas and Louisiana, or the southern U.S., over five days — instead of just Houston — than the amount that flows over Niagara Falls in a year.
A 2018 report by the Harris County Flood Control District also made a comparison between the amount of Harvey rainfall and the amount of water that flows over Niagara Falls.
"A total of 1 trillion gallons of water fell across Harris County over the 4 day period which would fill NRG Stadium 1,472 times and cover Harris County’s 1,777 sq. miles with an average of 33.7 inches of water. This volume of water would also run Niagara Falls for 15 days," the report said.
After PolitiFact reached out to Kerry’s office about the misstatement, a spokesperson said that the issue has been brought up to staff and that Kerry would be more careful with that statistic.
"In a recent interview with Fareed Zakaria on CNN, Secretary Kerry said Hurricane Harvey 'dropped more water on Houston in five days than goes over Niagara Falls in a year,'" a spokesperson said in a statement. "The statistic Secretary Kerry referenced is for water Hurricane Harvey dropped not just on Houston, but on southeast Texas and southern Louisiana."
Our ruling
Kerry said on CNN that Hurricane Harvey dropped more water on Houston in five days than the amount of water that flows over Niagara Falls in a year.
By the time Harvey dissipated it had dropped around 33 trillion gallons of water primarily on Texas, Louisiana and, to a lesser extent, Tennessee and Kentucky. By comparison, about 23.8 trillion gallons of water flows over Niagara Falls per year.
Kerry’s comment errs in narrowing Harvey rainfall to Houston, and his office acknowledged the misstatement. In fact, 1 trillion gallons were dumped on Harris County, which would be equivalent to the volume of water that spills over Niagara Falls in 15 days.
We rate this claim False.
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483 | Simone Gold | 2021-02-01 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
“A Miracle! Only 23 Americans Tested Positive for Flu Last Week Compared to 14,657 Cases Reported Last Year at Same Time.”
| Tom Kertscher | 2021-02-05 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/feb/05/facebook-posts/social-media-post-misleads-analysis-trump-tax-bill/ |
Social media post misrepresents analysis of Trump tax law
|
A post circulating in liberal corners of social media pushes back against Republicans’ portrayal of President Joe Biden as someone who is going to impose big tax hikes.
"Wait, so Trump passed a bill in 2017 where people who make under $75,000 will have their taxes raised in 2021 and every 2 years after that until 2027 … while the rich get richer … and y’all crying about Biden raising taxes for people who make over 400k. What am I missing....," the post said.
The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
The assertion about impending tax increases under the 2017 law got a boost on Feb. 1, when the liberal group Occupy Democrats posted it on its Facebook page. There, it got at least 25,000 reactions over the next three days.
When we looked into it, we found that the notion of a continuing series of tax increases buried in the GOP-backed law is misleading. (We inquired with Occupy Democrats, but we did not hear back.)
Generally speaking, analyses of the 2017 law by independent groups have found the opposite of what the post says — that, at least until 2027, when a lot of the tax cuts will have expired, all income groups will see a reduction in taxes (or an increase in after-tax income).
In their "distributional tables" — the analytical charts that show how much a typical taxpayer in a given income group will see their after-tax income rise or fall under the law — both the Urban Institute-Brookings Institution Tax Policy Center and the Tax Foundation concluded that until 2027, taxpayers across the income spectrum will fare better under the 2017 law than they would have otherwise. Some income groups will save more money than others do, and results for individual taxpayers will vary depending on the nature of their income; these tables are based on averages.
However, there’s one analysis, from Congress’ Joint Committee on Taxation, that doesn’t show this pattern, and it’s the one that the post relies on.
The discrepancy stems from a difference in the assumptions that went into each analysis. Unlike other analyses, the Joint Committee’s factored in the law’s provision eliminating the tax penalty for not having health insurance, and it did so in a counterintuitive way.
Under the committee’s longstanding principles, it treats the elimination of this penalty as a net tax increase — not a net decrease.
Why? The logic is that in the absence of a mandate to have health insurance, more people would forgo buying it on the marketplaces established under the Affordable Care Act. As a result, fewer people would get the tax subsidies that come with buying insurance on the marketplaces. These subsidies are meant to help people afford their insurance premiums.
The practical effect of this analytical approach is that, in the distributional tables, some lower- and moderate-income groups see their income gains from the 2017 tax law disappear — a sharp contrast from what the Tax Policy Center and Tax Foundation concluded.
As an example, here’s the Joint Committee on Taxation’s table that compares the tax burdens in 2023, both before and after the law’s passage:
The chart shows that while most income groups will see a tax cut in 2023 as a result of the law, both the collective tax burden and the average tax rate for households earning up to $30,000 are set to rise.
The same pattern holds in 2025, extending that year to taxpayers earning up to $40,000. And in 2027, after a host of tax cuts in the bill expire, the range of taxpayers expands to those earning as much as $75,000.
Tax experts say that the approach of the Tax Policy Center and the Tax Foundation — which doesn’t factor in the change in the health insurance penalty — is a more accurate reading of the tax rates set down in the 2017 law.
The decision process that leads to fewer tax subsidies does not amount to having "their taxes raised," as the Facebook post said.
"While it is important to consider the impact of the (tax law) on premium tax credits and health insurance take-up, it is misleading to call this effect a ‘stealth tax increase,’" wrote Garrett Watson in a post for the Tax Foundation, where he is a senior tax policy analyst. "The decline in premium tax credits has nothing to do with a change in tax rates or the generosity of the credits as established under the (Affordable Care Act), but rather due to voluntary decisions individuals make about whether to purchase qualified health insurance."
Our ruling
The post said, "Trump passed a bill in 2017 where people who make under $75,000 will have their taxes raised in 2021 and every 2 years after that until 2027."
Tables produced by the Joint Committee on Taxation do suggest that after-tax incomes for some income groups will decline, but it’s misleading to say that this amounts to having "their taxes raised."
These tax increases show up in the tables because the committee concluded that eliminating the individual health insurance mandate would lead people to forgo buying insurance, and would in turn reduce the tax subsidies they would’ve received to help them pay their premiums.
By contrast, at least two other independent groups ignored the impact of this provision in their analyses and concluded that every income group will benefit from the tax law to some degree each year until 2027.
We rate it Mostly False.
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484 | Rick Scott | 2021-01-31 00:00:00 |
Says that Hurricane Harvey “dropped more water on Houston in five days than goes over Niagara Falls in a year.”
| Brandon Mulder | 2021-02-05 00:00:00 | mostly-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/feb/05/stefan-mychajliw/erie-countys-health-commissioner-paid-roughly-same/ |
Is Erie County’s health commissioner paid roughly the same as Anthony Fauci?
|
How well-paid is Dr. Gale Burstein, the health commissioner of Erie County, N.Y.? According to Erie County Comptroller Stefan Mychajliw, Burstein rivals Dr. Anthony Fauci, the long-tenured federal official who is playing a key role combating the coronavirus.
In 2020, Burstein’s compensation, when factoring in fringe benefits, reached $532,418, based on a new report produced by Mychajliw’s office.
"I think a lot of people are going to be very angry that the health commissioner makes more than the governor, the vice president of the United States, and has a salary that is comparable to Dr. Anthony Fauci," Mychajliw said, according to the Buffalo News.
Could a county-wide official really be out-earning such lofty officials? We took a closer look.
Calculating Burstein’s income
Government administrators generally do not receive overtime pay. In a normal, pandemic-free year, Burstein would have made $202,312 in base salary, and a total of $304,985 when benefits are included.
However, starting in 2020, Erie County Executive Mark C. Poloncarz allowed all non-union, managerial, confidential employees to accept overtime pay for their work related to the coronavirus, the Buffalo News reported.
The report found that during 2020, Burstein collected $183,414 for 1,266 hours of overtime work and $44,019 in fringe benefits on this overtime, not including health insurance. This made her the largest single recipient of taxpayer-funded overtime in Erie County, which includes Buffalo.
In a statement, Erie County executive Mark C. Poloncarz verified Burstein’s earnings and added that Burstein is "performing two full-time jobs."
Mychajliw said that including Burstein’s overtime pay, her 2020 salary places her among the highest paid officials not just in the state but the federal government as well.
How does her salary compare?
Jessica O’Neil, Mychajliw’s associate deputy comptroller and chief of staff, directed PolitiFact reporters to the Erie County budget and several articles showing the salary of top government officials.
For the governor of New York, O’Neil cited an article in the Rochester Democrat and Chronicle that said New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo's annual salary is set to rise to $250,000 in 2021. However, Cuomo chose to defer his scheduled $25,000 pay raise and asked other statewide officials to do the same, citing economic hardships.
Cuomo had been set to see his annual salary increase from $225,000 to $250,000 on Jan. 1 as part of a three-year pay schedule approved by state lawmakers in 2019. This deferral will ultimately mean Cuomo will make the same salary — $225,000 — in 2021 as he did in 2020.
Former Vice President Mike Pence earned $230,700 in 2019, and that was set to increase to $235,100 in 2020 as a result of the expiration of a pay freeze.
Finally, Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and chief medical advisor to the president, made $417,608 in wages 2019, which is the latest year in which federal salaries were available via the Freedom of Information Act.
So Burstein’s total salary plus overtime in 2020 was $385,726, which easily beats the number for Cuomo and Pence. Once benefits are added in, her total compensation package of $532,418 beats Fauci as well.
The caveat is that Pence and Cuomo, and possibly Fauci, receive perks that are difficult to value, and which may leave Burstein’s compensation in the dust.
The vice president lived rent-free in a 9,150-square-foot Victorian mansion at Number One Observatory Circle, plus access to Air Force Two, a large security detail, and free food prepared by the executive chef and executive pastry chef at the White House, among several other benefits.
Meanwhile, Cuomo gets the benefit of living arrangements at the New York State Executive Mansion and transportation via taxpayer funded planes and helicopters.
Finally, it’s worth noting that Burstein’s income will decrease when and if the special pandemic compensation rules are rolled back.
Our ruling
Mychajliw said, "I think a lot of people are going to be very angry that the health commissioner makes more than the governor, the vice president of the United States, and has a salary that is comparable to Dr. Anthony Fauci."
Burstein is benefitting from a rule that allows her to collect overtime, and she’s working more hours because of the pandemic. So Burstein’s salary and overtime alone exceeded the easily classifiable compensation for Cuomo and Pence, and when benefits are added in, she beats Fauci as well.
However, Cuomo and Pence receive housing, transportation, and security benefits that are large but hard to quantify, and if these benefits are added into the calculation, they likely exceed what Burstein received.
We rate the statement Mostly True.
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|
485 | Facebook posts | 2021-01-31 00:00:00 | on social media:
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Under the 2017 tax law, “people who make under $75,000 will have their taxes raised in 2021 and every 2 years after that until 2027.”
| Louis Jacobson | 2020-10-12 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/12/facebook-posts/facebook-post-misattributes-debate-remarks-kamala-/ |
Facebook post misattributes debate remarks to Kamala Harris
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On Oct. 7, Vice President Mike Pence and Democratic vice presidential nominee Kamala Harris debated for the first and only time before Election Day.
But a recent Facebook post suggests that the debate was rigged — that unlike Pence, Harris knew the debate questions ahead of time.
"Kamala said to the moderator ‘yes, that’s a great segway to the next question,’" the post says, misspelling segue. "How did she know what the next question was?
"Segue" and "Segway" are homophones, words that sound alike but are spelled differently and have different meanings. A segue is a transition from one scene to the next. A Segway is a trademarked brand of motor scooter.
This post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
It conflates two comments, one made by Harris and one made by Susan Page, the debate’s moderator and Washington bureau chief of USA Today.
At that point in the debate, Page was speaking over Pence and Harris was speaking over Page but, essentially, Pence finished speaking and Page said: "That’s a good segue into our third question." Harris then said. "That’s a great segue."
Here’s what happened in more detail.
About 20 minutes and 45 seconds into the debate — you can read the transcript here — Page asked Harris if voters have a right to know more detailed information about presidential candidates and presidents.
"Absolutely," Harris said, "and that’s why Joe Biden has been so incredibly transparent."
Harris then pivoted to attacking President Donald Trump for a lack of transparency about his health and his personal finances.
Pence, given the opportunity to respond, defended Trump and said he’s a job creator who "turned this economy around by cutting taxes, rolling back regulations, unleashing American energy, fighting for free and fair trade."
Pence was over his speaking time and Page interrupted him three times to move on before he finished by saying all of the aforementioned accomplishments were in danger if Biden and Harris were elected.
"That’s a good segue into our third topic," Page said. She was then cut off by Harris.
"That’s a great segue," Harris said.
Page then finished her sentence: "Which is about the economy."
We reached out to the Biden campaign about the campaign post and to clarify what Harris meant when she said "that’s a great segue."
But at the beginning of the debate, Page addressed what Pence, Harris and the Commission on Presidential Debates knew about the event.
"No one at either campaign, or at the commission, or anywhere else has been told in advance what topics I’ll raise, or what questions I’ll ask," she said.
Harris does not make the statement that the Facebook post attributes to her, but she did say, "that’s a great segue." It’s unclear what she meant when she said that, and it doesn’t prove that she knew debate questions ahead of time.
Page, however, was explicit when she said that neither Harris nor Pence knew what topics or questions she would cover.
We rate this Facebook post Mostly False.
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487 | Facebook posts | 2021-01-29 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
During the debate, Kamala Harris said, “that’s a great segway to the next question,” suggesting she knew the next question.
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-10-11 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/11/donald-trump/trump-ad-takes-fauci-out-context/ |
Trump ad takes Fauci out of context
|
A new campaign ad from President Donald Trump uses an out-of-context quote from Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation’s top infectious disease expert, to tout Trump’s response to the coronavirus pandemic that has killed more than 214,000 Americans.
"President Trump tackled the virus head-on, as leaders should," the narrator of the ad says, before panning to Fauci to hammer home the point.
"I can’t imagine that … anybody could be doing more," Fauci is shown saying.
The comment from Fauci was in reference to the White House coronavirus task force and the broader government response, not to Trump. It's also almost seven months old. In a statement to CNN, Fauci said he felt his words were taken out of context.
The 30-second spot, titled "Carefully," highlights Trump’s recent bout with the coronavirus and claims the U.S. is "recovering" from the pandemic. The ad was uploaded to YouTube Oct. 10, the same day the U.S. reported its highest number of new COVID-19 cases since mid August.
The ad also flashes clips of Trump wearing masks — a measure he has repeatedly criticized and taken sparingly in public settings since his first time wearing one in public in July.
Fauci’s comment was clipped from a March 22 interview with Fox News host and radio personality Mark Levin. The ad gives the impression that Fauci was talking specifically about Trump when he said, "I can’t imagine that … anybody could be doing more."
But that’s misleading, as other fact-checkers and news outlets have noted — and as Fauci said to CNN. Taken in full context, Fauci was actually speaking about the workload facing the White House coronavirus task force at the start of the pandemic and the scale of the federal government’s mobilization as U.S. cases began to flare.
"The comments attributed to me without my permission in the GOP campaign ad were taken out of context from a broad statement I made months ago about the efforts of federal public health officials," Fauci told CNN, adding that he’s never publicly endorsed a political candidate.
RELATED: Timeline: How Donald Trump responded to the coronavirus pandemic
The White House coronavirus task force has been led by Vice President Mike Pence since late February. The group included medical doctors and scientists from public health agencies in addition to national security officials and political appointees.
Asked about the ad’s use of Fauci’s remark, a Trump campaign spokesperson told PolitiFact the ad was talking about the Trump administration’s response to the coronavirus, and so was Fauci.
Another campaign official told Business Insider, "It’s the president’s coronavirus task force."
Levin did ask Fauci if he had "ever seen this big of a coordinated response by an administration to such a threat" as the coronavirus. Here’s Fauci’s response, with the relevant quote in bold:
"Well, we've never had a threat like this, and the coordinated response has been — there are a number of adjectives to describe it. Impressive, I think, is one of them. I mean, we're talking about all hands on deck. I, as one of many people on a team — I'm not the only person — since the beginning that we even recognized what this was, I have been devoting almost full time on this, almost full time. I'm down at the White House virtually every day with the task force. I'm connected by phone throughout the day and into the night. When I say night, I'm talking 12, 1, 2 in the morning. I'm not the only one. There's a whole group of us that are doing that. It's every single day. So, I can't imagine that, under any circumstances, that anybody could be doing more."
Fauci did not mention Trump by name in his answer, although he did go on to mention the "very timely decision on the part of the president" to restrict travel coming in from China while talking about mitigation efforts that could be used to slow the spread.
The interview came on March 22, when the U.S. had recorded roughly 34,800 confirmed cases and about 570 deaths from the coronavirus, according to Johns Hopkins University. The U.S. leads the world with more than 7.7 million cases and 214,000 deaths logged to date.
The Trump campaign ad’s message of a nation bouncing back from the pandemic is at odds with more recent comments from Fauci.
Speaking virtually with American University on Oct. 6, Fauci said the U.S. is facing "a resurgence of the wave we began with" and that "the models tell us if we don’t do what we need to in the fall and winter, we could have 300,000 to 400,000 COVID-19 deaths."
Fauci also called the White House event with Judge Amy Coney Barrett, Trump’s pick to fill the Supreme Court vacancy, a "superspreader event." Trump announced that he tested positive for the coronavirus days after the event, which featured little social distancing or mask wearing. The White House has not said how Trump contracted COVID-19.
The ad says Trump is "recovering from the coronavirus." The White House physician said Oct. 10 that Trump is "no longer considered a transmission risk," but he did not say whether Trump was still experiencing symptoms or whether he had tested negative for the virus, per NPR.
Our ruling
A Trump campaign ad claims Fauci said of Trump’s pandemic response, "I can’t imagine that … anybody could be doing more."
The ad’s use of Fauci’s quote is misleading. Fauci made the comment nearly seven months before the ad was released, and he was not talking about Trump. He told CNN he did not consent to being in the ad and felt he was taken out of context.
The full context of the quote shows that Fauci was talking about the White House coronavirus task force and the mobilization of the federal government more generally.
Overall, the ad’s claim contains an element of truth but ignores critical facts that would give a different impression. We rate it Mostly False.
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488 | Stefan Mychajliw | 2020-10-08 00:00:00 | a post on Facebook:
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Image shows Nancy Pelosi drunk and being kissed by President Barack Obama.
| Rebecca Catalanello | 2020-10-11 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/11/jim-oberweis/no-underwood-did-not-call-riots-beautiful/ |
No, Underwood did not call riots ‘beautiful’
|
U.S. Rep. Lauren Underwood’s Republican challenger is running an ad that paints the first-term Democratic congresswoman as a supporter of acts of violence and property destruction.
Illinois state Sen. Jim Oberweis’ ad includes footage of Underwood responding to a question about whether she condemns "rioting and looting" during an endorsement session with the Chicago Sun-Times editorial board.
"With respect to rioting and looting, I think that we have seen many instances of beautiful protests," Underwood says in a video clip featured in the ad, which abruptly cuts into a digitally-altered echo of her saying those last two words over footage of burning cars and ransacked buildings in Kenosha, Wis., Chicago and suburban Aurora.
"Riots are not beautiful, they’re ugly," the ad’s narrator says. "Vote against rioters, and anyone who enables them. Vote against Lauren Underwood."
The vast majority of demonstrations across the nation against racial injustice since George Floyd was killed by police in Minnesota in May have been peaceful, a report from the Princeton University-affiliated U.S. Crisis Monitor found. Violence has erupted on some occasions, however, causing property damage, injuries and even deaths. And Republicans up and down the ticket have sought to conflate support for the peaceful protests as backing the violence.
So we decided to look into what Underwood said to see if it lined up with how Oberweis’ ad portrayed her stance.
Underwood did not directly address rioting with the Sun-Times
We reviewed a video of the Sun-Times endorsement session cited in the ad. While Underwood does not directly condemn "rioting and looting" during that appearance, taken in the full context of her remarks it is a stretch to suggest her praise of "beautiful protests" extends to looting and rioting.
About 20 minutes into the candidates’ joint appearance, the paper’s editorial page editor Tom McNamee asks Underwood twice to address several arguments Oberweis had raised, including the senator’s charge that she has not condemned "rioting and looting."
"He says you once called him a racist, and he says you have failed to condemn rioting," McNamee says in the video, to which Underwood responds by explaining she believes ads Oberweis has run during his political career "walk that line that I would call racist."
Then Underwood turns to the second part of McNamee’s question, saying, "I also, with respect to rioting and looting, I think that we have seen many instances of beautiful protests this summer as people have stood up for this cause of justice and equality."
After that, Underwood makes a reference to Kyle Rittenhouse, a 17-year-old from her congressional district charged with killing two people and injuring a third in an attack on demonstrators in Kenosha following the police shooting of Jacob Blake.
"I don’t think that that kind of violence has any place in our community and certainly in a way to intimidate or disrupt peaceful protest," Underwood of Naperville says in the Sun-Times video.
A spokeswoman for Underwood’s campaign said she was describing the peaceful protests she witnessed this summer in her district when she used the word "beautiful."
Underwood condemned violence, property damage in another appearance
In a phone interview, Oberweis pointed to Underwood’s remarks during the Sun-Times interview to back up his ad. He told us he believes Underwood was describing "rioting and looting" as part of the "beautiful protests" she referenced when she spoke.
During another joint appearance the following week, however, Underwood made clear she opposes the violence that has marred some protests. Oberweis had raised the issue during that appearance as well.
"I think it’s really important that we continue to lift up the peaceful protesters, those who are exercising their First Amendment rights, but it is a tragedy when people are injured, when there’s violence, when there’s damage and the like as a result of these types of demonstrations," Underwood told editors and reporters from the Daily Herald and Shaw Media. "That’s not appropriate."
Our ruling
Oberweis’ ad says Underwood described riots as "beautiful protests."
During the editorial board appearance the ad is based on, Underwood pivoted away from a question about "rioting and looting" by steering the conversation back to the kind of protests she supports. The ad left out that she went on to say the "beautiful protests" were in reference to people who "stood up for this cause of justice and equality."
She also has since made clear she opposes the outbreaks of violence that have occurred at some demonstrations.
We rate the ad’s claim False.
FALSE — The statement is not accurate.
Click here for more on the six PolitiFact ratings and how we select facts to check.
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489 | Facebook posts | 2020-10-10 00:00:00 | a campaign ad:
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Says Dr. Anthony Fauci said of Trump’s pandemic response, “I can’t imagine that … anybody could be doing more.”
| Bill McCarthy | 2020-10-10 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/dec/15/facebook-posts/no-chip-covid-19-vaccine-syringes-would-not-be-inj/ |
No, chip on COVID-19 vaccine syringes would not be injected or track people
|
A video circulating on social media wrongly claims that some COVID-19 vaccines could include microchips to let government officials track patients. That’s inaccurate.
The Dec. 9 video spread on Facebook and Instagram as the U.S. distributed its first doses of the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine. It was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
The video pulls from a May interview with Jay Walker, executive chairman of ApiJect Systems Corp., a medical technology company. In the interview, Walker described how ApiJect’s prefilled syringes could include optional chips to show when a vaccine dose is expired or counterfeit.
The video uses selective editing and misleading text overlays to give the impression that the ApiJect’s radio-frequency identification technology would enable government officials to track the vaccinated population.
"The chip would give officials information on who has and has not been vaccinated, as well as when doses expire," the text over the video says. "The chip tracks the location of the patient."
A pair of screenshots from a social media video falsely claiming some COVID-19 vaccines could include microchips to track patients.
But in reality, the optional chip would be on the syringe label, spokespersons for ApiJect and the Department of Health and Human Services told PolitiFact. It would not be injected into patients with the vaccine, nor would it allow those patients to be tracked in any way.
Fact-checkers from Reuters and Lead Stories previously debunked the video’s claims. Elizabeth Johnston, who describes herself as a blogger, author and activist, posted the video with a watermark from her website. We reached out to her, but she did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
Patients won’t be tracked or have chip injected with vaccine
In his May interview with CBN News, Walker described ApiJect’s partnership with the U.S. government to expand production of injection devices for a future COVID-19 vaccine. The company had recently entered into a $138 million contract with the Pentagon and HHS. (In the interview, Walker is misidentified as ApiJect’s CEO.)
The interviewer asked Walker about "the optional RFID chip" on the prefilled syringes that could help health workers tell if a vaccine dose was expired or counterfeit.
"What that chip does is it has the unique serial number for each dose," Walker said. "It is designed so that there is no counterfeiting. It is designed so that we'll know exactly that the right dose hasn't expired."
Walker went on to explain that the chip "only refers to the dose" of the vaccine in the prefilled syringe. "There’s no personal information, no patient information," he said. "It's simply like a barcode. Only we know instantaneously where and when that dose has been used."
But the video circulating on social media omits that section of the interview. It mutes Walker’s words and, in a text overlay on the screen, says the chip "would give officials information on who has and has not been vaccinated" and "tracks the location of the patient."
Steven Hofman, a spokesperson for ApiJect, rejected the video’s claims. "No chip is vaccinated into anyone," he said in an email to PolitiFact.
The technology is optional for purchasers of the syringes and "would go on the label on the outside of the container holding the vaccine," Hofman said. So far, it hasn’t been requested by any government or private company, he said. And if it were, it wouldn’t be able to track people.
"The chip does not and will not collect any personal information on who is vaccinated," Hofman said. The chips could record where each shot was administered, but they "would not and could not record information on who has been vaccinated."
The chips could also help keep tabs on the devices as they ship to pharmacies and other locations for vaccine administration, an HHS spokesperson said in a statement.
"The video is inaccurate," the statement said. "ApiJect technology doesn’t inject a microchip into a person receiving the vaccine."
PolitiFact has debunked numerous false claims about tracking devices in vaccines. Experts previously said microchips are too large to be injected when patients are vaccinated.
"Even the smallest version of RFID chips are rather large, such that none would ever fit into a vaccine needle," Dr. Wilbur Chen, an infectious-disease scientist at the University of Maryland’s Center for Vaccine Development and Global Health, told PolitiFact in April.
Our ruling
A Facebook video said an optional microchip for COVID-19 vaccines "would give officials information on who has and has not been vaccinated" and "tracks the location of the patient."
The chips are part of the label for ApiJect’s prefilled syringes, and they help identify the vaccine doses, not patients. They would not be injected into patients seeking the vaccine, nor would they be used to track information and locations.
We rate this Facebook post False.
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491 | Donald Trump | 2020-09-18 00:00:00 | a post on Facebook:
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"If Biden becomes president and cannot complete his term, Harris will become president, and Pelosi will become vice president."
| Ilana Strauss | 2020-12-15 00:00:00 | pants-fire | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/dec/15/tim-carpenter/wisconsin-one-few-states-ban-absentee-ballot-proce/ |
Wisconsin one of few states that ban absentee ballot processing before Election Day
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It took all day and then some for Milwaukee election officials to count their mountain of absentee ballots in the 2020 presidential election
And those 170,000 votes proved decisive. When the ballots were added to the state total about 3:30 a.m. Nov. 4, Wisconsin swung from a lead for President Donald Trump to a lead for former Vice President Joe Biden. A later canvass and recount confirmed Biden won the state by about 21,000 votes.
But the swing and timing sparked an avalanche of misinformation, with Trump and an array of other Republicans claiming there was something nefarious about the late arrival of Milwaukee’s votes. Of course that’s ridiculous: We’ve noted in multiple False and Pants on Fire ratings that the absentee votes from Milwaukee, a Democratic stronghold, were long expected to heavily favor Biden and to come in late.
The controversy stems from limitations in state law on when election workers can process absentee votes — limitations that were unchanged despite the massive increase in this kind of voting amid the pandemic.
State Sen. Tim Carpenter, D-Milwaukee, raised this point in a letter to the state’s Republican legislative leaders, seeking a bipartisan task force to improve Wisconsin’s voting system.
"Wisconsin is one of the few states that doesn’t allow absentee ballots to be processed before Election Day," Carpenter said in the Dec. 11, 2020, news release.
"Allowing this simple change would stop the false accusation that tens of thousands of ballots are secretly being dumped after midnight changing the outcome of the election. We all know our current process and know that is not true. It is just a matter our laws requiring workers to wait until 7:00 AM on Election Day to begin tabulating."
Is Carpenter right that Wisconsin law handcuffs election officials in a way most states don’t?
Most states begin process sooner
The short answer is yes.
The longer answer depends a bit on how you define processing.
The National Conference of State Legislatures compiled details on how each state handled absentee ballots for the 2020 election.
Their research showed many states limit counting of absentee votes to Election Day — about 30 in all.
But few go as far as Wisconsin in not allowing any ballot processing until that day. Only Alabama, Indiana, Mississippi, Pennsylvania, West Virginia and Wyoming require that ballots not be processed until Election Day. (Michigan requires smaller cities to wait until Election Day, while those with 25,000 or more people can start a day early.)
The timelines vary among the other states, with some allowing ballots to be processed as soon as they are received, while others begin the process a set amount of time before Election Day.
A New York Times breakdown of when states are allowed to begin "pre-processing" ballots — defined as verifying signatures, opening envelopes and flattening ballots to get them ready for tabulation — shortened that list further, showing only Alabama, Mississippi, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin limiting this to Election Day.
We saw dramatically different vote reporting dynamics in states that allow this earlier ballot processing. In North Carolina, for example, where absentee votes can be processed five weeks before the election and counted two weeks before, an early lead for Biden turned into a Trump win as in-person votes were added to the tallies later in the day.
Our ruling
Carpenter said Wisconsin is one of the few states that don’t allow absentee ballots to be processed before Election Day.
However we define that processing, it’s clear Wisconsin in the extreme minority. Just a handful of states ban election workers from beginning work on absentee ballots before Election Day.
We rate this claim True.
| Elections,States,Wisconsin,Tim Carpenter | [128000, 198, 2181, 3952, 682, 1938, 323, 1243, 1063, 369, 36918, 6355, 7510, 311, 1797, 872, 16700, 315, 94190, 49736, 304, 279, 220, 2366, 15, 13621, 6355, 198, 3112, 1884, 220, 8258, 11, 931, 12973, 19168, 51391, 13, 3277, 279, 49736, 1051, 3779, 311, 279, 1614, 2860, 922, 220, 18, 25, 966, 264, 749, 13, 4723, 13, 220, 19, 11, 21073, 70955, 505, 264, 3063, 369, 4900, 9641, 3420, 311, 264, 3063, 369, 4846, 23270, 4900, 13142, 38180, 13, 362, 3010, 73478, 395, 323, 41286, 11007, 38180, 2834, 279, 1614, 555, 922, 220, 1691, 11, 931, 12973, 627, 4071, 279, 19336, 323, 18912, 41544, 459, 96694, 315, 75159, 11, 449, 3420, 323, 459, 1358, 315, 1023, 13063, 21039, 1070, 574, 2555, 87224, 54371, 922, 279, 3389, 19163, 315, 36918, 753, 12973, 13, 5046, 3388, 430, 753, 27873, 25, 1226, 4070, 10555, 304, 5361, 3641, 323, 67553, 389, 6785, 18594, 430, 279, 94190, 12973, 505, 36918, 11, 264, 11650, 86568, 11, 1051, 1317, 3685, 311, 17345, 4799, 38180, 323, 311, 2586, 304, 3389, 627, 791, 26654, 44814, 505, 9669, 304, 1614, 2383, 389, 994, 6355, 7487, 649, 1920, 94190, 12973, 2001, 9669, 430, 1051, 35957, 8994, 279, 11191, 5376, 304, 420, 3169, 315, 16043, 23442, 279, 28522, 627, 1423, 5476, 13, 9538, 68138, 11, 423, 5364, 321, 33579, 11, 9408, 420, 1486, 304, 264, 6661, 311, 279, 1614, 753, 9540, 27743, 6164, 11, 11125, 264, 52008, 3465, 5457, 311, 7417, 21073, 753, 16043, 1887, 627, 61067, 285, 19396, 374, 832, 315, 279, 2478, 5415, 430, 3250, 1431, 2187, 94190, 49736, 311, 387, 15590, 1603, 26838, 6187, 1359, 68138, 1071, 304, 279, 3799, 13, 220, 806, 11, 220, 2366, 15, 11, 3754, 4984, 627, 1, 19118, 287, 420, 4382, 2349, 1053, 3009, 279, 905, 65506, 430, 22781, 315, 9214, 315, 49736, 527, 42839, 1694, 49373, 1306, 33433, 10223, 279, 15632, 315, 279, 6355, 13, 1226, 682, 1440, 1057, 1510, 1920, 323, 1440, 430, 374, 539, 837, 13, 1102, 374, 1120, 264, 5030, 1057, 7016, 23537, 7487, 311, 3868, 3156, 220, 22, 25, 410, 6912, 389, 26838, 6187, 311, 3240, 5769, 15853, 10246, 3957, 68138, 1314, 430, 21073, 2383, 66145, 33668, 6355, 7510, 304, 264, 1648, 1455, 5415, 1541, 1431, 5380, 13622, 5415, 3240, 1920, 31373, 198, 791, 2875, 4320, 374, 10035, 382, 791, 5129, 4320, 14117, 264, 2766, 389, 1268, 499, 7124, 8863, 627, 791, 5165, 15217, 315, 3314, 33815, 2859, 20276, 3649, 389, 1268, 1855, 1614, 18073, 94190, 49736, 369, 279, 220, 2366, 15, 6355, 627, 35897, 3495, 8710, 1690, 5415, 4017, 26060, 315, 94190, 12973, 311, 26838, 6187, 2001, 922, 220, 966, 304, 682, 627, 4071, 2478, 733, 439, 3117, 439, 21073, 304, 539, 10923, 904, 26938, 8863, 3156, 430, 1938, 13, 8442, 21272, 11, 22319, 11, 29538, 11, 20355, 11, 4410, 13286, 323, 49832, 1397, 430, 49736, 539, 387, 15590, 3156, 26838, 6187, 13, 320, 82657, 7612, 9333, 9919, 311, 3868, 3156, 26838, 6187, 11, 1418, 1884, 449, 220, 914, 11, 931, 477, 810, 1274, 649, 1212, 264, 1938, 4216, 29275, 791, 88244, 13592, 4315, 279, 1023, 5415, 11, 449, 1063, 10923, 49736, 311, 387, 15590, 439, 5246, 439, 814, 527, 4036, 11, 1418, 3885, 3240, 279, 1920, 264, 743, 3392, 315, 892, 1603, 26838, 6187, 627, 32, 1561, 4356, 8691, 31085, 315, 994, 5415, 527, 5535, 311, 3240, 330, 1762, 70293, 1, 49736, 2001, 4613, 439, 69963, 33728, 11, 8736, 87706, 323, 52139, 6147, 49736, 311, 636, 1124, 5644, 369, 5769, 2987, 2001, 66663, 430, 1160, 4726, 11, 9204, 1193, 21272, 11, 29538, 11, 20355, 323, 21073, 33994, 420, 311, 26838, 6187, 627, 1687, 5602, 29057, 2204, 7055, 13122, 30295, 304, 5415, 430, 2187, 420, 6931, 26938, 8863, 13, 763, 4892, 13030, 11, 369, 3187, 11, 1405, 94190, 12973, 649, 387, 15590, 4330, 5672, 1603, 279, 6355, 323, 31094, 1403, 5672, 1603, 11, 459, 4216, 3063, 369, 38180, 6656, 1139, 264, 3420, 3243, 439, 304, 29145, 12973, 1051, 3779, 311, 279, 16615, 552, 3010, 304, 279, 1938, 627, 8140, 17864, 198, 34, 8035, 1992, 1071, 21073, 374, 832, 315, 279, 2478, 5415, 430, 1541, 1431, 2187, 94190, 49736, 311, 387, 15590, 1603, 26838, 6187, 627, 11458, 584, 7124, 430, 8863, 11, 433, 753, 2867, 21073, 304, 279, 14560, 23413, 13, 4702, 264, 23810, 315, 5415, 9120, 6355, 7487, 505, 7314, 990, 389, 94190, 49736, 1603, 26838, 6187, 627, 1687, 4478, 420, 3802, 3082, 2055] | 608 |
493 | Facebook posts | 2020-12-09 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
“Pope Francis says covid vaccine will now be required to enter heaven.”
| Miriam Valverde | 2020-12-14 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/feb/24/lara-logan/fox-nation-hosts-unsupported-claim-helicopters-spr/ |
Fox Nation host’s unsupported claim that helicopters sprayed oil on frozen Texas wind turbines
|
As Fox News broadcasters pushed the misleading narrative that frozen wind turbines were to blame for Texas’ crippled energy system, Fox Nation host Lara Logan suggested that fossil fuels were coming to the rescue. Helicopters, she claimed, were spraying turbines with oil to defrost them.
"The reality is here that you’re flying helicopters, using fossil fuels, to put oil on wind turbines to defrost them," Logan said Feb. 19 on the Fox News program "Outnumbered."
Logan’s claim echoed online rumors, widely debunked, that claimed a photo showed a helicopter spraying chemicals on a frozen wind turbine in Texas.
"Oh the irony," said one of many Facebook posts sharing the photo. The post featured a screenshot of a tweet that read: "A helicopter running on fossil fuel spraying a chemical made from fossil fuels onto a wind turbine made with fossils fuels during an ice storm is awesome."
The photo, from years ago, actually shows a helicopter defrosting a turbine with hot water in Sweden. "This is our helicopter back in 2015," Mats Widgren of Alpine Helicopters, the Swedish company responsible for the photo, told the Associated Press.
The same photo appeared in Swedish news articles from that year, and also in two separate Alpine Helicopters presentations on airborne de-icing methods for wind turbines. The Swedish company heated the water with an oil burner, but it did not spray chemicals.
Despite those facts, social media posts claiming the photo showed Texas spread widely. They were flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
A viral tweet wrongly claimed that an image showed a helicopter spraying chemicals on a frozen wind turbine in Texas.
Logan did not cite any evidence to support her own claim, which asserted more broadly that helicopters were being flown in Texas to defrost ice-coated wind turbines with oil. But PolitiFact found no proof that such a practice was taking place in Texas.
Fox News did not offer comment for this fact-check.
No sign that airborne de-icing is used in Texas
A spokesperson for the Electric Reliability Council of Texas, which manages more than 90% of the state’s electric load, said she had not heard of such rumors until PolitiFact reached out.
While frozen wind turbine blades can be manually de-iced, the extreme weather would have made it difficult to do so in Texas, where several airports were closed during the storm, said Jim Krane, an energy studies fellow at Rice University’s Baker Institute.
"No one I’ve asked in the Texas wind industry has heard of any aircraft de-icing of wind turbine blades," said Krane, who recently wrote about the need to winterize Texas’ energy system.
"Most wind turbines here don’t have any de-icing equipment, since it’s rare to have need for them here," added Daniel Cohan, an associate professor in civil and environmental engineering at Rice University, and a colleague of Krane’s.
RWE Renewables Americas operates more than a dozen wind farms in Texas. Its Roscoe Wind Farm, a few hours west of Fort Worth, has more than 600 turbines.
The company said Feb. 18 that icing and grid issues put part of its onshore wind fleet out of service. But spokesperson Matt Tulis denied using helicopters in the way Logan described.
"We are not using helicopters to spray oil on our turbines to defrost them," Tulis told PolitiFact. "We don’t apply any kind of de-icing agent to the turbine or turbine blades."
Turbines in places that regularly see low temperatures are often designed to withstand the cold. Some have ice-resistant coatings or heaters built into the blades.
Those technologies used elsewhere in the world allow wind turbines to produce electricity at temperatures as low as 22 degrees below zero, Krane and his colleagues at the Baker Institute wrote for Forbes. But they make turbines pricier.
Manual de-icing, which can be done by aircraft-based sprayers or by technicians who climb up the turbine towers, can involve chemicals, Krane and his team wrote in the article.
Fox News pushed narrative against renewables
After a rare blast of Arctic air hit Texas, Fox News hosts repeatedly claimed that frozen wind turbines were solely or mostly to blame for the power outages around the state. But experts and state energy officials said early on that the crisis was largely due to problems at thermal power plants, including those powered by natural gas.
"Wind’s failure was a small part of the overall Texas blackout," Krane said.
Krane told PolitiFact that it shouldn’t be unexpected for renewable energy sources to rely on fossil fuels, which remain the main source of energy in the U.S.
"Avoiding their use, even in renewable power generation, is impossible," Krane said.
Our ruling
Logan said, "The reality is here (in Texas) that you’re flying helicopters using fossil fuels to put oil on wind turbines to defrost them."
Logan’s claim resembled debunked claims that said an image showed a helicopter spraying chemicals on a wind turbine in Texas. The image was actually taken years ago in Sweden.
Aircraft-based sprays are one way to manually defrost turbines that haven’t been winterized, but experts we consulted said they hadn’t heard of that practice being used in Texas. One company that runs several wind farms in Texas said it isn’t using helicopters to spray oil on its turbines.
The burden of proof is on the speaker, and Logan provided none. We rate her claim False.
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498 | Facebook posts | 2021-02-19 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
Photo shows “Earth, Venus and Jupiter as seen from Mars.”
| Tom Kertscher | 2021-02-24 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/feb/23/tucker-carlson/tucker-carlsons-false-claim-downplaying-role-white/ |
Tucker Carlson’s false claim downplaying role of white supremacists at Capitol riot
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Fox News host Tucker Carlson downplayed the involvement of racially motivated extremist groups in the Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol, falsely suggesting that the mob of pro-Trump rioters who violently stormed the building did not include white supremacists.
"There's no evidence that white supremacists were responsible for what happened on Jan. 6. That's a lie," Carlson said Feb. 22 on his TV show. "And contrary to what you've been hearing, there's also no evidence this was a, quote, 'armed insurrection.'"
During the segment, Carlson, whose primetime show is among the most-watched cable news programs, interviewed the author of a blog post that argued the riot did not amount to an armed insurrection. PolitiFact previously rated that claim Pants on Fire.
For this fact-check, we’ll focus on Carlson’s claim about white supremacists.
Carlson was responding to attorney general nominee Merrick Garland’s pledge at his confirmation hearing to supervise the prosecution of "white supremacists and others" involved in the riot.
Experts on extremism have described white supremacists as a top domestic terrorist threat, and so has FBI director Christopher Wray. In 2019, Carlson called white supremacy a hoax.
Many participants at the Capitol riot were not known white supremacists, and with investigations ongoing, it’s difficult to say how responsible any one person or group was for what happened.
But court documents, public records and documentary evidence have shown that several people with known ties to white supremacist groups were involved in the attack, and that many symbols of white supremacy were displayed.
"White supremacists and rebranded alt-right rioters were assuredly there, but there was also a wide variety of other insurrectionists present who share a set of unifying grievances with hardened bigots, who do not necessarily buy into full-blown white supremacy," said Brian Levin director of the Center for the Study of Hate & Extremism at California State University, San Bernardino.
On Feb. 23, in a Senate hearing on the Capitol’s security failures, Sen. Amy Klobuchar, D-Minn., asked the acting D.C. police chief, the former Capitol Police chief and the former House and Senate sergeants-at-arms if the attack "involved white supremacist and extremist groups."
All the officials replied: "Yes."
Fox News did not respond to a request for comment.
Arrests, court documents show white supremacist involvement
Carlson’s claim came hours after Capitol Police officer Harry Dunn described being repeatedly called a racial slur while defending the complex.
Substantial evidence shows extremist groups, including people who have publicly expressed support for white supremacist ideals, were among those in the crowd.
The New York Times reported Feb. 21 that while most of the rioters were supporters of former President Donald Trump, members of right-wing extremist groups played an outsize role in the riot and were charged with some of the most serious crimes, including conspiracy charges, which indicate a level of planning and coordination.
Of the more than 230 people charged so far, 31 were known to have ties to a militant extremist group, the Times found. That tracks with what Oren Segal, the vice president of the Anti-Defamation League’s Center on Extremism, told PolitiFact.
"The emerging snapshot of the insurrectionists shows a range of right-wing extremists united by their fury with the perceived large-scale betrayal by ‘unprincipled’ legislators," Segal said.
Extremist figures at the Capitol included members of the Proud Boys, a far-right organization that celebrates Western culture and male superiority. The group gained notoriety after Trump said in a debate that the group should "stand back and stand by."
The group has rejected claims that it promotes white supremacy. But Michael Jensen, a senior researcher with the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism at the University of Maryland, said some members have known ties to other white supremacist groups or have publicly expressed white supremacist views.
A Wall Street Journal video investigation found that Proud Boys members were "at the forefront" of many of the key moments during the Jan. 6 seige.
Ethan Nordean, with a bullhorn, leads members of the far-right group Proud Boys in marching before the riot at the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021. Nordean, 30, has described himself as a leader of the Seattle chapter of the Proud Boys. (AP)
Other figures at the riot had explicit white supremacist ties. Some were associated, for example, with the Groypers, a white supremacist group defined by a loose network of people who support the far-right activist and podcaster Nick Fuentes, or the Nationalist Socialist Club, a neo-Nazi group, Segal said. Others, such as far-right media personality Tim Gionet, or Baked Alaska, have expressed white supremacist views but are unaffiliated with any specific group.
The ADL identified 212 of what it believes were about 800 people who breached the Capitol, Segal said. Among those identified, Segal said the ADL has counted 17 Proud Boys, six people associated with an anti-government militant group known as the Oath Keepers, and 10 people with ties to the Groypers or other white supremacist groups.
"They were certainly present at the Capitol on Jan. 6, and several participated in storming the building," Jensen said, pointing to people like Gionet and Bryan Betancur, a self-professed white supremacist who was seen wearing a Proud Boys shirt and posing with a Confederate flag.
Symbols of white supremacy
The presence of white supremacists was also marked by prominently displayed symbols, including some that are "overtly racist" and others that are coded or co-opted but resonate among followers of far-right extremist groups, said Levin.
One man, Robert Packer, was seen in a "Camp Auschwitz" T-shirt, a reference to a complex of concentration camps used during the Holocaust. Others waved Confederate flags, flashed "white power" symbols, showcased "Pepe the frog" imagery and more, Levin said.
Supporters listen as President Donald Trump speaks during a rally in Washington on Jan. 6, 2021, shortly before rioters stormed the U.S. Capitol. (AP)
Rioters also erected a hanging gallows, which Levin said is a symbol for white supremacists and other alt-right figures signaling a day when "government leaders and minorities are hanged."
The Washington Post combed through footage from the riot and identified many such symbols showing support for white supremacy and other far-right causes and groups.
Our ruling
Carlson said, "There's no evidence that white supremacists were responsible for what happened on Jan. 6. That's a lie."
Not all of the rioters at the Capitol were extremists or white supremacists. But several people with known ties to white supremacist groups were involved, including some people now facing conspiracy charges. Symbols of white supremacy were also prominently on display.
Law enforcement officials said the the attack involved extremist and white supremacist groups.
We rate Carlson’s statement False.
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501 | Facebook posts | 2021-02-21 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
“Nancy Pelosi has invited all illegals to her mansion at 2724 Pacific Ave San Francisco CA.”
| Bill McCarthy | 2020-10-27 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/18/facebook-posts/nearly-all-arrests-kenosha-protests-were-local/ |
Nearly all arrests in Kenosha protests were from the area
|
When protesters gathered in Kenosha after Jacob Blake was shot by a police officer on Aug. 23, 2020, an array of online claims surfaced about who exactly was protesting.
These questions only increased after news that federal law enforcement had stopped at least one vehicle on Aug. 26 with out-of-state plates and arrested the occupants, suspecting them of planning criminal activity related to the protests.
Was that proof of a larger trend?
Weeks after the protest, one Facebook post’s claim on this point continues to be widely shared.
"So far, out of 175 arrested in Kenosha, 102 were not from Kenosha," says a post from Sept. 1, 2020. "Rioting has become its own industry. Who’s paying these monsters?"
This post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook).
Let’s review what we know about the protest arrests.
Nearly all arrests were from Kenosha and surrounding areas
The numbers in the post come from an Aug. 30 news release issued by Kenosha police.
The department reported 175 people were arrested from Aug. 24 (when the first protests started) to 12:30 p.m. on Aug. 30. Of those, 102 listed addresses outside Kenosha.
The release also noted 69 of those people were arrested for curfew violations, while 34 were arrested for violating curfew as well as other charges such as carrying concealed weapons, burglary and drug possession.
The implication from the Facebook post is that the people arrested from outside Kenosha were an organized "industry," or for some other reason weren’t people who naturally assembled.
Police booking data tells a different story.
Online booking data doesn’t line up precisely with the police report. But it shows 165 people were arrested from Aug. 24 to 12:30 p.m. on Aug. 30, which gives us insight into how those protest arrests broke down.
Among the 165:
59 were from Kenosha (roughly in line with the ratio in the post and news release)
60 were from elsewhere in Wisconsin, mostly Milwaukee (23) and Racine (14)
28 were from Illinois, the border of which is about 6 miles from the heart of the protests
11 were from Washington and Oregon
7 were from elsewhere (Kentucky, Minnesota, Indiana and California, as well as three listed by police as homeless)
The Washington and Oregon residents are largely related to a Seattle-based group called Riot Kitchen, which provides meals for protesters and homeless people. A widely shared video showed police forcibly removing people from a minivan with Oregon plates at a Kenosha gas station Aug. 26.
Police said the group had several vehicles and had been filling gas cans there. Authorities suspected "the occupants of these vehicles were preparing for criminal activity related to the civil unrest," police said in a statement. But a Riot Kitchen board member told the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel the gas was to run a generator they use for making food.
The group had detoured to feed people in Kenosha during a planned trip to Washington, D.C., they told a New York Times reporter.
Our ruling
A Facebook post says "out of 175 arrested in Kenosha, 102 were not from Kenosha. Rioting has become its own industry."
The numbers are correct, but the implication connected to them is not.
The majority of those arrested were from outside the city of Kenosha, but about 90% were from either Wisconsin or nearby Illinois. In other words, people one would expect to organically gather for a local protest spurred by a local event.
And most of those from farthest away can be traced to a single group that drove from the West Coast.
Our definition of Mostly False is a claim that contains an element of truth but ignores critical facts that would give a different impression. That fits here.
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503 | Tucker Carlson | 2021-02-22 00:00:00 | a Tweet:
|
“Joe Biden is handing our power grid to the Chinese Communist Party.”
| Madison Czopek | 2020-09-18 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/17/facebook-posts/kamala-harris-quote-calling-young-people-stupid-mi/ |
Kamala Harris quote calling young people ‘stupid’ is missing context
|
Did vice presidential nominee Sen. Kamala Harris call young Americans stupid, as a post on social media claims?
In an image posted by a Facebook page called "Students for Trump," we see a photo of Harris next to a quote that reads, "What else do we know about this population, 18 through 24? They are stupid!"
The post’s caption says: "This is what Kamala thinks about young Americans?!"
The quote is part of something Harris said six years ago, but rather than insulting young voters, Harris made the comment during a speech about the need to forgive mistakes made by young, low-level criminal offenders.
The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
Harris made the remark during an address on criminal justice policy at a symposium hosted by the Ford Foundation in May 2014, when she was California’s attorney general.
The quote on its own is missing the context of the larger point that Harris was trying to make, which was how the criminal justice system shouldn’t penalize young adults for making certain mistakes.
The full video of her remarks (her comment comes around the 16:45-mark) shows that Harris is talking about forgiving young people’s low-level crimes, and how the system treats offenders in the age group during what she referred to as their most developmental stage in life.
Here is her comment, with more context:
"When I was at Howard University and we were in college, we were 18 through 24, and you know what we were called? College kids. But when you turn 18 and you’re in the system, you are considered an adult, period. Without any regard to the fact that, that is the very phase of life in which we have invested billions of dollars in colleges and universities knowing that is the prime phase of life during which we mold and shape and direct someone to become a productive adult.
"What’s the other thing we know about this population? And it’s a specific phase of life, remember, age is more than a chronological fact. What else do we know about this population, 18 through 24? They are stupid (audience laughs). That is why we put them in dormitories, and they have a resident assistant. They make really bad decisions. So we focused on that age population."
Harris was describing a recidivism reduction program for first-time, low-level offenders in Los Angeles. The initiative, modeled after the "Back on Track" program that Harris launched in 2005 in San Francisco, would provide services to young Americans who were convicted of nonviolent felonies. If they met certain education and career goals, they would have their cases dismissed.
Our ruling
A post on Facebook says Harris called young Americans "stupid."
It’s a partial quote of something Harris said. Harris was speaking about initiatives to reduce recidivism rates for young, low-level offenders and wryly made a comment about how young adults often make bad decisions in order to illustrate the broader point that more empathy is needed for them within the criminal justice system.
Harris made the comment, but the post leaves out important details or takes things out of context. We rate it Half True.
This fact check is available at IFCN’s 2020 US Elections FactChat #Chatbot on WhatsApp. Click here, for more.
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505 | Facebook posts | 2020-09-08 00:00:00 | a tweet:
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“Biden admits to voter fraud.”
| Eric Litke | 2020-09-17 00:00:00 | half-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/03/joe-biden/fact-checking-joe-bidens-comparison-violent-crime-/ |
Fact-checking Joe Biden’s comparison of violent crime, murders data
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Joe Biden told voters that President Donald Trump doesn’t have his facts straight when it comes to public safety, despite Trump’s attempts to cast himself as a law-and-order candidate and Biden as the symbol of chaos.
"If Donald Trump wants to ask the question: Who will keep you safer as president? Let’s answer that question. First, some simple facts," Biden said in Pittsburgh on Aug. 31.
"When I was vice president, violent crime fell 15% in this country. We did it without chaos and disorder. And yes, we did it with Democratic mayors in most of the major cities in this country. The murder rate now is up 26% across the nation this year under Donald Trump. Do you feel really safer under Donald Trump?"
PolitiFact decided to fact-check Biden’s "simple facts." We found that his claim is partly accurate and needs context.
‘Violent crime fell 15%’
Biden’s claim of a 15% decrease is supported by the change in the rate of violent crime; the decline in the total number of crimes was less than 15%.
Biden’s campaign cited as evidence a 2017 story from FactCheck.org, which summarized key statistics related to President Barack Obama’s eight years in office.
Based on data collected by the FBI, the fact-checking organization found that the number of violent crimes per 100,000 people in Obama’s last full year in office, 2016, was nearly 16% lower than the rate in 2008, the year before Obama took office. Likewise, the total number of violent crimes in 2016 was about 10% lower than the total number in 2008.
‘Murder rate now is up 26% across the nation’
In discussing what Biden says has happened to the murder rate under Trump, Biden’s campaign cited an analysis by crime analyst Jeff Asher that pointed out a 26% increase in the number of murders.
The analysis was not adjusted for population and did not specify the rate change. (For instance, the FBI calculates the murder rate as being per 100,000 people.) But Asher and two other criminologists not involved in the analysis told PolitiFact that since the population changes very little from one year to the other, the murder rate increase would also be around 26%.
Asher analyzed violent crime data in 25 U.S. cities. He looked at the number of murders in 2019 from January through at least July and compared it with the number of murders in 2020 from January through at least July. (He used comparable August data for some cities.)
While Asher’s analysis focused on select cities, not nationwide data, he said it can be useful for estimating the national trend. Usually, the FBI in late September releases a final report on nationwide crime statistics from the previous year.
What Biden’s remarks left out
Biden touted a decrease in violent crime during his vice presidency and denounced a 2020 spike in murders under Trump. But he highlighted different metrics and different time sets for each administration. By doing so, Biden presented an incomplete and skewed picture of the crime data.
A more accurate examination of crime would focus on the same set of data and comparable time periods, said Jay Corzine, a criminologist at the University of Central Florida.
The FBI figures on violent crime include the offenses of murder, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault. Biden focused on this broader number for the claim about his vice presidency, and flagged only murder data for the claim on Trump’s record.
Biden focused on numbers before and at the end of his 8-year tenure, 2008 and 2016. For Trump, he focused on about seven months for 2019 and 2020.
For the claim about his own record, Biden did not mention the murder rate. The murder rate in 2008 was the same as it was in 2016, 5.4 murders per 100,000 people.
Both the violent crime and murder rates went down in 2017 and in 2018, Trump’s first two years in office. (The FBI has not released final data for 2019.) Asher said that while murders so far were up in 2020 compared with 2019, "violent crime is roughly even."
How much does a president or vice president impact crime statistics?
Most of the influence any presidential administration has on crime statistics is indirect, based on their support for anti-crime measures and funding assistance, criminologists told PolitiFact.
"Most crime is local and what really impacts crime rates are local policing, state laws — what states and cities do," said James Alan Fox, a criminologist at Northeastern University.
Homicide numbers are also volatile, there’s wide fluctuation from year to year that has nothing to do with laws or policies, Fox said. Built into the homicide figures are a lot of chance factors, such as where a bullet hits and whether the person is taken to a hospital on time, he said.
Murders in some cities have spiked this year amid the coronavirus pandemic, yet violent crime across the board (including property crime) hasn’t similarly increased, Corzine noted.
It’s unclear exactly why murders are up in some places. However, "bad things can happen in the course of idle time," Fox said, noting that the pandemic caused many people to be out of work and out of school with no summer activities.
Our ruling
Biden said, "When I was vice president, violent crime fell 15% in this country. ... The murder rate now is up 26% across the nation this year under Donald Trump."
The violent crime rate fell nearly 16% from 2008, before Biden’s vice presidency, to 2016, his last full year as vice president. A crime analyst found that in some cities, the total number of murders has gone up at least 26% in 2020 compared to the same timeframe in 2019 (experts said the crime rate likely would also be up about 26%).
But Biden’s comparison is based on snapshots of different crime data and at different time intervals during each presidency.
There’s data to support Biden’s claim, but his statement leaves out important details or takes things out of context.
We rate it Half True.
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506 | Kayleigh McEnany | 2020-10-24 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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“So far, out of 175 arrested in Kenosha, 102 were not from Kenosha. Rioting has become its own industry.”
| Samantha Putterman | 2020-09-17 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/03/democratic-congressional-campaign-committee/freitas-has-backed-plans-undercut-coverage-preexis/ |
Freitas has backed plans that undercut coverage of preexisting conditions
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Democrats have launched a TV ad accusing Nick Freitas, the Republican congressional candidate in Virginia’s 7th District, of seeking to undermine insurance protections for people with preexisting conditions.
The ad, sponsored by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, features black-and-white photos of Freitas, ominous -sounding piano notes, and footage of an elderly person in a wheelchair, then a young girl sleeping in bed.
"Freitas raked in thousands from the insurance industry and supports a plan letting insurance companies deny coverage for preexisting conditions like asthma or diabetes," the announcer says.
Freitas is challenging Democratic incumbent Abigail Spanberger in one of the most closely-watched House races in the nation. He raised $1 million as of June 30 and $3,630 of it - about one-third of 1% - has come from the insurance industry. We’ll let you decide if that would cause a candidate with no tint of scandal to sell out, as the DCCC suggests.
What caught our attention was the second part of the sentence, that Freitas "supports a plan letting insurance companies deny coverage for preexisting conditions like asthma or diabetes." We decided to fact check it.
The DCCC sources its ad claim with a May 2, 2018 newspaper article in The Virginian-Pilot. Freitas ran unsuccessfully that spring for the GOP nomination for the U.S. Senate, and the article was about a debate he had with one of his opponents - E.W. Jackson. One of the topics was the Affordable Care Act, also called "Obamacare," which mandates a number of health care reforms, including a requirement that insurers provide health coverage for preexisting conditions.
The article quoted Freitas calling Obamacare a "cancer" that will lead to a government-run health care system.
The Democratic Party of Virginia sent us several writings by Freitas expressing scorn for Obamacare. "As your next U.S. senator, I will lead the fight to repeal Obamacare full-stop," he wrote on Facebook on June 1, 2018.
Republicans, including President Donald Trump, have long called for abolishing Obamacare while promising to keep its popular guarantee of long-term coverage for preexisting conditions. But they haven’t agreed on a plan. A major issue has been how can they create a free-market healthcare system and still mandate affordable coverage for preexisting conditions.
Obamacare forbids an insurer from charging anyone more than three times the premium charged to a healthy 21-year-old for the same policy. If Obamacare was repealed without a replacement plan, insurers could choose to curtail or end coverage for preexisting conditions, or steeply raise the price.
Republicans have floated several replacement plans but, as PolitiFact National has written, none protected affordable coverage for preexisting conditions as well as Obamacare.
Some Republicans have favored repealing Obamacare before a replacement is found. That includes Freitas.
"Obamacare is hurting people...and yet progressives demand that we find an alternative to Obamacare before we can repeal it," he wrote on Facebook on Dec. 13, 2014. "This is a little like someone repeatedly punching you in the face and demanding that you find an alternative activity for their fist before they agree to stop."
Freitas doesn’t include health care among six issues he addresses on his campaign website. Joe Desilets, Freitas’ campaign manager, told us Freitas still wants to abolish Obamacare. But he said Freitas is dedicated to protecting coverage for preexisting conditions and, contrary to his 2014 statement, wants a replacement plan before the law is repealed.
Desilits said Freitas is not committed to any specific replacement plan to guarantee coverage of preexisting conditions. "Tax credits, a more targeted health care system. There’s a number of ways you can do it," he said.
In the Virginia General Assembly in 2018, Freitas supported the Trump-ordered expansion of short-term, inexpensive health policies that don’t comply with Obamacare and don't have to cover preexisting conditions.
Former President Barack Obama in 2016 issued a rule limiting short-term policies to 90 days to provide stop-gap policies to people who lost their health coverage and were waiting for enrollment periods to begin on the individual insurance market. In an effort to weaken Obamacare, Trump changed the rule, allowing short-term policies to last 364 days and be renewed twice.
Supporters said the Trump rule would help people without employer-provided insurance who had seen steep premium increases in their ACA-compliant policies. Critics said it would lead to "junk insurance" with high deductibles.
Our ruling
In a TV ad, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee says Freitas "supports a plan letting insurance companies deny coverage for preexisting conditions like asthma or diabetes."
Freitas has repeatedly called for the abolishing Obamacare, which mandates that long-term health insurance policies cover preexisting conditions. In 2014, he said Obamacare should be repealed even without a replacement plan. In 2018, he voted to significantly expand the duration of short-term insurance plans in which coverage of preexisting conditions can be legally denied.
These actions overshadow Freitas’ vague promise this year - made through his campaign manager - to protect preexisting condition coverage while working to end Obamacare.
We rate the DCCC's claim True.
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507 | Facebook posts | 2020-10-22 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
Says Donald Trump funded a Veterans Day parade 26 years ago in New York City after the city refused to pay.
| Samantha Putterman | 2020-09-03 00:00:00 | half-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/03/roy-cooper/cooper-overstates-ventilator-access-problem/ |
Cooper overstates ventilator access problem
|
North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper says one of his goals is to prevent hospitals from becoming overwhelmed.
While that may be a noble cause, Republicans are questioning a claim he made during a recent briefing.
"In some of these other states, some of their deaths can be attributable to the fact that they were having a hard time getting an ICU bed or a ventilator to a patient," Cooper said during a press conference on Aug. 13.
Is it true that some people have died because they had trouble accessing a ventilator, or a bed in the intensive care unit?
It’s true that more patients die at hospitals that are overwhelmed, as studies demonstrated even before the onset of the current pandemic. The Cooper administration also cited news articles where doctors said they worried about having enough resources to provide optimum levels of care.
But there’s little documentation of COVID-19 patients dying specifically because they couldn’t access a ventilator or ICU bed.
Lack of specific reports
At the onset of the pandemic, medical experts worried that there wouldn’t be enough ventilators to save patients who had severe symptoms of COVID-19. The virus primarily affects the lungs and ventilators are designed to help patients breathe.
The availability of ventilators became a political issue, with some governors saying the Trump administration didn’t provide their states with enough of the machines.
PolitiFact investigated the issue of ventilator access, finding in late April that it hadn’t become the nationwide problem health experts and medical professionals feared. Officials from 30 states told PolitiFact that they weren’t aware of any cases where their hospitals couldn’t provide ventilators to COVID-19 patients.
At the time, a spokesman for the American Hospital Association said the organization wasn’t aware of any patient dying because they couldn’t access a ventilator.
Presented with Cooper’s quote from August, the AHA spokesman said nothing has changed.
"To the best of our knowledge, a ventilator has been available for every patient that needed one. So nothing has changed since we said the same thing in April," AHA spokesman Colin Milligan said.
PolitiFact North Carolina reached out to other experts quoted in the April fact check.
‘Hushed rumors’
Eric Toner is a senior scholar of internal and emergency medicine at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security. He previously said he "would not be surprised if we find out later that some tragic triage choices had to be made."
We contacted Toner again and asked if he’s aware of anyone who died because they couldn’t access a ventilator.
"I do not," he said. "There are hushed rumors but nothing that I can cite or that anyone will openly admit to."
Matthew Wynia, director of the Center for Bioethics and Humanities at the University of Colorado, was also quoted in PolitiFact’s April article. He told us that any evidence of such deaths are likely to be anecdotal, and not necessarily something that’s documented.
"If your ICU is full, you’re going to try to make the best of it. You’re likely going to try to treat them in a step-down unit," Wynia said. "You’re not going to find anyone who says we openly discussed this with the family and says ‘I’m sorry, we’re out of beds and ventilators.’"
Low resources can affect a patient’s level of care, he added. "It’s something that no one wants to say, and for good reason. The reality is when a healthcare system is completely overrun, it’s not able to deliver services at its normal quality."
When contacted by PolitiFact, the Cooper administration provided links to news stories where hospital officials worried about resources running out. They also provided links to studies that tied resource shortages to mortality rates.
What Cooper said
A study in the Journal of the American Medical Association found that COVID-19 patients had higher survival rates at bigger hospitals, which tend to have more resources than small hospitals. Dr. David Leaf, who works in Harvard Medical School and Brigham and Women’s Hospital, explained the findings to WBUR in Boston:
"Patients who were admitted to hospitals with fewer than 50 ICU beds— so, smaller hospitals — had a more than threefold higher risk of death than patients admitted to larger hospitals."
A study of patient outcomes in Wuhan, China, found that the availability of intensive care unit (ICU) rooms had a significant impact on how long a patient lived, according to Contagion: Infectious Diseases Today. A July story in the Harvard Business Review used data from Germany and Italy to emphasize the need to relocate patients when ICU’s reach full capacity.
Despite what the studies say, we struggled to find news stories about specific people who died waiting for an ICU bed or a ventilator.
A March New York Times story reported that some have died inside the emergency room while waiting for a bed. Doctors told the Times that some patients were found dead in their rooms while doctors were busy helping others.
A Buzzfeed article from April quoted several doctors who attributed deaths to a lack of resources. "There’s a list about six [types of] patients that do not get put on a vent. ‘It makes no sense, they’re going to die soon anyway, so let them die’ — like that’s the crazy thought process," one doctor said.
In July, Newsweek reported that a 70-year-old woman died less than a week after allegedly being turned away from two Florida hospitals. Also in July, CBS reported on a judge in Starr County, Texas, who said on Facebook that a lack of resources left a local hospital with the responsibility of choosing to help and "who is sent home to die."
Our ruling
Cooper said "in some of these other states, some of their deaths can be attributable to the fact that they were having a hard time getting an ICU bed or a ventilator to a patient."
Cooper was trying to make a point that it’s important to protect hospitals from becoming overwhelmed. That’s a valid concern, given studies show mortality rates can rise when hospitals are overwhelmed. Some news articles have also alluded to these problems.
However, Cooper goes too far in saying some deaths have been attributed to a lack of ICU and ventilator access.
The American Hospital Association, along with experts who have tracked resource availability during the pandemic, say they’re unaware of any specific cases where someone died specifically because they couldn’t access a ventilator or ICU bed. Cooper didn't cite, and PolitiFact couldn't find, enough evidence to support the claim.
Cooper’s statement contains an element of truth, but doesn’t account for critical facts that would give a different impression. We rate it Mostly False.
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508 | Facebook posts | 2020-09-01 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
“This is what Kamala Harris thinks about young Americans … ‘They are stupid!’”
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-09-03 00:00:00 | true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/03/david-perdue/georgia-sen-perdues-record-preexisting-conditions-/ |
Georgia Sen. Perdue’s record on preexisting conditions doesn’t match his promises
|
Health insurance has emerged as a defining issue in the Georgia Senate race, and Republican incumbent Sen. David Perdue declared that there is one angle where he can’t be attacked.
"I’ve always believed in protections for Americans with preexisting conditions. Period," Perdue tweeted Aug. 18. "Anyone who says otherwise just isn’t telling the truth."
The campaign ad attached to the tweet adds, "Health insurance should always cover preexisting conditions. For anyone. Period."
That is a sweeping policy — guaranteed coverage for anyone, with no penalty for a preexisting condition.
If that’s Perdue’s position now, it doesn’t jibe with his record as a lawmaker.
He’s voted to repeal the Affordable Care Act — Obamacare — and a bill he cosponsored to guarantee coverage fails to match the ironclad protections under that law.
Comparing protections: Obamacare vs the Protect Act
Perdue makes no bones about opposing the ACA, which contains several interlocking provisions that protect people with preexisting conditions. He voted to repeal it in 2015 and backed the Senate’s failed repeal-and-replace effort in 2017.
Perdue’s campaign said that it’s possible to be against Obamacare, and in favor of patient protections. It said, "Perdue co-sponsored legislation to ensure preexisting conditions are covered at no additional cost to those patients."
That bill, called the Protect Act, never came to a vote in the Senate and doesn’t match the ACA’s guarantees.
The current law blocks insurers from using any eligibility rule, list of covered services or pricing to deny anyone coverage. The Protect Act does say that insurance companies can’t deny coverage based on "any preexisting condition." But it gives a carrier the option to deny certain coverage, if "it will not have the capacity to deliver services adequately." Since the bill doesn’t define what that clause means, it leaves open the possibility that carriers could use it to drop coverage of certain expensive diseases from all of their policies.
To Allison Hoffman, a law professor at the University of Pennsylvania, that’s a big loophole.
"Insurers could exclude someone’s preexisting conditions from coverage, even if they offered her a policy," Hoffman told us in 2018 when the bill was first introduced. "That fact alone sinks any claims that this law offers preexisting condition protection."
Rodney Whitlock, a health policy expert who worked for Republicans in Congress, told us concerns about loopholes are reasonable.
"Insurers will use the rules available to them to take in more in premiums than they pay out in claims," Whitlock said in 2018. "If you see a loophole and think insurers will use it, that’s probably true."
Hoffman notes that the Protect Act’s language against insurers discriminating based on genetic information also concerns her. The bill says carriers "shall not request, require, or purchase genetic information with respect to any individual prior to such individual's enrollment."
But the bill says information collected incidentally can be used by insurers. That could happen, for example, when an employee inadvertently reveals details on a questionnaire, despite being told not to include information that can be linked back to their DNA. Insurers can’t use that information for setting premiums, but Hoffman says it could shape the list of covered maladies.
"If an insurer comes across genetic information incidentally, it seems to me that they could exclude any related conditions," Hoffman warned. "This loophole could be huge considering the amount of incidental collection and how broadly it is construed."
The bill has other holes: for instance, permitting insurers to charge women more than men.
Perdue and short-term plans
Perdue’s stance on short-term health insurance plans also raises issues.
These plans offer limited coverage that’s intended to tide people over when they’re between jobs. They don’t need to follow the strict rules of the ACA. They don’t have to cover the package of essential benefits under the law and they can exclude coverage for preexisting conditions. Under the ACA, they were limited to 90 days’ coverage.
The Trump administration extended that to 364 days, with the option to renew them for up to three years.
Perdue voted against a 2018 resolution to oppose Trump’s expansion of short-term plans. The measure failed by one vote.
The Perdue campaign said that Obamacare isn’t the only way to take care of people.
"The best way to protect those with preexisting conditions, lower costs for all Georgians, and expand access to coverage is through free market solutions," the campaign said in a statement.
The campaign noted that many counties have only one insurance company offering coverage. It argues that if more companies found it profitable to move into those areas, competition would improve the options for consumers.
Our ruling
Perdue said that his policy is that "health insurance should always cover preexisting conditions. For anyone. Period."
Perdue opposes the Affordable Care Act and weighed in on the side of short-term health plans that lack some of the ACA’s strong protections for people with preexisting conditions. Perdue’s bill to maintain those protections contains loopholes that insurance companies could use to avoid covering certain conditions.
Perdue’s promise is sweeping and absolute. The policies he has backed offer some limited protections, but don’t match that promise.
We rate this claim False.
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511 | Facebook posts | 2020-09-17 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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Nick Freitas “supports a plan letting insurance companies deny coverage for preexisting conditions like asthma or diabetes.”
| Paul Specht | 2020-09-02 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/feb/23/students-trump/no-biden-executive-order-did-not-allow-china-acces/ |
No, Biden executive order did not allow China access to U.S. power grid
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During a devastating winter blackout in Texas, a conservative group linked the outage to President Joe Biden, claiming that one of his executive orders gave the Chinese Communist Party access to the U.S. power grid.
"Joe Biden is handing our power grid to the Chinese Communist Party," tweeted the conservative activist group Students for Trump on Feb. 16.
The post also includes a quote by the group’s CEO, Charlie Kirk, which reads: "While thousands of Americans are without power because of a faulty energy infrastructure, this is your daily reminder that Joe Biden rescinded a Trump executive order banning Chinese involvement in our power grid."
Other social media users were even more explicit about attributing the Texas outage to Biden’s order.
"Anyone else concerned that 3 weeks ago Joe Biden signed an Executive Order giving China access to the US power grid for 90 days & now Texas and Minneapolis have no power or heat?" reads a tweet.
These tweets refer to the executive order on climate change policy that Biden signed on Jan. 20, 2021.
Is it accurate to say that the order granted China access to the U.S. power grid? No.
Biden’s executive order suspended a directive issued by former President Donald Trump that aimed to limit the use of electrical equipment manufactured by foreign adversaries, like China. However, under Biden’s executive order, the prohibitions against installing foreign utilities in the U.S. power grid remain in place.
We reached out to Kirk through his organization Turning Point USA, but we didn’t receive a response.
Biden suspends Trump executive order
To secure the U.S. power grid from the threat of a cyberattack, Trump issued an executive order on May 1, 2020, called "Securing the United States Bulk-Power System." The order prohibited the use of electrical equipment "designed, developed, manufactured, or supplied, by persons owned by, controlled by, or subject to the jurisdiction or direction of" foreign entities such as China.
Under that order, Trump’s energy secretary, Dan Brouillette, issued a prohibition against U.S. utilities using Chinese electrical equipment.
After taking office in January 2021, Biden signed a flurry of executive orders rescinding Trump policies. One of them, dealing with climate change policy, suspended Trump’s May 1 order for 90 days.
During the 90-day suspension, the energy secretary and White House budget director are directed to take stock of Trump’s executive order and recommend whether to issue a replacement. (Biden’s nominee for budget director has not been confirmed.)
However, according to the Energy Department, the prohibitions on Chinese electrical equipment remain in place while the Trump order is reviewed.
"During this 90-day review period, Responsible Utilities will refrain from installation of bulk-power system electric equipment or programmable components… subject to foreign adversaries’ ownership, control, or influence," the agency wrote on an FAQ page on its website.
No evidence that Chinese interference caused Texas power outage
There is no evidence that Chinese interference shut down the Texas power grid, which is separate from the Eastern and Western grids that power every other state in the continental U.S.
Energy experts told us that many factors drove the outage, including a failure to winterize Texas’ energy infrastructure, despite years of warnings.
As a blast of Arctic air and wind battered the state, power plants not built to withstand the cold began to go offline just as freezing temperatures boosted demand for heating, said Sam Newell, an electricity expert at the Brattle Group, which has run detailed analyses of the Texas power grid.
As energy output dropped, the Electric Reliability Council of Texas, which manages the Texas power grid, imposed rolling blackouts, causing power outages for millions of Texans.
Our ruling
Students for Trump claimed, "Joe Biden is handing our power grid to the Chinese Communist Party."
Biden suspended part of a Trump order forbidding the use of Chinese electrical equipment in the U.S. power grid. However, the prohibitions remain in place.
There is no evidence that Chinese interference caused the Texas power outage.
We rate this False.
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512 | Facebook posts | 2020-09-14 00:00:00 | a TV ad.:
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“In some of these other states, some of their deaths can be attributable to the fact that they were having a hard time getting an ICU bed or a ventilator to a patient.”
| Jon Greenberg | 2020-09-02 00:00:00 | pants-fire | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/feb/23/sarah-godlewski/child-care-costs-are-high-godlewskis-stat-lacks-nu/ |
Child care costs are high, but Godlewski’s stat lacks nuance
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Access to affordable child care is one of many societal shortfalls exacerbated by the coronavirus pandemic.
For low-income parents in particular, quality center-based care can be financially out of reach, leading them to cobble together arrangements with family, friends and home-based options that may not guarantee needed safety and consistency. Even before COVID-19 further limited available options, a 2019 study found center-based child care is unaffordable for 63% of full-time working families.
Wisconsin State Treasurer Sarah Godlewski — a Democrat and potential 2022 U.S. Senate candidate — sought to highlight this crisis in a recent tweet.
"On average, 17% of a family’s income goes towards child care in Wisconsin," Godlewski wrote on Feb. 6, 2021. "That's ridiculous! Washington must provide financial relief to help struggling families with these ever-rising costs."
Her tweet included a chart showing Wisconsin ranked eighth-worst in the country by that metric according to an analysis by Lending Tree.
Godlewski is right that a crisis exists, but she’s a bit off in how she presents the numbers.
Let’s take a closer look.
Getting the details right
Godlewski cites Lending Tree as her source, which is somewhat less than an authority on the subject. The website is an online loan marketplace that like many other online vendors uses geography-based breakdowns like this to attract website visitors.
The group isn’t far off in their analysis, though.
Child Care Aware — a national advocacy organization pushing for quality, affordable child care — found the average monthly cost of full-time child care at a child care center is $996 per child in Wisconsin, which is equivalent to 18% of median household income for a family with children under 6.
Lending Tree cited a 17% figure for center-based care as a percentage of income using average income. Statisticians typically use median income rather than average to determine rates like this, so outliers such the highest income earners don’t skew the calculation.
But there are several key caveats in the Child Care Aware stat (and the similar Lending Tree one) that Godlewski’s wording disregards.
The cost is per child, not per family.
The cost refers to full-time, center-based care. Many families use home-based care options or friends and family, or use a combination of those options and center-based care.
The percentage comparing child care cost and income is an equivalency, rather than an average as Godlewski frames it.
The third point takes a bit more explanation. Imagine two families who each had one child. If one used relatives for child care and had no cost, and the other used full-time, center-based care and paid 34% of their income for that, the two families would average a cost of 17%. That’s the picture painted by Godlewski’s phrasing, that the average cost among families with children is 17%. But that’s incorrect.
That figure is only accurate when referring to the group of families that have exactly one child under 6 in child care, with that child attending full-time in a center-based setting. And that’s not a typical child care situation. Only about 24% of children under 6 were in center-based child care full time in 2019, said Sarah Grady, study director of the National Household Education Survey, a federal program administered by the National Center for Education Statistics.
In actuality, that stat (18%, according to Child Care Aware) is simply an equivalence. It is stating that the cost of putting one child in a full-time, center-based care is equivalent to 18% of the typical income for a family with children in that age range.
We should also note that the cost relative to income predictably changes drastically based on the number of parents and children involved. For example, Child Care Aware says the full-time center-based care option would be equal to 37% of median household income for a single-parent family with one child under 6.
How many parents pay for child care
Godlewski’s core point is about families paying for child care, so here’s what we know on that point. You can look at this statistic in terms of children or in terms of families.
On a per-child basis, about 40% of children 5 and under were in at least one out-of-home child care arrangement that parents paid for nationwide, according to the latest data from the National Household Education Survey. That includes those that pay for just a portion of a week and use any type of paid child care, not just licensed centers.
In terms of working families, the Center for American Progress, a liberal public policy research and advocacy organization, estimates 55% of working families pay for some portion of child care. Again, that includes those that pay for just a portion of a week.
Predictably, higher-income families are more likely to use licensed child care centers, the Center for American Progress found, again limiting the usefulness of the average family metric Godlewski invoked. Among the 20% of families with the highest income, 66% used licensed child care; but only 33% of families whose income was in the bottom 20%.
Our ruling
Criticizing the high cost of child care in Wisconsin, Godlewski claimed, "On average, 17% of a family’s income goes towards child care in Wisconsin."
She’s right that child care costs can be a financially impossible burden for many families. But her stat misses on several points.
That figure isn’t an average, it simply compares the price of full-time, center-based child care to the typical family income, expressing that ratio as a percentage. This number only holds true for a family with one child who has that child in full-time center-based care, which is far from a typical situation. Many families use a combination of options, or pay for home-based care.
And this phrasing actually drastically understates the cost for a single-parent family or a family with multiple children using center-based care.
We define Half True as a statement that is partially accurate but leaves out important details or takes things out of context. That fits here.
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513 | Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee | 2020-08-26 00:00:00 | a press conference:
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Says his policy is that “health insurance should always cover preexisting conditions. For anyone. Period.”
| Samantha Putterman | 2021-02-23 00:00:00 | half-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/feb/23/viral-image/looking-why-coal-powered-closed-texas/ |
Looking at why a coal-powered closed in Texas
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Power outages in Texas left many residents without heat and electricity during recent ice and snow storms. Some conservative politicians blamed the outages on frozen wind turbines when, in reality, energy officials said the primary cause appeared to be failures across the state’s natural gas operations.
An image spreading on social media during the storms suggested that renewable energy deprived half a million homes of power by causing the shutdown of a coal-powered plant.
"Monticello power plant just outside of Pittsburg TX has been closed since 2018 because of renewable energy," the post says. "She alone can produce enough reliable power for over 500,000 homes. How is that green energy working out for y’all?"
This post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
The Monticello plant near Pittsburg, Texas — about two hours east of Dallas — once had an operating capacity of 1,880 megawatts, which is enough to power as many as about 940,000 homes depending on conditions. But it has been offline since January 2018. Luminant, the state’s largest electricity generator, announced in October 2017 that it was retiring the plant.
In a statement, the president of Luminant’s parent company, Vistra, said "the market’s unprecedented low power price environment has profoundly impacted its operating revenues and no longer supports continued investment."
Before the plant could go offline, the state’s main grid operator, the Electric Reliability Council of Texas, had to ensure that it wasn’t needed to supply reliable power to consumers.
Monticello was one of the state’s largest coal-powered plants, and the Houston Chronicle described it at the time as one in "a string of coal plant closures nationwide as a glut of cheap natural gas and continued advances in solar and wind energy technology continue to depress wholesale power prices."
We reached out to Vistra about the post. Meranda Cohn, a spokesperson for the company, told PolitiFact that when it announced the retirement of Monticello and two other plants, Vistra said it was because the plants were "economically challenged" in a competitive market.
"Sustained low wholesale power prices, an oversupplied renewable generation market, and low natural gas prices, along with other factors, have contributed to the decision," she said.
Back in 2017, another Vistra spokesperson told the Dallas Morning News that the decision was "purely economic … this is a coal plant operating in a market that’s flooded with cheap natural gas."
Kenneth Medlock, Center for Energy Studies senior director at the Baker Institute for Public Policy at Rice University, confirmed that renewables have put pressure on coal, but he said "they are definitely not the sole driver of coal closures."
"Coal is largely being displaced by low-cost natural gas," Medlock said in an email. "This is just a matter of data, where one can tangibly see the effect of very cheap natural gas on power generation across the U.S., not just in Texas."
The price of power in the wholesale market in Texas is set by the price of natural gas, said Bruce Bullock, director of the Maguire Energy Institute at Southern Methodist University. Cheap natural gas plus the rapid growth of wind energy in Texas "essentially made coal uneconomic."
Our ruling
The image that’s being shared on social media claims that the Monticello power plant closed because of renewable energy.
Renewable energy contributed to the plant’s demise but so did other factors. Namely: cheap natural gas.
The statement contains an element of truth but ignores critical facts that would give a different impression. We rate it Mostly False.
| Energy,Texas,Facebook Fact-checks,Viral image | [128000, 198, 15335, 704, 1154, 304, 8421, 2163, 1690, 11062, 2085, 8798, 323, 18200, 2391, 3293, 10054, 323, 12056, 44583, 13, 4427, 15692, 19287, 36197, 279, 704, 1154, 389, 20268, 10160, 76775, 994, 11, 304, 8903, 11, 4907, 7510, 1071, 279, 6156, 5353, 9922, 311, 387, 28950, 4028, 279, 1614, 753, 5933, 6962, 7677, 13, 52050, 2127, 2217, 31135, 389, 3674, 3772, 2391, 279, 44583, 12090, 430, 33268, 4907, 62683, 4376, 264, 3610, 10632, 315, 2410, 555, 14718, 279, 24700, 315, 264, 11756, 41503, 6136, 13, 52050, 1, 35515, 292, 4896, 2410, 6136, 1120, 4994, 315, 21823, 91201, 17467, 706, 1027, 8036, 2533, 220, 679, 23, 1606, 315, 33268, 4907, 1359, 279, 1772, 2795, 13, 330, 8100, 7636, 649, 8356, 3403, 15062, 2410, 369, 927, 220, 2636, 11, 931, 10632, 13, 2650, 374, 430, 6307, 4907, 3318, 704, 369, 379, 92748, 48469, 2028, 1772, 574, 62309, 439, 961, 315, 5690, 753, 9045, 311, 12896, 905, 3754, 323, 75159, 389, 1202, 5513, 29970, 13, 320, 4518, 810, 922, 1057, 15664, 449, 5690, 29275, 791, 9995, 292, 4896, 6136, 3221, 21823, 91201, 11, 8421, 2001, 4194, 9274, 1403, 4207, 11226, 315, 19051, 2001, 4194, 13486, 1047, 459, 10565, 8824, 315, 220, 16, 11, 19272, 19262, 675, 21658, 11, 902, 374, 3403, 311, 2410, 439, 1690, 439, 922, 220, 21251, 11, 931, 10632, 11911, 389, 4787, 13, 2030, 433, 706, 1027, 27258, 2533, 6186, 220, 679, 23, 13, 445, 10318, 519, 11, 279, 1614, 753, 7928, 18200, 14143, 11, 7376, 304, 6664, 220, 679, 22, 430, 433, 574, 60873, 279, 6136, 627, 644, 264, 5224, 11, 279, 4872, 315, 445, 10318, 519, 753, 2748, 2883, 11, 650, 76063, 11, 1071, 330, 1820, 3157, 753, 31069, 3428, 2410, 3430, 4676, 706, 66278, 40028, 1202, 10565, 30466, 323, 912, 5129, 11815, 8738, 9341, 10246, 10438, 279, 6136, 1436, 733, 27258, 11, 279, 1614, 753, 1925, 5950, 5793, 11, 279, 21246, 6649, 79443, 9251, 315, 8421, 11, 1047, 311, 6106, 430, 433, 5828, 1431, 4460, 311, 8312, 15062, 2410, 311, 13723, 627, 35515, 292, 4896, 574, 832, 315, 279, 1614, 753, 7928, 11756, 41503, 11012, 11, 323, 279, 16386, 42159, 7633, 433, 520, 279, 892, 439, 832, 304, 330, 64, 925, 315, 11756, 6136, 61000, 29054, 439, 264, 35169, 315, 12136, 5933, 6962, 323, 8738, 31003, 304, 13238, 323, 10160, 4907, 5557, 3136, 311, 39300, 35557, 2410, 7729, 10246, 1687, 8813, 704, 311, 650, 76063, 922, 279, 1772, 13, 8930, 10018, 356, 3180, 11, 264, 29003, 369, 279, 2883, 11, 3309, 3735, 12583, 17873, 430, 994, 433, 7376, 279, 21624, 315, 9995, 292, 4896, 323, 1403, 1023, 11012, 11, 650, 76063, 1071, 433, 574, 1606, 279, 11012, 1051, 330, 68, 45317, 2740, 29991, 1, 304, 264, 15022, 3157, 13, 126595, 67410, 592, 2692, 3428, 35557, 2410, 7729, 11, 459, 17918, 455, 3523, 33268, 9659, 3157, 11, 323, 3428, 5933, 6962, 7729, 11, 3235, 449, 1023, 9547, 11, 617, 20162, 311, 279, 5597, 1359, 1364, 1071, 627, 3792, 304, 220, 679, 22, 11, 2500, 650, 76063, 29003, 3309, 279, 19051, 29084, 5513, 430, 279, 5597, 574, 330, 52833, 398, 7100, 4696, 420, 374, 264, 11756, 6136, 10565, 304, 264, 3157, 430, 753, 49886, 449, 12136, 5933, 6962, 1210, 122019, 89734, 774, 3344, 1039, 11, 5955, 369, 12634, 19241, 10195, 7690, 520, 279, 29492, 10181, 369, 3142, 11216, 520, 30616, 3907, 11, 11007, 430, 89085, 617, 2231, 7410, 389, 11756, 11, 719, 568, 1071, 330, 20670, 527, 8659, 539, 279, 13612, 5696, 315, 11756, 61000, 1210, 52050, 1, 96773, 374, 14090, 1694, 49246, 555, 3428, 41238, 5933, 6962, 1359, 3344, 1039, 1071, 304, 459, 2613, 13, 330, 2028, 374, 1120, 264, 5030, 315, 828, 11, 1405, 832, 649, 22636, 6623, 1518, 279, 2515, 315, 1633, 12136, 5933, 6962, 389, 2410, 9659, 4028, 279, 549, 815, 2637, 539, 1120, 304, 8421, 10246, 791, 3430, 315, 2410, 304, 279, 35557, 3157, 304, 8421, 374, 743, 555, 279, 3430, 315, 5933, 6962, 11, 1071, 24785, 13805, 1039, 11, 7690, 315, 279, 7023, 52750, 12634, 10181, 520, 16642, 68601, 3907, 13, 37034, 5933, 6962, 5636, 279, 11295, 6650, 315, 10160, 4907, 304, 8421, 330, 434, 31668, 1903, 11756, 6316, 32107, 1210, 52050, 8140, 17864, 52050, 791, 2217, 430, 753, 1694, 6222, 389, 3674, 3772, 8349, 430, 279, 9995, 292, 4896, 2410, 6136, 8036, 1606, 315, 33268, 4907, 13, 52050, 35725, 365, 481, 4907, 20162, 311, 279, 6136, 753, 58964, 719, 779, 1550, 1023, 9547, 13, 31074, 989, 25, 12136, 5933, 6962, 13, 52050, 791, 5224, 5727, 459, 2449, 315, 8206, 719, 49378, 9200, 13363, 430, 1053, 3041, 264, 2204, 21455, 13, 1226, 4478, 433, 64285, 3641, 627, 52050] | 600 |
515 | David Perdue | 2020-08-18 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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“PELOSI says if President TRUMP wins, she will resign!!”
| Eric Litke | 2021-02-23 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/feb/23/ron-desantis/desantis-advances-questionable-link-between-lockdo/ |
Ron DeSantis advances questionable link between lockdowns and despair
|
For months, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has boasted about his state’s "open for business" strategy in dealing with COVID-19 and how it’s working better than so-called lockdown states.
Unlike in some other states, all Florida public schools are open for in-person learning, restaurants and bars have few restrictions, and the state has barred local governments from penalizing individuals for not wearing a mask in public.
In a recent rant against social network companies such as Facebook and Twitter, DeSantis suggested that states that had instituted heavy restrictions on residents experienced severe repercussions for residents without reducing the number of COVID-19 deaths.
"Lockdowns at the time of the pandemic were favored by the, quote, ‘narrative’ and so, in the name of, quote, ‘science,’ articles and posts warning against lockdowns were taken down and censored," said DeSantis. "The result has been the destruction of millions of lives across America, as well as increased deaths from suicide, substance abuse and despair, without any corresponding benefit in COVID mortality."
We wondered whether that was true. Have state restrictions done such significant harm without providing any boost in the fight against COVID-19 deaths? So we dug in.
Locking in on lockdowns
To reduce the spread of the coronavirus, states have enacted — and then sometimes relaxed or lifted — various restrictions, including mask mandates, limits on restaurant capacity, stay-at-home orders and bans on large gatherings.
DeSantis, a Republican, has bristled at such statewide orders, even resisting pleas from local officials in Florida and criticizing other jurisdictions for implementing them. He has consistently questioned their effectiveness. Late last year, for instance, he claimed that states with lockdowns had COVID-19 transmission rates twice as high as Florida’s. We rated that Half True.
We asked DeSantis’ office for any evidence supporting his more recent claim. The response reveals a mixed bag of information.
Check the data: Did Florida’s path lead to less ‘despair’?
To support the governor’s claim that other states have seen higher numbers of deaths from suicide, substance abuse and despair than Florida has during the pandemic, DeSantis’ office sent information from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention showing "all cause" mortality rates increased slower in Florida in 2020 — coinciding with the pandemic’s first months through June 3 — over 2019 rates than in California and New York — two states that have opted for more regulations on public gatherings and mask-wearing. DeSantis’ analysis showed Florida’s rate rose 15% compared with 16% in California and 29% in New York.
But the "all causes" category goes far beyond deaths associated with suicide and drug abuse. It includes deaths from cancer, heart disease, lung disease and dementia, for example.
DeSantis’ office did not provide any data showing how rates of suicide and drug abuse in Florida compared with those in so-called lockdown states. It sent us a Miami Herald article that said in Florida, according to preliminary medical examiners’ statistics, 2,975 people died by suicide in 2020, down 13% from the previous year. But the article did not have nationwide data or figures from California or New York.
Concerning overdose deaths, DeSantis’ office did not provide specific information. However, health experts said the pandemic likely did increase opioid overdoses. But the latest, provisional CDC data on drug overdose deaths shows Florida’s numbers rising faster than the national average.
Comparing the 12-month period ending in June 2020, the period of time for which data is available, to the prior 12 months, Florida had a 34% increase in the rate of overdose deaths compared with a 20% national average among states. California had a 23% increase and New York had an 18% increase.
Meanwhile, federal suicide data reflecting the months in which the pandemic has transpired will not likely be available until 2022. Experts say that anecdotal evidence suggests a possible uptick in suicide rates during the pandemic. In addition, an online tool offered by the nonprofit Mental Health America to help screen for mental health issues showed a slight increase last year in people having suicidal thoughts.
Nonetheless, Paul Gionfriddo, the group’s CEO, said he knows of no studies showing that so-called lockdown states have higher rates of suicide than those with fewer restrictions.
Gionfriddo said DeSantis may think he is mitigating the harmful effects of loneliness by not limiting public gatherings. But loneliness is not the only reason people cite in considering suicide, he said. Grief, financial insecurity and other factors also play a role, he said.
John Auerbach, president and CEO of Trust for America’s Health, a nonprofit think tank, said it’s difficult to pinpoint the psychological impact of restrictions to reduce infection because rules vary by state and within states, and such regulations have been imposed and lifted at different times.
Auerbach said he knows of no evidence that links states’ COVID-19 restrictions to suicides or drug overdose deaths.
"There are many contributing factors to suicide and drug overdoses," he said. The pandemic itself is having the biggest effect on heightening people’s risk of dying from suicide and drug abuse — not the states’ different approaches to prevent the transmission of infection, he added.
"It is the underlying pandemic that is at the root of increased risks," Auerbach said.
Factoring in COVID-19 mortality rates
DeSantis also argued that statewide restrictions did not bring any corresponding benefit in limiting COVID-19 mortality.
We asked his office for evidence. They again pointed to the CDC increase in "all cause" mortality data that showed California’s rate was slightly higher than Florida’s. But those statistics cover all causes of death, and people are still dying of diseases and conditions besides COVID-19.
We then consulted three epidemiologists to get their take. They all said the governor was playing loose with the facts. They stressed varying factors that affect states’ mortality rates — from the weather to socioeconomic indicators to access to health services.
The epidemiologists pointed to the latest CDC data, which indicated that Florida’s COVID-19 mortality rate is higher than California’s and seemed to undercut DeSantis’ position that lockdowns have only hurt states.
As of Feb. 22, Florida ranked 28th in COVID-19 death rates while California ranked 33rd, according to the latest CDC data, as compiled by Statista.
"That would bolster the argument that restrictions are one factor involved in lowering death rates," said Nicole Gatto, an associate professor of public health at Claremont Graduate University in California.
Numerous others also have an effect, Gatto said, so it is impossible to compare states using current data based on their strategies.
"I do think it is an oversimplification to make the assertion that the governor did without further study of the numerous variables involved, characteristics of the population, timing of interventions and the limitations of the data," she said.
Our ruling
DeSantis said lockdown states have seen "increased deaths from suicide, substance abuse and despair without any corresponding benefit in COVID mortality."
The pandemic certainly has caused anxiety and distress across the country and state and local restrictions designed to tamp down on the coronavirus’s spread have also affected people’s financial and emotional wellbeing. But currently, no clear data supports DeSantis’ strongly worded claim. Researchers agreed that more research is necessary before such broad conclusions could be drawn. In addition, experts said that COVID-19 death rates vary by state and numerous factors beyond state strategies to combat the virus affect this metric.
We rate the statement Mostly False.
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517 | Facebook posts | 2020-07-30 00:00:00 | a tweet:
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“Monticello power plant just outside of Pittsburg TX has been closed since 2018 because of renewable energy.”
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-12-14 00:00:00 | pants-fire | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/dec/14/david-perdue/jon-ossoff-isnt-total-amnesty-backs-lockdown-only-/ |
Jon Ossoff isn’t for ‘total’ amnesty, backs a lockdown only if sought by experts
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Republican Sen. David Perdue has taken to characterizing his opponent in the Georgia runoff as being extreme.
During a Dec. 7 interview with talk show host Sean Spicer, President Donald Trump’s former press secretary, Perdue said that he strategically skipped a debate with Democrat Jon Ossoff the night before because he was "letting this guy talk."
Then Perdue made a claim about Ossoff’s platform on two different policies — and exaggerates them both.
"We witnessed last night something I didn’t think we’d ever see, and that is a debate participant lose a debate with himself," Perdue said. "I mean, the more he talked, the more we could see he had no preparation. If you look at what he was talking about, he had no idea what to do with COVID. He wants total, blanket amnesty, and he wants a total lockdown."
The outcome of that contest — along with another Jan. 5 Georgia runoff between GOP Sen. Kelly Loeffler and Democrat Raphael Warnoff — will determine whether control of the Senate remains with the GOP or shifts to the Democrats.
Perdue’s campaign manager also claimed that Ossoff took the seemingly unrelated policy positions — amnesty, for illegal immigration, and a lockdown, for the pandemic. And Perdue later repeated his claim in a radio interview.
Ossoff backs a path to legal status, not "blanket" amnesty, for immigrants living in the United States illegally. He isn’t seeking a lockdown to respond to COVID-19, but indicated he would support one if public health experts recommend it.
No evidence Ossoff favors "total" amnesty
Perdue’s campaign did not respond to our request for information for this fact-check, but it’s clear his reference to amnesty regards illegal immigration.
Some view amnesty as permission for immigrants living in the country illegally to simply remain in the United States. The idea of "blanket amnesty" suggests a formal, legal act, in which the government pardons a group for violating immigration policies and allows them to obtain permanent residency.
There is no evidence Ossoff supports that approach.
Others view amnesty as any measure that is favorable to any immigrants living here illegally, even if it includes a list of tough measures they have to meet. Indeed, there can be various forms of it. The Immigration Reform and Control Act of 1986, signed by Republican President Ronald Reagan, paved the way for immigrants who were in the country illegally to become lawful permanent residents if they met certain requirements.
Ossoff says he wants to provide a pathway for immigrants living in the United States illegally to gain a legal status, not for merely granting them legal status without conditions or requirements.
The immigration section of Ossoff’s campaign website says he will "support an immigration policy that strengthens our borders, puts American workers first, respects human rights, and creates a path to legal status for undocumented immigrants who are already here and otherwise follow the law, especially those brought here as children."
In the debate, Ossoff was asked what he would do for immigrants who are living in a "gray area" in the United States. Ossoff reiterated the stance on his campaign website.
Ossoff’s campaign told us Ossoff has not put out further details on how a person would reach legal immigration status.
Advocates for targeted shelter-in-place orders
Ossoff has indicated he would back a lockdown to respond to COVID-19 if public health officials deemed one necessary.
Ossoff’s COVID-19 policy emphasizes providing more health care resources and "emergency cash" to individuals and businesses, but it also calls for "strong distancing policies now, not later, including shelter-in-place orders where necessary."
In the debate, Ossoff was asked by Atlanta Journal-Constitution reporter Greg Bluestein what the federal government should do to contain the virus and if he would endorse a new lockdown if public health experts supported one.
Ossoff said he would listen to the federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and public health experts. Pressed by Bluestein about a lockdown, Ossoff said: "I will listen to the public health experts, and if they recommend that more aggressive mitigation measures are necessary to save lives, it would be foolish for politicians to ignore their advice."
Ossoff made similar remarks a week earlier in a CNN interview.
Asked if he would support harsher restrictions in Georgia, such as closing restaurants and businesses temporarily, Ossoff said "I think we should follow the expertise of public health experts," including the CDC, "and if that is the consensus of the public health community, we need to take that advice very seriously."
Anchor Dana Bash followed up asking: "So, if they said shut things down temporarily, you would be all for it?"
Ossoff replied: "If the CDC and its leadership gave a strong indication that those kinds of stronger mitigation measures are necessary to save lives and contain the spread of the virus, it would be malpractice for politicians to ignore that advice."
Our ruling
Perdue said Ossoff "wants total, blanket amnesty and he wants a total lockdown."
Ossoff backs a path to legal status for immigrants in the country illegally who meet a set of requirements, not a blanket amnesty without conditions. He is not seeking a lockdown to respond to COVID-19, but would support one if public health experts recommend it
We rate Perdue’s statement Mostly False.
This fact check is available at IFCN’s 2020 US Elections FactChat #Chatbot on WhatsApp. Click here, for more.
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518 | Facebook posts | 2020-09-01 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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“Heidi Cruz, Ted’s wife, is managing director of Goldman Sachs. They oversee the Texas utilities.”
| Phil Galewitz | 2020-12-14 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/dec/11/facebook-posts/chart-showing-deadliest-days-american-history-cont/ |
Chart showing “deadliest days in American history” contains some errors
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There’s no question the COVID-19 pandemic is one of the deadliest events modern Americans have ever grappled with.
But how its death toll compares with other tragedies and natural disasters is being misconstrued in a social media post that purports to list and rank the "deadliest days in American history."
The graphic shows that four of the eight deadliest days since the country’s founding took place between Dec. 2 and Dec. 7, 2020. The image places daily COVID-19 deaths from those days alongside death tolls from the Galveston Hurricane, the battle of Antietam, Pearl Harbor and the 9/11 terrorist attacks.
This post, which was forwarded to us by a reader, was also flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
Most of the figures cited are accurate and the general thrust of the claim is valid: The pandemic has produced staggeringly high daily death counts that reached 3,411 on Dec. 9 — a high that came after the image was created. Families have relayed haunting stories of heartbreak as their loved ones have died in isolation without the comfort of family members close by.
However, the post contains some problems: It does not take into account daily deaths not linked to a specific cause, and it omits some historical events that resulted in greater numbers of fatalities.
Image doesn’t actually show "deadliest days"
Although the image purports to be a list of the "deadliest days in American history," it only lists fatalities related to specific mass-fatality events. It leaves out the number of deaths from all causes.
For example, the list cites Dec. 4, 2020, as having a death toll of 2,861.
It’s true that 2,861 people were reported on that day to have died of COVID-19, according to the CDC’s Data Tracker. This number doesn’t include any of the people who died from causes besides COVID-19, such as murder, heart attacks or cancer.
In 2017, an average of 7,708 deaths occurred each day, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Other historical events omitted from the chart
The list doesn’t provide an accurate list of the top eight deadliest days in American history.
Perhaps the most notable omission from the list is also the most directly analogous to the COVID-19 pandemic. The 1918 flu pandemic savaged the United States between Sept. 1 and Dec. 31, 1918, killing an estimated 381,019 people in those four months alone. That’s an average of around 3,123 people per day.
Other notable mass fatality events left out of the chart include:
The Battle of Gettysburg, where an estimated 10,000 soldiers were either mortally wounded or killed over three days of fighting.
The San Francisco earthquake of 1906, which killed 3,400 people according to an official fatality count conducted by archivist Gladys Hansen.
The San Ciriaco hurricane, which killed 3,369 people in Puerto Rico on Aug. 8, 1899.
The Lake Okeechobee hurricane, which killed an estimated 2,500-3,000 people on Sept. 16, 1928.
And while the chart seems to focus on events that have claimed lives on U.S. soil, it does not explicitly say that. The D-Day invasion during World War II claimed the lives of 2,501 Americans, according to the National D-Day Memorial Foundation.
Liz Skilton, an associate professor of history at the University of Louisiana at Lafayette, who specializes in natural disasters, disapproved of the way the image compared different types of disastrous events by placing them side by side.
"Different types of disasters rarely ever can be compared directly as there are different sets of hazards and reactions to these hazards that influence the outcome of events," she said. "This is not to say disasters cannot be compared at all, it just means that making direct comparisons between them in an oversimplified way is damaging to our understanding of their impact and could even harm our ability to react to these incidents appropriately."
The chart gets some things right
All that said, the numbers that the chart does rely on are generally accurate.
The Battle of Antietam resulted in about 3,600 deaths, and the attack on Pearl Harbor resulted in about 2,400 deaths according to the National Park Service.
The Galveston Hurricane of 1900 killed an estimated 8,000 to 12,000 people, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
The 9/11 attacks killed an estimated 3,000 people according to the 9/11 Commission Report.
The COVID-19 deaths in the chart are taken directly from the CDC’s Data Tracker.
Our ruling
A viral image claims that the COVID-19 pandemic has caused 4 of the 8 "deadliest days in American history."
The image omits some historical events and only lists fatalities linked to specific causes.
However, the broad claim of the image is accurate: the COVID-19 pandemic has seen daily death totals that have surpassed those of events memorialized as national tragedies, including Pearl Harbor and 9/11.
We rate this image Half True.
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520 | Viral image | 2021-02-17 00:00:00 | a press conference:
|
Says Jon Ossoff "wants total, blanket amnesty and he wants a total lockdown."
| Tom Kertscher | 2020-12-11 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/dec/11/facebook-posts/chart-comparing-2020-us-death-toll-previous-years-/ |
Chart comparing 2020 US death toll with previous years is flawed, uses incomplete data
|
Posts on social media are attempting to downplay the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic using a chart that shows that the 2020 U.S. death toll hasn’t changed much from previous years.
The chart, titled "US deaths per year," displays figures comparing deaths in the country for the last five years, ranging from just over 2.7 million in 2015 to 2.9 million in 2019. It says the toll for 2020, as of Nov. 16, is "2,487,350." Some versions also include a whole-year projection of 2,818,527.
"People died before Covid. Amazingly the death rate hasn’t changed. How can that be with such a deadly virus????" one user wrote.
But the comparison is flawed for a few reasons. The 2020 statistics cited are not the final figures, and the Centers of Disease Control and Prevention has estimated that hundreds of thousands of excess American deaths are attributed to the virus this year. Lastly, it ignores that COVID-19 has killed over 290,000 Americans to-date, the highest virus death toll in the world.
The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
The numbers listed from 2015 through 2018 are legitimate and come from the CDC. The health agency reported 2,712,630 deaths in the U.S. in 2015, 2,744,248 in 2016, 2,813,503 in 2017, and 2,839,205 in 2018.
While the final numbers for 2019 have not been released, the CDC’s provisional count for the year — 2,855,000 — comes close to the chart’s 2,900,689 figure, though it’s not clear how they reached the number.
The chart’s 2,487,350 figure leading up to the week of Nov. 16, 2020, reflects CDC data, but it’s not a complete depiction of how many Americans died in 2020.
Not only does the figure not account for the final six weeks of the year, it doesn’t represent the first few weeks, either. The weekly provisional deaths table doesn’t begin until the week ending Feb. 1, 2020. What’s more, these numbers are continuously updated due to reporting lags, which the CDC says can range from one week to eight weeks or more, depending on the jurisdiction and cause of death.
The provisional tally for the year, as of Dec. 11, has already gone up to 2,728,104.
Meanwhile, in another report, the CDC estimated that COVID-19 has caused almost 200,000 excess deaths in the U.S. from late January through early October. Excess deaths are defined in the report as the number of persons who have died from all causes, in excess of the expected number of deaths for a given place and time.
"Overall, an estimated 299,028 excess deaths occurred from late January through October 3, 2020, with 198,081 (66%) excess deaths attributed to COVID-19," the agency reported.
Lauren Rossen, a data scientist with CDC’s National Center for Health Statistics, told PolitiFact that the numbers of deaths in 2020 are "without a question NOT on par with previous years" and that claims that the numbers are equivalent are based on misinterpretations and misuse of the available data.
Since we don’t have all the data for 2020, Rossen said a more accurate analysis would need to involve comparing the number of deaths that occurred in the first 44 weeks, or so, of the year with the number of deaths that occurred over those same weeks in previous years.
"Looking at the number of deaths each year through week 44 (the most recent weeks are incomplete in 2020 due to the length of time it takes to receive and tabulate death certificates), we can see the totals over the same time periods each year. There have been nearly 317,000 more deaths in 2020 than in the same time period of 2019," Rossen said.
Our ruling
A chart circulating online claims to demonstrate that the annual U.S. death toll has not changed significantly in 2020 amid COVID-19.
This is wrong and ignores that the virus has killed more than 290,000 Americans to-date, the most in any country in the world.
The data used for 2019 is not final and the figures presented for 2020 are incomplete. Other CDC data also refutes the claim’s premise, with an estimation of hundreds of thousands of excess American deaths attributed to the virus this year.
False.
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522 | Ron DeSantis | 2021-02-02 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
“FDA announces 2 deaths of Pfizer vaccine trial participants from ‘serious adverse events.’”
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-09-17 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/17/joe-biden/joe-biden-says-under-donald-trump-irans-uranium-st/ |
Joe Biden says under Donald Trump, Iran’s uranium stockpile has grown tenfold. It has.
|
In an op-ed on CNN’s website, Democratic nominee Joe Biden said the threat of Iran’s nuclear capability has worsened under President Donald Trump.
During the 2016 campaign, Trump promised to renegotiate the 2015 agreement that rolled back Iran’s nuclear program. He pulled the United States out of the multinational pact in 2018. With no headway since, we found he had broken his campaign promise.
"This past month has proven that Trump's Iran policy is a dangerous failure," Biden wrote Sept. 13. "Trump tried to unilaterally reimpose U.N. sanctions on Iran, only to have virtually all the U.N. Security Council members unite to reject his gambit. Now there are reports that Iran has stockpiled 10 times as much enriched uranium as it had when President Barack Obama and I left office."
Biden’s stat on Iran’s enriched uranium is accurate.
Under the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, Iran was limited to 202.8 kilograms of uranium enriched to 3.67%. (Attentive readers will see that the agreement specified 300 kilograms of uranium hexafluoride, but that’s equivalent to 202.8 kilograms of U-235.)
The 2015 deal opened Iran to regular international inspections, and until the U.S. withdrew — and for many months afterwards — Iran stuck to the terms. Biden compared today to where things stood when he left office. The International Atomic Energy Agency reported November 2016 that Iran had not exceeded the capped amount.
But last year, Iran announced it would start breaching the limit on enriched uranium.
The International Atomic Energy Agency reported in September that Iran now has a bit over 2,105 kilograms of enriched uranium. That’s more than 10 times the limit in the agreement.
Not only does Iran have more uranium than it should under the agreement, the uranium is more concentrated than what was allowed. About 90% of the total uranium is enriched beyond the 3.67% limit to 4.5%.
The numbers speak for themselves. Less clear is their meaning.
Weapon-grade uranium has to be concentrated to about 90% purity. In June, weapons experts estimated that if Iran wanted, it could produce enough material for a bomb in three to six months. Kelsey Davenport with the Arms Control Association said Iran would need additional time before it could turn that uranium into a viable weapon.
"Iran would still need to convert the material and weaponize it, a process that would likely take more than a year," Davenport said.
She also noted that Iran has not sped up the pace of enriching uranium, or pushed enrichment to the 20% level it had before the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. That suggests, she said, that Iran is using its stockpile as leverage in future negotiations.
The situation is serious, Davenport said, but still manageable.
Our ruling
Biden said that Iran has 10 times as much enriched uranium as when he left office in 2016.
Iran went from having no more than 202.8 kilograms of enriched uranium to 2,105 kilograms, which is more than a tenfold increase.
We rate this claim True.
This fact check is available at IFCN’s 2020 US Elections FactChat #Chatbot on WhatsApp. Click here, for more.
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523 | David Perdue | 2020-12-07 00:00:00 | a blog post:
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The number of people who have died in the U.S. in 2020 is on par with years prior to COVID-19.
| Samantha Putterman | 2020-09-17 00:00:00 | true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/17/michael-caputo/fact-checking-trump-health-aides-unproven-hit-squa/ |
Fact-checking Trump health aide’s unproven ‘hit squads’ claim from controversial Facebook video
|
The top communications official at the Department of Health and Human Services ran through a series of baseless conspiracy theories in a Facebook Live video, accusing government health officials of "sedition" and warning of a post-election insurrection by left-wing "hit squads."
The broadcast from Michael Caputo, who President Donald Trump appointed in April as the department’s assistant secretary of public affairs, was first reported by the New York Times.
Caputo, a former Trump campaign official, warned without evidence that "there are hit squads being trained all over this country" to violently oppose a second Trump term, according to the New York Times. He predicted that Trump would win a contested election, sparking chaos.
"And when Donald Trump refuses to stand down at the inauguration, the shooting will begin," he said, according to the report. "The drills that you’ve seen are nothing."
Caputo told gun owners to "buy ammunition, ladies and gentlemen, because it’s going to be hard to get." He also leveled unsubstantiated accusations against scientists at the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and said his own "mental health has definitely failed."
Caputo has since shut down his personal Facebook account, but he related what he said in the video to several news outlets, and Yahoo News released snippets of the livestream. Caputo apologized to colleagues for his remarks in an emergency staff meeting, according to reports.
On Sept. 16, HHS announced he would be taking a 60-day leave of absence.
Caputo already was facing criticism after Politico and others reported that he and an aide had pressured the CDC to let them review and revise weekly scientific reports in order to portray the Trump administration’s coronavirus response more positively.
As for his comment about left-wing hit squads? Experts who closely follow domestic terrorism and extremist groups said there’s no evidence that left-wing groups are "being trained" or organizing underground to stage the type of armed revolt that Caputo described.
"I would just file this under the latest outlandish, unproven argument about left-wing violence that is ultimately aimed to serve the Trump 2020 campaign," said Mark Bray, a historian and part-time lecturer at Rutgers University.
What groups is Caputo referring to?
Caputo and HHS did not respond to requests for comment, nor did the FBI or the office of the director of national intelligence. It’s not clear which left-wing groups he was referring to.
Trump and his allies have lumped wide swaths of people protesting police brutality and racial injustice in with antifa. Antifa stands for "anti-fascist" and refers to a broad movement — including communists, anarchists and socialists — that has been around for decades.
In his Facebook monologue, Caputo said the suspected killing in August of a Trump supporter by a self-described anti-fascist in Portland, Ore., was a "drill" foreshadowing more violence.
Antifa activists have sometimes turned to violence to push back against right-wing activists, although much of their organizing is peaceful, as PolitiFact has reported.
RELATED: Ask PolitiFact: What is antifa, and why is it all over my timeline?
Anti-fascist groups typically aren’t large in number, and their focus is often on counterprotesting, said Bray, who wrote a book on antifa.
"Most of the time when you see counter-demonstrations against far-right events, it’s the anti-racist, anti-fascist crowd that usually doesn’t have guns," Bray said.
Other left-wing groups such as Redneck Revolt, the Socialist Rifle Association and the Not F------ Around Coalition, have also been violent, experts said. Redneck Revolt, for example, will openly carry firearms while opposing far-right events and is known to conduct target practice.
A recent report from the Network Contagion Research Institute, a nonprofit organization, found that Redneck Revolt and other left-wing groups were growing their networks online and on some occasions circulating memes and messages with depictions of violence.
Members of Redneck Revolt and the John Brown Gun Club protest outside the Phoenix Convention Center on Aug. 22, 2017, in Phoenix. (AP)
Experts tracking domestic extremism see no evidence of hit squads
Still, experts told PolitiFact that they have seen no evidence in their tracking of domestic terrorist and extremist groups that left-wing "hit squads" are getting ready to mount an armed insurrection after the election. Here’s a sampling of how they responded to Caputo’s claim:
"We have not seen in our review of online activity of the far-left the existence at this time of anything matching Mr. Caputo's reference of ‘hit squads,’ though there certainly is an intensity to the rhetoric," said Brian Levin, the director of the Center for the Study of Hate & Extremism at California State University, San Bernardino.
"I haven’t heard anything that would suggest there are organized groups that are plotting this type of violence," said Mary McCord, legal director of the Institute for Constitutional Advocacy and Protection at Georgetown Law and a former Justice Department attorney.
"I have not seen any evidence of hit squads being trained to violently oppose a second Trump term. What I have seen is the politicization of extremist threats," said Oren Segal, vice president of the Anti-Defamation League’s Center on Extremism.
"Regardless of which side is declared the winner, there is absolutely no evidence to support Mr. Caputo’s claims," said Michael Jensen, senior researcher at the University of Maryland’s National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism.
That doesn’t discount the possibility that some extremists could act on their own or in very small circles through the use of encrypted messages or private online forums, experts said. McCord noted that mass shootings have often been carried out by a single gunman.
"Now, if you were talking about coordinated attacks across the country all on the same day or something, then obviously that takes a big infrastructure," McCord said.
McCord also noted that Caputo’s HHS role wouldn’t necessarily make him privy to the same insight as intelligence, national security or law enforcement officials. "He really wouldn’t have access to the information that would support those claims," McCord said.
Past left-wing violence doesn’t fit the "hit squad" mold
How various groups might react to a Trump election victory is an open question, although academics have run simulations to game out the possibilities, and experts PolitiFact consulted said some street-level violence could happen depending on the result.
But the type of coordinated political assassinations that Caputo evoked with his reference to "hit squads" are largely inconsistent with the way left-wing groups have operated, experts said.
"According to the propaganda that I’ve seen, they’re not advocating that type of hit-squad, offensive paramilitary tactics," McCord said.
"It doesn’t in my experience fit with what they have done, which is usually just essentially target practice and show up to oppose far-right events," Bray added.
Neil Shortland, director of the Center for Terrorism and Security Studies at the University of Massachusetts, Lowell, said that while groups such as Redneck Revolt could pose a threat of violence if Trump wins, there’s no open-source evidence to prove they’re currently organizing as hit squads.
The reference to hit squads is "overly dramatic and alarmist," said Jeffrey Bale, professor at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies, because "it suggests that operational teams are being organized throughout the country to carry out political assassinations."
A June report from the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a Washington think tank, said the election "will likely be a significant source of anger and polarization that increases the possibility of terrorism" from either the right or the left.
The report noted that "far-right terrorism has significantly outpaced terrorism from other types of perpetrators," which aligns with what experts told PolitiFact.
"While there is a smattering of left-wing militias and there is an upswing in extreme left-wing online and violent activity, including the movement's first homicide in years, the most mass casualty violence has emanated from the far-right," said Levin, the expert from California State University, San Bernardino.
Our ruling
Caputo said "there are hit squads being trained all over this country" to violently oppose a second term for Trump.
Post-election protests featuring violence are a real possibility, experts said, and there are some left-wing groups that believe in openly carrying firearms.
But experts who track domestic terrorism and extremist groups said there’s no basis to Caputo’s claim that these groups are organizing nationwide as "hit squads" and "being trained" to carry out widespread political assassinations should Trump win on Election Day.
We rate this statement False.
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524 | Facebook posts | 2020-12-07 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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“Iran has stockpiled 10 times as much enriched uranium as it had” in 2016.
| Jon Greenberg | 2020-09-17 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/16/li-meng-yan/tucker-carlson-guest-airs-debunked-conspiracy-theo/ |
Tucker Carlson guest airs debunked conspiracy theory that COVID-19 was created in a lab
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In a Sept. 15 interview, the most-watched program on cable network television aired a conspiracy theory that has been debunked since the beginning of the coronavirus pandemic.
"Give us, for a non-scientific audience, a summary of why you believe this virus came from a lab in Wuhan," said Fox News host Tucker Carlson during his self-titled primetime show.
Dr. Li-Meng Yan wasted no time.
"I can present solid scientific evidence to our audience that this virus, COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 virus, actually is not from nature," she said. "It is a man-made virus created in the lab."
Over the next six-and-a-half minutes, Yan, a virologist and former postdoctoral fellow at the University of Hong Kong, explained that the Chinese government created the coronavirus in a Wuhan lab and released it intentionally. The virus’ genome, she said, indicates that it was modified. She accused the Chinese Communist Party of silencing those who claim otherwise.
"It’s hard to be shocked in a moment like this, but you have succeeded in shocking me," Carlson said at the end of the interview. "Unfortunately, this is not the forum for the details of your research; I don’t have the grounding necessary to ask you the right questions."
Scientists do. The consensus of the scientific community and international public health organizations is that the coronavirus emerged from bats and later jumped to humans.
But the doctor’s interview on "Tucker Carlson Tonight" quickly took off, inspiring a rash of social media posts parroting her claims.
"Just now on Tucker Carlson it was revealed that CORONAVIRUS was CREATED in Wuhan Lab and released INTENTIONALLY," says a Sept. 15 Facebook post.
Some of those posts were flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
After Fox aired its interview with Yan, Facebook labeled the clip — which was posted on the official "Tucker Carlson Tonight" page and shared tens of thousands of times — as false information. It was also flagged on Instagram.
But how do we know Yan’s claims about the coronavirus are wrong — and where do they come from? Let’s review the facts.
Claims run counter to scientific evidence
Scientists worldwide have publicly shared the genetic makeup of the coronavirus thousands of times. If the virus had been altered, there would be evidence in its genome data.
But there isn’t. In March, several microbiology, infectious disease and evolutionary biology experts wrote in Nature — a respected scientific journal — that the genetic makeup of the coronavirus does not indicate it was altered.
Instead, scientists have two plausible explanations for the origin of the virus: natural selection in an animal host, or natural selection in humans after the virus jumped from animals
"Our analyses clearly show that SARS-CoV-2 is not a laboratory construct or a purposefully manipulated virus," the researchers wrote.
Since that article was published, public health authorities have repeatedly said the coronavirus was not derived from a lab:
"All available evidence suggests the virus has an animal origin and is not manipulated or constructed in a lab or somewhere else," said World Health Organization spokeswoman Fadela Chaib at an April press briefing. "It is probable, likely, that the virus is of animal origin."
"If you look at the evolution of the virus in bats and what's out there now, (the scientific evidence) is very, very strongly leaning toward this could not have been artificially or deliberately manipulated," Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, told National Geographic in May.
"The sequences from U.S. patients are similar to the one that China initially posted, suggesting a likely single, recent emergence of this virus from an animal reservoir," according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
That doesn’t rule out the possibility that Chinese researchers were studying the virus in a lab when it managed to spread outside the lab, which is something that the U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency has considered. But the agency has also said there is "no credible evidence to indicate SARS-CoV-2 was released intentionally or was created as a biological weapon."
We reached out to Fox News and the email listed on Yan’s paper for comment. The virologist didn’t get back to us.
Carly Shanahan, vice president of media relations for Fox News, told us that Carlson will address the segment on his Sept. 16 show.
"Facebook is working hard to make sure you’re unable to see our latest post regarding a coronavirus whistleblower," wrote "Tucker Carlson Tonight" in a related Facebook post. "This is censorship, and we will be addressing it on our show tonight at 8pm ET on Fox News."
Research backed by political operatives
The evidence that Yan cited during her interview with Carlson was backed by nonprofit organizations linked to Steve Bannon and an exiled Chinese billionaire.
Yan has published papers about the transmission of COVID-19 in hamsters and the virus’ shedding patterns in human patients, according to Google Scholar. She has claimed that she was among the first scientists to study the coronavirus outbreak in Wuhan.
In July interviews with Fox News, Yan accused the Chinese government of knowing about COVID-19 before it publicly acknowledged the virus, and said that her supervisors at the University of Hong Kong ignored some of her research findings. She fled to the United States in April to "deliver the message of the truth of COVID," she said.
But the University of Hong Kong said in a July statement that Yan "never conducted any research on human-to-human transmission of the novel coronavirus at HKU during December 2019 and January 2020."
"We further observe that what she might have emphasised in the reported interview has no scientific basis but resembles hearsay," the university wrote of Yan’s interviews with Fox.
RELATED: What we know about the source of the coronavirus pandemic
More recently, Yan co-published an article that suggests "sophisticated laboratory modification" of the coronavirus. The study was uploaded Sept. 14 to a website called Zenodo, an open-source repository of research — not a peer-reviewed journal. It’s unclear whether the paper received any peer review.
The research is backed by the Rule of Law Society and the Rule of Law Foundation. The sister nonprofit organizations are connected to Steve Bannon, a former chief strategist for the Trump administration, and Guo Wengui, a billionaire and political activist who fled China in 2014 in anticipation of corruption charges from the Communist Party.
Neither organization has published scientific literature before, according to a Google Scholar search. A website linked to Bannon and Wengui has a history of making inaccurate claims about the coronavirus pandemic.
Our ruling
During an interview on Fox News, Yan said the coronavirus "is a man-made virus created in the lab."
The genetic structure of the novel coronavirus, which has been shared by thousands of scientists worldwide, rules out the possibility that it was manipulated in a lab. Public health authorities have repeatedly said the virus was not created in a lab. Scientists believe the coronavirus originated in bats before jumping to humans. Experts have publicly rebuked Yan’s paper, and it’s unclear whether it was peer reviewed.
The claim is inaccurate and ridiculous. We rate it Pants on Fire!
This fact check is available at IFCN’s 2020 US Elections FactChat #Chatbot on WhatsApp. Click here, for more.
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528 | Joe Biden | 2020-09-13 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
“Here is the fire drone video that Twitter, Google, and YouTube didn't want us to see.”
| Noah Y. Kim | 2020-08-19 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/19/thom-tillis/no-cunningham-has-not-been-silent-defunding-police/ |
No, Cunningham has not been 'silent' on defunding police
|
To hear U.S. Sen. Thom Tillis tell it, his Democratic opponent hasn’t weighed-in on one of America’s most heated debates.
Tills, a North Carolina Republican, faces a re-election challenge from Democrat Cal Cunningham.
In a July 30 interview with conservative radio show host David Webb, Tillis suggested that Cunningham wants to defund the police.
"I'm very, very concerned that we're going to see, I believe, mass retirements of police officers, fewer people going into academies because (of) the Democrats. Cal Cunningham has been silent on this on defunding the police; I assume his silence is consent. I think that is a very dangerous path," Tillis said.
Tillis has previously suggested Cunningham hasn’t taken a position on the issue. In a July 28 interview with WLOS in Asheville, Tillis told a reporter that he "would ask (Cunningham) how he feels about defunding the police."
Is it true that Cunningham has been "silent" on the issue of defunding the police? No.
What does ‘defund’ mean?
Calls to defund the police spread after the death of George Floyd, who died at the hands of a Minneapolis police officer.
The phrase "defund the police" can imply different things, depending on who says the phrase, as PolitiFact has reported. Some protesters want to eliminate police departments entirely, while others want to reexamine the functions of police departments and redirect some of their funding to other services.
On Webb’s show, Tillis spoke about why he believes defunding the police is a bad idea. The campaign provided a copy of the transcript:
"We are doing the worst possible thing with this concept of defund the police. I ask people this all the time, ‘When you dial 911 and a policeman shows up at your door are you afraid or are you relieved?’ And you know what the answer to that question is.
The bad apples need to be prosecuted and there are ones in jail. But the vast majority of law enforcement officers out there are putting their lives on the line every day and it is despicable how they are being treated. So of course crime is going to go up. Now you’ve got law enforcement officers wanting to try and stop the violent situation, but you’ve got to admit they’re humans and they don’t know. Where they would push in a little more, they’re not drawing back and that’s got to be a part of the crime, and a majority of the crime are all these people who have hijacked peaceful protests and they’re killing the very people that they profess to be representing or helping.
This is a very dangerous time in American history. I’m very, very concerned that we're going to see, I believe, mass retirements of police officers, fewer people going into academies because (of) the Democrats. Cal Cunningham has been silent on this on defunding the police; I assume his silence is consent. I think that that is a very dangerous path and our communities are going to become less and less safe as a result."
So what has Cunningham said?
On the record
Cunningham told the News & Observer for a June 11 story that he is in favor of some reforms, but not defunding. He said: "Twenty-first century policing reform will require increased investment in law enforcement, not defunding it."
His quote was later republished in articles by RealClearPolitics and The Federalist, conservative news outlets.
That same day, he published an op-ed elaborating on his position. Cunningham said he supports a program that issues grants to police departments that reform their use-of-force policies.
"These policies must counsel de-escalation, prohibit chokeholds, limit no-knock warrants, and specifically address the use of deadly force, while making sure law enforcement preserves its right to proportional self-defense," Cunningham wrote.
Several days after Tillis’ quote, Cunningham reiterated his position during an interview with WLOS in Asheville.
"I’ve, in fact, very specifically said I don’t support defunding the police," Cunningham said.
We asked the Tillis campaign what the senator meant by his comments. Campaign spokesman Andrew Romeo said Tillis' broader point was that Cunningham "has been silent by comparison when it comes to the overall topic of standing up for law enforcement and against violent protestors."
Our ruling
Tillis said "Cal Cunningham has been silent on this on defunding the police; I assume his silence is consent."
Cunningham has not been silent on the issue. He published an op-ed in June, saying "Twenty-first century policing reform will require increased investment in law enforcement, not defunding it."
The Tillis campaign says the senator meant something else. But PolitiFact judges people on what they say, and Tillis’ claim on Webb’s show is inaccurate. So we rate this claim False.
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529 | Michael Caputo | 2020-09-13 00:00:00 | a Tweet:
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Goodyear Tires “announced a BAN ON MAGA HATS…This is what the Radical Left Democrats do.”
| Noah Y. Kim | 2020-08-19 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/19/abigail-spanberger/spanbergers-no-corporate-pac-pledge-needs-26-elabo/ |
Spanberger's no-corporate-PAC pledge needs a 2.6% elaboration
|
Rep. Abigail Spanberger sits in a yard with her parents during a TV ad, talking about the lessons they imparted.
"Growing up, my parents taught me, ‘Correct what’s wrong, maintain what’s right,’" the Virginia Democrat says.
Then, Spanberger addresses something she’s trying to correct: Corporate donations to political campaigns.
"When I ran for Congress, I promised to refuse money from corporate PACs," she says. "I’ve kept that promise."
Spanberger is seeking a second term this fall in one of the nation’s most closely watched House races. She’s opposed by Republican state Del. Nick Freitas in Virginia’s 7th District which, prior to Spanberger’s election in 2018, had a long history of voting Republican.
The National Republican Campaign Committee says Spanberger is lying in her ad and accepting backdoor corporate contributions. So we fact-checked Spanberger’s claim that she’s spurned corporate PAC contributions, and found it needs elaboration.
According to her latest filings with the Federal Election Commission, Spanberger has raised $4.2 million in contributions since the start of 2019 through the end of June 2020. We found no money that came directly from corporations.
But the NRCC has a small point. While Spanberger refuses direct corporate donations, she accepts contributions from PACs that do take corporate contributions. In other words, she receives a small amount of corporate PAC money that has been filtered.
A corporate PAC is affiliated with a specific company that gathers donations from its employees and distributes it to politicians and political interest groups. Corporate funds cannot be contributed to the PAC.
There are two main conduits that receive corporate PAC money and pass it on.
One of the pipelines is formed by leadership PACs, which are set up by most members of Congress to help candidates from their party. For example, Spanberger has received a maximum $10,000 from the Forward Together PAC, associated with Sen. Mark Warner, D-Va. Forward Together has accepted contributions from a list of corporations, including Merck, Citigroup, Honeywell, Lockheed Martin, General Electric and Altria. We counted 60 leadership PACs that have contributed to Spanberger’s campaign.
The second conduit is formed by ideological PACs, which are established by groups focusing on special causes, such as regulation, defense or health care.
Spanberger has received $651,000 from PACs since the start of 2019. About $111,000 of that money filtered down from corporate PACs, according to the Center for Responsive Politics - a Washington nonprofit that tracks political money. The Center made its estimate by converting the percentage of money each Spanberger PAC donor received from corporations to a fraction of money it gave to her campaign.
Perspective
As we’ve said, Spanberger has raised $4.2 million since 2019 began. The $111,000 that trickled in from corporations is 2.6% of all contributions to her campaign.
Sixty members of Congress - including three Republicans - have promised not to accept corporate money, according to End Citizens United, a Washington nonprofit seeking to tighten campaign finance laws. Rep. Elaine Luria, D-2nd, is the only other Virginia congress member to make the pledge. Campaign finance advocates told us they’re unaware of any incumbent who is declining both corporate and leadership PAC money.
End Citizens United has endorsed Spanberger largely because of her no-corporate-money pledge and is not upset by her acceptance of leadership PAC money, according to Adam Bozzi, spokesman for the organization. Michael Beckel, research director for Issue One, another Washington non-profit seeking campaign finance reform, also told us Spanberger has been consistent.
Bozzi and Beckel said direct contributions often give corporations access to politicians. They said office holders are far less likely to feel beholden to a corporation when its money has been filtered through a leadership PAC. "If anything, the candidate may feel indebted to the politician whose leadership PAC contributed to his or her campaign," Beckel said.
Spanberger "has kept her promise to voters," Bozzi said.
Sarah Bryner, research director for the Center for Responsive Politics, said it’s become "vogue" for Democrats to decline corporate PAC money, but voters should be aware.
"Candidates trying to remove themselves are putting themselves in an awkward position because to completely shut themselves off from corporate donations right now is impossible," she said. "...If you need money to run a political campaign, unless you’re independently wealthy, you’re getting money from people. And most people work for corporations."
Bettina Weiss, Spanberger’s campaign manager, said, "Abigail does not take corporate PAC money. Full stop." She accused Republicans of waging a "farcical" attack on Spanberger’s fundraising.
Weiss noted that Spanberger cosponsored the For the People Act of 2019, a comprehensive voting rights, campaign finance and ethics bill aimed at reducing corporate influence on Congress. The measure, with 236 cosponsors, passed the House and has stalled in the Senate.
A final note: PolitiFact state bureaus have recently fact-checked two similar claims by politicians who said they have rejected corporate PAC money, but didn’t factor in leadership PAC money. Both claims were rated Mostly True.
Our Ruling
Spanberger says she’s kept her promise to refuse corporate PAC donations.
She’s raised $4.2 million - none directly from corporations, although an estimated $111,000 of corporate money has come in indirectly through other PAC contributions. That’s less than 2.6% of her campaign’s take, but it counts.
Realizing that it may be impossible to block all traces of corporate money from a successful congressional campaign, we rate Spanberger’s statement Mostly True.
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530 | Li-Meng Yan | 2020-09-15 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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“Cal Cunningham has been silent on this on defunding the police; I assume his silence is consent.”
| Paul Specht | 2020-08-19 00:00:00 | mostly-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/aug/19/facebook-posts/young-kamala-harris-was-among-berkeley-students-bu/ |
A young Kamala Harris was among Berkeley students bused to desegregate elementary schools
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Back when Kamala Harris and Joe Biden were opponents in the presidential campaign, and not running mates, she drew attention during a debate in 2019 for attacking the former vice president for his record on busing to integrate segregated schools.
"There was a little girl in California who was part of the second class to integrate her public schools, and she was bused to school every day," Harris said at the time. "And that little girl was me."
Now that Biden is the Democratic nominee and Harris is on his ticket, her comments are again under scrutiny on social media.
"Kamala Harris claimed to be bussed in the 60’s due to segregation type issues," one post says. She was born in 1964, thus 6 years old in 1970. Wth?"
The three-letter question at the end of the post signals a note of incredulity. And the post’s comments are full of claims that Harris lied.
"She’s a phony," one person said.
This post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
Harris didn’t say that she was "bussed in the 60’s," as the Facebook post claims. In fact, she said, "I was part of the second class to integrate Berkeley, California, public schools almost two decades after Brown v. Board of Education," the 1954 Supreme Court decision barring racial segregation in schools. So that would mean she was referring to the late 1960s or early 1970s.
We’ve previously looked at that claim and what we found supports Harris’ recollection.
The Facebook post is correct that Harris was born in Oakland in 1964. She grew up in a predominantly Black middle-class neighborhood in west Berkeley, and she was 3 years old when the city’s school board voted in January 1968 to desegregate the district’s elementary schools by busing starting that fall.
Children in western neighborhoods, like where Harris lived, were bused to elementary schools in eastern Berkeley, which was more affluent and had more white residents. Children from the east were bused to the western neighborhoods, which were more racially and socio-economically diverse.
Natasha Beery, a spokesperson for the Berkeley Unified School District, told PolitiFact California that Harris was "absolutely" accurate in her remarks on the debate stage.
"She would be part of that second class that integrated our schools through our two-way busing program," Beery said. "It began in 1968. And she joined a group that had started kindergarten the following year in 1969, and so her description is correct."
Following the debate, the school district posted a history of its integration efforts on its website in response to media inquiries about Harris' experience. When Harris joined first grade in 1970, "she joined a cohort that had entered kindergarten in the second year of the busing program, in 1969," the history says.
Harris attended a private school for kindergarten in 1969 and enrolled the following year in the public Thousand Oaks Elementary school, on the city’s northeast side.
The city’s junior high schools had started integrating earlier, in 1964, though not using busing, and Berkeley has only one high school, so it was already desegregated.
With its "wth?" tag, the Facebook post implies that Harris was inaccurate in saying she was bused to desegregate public schools. That’s wrong. The timeline of Berkeley desegregation efforts and the school district corroborate her statement.
We rate this Facebook post False.
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532 | Tweets | 2020-09-11 00:00:00 | a radio |
Says Kamala Harris inaccurately “claimed to be bussed in the 60’s due to segregation type issues.”
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-08-19 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/28/facebook-posts/10000-obamacare-penalty-doubtful/ |
A $10,000 Obamacare penalty? Doubtful.
|
A viral Facebook post claims that former President Barack Obama’s health insurance law penalized a family a large amount of money for not buying health insurance and that President Donald Trump was responsible for stopping the practice.
The post features writing on the back of a car windshield that says, "Because our family couldn’t afford health insurance, Obama/Biden penalized us about $10,000, then took that $10,000 and used it to pay for others’ free Obamacare. Trump ended that theft."
The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about PolitiFact's partnership with Facebook.) We found a similar post on Instagram.
The post appears to refer to the individual mandate penalty, a tax under the Affordable Care Act placed on those who chose not to get health insurance. At the end of 2017, Republican-backed tax legislation, also supported by Trump, zeroed out the fine. Beginning in 2019, people could no longer be penalized for not having health insurance. Thus, the mandate hasn’t been in effect for about two years.
But $10,000 — the hefty amount this family was supposedly penalized for not having health insurance — raised questions for us. And was that money really used to pay for other people’s health insurance? We decided to look into it.
The history of the individual mandate
The ACA was implemented in 2010 during the Obama administration. The aim of the health care law — often referred to as Obamacare — was to ensure everyone had health insurance.
To that end, the law used what health policy experts call a "carrot-and-stick" approach. For low-income and middle-income individuals who had difficulty affording health insurance, the government would provide tax subsidies to reduce the cost of insurance — that was the carrot. And to make sure everyone enrolled in a health insurance plan, those who didn’t sign up were fined, under what was known as the individual mandate provision. That was the stick.
The individual mandate, which didn’t kick in until 2014, was unpopular with the American public, according to polling at the time. A 2017 KFF poll showed that 55% of Americans supported the idea of eliminating the requirement that everyone must have health insurance or pay a fine. (KHN is an editorially independent program of KFF.)
Although one of Trump’s key campaign promises was to repeal and replace the ACA, efforts to do so failed in 2017 when the Republican-held Senate failed to get the votes it needed.
Instead, in their 2017 tax bill, Republicans set the penalty for the individual mandate to $0. Starting in 2019, Americans no longer had to pay a fine for not having health insurance. Trump signed the 2017 tax bill into law. So, it is true that Trump and congressional Republicans were responsible for neutralizing the penalty.
However, experts pointed out that the individual mandate is still in place, it’s just that the penalty is set to $0. In fact, the end of the penalty is behind the justification for a court case attempting to overturn the ACA, brought by Republican attorneys general and supported by the Trump administration. The plaintiffs argue that the health care law is no longer constitutional because the penalty no longer "produces at least some revenue" for the federal government. The Supreme Court will hear oral arguments on the case Nov. 10.
The math
The viral social media posts claim that the family "couldn’t afford health insurance" and was penalized $10,000.
Health policy experts told us that while the social media post doesn’t give all the specifics needed to know if this was absolutely true, it seems unlikely a penalty would be this high.
One issue is the post doesn’t specify whether the $10,000 penalty was incurred in one year or over multiple years. It also doesn’t say how many individuals were part of the family.
Assuming the $10,000 penalty was incurred in one year, multiple experts told us that the family would have had an annual income above $400,000 and at least one person would have had to be uninsured for the entire year. That math is based on the penalty structure in place in 2018, the last year the mandate was enforced.
In 2018, the penalty was calculated one of two ways. The fine was the greater of the two results:
$695 for an adult and $347.50 for a child, up to a max of $2,085 per family annually, or
2.5% of family income above a certain tax filing threshold (KFF estimated the tax filing threshold was $10,650 for a single individual or $21,300 for joint filers in 2018).
The first way to calculate the penalty obviously doesn’t apply since the max was $2,085 per year. So, the second would be the only way to get a $10,000-a-year penalty. To arrive at such a number, you would have to take 2.5% of the family’s income. In this case, 2.5% of a $400,000 income gets you close to $10,000.
And experts said it is highly unlikely that a family with a $400,000 income would have had difficulty affording health insurance.
"So I would highly doubt the veracity of what is written on that car windshield," Karen Pollitz, a senior fellow in health reform and private insurance at KFF wrote in an email. "People with that much income almost always have job-based health benefits and, if not, generally are inclined to insure themselves very well in order to protect assets — otherwise, if hospitalized and uninsured, they could owe many multiples of the penalty amount in medical bills."
Jonathan Oberlander, a health policy professor at the University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill, also pointed out that a $10,000 penalty would have been rare.
"Very few American families would have paid anything close to that amount in penalty for not having insurance — the average penalty per person in 2017 was around $700," Oberlander wrote in an email. "Moreover, only a small percentage of Americans ever paid the penalty for not having health insurance — in 2017, 4.6 million persons," or about 1% of the population. (In 2017, 325 million people lived in the U.S., according to the Census Bureau.)
It’s also unclear whether it would have just been cheaper for the family to pay for health insurance rather than incur a $10,000 penalty, said Matthew Fiedler, a health policy scholar at the Brookings Institution.
"It depends on the ages of the members of the family, where they live, what year (or years) we are talking about, and the family’s income," Fiedler wrote in an email. "There are conceivable scenarios where the family could have found a bronze plan for $10k or less. But there are also plenty of plausible scenarios where they could not have. Without knowing more about the family’s circumstances, it’s just hard to say with any confidence."
Where did the penalty money go?
Experts also told us that the post’s assertion that the penalties paid for not having health insurance were directly applied to fund other people’s health insurance was off the mark.
The individual mandate penalties were assessed during each annual tax filing, and then payments were made the year after there was a lapse in insurance coverage.
Those penalties were collected just like any other tax payment.
"As a strict accounting, keep in mind, everything gets dumped into the Treasury regardless of the source, and then it is appropriated out of the Treasury by Congress," said Edmund Haislmaier, a senior research fellow in health care policy at the Heritage Foundation. "It’s not like money goes into one account and then another."
So, while it’s certainly possible that the penalty money could have been used to help pay for some of the ACA subsidies for other people, the money also could have gone to any other number of things the government pays for, like the military, disaster relief or education.
"You don’t know exactly where your taxes or penalties go," said Evan Saltzman, an assistant professor in economics at Emory University. "Maybe a small share went to Obamacare, but that’s a stretch. You can’t track where every dollar you spent on your taxes is going."
It’s also misleading to say that other individuals received "free Obamacare" from the penalty payment. The experts said that while Medicaid expansion, which was a part of the ACA, does provide health care coverage for low-income people who are eligible, those who bought insurance on the marketplace would still likely have paid for some part of their coverage after subsidies were applied.
Our ruling
A viral social media post claims that a family was penalized $10,000 for not being able to afford health insurance. It also claimed the penalty money was taken to pay for others’ "free ObamaCare" and Trump stopped that practice.
It is true that Trump and Congress did zero out the individual mandate requirement, so people could no longer be penalized for not having health insurance. But after that, skepticism abounds.
For instance, it’s very unlikely that a family would face a $10,000 penalty in one year. Moreover, if such a family did face this penalty for not having health insurance, they would likely be in a high-income bracket for which health insurance tends to come from an employer or be affordable. And the charge that the penalty was used to provide "free coverage" for others doesn’t fit with federal accounting processes.
Experts said, though, that the lack of specifics about this family’s situation makes it difficult to be completely definitive.
We rate this claim Mostly False.
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533 | Facebook posts | 2020-08-15 00:00:00 | a TV ad.:
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Says Mike Pence “said he won’t debate Kamala Harris.”
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-10-28 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/28/lindsey-graham/graham-says-ny-calif-and-mass-get-over-third-aca-m/ |
Graham says N.Y., Calif. and Mass. get over a third of ACA money. The latest data say they don't.
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Sen. Lindsey Graham has never been a fan of the Affordable Care Act — even though it’s helped dramatically lower the number of uninsured people in his home state of South Carolina.
The Republican, who heads the Senate Judiciary Committee, attacked the law at the confirmation hearings for Supreme Court nominee Amy Coney Barrett. Democrats have made the nomination a referendum on the health law, which will be the subject of a Supreme Court hearing Nov. 10. They fear the court may overturn the entire law, which has led to huge expansions in coverage and blocked insurers from discriminating against people with preexisting conditions, among other consumer protections.
Graham suggested that South Carolina was getting the short end of funding because the health law is sending a disproportionate amount of its money to states represented by Democrats in Congress.
"Under the Affordable Care Act, three states get 35% of the money, folks. Can you name them? I'll help you: California, New York and Massachusetts. They're 22% of the population. Sen. [Dianne] Feinstein's from California, [House Speaker] Nancy Pelosi's from California, Chuck Schumer, the leader of the Democratic Senate, is from New York, and Massachusetts is [Sen.] Elizabeth Warren. Now, why do they get 35% of the money when they're only 22% of the population? That's the way they designed the law: The more you spend, the more you get."
His statement got us wondering if those numbers are true.
Complicated math
We asked Graham’s office for evidence to support his statement. His spokesperson responded with data he said was from the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services as well as the Medicaid and CHIP Payment and Access Commission, a congressional advisory board.
To look at total spending under the ACA, Graham’s office analyzed federal money that went to pay for the Medicaid expansion, tax credits given to consumers to subsidize premiums of insurance plans on the marketplace, cost sharing reduction subsidies (which were given to insurers to defray some of the costs they were required by the ACA to pick up for marketplace customers with very low incomes) and the Basic Health Program, which is an option in the ACA that lets states offer low-income residents different coverage than plans offered on the marketplaces.
Graham’s office did not share the actual reports used for the analysis, but staffers said they used 2016 data, even though more recent data was available. The numbers were based on calculations made in 2017 when Republican lawmakers sought to repeal and replace the ACA. Their analysis showed $118 billion in total 2016 federal spending on the ACA, with California, New York and Massachusetts receiving about $43 billion, or about 37% (slightly higher than what Graham cited at the hearing).
Nearly two-thirds of the funding was attributed to the expansion of Medicaid to all adults below the federal poverty level. The Supreme Court ruled that pursuing the expansion was an option left to states’ discretion — South Carolina opted against it. The federal government paid all those Medicaid costs from 2014 through 2016 for new enrollees and then gradually reduced its share to 90% today.
We decided to independently look at the spending using the latest available numbers. We reviewed federal data compiled by KFF as well as data provided directly from the U.S. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services and the states, when necessary. (KHN is an editorially independent program of KFF.)
It is important to note that the Trump administration ended the cost sharing reduction payments in October 2017. So, KHN’s analysis did not include spending for that program.
We analyzed the latest Medicaid expansion funding from 2018 and the latest Obamacare tax credit spending and also Basic Health Program spending from 2019. Only two states participate in that program, New York and Minnesota.
Adding up the latest data and the federal share of funding came to nearly $140 billion. Of that amount, New York, California and Massachusetts — which represent about 20% of the nation’s population — received a combined $40 billion, or about 29%.
The largest category of federal funding by far was the nearly $27.5 billion the three states together received from Medicaid expansion.
New York received about $5 billion in fiscal 2019 for the Basic Health Program.
Sifting through older datasets, one key discrepancy stands out in the figures used by Graham. He lists Massachusetts as receiving $6.1 billion in federal exchange subsidies — almost 20% of the national total — while federal data used by KFF in 2016 cites $360 million.
Graham insinuated that South Carolina wasn’t getting its fair share of money, calling the law "a disaster for the state."
But the refusal by the state’s Republican leaders for the past seven years to expand Medicaid — which would have brought in billions of federal dollars — is the main reason for the funding disparity. South Carolina is one of 12 states that have not adopted Medicaid expansion.
That decision has left hundreds of thousands of the state’s residents uninsured because they have incomes too high for Medicaid but too low to qualify for federal subsidies to help them buy insurance plans sold on the ACA marketplaces. To qualify for a subsidy, consumers’ income must be at least at the federal poverty level, or $12,760 in 2020.
"A big driver of the flow of federal funds is related to that decision about whether to expand," said Larry Levitt, KFF’s executive vice president for health policy. "It is not inherently in the design of the law."
If South Carolina expanded Medicaid, about 330,000 more residents would be covered and the federal government would give an additional $1.6 billion in annual Medicaid funding to the state, according to an analysis by the Urban Institute. State Medicaid spending would rise by $250 million.
Even without expanding Medicaid, the uninsured rate in South Carolina has dropped from 20% in 2008 to about 13% in 2019, according to Census data.
More than 9 in 10 people in the state who get coverage through the ACA marketplace get tax credits to help them pay their monthly premiums.
In fact, South Carolina gets a larger share of those premium tax credits than most states. South Carolina, the nation’s 23rd-largest state by population size, ranks 11th in the number of residents getting those subsidies and ninth in receipt of the federal ACA premium subsidies, according to the federal data.
Disadvantage for ‘fiscally responsible states’
Kevin Bishop, a spokesperson for Graham, said the point of the senator's remarks is that the ACA "is structured so that states that either expanded [Medicaid] or have favorable state eligibility will have a disproportionate share of funds. This gives an advantage to high-spending states." States that are more "fiscally responsible" are at a disadvantage, he said.
Bishop acknowledged that ACA spending does change each year.
Levitt noted that Graham’s critique omitted an important perspective about other states. The senator did not mention that enrollees in two Republican-controlled states with large populations, Florida and Texas, receive more in ACA premium subsidies than people in New York or Massachusetts. However, neither of those Southern states has expanded its Medicaid program.
Still, experts noted that Graham’s comment that the more states spend the more they get from the ACA is partly true.
It accurately reflects the ACA’s Medicaid formula. As states expand Medicaid eligibility, they pick up more expenses and also receive more money in a federal match.
Joe Antos, a health economist with the conservative American Enterprise Institute, said Graham is correct that the Medicaid expansion was designed to help direct additional funding to wealthier states such as New York, California and Massachusetts. Those states, as well as some others, had broader Medicaid eligibility rules than poorer states before the law was enacted so their Medicaid rolls were relatively larger already.
That’s why the Medicaid expansion was set at 138% of the federal poverty level, rather than 100%, he said. The higher amount meant those states could get a larger reimbursement for people already in their program.
But he said states that chose not to expand Medicaid under the law can’t blame the law for getting fewer federal dollars.
"If a state did not expand, it’s on them for having less federal funding," Antos said.
Ed Haislmaier, a senior research fellow at the conservative Heritage Foundation, said the expansion of Medicaid for those more progressive states significantly increased their funding. "New York made out like a bandit," he said, noting the state had one of nation’s largest Medicaid populations before 2010.
Our ruling
Graham points to higher federal spending on ACA programs in three states that are represented by top congressional Democrats and complains that South Carolina is not faring as well. While his numbers are four years old, the latest numbers are just a few percentage points lower than what he cited — 29% compared with 35%.
He also left out some critical information — most important, that South Carolina didn’t pursue federal funding through Medicaid expansion, or both.
His argument that the law was designed to help some states largely controlled by Democrats fails to note that many Republican-controlled states have received heavy federal funding, too, either because of ACA tax subsidies or Medicaid expansion.
He also didn’t acknowledge that South Carolina does have a strong record of receiving federal subsidies for consumers buying insurance on the ACA marketplace.
We rate Graham’s statement as Half True.
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534 | Donald Trump | 2020-08-19 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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“Because our family couldn’t afford health insurance, Obama/Biden penalized us about $10,000, then took that $10,000 and used it to pay for others’ free Obamacare. Trump ended that theft.”
| Victoria Knight | 2020-10-28 00:00:00 | half-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/28/lyft-lyft/app-based-companies-pushing-prop-22-say-drivers-wi/ |
App-based companies pushing Prop. 22 say drivers will get health benefits. Will they?
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App-based driving services such as Uber, Lyft, DoorDash and Instacart are bankrolling California’s Proposition 22, which would keep their drivers classified as independent contractors, not employees.
Leading into the Nov. 3 election, the ballot measure — which has become the most expensive in state history — is mired in controversy and is the subject of a lawsuit from Uber drivers alleging that the company inappropriately pressured them to vote for the initiative.
But what’s occasionally lost in the debate over Proposition 22 are the claims about what it will mean for drivers for app-based services.
Detractors, like unions and driver advocacy groups, say Proposition 22 would strip drivers of the protections of AB-5, a 2019 California law that requires drivers to be classified as employees. The law, which has been delayed by legal challenges, would afford them the associated benefits like paid sick leave, workers’ compensation and access to unemployment insurance.
Supporters, such as ride-sharing companies and the California Chamber of Commerce, say Proposition 22 would give drivers benefits, like a guarantee of minimum earnings and compensation when they are hurt on the job, while allowing them to maintain the flexible schedule of independent contractors.
In an online ad paid for by Lyft, the company says "Prop. 22 will give them … health care benefits."
That sounds like drivers with Uber, Lyft and other app-based companies will automatically get health insurance if Proposition 22 passes. The truth is a little more complicated.
What does ‘health care benefits’ mean?
We reached out to Lyft to back up its claim, and the company directed us to the "Yes on 22" campaign. This is how the campaign explained "health care benefits":
Under Proposition 22, drivers who qualify — more on that in a minute — would get a stipend they could use to buy an insurance plan from Covered California, the state’s health insurance marketplace.
That stipend would be calculated like this: App-based companies would look at the statewide average monthly premium of bronze-level plans sold on the Covered California exchange.
The companies would then give qualified drivers a stipend of 82% of the average premium, said Geoff Vetter, a spokesperson for the Yes on 22 campaign. (On average, U.S. employers covered 82% of premiums costs for single coverage in 2019.)
So hypothetically, if bronze plans cost an average of $100 per month, Uber, Lyft or a similar company would provide qualifying drivers with $82 per month.
Drivers would be eligible for the full stipend — all $82 in the hypothetical case — if they average 25 hours per week of "engaged" time, which does not include time spent waiting between jobs.
"Most drivers work part time" and spend about one-third of their time waiting for rides and deliveries, according to the nonpartisan state Legislative Analyst’s Office. Using that equation, drivers would need to work an average of 37.5 hours per week for a single company in order to receive the full stipend.
A driver who averages at least 15 but less than 25 hours of engaged time each week would be eligible for 50% of the stipend — or $41 per month.
The stipend would be similar to employer-sponsored insurance because both employers and employees would contribute to the cost of insurance, Vetter said.
"For the people who do work closer to full time, it does give them that ability to receive health care coverage by getting a typical employer contribution for that coverage," Vetter said.
Does a stipend equal coverage?
But this stipend bears little resemblance to traditional employer-based insurance, which is what drivers would get if they were considered employees instead of gig workers, said Ken Jacobs, chair of the University of California-Berkeley Center for Labor Research and Education.
"It has very, very little relationship to what anyone would think of as job-based coverage," Jacobs said. "It’s really wrong to think of this as health insurance."
For instance, under Proposition 22, the stipends would be calculated and distributed quarterly, based on drivers’ hours. That could force drivers to periodically reassess what kind of coverage they would qualify for and could afford.
With traditional employer-sponsored insurance, a driver would enroll in a plan once per year and the premium wouldn’t change.
A vacation or illness could mean that drivers can’t maintain the hours required by the measure, costing them their stipend — and perhaps their insurance — for the quarter, and stripping them of the stability usually associated with job-based coverage, Jacobs said.
And getting money to buy an individual plan isn’t the same as participating in a large group plan offered by an employer, said Jen Flory, a policy advocate at the Western Center on Law & Poverty, a nonprofit organization that advocates for low-income Californians and opposes Proposition 22.
Covered California plans are typically less generous than the policies employees usually get through work, she said. And bronze-level plans, which have the lowest monthly premiums, also have the highest out-of-pocket costs for medical services.
Consider the deductible, which is how much a person needs to pay out-of-pocket before insurance starts paying for care.
In 2018, fewer than half of Californians who had work-based insurance had a deductible, and on average, that deductible was $1,402 for a single person, according to research from the California Health Care Foundation. (California Healthline is an editorially independent service of the California Health Care Foundation.)
The deductible on a Covered California bronze plan for an individual in 2021 will be $6,300 for medical services plus $500 for prescription drugs. Proposition 22 ties the stipend "to the highest deductible, highest out-of-pocket plans on the market," Flory said. "And it’s for workers who aren’t making a whole lot of money."
Drivers could use the stipend to buy a more generous plan, but the monthly premium would be higher and the stipend would cover less of it.
Depending on their incomes and other factors, drivers may also be eligible for tax credits and state and federal subsidies to help them afford plans on the individual market. But Flory said this amounts to the government subsidizing health insurance that employers should be paying for themselves.
It’s also problematic to base the stipends on a statewide average of bronze premiums because that doesn’t take into account the huge regional differences in the cost of care, said Gerald Kominski, a senior fellow at the UCLA Center for Health Policy Research.
"In the Bay Area, that contribution is going to buy a lot less than it would in Southern California," Kominski said. "We’re a big state and have a lot of variation of health care costs."
Our ruling
The stipend offered under Proposition 22 is a "health care benefit," but the wording is misleading and ignores critical informaiton.
While neither Lyft nor the Yes on 22 campaign says the proposition will give drivers health insurance, saying that it will offer them "health care benefits" gives the impression that the stipend is similar to traditional job-based coverage. It’s not.
Drivers who value the ability to make their own schedules would have to figure out how to work an average of nearly 40 hours a week — essentially full time — to receive the full stipend. The stipend would cover a fraction of the premiums for health insurance that’s typically less generous than what they’d get as employees.
Moreover, because drivers’ stipends could change quarterly based on their driving time — which could be affected by vacation or illness — any coverage purchased with the stipend could carry a cloud of uncertainty.
We rate this claim as Half True.
Clarification: This story was changed to clarify that "engaged" time does not include time spent waiting between jobs.
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| 1,274 |
537 | Facebook posts | 2020-08-13 00:00:00 |
Photo shows Joe Biden’s license plate says “THEBIGGUY.”
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-10-28 00:00:00 | pants-fire | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/02/facebook-posts/claim-viewed-millions-social-media-says-california/ |
Claim Viewed By Millions On Social Media Says California Legalized Pedophilia. That Is False.
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Hours after the California Legislature passed Senate Bill 145 on Sunday, an onslaught of social media posts claimed the bill would "legalize pedophilia" in the state or allow adults to have sex with minors without being placed on the sex offender registry.
All of the posts are provocative and many are unsubstantiated.
Several were flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about PolitiFact California’s partnership with Facebook.)
We focused on a Facebook post that was viewed 1.2 million times in less than 24 hours after it was published Tuesday afternoon. Similar posts were viewed and shared thousands of times.
"PEDOPHILIA is now LEGAL in CALIFORNIA. Now a 21 year old can have sex with an 11 year old, and not be listed on the sex registry as a sex offender. This is unbelievable California!"
Prominent public figures from state Senate Republican Leader Shannon Grove to former San Francisco Giants baseball player Aubrey Huff to some Democratic state lawmakers have spoken out against the bill, though their statements do not go so far as to describe the bill as legalizing sex with minors.
With so many claims swirling, we decided to check the facts.
The Facts About SB 145
Current state allows a judge to decide whether to place a young man convicted of statutory rape, in which vaginal intercourse takes place with a minor, on the sex offender registry based on the facts of the case.
There is no such discretion when the offense includes anal or oral sex.
SB 145 would eliminate automatic sex-offeder registration for young adults who are convicted of having voluntary anal or oral sex with a minor. Instead, a judge would make the decision, as with cases involving vaginal intercourse. The law would not apply in cases where a one party does not believe the sexual contact was voluntary.
LGBTQ advocates, including the bill’s author state Sen. Scott Wiener (D–San Francisco), say it would do away with a discriminatory law, one that’s a relic of a penal code that criminalized those acts until 1975, even between consenting adults.
"This distinction in the law is irrational and discriminatory towards LGBTQ youth," Wiener said in a fact sheet on the law produced by his office, Equality California and the Los Angeles District Attorney’s Office, all of which support the bill. "SB 145 ends this irrational distinction by treating all sex the same way that the law currently treats penile-vaginal intercourse."
Decades ago, police used the fact that certain sex acts were illegal to raid gay clubs and charge people with crimes, said Asm. Sydney Kamlager, D-Los Angeles, a supporter of the bill, during a press conference last month.
Kamlager said the disparity in the law was "put in place during a more conservative time in California and historically these [police raids] were done systematically to target folks to remove people who identified as being LGBT from our society."
Sex With A Minor Remains Illegal, In All Cases, Under SB 145
Some of the claims on social media say the bill protects rapists or lessens penalties for statutory rape. That’s not the case.
Nothing in the legislation would change penalties for statutory rape, which prosecutors in California can charge as either a misdemeanor or felony. It is illegal under current law for any adult to have any type of sex with a minor and that remains illegal under SB 145.
Also, the bill does not apply to any sex offenders convicted of forcible rape.
The legislation is supported by the California Coalition Against Sexual Assault and by law enforcement groups such as the California Police Chiefs Association and the California District Attorney’s Association.
Claim About A 21-Year-Old Having Sex With An 11-Year-Old
The second part of the Facebook post that we fact-checked claims, "Now a 21 year old can have sex with an 11 year old, and not be listed on the sex registry as a sex offender." That’s also wrong.
SB 145 only applies to young people ages 14, 15, 16 or 17 and any offender within a 10 year age range. "The vast, vast majority of cases where a judge may decide NOT to put someone on the registry will be cases where the age range is close," the bill’s fact sheet estimates. "At the end of the day, a judge will have full discretion to place someone on the registry, and a prosecutor can seek it."
Our Rating
A widely-shared Facebook post claimed California had legalized "pedophilia," and that "Now a 21 year old can have sex with an 11 year old, and not be listed on the sex registry as a sex offender."
That post and many like it are simply wrong.
They grossly distort the proposals in state SB 145, which aims to eliminate a disparity in how LGBTQ young people are treated on California’s sex offender registry.
The legislation would eliminate automatic sex offeder registration for young adults who are convicted of having voluntary anal or oral sex with a minor and are within 10 years of age of the victim. Instead, a judge would make that decision, just as existing law allows judges to decide whether to place offenders in cases involving vaginal intercourse on the registry.
The bill would not, in any fashion, make it legal for any adult to have any type of sex with a minor. The only change involves giving a judge discretion over whether to list an offender on the sex registry for certain sex acts.
We rate the claims in the Facebook post Pants on Fire.
PANTS ON FIRE – The statement is not accurate and makes a ridiculous claim.
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539 | Tommy Tuberville | 2020-10-13 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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"PEDOPHILIA is now LEGAL in CALIFORNIA. Now a 21 year old can have sex with an 11 year old, and not be listed on the sex registry as a sex offender."
| Chris Nichols | 2020-09-02 00:00:00 | pants-fire | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/02/joe-biden/has-covid-19-killed-more-cops-all-other-causes/ |
Has COVID-19 killed more cops than all other causes?
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At the Republican National Convention, President Donald Trump cast himself as a stalwart friend of police and an effective leader in the fight against COVID-19.
In a speech in Pittsburgh, Democratic nominee Joe Biden said Trump was neither.
"Do you feel safer under Donald Trump?" Biden asked Aug. 31. "More cops have died from COVID this year than have been killed on patrol."
That stat raised eyebrows, and we checked to see if it was true. Biden didn’t say exactly what the best data show, but the comparison is largely accurate.
Tallies of deaths by two national groups show that COVID-19 has killed more law enforcement officers than gunfire and other hazards of the job in 2020. The caveat to Biden’s claim is there is some statistical fuzziness regarding who is a cop and what it means to be on patrol.
Roughly one-third of these tallies include corrections and detention center officers who work inside institutions where the virus can spread more readily. Some Customs and Border Protection field officers and other first responders are also included. While these occupations are counted as part of law enforcement, they might not come to mind as the cops that Biden referred to.
The COVID-19 death toll is still the greatest single cause of death when those occupations are excluded.
What the broad numbers show
The National Law Enforcement Officer Memorial Fund lists 101 dead officers from COVID-19 compared with 87 from anything else, including gunfire, car accidents or other causes. If it weren’t for COVID-19, officer deaths were on track to be lower this year than last.
The National Law Enforcement Officer Memorial Fund says on its website that before it adds an officer to its list of deaths due to the virus, "substantive evidence will be required to show the death was more than likely due to the direct and proximate result of" exposure in the line of duty.
Another source, the Officer Down Memorial Page, shows 101 deaths from COVID-19 and 81 deaths from all other causes. Communications director Jessica Rushing said the count is updated daily.
(The Fraternal Order of Police has tracked 208 deaths from COVID-19, but not fatalities from other causes. It notes that it doesn’t verify the COVID-19 deaths.)
According to Rushing’s group, gunfire is the second most common cause of death.
By a factor of three, COVID-19 is the leading cause of death for the broad group of officers.
That has as much to do with the pattern of police fatalities as it does with the virus, said Rutgers criminologist Frank Edwards. Deaths in the line of duty due to any cause tend to average about eight each month.
FBI data on deaths in the line of duty further back this point. The FBI numbers distinguish between accidental and felonious deaths of officers in the community. They show that in a typical month, criminal acts kill less than five officers a month.
Excluding the corrections and detention officers, the toll from COVID-19 remains at about 70 in the Officer Down count — still double the loss of life due to gunfire, but not higher than the sum of other causes of death.
Our ruling
Biden said that more cops have died from COVID-19 than while on patrol.
COVID-19 by itself has killed more law enforcement officers than all other causes combined, according to two groups that track these numbers.
No matter how we parsed the data — by excluding correctional and detention center officers, or by focusing on felonious deaths to officers that could be considered "on patrol" — COVID-19 posed the greatest single threat to officers’ lives.
We rate this claim Mostly True.
| National,Public Safety,Coronavirus,Joe Biden | [128000, 198, 1688, 279, 9540, 5165, 26958, 11, 4900, 9641, 3420, 6445, 5678, 439, 264, 80576, 36708, 4333, 315, 4379, 323, 459, 7524, 7808, 304, 279, 4465, 2403, 20562, 12, 777, 627, 644, 264, 8982, 304, 28627, 11, 11650, 29311, 13142, 38180, 1071, 3420, 574, 14188, 627, 91724, 499, 2733, 30549, 1234, 9641, 3420, 7673, 38180, 4691, 5033, 13, 220, 2148, 13, 330, 7816, 35317, 617, 8636, 505, 20562, 420, 1060, 1109, 617, 1027, 7577, 389, 33622, 10246, 4897, 2863, 9408, 61225, 11, 323, 584, 10273, 311, 1518, 422, 433, 574, 837, 13, 38180, 3287, 1431, 2019, 7041, 1148, 279, 1888, 828, 1501, 11, 719, 279, 12593, 374, 14090, 13687, 627, 51, 543, 552, 315, 16779, 555, 1403, 5426, 5315, 1501, 430, 20562, 12, 777, 706, 7577, 810, 2383, 13627, 9808, 1109, 77895, 323, 1023, 52642, 315, 279, 2683, 304, 220, 2366, 15, 13, 578, 87151, 311, 38180, 753, 3802, 374, 1070, 374, 1063, 29564, 77242, 1918, 9002, 889, 374, 264, 6293, 323, 1148, 433, 3445, 311, 387, 389, 33622, 13, 52050, 49, 1409, 398, 832, 30277, 315, 1521, 16615, 552, 2997, 51479, 323, 33273, 4219, 9808, 889, 990, 4871, 14673, 1405, 279, 17188, 649, 9041, 810, 31368, 13, 4427, 46771, 323, 14319, 19721, 2115, 9808, 323, 1023, 1176, 70639, 527, 1101, 5343, 13, 6104, 1521, 60966, 527, 31094, 439, 961, 315, 2383, 13627, 11, 814, 2643, 539, 2586, 311, 4059, 439, 279, 35317, 4194, 9210, 38180, 14183, 311, 13, 52050, 791, 20562, 12, 777, 4648, 26936, 374, 2103, 279, 12474, 3254, 5353, 315, 4648, 994, 1884, 60966, 527, 28544, 627, 3923, 279, 7353, 5219, 1501, 198, 791, 5165, 7658, 44056, 20148, 27872, 13492, 11725, 220, 4645, 5710, 9808, 505, 20562, 12, 777, 7863, 449, 220, 4044, 505, 4205, 775, 11, 2737, 77895, 11, 1841, 33788, 477, 1023, 11384, 13, 1442, 433, 15058, 1431, 369, 20562, 12, 777, 11, 9640, 16779, 1051, 389, 3839, 311, 387, 4827, 420, 1060, 1109, 1566, 627, 791, 5165, 7658, 44056, 20148, 27872, 13492, 2795, 389, 1202, 3997, 430, 1603, 433, 11621, 459, 9640, 311, 1202, 1160, 315, 16779, 4245, 311, 279, 17188, 11, 330, 2008, 4811, 535, 6029, 690, 387, 2631, 311, 1501, 279, 4648, 574, 810, 1109, 4461, 4245, 311, 279, 2167, 323, 22267, 3509, 1121, 315, 1, 14675, 304, 279, 1584, 315, 14523, 627, 14364, 2592, 11, 279, 20148, 6419, 27872, 5874, 11, 5039, 220, 4645, 16779, 505, 20562, 12, 777, 323, 220, 5932, 16779, 505, 682, 1023, 11384, 13, 26545, 7690, 33467, 35175, 287, 1071, 279, 1797, 374, 6177, 7446, 382, 83696, 2939, 266, 3051, 7365, 315, 10289, 706, 34156, 220, 12171, 16779, 505, 20562, 12, 777, 11, 719, 539, 71305, 505, 1023, 11384, 13, 1102, 8554, 430, 433, 3250, 1431, 10356, 279, 20562, 12, 777, 16779, 9456, 11439, 311, 35175, 287, 753, 1912, 11, 77895, 374, 279, 2132, 1455, 4279, 5353, 315, 4648, 13, 126595, 1383, 264, 8331, 315, 2380, 11, 20562, 12, 777, 374, 279, 6522, 5353, 315, 4648, 369, 279, 7353, 1912, 315, 9808, 627, 4897, 706, 439, 1790, 311, 656, 449, 279, 5497, 315, 4379, 71305, 439, 433, 1587, 449, 279, 17188, 11, 1071, 72091, 1589, 61334, 16549, 9454, 37863, 13, 85812, 304, 279, 1584, 315, 14523, 4245, 311, 904, 5353, 8541, 311, 5578, 922, 8223, 1855, 2305, 13, 52050, 37, 8768, 828, 389, 16779, 304, 279, 1584, 315, 14523, 4726, 1203, 420, 1486, 13, 578, 14160, 5219, 33137, 1990, 50016, 323, 81014, 1245, 16779, 315, 9808, 304, 279, 4029, 13, 2435, 1501, 430, 304, 264, 14595, 2305, 11, 9337, 14385, 5622, 2753, 1109, 4330, 9808, 264, 2305, 627, 849, 11150, 279, 51479, 323, 33273, 9808, 11, 279, 26936, 505, 20562, 12, 777, 8625, 520, 922, 220, 2031, 304, 279, 20148, 6419, 1797, 2001, 2103, 2033, 279, 4814, 315, 2324, 4245, 311, 77895, 11, 719, 539, 5190, 1109, 279, 2694, 315, 1023, 11384, 315, 4648, 627, 8140, 17864, 198, 33, 12770, 1071, 430, 810, 35317, 617, 8636, 505, 20562, 12, 777, 1109, 1418, 389, 33622, 627, 79063, 12, 777, 555, 5196, 706, 7577, 810, 2383, 13627, 9808, 1109, 682, 1023, 11384, 11093, 11, 4184, 311, 1403, 5315, 430, 3839, 1521, 5219, 627, 2822, 5030, 1268, 584, 16051, 279, 828, 2001, 555, 44878, 27358, 278, 323, 33273, 4219, 9808, 11, 477, 555, 21760, 389, 81014, 1245, 16779, 311, 9808, 430, 1436, 387, 6646, 330, 263, 33622, 1, 2001, 20562, 12, 777, 37260, 279, 12474, 3254, 6023, 311, 9808, 529, 6439, 627, 1687, 4478, 420, 3802, 64285, 3082, 627] | 609 |
540 | Lindsey Graham | null | a Facebook post:
|
“Covid-19 means ‘certificate of identification of vaccination with artificial intelligence.’”
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-09-02 00:00:00 | mostly-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/01/ron-johnson/johnson-misses-mark-claim-evers-barnes-have-partic/ |
Johnson misses mark with claim Evers, Barnes participated in rallies that incited Kenosha chaos
|
Wisconsin’s elected officials didn’t hesitate to point fingers at one another after Kenosha police officer Rusten Sheskey shot Jacob Blake, a 29-year-old Black man, seven times at close range on Aug. 23, 2020.
The shooting and the video of it that went viral ignited days of protest and unrest in the city, which reached a breaking point Aug. 26, 2020 when an Illinois teen — who had joined a group of armed people responding to a Facebook call to protect and defend the city — shot and killed two people, according to criminal charges.
Wisconsin Democrats say their counterparts across the aisle haven’t done enough to act on racial disparities and police brutality, criticizing GOP leaders for gaveling out of an Aug. 31, 2020 special session called by Gov. Tony Evers to address such issues in less than 30 seconds.
Republicans, meanwhile, have pointedly blamed Evers, saying the deaths of the two people that Kyle Rittenhouse is accused of shooting could have been avoided if the state had been more aggressive earlier about deploying National Guard troops.
Trump appeared in Kenosha on Sept. 1, 2020 to meet with local law enforcement officers and business owners, despite a plea from Evers and other Democratic state leaders to stay away during a painful time for the city.
U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wisconsin, welcomed the visit and in an Aug. 31, 2020 statement blasted Evers and Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, saying that instead of working with Trump they "made statements, leapt to conclusions, and have participated in rallies that have done more to incite than calm the situation."
Did Evers and Barnes participate in rallies that have "done more to incite than calm the situation in Kenosha," as Johnson claims?
Barnes attended one rally at request of Jacob Blake’s family
Johnson’s office did not respond to a request for the evidence that he used to make the claim, but his statement echoes an Aug. 25, 2020 claim from state Sen. Howard Marklein, R-Spring Green, that Evers and Barnes did not "call for peace" or "encourage calm" after Blake was shot.
We rated that claim Mostly False. Evers released a video statement the day prior asking protesters to remain peaceful.
What about the rallies?
Besides a joint news conference on Aug. 27, 2020 in Kenosha, Evers and Barnes have not appeared together publicly to discuss the situation.
Evers spokeswoman Britt Cudaback said the pair have gone to one rally between the two of them, an Aug. 29, 2020 event that Blake’s family asked Barnes to attend.
Barnes met with Blake’s family, spoke at the event and marched alongside thousands who showed, Cudaback said.
Reports from the rally confirm it was a peaceful one, but the Republican Party of Wisconsin and the Kenosha News seized on a comment near the end of the event in which an unidentified man took the microphone, decried police shootings of Black people and said, "If you kill one of us, it’s time for us to kill one of yours."
The remarks were met with a muted response from the crowd.
To be sure, the comment strayed from the message of the event. In the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel’s reporting, Blake’s father, Jacob Blake Sr., is quoted asking people to be calm and civil, saying, "If we tear it up, we have nothing."
Barnes, meanwhile, spoke on the importance of voting and continued activism, commended Blake’s family for their resilience despite "centuries of injustice" that Black people have endured and urged the crowd to demand accountability from police departments.
In any case, Johnson’s claim was that the rally did more "to incite than calm the situation."
But examining the timeline of the last week in the city, the violence and property destruction in Kenosha took place in the days before the Saturday rally — not after.
Protests and cases of arson and looting began the night Blake was shot and reached a chaotic point two nights later, on the night Rittenhouse is charged with killing two and injuring one.
The rally Barnes attended was days later.
Indeed, Johnson himself noted during Trump’s visit that the situation in Kenosha became much calmer after the night where the protesters were shot. He credits the president. But in praising Trump for bringing calm, he undermines his claim here that an event days later attended by Barnes somehow incited violence again.
In short, it can’t be both.
Our rating
Johnson claimed that Evers and Barnes "have participated in rallies that have done more to incite than calm the situation" in Kenosha.
Barnes was present at a rally where a threat was made, but the event was overall a peaceful one, and reports of violence tied to Blake’s shooting came before the rally, not after.
And Johnson himself, while praising Trump’s actions, has acknowledged things had been quiet for days before the Barnes speech -- and have remained so in the days since.
We rate the claim False.
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541 | Lyft | 2020-10-26 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
“More cops have died from COVID this year than have been killed on patrol.”
| Jon Greenberg | 2020-09-01 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/01/donald-trump/we-are-not-fire-authorities-dispute-trumps-false-c/ |
‘We are not on fire’: Authorities dispute Trump’s false claim about Portland
|
The whole city of Portland, Ore., is not on fire, despite President Donald Trump’s claim that "the entire city is ablaze all the time."
The remark came during a White House press conference, when Trump criticized Portland’s mayor for his handling of ongoing protests in the city. Later that night, Trump told Fox News, "Portland's been burning for many years, for decades it's been burning."
Local authorities and journalists disputed both claims.
"We are not on fire. We have not been on fire," said Lt. Rich Chatman, a spokesperson for Portland Fire & Rescue, adding that there has been "a steady and remarkable decline in the number of fires for the last few years and certainly decades."
Portland, Oregon’s largest city, drew national attention when federal agents swooped in against the wishes of local leaders to protect federal property that they said was at risk because of the protests, which have occurred every night since May.
Some have included incidents of vandalism and violence, leading businesses near the affected areas to close or board up their windows. But the problems have been mainly confined to small parts of the city, including the area near the federal Hatfield Courthouse.
"There’s a lot of damage around the federal courthouse," Chatman said. "But the fact of the matter is this is a very small area of even downtown. We are not under siege."
"For the average resident of Portland, they probably never lay eyes on some of these fires," Chatman added. "This is a very concentrated area."
The Portland Police Bureau provided PolitiFact with a map and timeline of the protests from May 29 to Aug. 31. It details where each has taken place, whether a riot was declared, whether arrests were made, and whether the protesters used projectiles, fireworks, vandalism or fires.
By our count, there were 54 fires set across 95 nights of demonstrations, which have largely taken place at one of 10 discrete locations, according to the map and timeline.
A Department of Homeland Security officer emerges from the Mark O. Hatfield United States Courthouse after demonstrators lit a fire on Aug. 2, 2020, in Portland, Ore. (AP)
Chatman said that in five or six incidents, fires were set to buildings that had people in them.
But in many cases, the fires have been set in trash cans, dumpsters or on the street. "None of these fires have grown to a size that requires more than one of our fire engines," Chatman said.
The individual fires don’t amount to a city on fire. "Portland is not ablaze," said Charles Boyle, a spokesperson for Oregon Gov. Kate Brown, who pointed to a television news station webpage that shows live camera footage of different areas in the state, including parts of Portland.
Trump has warned that Portland’s protests are an example of the type of unrest that he claims would go unchecked under former Vice President Joe Biden, his challenger in 2020 — even as the protests continue on his watch. The city, Trump has said, is "under siege."
But the president’s description of a city gripped by violence and engulfed in flames has been challenged by journalists working in the area. In July, for example, the editorial board for the Oregonian wrote an opinion piece titled, "Not under siege, but a city in need."
Two people sit in Pioneer Courthouse Square in Portland, Ore., on Aug. 27, 2020. (AP)
The Oregonian’s news department reported on the disconnect between how Portland is known to its residents and how it has been portrayed by Trump and conservative media. Buzzfeed News and CNN have described the same discrepancy.
RELATED: No, these aren’t photos of Portland, Ore., after the protests
We asked journalists from the Oregonian and other local news outlets about Trump’s claim. They described an on-the-ground reality in which most protesters have been peaceful, while a subset of people have clashed with police, graffitied buildings and ignited fires. The fires that have ensued have been quickly extinguished and confined to a few small parts of the city.
"Portland is not ablaze, though we do love the Trail Blazers," said Anna Griffin, the news director at Oregon Public Broadcasting, in a reference to the city’s NBA team. Street-level activism has been a feature of Portland’s culture for years, Griffin said.
"We’re a small city reckoning with centuries of racism — both within our law enforcement and laws themselves — and that reckoning isn’t tidy," added Alex Zielinski, the news editor at the Portland Mercury, an alternative newspaper. "But no, we’re not on fire."
Our ruling
Trump said of Portland: "The entire city is ablaze all the time."
While months of protests in Portland have seen many fires set to streets, trash cans, and buildings, those incidents have been confined to a few small sections of the city and relatively easy for the city’s fire department to extinguish. Most of the city has been unaffected.
The whole city is not in flames. We rate Trump’s claim False.
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|
543 | Viral image | 2020-08-27 00:00:00 | a speech |
“The entire city (of Portland) is ablaze all the time.”
| Bill McCarthy | 2020-09-01 00:00:00 | pants-fire | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/01/viral-image/facebook-post-mischaracterizes-democratic-senators/ |
Facebook post mischaracterizes Democratic senators’ vote on abortion bill
|
A viral image says that 41 senators voted " to let babies scream until they die if born alive," paying special emphasis to Sen. Kamala Harris, now the Democratic vice presidential nominee.
The image lists the names of 44 Democratic senators, with Harris’ name circled in red. A caption above the image reads: "These are the 41 sickos who voted to let babies scream until they die if born alive."
The image cites SB 311, the Born-Alive Abortion Survivors Protections Act, which would establish requirements for the care that practitioners must provide to an infant born after a failed abortion attempt, and include possible prison time for anyone who doesn’t meet the standards.
Many Democratic senators have said they do not support the bill, and most of them voted to block its progress through the Senate.
The effect of their vote was not to allow practitioners to let doctors and parents to leave babies to die, but to preserve the legal status quo, which already considers infants to be humans protected under the law.
Parsing the votes on SB 311
When this Aug. 18 post was made, the Senate had not brought the bill to the floor for a final vote.
The senators listed in the post are those who voted no on a cloture motion, a procedural proposal that would have moved it toward a final vote in the Senate.
There have been two failed cloture votes on the bill so far, one in February 2019 and one in February 2020. During the first vote, 44 Democratic senators voted no, and on the second, 41 voted no. All 53 Republicans voted in favor of the motion both times.
A cloture vote needs 60 votes to pass, so the bill stalled in the debate stage.
The image in the Facebook post lists 44 names, including Sens. Amy Klobuchar, Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders, who were absent during the second vote. (Sanders is an independent in the Senate). However, the caption above it references "41" who voted no.
Image inaccurately describes bill’s content
In either case, the image mischaracterizes both the content of the bill and the effect of the Democratic senators’ votes.
Under SB 311, health care practitioners must treat a baby born after an attempted abortion as they would any other newborn, and immediately admit the child to the hospital. A person who violates these terms would be subject to criminal penalties, including a fine and/or up to five years of prison. A person who kills an infant after a failed abortion would be subject to prosecution for murder.
Senate Republicans cast the bill as "anti-infanticide legislation," describing it as a simple choice between leaving infants to die or protecting them under the law. "Everyone in the Senate ought to be able to say unequivocally that killing that little baby is wrong. This doesn't take any political courage," the bill’s sponsor, Ben Sasse, R-Neb., said on the Senate floor.
Some Democrats called the bill a case of government overreach that took decisions out of the hands of parents and medical professionals. They noted that it would apply to a small number of abortions that involve complex and difficult factors that often can’t be anticipated, such as cases where the mother’s life would be at risk or where an infant has been born with a terminal disease.
According to the Guttmacher Institute, 43 states have banned "some abortions after a certain point in pregnancy." In 2016, procedures performed in the 21st week of gestation or later accounted for 1.2% of all abortions. Deaths involving babies born alive after an attempted abortion are even rarer. A report by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention that looked at death certificates for infants from 2003-2014 showed "143 deaths involving induced terminations" during that 12-year period. Of these deaths, 97 involved a "maternal complication, or one or more congenital anomalies."
However, the CDC report acknowledged that this number could be an underestimate due to vague wording on some death certificates.
Sen. Tammy Duckworth (D-Ill.), whose name is included in the Facebook post, said the legislation "would force doctors to perform ineffective, invasive procedures on fetuses born with fatal abnormalities … even if it’s against the best interests of the child."
Most of the bill’s Democratic opponents explained their votes by noting that existing federal law and most states’ laws already provide protections for babies born alive after abortion attempts.
Sen. Tim Kaine, D-Va., for example, cited the murder conviction of Dr. Kermit Gosnell, who was sentenced to life in prison in 2013 for killing live-born infants after botched abortions at his Philadelphia clinic. Prosecutors in the case cited a Pennsylvania state law that says a baby delivered during an abortion and showing signs of life is considered alive, according to the New York Times.
Laws on duty of care
Snopes found that 34 states currently have laws that explicitly affirm a duty of care for infants and enforce penalties for failing to provide that care.
At the federal level, the Born-Alive Infants Protections Act, which President George W. Bush signed into law in 2002, defined "born alive" infants as human persons, subject to the same legal protections as any other child. Under this definition, anyone who kills an infant after a failed abortion can be prosecuted for murder, and health care practitioners are obligated to provide the same level of care they would give to any other infant.
But the 2002 law did not explicitly set out any federal penalties for health care practitioners who don’t provide such care, beyond those now in effect in 34 states. SB 311 would set a uniform standard for all 50 states.
Mary Ziegler, a law professor at Florida State University, told PolitiFact that even in the 16 states that do not lay out an affirmative duty of care, leaving a baby to die would be considered a murder by omission.
"If you had an elderly adult and you decided to starve them to death, that would be a homicide. Once a child is born alive, the same rules apply to them," said Ziegler.
SB 311 would come into play only during the rare and extremely complex cases where the facts of an attempted abortion are disputed.
"When you have an alleged infanticide, it’s a he-said-she-said situation, where an abortionist says that an infant was not born alive and prosecutors said she was," Ziegler said. "Many of these cases end in mistrials because the jury simply doesn’t know what took place."
The bill would make these prosecutions easier by placing responsibility for an infant’s health more squarely on the abortionist.
Our ruling
A viral image says that 41 senators voted "to let babies scream until they die if born alive," paying special emphasis to Harris.
The image mischaracterizes the votes that have been conducted on the Born-Alive Abortion Survivors Protections Act and the effect of the legislation on protections for infants born following abortion attempts.
In voting against cloture, Democratic senators didn’t vote to roll back protections for live-born infants but rather to keep them as they are. So the Facebook post’s claim that their vote allowed parents and doctors to let infants "scream until they die" exaggerates the effect of their vote.
We rate this post False.
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545 | Viral image | 2020-08-31 00:00:00 | a press conference:
|
Says Kamala Harris and other Democratic senators “voted to let babies scream until they die if born alive.”
| Noah Y. Kim | 2020-09-10 00:00:00 | pants-fire | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/10/donald-trump/trumps-misleading-claim-about-unsolicited-mail-bal/ |
Trump’s misleading claim about 'unsolicited' mail ballots
|
President Donald Trump, the nation’s most prominent critic of voting by mail, has repeatedly said that 80 million ballots will be mailed to voters who didn’t request them this fall.
"And the dirtiest fight of all is the issuance of 80 million ballots, unrequested," Trump said during his Labor Day remarks. "They're not requested; they're just sending 80 million ballots all over the country. Eighty million ballots, non-requested. I call them ‘unsolicited ballots.’ That's going to be the dirtiest fight of all. People are going to get ballots; they're going to say, ‘What am I doing?’ And then they're going to harvest. They're going to do all the things."
Trump made similar remarks about mail in ballots during his Aug. 24 speech at the Republican National Convention and the next day on Twitter, where he described the mailing out of these "unsolicited" ballots as "fraudulent" or a "scam."
It’s not yet clear precisely how many voters will receive ballots without requesting them by mail, because voter registration is not yet closed for the Nov. 3 election. But based on our research, we found that Trump has exaggerated the number. He also omitted the fact that millions of voters have automatically received ballots in some states for many years without it leading to widespread fraud.
Some states are sending ballots to all voters
Millions more voters are expected to cast ballots by mail this year than in previous presidential elections.
Five states — Colorado, Hawaii, Oregon, Utah, and Washington — have operated virtually all mail-in elections prior to 2020, some of them for many years. Voters are routinely mailed ballots in these states as part of the regular process.
The pandemic this year has raised concerns about large groups of voters gathering indoors, so some additional states — California, Nevada, New Jersey, Vermont plus Washington, D.C. — have decided to send ballots to all active voters.
In other states, voters have to take action to request a mail ballot, though some of them took that step already if they live in a state that allows a permanent absentee voting list that may be offered to all voters, or only to certain voters based on specific criteria such as age or disability.
We asked the Trump campaign to show how it arrived at 80 million unsolicited ballots, and whether that included a handful of states that have generally held all vote-by-mail elections for years. We did not receive a response.
It’s possible that Trump or an aide saw a prediction in an August New York Times article that "80 million mail ballots will flood election offices this fall."
However, that figure isn’t limited to voters who will be sent "unsolicited" ballots. It includes voters who will have to request a mail ballot.
The New York Times found that ballots will be mailed directly to about 44 million voters in nine states and D.C. So that’s a little more than half of the figure Trump cited.
University of Florida political scientist Michael McDonald found a similar total number of ballots — 44.4 million — that will be sent in states conducting all-mail elections. He also counted Montana, where Gov. Steve Bullock used his emergency powers to allow counties to opt in to holding an all-mail election. As of late August, most Montana counties opted for all mail.
Paul Gronke, an expert on voting by mail at Reed College, predicted somewhere north of 80 million ballots will be cast by mail, double 2016’s total.
In D.C. and the states that decided to send ballots to all voters this year due to the pandemic, many of those voters would have likely requested a ballot anyway or were on permanent absentee-ballot lists. For example, in California in 2016, there were 13 million ballots cast, including 7 million absentee. Gronke added up how many ballots were cast by absentee during the 2016 elections in California, Nevada, New Jersey and Vermont and concluded at most, 7.5 million or so ballots will be sent in those states to voters who have not requested them.
In the state that is holding the largest all-mail election — California — about two-thirds of the voters had registered to vote absentee even before the move to mail every voter a ballot, said Nate Persily, a Stanford law professor.
Trump’s use of the term "unsolicited"
While Trump uses the terms "unsolicited" or "unrequested" ballots, states generally use other terms such as "voting by mail."
Some experts were critical of Trump’s terms, noting that if residents don’t want to receive a ballot, they don’t have to register in the states that automatically send them.
"In an all-mail ballot state, voter registration is a mail-ballot request," McDonald said.
MIT professor Charles Stewart said he personally wouldn’t use the word "unsolicited" but thinks it’s fair game in political discourse.
"As to ‘unsolicited,’ I think that’s a fair, if loaded, term," he said. "You don’t have to ask for a ballot, and there are voters in those states who would prefer not to be mailed one."
Trump’s misleading comments about ballot harvesting
Trump criticized the effort to send ballots unrequested, and said that voters who receive them are "going to harvest."
Ballot harvesting generally refers to someone collecting absentee ballots on behalf of others and then submitting them. Some voting rights experts see the unofficial term "ballot harvesting" as pejorative and prefer the term "ballot collection." Many states allow at least certain individuals to collect some ballots on behalf of others, which can be helpful for voters with disabilities or those without cars.
There have been isolated cases of fraud associated with ballot harvesting, including in a North Carolina congressional race in 2018. But Trump is wrong to suggest that such fraud is rampant.
Trump has repeatedly suggested that the increase in voting by mail will lead to fraud. But fraud is statistically rare, including in states that have relied on voting by mail for years. A Washington Post analysis of three mail-in states found that "officials identified just 372 possible cases of double voting or voting on behalf of deceased people out of about 14.6 million votes cast by mail in the 2016 and 2018 general elections, or 0.0025 percent."
We looked at the conservative Heritage Foundation’s voter fraud database, which has recorded 1,296 proven instances of voter fraud. The database includes cases that stretch back decades, covering hundreds of millions of votes cast.
RELATED: Donald Trump’s dubious claim that 'thousands' are conspiring on mail-ballot fraud
Our ruling
Trump said election officials are "sending 80 million ballots all over the country. Eighty million ballots, non-requested. I call them ‘unsolicited ballots.’"
The Trump campaign didn’t respond to our request to explain how he arrived at the 80 million figure. A New York Times analysis in August found that about 44 million voters will receive ballots in states that are automatically sending them to all voters. Our own research and interviews with other election experts and state officials back up the Times’ number. But even that number of 44 million includes voters who would have requested an absentee ballot anyway.
We won’t yet know a more precise figure of how many voters are getting ballots automatically until voter registration is closed in the states. But as of now, the data suggests that Trump exaggerated.
We rate his claim Mostly False.
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546 | Joe Biden | 2020-08-31 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
Election officials are “sending 80 million ballots all over the country. Eighty million ballots, non-requested. I call them ‘unsolicited ballots.’”
| Amy Sherman | 2020-09-10 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/10/facebook-posts/covid-19-tests-did-not-exist-2018/ |
COVID-19 tests did not exist in 2018
|
A popular Facebook post erroneously cites a list of medical exports as evidence that coronavirus tests existed prior to the pandemic.
A Sept. 8 post shows a screenshot of a database from an online portal maintained by the World Bank. It shows a list of products described as "COVID-19 diagnostic test instruments and apparatus" next to the countries that export them.
But the year of those exports, 2018, predates the coronavirus.
"Hello!! Is anyone paying attention?" reads red text over the screenshot.
"People wonder why we question s---," the poster wrote in a caption.
This post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
(Screenshot from Facebook)
Similar posts have been shared thousands of times, including by Ben Swann, a former television news reporter with a history of making false claims. The rumor appears to have originated on 4chan, a fringe internet platform.
We’ve previously fact-checked misinformation that suggests the coronavirus was planned or manipulated, but we wanted to look into this list of exports. We reached out to the original poster for their evidence, but we haven’t heard back.
The table cited in the post is real, but it does not show exports of COVID-19 tests in 2018. The table has been updated to clarify that the page refers to medical devices that weren’t specifically designed for the coronavirus. Several other fact-checkers have debunked Facebook posts that misconstrue the data.
First, let’s take a closer look at the portal, which is called World Integrated Trade Solution (WITS).
The World Bank maintains the portal in partnership with the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. The website offers a compilation of trade and tariff data from different UN divisions and other international organizations, such as the World Trade Organization. It allows users to search for things like the top products exported by certain countries.
The table shown in the Facebook post lists the top exporters of "instruments used in clinical laboratories for in vitro diagnosis" and "colorimetric end tidal CO2 detectors," which is the scientific name for a carbon dioxide detector. CO2 detectors help doctors monitor intubated patients.
Both of those things existed prior to the coronavirus pandemic. So why was the table previously billed as a list of "COVID-19 Diagnostic Test" exporters?
It has to do with guidance from the World Health Organization and a related database.
In April, the WHO and the World Customs Organization classified CO2 detectors and diagnostic testing equipment, along with hand sanitizer and surgical masks, as critical to fighting COVID-19. Both received the same WCO code — "902780" in the Facebook post. COVID-19 test kits were assigned two different codes.
The WHO gave some products less technical, coronavirus-related descriptions to make them easier to track. But the broad classification, which was applied to some testing equipment that predated COVID-19, carried over to a WITS database of products related to the virus.
RELATED: No, the CDC did not ‘quietly adjust’ US coronavirus deaths
"The WITS team created a special database using the WCO list (along with the new WHO/WCO labels/descriptions)," the World Bank said in a Sept. 8 statement. "The goal was to put information about key COVID-related medical supplies in one easy-to-find place."
That resulted in what many Facebook users are confused about: a list of export data about diagnostic testing instruments that appear to predate the coronavirus. The World Bank has since revised the title of the table to read: "Medical Diagnostic Test instruments and apparatus."
"In light of misinterpretations that have occurred in recent days, the labeling in the WITS site has been updated to reflect the reality: COVID-19 tests did not exist before 2020," the organization said in its statement.
The Facebook post is inaccurate. We rate it False.
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547 | Ron Johnson | 2020-08-30 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
Countries were exporting COVID-19 “diagnostic test instruments” in 2018.
| Daniel Funke | 2020-09-10 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/09/nick-freitas/spanberger-has-voted-pelosi-relatively-low-92-time/ |
Spanberger has voted with Pelosi a relatively low 92% of the time
|
Speaker Nancy Pelosi isn’t on the ballot in Virginia’s 7th Congressional District, but her name is ever present in this fall’s closely-watched race between Democratic incumbent Abigail Spanberger and Republican Nick Freitas.
Freitas, a state legislator, has repeatedly accused Spanberger of breaking a 2018 promise to shun partisanship, and says she’s become a Pelosi loyalist
"She’s voted with Nancy Pelosi over 90% of the time…" he said during a Sept. 4 interview on Newsradio WRVA in Richmond.
We fact checked that statistic, which also is being cited on a TV ad sponsored by the Congressional Leadership Fund, a conservative super PAC.
The source of the statistic is ProPublica, a Pulitzer Prize-winning investigative news service based in New York. Its data shows Spanberger and Pelosi agreed on 92% of the votes they both cast in this Congress, which began at the start of 2019.
There are a few things to keep in mind about this statistic.
First, majority parties vote overwhelmingly with the speaker, whom they elect. Spanberger is one of the least loyal Democrats to Pelosi. There are 232 Democrats in the House, and only 10 have voted in greater opposition to Pelosi than Spanberger.
More than half of the Democrats - 133 in total - have agreed with Pelosi every time she’s voted this Congress. Even the most contrary Democrat - Collin Peterson of Minnesota - has voted with her 81% of the time.
Also keep in mind that speakers vote at their discretion, which means they usually vote only on the most partisanly-charged issues.
The votes
Pelosi has participated in 9% of the House votes this session. That’s 74 votes, and Spanberger has agreed with her 68 times. They’ve been in sync on most major issues, including:
Impeaching President Donald Trump on two counts of malfeasance;
Expanding Obamacare;
Increasing the minimum wage;
Overturning emergency funding for a border wall;
Creating a path to citizenship for children of undocumented immigrants;
Requiring background checks on all gun sales;
Police reforms; and
Keeping the U.S. in the environmental Paris Accords.
Of their six disagreeing votes, three concerned the Heroes Act - a $3 trillion tax cut and spending bill the House approved in May to spur the COVID-19 economy. Pelosi supported it. Spanberger voted against it, saying it was bloated with Democratic wish-list items. The bill is stalled in the Senate.
Spanberger voted against a budget deal last year that Pelosi negotiated, saying it would greatly enlarge the national debt. They also disagreed on a bill that would ban the manufacture and sale of flavored e-cigarettes and menthol cigarettes, which Spanberger opposed; and an amendment that would require customs official to be notified when an undocumented alien tries to buy a gun, which Spanberger backed.
It should be noted that Spanberger didn’t support Pelosi’s election as speaker at the start of 2019 - an action not counted in ProPublica’s database. But even if it had been included, Spanberger would remain above the 90% level Freitas set for agreeing with the speaker.
We should also note that Republicans are criticizing their opponents’ voting percentage with Pelosi in key races across the country. That includes Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District race, where Rep. Elaine Luria, a Democrat, is being challenged by Republican Scott Taylor.
Our ruling
Freitas says Spanberger has voted with Nancy Pelosi over 90% of the time." Let’s remember that only 10 Democrats voted against Pelosi more often than Spanberger.
But Freitas' statistic is solid; Spanberger and Pelosi agreed on 92 percent of the votes they both participated in. So we rate Freitas’ statement True.
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549 | Viral image | 2020-09-07 00:00:00 | a photo:
|
Photo shows “‘kids in cages’ taken in 2014 under the Obama admin.”
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-09-09 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/09/donald-trump/Trump-oversells-crediting-White-House-response/ |
Trump oversells crediting White House response for falling COVID-19 fatality statistic
|
Seeking to counter the notion that the United States has failed to make progress against the novel coronavirus, President Donald Trump offered a positive statistic during a Sep. 7 news conference.
"Under Operation Warp Speed, we’ve pioneered groundbreaking therapies, reducing the fatality rate 85 percent since April," Trump said. "You don’t hear that from the press very often. They don’t like to talk about that. So the fatality rate, 85% — think of that — since April."
When we asked the White House for supporting evidence, they provided the following chart, which they said was compiled by Stanford University School of Medicine professor Jay Bhattacharya. The time frame is somewhat different from what Trump cited, but the trend line is roughly the same.
The chart shows the case-fatality rate for coronavirus between mid-March and mid-July. That statistic refers to the number of coronavirus deaths divided by the number of known coronavirus cases — effectively, the likelihood that you will die from coronavirus if you are known to have been infected. (The data adjusts for the typical lag time between infection and death by pairing the infection data with the death data from two weeks later.)
According to the White House’s chart, close to one-third of people who were infected in mid-March ended up dying from the virus. By late April, that rate had fallen to 5%. That’s roughly an 85% decline. (The statistic does not take into account specific risk factors for the disease that an individual may have, and instead looks at the population as a whole. So a person with risk factors may have a greater likelihood of dying, while one without risk factors would have a smaller likelihood.)
Bhattacharya told PolitiFact that the chart shows "a very sharp drop in the case fatality rate from COVID-19 infection in the U.S. since the beginning of the epidemic — people are more likely to survive after infection than they were. It seems very important to me for the public to understand that the lethality of the infection is not what it was when impressions first formed in March. The experience of the Northeast with the epidemic in those early days is atypical of the experience of people infected now."
However, Trump’s focus on this one data point also needs some additional context. The reasons for the drop are not entirely from improved therapies, and Operation Warp Speed, the administration’s effort to devise countermeasures against the virus, doesn’t necessarily get the credit for the drop.
Why did the case fatality rate fall?
Part of the decline likely stems from reasons other than better treatments, said Tara C. Smith, a professor of Epidemiology at Kent State University’s College of Public Health.
One factor is testing. Early on, due in part to shortages in testing equipment, only individuals with significant symptoms were being tested, and those patients would be likelier to end up with a fatal case. Later on, Smith said, testing was catching more individuals with mild symptoms or even no symptoms at all, which helped decrease the case-fatality rate.
To make this concrete, in March 19, as the case-fatality rate was peaking, 27,974 tests were taken nationally, according to data from the COVID Tracking Project. By April 27, the number was 196,080 — a seven-fold increase. By then, the case-fatality rate had fallen significantly. The rate fell further by July 22, when the number of tests had risen to 796,439.
"Since the denominator of case-fatality is the number of cases detected, the availability of testing and testing practices is a huge driver of the case fatality," said Brooke Nichols, an infectious disease mathematical modeler at the Boston University School of Public Health.
It is worth noting that the Trump administration has touted its role in expanded testing. But had the same level of testing been in place earlier in the epidemic, the figures on this chart may not have shown the same level of fatality rate decline.
In addition, the coronavirus was especially deadly to residents in nursing homes early in the pandemic. That coincided with the period of when testing was limited, probably exaggerating the case-fatality rate. Later in the pandemic, nursing homes implemented stronger protections.
Better treatments have helped as well, experts said, including improvements from trial and error in how to treat hospitalized patients, and from additional knowledge gained about what had been an entirely unknown virus just months earlier. The White House told PolitiFact that it considers such improvements the key to the U.S. having a better case-fatality ratio than some other countries, such as the United Kingdom, Italy, and France.
Sometimes these improvements have stemmed from things like ventilator use or better positioning of patients on their hospital bed.
In other cases, they have come from the use of drugs, such as an existing steroid known as dexamethasone and experimental drugs such as remdesivir, Bhattacharya said. "Teasing apart exactly how much each treatment advance has mattered is still the subject of scientific work," he said.
Smith said she expects pharmaceutical advances to eventually be shown to be "a much smaller piece of the pie" than the other factors, such as the scope of testing and the age range of those likely to be tested.
Meanwhile, it’s doubtful that Operation Warp Speed played much of a role in the decline Trump was referencing. The administration-designed effort, run by the Department of Health and Human Services, does focus to an extent on therapeutics, but its primary goal is to deliver 300 million doses of a safe and effective vaccine by January 2021.
More to the point, Operation Warp Speed only announced its scope and leadership on May 15, and by that time, the case-fatality rate had already fallen most of the way from its peak.
Finally, it’s worth noting that case-fatality rate is not the only relevant statistic — and many of the other ones are less flattering to the administration.
Here’s a chart comparing the decline of the case-fatality rate against daily deaths from coronavirus. (The data we used, from the COVID Tracking Project, was different than what was used in the White House chart, but it shows the same overall pattern.)
As the chart shows, having a low case-fatality rate is no guarantee of protection against a surge in deaths. Even though the case fatality rate has been lower than ever in recent weeks, deaths have settled into roughly 1,000 a day, far more daily deaths than when the case-fatality rate was much higher.
Our ruling
Trump said, "Under Operation Warp Speed, we’ve pioneered groundbreaking therapies, reducing the fatality rate 85 percent since April."
The decline in the case-fatality rate from an earlier phase in the epidemic is real and notable, but "groundbreaking therapies" are only part of the reason.
When the rate was peaking, it was a period when relatively few Americans were being tested, and when a sizable percentage of those being tested were those who were more seriously ill, including nursing home residents.
In the meantime, by the time Operation Warp Speed had announced its scope and leadership, most of the decline in the case-fatality rate had already occurred.
We rate the statement Half True.
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550 | Viral image | 2020-09-08 00:00:00 | a radio |
"Under Operation Warp Speed, we’ve pioneered groundbreaking therapies, reducing the fatality rate 85% since April.”
| Louis Jacobson | 2020-09-09 00:00:00 | half-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/09/kayleigh-mcenany/mcenany-says-trump-never-downplayed-virus-he-did-a/ |
McEnany says Trump never downplayed the virus. He did, and Woodward’s tape explains why
|
Confronted with a recording of President Donald Trump from mid March saying that he minimized the coronavirus in public, White House press secretary Kayleigh McEnany said the opposite was true.
"The president never downplayed the virus," she said in a White House press briefing Sept. 9.
McEnany was responding to the release of recorded interviews from investigative reporter Bob Woodward’s new book about Trump entitled "Rage." The audio posted by the Washington Post shows Trump explaining to Woodward why his message about the virus shifted between January and March.
"To be honest with you, I wanted to always play it down," Trump said March 19. "I still like playing it down, because I don’t want to create a panic."
McEnany said Trump never lied to the American people.
"He was expressing calm, and he was taking early action, and his actions are reflective of how seriously he took it," she said.
We tracked Trump’s responses as the pandemic unfolded. Between January and mid March, Trump consistently minimized the threat posed by the virus. He would talk about the handful of cases in the country and compare them with the more than 25,000 deaths caused by seasonal flu. He said the country had gotten "lucky."
Here are some key moments in the early months of the pandemic that show him downplaying the threat.
On Jan. 24, Trump tweeted his thanks to China for working to contain the virus.
"It will all work out well," he wrote.
China has been working very hard to contain the Coronavirus. The United States greatly appreciates their efforts and transparency. It will all work out well. In particular, on behalf of the American People, I want to thank President Xi!— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) January 24, 2020
On Jan. 30, Trump announced restrictions on travel from China. That night, he told supporters at a campaign rally in Iowa, "We think we have it very well under control. We have very little problem in this country at this moment — five. ... We think it’s going to have a very good ending for it."
On Feb. 2, he told Fox News host Sean Hannity, "We pretty much shut it down coming in from China."
On Feb. 14, in a meeting with members of the Border Patrol Council, he remained reassuring.
"We have a very small number of people in the country, right now, with it. It’s like around 12. Many of them are getting better. Some are fully recovered already. So we’re in very good shape."
On Feb. 24, Trump asked Congress for $1.25 billion in emergency aid. The same day he tweeted that the virus "is very much under control" and the stock market was "starting to look very good to me!"
The Coronavirus is very much under control in the USA. We are in contact with everyone and all relevant countries. CDC & World Health have been working hard and very smart. Stock Market starting to look very good to me!— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) February 24, 2020
As late as March 9, Trump tweeted out blame to the media and the Democrats for trying to "inflame" the situation "far beyond what the facts would warrant." He cited the U.S. surgeon general as saying, "The risk is low to the average American."
The Fake News Media and their partner, the Democrat Party, is doing everything within its semi-considerable power (it used to be greater!) to inflame the CoronaVirus situation, far beyond what the facts would warrant. Surgeon General, “The risk is low to the average American.”— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) March 9, 2020
Over the next few days, the situation changed rapidly. The World Health Organization officially designated the virus as a pandemic. Trump banned most non-Americans arriving from Europe. He declared a state of emergency.
On March 17, Trump said in a news conference that for the next 14 days, "we’re asking everyone to work at home, if possible, postpone unnecessary travel, and limit social gatherings to no more than 10 people."
At the news conference, Trump said there was no shift in tone from the White House: "I've always known this is a real, this is a pandemic. I've felt it was a pandemic long before it was called a pandemic."
We rated that claim Pants on Fire because whatever he may have known at the time, his words up to that point did not reflect the threat of a pandemic.
Two days after that, he spoke to Woodward about why he downplayed the virus earlier and why he wanted to continue to downplay it.
Our ruling
McEnany said Trump never downplayed the virus.
The record shows she’s wrong. During the early months of the coronavirus outbreak, Trump said the country was in very good shape and blamed Democrats and the media for trying to inflame the situation beyond what the facts would warrant.
In the very tape that McEnany was asked about, Trump said he downplayed the virus to avoid creating panic. McEnany spun that as him showing leadership to calm a worried nation.
The reasons Trump said what he said aren’t part of this fact-check. Trump’s words are. And they give zero support to McEnany’s statement.
We rate this claim Pants on Fire.
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551 | Donald Trump | 2020-09-04 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
Says President Donald Trump “never downplayed the virus.”
| Jon Greenberg | 2020-09-09 00:00:00 | pants-fire | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/28/joe-manchin/has-drug-dependence-increased-under-covid-19/ |
Has drug problem worsened under COVID-19?
|
For a decade, West Virginia has struggled with a rising tide of drug addiction. Has it gotten worse during the coronavirus pandemic, when many Americans have had to keep their distance from friends and family? That’s what Sen. Joe Manchin, D-W.Va., said during an interview with the Washington Examiner on Aug. 19.
In the interview, Manchin discussed a bill he’s sponsoring, the Crisis Care Improvement and Suicide Prevention Act. The legislation would direct states to use 5% of their federal Mental Health Block Grant funding to support crisis care services. Neither Manchin’s bill nor a House counterpart has advanced in the current Congress.
"The number of overdose cases, exponentially, is just out of proportion," Manchin told the newspaper. "And they're rising tremendously from the opiate (problem), and now with the COVID-19, and suicide, more people are dependent on drugs or alcohol."
Manchin, whose office did not respond to inquiries for this article, got some of his terminology wrong in his comment to the Examiner. But more broadly, he has a point that West Virginia and the nation have experienced upticks in drug and alcohol use during the pandemic.
Manchin referred to people becoming "dependent" on drugs or alcohol. That means that an individual has a long-term reliance on drugs to function, as opposed to specific instances of using drugs. Complicating matters further, "dependence" is not considered the same as "addiction," though the two conditions can overlap. In 2013, the definitive reference work in the field, the American Psychiatric Association's "Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders," replaced the terms "substance abuse" and "substance dependence" with the single category "substance use disorder," with three subcategories, mild, moderate and severe.
This is a long way of saying that Manchin misused the term "dependence" to refer to a rise in overdoses or other drug-related crises of the sort his bill would target.
That said, the statistics do back up Manchin’s concerns on heightened use of drugs and alcohol during the pandemic.
Statistics from the West Virginia Department of Health and Human Resources show that emergency room visits related to overdoses rose were higher in June, July and August 2020 than they were during the same months in 2019.
There is also evidence that rates of overdoses have increased across the country more broadly during the pandemic.
We looked at data from the Overdose Detection Mapping Application Program, which collects real-time data from law enforcement agencies, fire departments, emergency medical services, hospitals and medical examiners.
The data shows that after the onset of the pandemic in March, almost 62% of participating counties experienced an increase in reported overdoses. The number of suspected overdose reports rose by almost 17.6% between the weeks before and after state stay-at-home orders were imposed, the data shows.
There’s also evidence of increased alcohol use after the pandemic hit.
A study by researchers from the RAND Corp. and Indiana University’s School of Public Health found that self-reported use of alcohol increased by one day more per month for three out of every four adults during the pandemic. Increases were seen in such subgroups as women, adults between 30 and 59, and non-Hispanic whites.
Our ruling
Manchin said, "Now with the COVID-19 … more people are dependent on drugs or alcohol."
Manchin misused the term "dependent" to refer to overdoses and other individual drug crises like those targeted by his bill. (It’s also no longer the preferred term in the field.)
That said, official West Virginia data shows increases in emergency room visits due to overdoses in June, July and August 2020 compared with the same months in 2019. National data shows increases in reported overdoses in a majority of participating counties, as well as increases after the enactment of stay-at-home orders. And one academic study found increased alcohol use nationally during the pandemic.
We rate the statement Mostly True.
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553 | Facebook posts | 2020-09-07 00:00:00 | a White House press brief |
“Now with the COVID-19 … more people are dependent on drugs or alcohol.”
| Delaney Geiger | 2020-10-28 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/28/donald-trump/trumps-misleading-claim-about-ballot-signatures-ne/ |
Trump’s misleading claim about ballot signatures in Nevada
|
As President Donald Trump has lobbed attacks on mail in voting this election year, the battleground state of Nevada has become a frequent target of his often misinformed claims on the subject.
"In Nevada, they want to have a thing where you don’t have to have any verification of the signature. It is so terrible," Trump said a New Hampshire rally Oct. 25.
It wasn’t immediately clear from his remarks, but Trump’s campaign told us the president was referring to his campaign’s recent litigation over signature verification procedures in Clark County, Nev., the state’s most populous county. But we found no evidence that the state or county wants to get rid of signature verification.
Trump campaign’s recent lawsuit in Clark County
In August, a day after Nevada Gov. Steve Sisolak signed legislation known as AB 4 into law, the Trump campaign sued Nevada Secretary of State Barbara Cegavske seeking to block it. The pandemic era elections bill provided, among other things, that active voters would automatically receive ballots in the mail. At Cegavske’s urging, a federal judge dismissed the Trump campaign’s lawsuit.
But Trump continued to attack Nevada’s voting by mail system with false attacks about signature requirements.
The website of Cegavske’s office says that "signature verification is performed on every ballot received. If the signature is missing or if the signature on the ballot return envelope does not match the signature on file for the voter, the ballot will not be counted until the voter verifies their signature." The state has procedures in place for voters to "cure" or fix their ballot if the signature was missing or didn’t match.
This is common for checking signatures across states.
On Oct. 23, the Trump campaign filed another lawsuit, this time against Cegavske and the registrar of voters for Clark County related to ballot signatures. That’s what the president was talking about in New Hampshire, his campaign said, when he again alleged the state doesn’t "want" any signature verification on ballots.
"We basically have no signature requirement because the system is so lax that virtually all signatures are currently counted in Clark County," Adam Lexalt, the state’s former attorney general and Trump campaign chair, told PolitiFact.
This lawsuit alleges that Clark County election officials positioned observers in such a way that they can’t fully see the review of ballots, including decisions related to ballots with signature issues. The lawsuit also says that county officials have used a low standard to verify signatures.
Clark County is using the Agilis ballot sorting machine as a first step to match voters’ signatures on their ballot envelopes. If the machine finds that the signature doesn’t match the voter’s signature on record, then it is reviewed by elections officials in person. Clark County, which includes Las Vegas, is the only Nevada county to use the machine to verify signatures. The Trump campaign lawsuit alleges that "it is more likely that fraudulent and improper ballots are being tabulated by Clark County" but includes no proof that any fraudulent ballots were accepted.
The lawsuit zeroes in on something referred to as the "tolerance level" setting on the machines to determine whether signatures match. The lawsuit says the county registrar, Joseph Gloria, intentionally lowered the manufacturer’s recommended tolerance level to 40 to decrease the number of rejected ballots.
A setting of zero would allow through any ballot while the maximum setting is 100. A spokesperson for the county elections office, Dan Kulin, said that there is no manufacturer’s recommended setting, but confirmed that Clark County uses a setting of 40. We reached out to the manufacturer to ask questions about the settings but didn’t hear back.
"To determine what score to use, we ran tests of the system and concluded that 40 would accept all the signatures that are obvious matches," Kulin said. "Signatures that don’t meet that score are reviewed by our manual processes and may be rejected."
The program compares the writing style, the slant of the letters, and how someone crosses their t’s as part of determining the score of the signature.
So far about 30% of the signatures are being automatically authenticated, Kulin said. For those that aren’t authenticated by the machine, the signatures are verified by local elections workers.
The Republicans’ lawsuit, still pending, doesn’t include any documentation from the manufacturer about the settings or proof that the setting used by Clark County is flawed. Instead, it points to the low number of rejected ballots as evidence: As of Oct. 22, 1.45% of ballots in Clark County had been returned for signature issues compared to 3.78% in Churchill County, which doesn’t use the machine, according to the lawsuit.
But the lawsuit cherrypicks by choosing Churchill, the county with the highest rate of ballots needing signature cures.
Our ruling
Trump said "in Nevada, they want to have a thing where you don’t have to have any verification of the signature."
Trump’s campaign said he was referring to a lawsuit challenging ballot processing procedures in Clark County. The Trump campaign’s Oct. 23 lawsuit challenges the county’s use of a machine to help flag signature issues on ballots. The case is pending, so it will be up to a judge to decide if any of the arguments have merit.
Republicans argue that the fact that only 1.45% of ballots in Clark County needed signature cures translates to a watered down signature requirement. But criticizing the use of the county’s procedures isn’t evidence that the county wants no verification of signatures.
We rate this claim False.
This fact check is available at IFCN’s 2020 US Elections #Chatbot on WhatsApp. Click here, for more.
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554 | Nick Freitas | 2020-09-09 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
Says someone tried to suppress votes by disguising trash cans as ballot boxes.
| Hayat Norimine | 2020-10-28 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/28/facebook-posts/yes-thin-blue-line-flag-has-taken-more-prominent-p/ |
Yes, the Thin Blue Line flag has taken a more prominent place during Trump rallies
|
As the 2020 election heads into its final days, a Facebook post is claiming that President Donald Trump had replaced the American flag with an "anti-Black Lives Matter" flag at a recent Wisconsin rally.
At issue: A Thin Blue Line flag that was prominently featured behind Trump at an Oct. 24, 2020 rally in Waukesha. The flag essentially is a black-and-white version of the American flag, with a single red stripe replaced by a blue one.
That blue stripe is meant to symbolize police officers as the "thin blue line" between order and chaos.
The Facebook post featured a screenshot of a Twitter post by author and Dartmouth College English professor Jeff Sharlet, that included a photo and read: "Tonight in Wisconsin. First the anti-Black Lives Matter flag flew outside his rallies, then beside the American flag. Now it has replaced the American flag. That’s significant."
Alongside the screenshot, the Facebook post read: "Trump flew the anti-Black Lives Matter flag at his rally in Wisconsin. So much for not disrespecting the troops …"
The post in question was shared by a group called "The Other 98%" -- a left-leaning nonprofit, according to its bio on Facebook -- the day after the rally. The post has been shared more than 2,500 additional times and reacted to by more than 7,200 people.
This post was flagged as a part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
So was the flag really flying behind Trump during his Waukesha rally?
And is it an "anti-Black Lives Matter" flag?
Was the flag real?
In a review of photos of the Oct. 24, 2020 Waukesha rally taken by the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, the Thin Blue Line flag is hung prominently behind the risers behind behind the podium where Trump spoke.
The flag was featured very prominently at the rally -- a change from the last several Wisconsin rallies that Trump has held in other cities.
In Janesville on Oct. 17, 2020, the flag was featured on one side of the stage, while a larger American flag was featured on the other side of the stage, photos from the Journal Sentinel showed. In Mosinee on Sept. 17, 2020, Trump spoke in front of Air Force One and no flags were prominently displayed, according to photos by the Journal Sentinel.
So the portion of the post that says that the flag was featured prominently -- and more prominently than at earlier rallies -- is on the money.
But what about the meaning of the flag?
A controversial flag meant to support police officers
The flag has been popularized by the company "Thin Blue Line USA," which also sells clothing emblazoned with the symbol. According to the company’s website, the flag is meant to be a sign for "promoting compassion and support for our nation’s police officers."
The company began marketing the flag in 2014 amid the Blue Lives Matter movement, which itself was launched in response to the Black Lives Matter movement.
The Black Lives Matter movement arose in 2013 after the acquittal of George Zimmerman, who killed teen Trayvon Martin in Florida, according to the movement’s website. Black Lives Matter has been invoked around the country this year during massive protests that were launched by the death of George Floyd at the hands of Minneapolis police officers.
In a June 8, 2020, article by The Marshall Project headlined "The Short, Fraught History of the ‘Thin Blue Line’ American Flag," Andrew Johnson, president of Thin Blue Line USA said: "The flag has no association with racism, hatred, bigotry. It’s a flag to show support for law enforcement—no politics involved."
According to the article:
Jacob said the flag was not a direct reaction to the first Black Lives Matter protests—an idea suggested by a previous origin story in Harper’s—but he allows he may have first seen the thin blue line image after those protests spurred the circulation of pro-police imagery online. "That’s maybe why it came to my eyes," he said.
Whatever the intended meaning of the flag, it has come to carry different connotations to different people
At protests in Charlottesville in 2017, where white supremacist groups and supporters gathered to protest the removal of Confederate statues throughout the country, the blue-line flag was featured alongside Confederate flags, according to an Aug. 18, 2017 report from USA TODAY. (The company disavowed its use in Charlottesville)
A July 31, 2020 NPR report highlighted a fight between a Massachusetts fire department flying the flags in honor of fallen police officers, and community members who felt the flag was an overt display of racism.
A June 9. 2020 Politico report said even police officers have mixed reactions to the symbol, with some departments banning it outright, while others display it on government-owned vehicles.
The Politico report also noted that the flag is controversial because of its likeness to the American flag, and because of the U.S. Flag Code, which states: "The (American) flag should never have placed upon it, nor any part of it, nor attached to it any mark, insignia, letter, word, figure, design, picture or drawing of any nature."
When asked why the flag was placed behind the president, Wisconsin Trump Victory -- the state’s Trump campaign group -- did not respond.
To be sure, it is possible to support police officers and the Black Lives Matter movement.
But Trump himself has been harshly critical of the Black Lives Matter protests this summer, labeling them as violent and claiming they were stoked by anti-government elements.
Our ruling
A Facebook post claims an "anti-Black Lives Matter" flag replaced the American flag behind Trump during a Waukesha campaign rally.
To be sure, the flag itself violates the U.S. Flag Code, and should not be considered a legitimate U.S. flag by those standards.
In terms of the Facebook claim, The image and description -- that the flag has taken on greater prominence at the Trump rallies in Wisconsin -- is on target. And the Thin Blue Line flag has become a prominent part of the pro-police Blue Lives Matter movement -- which arose to counter the Blak Lives Matter movement.
That said, while it is possible to support both, Trump has made clear he opposes the Black Lives Matter protests -- and made that opposition, and a strong law-and-order message, a prominent part of his re-election campaign. So, those attending the rally or seeing the images could easily see the flag as an "anti Black Lives Matter flag."
We rate the claim Mostly True.
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555 | Viral image | 2020-08-26 00:00:00 | an |
“In Nevada, they want to have a thing where you don’t have to have any verification of the signature” on ballots.
| Amy Sherman | 2020-10-28 00:00:00 | mostly-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/28/jon-hoadley/upton-voted-dozen-times-support-repealing-affordab/ |
Upton voted a dozen times in support of repealing the Affordable Care Act
|
Jon Hoadley, a Democrat seeking to represent western Michigan’s 6th congressional district, is attacking his Republican opponent, Rep. Fred Upton, for his voting record on health care.
"He voted a dozen times to kick thousands of Michigan families off their health insurance and eliminate protections for preexisting conditions," an ad from Hoadley states.
The basis of Hoadley’s attack is Upton’s consistent opposition to the Affordable Care Act, or Obamacare, which barred insurance companies from discriminating — in pricing and coverage — against people with preexisting medical conditions, such as cancer survivors and kids with diabetes as Hoadley’s ad notes.
The ACA also introduced federal subsidies for Americans to buy coverage in the individual insurance market and for states to expand Medicaid coverage to more low-income Americans.
In 2019, more than 500,000 Michiganders were covered under plans purchased in the individual market, according to an estimate from the nonpartisan Kaiser Family Foundation. And today, a little more than 800,000 are covered under the ACA’s Medicaid expansion.
A repeal or overturning of the ACA, and the loss of its protections, would put that coverage at risk, experts say.
In the five years that followed the ACA’s passage, Upton voted 12 times for bills, budget resolutions and amendments that called for repealing the law.
More recently, Upton has spoken out against Republican efforts to repeal the ACA without a replacement. "You simply cannot take what would be millions of people off coverage without a backup plan ready to go," he told The Detroit News in April 2019.
That month, he was one of only eight Republicans who supported a resolution urging the Trump administration to end its effort to overturn the ACA. The U.S. Supreme Court will hear oral arguments next month on a case supported by the administration asking the court to invalidate the law.
Hoadley’s claim includes recovered COVID-19 patients among those whose coverage would be at risk, but Upton’s votes to repeal the ACA came years before the pandemic.
Upton spokesperson Josh Paciorek said, "Fred believes we must forge a bipartisan path to ensure all Americans have access to quality, affordable care while always protecting preexisting conditions."
Nonetheless, Hoadley’s ad gives an accurate count of Upton’s votes from 2011 to 2015 and their potential impact.
Looking at Upton’s voting record
The Hoadley ad cites 12 times that Upton voted to repeal or defund the ACA. Here's how they break down:
Upton voted three times to repeal the ACA without a replacement. Once in 2011, again in 2012 and a final time in 2013.
In 2015, Upton voted for a bill to repeal the ACA that directed House lawmakers to propose an alternative.
Upton supported budget resolutions in 2011, 2012, 2013 and 2014 that assumed savings from repealing the ACA and allowed ACA funding to be redirected to pay for other federal spending
Upton voted four times during budget negotiations in 2012 and 2015 directing lawmakers to repeal the ACA.
How repeal of the ACA would affect coverage
Under the ACA, millions of Americans buy their health insurance through the individual market or receive coverage through the ACA’s expansion of Medicaid. If the law is repealed or struck down by the Supreme Court, many could face higher costs for health insurance, lose automatic coverage or become unable to afford coverage.
A New York Times analysis says as many as 21 million people would be at risk of becoming uninsured.
They would also lose protection under ACA provisions that bar discrimination against people with preexisting medical conditions. President Donald Trump’s executive orders pledging to preserve these protections have no legal effect, experts say.
About 54 million Americans had a preexisting condition in 2018 that would likely leave them uninsurable in the individual insurance market if the ACA were repealed, according to a 2019 analysis from the Kaiser Family Foundation. That includes 29% — just over 1.7 million — of Michiganders under 65.
Would Upton’s votes have cost Michiganders their coverage?
The implementation of the ACA’s major protections helped insure thousands of Michiganders in the individual market soon after Upton cast his first vote to repeal the law in 2011.
By the time the preexisting condition protections kicked in in 2014, Upton had voted to repeal the ACA four times and supported three budget resolutions that assumed savings from the law’s repeal.
Karen Pollitz, a senior fellow at the Kaiser Family Foundation said that votes cast before 2014 may not have led to immediate coverage losses. But she said Congress relies on estimates from the Congressional Budget Office that measure the impact of legislation over the next 10 years.
In 2014, nearly 550,000 Michiganders were insured by plans purchased in the individual market, the Kaiser Family Foundation estimates, up 74,600 from the previous year. The number was 511,700 last year.
In mid-2014, Michigan’s expanded Medicaid program covered roughly 58,000. Today, it covers more than 800,000.
An analysis this year from the nonpartisan Center for American Progress estimates that repealing the ACA would result in 827,000 Michiganders losing their insurance.
Our ruling
A Hoadley ad states that Upton "voted a dozen times to kick thousands of Michigan families off their health insurance and eliminate protections for preexisting conditions," citing his votes to repeal or defund the Affordable Care Act.
Four of those votes were for legislation that would have repealed the law. The eight other votes cited by the campaign laid the groundwork for repealing the ACA, but would have required additional action from lawmakers.
Repealing the ACA would have jeopardized health coverage for Michiganders covered under plans purchased in the individual market and the state’s Medicaid expansion program.
We rate this claim Mostly True.
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420, 3802, 64285, 3082, 627, 52050] | 941 |
556 | Donald Trump | 2020-08-19 00:00:00 | a post on Instagram:
|
An “anti-Black Lives Matter” flag replaced the American flag behind President Trump during a Waukesha campaign rally.
| Laura Schulte | 2020-10-28 00:00:00 | mostly-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/28/donald-trump/trump-wrong-about-auto-plant-coming-north-carolina/ |
Trump wrong about auto plant coming to North Carolina
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To hear President Trump tell it, North Carolina just landed a major automaker.
In a speech at the White House on Labor Day, Trump said North Carolina is getting one of "many auto plants" being built.
He suggested it again during a speech in Michigan on Sept. 10.
And then Oct. 15, Trump declared it again before a television audience of more than 10 million people.
"The reason we’re coming back so strong is because we built a very strong foundation. Companies are moving in. Car companies are moving into Michigan and to Ohio and to South Carolina and North Carolina — just today," Trump said during an NBC Town Hall.
So what is Trump talking about? Is a major auto plant or an auto manufacturer coming to North Carolina?
Not that we could find.
Searching for evidence
The Washington Post looked into Trump’s claims from Labor Day. The Center for Automotive Research couldn’t substantiate Trump’s statement for the Post, which gave his claim Four Pinocchios.
Inside the state, North Carolina is known for pursuing automakers — and losing out to South Carolina, Georgia and Alabama.
As recently as Sept. 15, the Triangle Business Journal reported that North Carolina is still chasing its first full fledged car assembly plant. By TBJ’s count, North Carolina missed out on ElectraMeccanica in September, as well as Toyota-Mazda, Peugeot, Volvo and Mercedes-Benz — all since 2015.
WRAL TechWire reported that North Carolina’s industrial leaders also recruited Tesla, which picked Texas earlier this year.
The trend has not gone unnoticed.
"We've wondered about why North Carolina gets onto finalist lists, only to come up short," Miami University professor James Rubenstein, a leading auto industry researcher, told PolitiFact for a separate story.
TBJ reports that North Carolina is under consideration for an Indian SUV maker. However, that project is on hold amid the pandemic.
What NC said
PolitiFact North Carolina reached out to the state’s Department of Commerce about Trump’s claim.
"We have not recruited an assembly plant since 2017, although North Carolina offers several attractive sites for such a plant and we’re actively in the hunt," David Rhoades, the department’s communications director, said in an email.
Rhoades noted that truck maker Freightliner and school bus maker Thomas Built Buses, both part of Germany’s Daimler AG, have locations in North Carolina that are considered automotive assembly operations. However, they predate Trump’s administration.
And while North Carolina has not landed a major car company of late, Rhoades said the state has successfully recruited manufacturers of auto components.
He provided a spreadsheet showing a total of 44 auto-related manufacturers that have expanded operations in North Carolina since 2019. In 2017, Tristone Flowtech announced 300 jobs in Iredell County and Triangle Tyre announced an 800-job expansion in Edgecombe County. Sonic Automotive announced 500 jobs in Gaston County in 2018, and Bharat Forge Aluminum announced 300 jobs in Lee County last year.
Still, none of those projects live up to the size of Trump’s claim. And neither the White House nor the Trump campaign responded to our requests for clarification.
Our ruling
President Trump recently said an auto "company" or an auto "plant" has opened or would be opening in North Carolina.
This claim stands out in a state that has aggressively pursued automakers, but has so far fallen short.
That’s because it’s not true. Trump’s teams haven’t backed up his claims. Fact checkers can’t find evidence for them. And North Carolina’s Department of Commerce isn’t aware of any new, major automaker opening a plant in the state.
We rate this claim false.
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557 | Kayleigh McEnany | 2020-10-27 00:00:00 | a rally:
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Upton “voted a dozen times to kick thousands of Michigan families off their health insurance and eliminate protections for preexisting conditions”
| Clara Hendrickson | 2020-10-28 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/28/donald-trump/fact-checking-trumps-claim-biden-said-he-would-abo/ |
Fact-checking Trump’s claim that Biden said he would ‘abolish the entire U.S. oil industry’
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President Donald Trump told supporters at a rally in Allentown that Joe Biden wants to dismantle the country’s oil and gas industry, a move he warned would have devastating consequences for Pennsylvania families.
"Joe Biden confirmed his plan to abolish the entire U.S. oil industry," Trump said at the first of three rallies he held in Pennsylvania on Monday. "That means no fracking jobs and no energy for Pennsylvania."
Biden has said repeatedly that he won’t ban fracking, the controversial drilling technique used to extract natural gas from miles beneath the Earth’s surface. (He does intend to stop new fracking on public lands.) But his vision for the oil industry hasn’t gotten as much attention.
Trump’s characterization of Biden’s position is vastly oversimplified, and he’s suggesting Biden doubled down on a stance he never took in the first place.
Biden wants to reduce the country’s reliance on oil by investing heavily in renewable energy, and he plans to pay for part of that investment by ending federal subsidies for oil companies. He doesn’t want to wipe out the oil industry as Trump claimed. In fact, some oil executives have cheered Biden’s support for the development of technology that captures greenhouse gas emissions before they reach the atmosphere, allowing companies to safely burn fossil fuel for years to come.
Biden’s stance on oil was thrown into question after the presidential debate on Oct. 22, when he said he wants to gradually ease the country’s reliance on fossil fuels.
Here’s an excerpt of the former vice president’s exchange with Trump on the debate stage.
"Would you close down the oil industry?" Trump asked
"By the way, I would transition from the oil industry, yes," Biden said.
"Oh, that’s a big statement," Trump said.
Biden stumbled over his words as he tried to explain his position — that he wants the country to transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy over time, and that he wants to end federal subsidies for oil companies. After the debate, he again stressed his interest in eliminating subsidies in interviews with reporters.
But the Trump campaign saw an opening and quickly declared that voters would abandon him in swing states where Biden has led for months.
Biden’s position on oil has been clear since he released his clean energy plan in July.
The document details Biden’s stance on oil subsidies, his support for renewable energy, and his interest in developing technology to capture greenhouse gas emissions, as well as his plan to limit oil companies' methane pollution, ban new drilling on public lands and beneath public waters, and set new fuel economy standards that would reduce U.S. oil consumption by 12 billion barrels.
Our ruling
Trump said Biden wants to "abolish the entire U.S. oil industry." He’s oversimplifying Biden’s nuanced position — and baselessly saying Biden confirmed that oversimplification. Biden wants to eliminate federal subsidies for oil companies and use that money to invest in renewable energy. Plus, Biden supports the development of carbon capture technology that could help oil companies stay in business. Trump’s statement is inaccurate. We rate it False.
This fact check is available at IFCN’s 2020 US Elections #Chatbot on WhatsApp. Click here, for more.
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558 | Facebook posts | 2020-10-25 00:00:00 | Facebook post:
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Says North Carolina just landed an auto plant.
| Jon Greenberg | 2020-10-28 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/01/donald-trump/trump-paints-false-picture-kyle-rittenhouse-shooti/ |
Trump paints false picture of Kyle Rittenhouse shootings ahead of Kenosha visit
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Editor's note: This item was updated to make clear that we are rating whether Trump described what happened accurately, not the separate question of whether what happened amounted to self-defense or, as charged by local prosecutors, homicide and other offenses.
President Donald Trump visited Kenosha on Sept. 1, 2020 as the city reels from the shooting of a Black man by police and the shooting deaths of two protesters during a night of chaos.
Jacob Blake, 29, was shot in the back seven times at close range by Officer Rusten Sheskey on Aug. 23, 2020 as he walked away from officers and tried to get into an SUV with three of his children inside. The shooting left him paralyzed from the waist down, according to his family.
Two nights later, an Illinois teenager used an AR-15-style rifle to kill two protesters and injure a third, according to eyewitness videos and a criminal complaint.
The charges against Kyle Rittenhouse, 17, increased tensions in a city that was already on edge, with some condemning his actions and others saying he was protecting the city and only shot in self-defense.
In an Aug. 31, 2020 media briefing, on the eve of his visit to Kenosha, Trump defended Rittenhouse’s actions when asked about the teenager.
"You saw the same tape as I saw," Trump said. "And he was trying to get away from them, I guess; it looks like. And he fell, and then they very violently attacked him. And it was something that we’re looking at right now and it’s under investigation."
He went on to say of Rittenhouse: "I guess he was in very big trouble. He would have been — I — he probably would have been killed."
The president correctly describes some minor details about that night. But overall, his comments grossly mischaracterize what happened — leaving out that by the time of the events he described, prosecutors say Rittenhouse had already shot and killed a man.
In this fact-check, we are not examining the question of whether Rittenhouse acted in self-defense, as his attorney claims. We are examining whether Trump is providing an accurate description of what happened by focusing on only a portion of the events of that night.
He is not.
Let’s take a look.
How the shootings unfolded
Details of the Aug. 25, 2020 shootings have emerged through eyewitness videos and a criminal complaint filed in Kenosha County Circuit Court.
Here’s what we know:
Joseph Rosenbaum, 36, approached Rittenhouse and a reporter interviewing him that night and began to chase Rittenhouse after he did a "juke" move. Rosenbaum threw a plastic bag at Rittenhouse, but it didn’t hit him.
The two ended up in a parking lot, and the reporter told authorities that Rosenbaum tried to grab Rittenhouse’s gun. Rittenhouse fired four shots, and Rosenbaum dropped to the ground in front of him.
In a video, Rittenhouse can be heard saying on his cell phone, "I just killed someone."
Rittenhouse began running slowly down the street as a crowd began to follow him, with some people shouting "get him!" and shouting he just shot someone. Rittenhouse tripped and fell.
While he was on the ground, police say, he appeared to fire two shots at a man who jumped over him but missed.
After that, Anthony Huber, 26, ran up to Rittenhouse with a skateboard in one hand and appeared to hit him with it before reaching for Rittenhouse’s gun. Rittenhouse fired one round that hit Huber in the chest and killed him.
Rittenhouse sat up and pointed his gun at Gaige Grosskreutz, 26, who had started to approach him. Grosskreutz took a step back and put his hands in the air, but then moved toward Rittenhouse, who fired a shot that hit Grosskreutz in the arm.
Grosskreutz had a handgun. It is unclear whether Grosskreutz was pointing the gun at Rittenhouse, or if Rittenhouse saw that Grosskreutz had a gun.
Missing information paints false picture
Trump’s comments completely overlook the fact that people started following him after he allegedly shot and killed someone. He also claimed protesters "violently attacked" Rittenhouse, but that is not fully supported by the videos, either.
Witnesses say those who were chasing Rittenhouse were trying to stop him.
Rittenhouse later walked past a group of police vehicles, hands in the air, and ultimately returned home to nearby Antioch, Illinois, where he was arrested the next day.
What’s more, Trump suggested the matter is "under investigation." But while Rittenhouse’s attorney has indicated he would argue self defense, the teen has already been charged with homicide. It’s unclear what, if any, investigation would still be open.
Even before the comments, Trump drew headlines when he "liked" a tweet that said, "Rittenhouse is a good example of why I decided to vote for Trump." Rittenhouse, who is in jail awaiting extradition to Kenosha to face charges, is a Trump supporter.
Our ruling
Trump said a video shows Rittenhouse "was trying to get away from" protesters" and "fell, and then they violently attacked him."
Rittenhouse did fall as a crowd followed him, but Trump’s comments leave an incendiary and false picture: By the time he fell, according to criminal charges, Rittenhouse had already shot and killed one person that night.
We rate the claim False.
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560 | Donald Trump | 2020-10-13 00:00:00 | several speeches:
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On confirming a Supreme Court justice nominee in a presidential election year.
| Paul Specht | 2020-09-01 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/01/gwen-moore/kenosha-police-did-let-kyle-rittenhouse-go-claim-g/ |
Kenosha police did let Kyle Rittenhouse go, but claim goes too far in labeling his beliefs
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A volatile climate in Kenosha turned violent after an Illinois teen allegedly killed two protesters and injured another amid turmoil over the shooting by police of Jacob Blake.
Kyle Rittenhouse, 17, was charged with first-degree intentional homicide and five other crimes on Aug. 27, 2020. He is accused of using an AR-15-style rifle to shoot and kill Joseph Rosenbaum, 36, and Anthony Huber, 26, and injure Gaige Grosskreutz, 26.
The violence came days after Blake, a 29-year-old Black man, was shot in the back seven times at point-blank range by a Kenosha police officer. Blake remains hospitalized and paralyzed from the waist down, according to his family, as protesters renew calls to combat police brutality that disproportionately affects Black people.
Rittenhouse’s arrest prompted scrutiny of the teenager’s background and frustration over his treatment by Kenosha police — particularly when compared to Blake’s treatment by officers days prior.
U.S. Rep. Gwen Moore, a Milwaukee Democrat, weighed in with this tweet Aug. 26, 2020:
"The same police department who shot an unarmed black man 7 times in the back for walking away from them just let an armed white supremacist walk right past them after shooting people."
We previously looked at claims about the shooting of Blake, and whether he was armed, including that he "declared he had a gun in the car and was going to go get it" and was "brandishing" a knife. We rated that claim False. There was no gun, and while there are varying reports of whether he had a knife in his hand or it was found on the floorboard of the car he was entering, he was not "brandishing" it at police on the scene.
So we will focus here on Moore’s characterization of how authorities in Kenosha treated Rittenhouse in the moments after the shooting.
Let’s take a look at her account.
What happened that night
When asked for evidence to support Moore’s claim, her office pointed to four news articles about the Aug. 25, 2020 incident that led to Rittenhouse’s arrest.
Here’s what we know:
According to eyewitness videos and the criminal complaint, Rittenhouse shot and killed Rosenbaum in a parking lot after Rosenbaum chased him and tried to grab his gun.
Rittenhouse then began running slowly down the street, but tripped and fell as a crowd began to follow him. While he was on the ground, Huber approached him with a skateboard in one hand and reached for Rittenhouse’s gun with the other. Rittenhouse fired one round that hit Huber in the chest and killed him.
Rittenhouse sat up and pointed his gun at Grosskreutz, who took a step back but then moved toward Rittenhouse. He fired a shot that hit Grosskreutz in the arm.
Afterward, video footage showed Rittenhouse approaching police vehicles with his hands raised. Several vehicles passed him after he waved toward the first. A voice can be heard yelling, "Hey, he just shot them! Hey, dude right here just shot them!" Another voice on a police loudspeaker is heard saying, "Someone injured, straight ahead."
Rittenhouse ultimately returned to his hometown of nearby Antioch, Illinois, where he was later arrested.
Kenosha Police Chief Daniel Miskinis defended his department’s actions in an Aug. 28, 2020 news conference, saying the police in the vehicles didn’t see Rittenhouse as a threat and wouldn’t have heard yelling from the crowd over other noise. He said officers were more focused on the injuries and what happened down the street.
So, multiple sources — including the Kenosha Police Department — have verified that Rittenhouse walked by police after the shootings. Moore is on target with that part of the claim.
White supremacy allegations
Merriam-Webster defines a white supremacist as someone who "believes that the white race is inherently superior to other races and that white people should have control over people of other races."
Video taken before the shootings showed Rittenhouse with a group of armed, older men linked to a local group called the Kenosha Guard. Leaders of the group, which that afternoon put out a call for people to bring weapons to defend Kenosha businesses, say Rittenhouse is not a member. But according to the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Rittenhouse identifies with such groups.
"People are getting injured and our job is to protect this business," Rittenhouse said in a video interview that night with The Daily Caller. "And my job also is to protect people. If someone is hurt, I’m running into harm’s way. That’s why I have my rifle; I’ve gotta protect myself, obviously. But I also have my med kit."
Before it was taken down, Rittenhouse’s Facebook page showed several pro-police photos, including one that featured the phrase, "Blue lives matter."
Three of the four news reports cited by Moore’s office do not reference white supremacy or extremism. And the only one that does, an Aug. 27, 2020 article from CBS News, cites the Anti-Defamation League as saying Rittenhouse does not appear to be involved with any extremist movements.
Oren Segal, vice president of the Anti-Defamation League’s Center on Extremism, echoed that in an interview with PolitiFact Wisconsin. Based on a review of Rittenhouse’s TikTok, Facebook and Instagram accounts, Segal said, the organization has not found evidence linking Rittenhouse to white supremacist groups.
Segal noted that Rittenhouse appears to embrace the Blue Lives Matter movement, which backs police officers and was created in the wake of the Black Lives Matter movement. Segal said Blue Lives Matter is supported by some extremist groups, but also by many other people.
He contends misidentifying someone as a white supremacist can amount to "crying wolf" and minimize the seriousness of extremist beliefs and behaviors.
"We need to really be sober about what we are seeing, and we need to tackle it with some honesty and not just fall prey to inaccurate, perhaps politically expedient categorizations," Segal said.
Our ruling
In a tweet, Moore said in contrast to how a Black man who was shot by police was treated, Kenosha police officers "let an armed white supremacist walk right past them after shooting people."
Kenosha police did let Rittenhouse walk by and ultimately return home to Illinois after prosecutors say he killed two protesters and injured a third.
But social media posts and profiles haven’t revealed any evidence linking him to white supremacist groups, according to a key organization that tracks extremist activity.
A statement is Half True when it’s partially accurate but leaves out important details or takes things out of context.
That fits here.
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562 | Jon Hoadley | 2020-10-26 00:00:00 | speeches:
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“Says authorities found 39 children in a double wide trailer in Georgia and it's not the biggest news story in America.”
| Samantha Putterman | 2020-09-01 00:00:00 | mostly-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/01/donald-trump/heres-why-trump-vastly-overreaches-claiming-credit/ |
No, Trump doesn't deserve credit for Kenosha de-escalation
|
The images emerging from Kenosha were jarring after Jacob Blake was shot in the back seven times by a police officer and two protesters were shot and killed — all in the span of two days.
Buildings in flames.
People armed with baseball bats destroying property and looting.
Armed vigilante groups roaming the streets with long guns.
Police patrolling in armored vehicles and riot gear.
But the atmosphere took a distinct turn for the better in the days after the Aug. 25, 2020, shooting that left 17-year-old Kyle Rittenhouse facing multiple homicide charges.
And President Donald Trump says you can thank him for that.
"If I didn’t INSIST on having the National Guard activate and go into Kenosha, Wisconsin, there would be no Kenosha right now," Trump tweeted early on Aug. 31, 2020. "Also, there would have been great death and injury."
It’s not a new maneuver from Trump, who has regularly swooped in to claim credit for development projects and other initiatives he had little role in.
But this claim is particularly jaw-dropping. His sweeping assertion assumes at least three things to be true.
Kenosha was on a trajectory for destruction.
No other changes happened that would have improved the Kenosha situation.
He alone is responsible for activating the National Guard.
Each of these is wrong. Let’s break it down.
Protests occurred in a limited area
This is the most obvious hyperbole in Trump’s tweet. (It's also a claim he repeated even more strongly the next day, saying during a Sept. 1 roundtable with Kenosha leaders, "I come into an area like this and I see the town is burned down.")
The events in Kenosha have been tragic and shocking. But there’s a big difference between protests damaging a limited area and destroying or altering a large portion of a city of 100,000 people.
The protests, even at the peak of the unrest Aug. 25, were largely concentrated in the 1-acre Civic Park and a nearby area a few blocks wide. Though people spilled into nearby neighborhoods after the largest groups were dispersed.
That drastically exaggerates the scope of the situation in Kenosha, a city of 28.4 square miles, even at its worst.
Many factors in reduction of violence
Trump’s attempt to claim credit assumes the National Guard presence was the only factor in the lack of violence after the Rittenhouse shooting. There are many reasons that’s wrong.
The simple makeup of the crowd changed.
A group described by Kenosha County Sheriff David Beth as "a militia" and "vigilante group" had been patrolling the streets of Kenosha and even standing watch on roofs with long guns the first couple nights after the Blake shooting. On Tuesday, in the hours before the shooting, the "Kenosha Guard" issued a call on Facebook for "patriots willing to take up arms and defend out (sic) City tonight from the evil thugs."
That page was removed by Facebook after the Rittenhouse shooting, and the presence of people wearing military gear and openly carrying weapons dropped drastically after the night of chaos that included the shooting, according to Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reporters who have been on the ground in Kenosha — though citizens with handguns were observed as late as the weekend.
During the height of the protests, the vigilante groups and Black Lives Matter protesters were regularly clashing with each other, by hurling insults or worse. Removing half of that equation — for whatever reason that occurred — changed the situation dramatically.
There have also been calls for peace from all corners, including Blake’s family, at marches and rallies, and — to varying degrees — from Gov. Tony Evers and local officials.
In addition, Evers has declared a state of emergency, and local officials have taken steps such as closing off freeway access to better control the area — beyond simply increasing the number of troops (which has also happened).
"The last five days have been closer to normal for Kenosha," Beth said at an Aug. 31 news conference. "And really if you go outside a few block area in Kenosha, life has been just like it has been all the time."
Trump didn’t send the National Guard
All of which brings us to the most fundamental claim here — that Trump dispatched the National Guard.
And even that isn’t true.
The White House described itself as authorizing 2,000 National Guard troops to go to Kenosha. But Maj. Gen. Paul Knapp, who commands the Wisconsin National Guard, said that’s not really how that system operates.
He described it this way when asked Aug. 31 what role the White House has played in the Kenosha response.
"What I want to re-emphasize is the process is actually a governor-to-governor compact," Knapp said. "Through the (Emergency Management Assistance Compact) process we had already started talking to other states (when the White House got involved), it’s one of the things we do right away during something like this."
The White House press office did not immediately respond to a request for comment early on Sept. 1.
Each state has its own National Guard — as provided for in the Constitution — and the guard has a role at both the state and federal level, according to its website. Governors can call the National Guard into action during local or statewide emergencies, and the president can activate the guard for federal missions.
Examples of federal missions given on the website included deployments to Kosovo or the anti-terrorism efforts in the Middle East.
But all National Guard members working in Kenosha have been mobilized by Evers or governors in Michigan, Arizona and Alaska as part of the inter-state agreements. They are commanded by Knapp and remain under state control.
The Kenosha effort has not been federalized, said Evers spokeswoman Britt Cudaback.
In other words, none of the National Guard troops now in Wisconsin have been dispatched or authorized by Trump. And the state-run efforts to bring troops were underway a full day before Trump first had contact with Wisconsin officials.
"The governor had already activated the Wisconsin National Guard to respond in Kenosha and doubled their presence before Trump or his Administration offered federal support," Cudaback said.
The timeline of events in Kenosha makes this crystal clear.
The timeline
Here are key moments in the Kenosha unrest and the law enforcement response, as detailed by Evers’ office and media reports. Times of key events are provided where relevant.
Sunday, Aug. 23
5:15 p.m. — Jacob Blake is shot.
9:31 p.m. — Wisconsin Emergency Management authorizes neighboring agencies to assist local law enforcement.
Monday, Aug. 24
3:05 a.m. — Kenosha County requests a National Guard Quick Reaction Force, a team trained to deploy anywhere in the state within 12 hours. Evers then formally endorses that request.
The National Guard provides 125 troops — the full number who are part of that team.
Neighboring jurisdictions provide more than 100 law enforcement officers.
Tuesday, Aug. 25
2:33 p.m. — Evers’ office sends a bulletin declaring a state of emergency and increasing the National Guard support from 125 to 250.
2:45 p.m. — The Trump administration speaks to Evers (first Chief of Staff Mark Meadows, then Trump himself). Evers ultimately declines offers of federal help.
7:16 p.m. — Trump tweets implying the National Guard was not in Wisconsin — "Governor should call in the National Guard in Wisconsin. … End problem FAST!" — though the guard at this point had already been on the ground for more than a day.
11:45 p.m. — Police say Rittenhouse opens fire on protesters, killing two and injuring a third.
Wisconsin began coordinating with other states about obtaining additional National Guard resources and support.
The Wisconsin State Patrol provides more than 70 officers.
Neighboring jurisdictions are still providing more than 100 law enforcement officers.
Wednesday, Aug. 26
11 a.m. — Meadows talks to Evers again, with federal authorities ultimately sending FBI and U.S. Marshal support to the area later in the day. Cudaback said as of Aug. 31 this remained the only federal government assistance provided.
The Wisconsin National Guard is now providing 500 troops.
Neighboring jurisdictions are still providing more than 100 law enforcement officers.
The Wisconsin State Patrol is now providing 80 officers.
Thursday, Aug. 27
1:30 p.m. — Evers enters an agreement with other states to provide National Guard help as part of the Emergency Management Assistance Compact.
The Wisconsin National Guard is now providing 750 troops.
Friday, Aug. 28
12:01 p.m. — Trump tweets, "Success: Since the National Guard moved into Kenosha, Wisconsin, two days ago, there has been NO FURTHER VIOLENCE, not even a small problem." The National Guard had actually been deployed in Wisconsin for four days at this point, not two.
The Wisconsin National Guard is now providing 1,000 troops.
Arizona, Alabama and Michigan National Guard troops arrive, accounting for at least 500 more guardsman (total of 1,500). All of these troops are under Knapp’s command.
Knapp said Aug. 31 that those 1,500 National Guard troops remained deployed in Kenosha. The guard members do not make arrests, but "fulfill roles that allows those (local) law enforcement officers to be freed up" to more active work in the streets, he said.
We should also note Trump was taking steps before and after this claim that served more to increase division than limit it. On Aug. 30, Sunday night, he liked a tweet that said "Rittenhouse is a good example of why I decided to vote for Trump." Rittenhouse is a Trump supporter.
The next day, at a White house briefing, Trump asserted Rittenhouse was "trying to get away" and was "violently attacked" before opening fire — a description that ignores the fact Rittenhouse had already allegedly shot and killed a man prior to that point.
Repeated claim
Trump made a similar claim while visiting Kenosha Sept. 1, saying, "Violence has stopped since the time the National Guard came — literally when they set their foot on this location it stopped."
The timeline shows this is clearly wrong. The National Guard had been in Kenosha for more than a day when the Rittenhouse shooting occured.
Our ruling
Trump said on Twitter, "If I didn’t INSIST on having the National Guard activate and go into Kenosha, Wisconsin, there would be no Kenosha right now."
That’s wrong on every level.
It’s a vast exaggeration to say the situation in Kenosha was so dire as to threaten its very existence. And many other factors played a role in the reduced violence in the days before Trump’s tweet.
But the most fundamental element of this claim is also completely wrong. National Guard troops were en route and even on the ground well before the Trump administration got involved.
The National Guard troops ultimately sent were deployed in Wisconsin by Evers and Knapp or sent from other states as part of agreements entered into by the states’ governors.
We rate this claim Pants on Fire.
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563 | Donald Trump | 2020-10-26 00:00:00 | Media brief |
In contrast to how a Black man who was shot by police was treated, Kenosha police officers "let an armed white supremacist walk right past them after shooting people."
| Haley BeMiller | 2020-09-01 00:00:00 | pants-fire | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/01/facebook-posts/antifacom-redirects-bidens-campaign-website-anyone/ |
Antifa.com redirects to Biden’s campaign website, but anyone can buy, redirect a domain
|
Days after denouncing the deadly shooting in Portland, Ore., Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden blamed President Donald Trump for inciting violence in America’s streets and said Trump has made the country more dangerous.
"Rioting is not protesting, looting is not protesting, setting fires is not protesting, none of this is protesting," Biden said during a speech in Pittsburgh. "It’s lawlessness, plain and simple, and those who do it should be prosecuted. Violence will not bring change, it will only bring destruction."
But some conservatives continue to criticize Biden for not specifically denouncing antifa, a movement of far-left, anti-fascists cited for using violent tactics, as a domestic terrorist organization.
Now, a post on Facebook points out that typing in antifa.com automatically redirects internet users to joebiden.com, Biden’s official presidential campaign website.
"If you go to Antifa.com, it takes you directly to joe bidens webpage....whats that tell ya...try it yourself," the post says.
This is actually true, but it doesn’t tell you anything. Anyone can buy a domain name and have it redirect to any existing website.
The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
RELATED: No, Joe Biden didn’t single out antifa as ‘courageous’
While there’s no evidence that Biden’s campaign owns antifa.com, it did recently purchase keepamericagreat.com to spotlight what it calls President Trump’s "broken promises."
We reached out to the campaign about the antifa.com redirect but did not hear back.
News outlets first reported the antifa.com redirect on Aug. 12, just after Sen. Kamala Harris was announced as Biden’s running mate. The site was removed about a day later, but has since resurfaced.
Clifford Neuman, director of the University of Southern California’s Center for Computer Systems Security, says there are a couple of ways to redirect a website, but that in this instance, when a browser connects to antifa.com, it receives a response from the antifa.com server that tells it to go to joebiden.com instead, prompting the user’s browser to establish a new connection.
"Basically the way things work with domain names is, if you own a domain name, whether you’re the original purchaser or you purchased it from someone else, you can redirect your domain name to anywhere you wanted it to go," Neuman said, "and that doesn’t require permission or any or coordination from the person you are trying to redirect to."
Neuman found that the antifa.com domain was first registered in 2000, and was most recently transferred to a new host in April 2020, though information on the new owner is hidden.
According to Whois, an online domain registry, antifa.com was last updated on Aug. 14, 2020. The registrant is listed as "WhoisGuard Protected," meaning the domain owner is using a service to remain anonymous.
The first time web archives show antifa.com displaying content sympathetic to the antifa movement was May 31, 2020. But this is just a snapshot of the website from that day, and doesn’t mean it was created that day.
On July 24, the page included a notice that said a new, updated website was coming soon. And, on Aug. 8, we find the first archived version that redirected visitors to joebiden.com.
Joe Biden has been the target of deceptive website practices before.
In 2019, a Republican consulting firm created joebiden.info, a mock website that displayed images and videos of Biden appearing to touch and kiss young women and girls, fact-checking website Snopes reported. The firm also made fake websites about other Democratic primary candidates including Sens. Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren and Kamala Harris.
In 2019, state party chairs of the Democratic National Committee backed a pledge to rule out the use of illegitimate tactics like manipulated videos, fake social media accounts or websites, but party leaders did not bring the proposal to a vote.
The post is partially accurate, but it leaves out important details or takes things out of context. We rate this Half True.
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26924, 3082, 627] | 662 |
564 | Donald Trump | 2020-08-31 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
“I am not banning fracking.”
| Jessica Calefati | 2020-09-01 00:00:00 | half-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/27/facebook-posts/great-barrington-herd-immunity-document-widely-dis/ |
Great Barrington herd immunity document widely disputed by scientists
|
As the United States reaches all-time highs in new coronavirus cases — exceeding 80,000 in a single day — posts circulating online claim "world renowned" experts now say that most everyone should go back to living their lives as normal.
"BREAKING NEWS," one post on Facebook reads. "The world renowned experts in their fields, after a 4 day conference regarding COVID-19, declare that WE SHOULD ALL GO BACK TO LIVING NORMALLY, PRACTICING SIMPLE HYGIENE & STAYING HOME WHEN SICK (NO FACE MASKS OR SOCIAL DISTANCING) and only protect the most vulnerable populations with more protective measures!"
The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
The social media post doesn’t provide the full picture. It’s accurate that three scientists authored a letter that endorses herd immunity and supports a completely reopened society for those with no underlying health conditions amid the COVID-19 pandemic. Since its publication in early October, however, the document has been widely criticized by scientists and denounced by top health officials and thousands of doctors around the world.
The Great Barrington Declaration
The document was drawn up following a meeting hosted by the libertarian think-tank American Institute for Economic Research. Named the "Great Barrington Declaration" after the Massachusetts town in which it was drafted, the paper was signed by scientists and health experts across the world. But a British broadcast station found that some of those who signed the letter online used fake names, including "Dr. Person Fakename" and "Dr. Johnny Bananas." The signatures were later made private.
The plan was put together by three scientists from prestigious universities: Dr. Sunetra Gupta of Oxford University, Dr. Jay Bhattacharya of Stanford University, and Martin Kulldorff of Harvard University.
But none in the group have published any peer-reviewed studies about the coronavirus, and some have advocated for herd immunity over lockdowns for months, telling policymakers that the virus isn’t that deadly.
The plan, which they describe as "focused protection," calls for only protecting "vulnerable" people and for otherwise healthy people to live life as normal, as if the virus doesn’t exist, thus opening up the avenue for them to get infected with COVID-19. It reads, in part:
"The most compassionate approach that balances the risks and benefits of reaching herd immunity, is to allow those who are at minimal risk of death to live their lives normally to build up immunity to the virus through natural infection, while better protecting those who are at highest risk...
"Those who are not vulnerable should immediately be allowed to resume life as normal. Simple hygiene measures, such as hand washing and staying home when sick should be practiced by everyone to reduce the herd immunity threshold. Schools and universities should be open for in-person teaching. Extracurricular activities, such as sports, should be resumed. Young low-risk adults should work normally, rather than from home. Restaurants and other businesses should open. Arts, music, sport and other cultural activities should resume. People who are more at risk may participate if they wish, while society as a whole enjoys the protection conferred upon the vulnerable by those who have built up herd immunity."
The controversial idea falls in line with the Trump administration’s position on reopening the United States during the pandemic, and the authors discussed the strategy in a meeting with Alex Azar, secretary of the Department of Health and Human Services, and Scott Atlas, a Stanford neuroradiologist on the White House coronavirus task force, Buzzfeed News reported. White House officials also embraced the paper.
Health officials respond
The document was quickly and emphatically rejected by the greater scientific and medical community, including top U.S. health officials, the World Health Organization and the United Kingdom government.
Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, called the declaration "ridiculous" and "total nonsense" in an interview with ABC News: "If you talk to anybody who has any experience in epidemiology and infectious disease they will tell you that that is risky, and you will wind up with many more infections of vulnerable people, which will lead to hospitalizations and deaths. So I think we just gotta look that square in the eye and say it’s nonsense."
"Never in the history of public health has herd immunity been used as a strategy for responding to an outbreak, let alone a pandemic. It is scientifically and ethically problematic," WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said at a news conference on Oct. 12.
Matt Hancock, the UK’s health secretary, attacked the document in Parliament on Oct. 13, saying that many infectious diseases never reach herd immunity, and called it a flawed goal without a vaccine. Hancock also took issue with the paper’s idea of separating the elderly and vulnerable.
"That is simply not possible," Hancok said. "As the medical director of the NHS said yesterday, we cannot somehow fence off the elderly and the vulnerable from risk while everyone else returns to normal. It is neither conscionable nor practicable — not when so many people live in intergenerational homes, not when older people need carers who of course themselves live in the community, and not when young people can suffer the debilitating impact of long COVID. ...If we let this virus continue unchecked, the loss of life would be simply too great to contemplate."
Thousands of other experts have also spoken out against the declaration.
A counter-memo, first published in the Lancet medical journal and signed by a group of 80 researchers, called the idea "a dangerous fallacy unsupported by scientific evidence." More than 6,400 scientists, researchers and healthcare professionals have since signed the memo.
Our ruling
A Facebook post says "world renowned experts in their fields" have determined that the vulnerable should still be protected amid COVID-19, but those without underlying medical conditions should immediately be allowed to resume life as normal.
Three scientists authored a declaration that calls for what they termed "focused protection" — shielding the vulnerable while otherwise healthy people to return to schools, offices and restaurants.
Readers who see the social media post and nothing else will be left with the wrong impression about the safety of such a plan. It was immediately denounced by top health officials and thousands of doctors and scientists around the world, who say that the plan is dangerous and nearly impossible to execute in a world where vulnerable populations cannot ethically live in isolation.
The post is partially accurate but leaves out important details. We rate it Half True.
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567 | Gwen Moore | 2020-08-31 00:00:00 | a tweet:
|
California voters who go to the polls to vote in person will be “TURNED AWAY & CANNOT VOTE” unless they change their voting preference to “NO to mail in voting.”
| Samantha Putterman | 2020-10-27 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/26/facebook-posts/no-evidence-hunter-biden-had-photos-coons-daughter/ |
No evidence Hunter Biden had photos of Coons’ daughter
|
The unproven claims of a Delaware Senate candidate have inspired a rash of conspiratorial Facebook posts about Joe Biden’s son.
An Oct. 24 post claims a conservative news outlet reported that a laptop belonging to Hunter Biden contains illicit images of the daughter of Sen. Chris Coons, D-Del.
"BREAKING: The daughter of Sen. Coons (D-DE), along with 7 other underaged girls are featured on Hunter’s laptop! - Breitbart News," the post says.
The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.) The claim has also made its way to TikTok and YouTube.
Since the New York Post published a story Oct. 14 in which it claimed to have information from a computer hard drive owned by Hunter Biden, similar unproven attacks against him have swirled on social media. So we took a closer look at this claim.
(Screenshot from Facebook)
There is no evidence that a computer hard drive previously belonging to Hunter Biden contains illicit images of Coons’ teenage daughter. The claim comes from a U.S. Senate candidate who has previously shared posts related to QAnon, a baseless conspiracy theory about child sex trafficking.
On Oct. 24, Lauren Witzke, a Republican who’s running against Coons to represent Delaware in the Senate, tweeted an audio clip from an interview with Breitbart News. The post has been shared more than 8,700 times and amplified by conservative outlets like the Gateway Pundit.
During the interview, Witzke made a variety of accusations against Joe Biden, including that he is "owned by China." While discussing Hunter Biden’s purported laptop, she said: "Chris Coons' daughter, in addition to seven other underage girls, are also featured on the laptop."
Breitbart did not independently report this as news, as the Facebook posts make it seem.
Coons is one of Joe Biden’s biggest supporters in Washington, and his daughter has previously been the subject of disinformation that falsely claims Biden is a pedophile. One often-used photo shows Biden touching her arm as he leans in to whisper something.
In her interview with Breitbart, Witzke cited "sources close to and that have deep knowledge in the investigation." We reached out to her for evidence to substantiate her comments, but she did not offer any. We haven’t heard back from the Biden campaign.
Her comments play into QAnon, a baseless conspiracy theory that claims President Donald Trump is secretly fighting a cabal of Democratic, Satan-worshipping, cannibalistic pedophiles. Before winning Delaware’s Republican primary in September, Witzke tried to distance herself from QAnon. But Witzke has been photographed wearing a T-shirt sporting a giant "Q" and tweeted a slogan used by its supporters.
There is no publicly available evidence to support Witzke’s claim — and neither Breitbart nor the New York Post have reported such a finding.
RELATED: Fact-checking claims about Hunter Biden, Joe Biden, and China
The New York Post’s story about Hunter Biden relies on information from a computer hard drive that the tabloid said it received from Rudy Giuliani, President Donald Trump’s personal lawyer. The computer was supposedly left unclaimed at a Delaware computer shop, the owner of which called the FBI and a Giuliani associate after noticing a sticker for the Beau Biden Foundation on the laptop. We are not able to verify the emails cited in the Post’s article, which claims Hunter Biden set up a meeting between his father and a Ukrainian businessman.
But the story does not establish that such a meeting ever took place, and the Post did not report that Hunter Biden possessed images of minors. The FBI declined to comment for a previous fact-check due to its practice of "neither confirming nor denying the existence of an investigation." Giuliani also hasn’t returned our messages about the hard drive. No other news organizations have seen or corroborated the data supposedly on the laptop.
Because of that, we can’t say for certain what is or isn’t on the hard drive at the center of the New York Post’s story.
Our ruling
The Facebook posts say, "The daughter of Sen. Coons (D-DE), along with 7 other underaged girls are featured on Hunter's laptop!" The posts are attributed to Breitbart, but the conservative news and opinion site did not publish such an allegation. A U.S. Senate candidate, running against Coons, repeated this claim in an interview with Breitbart. The candidate offered no evidence to back up her claim about illicit material on a computer hard drive connected to Hunter Biden.
We rate the unproven claim False.
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568 | Joe Biden | 2020-08-31 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
"World renowned experts" declare that we should “live normally, practice simple hygiene,” stay home when sick and use protective measures only with “the most vulnerable populations.”
| Samantha Putterman | 2020-10-27 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/26/donald-trump/trump-wrongly-accuses-dc-mayor-calling-removal-was/ |
Trump wrongly accuses DC mayor of calling for removal of Washington Monument, Lincoln Memorial
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President Donald Trump attacked Washington, D.C., Mayor Muriel Bowser, wrongly accusing her during a campaign rally of recommending that the city get rid of two storied landmarks.
"We have a mayor in D.C. who formed a commission with recommendations," Trump said Oct. 24 in Circleville, Ohio. "Her recommendation is: Take down the Washington Monument, close up the Lincoln Monument. No, no. These are serious. You read about it."
"I said, ‘No, thank you. No, thank you. No, thank you, madam mayor. We're going to keep the Washington Monument just the way it is.’ These people. These people are crazy."
Trump’s comment mischaracterized the recommendations of a city commission that spent the summer reviewing the namesakes of more than 1,300 schools, buildings, parks, streets, public spaces and monuments throughout the nation’s capital.
The working group suggested that the city rename a number of its properties, often because of the namesakes’ connections to slavery, systemic racism or other forms of social injustice. It also called on Bowser to urge the federal government to "remove, relocate or contextualize'' eight federal statues and memorials, including the Washington Monument.
But Bowser never recommended that the city "take down" the Washington Monument or "close up" the Lincoln Memorial. The Lincoln Memorial was never mentioned in the commission’s report, which has since been edited to remove the recommendations for federal properties.
Situated on the National Mall, both the Washington Monument and the Lincoln Memorial are on federal land, putting them outside of the control of Bowser or the city government. Renaming them would require action from Congress, according to DCist.
The mayor’s office and Trump campaign did not respond to requests for comment.
Bowser didn’t call for removing the Washington Monument, Lincoln Memorial
Bowser convened the working group in July following unrest in Washington and elsewhere over the May police killing of George Floyd, a Black man from Minneapolis.
The purpose of the commission, Bowser said on Twitter, was to ensure that the legacies of people honored with their names on buildings or other public spaces were consistent with the city’s values. In a 24-page report published in September, the commission laid out whether certain city-owned facilities should be "removed, renamed or contextualized."
The group looked primarily at whether the namesakes had "key disqualifying histories," such as participation in slavery, systemic racism or the mistreatment of minority groups. It suggested that the city rename 21 of its public schools; nine of its residential buildings and campuses; 12 of its parks, fields and playgrounds; and seven of its government buildings.
Relevant to Trump’s claim, the commission also recommended that Bowser use her position on the National Capital Memorial Advisory Commission to lobby the federal government to "remove, relocate or contextualize" eight federal properties.
The report did not specify what it was recommending for each of the properties listed, which included iconic landmarks such as the Jefferson Memorial and Washington Monument, both named for former presidents who enslaved people.
But the rollout of the report was met with criticism from the White House and the president’s allies, some of whom misrepresented the report’s intentions as calling for the removal of the Washington Monument, according to the Washington Post.
To address the confusion, Bowser had the report shortened by a page, removing the page related to federal properties. LaToya Foster, a spokesperson for Bowser’s office, told the Washington Post the commission’s proposal for the federal properties was "contextualizing, not removing."
"Mayor Bowser has asked the (committee) to clarify and refine their recommendations to focus on local D.C.," Foster said, according to the Washington Post.
Washington, D.C., Mayor Muriel Bowser speaks during a news conference on Sept. 4, 2020, in Washington. (AP/Brandon)
"My expectation of the report was that it would not include any recommendations on federal buildings," Bowser said in a Sept. 3 press conference. "When I saw the final report, and I could see immediately how its recommendations could be easily misconstrued or purposely misconstrued, so we removed it."
FactCheck.org, the Associated Press and USA Today previously debunked social media posts that, like Trump, wrongly accused Bowser of calling for the Washington Monument’s removal.
Our ruling
Trump said, "We have a mayor in D.C. who formed a commission with recommendations. Her recommendation is: Take down the Washington Monument, close up the Lincoln Monument. No, no. These are serious."
Bowser has not petitioned for tearing down the Washington Monument or Lincoln Memorial.
A report from a working group she established in July did urge her to encourage the federal government to "remove, relocate or contextualize" the Washington Monument, not the Lincoln Memorial. But the mayor had the references to federal monuments deleted from the report, and her office quickly clarified that the commission’s call was for "contextualizing, not removing."
We rate Trump’s statement Mostly False.
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570 | Facebook posts | 2020-08-31 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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Says Troy Nehls “called wearing masks 'un-American' and called those who do 'communists.'"
| Daniel Funke | 2020-10-26 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/26/joni-ernst/bipartisanship-rankings-show-joni-ernst-toward-top/ |
Bipartisanship rankings show Joni Ernst toward the top
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Republican Iowa Sen. Joni Ernst touted her bipartisan record at a debate against Democratic opponent Theresa Greenfield on Oct. 15, saying she was ranked as one of the most bipartisan senators in the last 25 years.
"I am so honored to be named as one of the most bipartisan senators in the United States Senate in the last 25 years," she said.
It was similar to a more specific statement about the rating’s source that she made at a Sept. 28 debate between the two candidates:
"I have been ranked as one of the most bipartisan Senators by Georgetown University over the last 25 years from any state of either party," Ernst said at the earlier debate.
Ernst is seeking reelection against Democrat Theresa Greenfield, and has been criticized by Democrats for sticking with Republican President Donald Trump when voting in Congress.
We checked the Georgetown University Bipartisan Index and saw that Ernst was ranked 34th among 98 senators actively serving in the U.S. Senate in 2019. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConell and minority leader Chuck Schumer were excluded from the analysis.
The Bipartisan Index, a joint project of the Lugar Center and the McCourt School of Public Policy at Georgetown University, also showed Ernst’s voting record as ranking 39th out of 250 senators in the last 20 years.
Ernst’s campaign said the Bipartisan Index rating puts her in the top 15 percent of most bipartisan senators, campaign spokesperson Brendan Conley wrote in an email to The Daily Iowan. A check of the index shows Ernst in the top 15.6 percent.
Dan Diller, the policy director at The Lugar Center, wrote in an email that the Index is not a subjective judgment. Rather, he said, it is based on objective statistics applied to every senator to determine the frequency with which a member co-sponsors bills introduced by the senator’s opposing party, and the frequency with which a member’s own bills are co-sponsored by a member of the opposite party. He said senators are then compared with the average score of peers over the 25 years of data.
"Using this standard, Sen. Ernst scores very well, though not in the very top echelon," Diller wrote. "Her lifetime score places her roughly in the 84th percentile of senators measured. I don’t know Senator Ernst’s precise words, but it would be for…Iowa voters to decide whether they were accurate based on her rankings."
While Diller wrote that Ernst has earned high scores – well above the historical average – indicating frequent cooperation with Democrats at the time legislation was introduced, he added that other measures of bipartisanship exist. So, we’ll take a stab at her statement by looking at the data, and other measures, knowing that any U.S. senator votes more often with their own party than they do with the opposition party.
Ernst may cooperate with Democrats at the time legislation is introduced, but she votes in line with Republican President Trump’s position 91 percent of the time, according to FiveThirtyEight, which tracks the president’s political positions and how senators vote on them.
Raw vote counts aren’t an absolute measure either, according to Ian Ostrander, an assistant professor of American politics at Michigan State University. "Some votes matter much more than others," he wrote to PolitiFact in September.
In another measure, though, Ernst is ranked as the second most conservative senator by GovTrack, behind Marsha Blackburn of Tennessee. The GovTrack ideology score measures senators "according to their legislative behavior by whether they sponsor and co-sponsor overlapping sets of bills and resolutions with other Members of Congress."
Overall, 26.4 percent of the bills Ernst co-sponsored in 2019 were introduced by a Democrat. GovTrack ranked her 52nd among senators for the percent of bills co-sponsored that were introduced by the other party. She introduced 18 bipartisan bills in 2019, which put her in a five-way tie for 38th place among senators for the number of bills introduced, according to GovTrack.
Of the 48 bills Ernst introduced during the 119th Congress, 20 were cosponsored by Democrats, but only two of the bills Ernst introduced passed the Senate. Both were bipartisan votes on veterans issues, according to the U.S. Congress record of bills introduced.
Our ruling
Ernst said she is ranked one of the most bipartisan senators in the Senate over the last 25 years.
Ernst has high scores of frequent cooperation with Democrats when legislation is presented, higher than the historical average. That indicates she is willing to work across the aisle when introducing legislation, especially according to the Georgetown University Bipartisan Index.
An overall claim that she is one of the most bipartisan U.S. senators may be slightly misleading because 38 current senators ranked in front of her in The Bipartisan Index’s 2019 rankings. Moreover, a senator’s bipartisanship also can be determined through voting records, rhetoric, and other factors.
Ernst votes in line with the Republican president 90 percent of the time, and is considered by GovTrack, which gauges bills she sponsors and co-sponsors, to be one of the most conservative senators ideologically. Her score from other groups tempers the absolute claim of working in a strong, bipartisan fashion more often than her colleagues.
Still, Ernst places relatively high in two rankings of bipartisanship. So we rate her statement Mostly True.
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571 | Instagram posts | 2020-10-26 00:00:00 | an ad:
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"The daughter of Sen. Coons (D-DE), along with 7 other underaged girls are featured on Hunter's laptop! - Breitbart News"
| Bill McCarthy | 2020-10-26 00:00:00 | mostly-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/30/viral-image/image-shows-some-people-accused-killing-officers-2/ |
Image shows some of the people accused of killing officers in 2016
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An image being shared on social media in 2020 shows a grid of 16 people, some posing for mugshots.
"This is a picture of all the men who have killed police officers this year," a description of the image says. "Anyone notice anything strange?"
Some commenters interpreted the question to suggest that the men in the photos survived to have their mugshots taken because they are white, whereas a Black suspect would have been killed.
We won’t weigh in on that speculation. But this post is wrong on another point. The men in the photos were accused of killing law enforcement officers in 2016, not 2020.
This post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
We did a reverse image search for each of the photos that appear in the grid.
The man in the first photo, Herschel R. Jones III, was accused of shooting and killing a police officer in Danville, Ohio, in January 2016. He pleaded guilty and was sentenced to life in prison.
Moving right to left, top to bottom, the man in the second photo is Corey Lee Henderson, who was shot and killed by police in Holladay, Utah, after police said Henderson shot and killed a police officer in January 2016.
The third photo shows Phillip Ferry, who was accused of fatally shooting an officer in Seaside, Oregon, in February 2016. Another officer shot and killed him.
The fourth photo shows Austin Holzer, who was 17 when he was charged with first-degree murder in the fatal February 2016 shooting of a sheriff’s deputy in Mesa County, Colorado. He pleaded guilty.
The fifth photo shows David Brian Evans, who shot and killed two deputies in Harford County, Md., before he was killed by deputies who returned fire in February 2016.
The sixth photo shows Marcus Schumacher, who authorities said shot and killed a police officer in Fargo, N.D., before he turned the gun on himself in February 2016.
The seventh photo shows Charles Lee Lambert, who shot and killed a state trooper in Mississippi in February 2016 and was then killed by other officers.
The eighth photo shows Martin Wirth, who shot and killed an officer in Bailey, Colo., before officers shot and killed him in February 2016.
The ninth photo shows Evan Dorsey, who police said shot and killed an Indiana sheriff’s deputy before killing himself in March 2016.
The 10th photo shows Lincoln Rutledge, who was accused of killing an Ohio police officer who was part of a SWAT team trying to arrest Rutledge for allegedly setting fire to his estranged wife’s house in April 2016. He was sentenced to life in prison.
The 11th photo shows Joseph Moreno, who was accused of killing an officer in Alamogordo, N.M., in September 2016. Police shot and killed Moreno.
The 12th photo shows Trenton Forster, who was charged with murder in the October 2016 death of a St. Louis County officer in Missouri. He was sentenced to life in prison.
The 13th photo shows John Hernandez Felix, who was sentenced to death in the October 2016 killing of two police officers in Palm Springs, Calif.
The 14th photo shows Ralph Stanley Elrod Jr., who was charged with murder in the deaths of two sheriff’s deputies in Peach County, Ga., in November 2016. He pleaded guilty and received two life sentences.
The 15th photo shows Larry Darnell Gordon, who authorities said was trying to escape from a courthouse in Michigan when he took a gun from an officer and killed two bailiffs before he was fatally shot by other officers in July 2016.
The 16th photo shows Jesse Denver Hanes, who was accused of killing a police officer in New Mexico in August 2016. He was sentenced to life in prison.
It’s unclear what the Facebook post meant when it asked about the grid: "Anyone notice anything strange?"
Many of the people featured in the image who were accused of killing officers were themselves shot and killed at the scene by police. Lead Stories, which also looked into this claim, also noted that other officers were killed that year by suspects including men of different ethnicities.
The post claims that the photos show "all the men" who killed police officers this year. It’s true that the people in the images were accused of killing law enforcement officers. But that was in 2016, not 2020. And more than 16 people were accused of killing police that year. According to the FBI, 118 law enforcement officers were killed in line-of-duty incidents in 2016, including 66 law enforcement officers who died as a result of criminal acts.
We rate this post Mostly False.
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575 | Donald Trump | 2020-10-17 00:00:00 | comments at a debate:
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Photo shows “all the men who have killed police officers this year (2020).”
| Daniel Funke | 2020-09-30 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/11/facebook-posts/if-president-biden-left-office-nancy-pelosi-would-/ |
If a President Biden left office, Nancy Pelosi would not become vice president
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Even though the 2020 presidential election has yet to occur, people are already thinking about what would happen if the newly elected president left office.
"If Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden wins the election but cannot serve his full term, vice presidential nominee Kamala Harris would assume the role of president and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi would become vice president," reads a popular Facebook post. "LET THAT SINK IN!"
This post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.) This isn’t how vice presidential succession works.
The post got the first piece right: If the president is impeached, resigns, or is otherwise incapacitated, the vice president becomes president.
"In case of the removal of the President from office or of his death or resignation, the Vice President shall become President," reads the U.S. Constitution.
This has happened throughout American history. When President Abraham Lincoln died, his vice president, Andrew Johnson, became president. When President William McKinley died, Theodore Roosevelt took his place.
But if the vice president becomes president, then what happens to the empty vice presidential slot? It’s not surprising people would be confused by this question. For much of American history, the government didn’t have much of an answer. The vice president simply wasn’t replaced because a process wasn’t codified in the Constitution.
"Our Constitution's framers created the vice presidency almost as an afterthought," explains the U.S. Senate website. "The 20th century began without a vice president. Vice President Garret Hobart had died in November 1899, leaving the office vacant, as it had been on 10 previous occasions for periods ranging from a few months to nearly four years. The nation had gotten along just fine. No one much noticed Hobart’s absence."
But that changed as time went on.
"The absence of any provision for filling a vice-presidential vacancy had become intolerable in the modern era," continues the U.S. Senate website.
So after President John F. Kennedy was assassinated in 1963, Congress passed the 25th Amendment to the Constitution. According to the new amendment, if a vice presidential vacancy opens up, the president can nominate a replacement.
"Whenever there is a vacancy in the office of the Vice President, the President shall nominate a Vice President who shall take office upon confirmation by a majority vote of both Houses of Congress," reads the 25th Amendment.
This rule was first put into practice in 1973, when Vice President Spiro Agnew resigned. Richard Nixon was president at the time, and he nominated Gerald R. Ford to take over the role. The House and Senate confirmed the nomination, and Ford took office. When Nixon resigned the next year, Ford became president and nominated Nelson A. Rockefeller as vice president.
So if Biden became president and left office early, Kamala Harris would indeed become the new president.
But Nancy Pelosi, the speaker of the House, wouldn’t become vice president. Instead, Harris would choose the new vice president, and the House and Senate would vote on her choice.
The poster may be confused by the Presidential Succession Act, which says that if both the president and vice president die or are incapacitated, the speaker of the House is next in line to become president. Some people believe the Presidential Succession Act is unconstitutional, but that’s for another day.
This post rates False.
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576 | Scott Perry | 2020-10-15 00:00:00 | an image on Facebook:
|
Says Joe Biden was “wearing a wire” during the first presidential debate.
| Louis Jacobson | 2020-09-29 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/10/votevetsorg/no-tillis-didnt-oppose-military-raises-or-boost-hi/ |
No, Tillis didn't oppose military raises or boost his own pay
|
A new campaign ad claims U.S. Sen. Thom Tillis isn’t doing enough for the military.
The ad by VoteVets, a left-leaning campaign committee, attempts to highlight the military career of Tillis’ Democratic opponent Cal Cunningham. Political experts believe the North Carolina race could determine which political party wins a majority in the Senate.
A woman in the ad says Tillis voted "against a pay raise for a military, while voting for a pay raise for himself."
Those words also appear on screen.
So are they true?
Not really. For this ad, VoteVets cherry-picked two sections of a massive budget bill and it ignores Tillis’ other efforts to raise military pay.
The 2018 bill
The ad cites a March 23, 2018 vote on HR 1625 for both of its claims about pay.
HR 1625, which became law, is also known as the Consolidated Appropriations Act of 2018 or the "omnibus bill." That means it funded multiple areas of government, from the Commerce and Justice departments to other special projects.
The bill was controversial among many Republicans who thought its $1.3 trillion price tag was too high. Tillis wasn’t the only Republican to vote against it. (Others went so far as to encourage Trump to veto the bill.)
Trump complained that the bill didn’t include enough funding for more wall construction on the southern border. But he signed it anyway, all the while calling it "ridiculous" and saying he would "never sign another bill like this again."
The bill did include a 2.4% raise for troops, which the White House said was the largest pay raise since 2010. And it funded raises that Tillis and others had already approved.
Military pay
Tillis supported a military pay raise authorized by the National Defense Authorization Act, which was signed just three months before the omnibus bill.
In June 2017, Tillis touted his subcommittee’s approval of military raises for the NDAA. That September, he voted for the NDAA. And in December 2017, President Trump signed the bill -- and its 2.4% raise for military service members -- into law. In March, the omnibus bill (the same one mentioned in the VoteVets ad) guaranteed funding for those NDAA raises.
"As Chairman of the Senate Armed Services Personnel Subcommittee, Senator Tillis worked across the aisle to authorize a pay raise for service members in the NDAA," Tillis spokesman Andrew Romeo said.
"Senator Tillis supported a wide range of priorities that were funded in the bill, including the pay raise for service members that Senator Tillis successfully advanced during the NDAA process," Romeo said.
Pay for Congress
The ad’s claim about raises for Senators is misleading. The omnibus bill didn’t introduce a new salary for senators, so much as cancel a raise that was already scheduled to take place.
The Constitution allows members of Congress to set their own salaries, but there’s a catch: the 27th Amendment says a new salary can’t take effect until after the next election.
In 1989, Congress enacted a formula for providing cost of living adjustments to Congress members. But since 2009, the annual salary for most senators has remained at $174,000.
Why have salaries stayed the same for a decade? Because the law allows some political theater so members can "vote against" a raise.
Congress routinely blocks the automatic wage adjustment from taking effect. (The Congressional Research Office published a history of Congressional salaries in this 2020 report.)
The 2018 omnibus included the same pay freeze, saying "no adjustment shall be made under section 601(a) of the Legislative Reorganization Act of 1946 (2 U.S.C. 4501) (relating to cost of living adjustments for Members of Congress) during fiscal year 2018."
We asked the Tillis campaign why Tillis opposed the omnibus bill. Romeo said it had nothing to do with pay for service members or a pay increase for senators.
"When Congress was presented with a huge spending bill that failed to make any meaningful attempts to get federal spending under control, Senator Tillis voted in favor of cloture to prevent the bill from stalling but voted against the final passage," Romeo said. Cloture is a Senate procedure for ending debates on the floor.
Our ruling
The VoteVets ad says Tillis voted "against a pay raise for a military, while voting for a pay raise for himself."
It’s true that the bill VoteVets referenced included a raise for military service members, and that it froze pay for Congress members. It’s also true that Tillis voted against it.
However, VoteVets ignores the broader context of the bill and of Tillis’ record on military pay. Tillis supported military raises in the National Defense Authorization Act. And he says his opposition to the omnibus bill had nothing to do with pay for Congress members.
This ad is a classic example of cherry-picking that PolitiFact sees every election, using a single vote to make a misleading point. The statement contains an element of truth but ignores critical facts that would give a different impression. We rate it Mostly False.
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577 | Joni Ernst | 2020-10-23 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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“We have a higher deficit with China now than we did before.”
| Noah Y. Kim | 2020-09-29 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/09/republican-party-florida/florida-gop-twists-debate-remarks-harris-trump-and/ |
Florida GOP twists debate remarks by Harris on Trump and Black judges
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The Republican Party of Florida distorted what Sen. Kamala Harris said during the vice presidential debate about the lack of Black judges in President Donald Trump’s judicial nominees.
"[email protected]’ lies keep adding up. Yesterday she said @realdonaldtrump did not appoint minorities to the courts. These are federal judges he nominated in Florida and Kamala did not vote to confirm a single one of them," stated the tweet from @FloridaGOP.
The tweet included photos of four of Trump’s judicial picks, including three who are minorities.
.@KamalaHarris’ lies keep adding up. Yesterday she said @realdonaldtrump did not appoint minorities to the courts. These are federal judges he nominated in Florida and Kamala did not vote to confirm a single one of them. pic.twitter.com/9arxf22RXb— Florida GOP (@FloridaGOP) October 8, 2020
The Florida GOP didn’t accurately quote what Harris said at the debate and omits context about the nominations of the four judges highlighted in the tweet.
During the debate, Vice President Mike Pence asked Harris if she and Biden plan to add more seats on the Supreme Court if Trump’s nominee Judge Amy Coney Barrett is confirmed and Biden wins the election.
"Let’s talk about packing the court then," Harris replied. She said that she had witnessed lifetime appointments to the federal court who are "purely ideological people" who were "not competent."
"And do you know that of the 50 people who President Trump appointed to the Court of Appeals for lifetime appointments, not one is Black? This is what they've been doing," she said. "You want to talk about packing a court? Let's have that discussion."
The statement by Harris about no Black appeals court appointments by Trump is accurate, according to data from the Federal Judicial Center, the research and education agency for the nation’s federal courts.
The Florida GOP tweet includes a different class of federal judges, though both are lifetime appointments. The party highlighted three of Trump’s nominees to federal district courts in Florida and one federal appeals court judge who is a Hispanic woman.
Federal district courts are below appellate courts. There are 13 appellate courts that sit below the U.S. Supreme Court. These courts hear challenges to district court decisions.
Harris was talking about the appeals court, and the Florida GOP portrayed her as a liar at the debate by bringing up the lower court system.
Regardless, here’s what happened with the judges pictured in the Florida GOP tweet.
All four nominees pictured in the tweet had worked as judges in Florida, and all were approved by the U.S. Senate in 2019.
Harris voted against confirming Rodney Smith, who is Black. Smith was confirmed 78-18 in June 2019.
Harris didn’t vote on the other three nominees.
Wendy W. Berger, who is white, was confirmed 54-37 largely along party lines in July 2019.
Anuraag Singhal, whose parents emigrated to the U.S. from India, was confirmed 76-17 in December 2019.
Barbara Lagoa, who is Hispanic, was confirmed 80-15 in November 2019 for the 11th Circuit of the U.S. Court of Appeals.
These votes took place in 2019 when Harris was running in the Democratic primary for president.
We asked spokespersons for Harris why she voted against Smith and didn’t vote on the other three and didn’t get a response to that question.
We found news articles, blogs and Senate questionnaires that showed all four nominees had been affiliated with the Federalist Society, a national group of conservative lawyers.
"What's behind these disputes is the fact that the administration (and Federalist Society) have emphasized above all putting young ideological conservatives on the courts of appeals. Gender, race, and other factors have been much less important," Russell Wheeler of the Brookings Institution said. "So, no Blacks and only one Latino/a (Lagoa)."
Some Senate Democrats have voted against Trump’s appeals court picks because Republican Majority Leader Mitch McConnell blocked President Barack Obama’s judicial appointments in 2015 and 2016.
RELATED: Fact-check: Why Barack Obama failed to fill over 100 judgeships
A spokesperson for the Republican Party of Florida said the tweet was warranted, arguing that Harris implied Trump "has not made appointments that reflect the diversity of our country."
"Most importantly judicial appointments should be decided based on a person’s qualifications and experience, not race, ethnicity or gender," said Alia Faraj-Johnson, spokesperson for the Republican Party of Florida.
Our ruling
The Republican Party of Florida said Harris said Trump "did not appoint minorities to the courts." The party distorted what Harris said at the debate. Harris accurately said that Trump had not nominated any Black Americans to serve on the federal courts of appeal.
The GOP singled out three federal district court nominees who are either minorities or women and one nomination of an Hispanic woman who is an appeals court judge. It still does not prove that Harris fibbed at the debate. We rate this claim False.
RELATED STORY: Fact-checking the 2020 vice presidential debate, Kamala Harris vs. Mike Pence
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578 | Viral image | 2020-09-16 00:00:00 | a video:
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"You said you went to Delaware State but you forgot the name of your college."
| Jon Greenberg | 2020-10-09 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/09/donald-trump/trump-makes-unfounded-claim-2016-debate-commission/ |
Trump makes unfounded claim that 2016 debate commission apologized for mic
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After refusing to participate in a virtual debate, President Donald Trump continued to wage a war with the Commission on Presidential Debates, saying that the group chooses biased moderators and that it apologized after tampering with his microphone when he debated Hillary Clinton in 2016.
In an Oct. 8 phone interview with Fox News host Sean Hannity, Trump resurfaced his unfounded claim that the commission interfered with his microphone during the 2016 presidential debates, when he faced off against Hillary Clinton, and said the group wrote him an apology letter at the time.
"Now you have this debate commission is a joke. The commission's a joke," Trump told Hannity. "Take a look at the letter they wrote me four years ago, when they apologized. They were oscillating my mic. They were turning it up and down when I was speaking to Hillary, crooked Hillary."
We found no evidence the commission sent Trump an apology letter in 2016 due to what happened with his mic.
The only letter we find referenced in 2016 news archives involving Trump and the commission is one from the NFL that it denied sending.
When we reached out to the Trump campaign and the White House for evidence of this letter, we did not hear back.
Trump first raised issues about what he said was a "defective mic" during the first general election debate in 2016. He suggested the malfunction may have been deliberate. Later, in 2019, Trump repeated the claim and said the commission was "forced to publicly apologize."
The commission, a nonprofit that sponsors the presidential debates, did not publicly apologize. It acknowledged in a short, one sentence statement four days after the debate that "there were issues regarding Donald Trump’s audio that affected the sound level in the debate hall." The malfunction was confined to the room, and did not affect Trump’s audio for the 84 million people who watched the debate on TV.
A contemporaneous report by the New York Times noted that there was "no evidence of sabotage," but said the commission released no other information about the malfunction, including how it was discovered or what equipment was to blame.
PolitiFact contacted the commission about the issue, and asked whether it sent Trump an apology letter. We did not hear back.
In a February 2019 CNN op-ed, two of the three co-chairs for the commission — Frank J. Fahrenkopf, former chairman for the Republican National Committee, and Dorothy S. Ridings, former journalist and president of the League of Women Voters — wrote that the organization is "run by an independent board made up of independents, Republicans and Democrats. It receives no party or government funding, and no major party official serves in any capacity with the CPD."
Our ruling
President Trump said that the Commission on Presidential Debates wrote him an apology letter in 2016 over oscillating his microphone during the first general election debate against Hillary Clinton.
The organization released a one-sentence statement that noted that there was an issue with Trump’s audio that affected the sound level in the debate hall, but not his audio for Americans who watched the debate on TV.
The group was not forced to publicly apologize for the malfunction and we found no evidence that it sent Trump a letter doing so.
Trump’s claim is unsubstantiated. We rate it False.
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580 | Facebook posts | 2020-09-29 00:00:00 | First presidential debate:
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Says Thom Tillis voted “against a pay raise for a military, while voting for a pay raise for himself.”
| Amy Sherman | 2020-10-09 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/09/national-republican-senatorial-committee/no-evidence-maine-senate-candidate-sara-gideon-use/ |
No evidence that Maine Senate candidate Sara Gideon used her power for ‘coverup’
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The serenity of the Pine Tree State is being broken by personal attacks that aren’t faring too well on our Truth-O-Meter.
In a Maine race that could help decide whether the GOP keeps control of the U.S. Senate, Republican incumbent Sen. Susan Collins and her Democratic challenger Sara Gideon have made a number of factually problematic claims against one another.
Now, the National Republican Senatorial Committee is targeting Gideon.
A TV ad sponsored by the group claims that when Gideon "knew the truth about" sexual allegations against a state lawmaker, "she could have called for an immediate (ethics) investigation, but didn’t…Gideon knew for months, using her power to cover up."
A tossup race
Collins has been a U.S. senator since 1997. Gideon has served in Maine’s state House since 2013 and as its speaker since 2016.
The Cook Political Report rates the race a tossup that could help decide whether Republicans, who have 53 seats in the Senate, maintain their majority.
It is one of 18 pivotal House and Senate contests up for election on Nov. 3 that PolitiFact is tracking.
Alleged sexual abuse
The ad’s narrator refers to the case of Democratic Rep. Dillon Bates, a teacher and coach who it says "used his power (and) sexually preyed on his teenage students."
Here’s a timeline of the case:
Aug. 3, 2018 — Bates accused: The Bollard, then a monthly magazine published in Portland, Maine, posted an article claiming that Bates had "engaged in at least three romantic and/or sexual relationships with high school girls over the past half decade." One of the three was quoted anonymously in the article.
Aug. 4, 2018 — Gideon calls for Bates’ resignation: Gideon, citing the article, called for Bates’ resignation. Her spokeswoman Mary-Erin Casale acknowledged that Gideon had known about the misconduct accusations for several months prior and said: "At that point, we told Rep. Bates that if any evidence or new information was presented that indicated there could be truth to what was then a rumor, that we would ask him to resign immediately."
Aug. 6, 2018 — Bates quits coaching job; Gideon says there was no evidence previously: Bates, who denied the allegations, resigned from a high school coaching job. He had resigned abruptly from a separate teaching job in November 2017, saying at the time of the resignation he did so for family reasons, according to a Aug. 6, 2018 story in the Portland Press Herald.
The newspaper also quoted Casale as saying that when Gideon first heard about the rumors: "We confronted Rep. Bates immediately, who denied the rumor, and we were unable to otherwise find any substantiation, actual proof or evidence of any victims of the allegations."
Aug. 20, 2018 — Bates resigns House seat: Bates called the allegations baseless, but resigned less than two weeks after a Republican state representative called for a House Ethics Committee session regarding the allegations. He was never charged with a crime.
On Oct. 8, 2020, Gideon said in a radio interview that no individuals alleging acts by Bates had come forward until The Bollard article. "Before that, there was nothing but a rumor," she said.
Our ruling
The National Republican Senatorial Committee said that when Gideon "knew the truth about" sexual allegations against a state lawmaker, "she could have called for an immediate investigation, but didn’t…Gideon knew for months, using her power to cover up."
There is no evidence that Gideon knew "the truth." She said that in early 2018 she heard rumors about the allegations, but did not know of any proof. There is also no evidence she took any action to cover up the matter. When a news article made the allegations public, Gideon called on the lawmaker to resign.
We rate the statement Mostly False.
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581 | Joe Biden | 2020-09-29 00:00:00 | a tweet:
|
During the debate, Kamala Harris said President Donald Trump “did not appoint minorities to the courts.”
| Samantha Putterman | 2020-10-09 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/09/greg-abbott/examining-austins-property-crime-trends/ |
Examining Austin's property crime trends
|
As part of a sustained campaign to criticize the Austin City Council’s August decision to cut police funding, Gov. Greg Abbott tweeted on Oct. 1: "Property crime rising in Austin This is the kind of thing that happens when cities defund and deemphasize police. Residents are left to fend for themselves."
The tweet cited a KVUE article that highlighted an advisory from the Austin Police Department warning residents to secure their homes before going on a trip. The article noted 2,983 burglaries had occurred through the first eight months of this year — an 11% increase over the first eight months of last year, according to the Austin Police Department’s August crime report.
But burglary is not the only form of property crime, and Abbott’s assertion that property crime is rising in Austin fails to take that into account.
Property crime generally has been falling in Austin, with the notable recent exceptions of 2018 and 2019. So far this year, property crime has dropped slightly. And Abbott’s attempt to link crime to the City Council’s budget decision misses the mark.
It’s not the first time Abbott has sounded off on Austin crime.
In August, Abbott claimed that crime is on the rise in Austin, citing data that showed a jump in homicides over the first six months of the year. We rated that claim Half True.
Austin’s property crime
Each month, the Austin Police Department posts to its website the Chief’s Monthly Report, which tallies the number and category of crimes officers respond to each month. The 2,983 burglaries cited in the KVUE article comprise 9% of all property crimes recorded through August. Other crimes that fall into this category include shoplifting, credit card fraud, embezzlement and vandalism.
Austin police responded to nearly 34,000 total property crimes through August, which is a 2% drop compared with 2019. According to FBI data, property crime in Austin increased in 2018 by 8.5% and in 2019 by 8.7%.
But taking a longer view, the property crime rate has generally been falling over the last decade. In addition to 2018 and 2019, the only other year since 2010 when the rate did not drop compared to the previous year was in 2012.
In 2010 Austin police responded to nearly 46,000 reports of property crime, or about 5.8 incidents per 100 residents, according to federal data. In 2019, officers responded to 36,588 reports, or about 3.7 incidents per 100 residents. Burglaries specifically also have been dropping, from about 1.1 incidents per 100 residents in 2010 to about 0.4 in 2019.
Abbott is not the only Texas elected official who’s rebuked Austin leaders for cutting the Austin police budget. Several other Republicans have seized on Austin’s police spending as an issue in their reelection campaigns.
The perception of high crime in Austin reflects a popular misconception that crime is always on the rise despite a general downward trend, said Texas State University criminologist Sean Roche. On average, crime in the U.S. has declined since the mid-1990s to historically low and stable levels.
That’s generally true for Austin’s property crime rates as well. Federal data going back to 1985 show a peak of property crime incidents in 1990 followed by a decade of low property crime until a smaller peak in 2009.
"Even though crime went up in the 60s, 70s and 80s and then started declining in the 90s, most of the public did not ever catch wise of this," Roche said. "There’s a significant chunk of people in the U.S. that always think crime is getting worse."
Some researchers have suggested that a false perception of high crime may be attributable to a person’s level of media exposure, especially local TV news. A study published in 2018 by Roche and colleagues note that this misperception may have significant implications for criminal justice policies, which are "particularly sensitive to public opinion" compared to other policy domains.
"Over-concern about crime is likely to mobilize the public to be more punitive, thereby fueling support for increased law enforcement spending and harsh sentencing policies," Roche and his coauthors wrote. "Public punitiveness is one of the strongest predictors of both federal and state incarceration rates."
Crime and police budgets
After asserting that the property crime rate in Austin is rising, Abbott’s tweet goes on to claim that rising crime is "the kind of thing that happens when cities defund and deemphasize police."
It’s unclear what the governor means when he says "deemphasize police" — his office did not respond to multiple requests for comment — but we can be sure what city he’s referring to when talking about defunding. The Austin City Council recently decided to cut $21.5 million from the police budget and shifted another $128 million from the Police Department to other city departments to continue civilian-run functions, such as the 911 call center and forensics.
The cuts came after protests against police brutality in Austin and across the nation demanded police reforms in the wake of George Floyd’s death in Minneapolis police custody in May.
But how the council’s budgetary decisions will affect the department’s daily operations, especially in regard to property crime, is not yet known.
"In terms of staffing changes, that’s something we’re still working on," said Austin police spokeswoman Tara Long. "We’re still working on those specifics."
Austin Police Chief Brian Manley indicated in August that the department may reduce or eliminate about a dozen police units while reassigning those officers to patrol duties. The cuts also will cancel three upcoming cadet classes and reduce overtime spending.
But does a smaller police force automatically heighten crime? Research would suggest that there is a weak or nonexistent connection between the two. One systematic review by criminologists at the University of Cincinnati concludes that the overall effect of police force size on crime is "statistically not significant," although it is possible that force size might influence some crimes more than others.
"Policy makers who want police to have an impact on crime would be better suited investing resources in new evidence-based strategies than funding surges in police hiring," the 2016 review says.
Rather, crime trends are more influenced by macro-level drivers, like the prevalence of firearms in a community, alcohol consumption, drug use, unemployment and a population’s age structure, Roche said.
"Austin, on average, has historically been a very safe city," he said. "It’s premature to say definitively that a budget decision that was made a couple months ago has already had these very dramatic impacts on crime rates. We just don’t know."
Our ruling
Abbott’s tweet made two factual claims: that property crime in Austin is on the rise and that this increase is causally linked to the city’s police budget cuts.
He based the first on figures presented in a KVUE article that cited an 11% increase in burglaries so far this year. However, property crime on the whole is not rising this year. In fact, it has dropped by 2% compared to last year. Although property crime increased slightly in 2018 and 2019, property crime has dropped significantly over the past decade.
The article Abbott referenced also cited data that showed crime rates as of August, which is before cuts to APD’s budget took effect on Oct. 1.
The second part of his claim, that increased property crime is "the kind of thing that happens when cities defund and deemphasize police," appears to be based on assumption. Researchers have demonstrated how numerous intervening factors confound the relationship between police force size and crime. Rather, strategic crime deterrent strategies are seen as having a more direct impact on crime rates.
We rate this claim Mostly False.
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11, 19092, 9977, 83720, 15174, 527, 3970, 439, 3515, 264, 810, 2167, 5536, 389, 9977, 7969, 627, 1687, 4478, 420, 3802, 64285, 3641, 627] | 1,272 |
582 | Donald Trump | 2020-09-29 00:00:00 | an ad:
|
The Commission on Presidential Debates wrote a letter after the 2016 presidential debates apologizing to Donald Trump.
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-10-09 00:00:00 | half-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/26/viral-image/viral-image-migrant-cages-2019-not-obama-years/ |
Viral image of migrant ‘cages’ is from 2019, not Obama years
|
The final presidential debate between President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden grew heated when Trump criticized the Obama administration for detaining migrants in chain-link enclosures along the U.S.-Mexico border.
"They built cages," Trump said. "They used to say I built the cages ... And then it was determined they were built in 2014. That was him. They built cages."
Over the next few minutes, the president repeated the line, "Who built the cages?" four times. After the debate, the line inspired a slew of widely shared memes on Facebook.
"Who built the cages, Joe?" reads text over an image of President Barack Obama wearing a hard hat and posing in front of what appear to be migrants inside an enclosure. The post was published Oct. 23 by Dinesh D’Souza, a conservative political commentator.
The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.) Using CrowdTangle, a social media insights tool, we found hundreds of similar posts that have been shared thousands of times.
(Screenshot from Facebook)
The Obama administration did hold immigrants in chain-link enclosures described as "cages" at border processing facilities. But the photo shared in the Facebook posts is not from his tenure. The image shows overcrowded migrant detention facilities in summer 2019 — during the Trump administration.
The image comes from a July 2019 Homeland Security Inspector General report on overcrowding at immigrant detention facilities in the Rio Grande Valley area of Texas. The report says the photo shows "overcrowding of families observed by OIG on June 10, 2019," in McAllen, Texas.
A memo included in the report was addressed to Kevin McAleenan, who was acting Homeland Security secretary.
"Specifically, we encourage the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) to take immediate steps to alleviate dangerous overcrowding and prolonged detention of children and adults in the Rio Grande Valley," then-acting Inspector General Jennifer Costello wrote in the memo.
Still, the post has a point about the Obama administration’s use of chain-link enclosures along the southern border — the barriers seen in the photo were erected under Obama.
In 2014, the Obama administration faced an influx of migrants entering the U.S. illegally. Some Border Patrol stations were so overcrowded that agents used other areas, including warehouses, to hold migrants. Border Patrol used chain-link fencing to separate different groups, as documented in photos from that time period.
"We needed to have places like the one we set up temporarily in Arizona to house the kids until they could be placed with (Health and Human Services)," said Jeh Johnson, a former Homeland Security secretary during the Obama administration, in a July 2019 interview. "And the partitions you see, some call them cages, are meant to separate the women from the men, the girls from the boys. But these were temporary."
RELATED: Fact-checking Biden on use of cages for immigrants during Obama administration
The Trump administration has also used chain-link enclosures, but the Obama administration differed in a key way: It did not have a policy to separate children from their families. The Trump administration’s "zero-tolerance" policy prosecuted all adults who crossed the border illegally and sent their children to the U.S. Health and Human Services Department.
The Facebook post uses a misleading image to make a point about immigrants in federal custody during Obama’s presidency. While the enclosures in the photo were built under Obama, the photo was not from his time as president — it’s from 2019.
The post is partially accurate but leaves out important details or takes things out of context. We rate it Half True.
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583 | Todd Starnes | 2020-09-02 00:00:00 | a tweet:
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Twitter removed this tweet from Donald Trump: “My blood IS the vaccine!!!!!”
| Tom Kertscher | 2020-10-09 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/25/blog-posting/no-mark-kelly-did-not-dress-hitler/ |
No evidence Mark Kelly dressed up as Hitler
|
As Election Day nears, online posts are making unsubstantiated, disputed claims about Mark Kelly, the Democratic candidate in the Arizona race for the U.S. Senate.
An Oct. 24 Facebook post claimed that a yearbook photo showed Kelly "dressed as Adolf Hitler."
The post repeats information published Oct. 23 by Patrick Howley on a conservative website called National File.
Kelly’s campaign said the claims about Kelly are false.
"These aren’t pictures of Mark, and he never dressed up in such a costume," Kelly’s campaign manager Jen Cox said in a statement. "The story is false and should be retracted immediately, and those who have spread this misinformation online should delete it. Anyone using it to try to smear a combat veteran should be ashamed of themselves."
Kelly is an astronaut and a retired U.S. Navy Captain who graduated from the U.S. Merchant Marine Academy in 1986. He is seeking to unseat Republican Sen. Martha McSally. The Arizona seat is one of 18 pivotal House and Senate races PolitiFact is tracking in 2020.
Neither the National File story nor the Facebook post present evidence confirming their claims.
The Facebook post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
The National File story claimed it "obtained a series of photos from the 1986 yearbook of Mark Kelly … which show him dressed as Nazi dictator Adolf Hitler for a Halloween party while attending the Merchant Marine Academy."
The story includes a black-and-white photo of a man below what appears to be a Halloween banner, standing next to other people in costume (a woman dressed as a crayon, and men dressed as a pirate, a fencer, and a tourist). The man has a "toothbrush" mustache, wears dark sunglasses, a long sleeve dress shirt and dark tie, along with an armband with what appears to be a swastika symbol. The photo does not include a yearbook caption, and it doesn’t say it’s Kelly. The story does not have any quotes from anyone confirming Kelly is in the picture.
The story has a picture that it says shows Kelly’s full yearbook page and says that page includes "a photo of him wearing what appear to be the same pair of sunglasses used in the Hitler costume." The yearbook page does not include the picture of the man in the costume, nor any reference to the Halloween event. It also does not confirm that the pair of sunglasses are the same or that Kelly is the one in the costume.
The story claims that the Halloween event "was covered heavily in the yearbook" but provides no evidence that such coverage said Kelly dressed up as Hitler.
PolitiFact spoke with three people who say they attended the Merchant Marine Academy at the same time as Kelly. They said that is not Kelly in the picture. Two of the people PolitiFact spoke to said they were in the picture.
One of the classmates we spoke to, Ed McDonald, said he is the man dressed as a pirate. Another, Bob Kennedy, said he’s the one dressed in a fencing outfit. They both said the picture shows people who were part of the 2nd Company, and that Kelly was not part of that company.
"I can confirm without a doubt that Mark Kelly was not in the photo," Kennedy said.
Howley, when challenged about his story, said on Twitter, "NO ONE has provided any name of an identical student who could have dressed as Hitler. Not smart!"
Our ruling
Online posts claim a yearbook photo shows Kelly dressed as Hitler.
Let’s line up the evidence.
On one side we have an uncaptioned black-and-white photo that a conservative website says is Kelly, but the only evidence presented is that the person had sunglasses similar to Kelly.
On the other are Kelly’s classmates who have gone on the record to say that Kelly is not the person in the picture. We spoke with two people who say they were in the photo in question, and that Kelly wasn’t.
At PolitiFact, the burden of proof is on the speaker. These claims fall short. We rate the posts False.
This fact check is available at IFCN’s 2020 US Elections FactChat #Chatbot on WhatsApp. Click here, for more.
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810, 627] | 718 |
584 | VoteVets.org | 2020-10-08 00:00:00 | an |
When Sara Gideon “knew the truth about” sexual allegations against a state lawmaker, “she could have called for an immediate investigation, but didn’t…Gideon knew for months, using her power to cover up.”
| Brandon Mulder | 2020-10-26 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/25/facebook-posts/bidens-tax-plan-wont-tax-401k-accounts/ |
Biden’s tax plan won’t tax 401(k) accounts
|
Joe Biden’s tax plan has become a regular target for misinformation, with social media posts falsely claiming that it would crush middle-income families, raise taxes on 82% of Americans, and even dissolve the stock market altogether.
Now, a popular post says the Democratic presidential nominee aims to tax 401(k) accounts if he’s elected.
"Biden slipped up and came out saying he’s going to tax your 401k. Are any of you EVEN paying attention?" it reads.
This Facebook post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
The post doesn’t cite any evidence or sources backing up its claims. We looked for a literal statement from Biden to this effect and didn't find one. The Biden campaign platform doesn’t include any reference to a tax on 401(k) accounts.
The only proposal that the post could be referring to is Biden’s plan to balance out retirement plan tax benefits so that they apply equally to people across incomes. Biden would do this by replacing the current deduction for retirement account contributions with a 26% refundable tax credit.
Tax policy experts told us that it’s still misleading and inaccurate to characterize this plan as a "tax" on 401(k) accounts. Here we’ll break down the proposal in detail, tackling both its direct and indirect impacts.
The Biden tax credit plan
Under the current tax system, taxpayers get to deduct contributions to 401(k)s when they calculate their adjusted gross income on their income tax returns. Later, when those funds are withdrawn in retirement, the person will pay deferred taxes on their contributions and earnings.
This system tends to benefit upper income earners more than those with lower income, tax policy experts told us.
For example, a person with $8,000 of taxable income is currently subject to a 10% income tax rate. If this person contributed $100 to a retirement account, their taxable income would go down from $8,000 to $7,900, allowing them to save $10 in taxes. On the other hand, a person with $530,000 of taxable income is currently subject to a 37% tax rate. If this person contributed $100 to a retirement account, their taxable income would go down from $530,000 to $529,900, allowing them to save $37 in taxes.
"Even though these taxpayers both deducted the same amount of money from their taxable income, they save different amounts on their tax bills because they face different marginal tax rates," said Erica York, an economist with the Tax Foundation. "This phenomenon is true across all deductions."
Biden’s proposal aims to equalize the benefit of retirement contributions across income scales by giving people a 26% refundable tax credit deposited directly into their retirement account instead of a deduction. This would mean that each taxpayer would receive a flat benefit for contributions, rather a benefit that increases in proportion to taxable income. In effect, taxpayers in lower income brackets would see larger benefits from Biden’s plan, while taxpayers in higher income brackets would see reduced benefits.
Gordon Mermin, senior research associate at the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center, said that it’s not accurate to characterize the Biden plan as a tax on 401(k) accounts, because these accounts would still be tax subsidized for everyone.
"End of the day, everyone still sees their taxes reduced when contributing to a 401(k). Some contributors with incomes below 400,000 will get larger tax subsidies than under current law, some with incomes below 400,000 will see no change in their tax break for saving, and contributors with incomes above 400,000 will generally get smaller tax subsidies than under current law," he wrote in an email to PolitiFact.
Our ruling
A Facebook post claims, "Biden slipped up and came out saying he’s going to tax your 401k."
Biden doesn’t want to tax 401(k) accounts. Instead, he wants to balance out retirement plan tax benefits so that they apply equally to people across incomes by replacing the current deduction with a 26% refundable tax credit.
Tax policy experts said that it’s misleading to characterize Biden’s proposal as a tax on 401(k) accounts, because everyone would still see their taxes reduced when contributing to a retirement account.
We rate this claim False.
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587 | Viral image | 2020-10-06 00:00:00 | a tweet:
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A photo shows Barack Obama in front of “cages” built during his administration to hold migrants.
| Miriam Valverde | 2020-10-25 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/23/ron-johnson/us-sen-ron-johnson-confuses-and-misses-claim-about/ |
U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson confuses and misses on claim about COVID-19 deaths
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U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has raised eyebrows more than once during the coronavirus pandemic.
Earlier this year, he noted most people survive COVID-19 and argued governments shouldn’t shut down economies to contain the virus. The senator himself tested positive in early October and said he would wear a moon suit if needed to vote in person to confirm Amy Coney Barrett’s nomination to the U.S. Supreme Court.
On Oct. 21, 2020, Johnson, a Republican, made another comment that turned heads in Wisconsin, where cases of COVID-19 continue to skyrocket and overwhelm hospitals.
"Unfortunately, we’ve had more deaths, but generally the deaths are still pretty flat because we’ve flattened the curve," he said on a call with Wisconsin Manufacturers & Commerce. "We’ve gotten better at treating it."
Is he right that deaths are "pretty flat because we’ve flattened the curve"?
Let’s dig in.
COVID-19 deaths in Wisconsin
Johnson’s claim came as part of his legislative update for the WMC, the state’s largest business lobby. Here’s his full statement about COVID-19 deaths, which he made after WMC president and CEO Kurt Bauer asked the senator how he was feeling:
"I think it’s important to note, and I heard a little bit of your earlier presenter, as we’re struggling with, there’s no doubt about it, a surge in cases — we had another record day yesterday in COVID — unfortunately, we’ve had more deaths, but generally the deaths are still pretty flat because we’ve flattened the curve, we’ve gotten better at treating it, we know about the anti-inflammatories and steroids and convalescent plasma, which will hopefully be available here shortly."
According to the state Department of Health Services, COVID-19 cases and deaths in Wisconsin are at their highest ever. The state’s worst day came Oct. 21 — the same day Johnson made this claim — when officials reported 48 deaths, surpassing a previous record of 34 reported on Oct. 13. As of Oct. 22, 2020, the seven-day average for deaths sat at 21.
In the spring, by contrast, the number of deaths reported in one day peaked at 22, and the seven-day average never surpassed 13.
"Of course the curve has not flattened and we don't have the virus under control," Patrick Remington, a former Centers for Disease Control and Prevention epidemiologist and director of the preventive medicine residency program at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, told the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
Flattened the curve?
When asked for evidence to support the senator’s claim, spokesman Ben Voelkel said Johnson was "talking about flattening the curve of deaths nationally — ‘generally,’ as he puts it." Voelkel said that statement is supported by statistics from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the New York Times.
But Johnson began by mentioning the recent spikes in Wisconsin and was speaking to a group of Wisconsin business leaders, leaving listeners with the impression that he meant death numbers here. He made no attempt to distinguish statewide trends from national.
Johnson also revisited the point during a telephone town hall the next day, saying "we can see the light at the tunnel nationally on this."
"We have a dramatic increase in cases in Wisconsin," he said. "And again, the good news is, if you do look at the number of deaths, those have kicked up as well, but it’s still relatively flat. It hasn’t followed the same uptick in terms of number of cases."
Let’s take a look at the national data cited by Johnson’s staff.
According to the New York Times, daily reported coronavirus deaths peaked in mid-April, with some days exceeding 2,700 nationwide. More recently, that number ranged from 267 deaths on Sept. 27 to 1,208 on Oct. 21. However, the more telling seven-day average largely stayed in the 700s over the past month.
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, which tracks deaths weekly, pointed to similar trends: a peak in mid-April followed by a slight increase around August and a decline since early September.
So, from that perspective, Johnson’s claim is more on point. Deaths have decreased overall since the pandemic’s onset, and seven-day averages reported by the New York Times remained steady in recent weeks even as daily numbers fluctuated.
There is a problem here, though. Johnson attributes the "pretty flat" deaths in part to a flattening of the curve, which typically refers to the number of cases. And the United States clearly has not flattened the curve.
As Johns Hopkins University has noted, flattening the curve "involves reducing the number of new COVID-19 cases from one day to the next" to help prevent hospitals from becoming overwhelmed.
Data from the university show the United States is doing the opposite — the seven-day average has risen steadily since September.
Our ruling
On a call with Wisconsin Manufacturers & Commerce, Johnson said, "Generally the deaths are still pretty flat because we've flattened the curve."
Cases are up nationwide and in Wisconsin, so the curve of new cases has not been flattened. And deaths in Wisconsin are at an all-time high, even if nationally they have been more stable.
A Johnson spokesman argued the senator was referring to national trends when he spoke. However, he made the claim in the context of discussing the situation in Wisconsin, and even if one were to use a national perspective, he’s only partially correct.
A statement is Mostly False when it contains an element of truth but ignores critical facts that would give a different impression.
That fits here.
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588 | National Republican Senatorial Committee | 2020-10-01 00:00:00 | a post on Facebook:
|
A yearbook photo shows Mark Kelly dressed as Adolf Hitler.
| Noah Y. Kim | 2020-10-25 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/23/joe-biden/biden-wrongly-claims-obama-policies-released-38000/ |
Biden wrongly claims Obama policies released 38,000 federal prisoners
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Squaring off with President Donald Trump over criminal justice reform during the final debate before Election Day, Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden wrongly claimed the Obama administration's policies "released" 38,000 federal prisoners while he was vice president.
"38,000 prisoners were released from federal prison," Biden said, responding to Trump’s claim that Biden and President Barack Obama "got nothing done" on the matter.
The federal prison population did shrink under Obama for the first time since President Jimmy Carter was in office — but not by 38,000, and not because 38,000 prisoners were released.
The 38,000 figure is cherry-picked
The first problem with Biden’s claim is with the number he cited.
The Biden campaign pointed to data from the Justice Department’s Bureau of Justice Statistics showing that the federal prison population dropped from a peak of 217,815 people at the end of 2012 to 179,898 people by the end of 2018, for a decrease of about 38,000.
The 38,000 figure was cited in a letter civil rights groups sent the Senate leadership in 2018. But the number is misleading, since it compares the high point under Obama with the federal prison count almost two years into Trump’s presidency.
The same Bureau of Justice Statistics data shows that there were 201,280 prisoners in federal custody on Dec. 31, 2008, nearly one month before Obama’s inauguration. There were 189,192 by the same day in 2016, with less than a month left in Obama’s second term.
That’s a decline of about 12,000 prisoners, not 38,000.
The number doesn’t count prisoners released
The second issue with Biden’s claim is the term "released."
The Bureau of Justice Statistics data measures the federal prison population and can be used to show population changes from year to year. It doesn’t track prisoners who were released.
"Released is not the right word here," said Kara Gotsch, director of strategic initiatives at the Sentencing Project. "What we’re talking about is a decline in the population."
The federal prison population changes all the time, Gotsch said. It drops when prisoners finish their sentences or die, for example, and it rises when new prisoners come in. The population has contracted considerably during the coronavirus pandemic, Gotsch said, as start dates for some prisoners’ sentences are getting deferred for safety reasons.
Biden framed his point more accurately earlier in the debate. "The federal prison system was reduced by 38,000 people under our administration," he said.
The Federal Bureau of Prisons does keep tallies of the tens of thousands of federal inmates released each year. But the release data doesn’t say much about the Obama administration’s criminal justice reform efforts, which is the point Biden was trying to make.
"People get released every day just because their sentence ends," Gotsch said.
The Obama administration helped drive the decline
That said, Gotsch told PolitiFact that policies implemented by the Obama administration — along with two changes made during Obama’s tenure by the independent, bipartisan U.S. Sentencing Commission — did help drive a decline in the federal prison population.
The Fair Sentencing Act of 2010, for example, dramatically reduced a 100-to-1 sentencing disparity between powder and crack cocaine, and the U.S. Sentencing Commission approved the retroactive application of some of the new sentencing guidelines.
According to a U.S. Sentencing Commission report, 7,748 crack-cocaine offenders received retroactive reductions to their prison sentences under that change.
The U.S. Sentencing Commission also voted in 2014 to reduce drug sentencing guidelines by two offense levels and apply the change retroactively. That change has resulted in 31,763 drug offenders getting retroactive sentence reductions as of June, according to the commission.
Former Attorney General Eric Holder also instituted a "Smart on Crime Initiative" that Gotsch said led to fewer federal drug prosecutions. A separate Justice Department initiative urged qualified federal inmates to seek sentence commutations. Obama commuted the sentences of 1,696 people through that program, the U.S. Sentencing Commission found.
Our ruling
Biden said that as part of the Obama administration’s criminal justice reforms, "38,000 prisoners were released from federal prison."
The 38,000 figure is cherry-picked. It represents the change in the federal prison population from its peak at the end of 2012 to the end of 2018, nearly two years into Trump’s presidency.
The federal prison population did shrink under Obama for the first time in decades, but the true decline from the start to the end of Obama’s presidency was about 12,000 prisoners.
The 38,000 figure also describes a reduction in the federal prison population — which can happen for a myriad of reasons — rather than the number of federal inmates who were released under or because of the Obama administration’s policies.
We rate Biden’s statement Mostly False.
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589 | Greg Abbott | 2020-10-05 00:00:00 | onl |
"Biden slipped up and came out saying he’s going to tax your 401k. Are any of you EVEN paying attention?"
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-10-23 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/09/facebook-posts/no-link-between-seized-fake-ids-and-voter-fraud/ |
No link between seized fake IDs and voter fraud
|
As the election nears, pundits and politicians — including the president himself— have raised concerns about voter fraud. These concerns have been largely unsubstantiated.
But that hasn’t stopped claims about potential voter fraud schemes from spreading on social media.
"Feds Seize 19,888 Fake State Driver Licenses (Made in China) in Chicago O'Hare Airport," read one Aug. 26 post shared thousands of times. "ALL Registered to Vote -- ALL Demorats!"
The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
Yes, nearly 20,000 fake driver’s licenses were seized at O’Hare in the first half of the year, but the post was misleading in suggesting that they are all linked to registered voters who are Democrats. There’s no hint of any connection between the confiscated fake IDs and Democrats or voter fraud.
The poster acknowledged this in a revised post, which appeared soon after PolitiFact reached out to the Facebook user for evidence to support the claim. The current post no longer mentions registered voters or Democrats and instead says, "Not Linked To Voter Fraud, But, What If."
We were curious about the "what if" claim in the revised post, so we looked into how or even whether it would be possible to use a fake driver’s license to perpetrate any kind of voter fraud.
Meanwhile, versions of the post with the original wording still appeared and circulated widely on Facebook with unsubstantiated suggestions of a foreign plot to aid Democrats using fake IDs.
Fake licenses seized
From Jan. 1 to June 30, 2020, U.S. Customs and Border Protection officers found thousands of counterfeit driver’s licenses at the Chicago O’Hare International Airport’s international mail facility.
Officers seized a total of 19,888 fake driver’s licenses, according to a July 27 Customs press release. The release didn’t say where the IDs were made, but said they came on shipments mostly from China and Hong Kong, as well as South Korea and Britain. Most were headed to people in states near Illinois, and most were for college-age students. The press release warns that the counterfeit IDs can be used for a wide range of criminal activity, but does not mention voter fraud.
The fraudulent identity documents can lead to problems with "identity theft, worksite enforcement, critical infrastructure protection, fraud linked to immigration-related crimes such as human smuggling and human trafficking," reads the press release. "And these documents can be used by those individuals associated with terrorism to minimize scrutiny from travel screening measures."
Possible voter fraud?
Claims that these fake driver’s licenses were tied to voter fraud efforts on behalf of Democrats appear to originate from a warning in a blog post, although there is no evidence to support the claims. Other fact-checking organizations have debunked the blog’s claims.
Moreover, it’s unlikely that fake IDs could be used to commit voter fraud.
Except for North Dakota, every state requires citizens to register to vote before they can cast a ballot, according to USA.gov, an official federal government information site. (North Dakota keeps rolls of past voters and checks IDs at polling places.) In many states, people can register to vote at a local election office, online, at a motor-vehicle agency office or using the national mail voter registration form.
While every state sets its own voter registration laws, many require some form of identification, proof of residence or the last four digits of a real Social Security number when registering. That information is then checked against the state’s own databases.
In many states, for example, online voter registration only works for people who already have an official state-issued identification of some kind, because of how the registration is validated, according to the National Conference of State Legislatures.
"That validation step is done by comparing the information on the online registration form against the information provided by the same individual when he or she received a driver’s license or other state-issued identification card," the website says. "When the information does not match, the application is sent to officials for further review or action."
If the information on a counterfeit driver’s license doesn’t match the information the person provided when getting their real state-issued ID, then the fake ID couldn’t be used to register to vote.
Michigan’s validation process
The Customs press release included a picture of a counterfeit Michigan driver’s license among the seized IDs, and said "the bar code attached to the Michigan licenses worked." So PolitiFact reached out to Michigan’s secretary of state about the voter fraud concern.
A spokesperson for the Michigan secretary of state’s office said in an email that a driver’s license or state ID is not required to register to vote in Michigan, so a fake ID wouldn’t help. But voters who do have an official Michigan ID provide that information when they register to vote, she said.
"The local clerk’s office has many avenues to validate a person, up to and including contacting the Department of State to verify a person’s photograph and ID/Driver’s License Record number," she said.
The spokesperson also said she was not aware of any coordinated effort to commit voter fraud using counterfeit IDs and said there were fail-safes in place to catch those trying to use fraudulent IDs when registering to vote.
Our ruling
A Facebook post claims, "Feds Seize 19,888 Fake State Driver Licenses (Made in China) in Chicago O'Hare Airport - ALL Registered to Vote -- ALL Demorats!"
About 20,000 counterfeit driver’s licenses were confiscated at the Chicago O’Hare International Airport in the first half of 2020. But there is no evidence that the IDs were all for registered voters or Democrats or had anything to do with voter fraud, as the post suggests. The Facebook user acknowledged that in a revised post.
And state registration practices make it unlikely that fake IDs could be used fraudulently to vote or register to vote.
We rate this post False.
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591 | Bloggers | 2020-10-19 00:00:00 | a post on Facebook:
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Says Donald Trump “voted twice” in the Nov. 3, 2020 election
| Haley BeMiller | 2020-09-09 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/09/facebook-posts/post-wrongly-says-thousands-ballots-sent-dead-peop/ |
Post wrongly says thousands of ballots sent to dead people, pets in Virginia and Nevada
|
A false Facebook post states that two battleground states sent huge numbers of ballots to dead people and pets.
"Why isn’t anyone mentioning over 500,000 mail in ballots found in Virginia and 200,000 in Nevada in dead peoples names and pets," stated an Aug. 10 Facebook post shared thousands of times.
This post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
The post twists two news stories. One was a story out of Virginia about mail ballot applications for the Nov. 3 election. And the second was a story out of Nevada about mail ballots sent during the June 9 Nevada primary. Neither state has sent ballots to voters for the Nov. 3 general election and in neither case was there evidence of thousands of ballots being sent to dead people and pets.
Group sent ballot applications with wrong return address in Virginia
The claim about Virginia stems from mailings from the Center for Voter Information, a national voter registration group that describes itself as nonpartisan but was started by a Democratic strategist.
In August, the group sent absentee ballot request applications to 2.2 million voters in Virginia, including about 500,000 that had return envelopes addressed to the wrong elections offices.
The group, which is a partner of the Voter Participation Center, apologized for providing wrong information, and its printer took responsibility. The group said that the error stemmed from confusing some cities and counties with similar names. Election officials around the country have said that the center’s mailings have created confusion, but the group defended its work saying it encouraged voting.
Virginia elections officials said they had nothing to do with the center’s mailing and encouraged voters who want to receive ballots to apply on the state’s website.
So, how did the inaccurate mailings lead to false posts that claim the 500,000 were sent to "dead people’s names and pets"?
Deb Wake, president of the League of Women Voters of Virginia, told DC-area news radio station WTOP-FM 103.5: "One person stated that a dead person received one and a pet received one."
Wake told PolitiFact that she regrets sharing that anecdote. She said she based her comments on something she’d heard from a league member who said she had a friend who received one ballot application for a pet and dead relative.
President Donald Trump chimed in as well:
"Half a million incorrect absentee ballot applications were sent all across the state of Virginia, including to many dead people…," Trump said during a briefing with reporters Aug. 10. "They had some sent to pets — dogs."
RELATED: Will 458,000 Vote-By-Mail Ballots Go To Californians Who Have Died Or Moved? Experts Are Skeptical
One Nevada county had many ballots returned, but not proof all were dead people
Due to the pandemic, Nevada passed a law to send mail ballots to all active voters.
In advance of the June 9 primary, Clark County sent out about 1.3 million ballots. The county, which includes Las Vegas and is the largest in the state, mailed the ballots to addresses provided by voters when they registered. About 226,000 ballots were returned to elections officials because the voters no longer lived there, said Dan Kulin, a spokesperson for the Clark County Election Department.
"This is a common way for us to discover someone has moved," Kulin said.
But the fact that they were returned is not evidence that all of the people had died — nor is it evidence of fraud. In fact, it is a sign that the system worked as designed. Postal workers are not allowed to forward ballots if they have a forwarding address — they are required to return them, said Wayne Thorley, deputy secretary of state for elections.
The state elections office receives daily death data from the state’s vital statistics office. It also gets death data every other month from the Social Security Administration. The state then passes along the data to the counties so that they can remove dead voters from their registration lists. There can be a time lag in updating the rolls.
"If we print the ballot today and a voter dies tomorrow that’s going to get mailed to them," Thorley said. "The voter roll is constantly in flux. You take a snapshot right now, and in 5 minutes it is out of date because somebody moved or passed away."
It’s possible that anecdotal reports fueled misinformation.
A long time postal worker, Jenny Trobiani, told the Las Vegas Review Journal in May that she had never seen such an influx of undeliverable ballots.
"(The recipients) had all moved or died," Trobiani said.
Dead people on registration lists does not automatically mean fraud
The fact that dead people remain on voter rolls nationwide does not itself equal fraud — it’s only a crime if someone then fills out a ballot in the name of a dead voter and sends it in.
The likelihood that voter fraud can happen because of dead people on the rolls is very low, said Thessalia Merivaki, an expert on voter administration and political science professor at Mississippi State University.
"Election administrators verify a lot of information prior to processing a ballot, be it by mail or in person …," Merivaki said. "The same applies for voter registration. All information is verified, so it is highly unlikely that dead people can register to vote."
States have significantly improved keeping their registration records up to date by joining the national Electronic Registration Information Center, which sends reports to member states showing when voters have moved within their state or out of state, when they have died and flagging when they may have duplicate registrations.
Our ruling
Facebook posts said more than 500,000 mail in ballots in Virginia and 200,000 in Nevada were sent to dead people or pets.
In Virginia, about 500,000 voters received an application for a ballot — not an actual ballot — that included the wrong return address for elections offices. In Nevada, around 226,000 ballots for the primary were returned to Clark County because the voters didn’t live at the address.
In neither case, does that add up to evidence that hundreds of thousands of dead people and pets received ballots.
We rate this claim False.
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593 | Facebook posts | 2020-10-24 00:00:00 | a presentation:
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As part of the Obama administration's criminal justice reforms, “38,000 prisoners were released from federal prison.”
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-09-08 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/08/facebook-posts/no-joe-biden-doesnt-want-impose-federal-tax-homes/ |
No, Joe Biden doesn’t want to impose a federal tax on homes
|
A widely shared post on Facebook falsely claims that millions of homeowners across the country could see a tax hike if Joe Biden is elected president in November.
"Biden wants to put a 3% annual federal tax on your home," the Sept. 6 post says. "Do you want him for POTUS?"
The post, which has been shared thousands of times, was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
If you’re reading this, you may be wondering: Is there some truth to the claim?
(Screenshot from Facebook)
We reached out to the original poster for their evidence, but we haven’t heard back. We could find nothing in Biden’s platform or independent assessments of his tax plan that would indicate he supports imposing an annual federal tax on homes.
First, let’s briefly review which kinds of taxes apply to property owners.
Taxes are divided between federal, state and local governments. One common type is property tax, which is determined at the state and local levels.
The effective property tax rate varies from state to state and city to city. Property taxes are a key source of revenue for cities and counties, and school districts tend to rely on them. Homeowners can pay these taxes as part of their monthly mortgage payments or to a local tax assessor on an annual basis.
The main federal tax that the Internal Revenue Service imposes on real estate is the capital gains tax. A capital gain is the difference between what someone paid for an asset, also known as the "basis," and what they sold it for.
For example, if you purchased a house for $250,000 and sold it for $300,000, your capital gain would be $50,000. However, the IRS typically lets sellers deduct up to $250,000 in capital gains if they’re single and $500,000 if they’re married and file joint tax returns, so you probably wouldn’t owe anything.
Biden has not proposed a nationwide property tax — nor has he advocated raising taxes on Americans making less than $400,000 per year, as we’ve previously reported.
An analysis from the nonpartisan Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center says Biden’s plan would primarily raise income and payroll taxes on wealthy Americans and corporations. The tax hikes would increase federal revenues by $4 trillion over the next decade, according to the analysis.
"Under his plan, the highest-income households would see substantially larger tax increases than households in other income groups, both in dollar amounts and as a share of their incomes," the report says.
Other independent groups have also examined Biden’s tax plan, including the Tax Foundation, the Penn Wharton Budget Model, the American Enterprise Institute and the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget. Here are a few of the plan’s specific components:
Increase the top corporate tax rate from 21% to 28%.
Raise the top federal marginal income tax rate for individuals to 39.6%.
Place a 12.4% Social Security payroll tax on incomes above $400,000.
Tax capital gains at the same rate as ordinary income for very high earners.
RELATED: Donald Trump Jr. misrepresents Joe Biden’s tax plan
None of those reports say Biden wants to impose a "3% annual federal tax on your home," as the Facebook post claimed.
"Based on our review of the campaign materials and our conversations with the campaign to try and clarify what their proposals are … there’s nothing there," said Gordon Mermin, a senior research associate in the Tax Policy Center. "We haven’t encountered anything that could be construed as a tax on homes."
On his campaign website, Biden says he supports creating tax credits for first-time homebuyers and low-income families who rent. We could find no mention of a nationwide property tax.
We reached out to the campaign for a comment, but we haven’t heard back.
The Facebook post is inaccurate. We rate it False.
| National,Taxes,Facebook Fact-checks,Facebook posts | [128000, 198, 32, 4194, 13882, 6222, 1772, 389, 5690, 61456, 8349, 430, 11990, 315, 40962, 4028, 279, 3224, 1436, 1518, 264, 3827, 35331, 422, 13142, 38180, 374, 16689, 4872, 304, 6841, 627, 64690, 12770, 6944, 311, 2231, 264, 220, 18, 4, 9974, 6918, 3827, 389, 701, 2162, 1359, 279, 5488, 13, 220, 21, 1772, 2795, 13, 330, 5519, 499, 1390, 1461, 369, 62602, 2078, 48469, 791, 1772, 11, 902, 706, 1027, 6222, 9214, 315, 3115, 11, 574, 62309, 439, 961, 315, 5690, 753, 9045, 311, 12896, 905, 3754, 323, 75159, 389, 1202, 5513, 29970, 13, 320, 4518, 810, 922, 1057, 15664, 449, 5690, 29275, 2746, 499, 3207, 5403, 420, 11, 499, 1253, 387, 20910, 25, 2209, 1070, 1063, 8206, 311, 279, 3802, 1980, 3844, 32209, 505, 5690, 340, 1687, 8813, 704, 311, 279, 4113, 23163, 369, 872, 6029, 11, 719, 584, 9167, 1431, 6755, 1203, 13, 1226, 1436, 1505, 4400, 304, 38180, 753, 5452, 477, 9678, 41300, 315, 813, 3827, 3197, 430, 1053, 13519, 568, 11815, 49941, 459, 9974, 6918, 3827, 389, 10632, 627, 5451, 11, 1095, 753, 27851, 3477, 902, 13124, 315, 13426, 3881, 311, 3424, 7980, 627, 51, 20589, 527, 18255, 1990, 6918, 11, 1614, 323, 2254, 17047, 13, 3861, 4279, 955, 374, 3424, 3827, 11, 902, 374, 11075, 520, 279, 1614, 323, 2254, 5990, 627, 791, 7524, 3424, 3827, 4478, 35327, 505, 1614, 311, 1614, 323, 3363, 311, 3363, 13, 8825, 13426, 527, 264, 1401, 2592, 315, 13254, 369, 9919, 323, 31276, 11, 323, 2978, 27536, 8541, 311, 17631, 389, 1124, 13, 5492, 23840, 649, 2343, 1521, 13426, 439, 961, 315, 872, 15438, 21515, 14507, 477, 311, 264, 2254, 3827, 1089, 8473, 389, 459, 9974, 8197, 627, 791, 1925, 6918, 3827, 430, 279, 15774, 38493, 5475, 88381, 389, 1972, 12675, 374, 279, 6864, 20192, 3827, 13, 362, 6864, 8895, 374, 279, 6811, 1990, 1148, 4423, 7318, 369, 459, 9513, 11, 1101, 3967, 439, 279, 330, 89926, 1359, 323, 1148, 814, 6216, 433, 369, 13, 52050, 2520, 3187, 11, 422, 499, 15075, 264, 3838, 369, 400, 5154, 11, 931, 323, 6216, 433, 369, 400, 3101, 11, 931, 11, 701, 6864, 8895, 1053, 387, 400, 1135, 11, 931, 13, 4452, 11, 279, 34483, 11383, 15714, 37249, 37910, 709, 311, 400, 5154, 11, 931, 304, 6864, 20192, 422, 814, 3207, 3254, 323, 400, 2636, 11, 931, 422, 814, 3207, 12502, 323, 1052, 10496, 3827, 4780, 11, 779, 499, 4762, 8434, 1431, 42210, 4205, 627, 33, 12770, 706, 539, 11223, 264, 29054, 3424, 3827, 2001, 6463, 706, 568, 64854, 19054, 13426, 389, 9053, 3339, 2753, 1109, 400, 3443, 11, 931, 824, 1060, 11, 439, 584, 4070, 8767, 5068, 13, 126595, 2127, 6492, 505, 279, 2536, 4581, 17570, 29422, 7826, 299, 564, 826, 15545, 11216, 5955, 2795, 38180, 753, 3197, 1053, 15871, 4933, 8070, 323, 46208, 13426, 389, 28994, 9053, 323, 25341, 13, 578, 3827, 68585, 1053, 5376, 6918, 30466, 555, 400, 19, 32610, 927, 279, 1828, 13515, 11, 4184, 311, 279, 6492, 627, 1, 16648, 813, 3197, 11, 279, 8592, 32197, 29939, 1053, 1518, 32302, 8294, 3827, 12992, 1109, 29939, 304, 1023, 8070, 5315, 11, 2225, 304, 18160, 15055, 323, 439, 264, 4430, 315, 872, 46791, 1359, 279, 1934, 2795, 627, 11663, 9678, 5315, 617, 1101, 25078, 38180, 753, 3827, 3197, 11, 2737, 279, 15545, 5114, 11, 279, 13813, 1254, 80596, 28368, 5008, 11, 279, 3778, 26551, 10181, 323, 279, 10554, 369, 264, 68728, 12411, 28368, 13, 5810, 527, 264, 2478, 315, 279, 3197, 753, 3230, 6956, 25393, 70656, 279, 1948, 13166, 3827, 4478, 505, 220, 1691, 4, 311, 220, 1591, 4, 4286, 94201, 279, 1948, 6918, 32873, 8070, 3827, 4478, 369, 7931, 311, 220, 2137, 13, 21, 4, 4286, 17826, 264, 220, 717, 13, 19, 4, 9983, 8398, 46208, 3827, 389, 46791, 3485, 400, 3443, 11, 931, 4286, 32449, 6864, 20192, 520, 279, 1890, 4478, 439, 19664, 8070, 369, 1633, 1579, 97063, 4286, 35420, 25, 9641, 3420, 16014, 13, 5906, 10200, 9773, 13142, 38180, 753, 3827, 3197, 198, 4155, 315, 1884, 6821, 2019, 38180, 6944, 311, 33330, 264, 330, 18, 4, 9974, 6918, 3827, 389, 701, 2162, 1359, 439, 279, 5690, 1772, 11922, 13, 52050, 1, 29815, 389, 1057, 3477, 315, 279, 4901, 7384, 323, 1057, 21633, 449, 279, 4901, 311, 1456, 323, 38263, 1148, 872, 25243, 527, 4696, 1070, 753, 4400, 1070, 1359, 1071, 26952, 8930, 1083, 11, 264, 10195, 3495, 22712, 304, 279, 15545, 11216, 5955, 13, 330, 1687, 9167, 1431, 23926, 4205, 430, 1436, 387, 71259, 439, 264, 3827, 389, 10632, 10246, 1966, 813, 4901, 3997, 11, 38180, 2795, 568, 11815, 6968, 3827, 20746, 369, 1176, 7394, 2162, 20369, 388, 323, 3428, 32197, 8689, 889, 8175, 13, 1226, 1436, 1505, 912, 6420, 315, 264, 29054, 3424, 3827, 627, 1687, 8813, 704, 311, 279, 4901, 369, 264, 4068, 11, 719, 584, 9167, 1431, 6755, 1203, 627, 791, 5690, 1772, 374, 50504, 13, 1226, 4478, 433, 3641, 627] | 650 |
596 | Joe Biden | 2020-09-04 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
“NIKE has stated, ‘We’re a $76 billion dollar company that can afford to let go of all ‘Make America Great Again’ customers.”
| Daniel Funke | 2020-09-08 00:00:00 | pants-fire | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/30/facebook-posts/no-biden-not-getting-help-during-debate-through-me/ |
No, Biden is not getting help during the debate through medical device
|
Time for another high-stakes political event? Then it must be time for conspiracy theories to flood social media timelines. Watch out.
No, Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden does not have a medical device implanted in his skull that he turns on after reaching into his pocket so he can hear someone on the other end give him answers to questions. That’s a bogus claim shared on Facebook ahead of the first presidential election debate between Biden and President Donald Trump.
The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
There are a lot of false claims packed into the nearly 1,000-word post claiming to prove how Biden "is cheating." The Sept. 28 post tries to build on Trump’s narrative that Biden is mentally unfit to be president.
Part of the post said:
"This is going to sound like something out of a science fiction movie but bear with me. This is totally real, and I’ll prove it to you.
"Joe Biden has a medical device implanted in his skull.
"It’s called the Esteem Hearing Implant which you can learn about HERE. It’s an implant that goes into the skull above the ear and it has two micro-wire probes that are injected into the nerves inside the ear canal. It’s FDA-approved and it uses bone conduction to enhance hearing (sound waves vibrate off the bones of the skull, and the wire probes send the signal directly into the ear, basically). It’s wireless and it’s controlled by the push of a button, so the user can turn it on and off with a little device… that fits in your pocket. And that’s how the experts at Bombards Body Language spotted this trick. …
"When Joe Biden gets confused, he reaches into his pocket and turns on the implant. Whoever is talking to him on the other end instructs him to smile and then starts relaying answers to him until he gets back on track. Joe hears it because the implant receives a wireless signal and vibrates the bones in his skull."
The post does not offer any link to learn more, despite its suggestion that it has a source.
Envoy Medical on Twitter Sept. 29 said that the claims about its hearing implant were inaccurate and that its device "cannot secretly and wirelessly transmit conversations." The company said:
"There is a false story circulating on the internet and in social media that claims that Envoy Medical’s Esteem Hearing Implant can be used to wirelessly transmit conversations or information into the ear.
"The Esteem Hearing Implant is not capable of this type of wireless communication and cannot be used in the manner described. The implant is a completely internal hearing device that improves the hearing of adults diagnosed with moderate to severe sensorineural hearing loss."
Biden’s campaign also refuted Trump campaign claims that Biden won’t agree to an ear inspection and that Biden wanted multiple breaks during the 90-minute debate. "Of course he’s not wearing an earpiece and we never asked for breaks," Kate Bedingfield, Biden’s deputy campaign manager and communications director, told reporters Sept. 29.
In December 2019, Biden’s primary care physician, at Biden’s request, issued a summary of his medical and surgical history. It did not mention any skull implant or hearing aid and said that his head, ears, eyes, nose and throat "are normal."
Our ruling
A Facebook post claimed Biden has a medical device implanted in his skull so he can hear someone give him answers to questions.
That’s a fabricated and baseless claim.
We rate it Pants on Fire!
This fact check is available at IFCN’s 2020 US Elections FactChat #Chatbot on WhatsApp. Click here, for more.
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597 | Roger Williams | 2020-08-10 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
Says Joe Biden “wants to put a 3% annual federal tax on your home.”
| Samantha Putterman | 2020-09-29 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/29/kelley-dragoo/dragoo-jumps-gun-ranked-choice-voting-still-debate/ |
Dragoo jumps the gun; ranked-choice voting is still up for debate
|
How do you get people to vote? With the 2020 election just around the corner, voter turnout is a hot topic. The Green Party platform calls for a voting system rework.
Kelley Dragoo, the Green Party candidate for Missouri’s lieutenant governor seat, said in a YouTube video that a different method of voting, called ranked choice, saves money and mitigates the problem of having to pick a "lesser of two evils," among other benefits.
Ranked-choice voting allows voters to rank candidates from most to least preferred on the ballot, meaning that people can vote for multiple candidates at the same time. If a clear winner is decided in the first tally, that’s the winner of the election. If there isn’t a clear winner, the votes are recounted with the least popular candidate eliminated. Votes that ranked the now eliminated candidate as their first preference then go toward those voters’ second preference instead. So on and so forth until a majority winner is decided.
Ranked-choice voting, Dragoo said, "is a really viable option and it's something that would better our voting process. It increases voter turnout and voter engagement, which is really what we need right now."
Is ranked-choice voting really the silver bullet to voter turnout and engagement?
Hard to say. We decided to do some digging.
Looking at trends
Ranked-choice voting is an umbrella term. Instant runoff voting, preferential voting and the alternative vote are all titles that refer to ranked-choice voting.
Ranked-choice voting exists in municipal elections as well as Maine’s state elections. The method has existed in smaller elections since the 1940s, but most city and statewide adoptions of ranked-choice voting only date back to the 2000s.
We asked Dragoo for a source on her claim. In an email, she cited Fairvote and RankedChoiceVoting.org. Both are organizations that advocate for ranked-choice voting, using research from universities and government agencies as well as their own studies.
Fairvote cites a 2016 study by professor David Kimball at the University of Missouri-St. Louis. The study found that ranked-choice voting was associated with a roughly 9 percentage point increase in voter turnout in municipal elections, but did not find that ranked-choice had a significant impact on voter turnout in general elections.
Fairvote’s research on the subject suggests that ranked-choice voting is associated with higher turnout. Fairvote clarifies that they did not attempt to control for factors that can also drive turnout, such as election competitiveness.
Voter engagement is exactly what it sounds like: people’s likelihood to talk about or engage with the election both in and outside the political space. A study by Fairvote found that people were more likely to discuss local elections in cities that implemented ranked-choice voting.
However, a study from San Francisco State University tracked San Francisco’s mayoral elections from 1995 to 2011 and found that instant runoff voting requires voters to know more about the candidates, increasing information costs and widening the gap in voter turnout between racial and age groups.
Factors at Play
Voter turnout and engagement both have a lot of moving parts. It’s hard to link just one element of an election process to an increase in either because so many things can influence an election.
So, we spoke to an expert. James Endersby is a professor of political science at the University of Missouri who studies elections and is writing a book on ranked-choice voting.
Endersby finds that when a new voting system is adopted, we tend to see a short-lived increase in voter turnout. "And then people sort of say, ‘well, it’s politics as usual’ and it goes back down to the same levels again," he says.
The novelty of a new system isn’t the only thing that confounds the data. In 2018, Maine introduced ranked-choice voting in its congressional elections and saw an increase in turnout. But there was also an overall higher turnout in 2018 across the country, so that can’t be attributed to just ranked-choice voting.
Another factor worth considering is the competitiveness of elections. Fairvote finds that a competitive ranked-choice vote election can drive turnout. However, competitive elections see increases regardless of what system they are using.
Lastly, Endersby finds that a lot of the numbers just aren’t in yet. "There's not really good data, because we don't have good denominators. It all depends on how the cleaning of the registration records go, in terms of how many people vote," he says.
It’s hard to draw a conclusion about the effect of ranked-choice voting on turnout and engagement nationwide when studies have city sample sizes. As it is now, there are too many factors that get in the way of accurate data on the subject. With time, we may see a noted increase, but it’s too early to call.
Our ruling
Dragoo said ranked-choice voting "increases voter turnout and voter engagement."
The evidence suggests only that it could or that it can in certain circumstances. The number of candidates, the competitiveness and scale of the election, and the new ways in which we vote all drive voter turnout and engagement in the short term.
It’s hard to say whether ranked-choice voting definitively increases voter turnout and engagement on a large scale and in the long term because the data isn’t there yet.
We rate Dragoo’s statement Mostly False.
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598 | Viral image | 2020-09-07 00:00:00 | a text post:
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This video shows Trump looking “lost and disoriented.”
| Madeline Heim | 2020-09-29 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/29/anthony-rogers/cori-bushs-court-cases-arent-criminal-despite-clai/ |
Cori Bush’s court cases aren’t criminal despite claims by opponent
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On Sept. 15, Anthony Rogers made a hefty claim on Facebook against his opponent, Democrat Cori Bush.
"Cori Bush is a career criminal and a con artist. Think twice before you fall for the bulls---, St. Louis," said Rogers, the Republican candidate for Missouri’s 1st District.
He included a picture of Bush’s cases on a page in Casenet, a database for court cases. The picture shows eight court cases his opponent was involved in. Bush has 11 cases in all — but all of them are civil, not criminal.
A criminal is someone who commits an offense against the state — a crime — as opposed to a civil case, where one person or institution sues another, according to the American Bar Association. A con artist, according to Merriam-Webster, is "a person who tricks other people in order to get their money."
Bush’s 11 cases happened between 1999 and 2018. The types of cases are listed in Casenet as tax actions, landlord actions and contract actions. For instance, Convergence Receivables LC received a default judgment against Bush and had her wages garnished. The company is one of a group of businesses known as debt buyers that purchase past-due accounts from businesses and then try to collect from individuals. Bush’s cases show that she’s been in debt on multiple occasions — for rent, credit cards and tax issues.
"They look like a variety of collection actions," University of Missouri law professor Frank Bowman III said. "I mean, it looks like she certainly had some trouble paying her bills from time to time."
Bush’s website attributes the delinquencies to her financial issues as a single mother.
"Cori Bush’s tax burden was more than she could afford as a working class, single mother who was also paying off student loans for her nursing degree," the website reads.
The site acknowledges that Bush has dealt with lawsuits for not paying taxes and says Bush has also experienced homelessness.
Bowman says these cases probably deal with delinquent or late payments, such as for local tax bills.
He also says Rogers should be careful about calling people criminals.
"When you accuse someone of a crime, actually committing a crime, and they have not committed a crime, I mean, normally that's libelous," Bowman said.
Rogers’ response
When shown that all of Bush’s cases are civil and not criminal, Rogers said he still supports what he said in his Facebook post: that she is literally a criminal.
In an email and an interview with Rogers, the candidate gave a number of claims about why Bush is still a con artist and criminal. Here’s what Rogers said.
Bush has not sent in her personal financial disclosure to the House of Representatives.
She pays herself with campaign contributions.
She says she’s a pastor, but doesn’t work for a church.
She says she is a nurse but was "disbarred."
We looked into each of his claims.
According to the House of Representatives Office of the Clerk, Bush sent in her personal financial disclosure on Aug. 15. She was three months late. There is a $200 fine for every 30 days the disclosure is overdue, though House rules allow for extensions, according to the House of Representatives Committee on Ethics. It is unclear if Bush got an extension, as her team would not comment. Candidates are only prosecuted if they do not submit their disclosure at all, or if they falsify their disclosure documents.
According to the FEC, it is legal to use campaign contributions as a salary. So far, Bush has reported wage expenses of $25,285 from her 2020 campaign.
According to Bush’s website, she is an ordained pastor, and pastored at Kingdom Church International in St. Louis, which she founded, from 2013-2015. Now she "has since taken her faith-based work directly into the streets, where she serves as a spiritual support for the unhoused community."
According to Bush’s website, she did lose her certification as a nurse. After paying her outstanding tax debts, her nursing license was reinstated.
Our ruling
Rogers called Bush a "career criminal and a con artist" on Facebook, but there is no evidence to suggest that Bush is either. The court cases Rogers provided as evidence were all civil cases.
None of the purported evidence provided by Rogers to back his claim held up to the facts, either. When told of our findings, Rogers insisted he was still right.
Due to his denial of the facts and baseless claims, we rate Rogers’ claim False.
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600 | Facebook posts | 2020-09-07 00:00:00 | radio |
Says Joe Biden has a medical device implanted in his skull so he can hear someone give him answers to questions.
| Noah Crider | 2020-09-29 00:00:00 | pants-fire | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/29/maciver-institute/analysis-bashing-dhs-covid-19-calculations-built-e/ |
Analysis bashing DHS COVID-19 calculations is built on errors, omissions
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A surge in coronavirus cases in September pushed Wisconsin near the top of a dubious national ranking — most new COVID-19 cases per capita.
Predictably, that spurred a related jump in the percentage of COVID-19 tests yielding positive results in the state.
The rise has prompted renewed scrutiny of the state’s COVID-19 response. Some claim this is proof Gov. Tony Evers’ mask mandate isn’t working, while others say it means we aren’t taking the threat — or the mask mandate — seriously enough.
But the conservative MacIver Institute took another tack, zeroing in on the formula used to establish the positivity rate to claim that errors by the state Department of Health are what is actually causing the increase in that key measure.
"Bad Math Driving Wisconsin’s Exploding Positive Test Rate," declared a Sept. 23, 2020, headline that was shared widely on social media.
The MacIver story went on to make a series of claims building on that thesis:
"A fundamental flaw in how the Evers’ Administration calculates Wisconsin’s daily COVID-19 positive test rate has excluded hundreds of thousands of test results and led to a wildly distorted picture of the state’s progress in confronting the virus," said the story’s first paragraph.
It later quoted Ryan Westergaard, DHS chief medical officer, as explaining the positivity rate is calculated by dividing the number of positive cases by the number of people tested — not the total number of tests.
The MacIver piece calls this a "shocking admission."
But it’s only shocking if you haven’t been paying close attention. This is how DHS has consistently calculated test positivity, and since mid-August the department has even explicitly laid this out in the COVID-19 dashboard.
What’s more, it’s an acceptable way — even the preferred way, by some — to do the calculation, since it weeds out multiple tests of the same person.
Here’s why this "bad math" claim is ridiculous.
Rate calculation hasn’t changed amid spike
The most obvious error in this claim is blaming math for the "exploding positive test rate."
The seven-day average of tests with positive results — a more reliable marker than daily totals since it smooths out daily jumps caused by changes in testing volume — rose slowly through August, from about 6% to 8%. It then spiked starting in September, pushing the seven-day average close to 20% by the end of the month.
The MacIver piece posits this is due to errant calculations. But this rate has been calculated the same way throughout this entire stretch.
So whatever one’s objections to the methodology, if the same formula is used at the beginning and the end of a given time period, and the rate increases dramatically in that span, the increase is real.
The MacIver piece notes in its critique that test positivity is important because it’s one of six so-called "gating" criteria Evers is using to shape state policy on the pandemic. If test positivity is being used incorrectly, that would make it harder to achieve the thresholds set by Evers, and for the state to reopen fully.
Test positivity is, indeed, one of the criteria.
But the MacIver implication that it lacks legitimacy falls flat. The criteria doesn’t call for a specific percentage level to be met. Rather it calls for a downward trajectory for 14 days. And, as we noted, the same measuring stick — the formula — has been used throughout.
State approach to test positivity is widely used, even preferred
That brings us to the heart of this claim, that DHS is using "bad math" in calculating the percentage of positive tests. The MacIver piece itself elaborates on this, asserting, "If the goal is to calculate the daily positive test rate, then DHS is using the wrong numerator and denominator."
DHS calculates percent positivity by dividing the number of people with positive test results by the number of people tested in a given span. (Their dashboard includes daily counts as well as a seven-day and 14-day average.)
The MacIver piece asserts this is incorrect, saying the state should instead be basing the calculation off the raw number of tests, which would deliver a lower percentage.
But the state’s approach is actually both widely used and preferred because it prevents people who are tested often from skewing the data.
These aren’t people who feel sick or exhibit symptoms and seek a test — the typical sort of person tested. Rather, these are people who are tested regularly based on their position (such as a front-line health care worker) or situation (such as living in a nursing home where an outbreak has occurred).
Counting each of those negative test results would give an unrealistic picture of how frequently positive tests are occurring in the population — the core question all testing is trying to answer.
"Our data report individuals tested," Westergaard said in a June 11, 2020, media briefing. "So, if an individual was tested more than once because they were being followed to see if they cleared the infection or if they were tested a couple times weeks apart, they would be considered a single case and not multiple cases in our data."
Johns Hopkins University, which operates a COVID dashboard has become a go-to national resource in the pandemic, endorses this approach. Officials there said some places aren’t using it only because their data doesn’t allow them to break it down this way.
"We feel that the ideal way to calculate positivity would be number of people who test positive divided by number of people who are tested," says an explainer posted on the Johns Hopkins dashboard. "We feel this is currently the best way to track positivity because some states include in their testing totals duplicative tests obtained in succession on the same individual, as well as unrelated antibody tests. However, many states are unable to track number of people tested, so they only track number of tests."
The CDC also notes this is a standard way of approaching test positivity calculations. Their website lists it as one of three formulas used by various agencies.
The CDC calculates positivity by dividing the number of positive tests by the total number of tests taken. It notes it only uses this approach because it doesn’t have access to the data state and local health departments have to identify — and separate out — repeat tests from the same individual.
Some states divide the number of people with positive tests by the total number of tests taken.
Some states use Wisconsin’s approach, dividing the number of people with positive tests by the number of people tested.
The New York Times — which also runs a COVID dashboard — notes at least 18 states report tests like Wisconsin, based on the number of people tested, rather than the number of tests.
None of this national context was included in the MacIver piece.
DHS spokeswoman Elizabeth Goodsitt said Sept. 29, 2020, the agency was in the process of launching an updated dashboard that shows test positivity calculated using both approaches — number of people and number of tests. She said both measures "are informative to the response effort in Wisconsin."
One more quick note for some general context on this metric.
The COVID Tracking Project, another dashboard operator, said in a Sept. 22, 2020, blog post that test positivity is useful but also "one of the most commonly misunderstood metrics for monitoring the COVID-19 pandemic." It notes percent positivity rates can vary greatly based on who officials decide to test.
"The choice of who gets tested is based on state- or county-specific criteria, but is often made based on how sick people appear to be, which in turn influences test positivity," the blog post said. "If a state only tests people who have clear symptoms of the virus, it will likely have a higher test positivity than one that is also testing asymptomatic people."
Our ruling
A MacIver article widely shared on Facebook says "bad math" is to blame for Wisconsin’s "exploding positive test rate."
This is wrong on multiple fronts.They’re asserting manipulated math is behind the increase in test positivity, but it’s actually because the number of people testing positive has risen based on human behavior.
There is no "bad math." The state DHS uses a methodology (tallying people tested rather than raw tests) that is widely used by health agencies around the country. It is considered a more accurate approach because it assures people who are tested on a regular, even daily, basis — such as health care workers — don’t skew the data.
And whatever the quibbles with the methodology, this wouldn’t cause the increase in the test positivity rate because the formula DHS used to calculate the rate was the same throughout the time period.
That makes this claim both false and ridiculous, or as we call it, Pants on Fire.
Note: DHS updated their COVID-19 dashboard Sept. 30, the day after this story published, to include test positivity in terms of both tests and people. That does not affect the rating for this item since the per-person method remains on the DHS website and remains an acceptable and even preferred approach.
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601 | Facebook posts | 2020-08-13 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
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Ranked-choice voting “increases voter turnout and voter engagement."
| Veronica Mohesky | 2020-09-29 00:00:00 | full-flop | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/28/thom-tillis/sen-thom-tillis-flip-flops-filling-supreme-court-v/ |
Sen. Thom Tillis flip-flops on filling a Supreme Court vacancy in an election year
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When it comes to appointing Supreme Court justices, Thom Tillis is one of many Republican senators accused of flip-flopping.
Tillis and 51 others voted Monday night to appoint Amy Coney Barrett to the U.S. Supreme Court. The seat opened after the death of Ruth Bader Ginsburg on Sept. 18.
Barrett’s appointment comes eight days before Election Day, and four years after the Senate refused to hold a vote for a judge nominated by President Barack Obama. In 2016, Obama nominated Merrick Garland to fill the vacancy left by the late Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia.
So has Tillis flip-flopped on the issue of confirming Supreme Court justices?
Let’s put his comments, then and now, through the Flip-O-Meter.
To be clear: the Flip-O-Meter doesn’t measure whether any change in position is good policy or good politics. It merely measures whether a politician has been consistent in his or her stated views.
Tillis isn’t the first Senator to have his position on Supreme Court appointments examined. PolitiFact found that Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer have each flip-flopped on the issue.
What Tillis said then
Tillis was one of several senators who claimed that, because it was an election year, the Senate should wait for Americans to vote in the election before moving forward with Obama’s nominee.
On Feb. 23, 2016, Tillis and 10 other Republicans on the Senate Judiciary Committee signed a letter to Senate Leader Mitch McConnell that explained their position. The first two lines say:
"As we write, we are in the midst of a great national debate over the course our country will take in the coming years. The Presidential election is well underway. Americans have already begun to cast their votes."
They noted that it had been more than 80 years since the Senate confirmed a Supreme Court nominee in a presidential election year, and concluded by saying they intended to withhold a vote "to ensure the American people are not deprived of the opportunity to engage in a full and robust debate over the type of jurist they wish to decide some of the most critical issues of our time."
Tillis reaffirmed this stance on multiple occasions. On the Senate floor on Feb. 26 of that year, Tillis started his speech this way:
"Our nation is in the midst of a presidential election in which the american people are currently deciding who will be their next commander-in-chief. In my home state of north carolina, many voters have already submitted their absentee ballots and early voting will begin soon."
He then referred to Vice President Joe Biden’s hypothetical remarks from 28 years ago, old comments in saying the Senate shouldn’t confirm a nominee during an election year:
"Vice President Biden’s remarks may have been voiced in 1992, but they are entirely applicable in 2016. The campaign is already underway. It is essential to the institution of the Senate and to the very health of the republic not to launch our nation into a partisan divisive confirmation ballot during the same time the American people are casting ballots to elect our next president. Vice President Biden -- and this is not something I’ve said very often -- Vice President Biden was absolutely right."
In a statement a couple weeks later, Tillis reiterated his position and emphasized that the country is "in the middle of a presidential election."
He made similar remarks that March at a speech at the Conservative Political Action Conference and in an op-ed for USA Today that August, when he said: "Voters — not a lame-duck president — should decide the composition of the highest court in the land."
Tillis reaffirmed his position even after Trump was elected. Asked by an MSNBC News host in March 2017 if he regretted how he treated Garland’s nomination, Tillis said no.
"No I don’t. I think that we were at a point in time in the election cycle where we were already past primaries on the Republican side and it’s a principle that I embraced as a new member of the Senate that I will consistently uphold regardless of whether the tables are turned.
I think we were in a situation where it would have been hyper politicized. It would've become a circus here and I think that was a good reason to wait to hear the vote of the people."
What Tillis says now
We reached out to the Tillis campaign and asked if Tillis has changed his position from 2016.
Tillis spokesman Andrew Romeo argued that the Senator has been consistent. He said there are two key differences between 2016 and 2020, which Tillis noted in his statement after Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s death:
Garland's nomination came during a "divided government," meaning the White House was controlled by Democrats and the Senate was controlled by Republicans.
Garland's nomination came while President Obama was a "lame-duck," meaning he couldn’t be reelected the following year.
Those differences, however, have not been consistently cited by Tillis when he explained his 2016 position.
While a divided government was mentioned in the letter Tillis and the other Republicans sent to McConnell, he didn’t cite it as a primary reason in his subsequent speech on the Senate floor, the USA Today op-ed or even his MSNBC interview in 2017. Furthermore, PolitiFact has previously found this particular argument to be a weak one.
The argument that Obama was an outgoing president and Trump could serve another term is flawed, since it’s possible that Trump also won’t serve another term.
And the excuses don’t erase the simple fact that Tillis said one thing in 2016 and did something dramatically different this year.
Our ruling
Tillis in 2016 argued that the Senate shouldn’t confirm a Supreme Court nominee during an election year, and he repeatedly noted that voting was already underway.
To argue that Tillis has been consistent on this issue, the campaign cherry-picks his comments from four years ago to obscure the senator’s lead argument -- which was that voting had already started and voters deserved a voice in the appointment.
In 2016, Tillis made his argument during the presidential primaries. In 2020, he ignored that argument even though the General Election had already started in North Carolina when Ginsburg died.
(Ginsburg died on Sept. 18, and the North Carolina State Board of Elections had already started mailing absentee ballots to people on Sept. 4)
Tillis completely changed his position on whether voters should have a say in Supreme Court vacancies that occur during an election year. He’s done a`Full Flop.
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602 | Instagram posts | 2020-09-28 00:00:00 | a YouTube video:
|
"Cori Bush is a career criminal and a con artist.”
| Ciara O'Rourke | 2020-10-27 00:00:00 | true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/28/chris-jacobs/jacobs-charge-mcmurray-raised-taxes-grand-island-c/ |
Jacob's charge that McMurray raised taxes on Grand Island is correct
|
In a rematch between Rep. Chris Jacobs, a Republican, and Democrat Nate McMurray for the 27th Congressional District seat, Jacobs says his opponent has a track record of raising taxes and a desire to do so again.
In a large postcard sent to voters, the Jacobs campaign links McMurray with Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of Queens and says: "Nate McMurray Big Tax, Big Spend: An AOC Progressive Who Will Raise Taxes."
The mailer claims that "While serving as Town Supervisor, Nate McMurray voted to raise taxes on homeowners."
We were curious about McMurray’s record on Grand Island, where he served as supervisor for four years, beginning in 2016.
Slight increases
We spoke with McMurray, who confirmed that as a member of the town board on Grand Island, he voted to slightly increase taxes. He also proposed budgets, as supervisor, with slight tax increases, he said.
During all four years of his tenure, the increases remained under the property tax cap, he said. He also said that he was one of five people on the board, where Republicans held the other four seats.
"I had no control to raise taxes myself," he said.
Taxes increased about $27 in 2018 for a house assessed at $210,600. The tax rate for the general fund, which makes up a large amount of town spending, decreased by 3.1%, but an increase in the sewer district tax led to the increase. The 20% of residents without sewer access generally did not have an increase.
The town’s official meeting minutes of the board session with the budget vote show that McMurray voted in favor of the increase.
McMurray said he sometimes had to fight to keep the increases from getting too high during negotiations with other board members. "I’m one of five, and everybody has their pet thing."
In the 2019 budget, adopted in late 2018, the tax levy, or the amount raised in taxes, increased by 28% on Grand Island for the sewer system fund, though overall levy increase was 2.63 percent. Rates increased only for people using the sewer system and went down for those who do not. The combined levy for the general and highway funds fell by 4%. McMurray voted in favor of this budget.
The town's sewer system needed costly repairs, and a prior administration reached a deal with the state Department of Environmental Conservation, McMurray said. It was his administration's obligation to fund them, he said, a statement supported by a 2017 outside auditor's report.
The general fund tax rate was lower when he left office than it was during his first year, but that is not true of all of the funds that tax residents.
McMurray said that the mailer makes it seem like he was recklessly raising taxes as supervisor. "It’s acting like we’re willy-nilly raising taxes," he said. "Sure, there was a moderate increase under the tax cap."
McMurray has campaigned on his fiscal management of Grand Island, including a claim from 2018, in which he said he was a "small-town supervisor who has kept a balanced budget, who has increased surpluses, who has led us to the highest credit rating our town has ever had." PolitiFact rated that claim True.
Our ruling
Jacobs said McMurray voted to raise taxes on homeowners while he was town supervisor on Grand Island.
McMurray said that he raised taxes slightly while he was supervisor, which is corroborated by other documents. He also said that he couldn’t do anything unilaterally, and that he was a member of a five-member board.
We rate Jacobs’ claim True.
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603 | Ron Johnson | 2020-08-27 00:00:00 | a Facebook post:
|
A photo shows Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson on Epstein Island.
| Eric Litke | 2020-10-27 00:00:00 | barely-true | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/oct/27/donald-trump/trumps-exaggerated-claim-he-saved-hbcus-2019-fundi/ |
Trump’s exaggerated claim that he ‘saved’ HBCUs with 2019 funding bill
|
President Donald Trump exaggerated his contributions to historically Black colleges and universities during the final presidential debate, claiming he "saved" the minority institutions when he signed a bill to permanently extend a stream of federal funding beyond 2019.
According to the story Trump told on stage with former Vice President Joe Biden, HBCUs were repeatedly sending representatives to meet him in the White House. They kept coming back, Trump said, and when he asked why, they told him their schools had "no funding."
"President (Barack) Obama would never give them long-term funding, and I did," Trump said Oct. 22. "Ten-year, long-term funding, and I gave them more money than they asked for because I said, ‘I think you need more.’ … But I saved historically Black colleges and universities."
When Trump signed the bipartisan FUTURE Act in 2019, he did make permanent $255 million in annual funding for minority-serving colleges, including roughly $85 million earmarked as mandatory funding for historically Black colleges and universities under a Title III program.
But it’s inaccurate for Trump to claim that he "saved" HBCUs, or that they had "no funding" before him.
The Trump campaign did not respond to requests for comment.
Trump signed the FUTURE Act
The Strengthening Historically Black Colleges and Universities program has given Congress an avenue to award grants to HBCUs for decades.
The Title III program, authorized as part of the Higher Education Act of 1965, is funded with annual discretionary appropriations and the additional annual mandatory appropriations made permanent by the FUTURE Act, according to the U.S. Education Department.
Before the FUTURE Act kicked in, HBCUs had to ask Congress each year to renew the mandatory funding, as PolitiFact has reported. The act marked a significant change, and organizations that support HBCUs heralded the move.
But Trump’s claim likely overstated the role he played in making the law a reality. The president did sign the bill when it hit his desk, but it’s not clear that he did other legwork to get it there.
"The only words the president contributed were his signature, ‘Donald J. Trump,’" Rep. Alma Adams, D-N.C., an original sponsor of the bill, told Inside Higher Ed in August.
Total funding for the program has trended up under Trump. However, the president’s budget proposals for the last three years show the White House repeatedly requested less in discretionary funding through the program than Congress provided.
The White House has also tried to trim funding for federal TRIO programs, which are designed to provide services to students from disadvantaged backgrounds.
That doesn’t mean the Trump administration hasn’t been supportive of HBCUs. In 2018, for example, Education Secretary Betsy Devos issued full forgiveness on hurricane relief loans granted to four HBCUs in the aftermath of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita in 2005.
But as other fact-checkers have noted, Trump’s insistence that he "saved" HBCUs goes too far. His debate-night claim also ignored that HBCUs received money via the Title III program every year under Obama, according to the U.S. Education Department.
"President Trump did no more for HBCUs than any other U.S. president, but I don’t know of anything that he has done that has had a disproportionately negative impact on HBCUs," said Ivory Toldson, a professor at Howard University who served as an HBCU liaison for the Obama administration. Toldson added that presidents have limited control over the federal budget.
Federal funding for HBCUs comes in other forms
The program impacted by the FUTURE Act isn’t the only source of federal funding for HBCUs, although experts said it makes up a sizable amount. The schools can seek funding through grants, contracts and cooperative agreements with federal agencies, Toldson said.
The campus of Morehouse College in Atlanta on April 12, 2019. (AP)
Money also flows indirectly to students in the form of Pell Grants, said Krystal L. Williams, an assistant professor of higher education at the University of Alabama, who co-authored a 2019 report on HBCU funding sources for the American Council on Education.
Those funding sources predate both the Trump and Obama administrations, Williams said.
Public HBCUs are generally more reliant on federal, state and local funding than their non-HBCU counterparts, the report found. Private HBCUs also lean more heavily on money from tuition than their non-HBCU counterparts, where private gifts are more common.
Toldson and Williams crunched the numbers on HBCU funding for PolitiFact using data on the individual institutions’ reported revenues from the National Center for Education Statistics. Due to a reporting lag, the data excludes the most recent years under Trump and does not account for emergency funds delivered as a result of the coronavirus pandemic.
HBCUs received a total of $1.9 billion from the federal government in appropriations, grants and contracts in 2017-2018, compared with $1.8 billion in 2016-2017 and between $1.8 billion and $2.4 billion annually under Obama, Toldson said. Both Toldson and Williams said the highest investment occurred in 2009-2010, as the nation recovered from the Great Recession.
"There is no evidence that the Trump administration's investment in HBCUs is the highest compared to previous administrations," Williams said, countering another administration claim.
Our ruling
Trump said, "President Obama would never give them long-term funding, and I did … I saved historically Black colleges and universities."
Trump signed the FUTURE Act into law, making a major funding stream for HBCUs permanent beyond 2019. But it’s a stretch to say he "saved" them from financial ruin. The schools received federal dollars, including via the same Title III program, under Obama.
We rate this statement Mostly False.
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608 | MacIver Institute | 2020-10-22 00:00:00 | the f |
Says Joe Biden said “Why am I doing this? Why? What is my real aim?”
| Samantha Putterman | 2020-09-29 00:00:00 | false | https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/sep/29/facebook-posts/no-merrick-garland-isnt-investigating-donald-trump/ |
No, Merrick Garland isn’t investigating Donald Trump for tax evasion
|
In 2016, Senate Republicans refused to hold a confirmation hearing for Merrick Garland, then-President Barack Obama’s nominee to replace Justice Antonin Scalia on the Supreme Court.
The seat was eventually filled by Neil Gorsuch, whom President Donald Trump nominated after taking office. Garland, shut out, kept his post as chief judge of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit.
But reports suggesting a possible Garland score-settling were off base. And Garland is not investigating a tax evasion case against Trump, as a recent Facebook post claims.
"Holy Cow!" begins the post before referring obliquely to the president. "Guess who’s investigating Turnip’s tax evasion case? None other than … Merrick Garland. I know he’ll be utterly fair. It’s just kind of sweetly karmic that it’s his case."
This post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.)
First, Trump has not been charged with tax evasion. The Manhattan district attorney’s office recently suggested in a court filing that it has grounds to investigate the president and his business for tax fraud, but that’s a case over the president’s financial records that’s being fought in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit.
The claim in this Facebook post appears to stem from efforts by the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee to review Trump’s financial information. In April 2019, the committee subpoenaed several years of the president’s financial information from Mazars, an accounting firm that prepared Trump’s financial statements. The request came after Trump’s former lawyer, Michael Cohen, claimed Trump had inflated his net worth as he unsuccessfully tried to buy the Buffalo Bills football team.
Trump responded by suing the accounting firm and the House committee’s chairman, Rep. Elijah Cummings, D-Md., to keep the records private.
U.S. District Court Judge Amit Mehta ruled that Congress was within its rights to request the records as part of an investigation into whether the president illegally inflated or deflated amounts on his financial statements.
Trump appealed the decision to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit, where Garland served as chief judge.
At the time, publications such as Newsweek reported that Trump’s "subpoena appeals now head to Merrick Garland’s court." Vanity Fair published a story with the headline: "Trump begs Merrick Garland to keep his financial lies private." The magazine also tweeted the story, writing: "Trump’s fate now rests in the hands of Merrick Garland, the judge whose Supreme Court seat Republicans effectively stole."
Steve Vladeck, a law professor at the University of Texas, took issue with that framing.
"Dear internet," he tweeted at the time. "Chief Judge Garland is one of 11 active judges, and 17 judges total who currently hear appeals on the D.C. Circuit as part of three-judge panels. The odds that his case goes to a panel including Garland, specifically, are … modest."
And in fact, the case didn’t wind up with Garland. In October, a three-judge panel ruled 2-1 that the House committee could subpoena Trump’s records. Garland was not on the panel. Two judges appointed by Democratic presidents — David Tatel and Patricia Millett — wrote the ruling for the court. Judge Neomi Rao, who was appointed by Trump, dissented.
The case made its way to the Supreme Court, which ruled in July that the House can subpoena the records if it meets rigorous standards. The Supreme Court then kicked the case back to the appeals court for further review. It’s now being briefed again before the three-judge panel, Vladeck told us.
The panel does not include Garland, who stepped down as chief judge in February but continues to serve on the court.
"The only way he’d even be involved in this case at this juncture is if it goes before the en banc (full) court rather than the three-judge panel, which seems more than a little unlikely," Vladeck said in an email.
We rate this Facebook post False.
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